Special Weather Statement, NWS Nashville, TN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
628 PM CDT FRI AUG 26 2016

.UPDATE...
FOR 00Z AVIATION DISCUSSION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

The forecast wont change too much each day as an upper high
slowly moves eastward towards the Atlantic and gets replaced by
another upper high/ridging next week. Subtle shortwave
disturbances within the upper flow combined with diurnal support
will be enough for some shower and thunderstorm activity through
the duration of the forecast. Temperatures look to remain very
consistent through the end of next week with highs mainly in the
low to mid 90s and lows in the low to mid 70s.

For the short term through Sunday, chances for showers and
thunderstorms will mainly be during the afternoon hours, but there
will still be chances for lingering showers to persist into the
evening. With weak upper level shear thanks to the upper closed
high, thunderstorms will be mainly pulse type and not move too
quickly. So if heavier showers and thunderstorms develop, slow
movement may bring some flood risks to impacted areas. Also, with
some enhanced areas of MUCAPE over the mid state during the
afternoon hours, some gusty winds will be possible with the higher
topped convection. Otherwise, just expecting typical isolated late
summer afternoon convection through the weekend.

After Sunday, the upper closed high begins to merge with the
approaching ridge, and keeps high pressure aloft through next
week. Another closed upper high will develop Tuesday, but doesnt
look to progress eastward like the previous high. Instead, the
ridge over the Plains will keep us in more of a northwesterly flow
pattern by late Wednesday. Again with subtle shortwaves embedded
within the upper flow, mainly afternoon showers and thunderstorms
are expected each day next week. By Friday, the ridge axis looks
to slide across the MS River Valley and may give us a dry weekend
across the mid state. For now have Friday and Friday night mainly
dry with a slight chance for afternoon thunderstorms on the
Plateau.

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF DISCUSSION.

Convective temps running just a few degrees above current temps
at this hour. Should see some isol to sct development aft 21z or
so. Otw, higher pressure remains stacked to our east. Convective
activity that does develop will move very slowly northward. Light
fog possible late tonight as current tover values are slightly
negative.

&&

.AVIATION...
00Z TAF DISCUSSION.

A rather typical summertime pattern will continue in place over
the Mid-State during the next 24 hrs, with a period of BR
expected during the late night/early morning hours, and isolated
thunderstorms during the afternoon. Visibilities in the BR will be
mainly MVFR, although can't rule out a brief period of IFR at one
or more of our airports. Daytime conditions will be mainly VFR,
except for a brief period of MVFR and/or IFR conditions if a
thunderstorm should happen to pass over an airport.

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

DISCUSSION......19
AVIATION........08

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
538 PM CDT FRI AUG 26 2016

TNZ005>011-023>034-056>066-075-077>080-093>095-272245-
STEWART-MONTGOMERY-ROBERTSON-SUMNER-MACON-CLAY-PICKETT-HOUSTON-
HUMPHREYS-DICKSON-CHEATHAM-DAVIDSON-WILSON-TROUSDALE-SMITH-
JACKSON-PUTNAM-OVERTON-FENTRESS-PERRY-HICKMAN-LEWIS-WILLIAMSON-
MAURY-MARSHALL-RUTHERFORD-CANNON-DE KALB-WHITE-CUMBERLAND-BEDFORD-
COFFEE-WARREN-GRUNDY-VAN BUREN-WAYNE-LAWRENCE-GILES-
538 PM CDT FRI AUG 26 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF MIDDLE
TENNESSEE.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
757 PM CDT FRI AUG 26 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0730 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 NE ETHRIDGE           35.34N  87.29W
08/26/2016                   LAWRENCE           TN   911 CALL CENTER

            SEVERAL TREES DOWN AND DAMAGE TO OUTBUILDINGS AT THE
            FLEA MARKET NEAR ETHRIDGE.

&&

EVENT NUMBER OHX1601078

FB

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
811 PM CDT FRI AUG 26 2016

TNZ057>060-094-270145-
LAWRENCE TN-LEWIS TN-HICKMAN TN-MAURY TN-WILLIAMSON TN-
811 PM CDT FRI AUG 26 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN LAWRENCE...CENTRAL
WILLIAMSON...SOUTHEASTERN HICKMAN...LEWIS AND MAURY COUNTIES UNTIL
845 PM CDT...

AT 810 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG
A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR THOMPSON'S STATION TO 11 MILES SOUTH OF
HOHENWALD. MOVEMENT WAS NORTHWEST AT 20 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 30 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
FRANKLIN...COLUMBIA...HOHENWALD...SPRING HILL...MOUNT PLEASANT...
THOMPSON'S STATION...SUMMERTOWN...PRIMM SPRINGS...HENRYVILLE...
KIMMINS...SANTA FE...LEIPERS FORK...NATCHEZ TRACE AT HIGHWAY 96...
HAMPSHIRE...WILLIAMSPORT AND GORDONSBURG.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY
LEAD TO LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH
FLOODED ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 3550 8771 3551 8769 3555 8769 3555 8767
      3557 8765 3560 8766 3604 8695 3577 8670
      3529 8753 3534 8758 3541 8757 3542 8761
      3544 8761 3544 8765 3547 8765 3547 8769
      3548 8772
TIME...MOT...LOC 0110Z 130DEG 18KT 3578 8684 3538 8753

ROSE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
827 PM CDT FRI AUG 26 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0656 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 SSE SPRING HILL       35.71N  86.91W
08/26/2016                   MAURY              TN   PUBLIC

            UNCOMFIRMED REPORT OF A POSSIBLE MICROBURST. PICTURES
            OF TREES DOWN ON KEDRON ROAD ACROSS FROM THE KINGS CREEK
            GOLF COURSE. REPORTS OF 50-60 POUND PLANTERN URNS BEING
            MOVED... AND A STRONG PLAYGROUND SLIDE BEING RIPPED OFF.
            ESTIMATED WIND SPEEDS OF 75-80 MPH.

&&

EVENT NUMBER OHX1601079

FB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...SUMMARY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
834 PM CDT FRI AUG 26 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0457 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 S COLLINWOOD          35.15N  87.75W
08/26/2016                   WAYNE              TN   911 CALL CENTER

            ONE TREE DOWN IN THE TWO HUNDRED BLOCK OF BEAR CREEK
            ROAD.

0542 PM     TSTM WND DMG     MOUNT PLEASANT          35.55N  87.19W
08/26/2016                   MAURY              TN   911 CALL CENTER

            ONE TREE DOWN.

0545 PM     TSTM WND DMG     14 W COLUMBIA           35.62N  87.30W
08/26/2016                   MAURY              TN   FACEBOOK

            ONE TREE DOWN AT A RESIDENCE IN HAMPSHIRE

0548 PM     TSTM WND DMG     COLUMBIA                35.62N  87.05W
08/26/2016                   MAURY              TN   911 CALL CENTER

            ONE TREE DOWN.

0624 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 W LINDEN              35.61N  87.88W
08/26/2016                   PERRY              TN   911 CALL CENTER

            ONE TREE REPORTED DOWN ON HIGHWAY 412 EAST.

0624 PM     TSTM WND DMG     8 NNE HOHENWALD         35.66N  87.50W
08/26/2016                   HICKMAN            TN   911 CALL CENTER

            REPORT OF A TREE DOWN ON HIGHWAY 48 SOUTH.

0624 PM     TSTM WND DMG     8 SE LOBELVILLE         35.67N  87.70W
08/26/2016                   HICKMAN            TN   911 CALL CENTER

            REPORT OF A TREE DOWN ON HIGHWAY 100 WEST.

0656 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 SSE SPRING HILL       35.71N  86.91W
08/26/2016                   MAURY              TN   PUBLIC

            UNCOMFIRMED REPORT OF A POSSIBLE MICROBURST. PICTURES
            OF TREES DOWN ON KEDRON ROAD ACROSS FROM THE KINGS CREEK
            GOLF COURSE. REPORTS OF 50-60 POUND PLANTERN URNS BEING
            MOVED... AND A STRONG PLAYGROUND SLIDE BEING RIPPED OFF.
            ESTIMATED WIND SPEEDS OF 75-80 MPH.

0730 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 NE ETHRIDGE           35.34N  87.29W
08/26/2016                   LAWRENCE           TN   911 CALL CENTER

            SEVERAL TREES DOWN AND DAMAGE TO OUTBUILDINGS AT THE
            FLEA MARKET NEAR ETHRIDGE.

&&

EVENT NUMBER OHX1601071 OHX1601074 OHX1601072 OHX1601073 OHX1601075
OHX1601076 OHX1601077 OHX1601079 OHX1601078

FB

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SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
939 PM CDT FRI AUG 26 2016

TNZ026-027-059-270315-
DAVIDSON TN-CHEATHAM TN-WILLIAMSON TN-
939 PM CDT FRI AUG 26 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WESTERN DAVIDSON...SOUTHEASTERN
CHEATHAM AND NORTH CENTRAL WILLIAMSON COUNTIES UNTIL 1015 PM CDT...

AT 939 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER
BELLEVUE...OR 8 MILES SOUTHWEST OF NASHVILLE...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 25
MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
ASHLAND CITY...NASHVILLE...BRENTWOOD...FOREST HILLS...OAK HILL...
BELLE MEADE...KINGSTON SPRINGS...PEGRAM...BELLEVUE...BERRY HILL...
BEAMAN PARK...WHITES CREEK AND BELLS BEND.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD
TO LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 3631 8682 3603 8674 3596 8694 3619 8716
TIME...MOT...LOC 0239Z 155DEG 20KT 3607 8689

ROSE