Alert archive / Texas / Special Weather Statements in 2016

Special Weather Statement, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

May 31, 2016Gaines County, Texas

NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued this special weather statement at May 31, 2016, 7:46 PM CDT for Gaines County, Texas. It was in force for 44 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: May 31, 2016, 7:46 PM CDT (00:46 UTC)
Expired: May 31, 2016, 8:30 PM CDT
In force: 44 min
Issued by: NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

County Gaines County, TX

The radar

The Midland/Odessa radar (KMAF), 107 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:47 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 00:00Z, 0.8 hours before the alert went out and 106 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 417 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -7 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 2362 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 53 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: -18 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 64 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Midland/Odessa, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at May 31, 5:01 PM CDT, 2 hours 45 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 31, 5:01 PM CDT, 2 hours 45 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
501 PM CDT TUE MAY 31 2016

.DISCUSSION...

See 00Z Aviation Discussion below.

&&

.AVIATION...

Active pattern over the next 24 hours as an upper trough
approaches along the U.S./Mexico border. A very unstable AMS
remains in place, but models differ significantly as where the
focus is for convection, likely as a result of multiple residual
boundaries in the area from previous convection. Otherwise, sfc
flow should back over the next 24 hours as a cold front moves
through the region. Models hint at a stratus deck w/the front, but
buffer soundings suggest MVFR cigs only at KCNM/KINK, w/all other
terminals staying VFR.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 220 PM CDT TUE MAY 31 2016/

DISCUSSION...

The forecast remains complicated as an unsettled pattern sticks
around through the end of this week. An upper low to our west will
continue to send disturbances our way as low level moisture
remains high across the area. As was the case yesterday,
convection is expected to form along leftover outflow boundaries
and across the higher terrain later today. Models have struggled
with placement of these storms over the past few days and today
should be no different. The most sunshine so far today has
occurred across the northern Permian Basin and this area appears
to be the most unstable. An outflow boundary across this area is
beginning to light up with convection as convective temperatures
are reached. Elsewhere, the atmosphere has been worked over from
this mornings convection, but still expect some destabilization to
occur with afternoon heating. Strong to severe storms will again
be possible today given moderate shear values near 35 kts and
strong instability. A splitting upper level jet will also lead to
strong diffluence aloft. Moisture remains high across the area and
some locations have received several inches of rain over the past
few days. Given the above, will include severe wording in the
zones and also mention locally heavy rainfall possible tonight.

The upper low moves closer tomorrow so expect much of the same
across the area. Heavy rain and severe storms will again be a
possibility Wednesday afternoon and evening. A few models even
depict a southward moving MCS for northeast portions of the area
tonight into the morning hours. Uncertainty exists in which
locations will see the heaviest rain as convective coverage tomorrow
will likely be driven by what occurs across the region tonight. With
that said, locations from Snyder to Big Spring to Rankin have
received the most rain over the past few days and with more
likely leading to flooding, a Flash Flood Watch will be in effect
through tomorrow.

Temperatures will be held in check over the next few days due to all
the clouds and rain. The upper low moves over the area Thursday with
continued chances for rainfall. Models then show the low slowly
sinking southeast across TX through the weekend. Rain chances will
diminish by the end of the week, but temperatures will be slow to
warm back to normal.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     64  77  61  75 /  70  60  60  50
Carlsbad                       63  79  60  80 /  40  50  60  30
Dryden                         68  84  65  81 /  50  50  60  50
Fort Stockton                  65  80  62  77 /  40  50  60  40
Guadalupe Pass                 61  74  56  73 /  30  50  50  30
Hobbs                          59  75  57  74 /  50  60  60  30
Marfa                          53  76  51  74 /  40  40  50  40
Midland Intl Airport           65  79  62  77 /  60  60  60  40
Odessa                         65  79  63  77 /  50  60  60  40
Wink                           63  81  61  79 /  40  50  60  40

&&

.MAF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NM...None.
TX...Flash Flood Watch through Wednesday evening for Borden-Glasscock-
     Howard-Martin-Midland-Mitchell-Reagan-Scurry-Upton.

&&

44/84/44

Hazardous weather outlook, May 31, 1:05 PM CDT, 6 hours 41 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
105 PM CDT TUE MAY 31 2016

NMZ027>029-033-034-TXZ045>048-050>053-057>063-067>070-074-075-
079>082-258-011815-
GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS OF EDDY COUNTY-EDDY COUNTY PLAINS-
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY-SOUTHERN LEA COUNTY-GAINES-
DAWSON-BORDEN-SCURRY-ANDREWS-MARTIN-HOWARD-MITCHELL-
VAN HORN AND HIGHWAY 54 CORRIDOR-REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS-
LOVING-WINKLER-ECTOR-MIDLAND-GLASSCOCK-WARD-CRANE-UPTON-REAGAN-
DAVIS/APACHE MOUNTAINS AREA-PECOS-PRESIDIO VALLEY-MARFA PLATEAU-
BIG BEND AREA-TERRELL-GUADALUPE MOUNTAINS-
105 PM CDT TUE MAY 31 2016 /1205 PM MDT TUE MAY 31 2016/

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST NEW
MEXICO...SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND WESTERN TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AGAIN TODAY AND PERSIST
TONIGHT.  SOME OF THE STORMS COULD BE SEVERE WITH LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS. HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING COULD ALSO
BECOME PROBLEMATIC THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT, ESPECIALLY IN THE
EASTERN PERMIAN BASIN WHICH HAS RECENTLY SEEN ALOT OF RAINFALL AND
WHERE A FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

THERE WILL BE A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY OVER
ALL OF SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO AND WEST TEXAS.  SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
WILL BE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY IN THE BIG BEND AND LOWER TRANS PECOS.
ON THURSDAY, THE MAIN THREAT APPEARS TO BE LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.
THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL CONTINUE THROUGH 7 PM THURSDAY FOR THE
EASTERN PERMIAN BASIN.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUESTED THIS AFTERNOON.

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
MIDLAND CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT /LOWER CASE/
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/MIDLAND

In the hours before

Special weather statement, May 31, 7:01 PM CDT, 45 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
601 PM MDT TUE MAY 31 2016

NMZ029-033-010045-
NORTHERN LEA COUNTY NM-CENTRAL LEA COUNTY NM-
601 PM MDT TUE MAY 31 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN LEA COUNTY UNTIL 645
PM MDT...

AT 601 PM MDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER
MCDONALD...OR 7 MILES SOUTH OF TATUM...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 10 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS OF 50 TO 55 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
TATUM...MCDONALD...GLADIOLA AND TATUM AIRPORT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...CONTACT YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT
AGENCY. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
OFFICE IN MIDLAND .

&&

LAT...LON 3302 10306 3295 10308 3294 10331 3326 10352
      3327 10306
TIME...MOT...LOC 0001Z 155DEG 10KT 3314 10331

44

Special weather statement, May 31, 7:05 PM CDT, 41 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
605 PM MDT TUE MAY 31 2016

NMZ033-010045-
CENTRAL LEA COUNTY NM-
605 PM MDT TUE MAY 31 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EAST CENTRAL LEA COUNTY UNTIL 645
PM MDT...

AT 605 PM MDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER
HUMBLE CITY...OR NEAR HOBBS...MOVING NORTH AT 5 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS OF 50 TO 55 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
HOBBS...KNOWLES...HUMBLE CITY AND INDUSTRIAL AIRPARK.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...CONTACT YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT
AGENCY. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
OFFICE IN MIDLAND .

&&

LAT...LON 3272 10307 3272 10324 3293 10331 3294 10307
TIME...MOT...LOC 0005Z 198DEG 5KT 3276 10319

44

Local storm report, May 31, 7:17 PM CDT, 29 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
717 PM CDT TUE MAY 31 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0714 PM     HAIL             HOBBS                   32.73N 103.16W
05/31/2016  E1.00 INCH       LEA                NM   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TORRENTIAL RAIN AND 35 TO 40 MPH SUSTAINED.

&&

CMR

Local storm report, May 31, 7:27 PM CDT, 19 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
727 PM CDT TUE MAY 31 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0720 PM     HAIL             HOBBS                   32.73N 103.16W
05/31/2016  E1.00 INCH       LEA                NM   TRAINED SPOTTER

            AT THE TX/NM BORDER.

&&

CMR

Special weather statement, May 31, 7:45 PM CDT, 1 minute before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
745 PM CDT TUE MAY 31 2016

TXZ058-010130-
REEVES COUNTY AND UPPER TRANS PECOS TX-
745 PM CDT TUE MAY 31 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN REEVES COUNTY UNTIL
830 PM CDT...

AT 745 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 8
MILES NORTH OF BALMORHEA...OR 26 MILES SOUTHWEST OF PECOS...MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

DIME SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS OF 50 TO 55 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
VERHALEN AND SARAGOSA.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 10 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 205 AND 211.

LAT...LON 3099 10377 3113 10389 3138 10363 3101 10341
TIME...MOT...LOC 0045Z 232DEG 13KT 3111 10377

Special weather statement, May 31, 7:46 PM CDT, 0 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
746 PM CDT TUE MAY 31 2016

TXZ045-010130-
GAINES TX-
746 PM CDT TUE MAY 31 2016

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN GAINES COUNTY UNTIL
830 PM CDT...

AT 745 PM CDT...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 8
MILES EAST OF HOBBS...MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS OF 50 TO 55 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

THIS STORM WILL REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF SOUTHWESTERN GAINES
COUNTY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER...CONTACT YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT
AGENCY. THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
OFFICE IN MIDLAND .

&&

LAT...LON 3260 10301 3277 10306 3282 10282 3256 10280
TIME...MOT...LOC 0045Z 271DEG 13KT 3271 10300

44

The office that day

Everything else NWS Midland/Odessa, TX issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
May 31, 7:16 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Gaines	44 min
May 31, 7:21 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Dawson, Martin	38 min
May 31, 7:45 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Reeves	45 min
May 31, 7:55 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Gaines	27 min
May 31, 7:59 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Howard	46 min
May 31, 8:24 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Andrews	51 min
May 31, 8:32 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Reeves	43 min
May 31, 8:47 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Reeves	43 min
May 31, 9:15 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Andrews, Ector	45 min
May 31, 9:19 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Ward	41 min
May 31, 9:52 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Ector	38 min
May 31, 9:56 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Ward	49 min
May 31, 10:29 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Ector	46 min
May 31, 10:31 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	MAF	Andrews, Ector	3 hr
May 31, 11:06 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Midland	39 min
May 31, 11:29 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	MAF	Andrews, Martin, Midland	3 hr
May 31, 11:59 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	MAF	Midland	3 hr
Jun 1, 1:17 AM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	MAF	Reagan	3 hr
Jun 1, 1:46 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Jeff Davis	59 min
Jun 1, 1:52 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	MAF	Jeff Davis	3 hr
Jun 1, 1:54 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	MAF	Culberson	2 hr
Jun 1, 2:21 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Jeff Davis	54 min
Jun 1, 2:23 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Culberson	52 min
Jun 1, 2:37 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Mitchell	38 min
Jun 1, 3:14 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Brewster, Jeff Davis	31 min
Jun 1, 3:40 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	MAF	Brewster, Jeff Davis	3 hr
Jun 1, 3:46 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Scurry	59 min
Jun 1, 3:55 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Brewster	65 min
Jun 1, 3:59 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Jeff Davis	46 min
Jun 1, 4:55 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Brewster	50 min
Jun 1, 5:03 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Winkler	27 min
Jun 1, 5:03 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Pecos, Terrell	57 min
Jun 1, 5:24 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Reeves	53 min
Jun 1, 5:43 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Brewster	47 min
Jun 1, 5:59 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Terrell	46 min
Jun 1, 6:14 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Jeff Davis	61 min
Jun 1, 6:27 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Reeves	63 min
Jun 1, 6:33 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF		42 min
Jun 1, 6:45 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	MAF	Terrell	45 min
Jun 1, 6:49 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Jeff Davis	56 min
May 31, 7:01 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Lea	44 min
May 31, 7:05 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	MAF	Lea	40 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Texas, 2016 Every special weather statement in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.