Alert archive / Louisiana / River Flood Warnings in 2016

River Flood Warning 94, NWS New Orleans, LA

August 12, 2016Saint Helena Parish, Louisiana

NWS New Orleans, LA issued this river flood warning at Aug 12, 2016, 6:44 AM CDT for Saint Helena Parish, Louisiana. It took effect at Aug 12, 2016, 11:07 AM CDT. It was in force for 4 days.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 12, 2016, 6:44 AM CDT (11:44 UTC)
In effect from
Aug 12, 2016, 11:07 AM CDT
Expired
Aug 16, 2016, 4:12 AM CDT
In force
4 days
Issued by
NWS New Orleans, LA
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Moderate

County Saint Helena Parish, LA

The river

Written for the forecast point Tickfaw River at Montpelier (MONL1).

Action stage
12 ft
Minor stage
13 ft
Moderate stage
18 ft
Major stage
22 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 07375960, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

278 
WGUS44 KLIX 121144
FLWLIX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA 
644 AM CDT FRI AUG 12 2016

...The National Weather Service in New Orleans Baton Rouge has issued
a flood warning for the following rivers in Louisiana... 

The Tickfaw River Near Holden affecting Livingston Parish

The Tickfaw River Near Montpelier affecting St. Helena Parish

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has occurred along with 
anticipated rain for the next 12 hours. Adjustments to the forecasts 
will be made if additional heavy rainfall occurs.

Do not drive cars through flooded areas. Remember, two feet of 
rushing water can carry away most vehicles including pickups.  Turn 
around and don't drown!

A followup product will be issued later. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather 
Radio, local tv and radio stations...or your cable provider, for the 
latest information. The latest graphical hydrologic information can 
also be found at Weather.Gov.

&&

LAC063-131744-
/O.NEW.KLIX.FL.W.0093.160812T2240Z-000000T0000Z/
/HOLL1.3.ER.160812T2240Z.160816T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
644 AM CDT FRI AUG 12 2016

The National Weather Service in New Orleans/Baton Rouge has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  The Tickfaw River Near Holden.
* from this afternoon until further notice.
* At  5:45 AM Friday the stage was 9.9 feet.
* Record flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage by late 
  this afternoon and then continue to rise until cresting at around 22.0 
  feet by Monday evening.
* Impact...At 21.0 feet...Many secondary roads will be under water and
  closed due to high water.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...Property in low areas along the river from 
  Interstate 12 north to Parish Road 1036 will flood.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Wooded areas in the vicinity of the Highway 
  190 bridge will be inundated.
* Impact...At 12.0 feet...Tickfaw State Park, located downstream of 
  the Holden gage, will close.
* Impact...At 11.0 feet...Flooding will expand downstream in the 
  Tickfaw State Park.  All campgrounds will close. 
* Impact...At 9.0 feet...Areas downstream in the Tickfaw State Park 
  will begin to flood, primarily in the Tent Area.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3062 9059 3062 9065 3051 9069 3051 9061

&&

LAT...LON 3062 9059 3062 9065 3051 9069 3051 9061



$$

LAC091-131744-
/O.NEW.KLIX.FL.W.0094.160813T0951Z-160816T0912Z/
/MONL1.2.ER.160813T0951Z.160814T1200Z.160816T0312Z.NO/
644 AM CDT FRI AUG 12 2016

The National Weather Service in New Orleans/Baton Rouge has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  The Tickfaw River Near Montpelier.
* from late tonight to late Monday night.
* At  5:30 AM Friday the stage was 9.2 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage by early
  Saturday morning and then continue to rise until cresting at around 
  20.0 feet by Sunday morning. The river is expected to fall below 
  flood stage by Monday night.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...At 20 feet water will reach the 
  undercarriage of the Highway 16 bridge. Approaches to the bridge 
  will be under water. Highway 16 will likely be closed. Secondary 
  roads within a mile of the river will be under water and closed to 
  traffic.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet...The river channel will expand to about one 
  half mile wide for several miles downstream from Montpelier. 
  Secondary roads west of Louisiana Highway 43 will be under water 
  and likely to be closed to traffic. Woodlands and farmland near the
  river will remain inundated.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Woodlands and farmland near the river will 
  be inundated. Livestock and farm equipment should be moved to 
  higher ground.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet...The low banks will overflow threatening 
  commercial interests near the river with flooding.
* Impact...At 12.5 feet...Forestry and sand and gravel operations will
  be curtailed.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3070 9061 3078 9067 3062 9065 3062 9059

&&

LAT...LON 3070 9061 3078 9067 3062 9065 3062 9059




$$
10 follow-up statements
889 
WGUS84 KLIX 121619
FLSLIX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA 
1119 AM CDT FRI AUG 12 2016

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Louisiana...
 
  Tickfaw River Near Holden affecting Livingston Parish
  
  Tickfaw River Near Montpelier affecting St. Helena Parish 
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has occurred along with 
anticipated rain for the next 12 hours. Adjustments to the forecasts 
will be made if additional heavy rainfall occurs.

Do not drive cars through flooded areas. Remember, two feet of 
rushing water can carry away most vehicles including pickups.  Turn 
around and don't drown!

A followup product will be issued later. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather 
Radio, local tv and radio stations...or your cable provider, for the 
latest information. The latest graphical hydrologic information can 
also be found at Weather.Gov.

&&

LAC063-132219-
/O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0093.160812T1630Z-000000T0000Z/
/HOLL1.3.ER.160812T1630Z.160815T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1119 AM CDT FRI AUG 12 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Tickfaw River Near Holden.
* until further notice.
* At 10:45 AM Friday the stage was 14.3 feet.
* Record flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by late this morning and continue
  to rise to near 22.0 feet by Monday morning.This is above the record 
  at 21 feet.
* Impact...At 21.0 feet...Many secondary roads will be under water and
  closed due to high water.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...Property in low areas along the river from 
  Interstate 12 north to Parish Road 1036 will flood.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Wooded areas in the vicinity of the Highway 
  190 bridge will be inundated.
* Impact...At 12.0 feet...Tickfaw State Park, located downstream of 
  the Holden gage, will close.
* Impact...At 11.0 feet...Flooding will expand downstream in the 
  Tickfaw State Park.  All campgrounds will close. 
* Impact...At 9.0 feet...Areas downstream in the Tickfaw State Park 
  will begin to flood, primarily in the Tent Area.


&&

LAT...LON 3062 9059 3062 9065 3051 9069 3051 9061




$$

LAC091-132218-
/O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0094.160812T1607Z-000000T0000Z/
/MONL1.3.ER.160812T1443Z.160814T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1119 AM CDT FRI AUG 12 2016

...Flood Warning extended until further notice...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  The Tickfaw River Near Montpelier.
* from this morning until further notice.
* At 10:30 AM Friday the stage was 14.3 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Record flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 23.0 feet by 
  early Sunday morning then begin falling. This is above the record 
  at 22.3 feet.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet...The river channel will expand to about one 
  half mile wide for several miles downstream from Montpelier. 
  Secondary roads west of Louisiana Highway 43 will be under water 
  and likely to be closed to traffic. Woodlands and farmland near the
  river will remain inundated.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Woodlands and farmland near the river will 
  be inundated. Livestock and farm equipment should be moved to 
  higher ground.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet...The low banks will overflow threatening 
  commercial interests near the river with flooding.
* Impact...At 12.5 feet...Forestry and sand and gravel operations will
  be curtailed.

&&

LAT...LON 3070 9061 3078 9067 3062 9065 3062 9059




$$
802 
WGUS84 KLIX 121905
FLSLIX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA 
205 PM CDT FRI AUG 12 2016

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Louisiana...

  Tickfaw River Near Montpelier affecting St. Helena Parish 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has occurred along with 
anticipated rain for the next 12 hours. Adjustments to the forecasts 
will be made if additional heavy rainfall occurs.

Do not drive cars through flooded areas. Remember, two feet of 
rushing water can carry away most vehicles including pickups.  Turn 
around and don't drown!

A followup product will be issued later. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather 
Radio, local tv and radio stations...or your cable provider, for the 
latest information. The latest graphical hydrologic information can 
also be found at Weather.Gov.

&&

LAC091-140105-
/O.CON.KLIX.FL.W.0094.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MONL1.3.ER.160812T1443Z.160813T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
205 PM CDT FRI AUG 12 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Tickfaw River Near Montpelier.
* until further notice.
* At  1:30 PM Friday the stage was 22.8 feet.
* Record flooding is occurring and Record flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 25.0 feet by 
  tomorrow early afternoon then begin falling.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...At 20 feet water will reach the 
  undercarriage of the Highway 16 bridge. Approaches to the bridge 
  will be under water. Highway 16 will likely be closed. Secondary 
  roads within a mile of the river will be under water and closed to 
  traffic.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet...The river channel will expand to about one 
  half mile wide for several miles downstream from Montpelier. 
  Secondary roads west of Louisiana Highway 43 will be under water 
  and likely to be closed to traffic. Woodlands and farmland near the
  river will remain inundated.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Woodlands and farmland near the river will 
  be inundated. Livestock and farm equipment should be moved to 
  higher ground.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet...The low banks will overflow threatening 
  commercial interests near the river with flooding.
* Impact...At 12.5 feet...Forestry and sand and gravel operations will
  be curtailed.


&&

LAT...LON 3070 9061 3078 9067 3062 9065 3062 9059




$$
501 
WGUS84 KLIX 122050
FLSLIX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA 
350 PM CDT FRI AUG 12 2016

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Louisiana...
 
  Tickfaw River At Liverpool affecting St. Helena Parish 
  
  Tickfaw River Near Montpelier affecting St. Helena Parish

  Tickfaw River Near Holden affecting Livingston Parish 

   

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has occurred along with 
anticipated rain for the next 24 hours. Adjustments to the forecasts 
will be made if additional heavy rainfall occurs.

Do not drive cars through flooded areas. Remember, two feet of 
rushing water can carry away most vehicles including pickups.  Turn 
around and don't drown!

A followup product will be issued later. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather 
Radio, local tv and radio stations...or your cable provider, for the 
latest information. The latest graphical hydrologic information can 
also be found at Weather.Gov.

&&

LAC091-140250-
/O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0089.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LPOL1.3.ER.160812T0743Z.160813T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
350 PM CDT FRI AUG 12 2016

...Flood Warning extended until further notice...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  The Tickfaw River At Liverpool.
* until further notice.
* At  3:15 PM Friday the stage was 13.1 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Record flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 14.5 feet by 
  tomorrow evening then begin falling.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet...Major flooding of the river basin will 
  occur. There will be major flooding of roads and buildings. Mill 
  Creek will back up causing flooding north of Louisiana Highway 38. 
  Evacuation is recommended for persons east of Louisiana Highway 43 
  from Easleyville downstream to Montpelier. In 1983, 12,800 acres 
  were inundated during record flooding.
* Impact...At 12.0 feet...There will be major flooding of roads and 
  buildings. Mill Creek will back up causing flooding north of 
  Louisiana Highway 38. Evacuation is recommended for persons east of
  Louisiana Highway 43 from Easleyville downstream to Montpelier.
* Impact...At 11.0 feet...Low lying roads and buildings near the river
  along with pasture and crop land will flood.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet...Pastures and crop land adjacent to the river 
  will flood. Rural areas near the river will be threatened with 
  flooding.

&&

LAT...LON 3100 9063 3100 9070 3078 9067 3070 9061




$$

LAC063-140250-
/O.CON.KLIX.FL.W.0093.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HOLL1.3.ER.160812T1805Z.160816T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
350 PM CDT FRI AUG 12 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Tickfaw River Near Holden.
* until further notice.
* At  2:45 PM Friday the stage was 15.3 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Record flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 27.0 feet by 
  Monday evening then begin falling.
* Impact...At 24.0 feet...Water will reach the under carriage of the 
  Highway 190 bridge. The bridge will be in danger of structural 
  damage as debris is carried downstream in strong, swift current. 
  Access roads will be impassable.
* Impact...At 21.0 feet...Many secondary roads will be under water and
  closed due to high water.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...Property in low areas along the river from 
  Interstate 12 north to Parish Road 1036 will flood.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Wooded areas in the vicinity of the Highway 
  190 bridge will be inundated.
* Impact...At 12.0 feet...Tickfaw State Park, located downstream of 
  the Holden gage, will close.
* Impact...At 11.0 feet...Flooding will expand downstream in the 
  Tickfaw State Park.  All campgrounds will close. 
* Impact...At 9.0 feet...Areas downstream in the Tickfaw State Park 
  will begin to flood, primarily in the Tent Area.


&&

LAT...LON 3062 9059 3062 9065 3051 9069 3051 9061




$$

LAC091-140250-
/O.CON.KLIX.FL.W.0094.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MONL1.3.ER.160812T1443Z.160813T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
350 PM CDT FRI AUG 12 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Tickfaw River Near Montpelier.
* until further notice.
* At  3:30 PM Friday the stage was 25.3 feet.
* Record flooding is occurring and Record flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 28.0 feet by 
  tomorrow early afternoon then begin falling.
* Impact...At 26.5 feet...The roadway at the center span of the 
  Highway 16 bridge will be under water and the bridge closed. 
  Highway 16 will likely be closed. Secondary roads within a mile of 
  the river will be under water and closed to traffic.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...At 20 feet water will reach the 
  undercarriage of the Highway 16 bridge. Approaches to the bridge 
  will be under water. Highway 16 will likely be closed. Secondary 
  roads within a mile of the river will be under water and closed to 
  traffic.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet...The river channel will expand to about one 
  half mile wide for several miles downstream from Montpelier. 
  Secondary roads west of Louisiana Highway 43 will be under water 
  and likely to be closed to traffic. Woodlands and farmland near the
  river will remain inundated.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Woodlands and farmland near the river will 
  be inundated. Livestock and farm equipment should be moved to 
  higher ground.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet...The low banks will overflow threatening 
  commercial interests near the river with flooding.
* Impact...At 12.5 feet...Forestry and sand and gravel operations will
  be curtailed.


&&

LAT...LON 3070 9061 3078 9067 3062 9065 3062 9059




$$
470 
WGUS84 KLIX 130134
FLSLIX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA 
834 PM CDT FRI AUG 12 2016

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Louisiana...
 
  Tickfaw River At Liverpool affecting St. Helena Parish 

  Tickfaw River Near Holden affecting Livingston Parish 

  Tickfaw River Near Montpelier affecting St. Helena Parish 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has occurred along with 
anticipated rain for the next 24 hours. Adjustments to the forecasts 
will be made if additional heavy rainfall occurs.

Do not drive cars through flooded areas. Remember, two feet of 
rushing water can carry away most vehicles including pickups.  Turn 
around and don't drown!

A followup product will be issued later. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather 
Radio, local tv and radio stations...or your cable provider, for the 
latest information. The latest graphical hydrologic information can 
also be found at Weather.Gov.

&&

LAC091-140734-
/O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0089.000000T0000Z-160816T0800Z/
/LPOL1.3.ER.160812T0743Z.160813T0045Z.160816T0200Z.NR/
834 PM CDT FRI AUG 12 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Tickfaw River At Liverpool.
* until late Monday night.
* At  8:15 PM Friday the stage was 12.6 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Record flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 14.0 feet by 
  tomorrow evening. The river will fall below flood stage Monday 
  before midnight.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet...Major flooding of the river basin will 
  occur. There will be major flooding of roads and buildings. Mill 
  Creek will back up causing flooding north of Louisiana Highway 38. 
  Evacuation is recommended for persons east of Louisiana Highway 43 
  from Easleyville downstream to Montpelier. In 1983, 12,800 acres 
  were inundated during record flooding.
* Impact...At 12.0 feet...There will be major flooding of roads and 
  buildings. Mill Creek will back up causing flooding north of 
  Louisiana Highway 38. Evacuation is recommended for persons east of
  Louisiana Highway 43 from Easleyville downstream to Montpelier.
* Impact...At 11.0 feet...Low lying roads and buildings near the river
  along with pasture and crop land will flood.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet...Pastures and crop land adjacent to the river 
  will flood. Rural areas near the river will be threatened with 
  flooding.

&&

LAT...LON 3100 9063 3100 9070 3078 9067 3070 9061




$$

LAC063-140733-
/O.CON.KLIX.FL.W.0093.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HOLL1.3.ER.160812T1805Z.160815T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
834 PM CDT FRI AUG 12 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Tickfaw River Near Holden.
* until further notice.
* At  7:45 PM Friday the stage was 16.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Record flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 25.0 feet by 
  Monday morning then begin falling.
* Impact...At 24.0 feet...Water will reach the under carriage of the 
  Highway 190 bridge. The bridge will be in danger of structural 
  damage as debris is carried downstream in strong, swift current. 
  Access roads will be impassable.
* Impact...At 21.0 feet...Many secondary roads will be under water and
  closed due to high water.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...Property in low areas along the river from 
  Interstate 12 north to Parish Road 1036 will flood.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Wooded areas in the vicinity of the Highway 
  190 bridge will be inundated.
* Impact...At 12.0 feet...Tickfaw State Park, located downstream of 
  the Holden gage, will close.
* Impact...At 11.0 feet...Flooding will expand downstream in the 
  Tickfaw State Park.  All campgrounds will close. 
* Impact...At 9.0 feet...Areas downstream in the Tickfaw State Park 
  will begin to flood, primarily in the Tent Area.


&&

LAT...LON 3062 9059 3062 9065 3051 9069 3051 9061




$$

LAC091-140733-
/O.CON.KLIX.FL.W.0094.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MONL1.3.ER.160812T1443Z.160812T2230Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
834 PM CDT FRI AUG 12 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Tickfaw River Near Montpelier.
* until further notice.
* At  7:30 PM Friday the stage was 25.7 feet.
* Record flooding is occurring and Record flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river has crested and will continue to fall to a stage
  of 23.6 feet by Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...At 20 feet water will reach the 
  undercarriage of the Highway 16 bridge. Approaches to the bridge 
  will be under water. Highway 16 will likely be closed. Secondary 
  roads within a mile of the river will be under water and closed to 
  traffic.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet...The river channel will expand to about one 
  half mile wide for several miles downstream from Montpelier. 
  Secondary roads west of Louisiana Highway 43 will be under water 
  and likely to be closed to traffic. Woodlands and farmland near the
  river will remain inundated.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Woodlands and farmland near the river will 
  be inundated. Livestock and farm equipment should be moved to 
  higher ground.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet...The low banks will overflow threatening 
  commercial interests near the river with flooding.
* Impact...At 12.5 feet...Forestry and sand and gravel operations will
  be curtailed.


&&

LAT...LON 3070 9061 3078 9067 3062 9065 3062 9059




$$
083 
WGUS84 KLIX 130919
FLSLIX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA 
418 AM CDT SAT AUG 13 2016

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Louisiana...
 
  Tickfaw River At Liverpool affecting St. Helena Parish 

  Tickfaw River Near Holden affecting Livingston Parish 

  Tickfaw River Near Montpelier affecting St. Helena Parish 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has occurred along with 
anticipated rain for the next 12 hours. Adjustments to the forecasts 
will be made if additional heavy rainfall occurs.

Do not drive cars through flooded areas. Remember, two feet of 
rushing water can carry away most vehicles including pickups.  Turn 
around and don't drown!

A followup product will be issued later. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather 
Radio, local tv and radio stations...or your cable provider, for the 
latest information. The latest graphical hydrologic information can 
also be found at Weather.Gov.

&&

LAC091-141518-
/O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0089.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LPOL1.3.ER.160812T0743Z.160813T0045Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
418 AM CDT SAT AUG 13 2016

...Flood Warning extended until further notice...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  The Tickfaw River At Liverpool.
* until further notice.
* At  3:15 AM Saturday the stage was 11.1 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Record flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise to near 14.0 feet by 
  after midnight tomorrow then begin falling.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet...Major flooding of the river basin will 
  occur. There will be major flooding of roads and buildings. Mill 
  Creek will back up causing flooding north of Louisiana Highway 38. 
  Evacuation is recommended for persons east of Louisiana Highway 43 
  from Easleyville downstream to Montpelier. In 1983, 12,800 acres 
  were inundated during record flooding.
* Impact...At 12.0 feet...There will be major flooding of roads and 
  buildings. Mill Creek will back up causing flooding north of 
  Louisiana Highway 38. Evacuation is recommended for persons east of
  Louisiana Highway 43 from Easleyville downstream to Montpelier.
* Impact...At 11.0 feet...Low lying roads and buildings near the river
  along with pasture and crop land will flood.

&&

LAT...LON 3100 9063 3100 9070 3078 9067 3070 9061

$$

LAC063-141517-
/O.CON.KLIX.FL.W.0093.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HOLL1.3.ER.160812T1805Z.160814T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
418 AM CDT SAT AUG 13 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Tickfaw River Near Holden.
* until further notice.
* At  3:45 AM Saturday the stage was 20.1 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Record flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 26.5 feet by 
  tomorrow early afternoon then begin falling.
* Impact...At 24.0 feet...Water will reach the under carriage of the 
  Highway 190 bridge. The bridge will be in danger of structural 
  damage as debris is carried downstream in strong, swift current. 
  Access roads will be impassable.
* Impact...At 21.0 feet...Many secondary roads will be under water and
  closed due to high water.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...Property in low areas along the river from 
  Interstate 12 north to Parish Road 1036 will flood.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Wooded areas in the vicinity of the Highway 
  190 bridge will be inundated.

&&

LAT...LON 3062 9059 3062 9065 3051 9069 3051 9061

$$

LAC091-141517-
/O.CON.KLIX.FL.W.0094.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MONL1.3.ER.160812T1443Z.160812T2230Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
418 AM CDT SAT AUG 13 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Tickfaw River Near Montpelier.
* until further notice.
* At  3:30 AM Saturday the stage was 23.8 feet.
* Record flooding is occurring and Record flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to a stage of 22.7 feet 
  by tomorrow morning.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...At 20 feet water will reach the 
  undercarriage of the Highway 16 bridge. Approaches to the bridge 
  will be under water. Highway 16 will likely be closed. Secondary 
  roads within a mile of the river will be under water and closed to 
  traffic.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet...The river channel will expand to about one 
  half mile wide for several miles downstream from Montpelier. 
  Secondary roads west of Louisiana Highway 43 will be under water 
  and likely to be closed to traffic. Woodlands and farmland near the
  river will remain inundated.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Woodlands and farmland near the river will 
  be inundated. Livestock and farm equipment should be moved to 
  higher ground.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet...The low banks will overflow threatening 
  commercial interests near the river with flooding.

&&

LAT...LON 3070 9061 3078 9067 3062 9065 3062 9059

$$
282 
WGUS84 KLIX 131416
FLSLIX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA 
916 AM CDT SAT AUG 13 2016

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Louisiana...
 
The Tickfaw River At Liverpool affecting St. Helena Parish 

The Tickfaw River Near Montpelier affecting St. Helena Parish 

The Tickfaw River Near Holden affecting Livingston Parish 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has occurred along with 
anticipated rain for the next 12 hours. Adjustments to the forecasts 
will be made if additional heavy rainfall occurs.

Do not drive cars through flooded areas. Remember, two feet of 
rushing water can carry away most vehicles including pickups.  Turn 
around and don't drown!

A followup product will be issued later. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather 
Radio, local tv and radio stations...or your cable provider, for the 
latest information. The latest graphical hydrologic information can 
also be found at Weather.Gov.

&&

LAC091-142016-
/O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0089.000000T0000Z-160817T0430Z/
/LPOL1.3.ER.160812T0743Z.160813T0045Z.160816T2230Z.NR/
916 AM CDT SAT AUG 13 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Tickfaw River At Liverpool.
* until Tuesday evening.
* At 8:15 AM Saturday the stage was 11.3 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Record flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to continue rising until cresting 
  at around 14.0 feet by late tonight. The river is expected to fall 
  below flood stage by late Tuesday afternoon.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet...Major flooding of the river basin will 
  occur. There will be major flooding of roads and buildings. Mill 
  Creek will back up causing flooding north of Louisiana Highway 38. 
  Evacuation is recommended for persons east of Louisiana Highway 43 
  from Easleyville downstream to Montpelier. In 1983, 12,800 acres 
  were inundated during record flooding.
* Impact...At 12.0 feet...There will be major flooding of roads and 
  buildings. Mill Creek will back up causing flooding north of 
  Louisiana Highway 38. Evacuation is recommended for persons east of
  Louisiana Highway 43 from Easleyville downstream to Montpelier.
* Impact...At 11.0 feet...Low lying roads and buildings near the river
  along with pasture and crop land will flood.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet...Pastures and crop land adjacent to the river 
  will flood. Rural areas near the river will be threatened with 
  flooding.

&&

LAT...LON 3100 9063 3100 9070 3078 9067 3070 9061



$$

LAC063-142015-
/O.CON.KLIX.FL.W.0093.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HOLL1.3.ER.160812T1805Z.160814T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
916 AM CDT SAT AUG 13 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Tickfaw River Near Holden.
* until further notice.
* At 8:45 AM Saturday the stage was 21.8 feet.
* Record flooding is occurring and Record flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to continue rising until cresting 
  at around 26.5 feet by tomorrow afternoon.
* Impact...At 24.0 feet...Water will reach the under carriage of the 
  Highway 190 bridge. The bridge will be in danger of structural 
  damage as debris is carried downstream in strong, swift current. 
  Access roads will be impassable.
* Impact...At 21.0 feet...Many secondary roads will be under water and
  closed due to high water.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...Property in low areas along the river from 
  Interstate 12 north to Parish Road 1036 will flood.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Wooded areas in the vicinity of the Highway 
  190 bridge will be inundated.
* Impact...At 12.0 feet...Tickfaw State Park, located downstream of 
  the Holden gage, will close.
* Impact...At 11.0 feet...Flooding will expand downstream in the 
  Tickfaw State Park.  All campgrounds will close. 
* Impact...At 9.0 feet...Areas downstream in the Tickfaw State Park 
  will begin to flood, primarily in the Tent Area.


&&

LAT...LON 3062 9059 3062 9065 3051 9069 3051 9061



$$

LAC091-142015-
/O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0094.000000T0000Z-160818T1312Z/
/MONL1.3.ER.160812T1443Z.160812T2230Z.160818T0712Z.NR/
916 AM CDT SAT AUG 13 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Tickfaw River Near Montpelier.
* until Thursday morning.
* At 8:30 AM Saturday the stage was 22.4 feet.
* Record flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river has already crested and is expected to fall 
  below flood stage by early Thursday morning.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...At 20 feet water will reach the 
  undercarriage of the Highway 16 bridge. Approaches to the bridge 
  will be under water. Highway 16 will likely be closed. Secondary 
  roads within a mile of the river will be under water and closed to 
  traffic.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet...The river channel will expand to about one 
  half mile wide for several miles downstream from Montpelier. 
  Secondary roads west of Louisiana Highway 43 will be under water 
  and likely to be closed to traffic. Woodlands and farmland near the
  river will remain inundated.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Woodlands and farmland near the river will 
  be inundated. Livestock and farm equipment should be moved to 
  higher ground.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet...The low banks will overflow threatening 
  commercial interests near the river with flooding.
* Impact...At 12.5 feet...Forestry and sand and gravel operations will
  be curtailed.


&&

LAT...LON 3070 9061 3078 9067 3062 9065 3062 9059




$$
429 
WGUS84 KLIX 140144
FLSLIX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA 
844 PM CDT SAT AUG 13 2016

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Louisiana...
 
  Tickfaw River At Liverpool affecting St. Helena Parish 
  
  Tickfaw River Near Montpelier affecting St. Helena Parish 
  
...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Louisiana...

  Tickfaw River Near Holden affecting Livingston Parish 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has occurred along with 
anticipated rain for the next 24 hours. Adjustments to the forecasts 
will be made if additional heavy rainfall occurs.

Do not drive cars through flooded areas. Remember, two feet of 
rushing water can carry away most vehicles including pickups.  Turn 
around and don't drown!

A followup product will be issued later. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather 
Radio, local tv and radio stations...or your cable provider, for the 
latest information. The latest graphical hydrologic information can 
also be found at Weather.Gov.

&&

LAC091-150744-
/O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0089.000000T0000Z-160815T1312Z/
/LPOL1.3.ER.160812T0743Z.160813T0045Z.160815T0712Z.NR/
844 PM CDT SAT AUG 13 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Tickfaw River At Liverpool.
* until Monday morning.
* At  8:15 PM Saturday the stage was 10.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  early Monday morning.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet...Pastures and crop land adjacent to the river 
  will flood. Rural areas near the river will be threatened with 
  flooding.

&&

LAT...LON 3100 9063 3100 9070 3078 9067 3070 9061




$$

LAC063-150744-
/O.CON.KLIX.FL.W.0093.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HOLL1.3.ER.160812T1805Z.160814T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
844 PM CDT SAT AUG 13 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Tickfaw River Near Holden.
* until further notice.
* At  7:45 PM Saturday the stage was 21.9 feet.
* Record flooding is occurring and Record flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 24.0 feet by 
  tomorrow evening then begin falling.
* Impact...At 24.0 feet...Water will reach the under carriage of the 
  Highway 190 bridge. The bridge will be in danger of structural 
  damage as debris is carried downstream in strong, swift current. 
  Access roads will be impassable.
* Impact...At 21.0 feet...Many secondary roads will be under water and
  closed due to high water.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...Property in low areas along the river from 
  Interstate 12 north to Parish Road 1036 will flood.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Wooded areas in the vicinity of the Highway 
  190 bridge will be inundated.
* Impact...At 12.0 feet...Tickfaw State Park, located downstream of 
  the Holden gage, will close.
* Impact...At 11.0 feet...Flooding will expand downstream in the 
  Tickfaw State Park.  All campgrounds will close. 
* Impact...At 9.0 feet...Areas downstream in the Tickfaw State Park 
  will begin to flood, primarily in the Tent Area.


&&

LAT...LON 3062 9059 3062 9065 3051 9069 3051 9061




$$

LAC091-150743-
/O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0094.000000T0000Z-160816T0600Z/
/MONL1.3.ER.160812T1443Z.160812T2230Z.160816T0000Z.NR/
844 PM CDT SAT AUG 13 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Tickfaw River Near Montpelier.
* until late Monday night.
* At  8:30 PM Saturday the stage was 19.4 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  Monday evening.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet...The river channel will expand to about one 
  half mile wide for several miles downstream from Montpelier. 
  Secondary roads west of Louisiana Highway 43 will be under water 
  and likely to be closed to traffic. Woodlands and farmland near the
  river will remain inundated.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Woodlands and farmland near the river will 
  be inundated. Livestock and farm equipment should be moved to 
  higher ground.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet...The low banks will overflow threatening 
  commercial interests near the river with flooding.
* Impact...At 12.5 feet...Forestry and sand and gravel operations will
  be curtailed.

&&

LAT...LON 3070 9061 3078 9067 3062 9065 3062 9059




$$
096 
WGUS84 KLIX 141522
FLSLIX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA 
1022 AM CDT SUN AUG 14 2016

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Louisiana...
 
The Tickfaw River At Liverpool affecting St. Helena Parish 

The Tickfaw River Near Holden affecting Livingston Parish 

The Tickfaw River Near Montpelier affecting St. Helena Parish 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has occurred along with 
anticipated rain for the next 12 hours. Adjustments to the forecasts 
will be made if additional heavy rainfall occurs.

Do not drive cars through flooded areas. Remember, two feet of 
rushing water can carry away most vehicles including pickups.  Turn 
around and don't drown!

A followup product will be issued later. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather 
Radio, local tv and radio stations...or your cable provider, for the 
latest information. The latest graphical hydrologic information can 
also be found at Weather.Gov.

&&

LAC091-150000-
/O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0089.000000T0000Z-160815T0000Z/
/LPOL1.3.ER.160812T0743Z.160813T0045Z.160814T1800Z.NR/
1022 AM CDT SUN AUG 14 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Tickfaw River At Liverpool.
* until this evening.
* At 9:15 AM Sunday the stage was 9.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river has already crested and is expected to fall 
  below flood stage by early afternoon today.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet...Pastures and crop land adjacent to the river 
  will flood. Rural areas near the river will be threatened with 
  flooding.

&&

LAT...LON 3100 9063 3100 9070 3078 9067 3070 9061




$$

LAC063-152121-
/O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0093.000000T0000Z-160816T0356Z/
/HOLL1.3.ER.160812T1805Z.160814T0815Z.160815T2156Z.NR/
1022 AM CDT SUN AUG 14 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Tickfaw River Near Holden.
* until Monday evening.
* At 9:45 AM Sunday the stage was 21.1 feet.
* Record flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river has already crested and is expected to fall 
  below flood stage by early Monday evening.
* Impact...At 21.0 feet...Many secondary roads will be under water and
  closed due to high water.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...Property in low areas along the river from 
  Interstate 12 north to Parish Road 1036 will flood.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Wooded areas in the vicinity of the Highway 
  190 bridge will be inundated.
* Impact...At 12.0 feet...Tickfaw State Park, located downstream of 
  the Holden gage, will close.
* Impact...At 11.0 feet...Flooding will expand downstream in the 
  Tickfaw State Park.  All campgrounds will close. 
* Impact...At 9.0 feet...Areas downstream in the Tickfaw State Park 
  will begin to flood, primarily in the Tent Area.


&&

LAT...LON 3062 9059 3062 9065 3051 9069 3051 9061




$$

LAC091-150524-
/O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0094.000000T0000Z-160815T0524Z/
/MONL1.3.ER.160812T1443Z.160812T2230Z.160814T2324Z.NR/
1022 AM CDT SUN AUG 14 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Tickfaw River Near Montpelier.
* until late tonight.
* At 9:30 AM Sunday the stage was 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river has already crested and is expected to fall 
  below flood stage by 7 pm this evening.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Woodlands and farmland near the river will 
  be inundated. Livestock and farm equipment should be moved to 
  higher ground.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet...The low banks will overflow threatening 
  commercial interests near the river with flooding.
* Impact...At 12.5 feet...Forestry and sand and gravel operations will
  be curtailed.


&&

LAT...LON 3070 9061 3078 9067 3062 9065 3062 9059




$$
890 
WGUS84 KLIX 150123
FLSLIX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA 
823 PM CDT SUN AUG 14 2016

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Louisiana...
 
  Tickfaw River Near Holden affecting Livingston Parish 
  
  Tickfaw River Near Montpelier affecting St. Helena Parish 
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has occurred along with 
anticipated rain for the next 12 hours. Adjustments to the forecasts 
will be made if additional heavy rainfall occurs.

Do not drive cars through flooded areas. Remember, two feet of 
rushing water can carry away most vehicles including pickups.  Turn 
around and don't drown!

A followup product will be issued later. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather 
Radio, local tv and radio stations...or your cable provider, for the 
latest information. The latest graphical hydrologic information can 
also be found at Weather.Gov.

&&

LAC063-160723-
/O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0093.000000T0000Z-160816T1245Z/
/HOLL1.3.ER.160812T1805Z.160814T0815Z.160816T0645Z.NR/
823 PM CDT SUN AUG 14 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Tuesday morning...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  The Tickfaw River Near Holden.
* until Tuesday morning.
* At  7:45 PM Sunday the stage was 20.4 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  early Tuesday morning.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...Property in low areas along the river from 
  Interstate 12 north to Parish Road 1036 will flood.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Wooded areas in the vicinity of the Highway 
  190 bridge will be inundated.
* Impact...At 12.0 feet...Tickfaw State Park, located downstream of 
  the Holden gage, will close.
* Impact...At 11.0 feet...Flooding will expand downstream in the 
  Tickfaw State Park.  All campgrounds will close. 
* Impact...At 9.0 feet...Areas downstream in the Tickfaw State Park 
  will begin to flood, primarily in the Tent Area.


&&

LAT...LON 3062 9059 3062 9065 3051 9069 3051 9061




$$

LAC091-151500-
/O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0094.000000T0000Z-160815T1500Z/
/MONL1.3.ER.160812T1443Z.160812T2230Z.160815T0900Z.NR/
823 PM CDT SUN AUG 14 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Monday morning...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  The Tickfaw River Near Montpelier.
* until Monday morning.
* At  7:30 PM Sunday the stage was 14.3 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  early tomorrow morning.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet...The low banks will overflow threatening 
  commercial interests near the river with flooding.
* Impact...At 12.5 feet...Forestry and sand and gravel operations will
  be curtailed.

&&

LAT...LON 3070 9061 3078 9067 3062 9065 3062 9059




$$
853 
WGUS84 KLIX 151439
FLSLIX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA 
939 AM CDT MON AUG 15 2016

...The flood warning has been cancelled for the following river in 
Louisiana...
 
The Tickfaw River Near Montpelier affecting St. Helena Parish


&&

LAC091-151509-
/O.CAN.KLIX.FL.W.0094.000000T0000Z-160815T1500Z/
/MONL1.3.ER.160812T1443Z.160812T2230Z.160815T1120Z.NR/
939 AM CDT MON AUG 15 2016

The Flood Warning has been cancelled for
  The Tickfaw River Near Montpelier.
* At 8:30 AM Monday the stage was 12.8 feet.
* Fell below flood stage at  6:20 AM Monday.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river has fallen below flood stage.  
  No flooding is expected .

&&

LAT...LON 3070 9061 3078 9067 3062 9065 3062 9059




$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS New Orleans, LA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Aug 12, 4:35 AM CDT, 2 hours 9 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 12, 4:35 AM CDT, 2 hours 9 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service New Orleans LA
435 AM CDT FRI AUG 12 2016

.SHORT TERM...
Heavy rainfall event continues across the area. Synopsis shows a
weaker surface and mid level trough with high pressure aloft that
is venting the system. All are virtually overhead of the CWA. To
say ample moisture is in place throughout the atmospheric column
is a huge understatement. The 00z LIX sounding from yesterday showed
an astoundingly high 2.70" for precip water. The 3 prior soundings
were around that value which are likely new daily records maxes.
For reference, that is higher than some soundings observed here
during tropical cyclones and the 2.78" is even close to an all
time record. With such deep tropical moisture in place, any storms
of moderate intensity will very efficient rain producers and could
result in localized flooding. 2"/hr rainfall rates are certainly
possible with more intense storms and rates higher than that could
occur for short durations. In addition, overall storm motion could
be slow at times and in combination with periods of training,
flash flooding is a big concern for today. It should be noted that
dual pol rainfall amounts are erroneous and legacy precip products
are recommended at this time.

Current radar shows around 3/4 of the CWA being impacted by a wide
swath of showers and thunderstorms. The bulk of heavy rainfall at
this time is located along the LA/MS border.  Meso and even global
models suggest a shift of this precip the south and west, towards
Baton Rouge and New Orleans metro areas could occur later this
morning and into the afternoon. Will have to monitor for flash
flooding and warnings are likely at some point.

Flash Flood Watch remains the same in areal coverage and
duration. Its possible that it may need to be extended into
Saturday afternoon but thinking if thats the case, it will need
to be trimmed westward as the bulk of rain begins to shift
westward. Looking at rainfall totals for the rest of the current
watch, additional 3 to 6 inches will be possible through today and
tonight as a general average. Locally higher amounts are expected.

.LONG TERM...
An upper trough moving eastward across the midsection of the country
over the weekend while the Bermuda ridge spreads further west and
causes the mid level trough overhead to shift further west as well.
Shower and thunderstorm coverage will follow suit and have adjusted
the pops accordingly. Highest rain chances will mainly be along and
west of I-55 but overall qpf looks to be on a downward trend as the
trough starts to weaken, but that reduction may not occur until
later on Saturday and into Sunday.

A more typical but still active summertime pattern will begin to
setup early next week and could continue for the remainder of the
week. Models show upper level ridges remaining in place east and
west of the region. This will keep the CWA in a shear zone between
those 2 features and within an area of less subsidence. Ample
moisture still in place combined with normal daytime heating should
promote numerous afternoon thunderstorms.

MEFFER
&&

.AVIATION...
Carrying SHRA or TSRA at all sites through the day with timing
being the biggest question in the forecast for the different
terminals. IFR conditions will result when rain or thunder moves
over any particular site. Waterspout activity will also be
prevalent through the next few days for those near shore
terminals.

.MARINE...
Broad low over southern Mississippi will continue its very slow
progress westward today. The combo of the pressure gradient and
the amount of shower and thunderstorm activity today will lead to
increased winds and seas at times but still generally lower than
yesterday. For this reason, the SCA will be allowed to expire and
be replaced with exercise caution statements across the coastal
waters.

&&

.DECISION SUPPORT...

DSS code: Orange.
Deployed: None.
Activation: None.
Activities: Flash Flood Watch tonight into Saturday morning.

Decision Support Services (DSS) Code Legend
Green  = No weather impacts that require action.
Blue   = Long-fused watch, warning, or advisory in effect or
         high visibility event.
Yellow = Heightened impacts with short-fused watch, warning
         or advisory issuances; radar support.
Orange = High Impacts; Slight to Moderate risk severe; nearby
         tropical events; HazMat or other large episodes.
Red    = Full engagement for Moderate risk of severe and/or
         direct tropical threats; Events of National Significance.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  82  75  83  75 /  90  80  70  20
BTR  82  76  82  76 /  90  90  80  20
ASD  83  77  86  76 /  90  80  50  20
MSY  81  76  85  79 /  90  80  60  20
GPT  82  78  86  78 /  90  60  50  20
PQL  84  77  86  77 /  90  60  50  20

&&

.LIX Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
LA...Flash Flood Watch through Saturday morning for LAZ034>037-039-
     040-046>050-056>072.

GM...Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM CDT this morning for GMZ555-557-
     572-575-577.

MS...Flash Flood Watch through Saturday morning for MSZ068>071-077-
     080>082.

GM...Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM CDT this morning for GMZ557-572-
     575-577.

&&
Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 12, 5:09 AM CDT, 1 hour 35 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
509 AM CDT FRI AUG 12 2016

GMZ530-532-534-536-538-550-552-555-557-570-572-575-577-LAZ034>037-
039-040-046>050-056>072-MSZ068>071-077-080>082-122215-
LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS-MISSISSIPPI SOUND-
LAKE BORGNE-CHANDELEUR SOUND-BRETON SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON LA TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER
LA OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
TO PORT FOURCHON LOUISIANA OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI TO STAKE ISLAND OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON LOUISIANA TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA
RIVER LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO
PORT FOURCHON LOUISIANA FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM STAKE ISLAND LA TO SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI TO STAKE ISLAND
LOUISIANA OUT 20 TO 60 NM-POINTE COUPEE-WEST FELICIANA-
EAST FELICIANA-ST. HELENA-WASHINGTON-ST. TAMMANY-IBERVILLE-
WEST BATON ROUGE-EAST BATON ROUGE-ASCENSION-LIVINGSTON-ASSUMPTION-
ST. JAMES-ST. JOHN THE BAPTIST-UPPER LAFOURCHE-ST. CHARLES-
UPPER JEFFERSON-ORLEANS-UPPER PLAQUEMINES-UPPER ST. BERNARD-
UPPER TERREBONNE-LOWER TERREBONNE-LOWER LAFOURCHE-LOWER JEFFERSON-
LOWER PLAQUEMINES-LOWER ST. BERNARD-NORTHERN TANGIPAHOA-
SOUTHERN TANGIPAHOA-WILKINSON-AMITE-PIKE-WALTHALL-PEARL RIVER-
HANCOCK-HARRISON-JACKSON-
509 AM CDT FRI AUG 12 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
LOUISIANA...SOUTH MISSISSIPPI AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT THE AREA TODAY.
THE PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE HEAVY RAINFALL AND A FLASH FLOOD WATCH
CONTINUE IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHERN
MISSISSIPPI. A FEW THUNDERSTORMS COULD ALSO PRODUCE FREQUENT
LIGHTNING AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH.

IN ADDITION...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION OVER AREA
WATERS THROUGH THIS EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED AGAIN SATURDAY
WITH SLIGHTLY LESS COVERAGE OVER THE WEEKEND. HEAVY RAINFALL WILL
BE THE MAIN THREAT THROUGH AT LEAST SATURDAY AND THE FLASH FLOOD
WATCH WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT THROUGH AT LEAST SATURDAY MORNING. A
FEW STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING FREQUENT
LIGHTNING AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH.

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE EACH DAY
MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. A FEW STORMS COULD BECOME STRONG...
PRODUCING FREQUENT LIGHTNING...GUSTY WINDS AND BRIEF HEAVY
DOWNPOURS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

PLEASE REPORT ANY FLOODING TO LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT OR THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN SLIDELL.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Aug 12, 5:42 AM CDT, 1 hour 2 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
542 AM CDT FRI AUG 12 2016

LAZ036-MSZ068-069-121145-
EAST FELICIANA-AMITE-WILKINSON-
542 AM CDT FRI AUG 12 2016

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTH CENTRAL EAST FELICIANA
PARISH...SOUTHWESTERN AMITE AND SOUTHEASTERN WILKINSON COUNTIES...

AT 542 AM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR
CENTREVILLE...OR 12 MILES NORTH OF CLINTON...MOVING SOUTH AT 20 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 30 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
CENTREVILLE AND NORWOOD.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY CAUSE
LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM.
LIGHTNING CAN STRIKE 10 MILES AWAY FROM A THUNDERSTORM. SEEK A SAFE
SHELTER INSIDE A BUILDING OR VEHICLE.

LAT...LON 3117 9113 3118 9093 3096 9093 3097 9118
TIME...MOT...LOC 1042Z 001DEG 16KT 3104 9105

24/RR
Local storm report, Aug 12, 6:19 AM CDT, 25 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
619 AM CDT FRI AUG 12 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0613 AM     FLASH FLOOD      GREENSBURG              30.83N 90.67W
08/12/2016                   ST. HELENA         LA   EMERGENCY MNGR

            CITY OF GREENSBURG CUT OFF DUE TO HIGH WATER. SIGNIFICANT
            NUMBER OF ROADS SOME MAJOR ARE CLOSED. PARISH HOSPITAL
            AND NURSING HOME HAVE WATER ENTERING THE BUILDINGS. POWER
            OUTAGES ALSO REPORTED.

&&

KGRAHAM
Local storm report, Aug 12, 6:22 AM CDT, 22 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
622 AM CDT FRI AUG 12 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0613 AM     FLASH FLOOD      OSYKA                   31.01N 90.47W
08/12/2016                   PIKE               MS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            INTERSTATE 55 HAS BEEN CLOSED DUE TO HIGH WATER. THE CITY
            OF OSYKA IS CUT OFF DUE TO FLOODING. EVACUATIONS ARE
            BEING ORDERED. NUMEROUS ROADS ARE UNDER WATER. WATER IN
            HOMES BEING REPORTED.

&&

KGRAHAM
Special weather statement, Aug 12, 6:24 AM CDT, 20 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
624 AM CDT FRI AUG 12 2016

LAZ063-064-067>070-121200-
LOWER ST. BERNARD-UPPER PLAQUEMINES-LOWER JEFFERSON-LOWER
PLAQUEMINES-LOWER LAFOURCHE-UPPER ST. BERNARD-
624 AM CDT FRI AUG 12 2016

...A LINE OF SHOWERS WILL AFFECT SOUTHEASTERN LAFOURCHE...CENTRAL ST.
BERNARD...NORTHWESTERN PLAQUEMINES AND SOUTHEASTERN JEFFERSON
PARISHES...

AT 624 AM CDT...RADAR INDICATED SHOWERS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM NEAR VIOLET TO NEAR MYRTLE GROVE TO 7 MILES NORTHEAST
OF LEEVILLE. MOVEMENT WAS EAST AT 25 MPH.

WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE SHOWERS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
NEW ORLEANS...BELLE CHASSE...PORT SULPHUR...POINTE A LA HACHE...
VIOLET...POYDRAS...MERAUX AND MYRTLE GROVE.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THESE SHOWERS...AND MAY
CAUSE LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

LAT...LON 2925 9027 2962 8995 2997 8993 3000 8986
      2994 8984 2986 8964 3002 8952 2976 8953
      2975 8960 2972 8956 2968 8966 2943 8983
      2943 8985 2944 8985 2947 8984 2949 9000
      2932 8997 2936 9007 2933 9004
TIME...MOT...LOC 1124Z 247DEG 22KT 2993 8987 2965 8989 2934 9016

24/RR
Local storm report, Aug 12, 6:37 AM CDT, 7 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
637 AM CDT FRI AUG 12 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0616 AM     HEAVY RAIN       FRANKLINTON             30.85N 90.14W
08/12/2016  M9.25 INCH       WASHINGTON         LA   MESONET

            9.25 INCHES SO FAR THIS MORNING IN FRANKLINTON

&&

AK
Local storm report, Aug 12, 6:38 AM CDT, 6 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
638 AM CDT FRI AUG 12 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0616 AM     HEAVY RAIN       KENTWOOD                30.93N 90.52W
08/12/2016  M8.84 INCH       TANGIPAHOA         LA   MESONET

            8.84 INCHES MEASURED IN KENTWOOD SO FAR THIS MORNING

&&

AK

The office that day

Everything else NWS New Orleans, LA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 11, 7:05 PM CDTSmall Craft AdvisoryLIX12 hr
Aug 11, 9:46 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLIXAscension, Livingston59 min
Aug 12, 1:36 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLIXSaint Tammany24 min
Aug 12, 1:55 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLIXSaint Helena, Tangipahoa65 min
Aug 12, 2:09 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningLIXSaint Helena, Tangipahoa3 hr
Aug 12, 3:33 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLIXEast Baton Rouge27 min
Aug 12, 4:16 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningLIXEast Baton Rouge, East Feliciana, Pointe Coupee, Saint Helena, West Feliciana3 hr
Aug 12, 4:23 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningLIXEast Baton Rouge, Livingston, Saint Tammany, Tangipahoa, Washington, West Baton Rouge112 min
Aug 12, 4:32 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryLIXAscension, Assumption, Iberville, Jefferson, Lafourche, Livingston and 10 more118 min
Aug 12, 5:06 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningLIXSaint Helena, Tangipahoa3 hr
Aug 12, 5:40 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLIXLivingston65 min
Aug 12, 5:41 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLIXEast Feliciana64 min
Aug 12, 5:42 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLIXEast Feliciana63 min
Aug 12, 6:00 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningLIXAscension, East Baton Rouge, Iberville, Livingston, Pointe Coupee, Saint Tammany and 3 more3 hr
Aug 12, 6:21 AM CDTFlash Flood Warning EmergencyLIXSaint Helena3 hr
Aug 12, 6:24 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLIXJefferson36 min
Aug 12, 6:27 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningLIXSaint Helena44 hr
Aug 12, 6:27 AM CDTSpecial Marine WarningLIX63 min
Aug 12, 6:36 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryLIXAscension, Assumption, Iberville, Jefferson, Lafourche, Livingston and 9 more3 hr
Aug 12, 6:44 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningLIXLivingston5 days
Aug 12, 6:52 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningLIXTangipahoa49 hr
Aug 12, 7:05 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningLIXAscension, East Baton Rouge, East Feliciana, Iberville, Livingston, Pointe Coupee and 6 more6 hr
Aug 12, 7:08 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLIXWest Feliciana67 min
Aug 12, 7:12 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningLIXWashington48 hr
Aug 12, 7:31 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLIXSaint Tammany29 min
Aug 12, 7:33 AM CDTSpecial Marine WarningLIX57 min
Aug 12, 7:37 AM CDTSpecial Marine WarningLIX38 min
Aug 12, 8:18 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLIXEast Baton Rouge, West Baton Rouge57 min
Aug 12, 8:19 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLIXWest Feliciana26 min
Aug 12, 9:05 AM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryLIXAscension, Assumption, Iberville, Jefferson, Lafourche, Orleans and 8 more3 hr
Aug 12, 9:14 AM CDTFlash Flood Warning EmergencyLIXSaint Helena, Tangipahoa3 hr
Aug 12, 9:29 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLIXWest Feliciana61 min
Aug 12, 9:30 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningLIXEast Baton Rouge53 hr
Aug 12, 9:30 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningLIXAscension, Livingston8 days
Aug 12, 9:36 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningLIXSaint Tammany5 days
Aug 12, 10:05 AM CDTFlash Flood Warning EmergencyLIXEast Baton Rouge, East Feliciana, Pointe Coupee, West Feliciana3 hr
Aug 12, 10:06 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningLIXTangipahoa55 hr
Aug 12, 10:23 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLIXPointe Coupee, West Feliciana67 min
Aug 12, 10:42 AM CDTFlash Flood Warning EmergencyLIXEast Baton Rouge, East Feliciana, Saint Helena, West Feliciana3 hr
Aug 12, 10:53 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningLIXTangipahoa3 days
Aug 12, 11:01 AM CDTSpecial Marine WarningLIX59 min
Aug 12, 11:05 AM CDTSpecial Marine WarningLIX55 min
Aug 12, 11:23 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLIXPointe Coupee67 min
Aug 12, 11:25 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningLIXSaint Tammany51 hr
Aug 12, 11:25 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningLIXSaint Tammany71 hr
Aug 12, 11:34 AM CDTSmall Craft AdvisoryLIX10 hr
Aug 12, 12:05 PM CDTSpecial Marine WarningLIX55 min
Aug 12, 12:09 PM CDTFlash Flood Warning EmergencyLIXSaint Helena, Tangipahoa3 hr
Aug 12, 12:31 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementLIXPointe Coupee59 min
Aug 12, 12:57 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLIXAscension, East Baton Rouge, East Feliciana, Iberville, Livingston, Pointe Coupee and 5 more6 hr
Aug 12, 1:21 PM CDTFlash Flood Warning EmergencyLIXEast Baton Rouge, East Feliciana, Saint Helena, West Feliciana114 min
Aug 12, 6:50 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningLIXAscension, East Baton Rouge, East Feliciana, Iberville, Livingston, Pointe Coupee and 3 more4 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Louisiana, 2016Every river flood warning in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.