Flash Flood Warning 55, NWS Springfield, MO

173 
WGUS73 KSGF 011252
FFSSGF

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
752 AM CDT MON AUG 1 2016

MOC015-029-085-011515-
/O.CON.KSGF.FF.W.0055.000000T0000Z-160801T1515Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
HICKORY MO-CAMDEN MO-BENTON MO-
752 AM CDT MON AUG 1 2016

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1015 AM CDT FOR
HICKORY...SOUTHWESTERN CAMDEN AND SOUTHWESTERN BENTON COUNTIES...

AT 750 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING
HEAVY RAIN ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. UP TO TWO INCHES OF ADDITIONAL
RAIN WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS NEAR THREE INCHES HAS FALLEN EARLY THIS
MORNING. FLASH FLOODING IS EXPECTED.

THIS WARNING INCLUDES BUT IS NOT LIMITED TO THE FOLLOWING LOW WATER
CROSSINGS...
ROUTE D AT CRANE CREEK 1 MILE SOUTH OF PRESTON.

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS UP TO ONE INCH ARE POSSIBLE IN THE
WARNED AREA THIS MORNING. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN HILLY TERRAIN THERE ARE HUNDREDS OF LOW WATER CROSSINGS WHICH ARE
POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS IN HEAVY RAIN.  DO NOT ATTEMPT TO TRAVEL ACROSS
FLOODED ROADS. FIND AN ALTERNATE ROUTE.  IT TAKES ONLY A FEW INCHES
OF SWIFTLY FLOWING WATER TO CARRY VEHICLES AWAY.

&&

LAT...LON 3806 9306 3790 9276 3789 9285 3791 9318
      3780 9320 3781 9357 3791 9357 3792 9351
      3819 9349

$$

FOSTER

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
257 AM CDT MON AUG 1 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 240 AM CDT Mon Aug 1 2016

A complex of showers and storms will impact portions of central
Missouri and the eastern Ozarks at the very least through the
morning hours Monday. High pressure will slow grasp control of
our weather early this week, which will help bump temperatures
back into the 90s across the entire region. Heat indices will also
creep back into the 100s for most by Wednesday. Rain chances will
then increase again next weekend.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 240 AM CDT Mon Aug 1 2016

All eyes this morning are situated on convection pushing southward
from the I70 corridor. Along I70, rainfall amounts of 2-3
inches were common with locally higher amounts. Went ahead and
coordinated with neighbors, the issuance of a Flash Flood Watch
given the high Pwats (~2.1" or so in central MO) and
persistence/growth of this complex. As the MCS dives southward,
we may have to extended the watch if heavier rates surge
southward.

This complex of storms developed where the stronger surface
convergence was located associated with the boundary that is finally
lifting northward. A fairly decent LLJ has also developed during
the overnight timeframe, which is likely feeding this complex
effectively.

Think that a majority of this activity will stay across central
Missouri and the eastern Ozarks leave much of the area west of
the I49 corridor dry. That said, it very well may be a rain day
today across the east, especially this morning. Confidence is
rain backs off a tad this afternoon, but with the surface boundary
in place additional rain may be possible.

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday through Sunday)
Issued at 240 AM CDT Mon Aug 1 2016

An upper level ridge is still expected to build into the region
starting on Monday and should be in control of our weather for much
of the upcoming workweek. Temperatures under this dome of high
pressure will increase gradually each day through Friday. At the
moment, it looks like midweek will be particular hot with heat
indices increasing to over 100 degree across the entire region.

Although this pattern tends to suppress rain chances, we can't rule
out a stray afternoon/evening shower or thunderstorm. Rainfall
chances going into next weekend gradually increase as the ridge
begins to gradually breakdown somewhat.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Monday night)
Issued at 1131 PM CDT Sun Jul 31 2016

Elevated convection has developed over the past couple of hours
north of the CWA in a northwest to southeast band. Most of this
activity should remain north of the CWA over the next couple of
hours before eventually drifting into the far northeast CWA.
Activity should remain well to the northeast of the terminal
locations with VFR conditions expected at all 3 forecast points.
Upper level ridge of high pressure should begin to build into the
area from the southwest.

&&

.SGF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
MO...Flash Flood Watch until noon CDT today for MOZ056>058-071.

KS...NONE.
&&

SYNOPSIS...Frye
SHORT TERM...Frye
LONG TERM...Frye
AVIATION...Lindenberg

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
424 AM CDT MON AUG 1 2016

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-020930-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
424 AM CDT MON AUG 1 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

  ELEVATED FLOODING RISK.
  SIGNIFICANT LIGHTNING RISK.
  ELEVATED EXCESSIVE HEAT RISK.

DISCUSSION...

  A THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX WILL IMPACT CENTRAL MISSOURI
  OVERNIGHT... AND AFFECT AREAS GENERALLY ALONG AND NORTH OF A
  LINE FROM WARSAW TO CAMDENTON TO SALEM. THE STORMS WILL BE
  CAPABLE OF PRODUCING TORRENTIAL RAINFALL WHICH COULD RESULT IN
  LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING...FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND WIND GUSTS UP
  TO 50 MPH.

  ADDITIONAL SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT WILL OCCUR
  DURING THE DAY MONDAY MAINLY ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTH CENTRAL
  MISSOURI. ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED.

  SOME AREAS OF SOUTHWESTERN MISSOURI AND SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS
  COULD SEE HEAT INDEX VALUES IN THE UPPER 90S OR LOWER 100S ON
  MONDAY AFTERNOON.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

  TEMPERATURES WILL INCREASE THIS WEEK AS A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE
  MOVES INTO THE REGION. THE WARMEST DAYS WILL BE TUESDAY TO
  THURSDAY AS HEAT INDICES WILL LIKELY CLIMB AT LEAST INTO THE
  LOWER TO MID 100S ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION.

  ALTHOUGH A MAJORITY OF MID TO LATE WEEK WILL BE DRY...THERE
  STILL MAY BE AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM OR TWO DURING PEAK
  DAYTIME HEATING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

MORE DETAILED INFORMATION CAN BE ACCESSED AT:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SGF/SITREP(ALL LOWERCASE)

THIS PRODUCT IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...
HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

FRYE

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
127 AM CDT MON AUG 1 2016

MOZ056-057-010730-
MILLER MO-MORGAN MO-
127 AM CDT MON AUG 1 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR MORGAN AND MILLER COUNTIES UNTIL
230 AM CDT...

AT 126 AM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
VERSAILLES...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IN THE ADVISORY INCLUDE...
LAKE OF THE OZARKS STATE PARK...  LAKE OF THE OZARKS...
ELDON...                          OSAGE BEACH...
VERSAILLES...                     LAKE OZARK...
STOVER...                         LAURIE...
IBERIA...                         SAINT ELIZABETH...
ST. ELIZABETH...                  TUSCUMBIA...
GRAVOIS MILLS...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD
TO FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 3867 9284 3860 9284 3844 9264 3843 9241
      3834 9240 3834 9229 3832 9224 3834 9220
      3810 9218 3802 9220 3802 9239 3810 9259
      3821 9265 3822 9274 3819 9278 3831 9308
      3869 9305
TIME...MOT...LOC 0626Z 337DEG 29KT 3842 9276

FOSTER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
430 AM CDT MON AUG 01 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0335 AM     TSTM WND DMG     4 NW LAKELAND           38.25N 92.69W
08/01/2016                   MILLER             MO   911 CALL CENTER

            TREE DOWN

&&

AFOSTER