Flash Flood Warning 54, NWS Springfield, MO

923 
WGUS73 KSGF 010955
FFSSGF

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
455 AM CDT MON AUG 1 2016

MOC015-029-011445-
/O.CON.KSGF.FF.W.0054.000000T0000Z-160801T1445Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CAMDEN MO-BENTON MO-
455 AM CDT MON AUG 1 2016

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 945 AM CDT FOR
CAMDEN AND BENTON COUNTIES...

AT 446 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING
HEAVY RAIN ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES
WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS UP TO 4 INCHES HAVE FALLEN SO FAR. FLASH
FLOODING IS EXPECTED.

CREEKS...STREAMS...AND LOW WATER CROSSINGS WILL BE ESPECIALLY
SUSCEPTIBLE TO THE DANGERS OF FLASH FLOODING.
LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE...
TRUMAN STATE PARK...              LAKE OF THE OZARKS STATE PARK...
HA HA TONKA STATE PARK...         OSAGE BEACH...
CAMDENTON...                      WARSAW...
LAKE OZARK...                     LINCOLN...
COLE CAMP...                      LAURIE...
SUNRISE BEACH...                  LINN CREEK...

THIS WARNING INCLUDES BUT IS NOT LIMITED TO THE FOLLOWING LOW WATER
CROSSINGS...
ROUTE V AT DEER CREEK NEAR HASTAIN...
ROUTE H...3 MILES NORTHWEST OF STOUTLAND...
ROUTE DD AT KNOBBY CREEK 6 MILES NORTHEAST OF EDWARDS...
ROUTE WW AT ARCHER CREEK NORTHEAST OF LAKEVIEW HEIGHTS...
AND ROUTE B AT WILLIAMS CREEK SOUTHEAST OF COLE CAMP.

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE EARLY THIS MORNING WITH
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE TO TWO INCHES EXPECTED ACROSS THE
WARNED AREA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE
PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY.  DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS
SWIFTLY FLOWING WATERS OR WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH BY FOOT OR BY
AUTOMOBILE.

TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS. MOST FLOOD
DEATHS OCCUR IN VEHICLES.

&&

LAT...LON 3853 9307 3827 9308 3821 9299 3823 9294
      3820 9296 3821 9265 3804 9253 3802 9240
      3786 9241 3782 9246 3780 9256 3789 9263
      3789 9276 3806 9307 3819 9350 3821 9353
      3851 9351

$$

FOSTER

605 
WGUS73 KSGF 011443
FFSSGF

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
943 AM CDT MON AUG 1 2016

MOC015-029-011451-
/O.EXP.KSGF.FF.W.0054.000000T0000Z-160801T1445Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
CAMDEN MO-BENTON MO-
943 AM CDT MON AUG 1 2016

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR CAMDEN AND BENTON COUNTIES WILL EXPIRE
AT 945 AM CDT...

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN REPLACED WITH A FLOOD ADVISORY
THROUGH 345 PM CDT...

THE HEAVY RAIN HAS ENDED...AND FLASH FLOODING IS NO LONGER EXPECTED
TO POSE A THREAT TO LIFE OR PROPERTY. HOWEVER RESIDUAL FLOODING WILL
CONTINUE IN LOW LYING AREAS THROUGH MID AFTERNOON. PLEASE CONTINUE
TO HEED ANY ROAD CLOSURES.

LAT...LON 3853 9307 3827 9308 3821 9299 3823 9294
      3820 9296 3821 9265 3804 9253 3802 9240
      3786 9241 3782 9246 3780 9256 3789 9263
      3789 9276 3806 9307 3819 9350 3821 9353
      3851 9351

$$

TERRY

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
257 AM CDT MON AUG 1 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 240 AM CDT Mon Aug 1 2016

A complex of showers and storms will impact portions of central
Missouri and the eastern Ozarks at the very least through the
morning hours Monday. High pressure will slow grasp control of
our weather early this week, which will help bump temperatures
back into the 90s across the entire region. Heat indices will also
creep back into the 100s for most by Wednesday. Rain chances will
then increase again next weekend.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 240 AM CDT Mon Aug 1 2016

All eyes this morning are situated on convection pushing southward
from the I70 corridor. Along I70, rainfall amounts of 2-3
inches were common with locally higher amounts. Went ahead and
coordinated with neighbors, the issuance of a Flash Flood Watch
given the high Pwats (~2.1" or so in central MO) and
persistence/growth of this complex. As the MCS dives southward,
we may have to extended the watch if heavier rates surge
southward.

This complex of storms developed where the stronger surface
convergence was located associated with the boundary that is finally
lifting northward. A fairly decent LLJ has also developed during
the overnight timeframe, which is likely feeding this complex
effectively.

Think that a majority of this activity will stay across central
Missouri and the eastern Ozarks leave much of the area west of
the I49 corridor dry. That said, it very well may be a rain day
today across the east, especially this morning. Confidence is
rain backs off a tad this afternoon, but with the surface boundary
in place additional rain may be possible.

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday through Sunday)
Issued at 240 AM CDT Mon Aug 1 2016

An upper level ridge is still expected to build into the region
starting on Monday and should be in control of our weather for much
of the upcoming workweek. Temperatures under this dome of high
pressure will increase gradually each day through Friday. At the
moment, it looks like midweek will be particular hot with heat
indices increasing to over 100 degree across the entire region.

Although this pattern tends to suppress rain chances, we can't rule
out a stray afternoon/evening shower or thunderstorm. Rainfall
chances going into next weekend gradually increase as the ridge
begins to gradually breakdown somewhat.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Monday night)
Issued at 1131 PM CDT Sun Jul 31 2016

Elevated convection has developed over the past couple of hours
north of the CWA in a northwest to southeast band. Most of this
activity should remain north of the CWA over the next couple of
hours before eventually drifting into the far northeast CWA.
Activity should remain well to the northeast of the terminal
locations with VFR conditions expected at all 3 forecast points.
Upper level ridge of high pressure should begin to build into the
area from the southwest.

&&

.SGF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
MO...Flash Flood Watch until noon CDT today for MOZ056>058-071.

KS...NONE.
&&

SYNOPSIS...Frye
SHORT TERM...Frye
LONG TERM...Frye
AVIATION...Lindenberg

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
101 AM CDT MON AUG 1 2016

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-020615-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
101 AM CDT MON AUG 1 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

  LIMITED THUNDERSTORM WIND DAMAGE RISK.
  LIMITED FLOODING RISK.
  ELEVATED LIGHTNING RISK.
  ELEVATED EXCESSIVE HEAT RISK.

DISCUSSION...

 A THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX WILL IMPACT CENTRAL MISSOURI OVERNIGHT...AND
 AFFECT AREAS GENERALLY ALONG AND NORTH OF A LINE FROM WARSAW TO
 CAMDENTON TO SALEM.

 THE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING TORRENTIAL RAINFALL WHICH
 COULD RESULT IN LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING...FREQUENT LIGHTNING
 AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH.

 ADDITIONAL SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT WILL OCCUR DURING
 THE DAY MONDAY MAINLY ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI.
 ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED.

 SOME AREAS OF SOUTHWESTERN MISSOURI AND SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS COULD
 SEE HEAT INDEX VALUES IN THE MIDDLE AND UPPER 90S MONDAY
 AFTERNOON.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

 ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL AGAIN BE POSSIBLE MAINLY ACROSS SOUTH
 CENTRAL MISSOURI TUESDAY. NO ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER IS
 EXPECTED AT THIS TIME...HOWEVER A STRONG WIND GUST...FREQUENT
 LIGHTNING...AND HEAVY RAINFALL MAY BE POSSIBLE IN THE STRONGER
 STORMS.

  TEMPERATURES WILL INCREASE THIS WEEK AS A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE
  MOVES INTO THE REGION. THE WARMEST DAYS WILL BE WEDNESDAY AND
  THURSDAY AS HEAT INDICES WILL LIKELY CLIMB INTO THE LOWER TO
  MID 100S ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

MORE DETAILED INFORMATION CAN BE ACCESSED AT:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SGF/SITREP(ALL LOWERCASE)

THIS PRODUCT IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...
HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

FOSTER

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
127 AM CDT MON AUG 1 2016

MOZ056-057-010730-
MILLER MO-MORGAN MO-
127 AM CDT MON AUG 1 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR MORGAN AND MILLER COUNTIES UNTIL
230 AM CDT...

AT 126 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
VERSAILLES...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IN THE ADVISORY INCLUDE...
LAKE OF THE OZARKS STATE PARK...  LAKE OF THE OZARKS...
ELDON...                          OSAGE BEACH...
VERSAILLES...                     LAKE OZARK...
STOVER...                         LAURIE...
IBERIA...                         SAINT ELIZABETH...
ST. ELIZABETH...                  TUSCUMBIA...
GRAVOIS MILLS...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 3867 9284 3860 9284 3844 9264 3843 9241
      3834 9240 3834 9229 3832 9224 3834 9220
      3810 9218 3802 9220 3802 9239 3810 9259
      3821 9265 3822 9274 3819 9278 3831 9308
      3869 9305
TIME...MOT...LOC 0626Z 337DEG 29KT 3842 9276

FOSTER