Alert archive / North Carolina / River Flood Warnings in 2016
River Flood Warning 15, NWS Raleigh, NC
NWS Raleigh, NC issued this river flood warning at Sep 29, 2016, 1:01 AM EDT for Cumberland County, North Carolina. It took effect at Sep 29, 2016, 4:10 AM EDT. It was in force for 3 days.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Sep 29, 2016, 1:01 AM EDT (05:01 UTC)
- In effect from
- Sep 29, 2016, 4:10 AM EDT
- Expired
- Oct 2, 2016, 2:57 PM EDT
- In force
- 3 days
- Issued by
- NWS Raleigh, NC
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Flood severity
- Minor
County Cumberland County, NC
The radar
The Raleigh/Durham radar (KRAX), 68 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 05:04 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The river
Written for the forecast point Little River at Manchester (MANN7).
- Action stage
- 16 ft
- Minor stage
- 18 ft
- Moderate stage
- 24 ft
- Major stage
- 27 ft
This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests
Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 02103000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.
The text
As transmitted.
057
WGUS42 KRAH 290501
FLWRAH
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH, NC
101 AM EDT THU SEP 29 2016
...The National Weather Service in Raleigh has issued a
Flood Warning for the following rivers in North Carolina...
Lower Little River At Manchester affecting Cumberland County
...Insert basis for warning (if desired) here...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.
&&
NCC051-291701-
/O.NEW.KRAH.FL.W.0015.160929T1030Z-160930T0359Z/
/MANN7.1.ER.160929T1030Z.160929T1200Z.160929T1559Z.NO/
101 AM EDT THU SEP 29 2016
The National Weather Service in Raleigh has issued a
* Flood Warning for
The Lower Little River At Manchester.
* from this morning to this evening, or until the warning is
cancelled.
* At 12:45 AM Thursday the stage was 17.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage by this
morning and continue to rise, cresting to near 18.2 feet around
daybreak. The river will fall below flood stage by late this
morning.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, Flood stage. Minor flood problems begin in
Fort Bragg near the water treatment plant.
&&
The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
Lower Little River
Manchester 18 17.3 Thu 01 AM 14.9 11.3 10.0 9.2
To convert the above stage readings to above mean sea level (ft), add
the following to the stage:
Manchester: 122.16
&&
LAT...LON 3524 7890 3522 7889 3517 7898 3516 7910
3519 7910 3521 7898
$$14 follow-up statements
259
WGUS42 KRAH 290814
FLWRAH
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH, NC
414 AM EDT THU SEP 29 2016
...Forecast flooding changed from Minor to Moderate severity for the
following rivers in North Carolina...
Lower Little River At Manchester affecting Cumberland County
...Four to Six inches of rain has fallen over the area during the past 12 hours...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.
&&
NCC051-292014-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0015.160929T0810Z-160930T1922Z/
/MANN7.2.ER.160929T0538Z.160929T1200Z.160930T0722Z.NO/
414 AM EDT THU SEP 29 2016
...Forecast flooding increased from Minor to Moderate severity...
The Flood Warning continues for
The Lower Little River At Manchester.
* until Friday afternoon, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 3:45 AM Thursday the stage was 22.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 26.3 feet by this
morning. The river will fall below flood stage tomorrow.
* Impact...At 27.0 feet, Major flood stage. The Starlite motel is
flooded and Manchester Road is closed.
&&
The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
Lower Little River
Manchester 18 22.4 Thu 04 AM 16.4 11.3 10.0 9.2
To convert the above stage readings to above mean sea level (ft), add
the following to the stage:
Manchester: 122.16
&&
LAT...LON 3524 7890 3522 7889 3517 7898 3516 7910
3519 7910 3521 7898
$$551
WGUS42 KRAH 290932
FLWRAH
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH, NC
532 AM EDT THU SEP 29 2016
...Forecast flooding changed from Major to near Record severity for the
following rivers in North Carolina...
Lower Little River At Manchester affecting Cumberland County
...Up to Eight Inches of Rain had Fallen across the Area...
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.
&&
NCC051-292132-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-160930T2158Z/
/MANN7.3.ER.160929T0538Z.160929T1200Z.160930T0958Z.NR/
532 AM EDT THU SEP 29 2016
...Observed flooding increased from Moderate to Major severity...
...Forecast flooding increased from Moderate to Near Record severity...
The Flood Warning continues for
The Lower Little River At Manchester.
* At 5:15 AM Thursday the stage was 28.5 feet.
* Major flood stage is 27.0 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and will continue this morning.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 39 feet this
morning. The river will fall below flood stage tomorrow.
* Impact...At 30.0 feet, Water reaches the base of the Bragg Blvd (Hwy
24/87) bridge across the Little River.
* Impact...At 37.0 feet, Water reaches the road level on the Bragg Blvd
(Hwy 24/87) over the Little River. Many local businesses will be flooded.
&&
The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
Lower Little River
Manchester 18 28.5 Thu 05 AM 16.4 11.3 10.0 9.2
To convert the above stage readings to above mean sea level (ft), add
the following to the stage:
############DELETE STATIONS BELOW THAT ARE NOT APPLICABLE##########
Manchester: 122.16
&&
LAT...LON 3524 7890 3522 7889 3517 7898 3516 7910
3519 7910 3521 7898
$$633
WGUS82 KRAH 291327
FLSRAH
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
927 AM EDT THU SEP 29 2016
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North
Carolina...
Lower Little River At Manchester affecting Cumberland County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.
&&
NCC051-300127-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-161003T0834Z/
/MANN7.3.ER.160929T0538Z.160929T1800Z.161002T2034Z.NR/
927 AM EDT THU SEP 29 2016
The Flood Warning continues for the Lower Little River At Manchester.
* At 9:15 AM Thursday the stage was 31.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Record flooding is occurring is forecast to continue through this
afternoon as the river is forecast to rise to near 33 feet.
* Forecast...The river will fall below flood stage Sunday afternoon.
* Impact...At 28.0 feet, Flooding reaches the road surface of the
Manchester Road bridge. The Starlite motel is flooded and Manchester
Road is closed. At 30.0 feet, Water reaches the base of the Bragg
Blvd (Hwy 24/87) bridge across the Little River.
&&
The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
Lower Little River
Manchester 18 31.0 Thu 09 AM 28.2 22.4 19.1 16.3 14.3
To convert the above stage readings to above mean sea level (ft), add
the following to the stage:
Manchester: 122.16
&&
LAT...LON 3524 7890 3522 7889 3517 7898 3516 7910
3519 7910 3521 7898
$$410
WGUS82 KRAH 292017
FLSRAH
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
417 PM EDT THU SEP 29 2016
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North
Carolina...
Lower Little River At Manchester affecting Cumberland County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.
&&
NCC051-300817-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-161003T1000Z/
/MANN7.3.ER.160929T0538Z.160929T1500Z.161002T2200Z.NR/
417 PM EDT THU SEP 29 2016
The Flood Warning continues for the Lower Little River At Manchester.
* At 3:45 PM Thursday the stage was 30.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Record flooding is occurring and is forecast to continue this evening.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by
Sunday evening.
* Impact...At 28.0 feet, flooding reaches the road surface of the
Manchester Road bridge. At 30.0 feet, water reaches the base of
the Bragg Blvd (Hwy 24/87) bridge across the Little River.
&&
The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
Lower Little River
Manchester 18 30.0 Thu 04 PM 27.8 22.4 19.1 16.3 14.3
To convert the above stage readings to above mean sea level (ft), add
the following to the stage:
Manchester: 122.16
&&
LAT...LON 3524 7890 3522 7889 3517 7898 3516 7910
3519 7910 3521 7898
$$081
WGUS82 KRAH 300123
FLSRAH
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
923 PM EDT THU SEP 29 2016
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North
Carolina...
Lower Little River At Manchester affecting Cumberland County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.
&&
NCC051-301323-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-161002T1040Z/
/MANN7.3.ER.160929T0538Z.160929T1500Z.161001T2240Z.NR/
923 PM EDT THU SEP 29 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
the Lower Little River At Manchester.
* At 9:00 PM Thursday the stage was 28.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by
Saturday evening.
* Impact...At 28.0 feet, Flooding reaches the road surface of the
Manchester Road bridge.
* Impact...At 27.0 feet, Major flood stage. The Starlite motel is
flooded and Manchester Road is closed.
&&
The following are the latest observations and 8 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8 AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
Lower Little River
Manchester 18 28.5 Thu 09 PM 25.7 19.6 16.1 13.6 12.0
To convert the above stage readings to above mean sea level (ft), add
the following to the stage: 122.16
&&
LAT...LON 3524 7890 3522 7889 3517 7898 3516 7910
3519 7910 3521 7898
$$811
WGUS82 KRAH 300821
FLSRAH
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
421 AM EDT FRI SEP 30 2016
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North
Carolina...
Lower Little River At Manchester affecting Cumberland County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.
&&
NCC051-302021-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-161002T1100Z/
/MANN7.3.ER.160929T0538Z.160929T1500Z.161001T2300Z.NR/
421 AM EDT FRI SEP 30 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
the Lower Little River At Manchester.
* At 4:00 AM Friday the stage was 26.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by
tomorrow evening.
* Impact...At 27.0 feet, Major flood stage. The Starlite motel is
flooded and Manchester Road is closed.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet, Water reaches the base of the Manchester Road
bridge and the foundation of the Starlite motel at the intersection
of Manchester Road and Bragg Blvd (Hwy 24/87).
* Impact...At 24.0 feet, Moderate flood stage. Manchester Road is
flooded.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet, Minor flooding begins on Manchester Road near
the Fort Bragg water treatment plant.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, Flood stage. Minor flood problems begin in
Fort Bragg near the water treatment plant.
&&
The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
Lower Little River
Manchester 18 26.8 Fri 04 AM 25.5 19.2 16.9 14.9 13.3
To convert the above stage readings to above mean sea level (ft), add
the following to the stage:
Manchester: 122.16
&&
LAT...LON 3524 7890 3522 7889 3517 7898 3516 7910
3519 7910 3521 7898
$$005
WGUS82 KRAH 301402
FLSRAH
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1002 AM EDT FRI SEP 30 2016
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North
Carolina...
Lower Little River At Manchester affecting Cumberland County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.
&&
NCC051-010202-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-161002T2120Z/
/MANN7.3.ER.160929T0538Z.160929T1500Z.161002T0920Z.NR/
1002 AM EDT FRI SEP 30 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
the Lower Little River At Manchester.
* At 9:45 AM Friday the stage was 25.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by
Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet, Water reaches the base of the Manchester Road
bridge and the foundation of the Starlite motel at the intersection
of Manchester Road and Bragg Blvd (Hwy 24/87).
* Impact...At 24.0 feet, Moderate flood stage. Manchester Road is
flooded.
&&
The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8 AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
Lower Little River
Manchester 18 25.6 Fri 10 AM 21.0 17.6 15.0 13.4 12.4
To convert the above stage readings to above mean sea level (ft), add
the following to the stage: 122.16
&&
LAT...LON 3524 7890 3522 7889 3517 7898 3516 7910
3519 7910 3521 7898
$$
26149
WGUS82 KRAH 010117
FLSRAH
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
917 PM EDT FRI SEP 30 2016
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North
Carolina...
Lower Little River At Manchester affecting Cumberland County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.
&&
NCC051-011317-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-161003T0645Z/
/MANN7.3.ER.160929T0538Z.160929T1500Z.161002T1845Z.NR/
917 PM EDT FRI SEP 30 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
the Lower Little River At Manchester.
* At 9:00 PM Friday the stage was 24.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by
Sunday early afternoon.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet, Water reaches the base of the Manchester Road
bridge and the foundation of the Starlite motel at the intersection
of Manchester Road and Bragg Blvd (Hwy 24/87).
* Impact...At 24.0 feet, Moderate flood stage. Manchester Road is
flooded.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet, Minor flooding begins on Manchester Road near
the Fort Bragg water treatment plant.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, Flood stage. Minor flood problems begin in
Fort Bragg near the water treatment plant.
&&
The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
Lower Little River
Manchester 18 24.4 Fri 09 PM 18.9 16.2 14.6 13.5
To convert the above stage readings to above mean sea level (ft), add
the following to the stage:
Manchester: 122.16
&&
LAT...LON 3524 7890 3522 7889 3517 7898 3516 7910
3519 7910 3521 7898
$$
KDS551
WGUS82 KRAH 011011
FLSRAH
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
611 AM EDT SAT OCT 1 2016
...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in North
Carolina...
Cape Fear River At Fayetteville affecting Cumberland County
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North
Carolina...
Lower Little River At Manchester affecting Cumberland County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.
&&
NCC051-012211-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-161003T1727Z/
/MANN7.3.ER.160929T0538Z.160929T1500Z.161003T0527Z.NR/
611 AM EDT SAT OCT 1 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
the Lower Little River At Manchester.
* At 5:45 AM Saturday the stage was 24.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by
early Monday morning.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet, Water reaches the base of the Manchester Road
bridge and the foundation of the Starlite motel at the intersection
of Manchester Road and Bragg Blvd (Hwy 24/87).
* Impact...At 24.0 feet, Moderate flood stage. Manchester Road is
flooded.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet, Minor flooding begins on Manchester Road near
the Fort Bragg water treatment plant.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, Flood stage. Minor flood problems begin in
Fort Bragg near the water treatment plant.
&&
The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Sun Mon Tue Wed
Lower Little River
Manchester 18 24.1 Sat 06 AM 22.0 17.1 14.6 13.2
To convert the above stage readings to above mean sea level (ft), add
the following to the stage:
Manchester: 122.16
&&
LAT...LON 3524 7890 3522 7889 3517 7898 3516 7910
3519 7910 3521 7898
$$
NCC051-011041-
/O.CAN.KRAH.FL.W.0017.000000T0000Z-161001T1318Z/
/FAYN7.1.ER.160930T2110Z.160930T2345Z.161001T0200Z.NO/
611 AM EDT SAT OCT 1 2016
The Flood Warning is cancelled for
the Cape Fear River At Fayetteville.
* At 5:00 AM Saturday the stage was 34.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 35.0 feet.
* fell below flood stage at 10:00 PM Friday.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to 26.0 feet by tomorrow
morning.
* Impact...At 35.0 feet, Flood stage. The boat ramp and lower parking
lot at Riverside Bait and Tackle off Person Street are flooded. The
stage and lower seating area at the Cape Fear amphitheater are
flooded.
* Impact...At 32.0 feet, Action Stage. Banks begin to overflow.
&&
The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Sun Mon Tue Wed
Cape Fear
Fayetteville 35 34.2 Sat 05 AM 26.0 20.0 17.4 15.7
To convert the above stage readings to above mean sea level (ft), add
the following to the stage:
Fayetteville: 20.52
&&
LAT...LON 3525 7865 3511 7876 3485 7875 3485 7886
3514 7890 3526 7876
$$363
WGUS82 KRAH 011314
FLSRAH
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
914 AM EDT SAT OCT 1 2016
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North
Carolina...
Lower Little River At Manchester affecting Cumberland County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.
&&
NCC051-020114-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-161003T1134Z/
/MANN7.3.ER.160929T0538Z.160929T1500Z.161002T2334Z.NR/
914 AM EDT SAT OCT 1 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
the Lower Little River At Manchester.
* At 9:00 AM Saturday the stage was 24.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by
tomorrow evening.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet, Water reaches the base of the Manchester Road
bridge and the foundation of the Starlite motel at the intersection
of Manchester Road and Bragg Blvd (Hwy 24/87).
* Impact...At 24.0 feet, Moderate flood stage. Manchester Road is
flooded.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet, Minor flooding begins on Manchester Road near
the Fort Bragg water treatment plant.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, Flood stage. Minor flood problems begin in
Fort Bragg near the water treatment plant.
&&
The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu
Lower Little River
Manchester 18 24.0 Sat 09 AM 20.8 16.4 14.2 12.9 11.9
To convert the above stage readings to above mean sea level (ft), add
the following to the stage:
Manchester: 122.16
&&
LAT...LON 3524 7890 3522 7889 3517 7898 3516 7910
3519 7910 3521 7898
$$
KDS163
WGUS82 KRAH 020127
FLSRAH
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
927 PM EDT SAT OCT 1 2016
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North
Carolina..
Lower Little River At Manchester affecting Cumberland County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.
&&
NCC051-021327-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-161003T1134Z/
/MANN7.3.ER.160929T0538Z.160929T1500Z.161002T2334Z.NR/
927 PM EDT SAT OCT 1 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
the Lower Little River At Manchester.
* At 9:00 PM Saturday the stage was 22.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by
tomorrow evening.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet, Minor flooding occurs on Manchester Road near
the Fort Bragg water treatment plant.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, Flood stage. Minor flood problems begin in
Fort Bragg near the water treatment plant.
&&
The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 8 AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu
Lower Little River
Manchester 18 22.5 Sat 09 PM 20.8 16.4 14.2 12.9 11.9
To convert the above stage readings to above mean sea level (ft), add
the following to the stage: 122.16
&&
LAT...LON 3524 7890 3522 7889 3517 7898 3516 7910
3519 7910 3521 7898
$$
26752
WGUS82 KRAH 021019
FLSRAH
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
619 AM EDT SUN OCT 2 2016
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North
Carolina..
Lower Little River At Manchester affecting Cumberland County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.
&&
NCC051-022219-
/O.CON.KRAH.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-161003T1134Z/
/MANN7.3.ER.160929T0538Z.160929T1500Z.161002T2334Z.NR/
619 AM EDT SUN OCT 2 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
the Lower Little River At Manchester.
* At 6:00 AM Sunday the stage was 20.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
&&
The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Mon Tue Wed Thu
Lower Little River
Manchester 18 20.5 Sun 06 AM 16.4 14.2 12.9 11.9
To convert the above stage readings to above mean sea level (ft), add
the following to the stage:
Manchester: 122.16
&&
LAT...LON 3524 7890 3522 7889 3517 7898 3516 7910
3519 7910 3521 7898
$$702
WGUS82 KRAH 021338
FLSRAH
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
938 AM EDT SUN OCT 2 2016
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in North
Carolina...
Lower Little River At Manchester affecting Cumberland County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.
&&
NCC051-030138-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-161003T0800Z/
/MANN7.3.ER.160929T0538Z.160929T1500Z.161002T2000Z.NR/
938 AM EDT SUN OCT 2 2016
The Flood Warning continues for
the Lower Little River At Manchester.
* At 9:30 AM Sunday the stage was 19.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by
late this afternoon.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, Flood stage. Minor flood problems begin in
Fort Bragg near the water treatment plant.
&&
The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri
Lower Little River
Manchester 18 19.5 Sun 09 AM 15.7 14.1 12.5 11.7 10.9
To convert the above stage readings to above mean sea level (ft), add
the following to the stage:
Manchester: 122.16
&&
LAT...LON 3524 7890 3522 7889 3517 7898 3516 7910
3519 7910 3521 7898
$$
KDS059
WGUS82 KRAH 021857
FLSRAH
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
257 PM EDT SUN OCT 2 2016
...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in North
Carolina...
Lower Little River At Manchester affecting Cumberland County
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Safety message. If you encounter deep water while driving, do not
attempt to drive through. Turn around, dont drown.
&&
NCC051-021927-
/O.CAN.KRAH.FL.W.0015.000000T0000Z-161003T0800Z/
/MANN7.3.ER.160929T0538Z.160929T1500Z.161002T1747Z.NR/
257 PM EDT SUN OCT 2 2016
The Flood Warning is cancelled for
the Lower Little River At Manchester.
* At 2:30 PM Sunday the stage was 17.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* fell below flood stage at 1:47 PM Sunday.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to 15.7 feet by tomorrow
morning.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, Flood stage. Minor flood problems begin in
Fort Bragg near the water treatment plant.
&&
The following are the latest observations and 7 AM forecast stages
for the next several days.
FLD OBSERVED FORECAST 7 AM
LOCATION STG STG DAY TIME Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri
Lower Little River
Manchester 18 17.8 Sun 02 PM 15.7 14.1 12.5 11.7 10.9
To convert the above stage readings to above mean sea level (ft), add
the following to the stage:
Manchester: 122.16
&&
LAT...LON 3524 7890 3522 7889 3517 7898 3516 7910
3519 7910 3521 7898
$$
KDSWhat forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Raleigh, NC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Sep 28, 9:35 PM EDT, 3 hours 26 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Sep 28, 9:35 PM EDT, 3 hours 26 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Raleigh NC 935 PM EDT WED SEP 28 2016 .SYNOPSIS... A strong upper level low over the Great Lakes will drift southward through the Ohio valley tonight, stall over eastern Tennessee and Kentucky Thursday and Friday, then move back north through the Ohio valley and lower Great Lakes this weekend. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/... As of 935 PM Wednesday... Severe thunderstorm watch will expire at 1000 PM... Localized flash flooding continues a threat. We will allow the Severe Thunderstorm Watch to expire at 1000 PM. Parameters indicate stabilizing of the boundary layer while large scale lift arrives from the west. Additional severe threat should be localized and not widespread. However, the threat of additional flash flooding is increasing as training of storms continues in favored areas. Two areas of strong to severe thunderstorms continue through our region. One line was located SW to NE through the southern Piedmont into the Sandhills. The other was located from near Charlotte NE through the Triad region. Both of these lines have been problematic with flash flooding around or north of Fayetteville into Harnett County, and over Greensboro. Large hail has been the main severe weather hazard with both lines. It appears that the low level jet will increase with strong surface moisture convergence into central NC overnight. The two distinct lines of storms may merge into one line toward late evening or just after midnight. This would place the main severe and flash flood threats from the Triad to the Triangle overnight. Some areas have already had 1 to 3 inches of rain with locally 4 inches in Harnett and NW Cumberland Counties. The Triad is currently in line for additional very heavy rain with additional flash flooding appearing likely, especially east of Winston-Salem, with Greensboro to Burlington targeted at the moment. && .SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/... As of 120 PM Wednesday... Additional showers and storms with training moderate to heavy rain remains likely over Central NC Thu, with a gradual shift to the ENE on Fri. The powerful mid level low will continue to sit and spin over KY on Thu before drifting/wobbling slightly northward to IN on Fri, with lobes of DPVA sweeping through western and central NC, along/atop the very slow-moving north-south oriented cold/occluded surface frontal zone. PW values remain elevated (over 1.5") over all but the far west Thu, shifting to east of I-95 Fri, beneath nearly continuous bands of pronounced upper divergence. The WRF-ARW/NMM both start the day Thu with a band of convection bisecting the forecast area, drifting slowly eastward through the far eastern Piedmont and Coastal Plain through Fri, filling in with better coverage with time, with a cell motion that presents a threat for training and resultant localized flooding. Will retain, with minor tweaks, the overall pattern of the earlier forecast, with lower chance pops west and high pops in the central/eastern CWA Thu, trending lower WSW to ENE through Fri but remaining high in the far eastern/NE forecast area Fri, tapering off further Fri night. Temps both days will be held down by clouds/precip in the east and by lowering post-front thicknesses in the western CWA. Highs in the upper 70s to lower 80s Thu and in the mid 70s to lower 80s Fri, still slightly above seasonal normals. Lows 60-68 Thu night and 54- 65 Fri night. -GIH && .LONG TERM /Saturday through Wednesday/... As of 320 PM Wednesday... A few showers are likely to linger Sat into Sun in the eastern CWA, along and east of the frontal zone, but otherwise this period appears mostly dry. The large mid-upper low centered over IN early Sat will drift across lower MI and slowly fill through Sun before being drawn across the St. Lawrence Valley and Northeast states by a shortwave trough rotating around a northern Atlantic polar vortex. This, in conjunction with a large longwave trough shifting onto the West Coast and over the western CONUS, will gradually build ridging over the eastern CONUS heading into early next week. The surface front over the East will continue to ease eastward and wash out with a weakening low level wind field fostering frontolysis. A few mainly afternoon showers are possible along this diffuse frontal zone over the far eastern counties of NC early next week, but the PW will be quite low elsewhere with a lack of instability, and will keep the forecast mostly dry. Temps should hold a bit above normal through the period, following thickness trends, with highs mostly in the upper 70s and lower 80s, and lows in the upper 50s to mid 60s. Uncertainty grows during the middle of next week, with a lot of questions regarding the fate of what is now Tropical Storm Matthew, located north of Venezuela this afternoon. However, at this time, it appears that it will still be far from NC through Wed. Check with the National Hurricane Center for the latest on Matthew. -GIH && .AVIATION /00Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/... As of 830 PM Wednesday... Bands of showers and storms will continue to develop and edge EWD for the next several hours, before decreasing in coverage and intensity late tonight and early Thu. Sub-VFR conditions; hail mostly less than an inch in diameter; and gusty winds up to 30-35 kts will accompany the storms. In addition, a blanket of low (LIFR) stratus is expected to redevelop mainly over the Piedmont (INT/GSO/RDU) late tonight, before lifting and scattering to VFR with diurnal heating between 13-16Z Thu. That heating, in conjunction with lift supplied by a slow-moving wave of low pressure and associated frontal zone, will also cause showers and storms to increase in coverage and intensity once again by midday-early afternoon Thu. Outlook: Drier air is finally expected to filter into the region on Friday, leading to improved aviation conditions through the weekend. && .RAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && SYNOPSIS...Badgett NEAR TERM...Badgett SHORT TERM...Hartfield LONG TERM...Hartfield AVIATION...MWS/BS
Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 28, 9:58 PM EDT, 3 hours 3 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC 958 PM EDT WED SEP 28 2016 NCZ007>011-021>028-038>043-073>078-083>086-088-089-300200- PERSON-GRANVILLE-VANCE-WARREN-HALIFAX-FORSYTH-GUILFORD-ALAMANCE- ORANGE-DURHAM-FRANKLIN-NASH-EDGECOMBE-DAVIDSON-RANDOLPH-CHATHAM-WAKE- JOHNSTON-WILSON-STANLY-MONTGOMERY-MOORE-LEE-HARNETT-WAYNE-ANSON- RICHMOND-SCOTLAND-HOKE-CUMBERLAND-SAMPSON- 958 PM EDT WED SEP 28 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA. .DAY ONE...TONIGHT. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT ACROSS CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA. 1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN IS EXPECTED IN AREAS WHERE TRAINING OF THE HEAVIEST RAIN OCCURS. FLASH FLOODING IS POSSIBLE. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTERS SHOULD REPORT FLOODING TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE. PWB
In the hours before
Local storm report, Sep 28, 9:37 PM EDT, 3 hours 24 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
937 PM EDT WED SEP 28 2016
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0930 PM FLOOD 3 SSW ROCKFISH 34.95N 79.09W
09/28/2016 HOKE NC 911 CALL CENTER
FLOODING REPORTED NEAR HOMES ON MCCLEAN LOOP
RD AND ARABIA RD.
&&
SECLocal storm report, Sep 28, 10:00 PM EDT, 3 hours 1 minute before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1000 PM EDT WED SEP 28 2016
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0930 PM FLOOD 1 NNE BURLINGTON 36.10N 79.44W
09/28/2016 ALAMANCE NC EMERGENCY MNGR
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT AND POLICE DEPARTMENT
REPORTED CONTINUED HIGH WATER WITH SOME ROAD
CLOSURES IN BURLINGTON.
&&
SECLocal storm report, Sep 28, 10:23 PM EDT, 2 hours 38 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1023 PM EDT WED SEP 28 2016
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1020 PM FLOOD 2 SE FAYETTEVILLE 35.06N 78.88W
09/28/2016 CUMBERLAND NC 911 CALL CENTER
MULTIPLE REPORTS OF FLOODING AROUND
FAYETTEVILLE, INCLUDING AT CROSS CREEK MALL,
BARTONS LANDING, AND CLIFFDALE. MCCORMICK
BRIDGE IMPASSABLE.
&&
SECLocal storm report, Sep 28, 10:24 PM EDT, 2 hours 37 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1024 PM EDT WED SEP 28 2016
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1020 PM FLOOD 3 NE GODWIN 35.24N 78.63W
09/28/2016 CUMBERLAND NC 911 CALL CENTER
FLOODING REPORTED ON I-95 NEAR THE HARNETT
CO LINE. .
&&
SECLocal storm report, Sep 28, 10:56 PM EDT, 2 hours 5 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1056 PM EDT WED SEP 28 2016
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1030 PM FLOOD 1 E PLEASANT GROVE 36.19N 79.31W
09/28/2016 ALAMANCE NC BROADCAST MEDIA
VIEWER REPORTED 14 FOOT HOLE ON TANGLE RIDGE
TRAIL CAUSED BY FLOODING.
&&
NWS RALEIGH NC
IRIS SYSTEMSpecial weather statement, Sep 28, 11:29 PM EDT, 1 hour 32 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1129 PM EDT WED SEP 28 2016
NCZ008-024>026-040-041-290415-
WAKE NC-DURHAM NC-ORANGE NC-CHATHAM NC-FRANKLIN NC-
GRANVILLE NC-
1129 PM EDT WED SEP 28 2016
...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF WAKE...
DURHAM...SOUTHEASTERN ORANGE...EASTERN CHATHAM...WEST CENTRAL
FRANKLIN AND SOUTHERN GRANVILLE COUNTIES UNTIL 1215 AM EDT...
AT 1128 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A LINE OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR SILER CITY TO NEAR
GOLDSTON TO CARTHAGE. MOVEMENT WAS NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.
WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.
HEAVY RAIN AND MINOR FLOODING WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE
STORMS.
LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
RALEIGH...DURHAM...CARY...CHAPEL HILL...OXFORD...CREEDMOOR...
WAKE FOREST...GARNER...CARRBORO AND FUQUAY-VARINA.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN WILL QUICKLY REDUCE VISIBILITY AND RESULT IN
PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS...STANDING WATER IN LOW LYING
AREAS...AND MINOR FLOODING OF CREEKS...STREAMS...AND AREAS OF POOR
DRAINAGE.
&&
LAT...LON 3625 7851 3618 7851 3618 7849 3613 7848
3592 7840 3567 7851 3552 7870 3558 7891
3552 7897 3554 7899 3555 7903 3561 7907
3575 7903 3596 7909 3641 7855
TIME...MOT...LOC 0328Z 230DEG 31KT 3570 7936 3556 7933 3534 7941
26The office that day
Everything else NWS Raleigh, NC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 28, 8:02 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RAH | Cumberland | 58 min |
| Sep 28, 8:10 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RAH | Montgomery, Stanly | 65 min |
| Sep 28, 8:15 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | RAH | Alamance, Orange | 3 hr |
| Sep 28, 8:16 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RAH | Alamance, Randolph | 59 min |
| Sep 28, 8:28 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | RAH | Guilford | 3 hr |
| Sep 28, 9:11 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | RAH | Montgomery, Stanly | 3 hr |
| Sep 28, 9:30 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RAH | Cumberland | 60 min |
| Sep 28, 10:24 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | RAH | Chatham, Montgomery, Moore, Randolph | 3 hr |
| Sep 28, 11:27 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | RAH | Chatham, Harnett, Lee, Moore | 48 min |
| Sep 28, 11:29 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RAH | Durham, Granville, Wake | 46 min |
| Sep 29, 12:56 AM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | RAH | Anson, Harnett, Hoke, Lee, Moore, Richmond and 1 more | 3 hr |
| Sep 29, 1:47 AM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | RAH | Anson, Harnett, Hoke, Lee, Moore, Richmond and 1 more | 3 hr |
| Sep 29, 4:10 AM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | RAH | Cumberland, Hoke, Sampson, Scotland | 3 hr |
| Sep 29, 4:45 AM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | RAH | Harnett, Hoke, Moore, Richmond, Scotland | 4 hr |
| Sep 29, 5:00 AM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | RAH | Cumberland, Harnett, Hoke | 5 hr |
| Sep 29, 7:33 AM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | RAH | Sampson | 3 hr |
| Sep 29, 8:26 AM EDT | River Flood Warning | RAH | Chatham | 21 hr |
| Sep 29, 8:32 AM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | RAH | Edgecombe, Halifax, Nash, Wayne, Wilson | 3 hr |
| Sep 29, 8:38 AM EDT | Areal Flood Warning | RAH | Harnett, Hoke, Moore, Richmond, Scotland | 6 hr |
| Sep 29, 9:20 AM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | RAH | Wayne | 3 hr |
| Sep 29, 10:01 AM EDT | Flash Flood Watch | RAH | Cumberland, Edgecombe, Harnett, Hoke, Johnston, Lee and 6 more | 12 hr |
| Sep 29, 10:17 AM EDT | Areal Flood Warning | RAH | Cumberland, Harnett, Hoke, Sampson | 6 hr |
| Sep 29, 10:40 AM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | RAH | Cumberland, Harnett | 30 hr |
| Sep 29, 11:59 AM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | RAH | Cumberland, Hoke | 30 hr |
| Sep 29, 12:14 PM EDT | Areal Flood Advisory | RAH | Wayne | 3 hr |
| Sep 29, 1:21 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | RAH | Cumberland, Sampson | 6 hr |
| Sep 29, 4:14 PM EDT | Areal Flood Warning | RAH | Cumberland, Harnett, Hoke, Sampson | 6 hr |
| Sep 29, 6:48 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | RAH | Anson | 57 min |
| Sep 29, 7:18 PM EDT | Flash Flood Warning | RAH | Cumberland, Sampson | 24 hr |
Nearby
River Flood Warnings in North Carolina, 2016Every river flood warning in 2016
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.