Alert archive / North Carolina / Flash Flood Warnings in 2016

Flash Flood Warning 47, NWS Raleigh, NC

September 29, 2016Cumberland County, Hoke County, North Carolina

NWS Raleigh, NC issued this flash flood warning at Sep 29, 2016, 11:59 AM EDT for Cumberland County, Hoke County, North Carolina. It was in force for 30 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Sep 29, 2016, 11:59 AM EDT (15:59 UTC)
Expired
Sep 30, 2016, 5:45 PM EDT
In force
30 hr
Issued by
NWS Raleigh, NC
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Unknown

Counties Cumberland County, NC, Hoke County, NC

The radar

The Raleigh/Durham radar (KRAX), 93 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:02 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), launched 12:00Z, 4.0 hours before the alert went out and 145 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 12:00Z on 2016-09-29Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 174 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 12:00Z on 2016-09-29The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 82 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
174 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-84 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
686 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
53 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
82 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
165 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

039 
WGUS52 KRAH 291559
FFWRAH
NCC051-093-292145-
/O.NEW.KRAH.FF.W.0047.160929T1559Z-160929T2145Z/
/00000.U.DM.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1159 AM EDT THU SEP 29 2016

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RALEIGH HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  A DAM FAILURE IN...
  EAST CENTRAL HOKE COUNTY IN CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...
  SOUTHWESTERN CUMBERLAND COUNTY IN CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...

* UNTIL 545 PM EDT

* AT 1147 AM EDT...EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS IN HOKE COUNTY
  REPORT A DAM FAILURE ON A SMALL LAKE THAT DRAINS INTO MCLAUGHLIN
  LAKE. THIS ADDITIONAL WATER IS RESULTING IN WATER OVERTOPPING THE
  DAM ON MCLAUGHLIN LAKE ADJACENT TO ROCKFISH ROAD. A FAILURE OF
  THIS DAM IS POSSIBLE AND WOULD RESULT IN FLASH FLOODING
  DOWNSTREAM ON THE GULLY BRANCH. 

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  LOCATIONS ON THE GULLY BRANCH FROM ROCKFISH ROAD DOWNSTREAM ACROSS
  FAR SOUTHEASTERN HOKE COUNTY AND EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN CUMBERLAND.
  PARTICULAR AREAS AT GREATEST RISK INCLUDE CARRIAGE LANE...
  WHITE CHAPEL LANE.... WINDSOR LANE...
  SOUTHERN OAKS DRIVE AND PHILLIP CHURCH ROAD. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TURN AROUND...DON'T DROWN WHEN ENCOUNTERING FLOODED ROADS. MOST FLOOD
DEATHS OCCUR IN VEHICLES.

&&

LAT...LON 3495 7908 3500 7909 3500 7906 3497 7905
      3496 7900 3495 7902

$$

BLAES
4 follow-up statements
053 
WGUS72 KRAH 291839
FFSRAH

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
239 PM EDT THU SEP 29 2016

NCC051-093-292145-
/O.CON.KRAH.FF.W.0047.000000T0000Z-160929T2145Z/
/00000.U.DM.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
HOKE NC-CUMBERLAND NC-
239 PM EDT THU SEP 29 2016

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR A DAM FAILURE REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL
545 PM EDT FOR EAST CENTRAL HOKE AND SOUTHWESTERN CUMBERLAND
COUNTIES...

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS IN HOKE COUNTY CONTINUE TO MONITOR
THE MCLAUGHLIN LAKE DAM ADJACENT TO U.S. ROUTE 301. WATER WAS
OVERTOPPING THE DAM BUT AUTHORITIES REPORT THAT THE DAM IS STILL
HOLDING AND NO IMMINENT SIGNS OF FAILURE ARE PRESENT. 

INTERESTS IN FAR SOUTHEASTERN HOKE COUNTY AND EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN
CUMBERLAND COUNTIES ON THE GULLY BRANCH SHOULD BE PREPARED TO MOVE
TO HIGHER GROUND IF A FAILURE OCCURS. PARTICULAR AREAS AT GREATEST
RISK INCLUDE CARRIAGE LANE...  WHITE CHAPEL LANE.... WINDSOR LANE...
SOUTHERN OAKS DRIVE AND PHILLIP CHURCH ROAD. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND NOW. ACT QUICKLY TO PROTECT YOUR LIFE.


LAT...LON 3495 7908 3500 7909 3500 7906 3497 7905
      3496 7900 3495 7902

$$

BLAES
024 
WGUS52 KRAH 292123
FFWRAH
NCC051-093-302145-
/O.EXT.KRAH.FF.W.0047.000000T0000Z-160930T2145Z/
/00000.U.DM.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
523 PM EDT THU SEP 29 2016

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RALEIGH HAS EXTENDED THE

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  A DAM FAILURE IN...
  EAST CENTRAL HOKE COUNTY IN CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...
  SOUTHWESTERN CUMBERLAND COUNTY IN CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA...

* UNTIL 545 PM EDT FRIDAY

* AT 520 PM EDT...EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS IN HOKE COUNTY
  REPORT A DAM FAILURE CONTINUES ON A SMALL LAKE THAT DRAINS INTO
  MCLAUGHLIN LAKE. THIS ADDITIONAL WATER IS RESULTING IN WATER
  OVERTOPPING THE DAM ON MCLAUGHLIN LAKE ADJACENT TO ROCKFISH
  ROAD...AND WATER IS FLOWING ACROSS A PORTION OF ROCKFISH ROAD.
  OVERLAKE ROAD IS ALSO UNDER WATER. A FAILURE OF THIS DAM IS
  POSSIBLE AND WOULD RESULT IN FLASH FLOODING DOWNSTREAM ON THE
  GULLY BRANCH. 

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  LOCATIONS ON THE GULLY BRANCH FROM ROCKFISH ROAD DOWNSTREAM ACROSS
  FAR SOUTHEASTERN HOKE COUNTY AND EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN CUMBERLAND.
  PARTICULAR AREAS AT GREATEST RISK INCLUDE CARRIAGE LANE...
  WHITE CHAPEL LANE.... WINDSOR LANE...
  SOUTHERN OAKS DRIVE AND PHILLIP CHURCH ROAD. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND NOW. ACT QUICKLY TO PROTECT YOUR LIFE.

&&

LAT...LON 3495 7908 3500 7909 3500 7906 3497 7905
      3496 7900 3495 7902

$$

26/BLAES
885 
WGUS72 KRAH 301537
FFSRAH

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
1137 AM EDT FRI SEP 30 2016

NCC051-093-302145-
/O.CON.KRAH.FF.W.0047.000000T0000Z-160930T2145Z/
/00000.U.DM.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
HOKE NC-CUMBERLAND NC-
1137 AM EDT FRI SEP 30 2016

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR A DAM FAILURE REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL
545 PM EDT FRIDAY FOR EAST CENTRAL HOKE AND SOUTHWESTERN CUMBERLAND
COUNTIES...

DAM SAFETY ENGINEERS REPORT THAT WATER LEVELS HAVE RECEDED AND THE
THREAT OF A DAM FAILURE AT MCLAUGHLIN LAKE HAS DIMINISHED. THE FLASH
FLOOD WARNING WILL CONTINUE...HOWEVER...DUE TO THE POTENTIAL FOR
ADDITIONAL RAIN THIS AFTERNOON. 

A FAILURE OF THIS DAM WOULD RESULT IN FLASH FLOODING DOWNSTREAM ON
THE GULLY BRANCH. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

DO NOT ENTER OR CROSS FLOWING WATER OR WATER OF UNKNOWN DEPTH. 

&&

LAT...LON 3495 7908 3500 7909 3500 7906 3497 7905
      3496 7900 3495 7902

$$

13
264 
WGUS72 KRAH 302154
FFSRAH

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
554 PM EDT FRI SEP 30 2016

NCC051-093-302203-
/O.EXP.KRAH.FF.W.0047.000000T0000Z-160930T2145Z/
/00000.0.DM.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
HOKE NC-CUMBERLAND NC-
554 PM EDT FRI SEP 30 2016

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR A DAM FAILURE EXPIRED AT 545 PM EDT
FOR EAST CENTRAL HOKE AND SOUTHWESTERN CUMBERLAND COUNTIES...

THREAT OF A DAM FAILURE AT MCLAUGHLIN LAKE HAS DIMINISHED...AND IS
NO LONGER EXPECTED TO POSE A SIGNIFICANT THREAT. PLEASE CONTINUE TO
HEED ALL ROAD CLOSURES.

LAT...LON 3495 7908 3500 7909 3500 7906 3497 7905
      3496 7900 3495 7902

$$

77

The office that day

Everything else NWS Raleigh, NC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 28, 8:02 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementRAHCumberland58 min
Sep 28, 8:10 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementRAHMontgomery, Stanly65 min
Sep 28, 8:15 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningRAHAlamance, Orange3 hr
Sep 28, 8:16 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementRAHAlamance, Randolph59 min
Sep 28, 8:28 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningRAHGuilford3 hr
Sep 28, 9:11 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryRAHMontgomery, Stanly3 hr
Sep 28, 9:30 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementRAHCumberland60 min
Sep 28, 10:24 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningRAHChatham, Montgomery, Moore, Randolph3 hr
Sep 28, 11:27 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRAHChatham, Harnett, Lee, Moore48 min
Sep 28, 11:29 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementRAHDurham, Granville, Wake46 min
Sep 29, 12:56 AM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryRAHAnson, Harnett, Hoke, Lee, Moore, Richmond and 1 more3 hr
Sep 29, 1:01 AM EDTRiver Flood WarningRAHCumberland4 days
Sep 29, 1:47 AM EDTFlash Flood WarningRAHAnson, Harnett, Hoke, Lee, Moore, Richmond and 1 more3 hr
Sep 29, 4:10 AM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryRAHCumberland, Hoke, Sampson, Scotland3 hr
Sep 29, 4:45 AM EDTFlash Flood WarningRAHHarnett, Hoke, Moore, Richmond, Scotland4 hr
Sep 29, 5:00 AM EDTFlash Flood Warning EmergencyRAHCumberland, Harnett, Hoke5 hr
Sep 29, 7:33 AM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryRAHSampson3 hr
Sep 29, 8:26 AM EDTRiver Flood WarningRAHChatham21 hr
Sep 29, 8:32 AM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryRAHEdgecombe, Halifax, Nash, Wayne, Wilson3 hr
Sep 29, 8:38 AM EDTAreal Flood WarningRAHHarnett, Hoke, Moore, Richmond, Scotland6 hr
Sep 29, 9:20 AM EDTFlash Flood WarningRAHWayne3 hr
Sep 29, 10:01 AM EDTFlash Flood WatchRAHCumberland, Edgecombe, Harnett, Hoke, Johnston, Lee and 6 more12 hr
Sep 29, 10:17 AM EDTAreal Flood WarningRAHCumberland, Harnett, Hoke, Sampson6 hr
Sep 29, 10:40 AM EDTFlash Flood WarningRAHCumberland, Harnett30 hr
Sep 29, 12:14 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryRAHWayne3 hr
Sep 29, 1:21 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningRAHCumberland, Sampson6 hr
Sep 29, 4:14 PM EDTAreal Flood WarningRAHCumberland, Harnett, Hoke, Sampson6 hr
Sep 29, 6:48 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementRAHAnson57 min
Sep 29, 7:18 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningRAHCumberland, Sampson24 hr

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in North Carolina, 2016Every flash flood warning in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.