Areal Flood Warning 21, NWS Charleston, WV

766 
WGUS81 KRLX 240016
FLSRLX

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
816 PM EDT THU JUN 23 2016

WVC007-041-075-083-097-101-240026-
/O.CAN.KRLX.FA.W.0021.000000T0000Z-160624T0030Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
POCAHONTAS WV-RANDOLPH WV-UPSHUR WV-LEWIS WV-BRAXTON WV-WEBSTER WV-
816 PM EDT THU JUN 23 2016

...THE FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR CENTRAL POCAHONTAS...
RANDOLPH...UPSHUR...SOUTHEASTERN LEWIS...EAST CENTRAL BRAXTON AND
NORTHEASTERN WEBSTER COUNTIES...

THE HEAVY RAIN HAS ENDED...AND FLOODING IS NO LONGER EXPECTED TO POSE
A THREAT.

LAT...LON 3869 7960 3866 7960 3867 7962 3862 7962
      3858 7966 3852 7966 3815 7993 3866 8058
      3911 8024 3909 8017 3904 8013 3904 8005
      3898 8005 3895 8008 3897 7990 3900 7989
      3878 7951

$$

KISTNER

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Charleston WV
307 PM EDT THU JUN 23 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
Cold front triggers more severe thunderstorms this evening. It
and low pressure center cross Friday. High pressure for the
weekend. Another cold front early next week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Significant weather ahead for this afternoon. On going
thunderstorms this morning has caused numerous flooding issues
throughout the region and that threat will persist into this
evening in moisture rich air mass. Shortwave trough is pushing
southward...currently over Northern Ohio and will kick off severe
thunderstorms...supercells...with damaging winds...large
hail...and even a few tornadoes is likely this afternoon into this
evening. Breaks in the clouds has allowed for heating across the
southern half of the forecast area and CAPE values in the order of
2000 J/KG. 0-6km wind shear near 50kts and 0-1km Storm Relative
Helicity over 200 m^2/s^2 suggest that supercells are likely with
tornadoes possible. SPC Sig Tor parameter of 2 across our Southern
Forecast counties suggest that a strong longer lived tornado (EF2
and up) could be a possibility...and areas where remaining outflow
boundaries are from morning convection will be a prime location
for a spin up. However...it should be noted that the main threat
today will be large hail and damaging winds...as well as severe
flooding.

Storms will start to wind down later tonight but showers may
linger until after midnight. Widespread fog will develop as skies
clear...winds go light and dense fog is likely in some areas due
to all the rainfall that today.

Conditions will be much improved tomorrow end our string of severe
weather.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Any remaining showers/thunderstorms should dissipate Friday
evening as a high pressure system builds into the area. This high
will remain for Saturday into Sunday. Some moisture in advance of
the next cold front could arrive late Sunday...so can not rule out
a few showers or thunderstorms late in the day.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Used an ECMWF and GFS blend for Sunday night into Monday. Then
added ECMWF ensemble mean and GEFS mean for Tuesday...relying even
more on the means for Wednesday and Thursday. This would have
moisture in advance of the next front for Sunday night...with a
weak front pushing through on Monday. A stronger front would then
move through on Tuesday...but with less moisture available. High
pressure will then build in behind the front on Wednesday. Another
system arrives late Thursday.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Afternoon heating and the approach of a cold front is starting to
kick off more thunderstorms across the area and these storms will
persist into the evening hours. There may again be several lines
of convection, making timing very difficult.

the showers and thunderstorms should wane tonight, with lingering
showers in its wake, and fog and stratus forming overnight could
bring IFR conditions to most locations.

FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY...

FORECAST CONFIDENCE: LOW.

ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: Timing of changing conditions associated
with thunderstorms will vary. Fog and stratus formation overnight
tonight may vary.

EXPERIMENTAL TABLE OF FLIGHT CATEGORY OBJECTIVELY SHOWS CONSISTENCY
OF WFO FORECAST TO AVAILABLE MODEL INFORMATION:
H = HIGH:   TAF CONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
M = MEDIUM: TAF HAS VARYING LEVEL OF CONSISTENCY WITH MODELS.
L = LOW:    TAF INCONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.

UTC 1HRLY       18   19   20   21   22   23   00   01   02   03   04   05
EDT 1HRLY       14   15   16   17   18   19   20   21   22   23   00   01
CRW CONSISTENCY  M    M    M    M    M    M    M    H    H    H    H    M
HTS CONSISTENCY  M    M    M    M    M    M    H    H    H    H    H    M
BKW CONSISTENCY  M    H    M    M    M    M    H    H    M    M    M    M
EKN CONSISTENCY  M    H    M    M    H    H    H    H    H    M    M    L
PKB CONSISTENCY  M    M    M    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    H    M
CKB CONSISTENCY  H    H    M    M    M    H    H    H    H    M    M    M

AFTER 18Z FRIDAY...
IFR possible in stratus and fog Friday morning.

&&

.RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WV...Flash Flood Watch until midnight EDT tonight for WVZ005>011-
     013>020-024>040-046-047.
OH...Flash Flood Watch until midnight EDT tonight for OHZ066-067-
     075-076-083>087.
KY...Flash Flood Watch until midnight EDT tonight for KYZ101>103-
     105.
VA...Flash Flood Watch until midnight EDT tonight for VAZ003-004.

&&

SYNOPSIS...RPY/MPK
NEAR TERM...MPK
SHORT TERM...RPY
LONG TERM...RPY
AVIATION...MPK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
304 PM EDT THU JUN 23 2016

KYZ101>103-105-OHZ075-083>087-VAZ003-004-WVZ005>009-013>018-024>029-
033>037-241915-
GREENUP-CARTER-BOYD-LAWRENCE KY-ATHENS-JACKSON OH-VINTON-MEIGS-
GALLIA-LAWRENCE OH-DICKENSON-BUCHANAN-WAYNE-CABELL-MASON-JACKSON WV-
WOOD-LINCOLN-PUTNAM-KANAWHA-ROANE-WIRT-CALHOUN-MINGO-LOGAN-BOONE-
CLAY-BRAXTON-GILMER-MCDOWELL-WYOMING-RALEIGH-FAYETTE-NICHOLAS-
304 PM EDT THU JUN 23 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT...
...TORNADO WATCH 289 IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST KENTUCKY...PORTIONS
OF SOUTHEAST OHIO...SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND MUCH OF WEST VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   TORNADO WATCH.
   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

OHZ066-067-076-WVZ010-011-019-020-030>032-038>040-046-047-241915-
PERRY-MORGAN-WASHINGTON-PLEASANTS-TYLER-RITCHIE-DODDRIDGE-LEWIS-
HARRISON-TAYLOR-WEBSTER-UPSHUR-BARBOUR-POCAHONTAS-RANDOLPH-
304 PM EDT THU JUN 23 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
OHIO...AND PORTIONS OF CENTRAL WEST VIRGINIA AND NORTHERN WEST
VIRGINIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

KISTNER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
549 PM EDT THU JUN 23 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0535 PM     FLASH FLOOD      2 NW AMMA               38.59N  81.29W
06/23/2016                   ROANE              WV   PUBLIC

            CREEKS NEAR CLIO HAVE OVERFLOWED BANKS. CREEK AT ANDES
            RUN AT 3 FEET.

&&

EVENT NUMBER RLX1601099

MEC

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
600 PM EDT THU JUN 23 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0558 PM     FLASH FLOOD      1 NE RUSH               38.34N  82.77W
06/23/2016                   BOYD               KY   911 CALL CENTER

            STATE RTE 854 AT 1654 DOWNTOWN AND BETWEEN THE ADDRESS
            15627 AND THE 16000 BLOCK

&&

EVENT NUMBER RLX1601100

MEC

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
606 PM EDT THU JUN 23 2016

WVZ025-026-034-035-232245-
BOONE-LOGAN-WYOMING-RALEIGH-
606 PM EDT THU JUN 23 2016

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT CENTRAL RALEIGH...SOUTHEASTERN
BOONE...SOUTHEASTERN LOGAN AND CENTRAL WYOMING COUNTIES...

AT 605 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 7 MILES NORTHWEST
OF AMHERSTDALE-ROBINETTE...OR 7 MILES EAST OF LOGAN...MOVING
SOUTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

WIND GUSTS OF 50 TO 55 MPH AND DIME SIZE HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
PINEVILLE...MULLENS...OCEANA...SOPHIA...SHADY SPRING...WHARTON...
BALD KNOB...CRAB ORCHARD...TWIN FALLS STATE PARK...COAL CITY...
AMHERSTDALE-ROBINETTE...MACARTHUR...DANIELS...BEAVER...MALLORY...
LESTER...RHODELL...HERNDON...JOSEPHINE AND NAOMA.

THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING HIGHWAYS...
 WEST VIRGINIA TURNPIKE BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 28 AND 41.
 INTERSTATE 64 IN WEST VIRGINIA BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 120 AND 121.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY CAUSE
LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO
STATIONS AND AVAILABLE TELEVISION STATIONS FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 3779 8189 3786 8179 3798 8176 3767 8101
      3764 8107 3761 8106 3759 8109 3760 8114
      3758 8120 3754 8120 3751 8121 3750 8126
      3748 8127 3746 8131
TIME...MOT...LOC 2205Z 304DEG 40KT 3787 8185

23

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
626 PM EDT THU JUN 23 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0603 PM     FLASH FLOOD      3 SW AMMA               38.54N  81.30W
06/23/2016                   ROANE              WV   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            LANDSLIDE ON I-79 AT MILE MARKER 23. TRACTOR TRAILER
            REPORTEDLY DAMAGED

&&

EVENT NUMBER RLX1601101

MEC

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
646 PM EDT THU JUN 23 2016

WVZ024-025-033-034-232315-
LOGAN-MCDOWELL-MINGO-WYOMING-
646 PM EDT THU JUN 23 2016

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHEASTERN MINGO...
NORTHWESTERN MCDOWELL AND SOUTHWESTERN WYOMING COUNTIES...

AT 645 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER HINCH...OR 15
MILES SOUTH OF LOGAN...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

WIND GUSTS OF 50 TO 55 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM. THIS MAY BE
STRONG ENOUGH TO DOWN SMALL LIMBS AND WEAKLY ROOTED TREES.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
PINEVILLE...MAN...GILBERT CREEK...R.D. BAILEY LAKE...HANOVER...
HINCH...MALLORY...GILBERT...DAVY...IAEGER...CLEAR FORK...BRUNO...
WOLF PEN...AVONDALE...HAMPDEN...BAILEYSVILLE AND COAL MOUNTAIN.

LAT...LON 3751 8193 3752 8193 3751 8194 3753 8194
      3753 8197 3755 8197 3754 8198 3760 8206
      3775 8187 3756 8146 3736 8172
TIME...MOT...LOC 2245Z 304DEG 28KT 3763 8200

30

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON WV
719 PM EDT THU JUN 23 2016

OHZ086-087-WVZ006-007-232345-
LAWRENCE-GALLIA-MASON-CABELL-
719 PM EDT THU JUN 23 2016

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHEASTERN LAWRENCE AND
CENTRAL CABELL COUNTIES...

AT 719 PM EDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 9 MILES EAST OF
LAKE VESUVIUS...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH AND DIME SIZE HAIL ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS
STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
HUNTINGTON...PROCTORVILLE...BARBOURSVILLE...MILTON...ONA...AID...
CROWN CITY...ATHALIA...GREEN BOTTOM...PEA RIDGE AND SCOTTOWN.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 64 IN WEST VIRGINIA BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 14
AND 26.

LAT...LON 3858 8260 3872 8245 3851 8205 3851 8206
      3833 8226
TIME...MOT...LOC 2319Z 309DEG 30KT 3861 8245

CHARNICK