Special Weather Statement, NWS Nashville, TN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
628 PM CDT FRI AUG 26 2016

.UPDATE...
FOR 00Z AVIATION DISCUSSION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

The forecast wont change too much each day as an upper high
slowly moves eastward towards the Atlantic and gets replaced by
another upper high/ridging next week. Subtle shortwave
disturbances within the upper flow combined with diurnal support
will be enough for some shower and thunderstorm activity through
the duration of the forecast. Temperatures look to remain very
consistent through the end of next week with highs mainly in the
low to mid 90s and lows in the low to mid 70s.

For the short term through Sunday, chances for showers and
thunderstorms will mainly be during the afternoon hours, but there
will still be chances for lingering showers to persist into the
evening. With weak upper level shear thanks to the upper closed
high, thunderstorms will be mainly pulse type and not move too
quickly. So if heavier showers and thunderstorms develop, slow
movement may bring some flood risks to impacted areas. Also, with
some enhanced areas of MUCAPE over the mid state during the
afternoon hours, some gusty winds will be possible with the higher
topped convection. Otherwise, just expecting typical isolated late
summer afternoon convection through the weekend.

After Sunday, the upper closed high begins to merge with the
approaching ridge, and keeps high pressure aloft through next
week. Another closed upper high will develop Tuesday, but doesnt
look to progress eastward like the previous high. Instead, the
ridge over the Plains will keep us in more of a northwesterly flow
pattern by late Wednesday. Again with subtle shortwaves embedded
within the upper flow, mainly afternoon showers and thunderstorms
are expected each day next week. By Friday, the ridge axis looks
to slide across the MS River Valley and may give us a dry weekend
across the mid state. For now have Friday and Friday night mainly
dry with a slight chance for afternoon thunderstorms on the
Plateau.

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF DISCUSSION.

Convective temps running just a few degrees above current temps
at this hour. Should see some isol to sct development aft 21z or
so. Otw, higher pressure remains stacked to our east. Convective
activity that does develop will move very slowly northward. Light
fog possible late tonight as current tover values are slightly
negative.

&&

.AVIATION...
00Z TAF DISCUSSION.

A rather typical summertime pattern will continue in place over
the Mid-State during the next 24 hrs, with a period of BR
expected during the late night/early morning hours, and isolated
thunderstorms during the afternoon. Visibilities in the BR will be
mainly MVFR, although can't rule out a brief period of IFR at one
or more of our airports. Daytime conditions will be mainly VFR,
except for a brief period of MVFR and/or IFR conditions if a
thunderstorm should happen to pass over an airport.

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

DISCUSSION......19
AVIATION........08

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
538 PM CDT FRI AUG 26 2016

TNZ005>011-023>034-056>066-075-077>080-093>095-272245-
STEWART-MONTGOMERY-ROBERTSON-SUMNER-MACON-CLAY-PICKETT-HOUSTON-
HUMPHREYS-DICKSON-CHEATHAM-DAVIDSON-WILSON-TROUSDALE-SMITH-
JACKSON-PUTNAM-OVERTON-FENTRESS-PERRY-HICKMAN-LEWIS-WILLIAMSON-
MAURY-MARSHALL-RUTHERFORD-CANNON-DE KALB-WHITE-CUMBERLAND-BEDFORD-
COFFEE-WARREN-GRUNDY-VAN BUREN-WAYNE-LAWRENCE-GILES-
538 PM CDT FRI AUG 26 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF MIDDLE
TENNESSEE.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED.

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SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
733 PM CDT FRI AUG 26 2016

TNZ058-094-270100-
LAWRENCE TN-LEWIS TN-
733 PM CDT FRI AUG 26 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EASTERN LAWRENCE AND EASTERN
LEWIS COUNTIES UNTIL 800 PM CDT...

AT 733 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG
A LINE EXTENDING FROM SUMMERTOWN TO 9 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
LAWRENCEBURG. MOVEMENT WAS NORTHWEST AT 30 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 30 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
LAWRENCEBURG...LORETTO...SUMMERTOWN...ETHRIDGE...LEOMA...
GORDONSBURG AND HENRYVILLE.

LAT...LON 3512 8745 3562 8749 3562 8744 3550 8728
      3544 8729 3543 8723 3530 8722 3529 8723
      3529 8722 3520 8721 3517 8722 3516 8721
      3512 8721 3502 8723
TIME...MOT...LOC 0033Z 138DEG 27KT 3544 8728 3513 8726

ROSE

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
750 PM CDT FRI AUG 26 2016

TNZ025-057-059-060-270115-
HICKMAN TN-MAURY TN-WILLIAMSON TN-DICKSON TN-
750 PM CDT FRI AUG 26 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN DICKSON...WEST
CENTRAL WILLIAMSON...NORTHEASTERN HICKMAN AND NORTH CENTRAL MAURY
COUNTIES UNTIL 815 PM CDT...

AT 749 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 14
MILES SOUTHWEST OF FAIRVIEW...OR 16 MILES EAST OF
CENTERVILLE...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 25 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 30 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
DICKSON...BURNS...PRIMM SPRINGS...LYLES AND BON AQUA.

LAT...LON 3585 8702 3572 8717 3592 8753 3612 8731
TIME...MOT...LOC 0049Z 131DEG 22KT 3584 8717

ROSE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
757 PM CDT FRI AUG 26 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0730 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 NE ETHRIDGE           35.34N  87.29W
08/26/2016                   LAWRENCE           TN   911 CALL CENTER

            SEVERAL TREES DOWN AND DAMAGE TO OUTBUILDINGS AT THE
            FLEA MARKET NEAR ETHRIDGE.

&&

EVENT NUMBER OHX1601078

FB

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
811 PM CDT FRI AUG 26 2016

TNZ057>060-094-270145-
LAWRENCE TN-LEWIS TN-HICKMAN TN-MAURY TN-WILLIAMSON TN-
811 PM CDT FRI AUG 26 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN LAWRENCE...CENTRAL
WILLIAMSON...SOUTHEASTERN HICKMAN...LEWIS AND MAURY COUNTIES UNTIL
845 PM CDT...

AT 810 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG
A LINE EXTENDING FROM NEAR THOMPSON'S STATION TO 11 MILES SOUTH OF
HOHENWALD. MOVEMENT WAS NORTHWEST AT 20 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 30 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
FRANKLIN...COLUMBIA...HOHENWALD...SPRING HILL...MOUNT PLEASANT...
THOMPSON'S STATION...SUMMERTOWN...PRIMM SPRINGS...HENRYVILLE...
KIMMINS...SANTA FE...LEIPERS FORK...NATCHEZ TRACE AT HIGHWAY 96...
HAMPSHIRE...WILLIAMSPORT AND GORDONSBURG.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS...AND MAY
LEAD TO LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH
FLOODED ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 3550 8771 3551 8769 3555 8769 3555 8767
      3557 8765 3560 8766 3604 8695 3577 8670
      3529 8753 3534 8758 3541 8757 3542 8761
      3544 8761 3544 8765 3547 8765 3547 8769
      3548 8772
TIME...MOT...LOC 0110Z 130DEG 18KT 3578 8684 3538 8753

ROSE