Severe Thunderstorm Warning 242, NWS Springfield, MO

006 
WWUS53 KSGF 192051
SVSSGF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
351 PM CDT WED OCT 19 2016

MOC065-203-215-192115-
/O.CON.KSGF.SV.W.0242.000000T0000Z-161019T2115Z/
SHANNON MO-DENT MO-TEXAS MO-
351 PM CDT WED OCT 19 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 415 PM CDT
FOR NORTHWESTERN SHANNON...SOUTHWESTERN DENT AND NORTHEASTERN TEXAS
COUNTIES...

AT 351 PM CDT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM NEAR LICKING TO NEAR HOUSTON...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO 
         ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MONTAUK STATE PARK...             LICKING...
RAYMONDVILLE...                   PRESCOTT...
JADWIN...                         AKERS...
MONTAUK...                        DARIEN...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS.
MOVE INDOORS IMMEDIATELY. LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURE'S LEADING
KILLERS. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO
BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

&&

LAT...LON 3737 9206 3759 9191 3761 9154 3731 9155
TIME...MOT...LOC 2051Z 258DEG 14KT 3758 9186 3738 9201 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

CRAMER

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
227 PM CDT Wed Oct 19 2016

...Storms through this Evening then Cooler and Drier...

.MESOSCALE DISCUSSION...
Issued at 200 PM CDT Wed Oct 19 2016

Convection continued to increase in coverage into this afternoon
along and north of a nearly stationary front stretching from just
south of Joplin and along the I-44 corridor. A few of these storms
were had approaching severe limits. Showers and storms had developed
well north of the surface boundary ahead of the 850 MB front.

The surface front will begin a gradual southeastward push into
the late afternoon aided by rain cooled air to the north.
Meanwhile an upper level trough coming out of the Rockies will
begin to assert it's influence heading into late afternoon and
this evening.

Strengthening synoptic scale lift will support additional
development with increasing storm coverage into far southern
Missouri along and behind the front. Most unstable CAPE of 1000 to
3000 J/KG and deep layer shear of 30 to 40 kts will support the
risk for strong to locally severe storms. Strong winds and hail
look to be the primary risk with any severe storms that develop.
Storms that develop along the front will be have to be monitored
for supercellular structure but any tornado risk appears to be
very low. Heavy rainfall and the potential for localized flooding
will also have to be monitored where storms train across the same
areas.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(Tonight and Thursday)
Issued at 215 PM CDT Wed Oct 19 2016

The cold front will begin a steady push to the southeast across
the region this evening as the upper level trough swings east.
Showers and thunderstorms will accompany the frontal passage and
linger behind the surface front. The activity will taper off from
the west later tonight as the 850 MB front pushes to the southeast
with most activity moving to our east by daybreak Thursday. A drier
and cooler airmass will overspread the region Thursday.

.LONG TERM...(Thursday Night through Wednesday)
Issued at 215 PM CDT Wed Oct 19 2016

Seasonably cool temperatures can be expected heading into late
week as surface high pressure builds into the area and the region
comes under the influence of a northwesterly flow aloft.

A warming trend will return this weekend into early next week as
an upper level ridge builds back across the region. Dry weather
will persist until the middle or later part of next week.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Thursday afternoon)
Issued at 200 PM CDT Wed Oct 19 2016

Pilots can expect deteriorating flight conditions as a cold front
moves across the area. This front will bring showers and
thunderstorms along with low ceilings. MVFR to IFR conditions
will develop behind the front through the evening. Improving
conditions will return Thursday morning.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

MESOSCALE...Foster
SHORT TERM...Foster
LONG TERM...Foster
AVIATION...Foster

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1258 PM CDT WED OCT 19 2016

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-201800-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
1258 PM CDT WED OCT 19 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

  ELEVATED HAIL RISK.
  LIMITED THUNDERSTORM WIND DAMAGE RISK.
  LIMITED FLOODING RISK.
  ELEVATED LIGHTNING RISK.

DISCUSSION...

 SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON
 INTO THE EARLY EVENING. THE STORMS WILL BE FOCUSED ALONG AND
 SOUTHEAST OF A LINE FROM LAMAR TO ELDON MISSOURI.

 SOME OF THESE STORMS WILL BECOME STRONG TO LOCALLY SEVERE WITH
 THE POTENTIAL OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL TO THE SIZE OF HALF
 DOLLARS AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH.

 THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE MOST NUMEROUS ALONG AND NORTH OF THE
 INTERSTATE 44 CORRIDOR THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON WITH AN
 INCREASING COVERAGE OF STORMS FARTHER SOUTH ACROSS FAR SOUTHERN
 MISSOURI LATER THIS AFTERNOON.

 IN ADDITION...HEAVY RAINFALL WILL OCCUR WITH THESE STORMS WHICH
 COULD RESULT IN LOCALIZED FLOODING ESPECIALLY WHERE STORMS TRAIN
 ACROSS THE SAME AREAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

  A DRIER AND COOLER PATTERN TAKES SHAPE THROUGH LATE WEEK.
  WARMER AND GRADUALLY MORE MOIST AIR WILL BEGIN PUSHING BACK
  INTO THE REGION BY EARLY WEEK NEXT WEEK. SHOWERS AND PERHAPS A
  THUNDERSTORM OR TWO WILL BE ON THE INCREASE BY AROUND MIDWEEK
  NEXT WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

 SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED ACROSS FAR SOUTHERN MISSOURI
 THROUGH EARLY THIS EVENING.

&&

MORE DETAILED INFORMATION CAN BE ACCESSED AT:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SGF/SITREP(ALL LOWERCASE)

THIS PRODUCT IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...
HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

FOSTER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1225 PM CDT WED OCT 19 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1220 PM     TSTM WND DMG     ASH GROVE               37.32N 93.58W
10/19/2016                   GREENE             MO   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            SMALL OUTBUILDING BOLTED TO CONCRETE FOUNDATION WAS
            LIFTED OFF FOUNDATION BY DAMAGING WINDS.

&&

MGRIFFIN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1244 PM CDT WED OCT 19 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1239 PM     HAIL             6 NE WILLARD            37.36N 93.36W
10/19/2016  E0.75 INCH       GREENE             MO   PUBLIC

            DIME SIZE HAIL VIA MPING REPORT

&&

BURCHFIELD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1258 PM CDT WED OCT 19 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1218 PM     TSTM WND DMG     ASH GROVE               37.32N 93.58W
10/19/2016                   GREENE             MO   BROADCAST MEDIA

            LARGE TREE DOWN OVER POWER LINES IN ASH GROVE

&&

BURCHFIELD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
147 PM CDT WED OCT 19 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1218 PM     TSTM WND DMG     ASH GROVE               37.32N 93.58W
10/19/2016                   GREENE             MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            SEVERAL REPORTS OF LIMBS DOWN IN ASH GROVE WITH SOME UP
            TO 24 INCHES IN DIAMETER.

&&

BURCHFIELD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
226 PM CDT WED OCT 19 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0105 PM     HAIL             5 NNW URBANA            37.91N 93.19W
10/19/2016  E1.00 INCH       HICKORY            MO   PUBLIC

&&

HATCH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
230 PM CDT WED OCT 19 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0107 PM     HAIL             5 NNW URBANA            37.91N 93.19W
10/19/2016  E1.25 INCH       HICKORY            MO   PUBLIC

&&

HATCH