Severe Thunderstorm Warning 101, NWS Charleston, WV

251 
WWUS51 KRLX 231122
SVSRLX

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
722 AM EDT THU JUN 23 2016

KYC043-WVC053-231131-
/O.CAN.KRLX.SV.W.0101.000000T0000Z-160623T1145Z/
CARTER KY-MASON WV-
722 AM EDT THU JUN 23 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN CARTER AND
SOUTHWESTERN MASON COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...

THE STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAVE MOVED OUT OF THE WARNED
AREA. THEREFORE...THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 AM EDT FOR
NORTHEASTERN KENTUCKY...AND WESTERN...SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL WEST
VIRGINIA.

LAT...LON 3804 8300 3811 8289 3817 8292 3851 8210
      3848 8206 3853 8206 3855 8200 3820 8161
      3784 8212 3776 8231 3790 8244 3796 8253
      3795 8258 3788 8262 3800 8294 3797 8301
TIME...MOT...LOC 1121Z 317DEG 37KT 3848 8217 3805 8301 

$$

KYC019-127-WVC005-011-039-043-045-059-079-099-231145-
/O.CON.KRLX.SV.W.0101.000000T0000Z-160623T1145Z/
LAWRENCE KY-BOYD KY-PUTNAM WV-MINGO WV-WAYNE WV-BOONE WV-LINCOLN WV-
LOGAN WV-CABELL WV-KANAWHA WV-
722 AM EDT THU JUN 23 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 745 AM EDT
FOR LAWRENCE...SOUTHEASTERN BOYD...SOUTHWESTERN PUTNAM...NORTHWESTERN
MINGO...WAYNE...NORTHWESTERN BOONE...LINCOLN...NORTHWESTERN LOGAN...
CABELL AND WEST CENTRAL KANAWHA COUNTIES...

AT 721 AM EDT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM NEAR MILTON TO NEAR CULVER...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 45
MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
NITRO...MADISON...LOUISA...WAYNE...HAMLIN...BLAINE...
BEECH FORK STATE PARK...YATESVILLE LAKE STATE PARK...
SOUTH CHARLESTON...ST. ALBANS...HURRICANE...BARBOURSVILLE...MILTON...
CHAPMANVILLE...FORT GAY...DURBIN...ULYSSES...KIAHSVILLE...
CENTERVILLE AND CHARLEY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

CONTINUOUS CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS.
MOVE INDOORS IMMEDIATELY. LIGHTNING IS ONE OF NATURE'S LEADING
KILLERS. REMEMBER...IF YOU CAN HEAR THUNDER...YOU ARE CLOSE ENOUGH TO
BE STRUCK BY LIGHTNING.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

PLEASE REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY
CALLING TOLL FREE...800 401 9535...WHEN YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY.

YOU MAY ALSO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER BY POSTING YOUR REPORT TO THE
CHARLESTON WEST VIRGINIA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FACEBOOK PAGE...OR
BY USING THE TWITTER HASHTAG...NWSRLX.

&&

LAT...LON 3804 8300 3811 8289 3817 8292 3851 8210
      3848 8206 3853 8206 3855 8200 3820 8161
      3784 8212 3776 8231 3790 8244 3796 8253
      3795 8258 3788 8262 3800 8294 3797 8301
TIME...MOT...LOC 1121Z 317DEG 37KT 3848 8217 3805 8301 

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

17

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Charleston WV
359 AM EDT THU JUN 23 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
Thunderstorm complex rolls through early this morning. Approaching
cold front triggers more thunderstorms later today. It and low
pressure center cross Friday. High pressure for the weekend.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
Thunderstorms along warm front across northern tier of forecast
area early this morning while western portion of thunderstorm
complex over Ohio rolls across WV. Severe thunderstorm watch in
effect given nocturnal cape, very strong shear / inflow.

Outflow boundaries and cool pool left in its wake later this
morning will impact where afternoon convection gets going as cold
front approaches from the northwest. Another round of severe
weather is likely especially where surface heating could be
maximized given strong shear remains in place.

The flash flood watch remains in affect given the high rainfall
rates in widespread convection.

The cold front and Low pressure center cross later tonight and
even beyond, with fog and low stratus likely becoming widespread
overnight as flow diminishes in the wake of the widespread rain.

Temperatures will be a strong function of the convection today,
but lows tonight looked to be a little higher than inherited on
account of slower progress of low pressure center and cold front.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Have several features to track during the short term period. The
first is a pesky surface low and attached cold front which will be
over the CWA to begin the period. Brief high pressure will follow
this followed by a warm front late in the period as a surface low
moves across south central Canada.

Increased POPs with surface low and cold front Friday into Friday
night, as models continue to slow its departure. NAM and GFS try to
show some QPF across the mountains Saturday in the lingering
moisture and a weak 500mb shortwave trough moving through. However,
kept things dry for now on Saturday, thinking the moisture will be
too shallow for precipitation and weak surface high pressure should
be moving through.

That surface high is already headed out by Sunday, with moisture on
the increase and a warm front lifting through the Ohio River valley.
Added some slight chance POPs and increased clouds on Sunday to
account for this. With the increase in clouds, also lowered the high
on Sunday several degrees. Stayed on the warm side of guidance with
afternoon highs in the low 90s across the lowlands though.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Starting on Monday...used a blend of the ECMWF ensemble mean and
the GEFS mean. This would have a cold front slowly approaching
from the west on Monday and Tuesday...with showers and
thunderstorms developing over the region in advance of the front.
The cold front would then push through on Wednesday.

&&

.AVIATION /08Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
A convective complex over Indiana and Ohio will move across WV
overnight and should at some point impact most TAF sites. The main
effect of the storms will be heavy rainfall with IFr conditions at
times, but very strong wind gusts and hail are also possible.
There should be a lull later Thursday morning before another round
of thunderstorms impacts the area Thursday Afternoon into Thursday
evening with similar effects, as a cold front approaches the area.

Southwest surface flow will become a bit gusty even outside
thunderstorms Thursday and then diminish Thursday night. Moderate
to strong west flow aloft through Thursday will diminish a bit
Thursday night.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS THROUGH 06Z FRIDAY...

FORECAST CONFIDENCE: LOW.

ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: Timing of changing conditions associated
with thunderstorms will vary.

EXPERIMENTAL TABLE OF FLIGHT CATEGORY OBJECTIVELY SHOWS CONSISTENCY
OF WFO FORECAST TO AVAILABLE MODEL INFORMATION:
H = HIGH:   TAF CONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
M = MEDIUM: TAF HAS VARYING LEVEL OF CONSISTENCY WITH MODELS.
L = LOW:    TAF INCONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.

DATE                    THU 06/23/16
UTC 1HRLY       08   09   10   11   12   13   14   15   16   17   18   19
EDT 1HRLY       04   05   06   07   08   09   10   11   12   13   14   15
CRW CONSISTENCY  M    L    L    L    M    M    M    M    M    M    M    M
HTS CONSISTENCY  M    L    L    L    M    H    H    H    H    H    H    M
BKW CONSISTENCY  H    M    M    L    M    H    H    H    H    H    H    H
EKN CONSISTENCY  M    L    L    L    L    L    L    L    M    M    M    H
PKB CONSISTENCY  L    L    L    M    M    M    M    M    M    M    M    H
CKB CONSISTENCY  L    L    L    L    L    L    L    M    M    M    H    H

AFTER 06Z FRIDAY...
IFR possible in lingering showers and thunderstorms 06z Friday to
12z Friday. Low stratus ceilings forming in the moist/saturated
low levels could linger Friday morning.

&&

.RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WV...Flash Flood Watch through this afternoon for WVZ005>011-
     013>020-024>040-046-047.
OH...Flash Flood Watch through this afternoon for OHZ066-067-075-
     076-083>087.
KY...Flash Flood Watch through this afternoon for KYZ101>103-105.
VA...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...TRM/MZ
NEAR TERM...TRM
SHORT TERM...MZ
LONG TERM...RPY
AVIATION...TRM

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
409 PM EDT WED JUN 22 2016

OHZ066-067-075-076-083>086-WVZ007>011-014>020-027>032-039-040-232015-
PERRY-MORGAN-ATHENS-WASHINGTON-JACKSON OH-VINTON-MEIGS-GALLIA-MASON-
JACKSON WV-WOOD-PLEASANTS-TYLER-PUTNAM-KANAWHA-ROANE-WIRT-CALHOUN-
RITCHIE-DODDRIDGE-CLAY-BRAXTON-GILMER-LEWIS-HARRISON-TAYLOR-UPSHUR-
BARBOUR-
409 PM EDT WED JUN 22 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING THROUGH
THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST OHIO
AND MUCH OF WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

IN ADDITION...NUMEROUS SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT.
THE GREATEST THREAT FROM THESE STORMS WILL BE WIDESPREAD WIND
DAMAGE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

THERE IS ALSO A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
 CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

KYZ101>103-105-OHZ087-WVZ005-006-013-232015-
GREENUP-CARTER-BOYD-LAWRENCE KY-LAWRENCE OH-WAYNE-CABELL-LINCOLN-
409 PM EDT WED JUN 22 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST KENTUCKY...PORTIONS
OF SOUTHEAST OHIO...AND PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN WEST VIRGINIA AND
WESTERN WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

NUMEROUS SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT. THE GREATEST
THREAT FROM THESE STORMS WILL BE WIDESPREAD WIND DAMAGE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY INTO
THURSDAY NIGHT. AN EXCESSIVE RAINFALL THREAT MAY ALSO DEVELOP.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
 CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

WVZ036>038-046-047-232015-
FAYETTE-NICHOLAS-WEBSTER-POCAHONTAS-RANDOLPH-
409 PM EDT WED JUN 22 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING THROUGH
THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL WEST
VIRGINIA...NORTHERN WEST VIRGINIA AND SOUTHERN WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

IN ADDITION...SCATTERED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE
TONIGHT. THE GREATEST THREAT FROM THESE STORMS WILL BE WIND
DAMAGE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

THERE IS ALSO A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
 CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

VAZ003-004-WVZ024>026-033>035-232015-
DICKENSON-BUCHANAN-MINGO-LOGAN-BOONE-MCDOWELL-WYOMING-RALEIGH-
409 PM EDT WED JUN 22 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND
PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

IN ADDITION...SCATTERED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TONIGHT.
THE GREATEST THREAT FROM THESE STORMS WILL BE WIND DAMAGE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THURSDAY INTO
THURSDAY NIGHT. AN EXCESSIVE RAINFALL THREAT MAY ALSO DEVELOP.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER SPOTTERS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
 CONDITIONS ACCORDING TO STANDARD OPERATING PROCEDURES.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
609 AM EDT THU JUN 23 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0607 AM     FLASH FLOOD      WESTON                  39.04N  80.47W
06/23/2016                   LEWIS              WV   911 CALL CENTER

            WILLOW STREET IN WESTON HAD BEEN CLOSED DUE TO
            FLOODING... HAS NOW BEEN REOPENED.

&&

EVENT NUMBER RLX1601062

MZ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
613 AM EDT THU JUN 23 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0613 AM     FLASH FLOOD      AUBURN                  39.10N  80.86W
06/23/2016                   RITCHIE            WV   911 CALL CENTER

            WATER CURRENTLY RISING IN AUBURN... HOMES SURROUNDED BY
            WATER.

&&

EVENT NUMBER RLX1601063

MZ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
626 AM EDT THU JUN 23 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0515 AM     TSTM WND DMG     3 SW KENNA              38.65N  81.70W
06/23/2016                   JACKSON            WV   EMERGENCY MNGR

            SINGLE WIDE TRAILER KNOCKED OFF ITS FOUNDATION ON
            BLACKBERRY LANE OFF YOUNG HOLLOW RD . MANY TREES DOWN IN
            THE AREA INCLUDING SOME BLOCKING RT 21 AT YOUNG HOLLOW
            RD.

&&

EVENT NUMBER RLX1601064

TRM

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
629 AM EDT THU JUN 23 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0550 AM     TSTM WND DMG     COWEN                   38.41N  80.56W
06/23/2016                   WEBSTER            WV   EMERGENCY MNGR

            MULTIPLE TREES DOWN IN COWEN. REPORT OF LARGE TREE INTO
            A HOUSE.

&&

EVENT NUMBER RLX1601065

KMC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
631 AM EDT THU JUN 23 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0550 AM     TSTM WND DMG     DIANA                   38.57N  80.46W
06/23/2016                   WEBSTER            WV   EMERGENCY MNGR

            LARGE LIMBS DOWN ALONG ROUTE 20 IN DIANNA. POWER OUTAGE
            AT DIANA

&&

EVENT NUMBER RLX1601066

KMC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
657 AM EDT THU JUN 23 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0443 AM     TSTM WND DMG     2 ESE CAMDEN            39.05N  80.52W
06/23/2016                   LEWIS              WV   911 CALL CENTER

            TREES DOWN ALONG ROUTE 33 IN PRICETOWN.

&&

EVENT NUMBER RLX1601067

MZ