Flash Flood Watch 4, NWS Springfield, MO

418 
WGUS63 KSGF 011150
FFASGF

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
650 AM CDT MON AUG 1 2016

MOZ071-011300-
/O.CAN.KSGF.FF.A.0004.000000T0000Z-160801T1700Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
PHELPS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NORTHWYE...ROLLA
650 AM CDT MON AUG 1 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR A PORTION OF EAST CENTRAL MISSOURI HAS
BEEN CANCELLED. 

WHILE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT THE AREA TODAY...EXCESSIVE
RAINFALL IS NO LONGER EXPECTED IN PHELPS COUNTY.|

$$

MOZ056>058-011700-
/O.CON.KSGF.FF.A.0004.000000T0000Z-160801T1700Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...VERSAILLES...ROCKY MOUNT...STOVER...
LAURIE...AURORA SPRINGS...ELDON...LAKE OZARK...VICHY
650 AM CDT MON AUG 1 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON CDT TODAY...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH CONTINUES FOR

* A PORTION OF CENTRAL MISSOURI...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING 
  AREAS...MARIES...MILLER AND MORGAN. 

* UNTIL NOON CDT TODAY

* SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL
  CONTINUE THIS MORNING BUT GRADUALLY DIMINISH IN INTENSITY. STORM
  TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS TWO TO THREE INCHES IS EXPECTED WITH
  LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS AROUND FOUR INCHES.

  ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS THIS MORNING WILL GENERALLY BE NEAR
  ONE INCH OR LESS. 

* FLOODING OF SMALL STREAMS...CREEKS...AND LOW WATER CROSSINGS
  WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS INCLUDING THE MORNING
  COMMUTE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION
SHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.

&&

$$

FOSTER

492 
WGUS63 KSGF 011527
FFASGF

FLOOD WATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1027 AM CDT MON AUG 1 2016


MOZ056>058-011630-
/O.CAN.KSGF.FF.A.0004.000000T0000Z-160801T1700Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...VERSAILLES...ROCKY MOUNT...STOVER...
LAURIE...AURORA SPRINGS...ELDON...LAKE OZARK...VICHY
1027 AM CDT MON AUG 1 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR A PORTION OF CENTRAL MISSOURI HAS BEEN
CANCELLED. MOST OF THE RAIN OVER THE WATCH AREA HAS BECOME LIGHT
AND ADDITIONAL FLOODING IS NO LONGER EXPECTED THROUGH THE MORNING. 

THERE IS SOME POTENTIAL FOR ADDITIONAL STORM DEVELOPMENT LATER
TODAY. PLEASE CONTINUE TO MONITOR NOAA WEATHER RADIO...NWS WEB
SITES AND LOCAL MEDIA FOR LATER STATEMENTS.

$$

TERRY

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1134 PM CDT SUN JUL 31 2016

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Monday)
Issued at 100 PM CDT Sun Jul 31 2016

Ongoing convection continuing across primarily central into south
central Missouri at this time. This activity is the remnants of an
earlier MCS that is interacting with the northward advancing
surface warm front currently located across the northern CWA. This
activity should continue to progress across the area this
afternoon.

Models are hinting at yet another MCS developing overnight...but a
little further east than last night. Right now...this will
primarily affect central Missouri with wind being the primary
threat.

Otherwise...a strong upper level trough moving through the
Canadian Rockies will push the upper level ridge eastward and
allow the upper high to begin to build eastward. High temperatures
on Monday should be noticably warmer in the upper 80s to lower
90s. Heat index values will be in the upper 90s with a few areas
flirting with 100 degrees or above.

.LONG TERM...(Monday Night through Sunday)
Issued at 100 PM CDT Sun Jul 31 2016

As the upper high shifts eastward and the surface front moves
northward...rain chances will shift primarily to the eastern
CWA...along the eastern periphery of the high.

The primary concern then shifts to those higher heat index
values. Tuesday and Wednesday should be the peak days for heat
indicies. At this time...values look to be in the 100 to 107
range...so will continue to monitor for advisory criteria.

A second short wave moves across southern Canada on Thursday which
will allow a surface front to once again approach central Missouri
by Saturday and increase our rain chances once again.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Monday night)
Issued at 1131 PM CDT Sun Jul 31 2016

Elevated convection has developed over the past couple of hours
north of the CWA in a northwest to southeast band. Most of this
activity should remain north of the CWA over the next couple of
hours before eventually drifing into the far northeast CWA.
Activity should remain well to the northeast of the terminal
locations with VFR conditions expected at all 3 forecast points.
Upper level ridge of high pressure should begin to build into the
area from the southwest.

&&

.SGF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...Gaede
LONG TERM...Gaede
AVIATION...Lindenberg

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
101 AM CDT MON AUG 1 2016

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-020615-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
101 AM CDT MON AUG 1 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

  LIMITED THUNDERSTORM WIND DAMAGE RISK.
  LIMITED FLOODING RISK.
  ELEVATED LIGHTNING RISK.
  ELEVATED EXCESSIVE HEAT RISK.

DISCUSSION...

 A THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX WILL IMPACT CENTRAL MISSOURI OVERNIGHT...AND
 AFFECT AREAS GENERALLY ALONG AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM WARSAW TO
 CAMDENTON TO SALEM.

 THE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING TORRENTIAL RAINFALL WHICH
 COULD RESULT IN LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING...FREQUENT LIGHTNING
 AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH.

 ADDITIONAL SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT WILL OCCUR DURING
 THE DAY MONDAY MAINLY ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI.
 ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED.

 SOME AREAS OF SOUTHWESTERN MISSOURI AND SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS COULD
 SEE HEAT INDEX VALUES IN THE MIDDLE AND UPPER 90S MONDAY
 AFTERNOON.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

 ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL AGAIN BE POSSIBLE MAINLY ACROSS SOUTH
 CENTRAL MISSOURI TUESDAY. NO ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER IS
 EXPECTED AT THIS TIME...HOWEVER A STRONG WIND GUST...FREQUENT
 LIGHTNING...AND HEAVY RAINFALL MAY BE POSSIBLE IN THE STRONGER
 STORMS.

  TEMPERATURES WILL INCREASE THIS WEEK AS A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE
  MOVES INTO THE REGION. THE WARMEST DAYS WILL BE WEDNESDAY AND
  THURSDAY AS HEAT INDICES WILL LIKELY CLIMB INTO THE LOWER TO
  MID 100S ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

MORE DETAILED INFORMATION CAN BE ACCESSED AT:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SGF/SITREP(ALL LOWERCASE)

THIS PRODUCT IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...
HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

FOSTER