River Flood Warning 29, NWS New Orleans, LA

789 
WGUS84 KLIX 110124
FLSLIX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA 
724 PM CST THU MAR 10 2016

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Louisiana...
 
  Tickfaw River At Liverpool affecting St. Helena Parish 
  
  Tickfaw River Near Holden affecting Livingston Parish 

  Tickfaw River Near Montpelier affecting St. Helena Parish 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has occurred along with 
anticipated rain for the next 12 hours. Adjustments to the forecasts 
will be made if additional heavy rainfall occurs.

Do not drive cars through flooded areas. Remember, two feet of 
rushing water can carry away most vehicles including pickups.  Turn 
around and don't drown!

A followup product will be issued later. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather 
Radio, local tv and radio stations...or your cable provider, for the 
latest information. The latest graphical hydrologic information can 
also be found at Weather.Gov.

&&

LAC091-120724-
/O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0028.160311T1500Z-160314T1100Z/
/LPOL1.1.ER.160311T1500Z.160312T1800Z.160314T0500Z.NO/
724 PM CST THU MAR 10 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Monday morning...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  The Tickfaw River At Liverpool.
* from Friday morning to Monday morning.
* At  7:15 PM Thursday the stage was 5.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by tomorrow late morning and 
  continue to rise to near 10.0 feet by Saturday early afternoon.the 
  river will fall below flood stage by early Monday morning.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet...Pastures and crop land adjacent to the river 
  will flood. Rural areas near the river will be threatened with 
  flooding.

&&

LAT...LON 3100 9063 3100 9070 3078 9067 3070 9061




$$

LAC063-120724-
/O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0029.160311T2242Z-000000T0000Z/
/HOLL1.1.ER.160311T2242Z.160314T0500Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
724 PM CST THU MAR 10 2016

...Flood Warning extended until further notice...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  The Tickfaw River Near Holden.
* from Friday afternoon until further notice.
* At  6:45 PM Thursday the stage was 4.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by tomorrow afternoon and 
  continue to rise to near 18.0 feet by early Monday morning.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Wooded areas in the vicinity of the Highway 
  190 bridge will be inundated.
* Impact...At 12.0 feet...Tickfaw State Park, located downstream of 
  the Holden gage, will close.
* Impact...At 11.0 feet...Flooding will expand downstream in the 
  Tickfaw State Park.  All campgrounds will close. 
* Impact...At 9.0 feet...Areas downstream in the Tickfaw State Park 
  will begin to flood, primarily in the Tent Area.

&&

LAT...LON 3062 9059 3062 9065 3051 9069 3051 9061




$$

LAC091-120724-
/O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0030.160311T2010Z-160315T0200Z/
/MONL1.1.ER.160311T2010Z.160312T1800Z.160314T2000Z.NO/
724 PM CST THU MAR 10 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Monday evening...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  The Tickfaw River Near Montpelier.
* from Friday afternoon to Monday evening.
* At  6:30 PM Thursday the stage was 5.9 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by tomorrow early afternoon and 
  continue to rise to near 15.5 feet by Saturday early afternoon.the 
  river will fall below flood stage by Monday afternoon.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Woodlands and farmland near the river will 
  be inundated. Livestock and farm equipment should be moved to 
  higher ground.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet...The low banks will overflow threatening 
  commercial interests near the river with flooding.
* Impact...At 12.5 feet...Forestry and sand and gravel operations will
  be curtailed.


&&

LAT...LON 3070 9061 3078 9067 3062 9065 3062 9059




$$

024 
WGUS84 KLIX 111143
FLSLIX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA 
543 AM CST FRI MAR 11 2016

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Louisiana...
 
  Tickfaw River At Liverpool affecting St. Helena Parish 
  
  Tickfaw River Near Holden affecting Livingston Parish 
  
  Tickfaw River Near Montpelier affecting St. Helena Parish 
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has occurred along with 
anticipated rain for the next 12 hours. Adjustments to the forecasts 
will be made if additional heavy rainfall occurs.

Do not drive cars through flooded areas. Remember, two feet of 
rushing water can carry away most vehicles including pickups.  Turn 
around and don't drown!

A followup product will be issued later. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather 
Radio, local tv and radio stations...or your cable provider, for the 
latest information. The latest graphical hydrologic information can 
also be found at Weather.Gov.

&&

LAC091-121743-
/O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0028.160311T1139Z-160314T1830Z/
/LPOL1.1.ER.160311T0918Z.160312T0600Z.160314T1230Z.NO/
543 AM CST FRI MAR 11 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Monday afternoon...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  The Tickfaw River At Liverpool.
* until Monday afternoon.
* At 5:15 AM Friday the stage was 9.7 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 10.9 feet 
  around midnight tonight.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet...Pastures and crop land adjacent to the river 
  will flood. Rural areas near the river will be threatened with 
  flooding.

&&

LAT...LON 3100 9063 3100 9070 3078 9067 3070 9061

$$

LAC063-121743-
/O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0029.160311T1800Z-000000T0000Z/
/HOLL1.1.ER.160311T1800Z.160314T0500Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
543 AM CST FRI MAR 11 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Tickfaw River Near Holden.
* from this afternoon until further notice.
* At 4:45 AM Friday the stage was 12.7 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by this afternoon and continue to
  rise to near 18.0 feet by Monday morning.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Wooded areas in the vicinity of the Highway 
  190 bridge will be inundated.
* Impact...At 12.0 feet...Tickfaw State Park, located downstream of 
  the Holden gage, will close.

&&

LAT...LON 3062 9059 3062 9065 3051 9069 3051 9061

$$

LAC091-121743-
/O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0030.160311T1510Z-160315T2148Z/
/MONL1.1.ER.160311T1510Z.160313T0000Z.160315T1548Z.NO/
543 AM CST FRI MAR 11 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Tuesday afternoon...The Flood Warning
continues for
  The Tickfaw River Near Montpelier.
* from this morning to Tuesday afternoon.
* At 4:30 AM Friday the stage was 12.3 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by late this morning and continue
  to rise to near 17.0 feet by tomorrow evening.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Woodlands and farmland near the river will 
  be inundated. Livestock and farm equipment should be moved to 
  higher ground.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet...The low banks will overflow threatening 
  commercial interests near the river with flooding.
* Impact...At 12.5 feet...Forestry and sand and gravel operations will
  be curtailed.

&&

LAT...LON 3070 9061 3078 9067 3062 9065 3062 9059

$$

435 
WGUS44 KLIX 111615
FLWLIX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA 
1015 AM CST FRI MAR 11 2016

...Forecast Flooding Changed from Minor to Major Severity for the 
following rivers in Louisiana...

  Tickfaw River At Liverpool affecting St. Helena Parish
  
  Tickfaw River Near Holden affecting Livingston Parish
  
  Tickfaw River Near Montpelier affecting St. Helena Parish
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has occurred along with 
anticipated rain for the next 12 hours. Adjustments to the forecasts 
will be made if additional heavy rainfall occurs.

Do not drive cars through flooded areas. Remember, two feet of 
rushing water can carry away most vehicles including pickups.  Turn 
around and don't drown!

A followup product will be issued later. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather 
Radio, local tv and radio stations...or your cable provider, for the 
latest information. The latest graphical hydrologic information can 
also be found at Weather.Gov.

&&

LAC091-122215-
/O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0028.000000T0000Z-160314T1700Z/
/LPOL1.3.ER.160311T0918Z.160312T0000Z.160314T1100Z.NR/
1015 AM CST FRI MAR 11 2016

...Observed flooding increased from Minor to Moderate severity...
...Forecast flooding increased from Minor to Major severity...
The Flood Warning continues for 
 The Tickfaw River At Liverpool.
* until Monday afternoon.
* At 9:15 AM Friday the stage was 11.4 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 12.5 feet by this
  evening.
* Impact...At 12.0 feet...There will be major flooding of roads and 
  buildings. Mill Creek will back up causing flooding north of 
  Louisiana Highway 38. Evacuation is recommended for persons east of
  Louisiana Highway 43 from Easleyville downstream to Montpelier.
* Impact...At 11.0 feet...Low lying roads and buildings near the river
  along with pasture and crop land will flood.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3100 9063 3100 9070 3078 9067 3070 9061

&&

LAT...LON 3100 9063 3100 9070 3078 9067 3070 9061

$$

LAC063-122214-
/O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0029.160311T1706Z-000000T0000Z/
/HOLL1.2.ER.160311T1706Z.160314T0500Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
1015 AM CST FRI MAR 11 2016

...Forecast flooding increased from Minor to Moderate severity...
The Flood Warning continues for 
 The Tickfaw River Near Holden.
* until further notice.
* At 9:45 AM Friday the stage was 14.6 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by late this morning and continue
  to rise to near 19.5 feet by Monday morning.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Wooded areas in the vicinity of the Highway 
  190 bridge will be inundated.
* Impact...At 12.0 feet...Tickfaw State Park, located downstream of 
  the Holden gage, will close.
* Impact...At 11.0 feet...Flooding will expand downstream in the 
  Tickfaw State Park.  All campgrounds will close. 
* Impact...At 9.0 feet...Areas downstream in the Tickfaw State Park 
  will begin to flood, primarily in the Tent Area.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3062 9059 3062 9065 3051 9069 3051 9061

&&

LAT...LON 3062 9059 3062 9065 3051 9069 3051 9061

$$

LAC091-122214-
/O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-160316T0245Z/
/MONL1.2.ER.160311T1203Z.160312T1200Z.160315T2045Z.NO/
1015 AM CST FRI MAR 11 2016

...Forecast flooding increased from Minor to Moderate severity...
The Flood Warning continues for 
 The Tickfaw River Near Montpelier.
* until Tuesday evening.
* At 9:30 AM Friday the stage was 14.6 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 19.5 feet by 
  tomorrow morning. 
* Impact...At 18.0 feet...The river channel will expand to about one 
  half mile wide for several miles downstream from Montpelier. 
  Secondary roads west of Louisiana Highway 43 will be under water 
  and likely to be closed to traffic. Woodlands and farmland near the
  river will remain inundated.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Woodlands and farmland near the river will 
  be inundated. Livestock and farm equipment should be moved to 
  higher ground.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet...The low banks will overflow threatening 
  commercial interests near the river with flooding.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3070 9061 3078 9067 3062 9065 3062 9059

&&

LAT...LON 3070 9061 3078 9067 3062 9065 3062 9059

$$

899 
WGUS84 KLIX 120110
FLSLIX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA 
710 PM CST FRI MAR 11 2016

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Louisiana...
 
  Tickfaw River At Liverpool affecting St. Helena Parish 
  
  Tickfaw River Near Holden affecting Livingston Parish 
  
  Tickfaw River Near Montpelier affecting St. Helena Parish 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has occurred along with 
anticipated rain for the next 12 hours. Adjustments to the forecasts 
will be made if additional heavy rainfall occurs.

Do not drive cars through flooded areas. Remember, two feet of 
rushing water can carry away most vehicles including pickups.  Turn 
around and don't drown!

A followup product will be issued later. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather 
Radio, local tv and radio stations...or your cable provider, for the 
latest information. The latest graphical hydrologic information can 
also be found at Weather.Gov.

&&

LAC091-130710-
/O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0028.000000T0000Z-160314T0448Z/
/LPOL1.3.ER.160311T0918Z.160311T2245Z.160313T2248Z.NR/
710 PM CST FRI MAR 11 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Tickfaw River At Liverpool.
* until Sunday evening.
* At  6:15 PM Friday the stage was 12.4 feet.
* Major flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  Sunday afternoon.
* Impact...At 12.0 feet...There will be major flooding of roads and 
  buildings. Mill Creek will back up causing flooding north of 
  Louisiana Highway 38. Evacuation is recommended for persons east of
  Louisiana Highway 43 from Easleyville downstream to Montpelier.
* Impact...At 11.0 feet...Low lying roads and buildings near the river
  along with pasture and crop land will flood.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet...Pastures and crop land adjacent to the river 
  will flood. Rural areas near the river will be threatened with 
  flooding.


&&

LAT...LON 3100 9063 3100 9070 3078 9067 3070 9061




$$

LAC063-130709-
/O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0029.000000T0000Z-160317T0240Z/
/HOLL1.2.ER.160311T1907Z.160314T1200Z.160316T2040Z.NR/
710 PM CST FRI MAR 11 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Tickfaw River Near Holden.
* until Wednesday evening.
* At  6:45 PM Friday the stage was 15.7 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 19.5 feet by 
  Monday morning. The river will fall below flood stage Wednesday 
  afternoon.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Wooded areas in the vicinity of the Highway 
  190 bridge will be inundated.
* Impact...At 12.0 feet...Tickfaw State Park, located downstream of 
  the Holden gage, will close.
* Impact...At 11.0 feet...Flooding will expand downstream in the 
  Tickfaw State Park.  All campgrounds will close. 
* Impact...At 9.0 feet...Areas downstream in the Tickfaw State Park 
  will begin to flood, primarily in the Tent Area.

&&

LAT...LON 3062 9059 3062 9065 3051 9069 3051 9061




$$

LAC091-130709-
/O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-160315T1400Z/
/MONL1.2.ER.160311T1203Z.160312T1200Z.160315T0800Z.NO/
710 PM CST FRI MAR 11 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Tickfaw River Near Montpelier.
* until Tuesday morning.
* At  6:30 PM Friday the stage was 18.2 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 19.5 feet by 
  tomorrow morning. The river will fall below flood stage Tuesday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet...The river channel will expand to about one 
  half mile wide for several miles downstream from Montpelier. 
  Secondary roads west of Louisiana Highway 43 will be under water 
  and likely to be closed to traffic. Woodlands and farmland near the
  river will remain inundated.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Woodlands and farmland near the river will 
  be inundated. Livestock and farm equipment should be moved to 
  higher ground.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet...The low banks will overflow threatening 
  commercial interests near the river with flooding.
* Impact...At 12.5 feet...Forestry and sand and gravel operations will
  be curtailed.

&&

LAT...LON 3070 9061 3078 9067 3062 9065 3062 9059




$$

127 
WGUS84 KLIX 120803
FLSLIX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA 
203 AM CST SAT MAR 12 2016

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Louisiana...
 
  Tickfaw River At Liverpool affecting St. Helena Parish 
  
  Tickfaw River Near Holden affecting Livingston Parish 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has occurred along with 
anticipated rain for the next 12 hours. Adjustments to the forecasts 
will be made if additional heavy rainfall occurs.

Do not drive cars through flooded areas. Remember, two feet of 
rushing water can carry away most vehicles including pickups.  Turn 
around and don't drown!

A followup product will be issued later. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather 
Radio, local tv and radio stations...or your cable provider, for the 
latest information. The latest graphical hydrologic information can 
also be found at Weather.Gov.

&&

LAC091-131403-
/O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0028.000000T0000Z-160314T1700Z/
/LPOL1.3.ER.160311T0918Z.160311T2245Z.160314T1100Z.NR/
203 AM CST SAT MAR 12 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Monday afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Tickfaw River At Liverpool.
* Until Monday afternoon.
* At 1:15 AM Saturday the stage was 11.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river has crested and is expected to continue to fall 
  to below flood stage by Monday morning.
* Impact...At 11.0 feet...Low lying roads and buildings near the river
  along with pasture and crop land will flood.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet...Pastures and crop land adjacent to the river 
  will flood. Rural areas near the river will be threatened with 
  flooding.

&&

LAT...LON 3100 9063 3100 9070 3078 9067 3070 9061

$$

LAC063-131402-
/O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0029.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HOLL1.2.ER.160311T1907Z.160314T0500Z.000000T0000Z.NR/
203 AM CST SAT MAR 12 2016

...Flood Warning extended until further notice...

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Tickfaw River Near Holden.
* until further notice.
* At 1:45 AM Saturday the stage was 17.2 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to continue rising to near 20.5 feet 
  by Monday morning.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...Property in low areas along the river from 
  Interstate 12 north to Parish Road 1036 will flood.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Wooded areas in the vicinity of the Highway 
  190 bridge will be inundated.

&&

LAT...LON 3062 9059 3062 9065 3051 9069 3051 9061

$$

98/SO

583 
WGUS44 KLIX 121651
FLWLIX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA 
1051 AM CST SAT MAR 12 2016

...Observed Flooding Changed from Moderate to Moderate Severity for 
the following river in Louisiana...

...Forecast Flooding Changed from Moderate to Major Severity for the 
following rivers in Louisiana...
  
The Tickfaw River Near Holden affecting Livingston Parish

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has occurred along with 
anticipated rain for the next 12 hours. Adjustments to the forecasts 
will be made if additional heavy rainfall occurs.

Do not drive cars through flooded areas. Remember, two feet of 
rushing water can carry away most vehicles including pickups.  Turn 
around and don't drown!

A followup product will be issued later. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather 
Radio, local tv and radio stations...or your cable provider, for the 
latest information. The latest graphical hydrologic information can 
also be found at Weather.Gov.

&&

LAC063-132251-
/O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0029.000000T0000Z-160316T1522Z/
/HOLL1.3.ER.160311T1907Z.160313T0600Z.160316T0922Z.NR/
1051 AM CST SAT MAR 12 2016

...Forecast flooding increased from Moderate to Major severity...
The Flood Warning continues for 
 The Tickfaw River Near Holden.
* until Wednesday morning.
* At  9:45 AM Saturday the stage was 19.4 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to continue rising until cresting
  at around 21.0 feet by Sunday morning. The river is expected to fall
  below flood stage by Wednesday morning March 16th.
* Impact...At 21.0 feet...Many secondary roads will be under water and
  closed due to high water.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...Property in low areas along the river from 
  Interstate 12 north to Parish Road 1036 will flood.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Wooded areas in the vicinity of the Highway 
  190 bridge will be inundated.
* Impact...At 12.0 feet...Tickfaw State Park, located downstream of 
  the Holden gage, will close.
* Impact...At 11.0 feet...Flooding will expand downstream in the 
  Tickfaw State Park.  All campgrounds will close. 
* Impact...At 9.0 feet...Areas downstream in the Tickfaw State Park 
  will begin to flood, primarily in the Tent Area.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3062 9059 3062 9065 3051 9069 3051 9061

&&

LAT...LON 3062 9059 3062 9065 3051 9069 3051 9061




$$

501 
WGUS84 KLIX 130235
FLSLIX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA 
835 PM CST SAT MAR 12 2016

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Louisiana...
 
  Tickfaw River Near Holden affecting Livingston Parish 

  Tickfaw River Near Montpelier affecting St. Helena Parish 

  Tickfaw River At Liverpool affecting St. Helena Parish 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has occurred along with 
anticipated rain for the next 12 hours. Adjustments to the forecasts 
will be made if additional heavy rainfall occurs.

Do not drive cars through flooded areas. Remember, two feet of 
rushing water can carry away most vehicles including pickups.  Turn 
around and don't drown!

A followup product will be issued later. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather 
Radio, local tv and radio stations...or your cable provider, for the 
latest information. The latest graphical hydrologic information can 
also be found at Weather.Gov.

&&

LAC091-131400-
/O.CON.KLIX.FL.W.0028.000000T0000Z-160313T1400Z/
/LPOL1.3.ER.160311T0918Z.160311T2245Z.160313T0800Z.NR/
835 PM CST SAT MAR 12 2016

The Flood Warning continues for the Tickfaw River At Liverpool.
* until Sunday morning.
* At  8:15 PM Saturday the stage was 9.1 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  early tomorrow.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet...Pastures and crop land adjacent to the river 
  will flood. Rural areas near the river will be threatened with 
  flooding.

&&

LAT...LON 3100 9063 3100 9070 3078 9067 3070 9061




$$

LAC063-140835-
/O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0029.000000T0000Z-160316T1017Z/
/HOLL1.3.ER.160311T1907Z.160313T1800Z.160316T0417Z.NR/
835 PM CST SAT MAR 12 2016

The Flood Warning continues for the Tickfaw River Near Holden.
* until late Tuesday night.
* At  7:45 PM Saturday the stage was 20.2 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 21.0 feet by 
  tomorrow evening. The river will fall below flood stage Tuesday 
  before midnight.
* Impact...At 21.0 feet...Many secondary roads will be under water and
  closed due to high water.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...Property in low areas along the river from 
  Interstate 12 north to Parish Road 1036 will flood.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Wooded areas in the vicinity of the Highway 
  190 bridge will be inundated.
* Impact...At 12.0 feet...Tickfaw State Park, located downstream of 
  the Holden gage, will close.
* Impact...At 11.0 feet...Flooding will expand downstream in the 
  Tickfaw State Park.  All campgrounds will close. 
* Impact...At 9.0 feet...Areas downstream in the Tickfaw State Park 
  will begin to flood, primarily in the Tent Area.


&&

LAT...LON 3062 9059 3062 9065 3051 9069 3051 9061




$$

LAC091-140834-
/O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-160314T1900Z/
/MONL1.2.ER.160311T1203Z.160312T0845Z.160314T1300Z.NO/
835 PM CST SAT MAR 12 2016

The Flood Warning continues for the Tickfaw River Near Montpelier.
* until Monday afternoon.
* At  7:30 PM Saturday the stage was 16.3 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 17.0 feet by 
  tomorrow morning. The river will fall below flood stage Monday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Woodlands and farmland near the river will 
  be inundated. Livestock and farm equipment should be moved to 
  higher ground.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet...The low banks will overflow threatening 
  commercial interests near the river with flooding.
* Impact...At 12.5 feet...Forestry and sand and gravel operations will
  be curtailed.


&&

LAT...LON 3070 9061 3078 9067 3062 9065 3062 9059




$$

882 
WGUS84 KLIX 131534
FLSLIX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA 
1034 AM CDT SUN MAR 13 2016

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Louisiana...
 
The Tickfaw River Near Holden affecting Livingston Parish 

The Tickfaw River Near Montpelier affecting St. Helena Parish 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has occurred along with 
anticipated rain for the next 12 hours. Adjustments to the forecasts 
will be made if additional heavy rainfall occurs.

Do not drive cars through flooded areas. Remember, two feet of 
rushing water can carry away most vehicles including pickups.  Turn 
around and don't drown!

A followup product will be issued later. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather 
Radio, local tv and radio stations...or your cable provider, for the 
latest information. The latest graphical hydrologic information can 
also be found at Weather.Gov.

&&

LAC063-142134-
/O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0029.000000T0000Z-160315T2130Z/
/HOLL1.2.ER.160311T1907Z.160313T0800Z.160315T1530Z.NR/
1034 AM CDT SUN MAR 13 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Tickfaw River Near Holden.
* until Tuesday afternoon.
* At 9:45 AM Sunday the stage was 19.9 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river has already crested and is expected to fall 
  below flood stage by late Tuesday morning.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Wooded areas in the vicinity of the Highway 
  190 bridge will be inundated.
* Impact...At 12.0 feet...Tickfaw State Park, located downstream of 
  the Holden gage, will close.
* Impact...At 11.0 feet...Flooding will expand downstream in the 
  Tickfaw State Park.  All campgrounds will close. 
* Impact...At 9.0 feet...Areas downstream in the Tickfaw State Park 
  will begin to flood, primarily in the Tent Area.

&&

LAT...LON 3062 9059 3062 9065 3051 9069 3051 9061




$$

LAC091-140051-
/O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-160314T0051Z/
/MONL1.2.ER.160311T1203Z.160312T0845Z.160313T1851Z.NO/
1034 AM CDT SUN MAR 13 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Tickfaw River Near Montpelier.
* until this evening.
* At 9:30 AM Sunday the stage was 13.6 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river has already crested and is expected to fall
  below flood stage by this afternoon.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet...The low banks will overflow threatening 
  commercial interests near the river with flooding.
* Impact...At 12.5 feet...Forestry and sand and gravel operations will
  be curtailed.

&&

LAT...LON 3070 9061 3078 9067 3062 9065 3062 9059



$$

170 
WGUS84 KLIX 140327
FLSLIX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA 
1027 PM CDT SUN MAR 13 2016

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Louisiana...
 
  Tickfaw River Near Holden affecting Livingston Parish 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has occurred along with 
anticipated rain for the next 12 hours. Adjustments to the forecasts 
will be made if additional heavy rainfall occurs.

Do not drive cars through flooded areas. Remember, two feet of 
rushing water can carry away most vehicles including pickups.  Turn 
around and don't drown!

A followup product will be issued later. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather 
Radio, local tv and radio stations...or your cable provider, for the 
latest information. The latest graphical hydrologic information can 
also be found at Weather.Gov.

&&

LAC063-150815-
/O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0029.000000T0000Z-160315T0815Z/
/HOLL1.2.ER.160311T1907Z.160313T0800Z.160315T0215Z.NR/
1027 PM CDT SUN MAR 13 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Tickfaw River Near Holden.
* until late Monday night.
* At  9:45 PM Sunday the stage was 19.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  tomorrow late evening.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Wooded areas in the vicinity of the Highway 
  190 bridge will be inundated.
* Impact...At 12.0 feet...Tickfaw State Park, located downstream of 
  the Holden gage, will close.
* Impact...At 11.0 feet...Flooding will expand downstream in the 
  Tickfaw State Park.  All campgrounds will close. 
* Impact...At 9.0 feet...Areas downstream in the Tickfaw State Park 
  will begin to flood, primarily in the Tent Area.

&&

LAT...LON 3062 9059 3062 9065 3051 9069 3051 9061




$$

532 
WGUS84 KLIX 141443
FLSLIX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA 
943 AM CDT MON MAR 14 2016

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Louisiana...
 
  Tickfaw River Near Holden affecting Livingston Parish 
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has occurred along with 
anticipated rain for the next 12 hours. Adjustments to the forecasts 
will be made if additional heavy rainfall occurs.

Do not drive cars through flooded areas. Remember, two feet of 
rushing water can carry away most vehicles including pickups.  Turn 
around and don't drown!

A followup product will be issued later. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather 
Radio, local tv and radio stations...or your cable provider, for the 
latest information. The latest graphical hydrologic information can 
also be found at Weather.Gov.

&&

LAC063-150655-
/O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0029.000000T0000Z-160315T0655Z/
/HOLL1.2.ER.160311T1907Z.160313T0800Z.160315T0055Z.NR/
943 AM CDT MON MAR 14 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Tickfaw River Near Holden.
* until late tonight.
* At  8:45 AM Monday the stage was 17.3 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  this evening.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Wooded areas in the vicinity of the Highway 
  190 bridge will be inundated.
* Impact...At 12.0 feet...Tickfaw State Park, located downstream of 
  the Holden gage, will close.
* Impact...At 11.0 feet...Flooding will expand downstream in the 
  Tickfaw State Park.  All campgrounds will close. 
* Impact...At 9.0 feet...Areas downstream in the Tickfaw State Park 
  will begin to flood, primarily in the Tent Area.

&&

LAT...LON 3062 9059 3062 9065 3051 9069 3051 9061




$$

624 
WGUS84 KLIX 150129
FLSLIX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA 
829 PM CDT MON MAR 14 2016

...The flood warning continues for the following river in 
Louisiana...
 
The Tickfaw River Near Holden affecting Livingston Parish 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has occurred along with 
anticipated rain for the next 12 hours. Adjustments to the forecasts 
will be made if additional heavy rainfall occurs.

Do not drive cars through flooded areas. Remember, two feet of 
rushing water can carry away most vehicles including pickups.  Turn 
around and don't drown!

A followup product will be issued later. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather 
Radio, local tv and radio stations...or your cable provider, for the 
latest information. The latest graphical hydrologic information can 
also be found at Weather.Gov.

&&

LAC063-151200-
/O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0029.000000T0000Z-160315T1200Z/
/HOLL1.2.ER.160311T1907Z.160313T0800Z.160315T0600Z.NR/
829 PM CDT MON MAR 14 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Tuesday morning...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  The Tickfaw River Near Holden.
* until Tuesday morning.
* At 7:45 PM Monday the stage was 15.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river has already crested and is expected to fall 
  below flood stage by late tonight.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Wooded areas in the vicinity of the Highway 
  190 bridge will be inundated.
* Impact...At 12.0 feet...Tickfaw State Park, located downstream of 
  the Holden gage, will close.
* Impact...At 11.0 feet...Flooding will expand downstream in the 
  Tickfaw State Park.  All campgrounds will close. 
* Impact...At 9.0 feet...Areas downstream in the Tickfaw State Park 
  will begin to flood, primarily in the Tent Area.

&&

LAT...LON 3062 9059 3062 9065 3051 9069 3051 9061




$$

725 
WGUS84 KLIX 150930
FLSLIX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA 
429 AM CDT TUE MAR 15 2016

...The flood warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Louisiana...
 
  Tickfaw River Near Holden affecting Livingston Parish
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has occurred along with 
anticipated rain for the next 12 hours. Adjustments to the forecasts 
will be made if additional heavy rainfall occurs.

Do not drive cars through flooded areas. Remember, two feet of 
rushing water can carry away most vehicles including pickups.  Turn 
around and don't drown!

A followup product will be issued later. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather 
Radio, local tv and radio stations...or your cable provider, for the 
latest information. The latest graphical hydrologic information can 
also be found at Weather.Gov.

&&

LAC063-150959-
/O.CAN.KLIX.FL.W.0029.000000T0000Z-160315T1200Z/
/HOLL1.2.ER.160311T1907Z.160313T0800Z.160315T0805Z.NR/
429 AM CDT TUE MAR 15 2016

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Tickfaw River Near Holden.
* At  3:45 AM Tuesday the stage was 14.9 feet.
* Fell below flood stage at  3:05 AM Tuesday.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to 10.6 feet by tomorrow
  morning.
* Impact...At 12.0 feet...Tickfaw State Park, located downstream of 
  the Holden gage, will close.
* Impact...At 11.0 feet...Flooding will expand downstream in the 
  Tickfaw State Park.  All campgrounds will close. 
* Impact...At 9.0 feet...Areas downstream in the Tickfaw State Park 
  will begin to flood, primarily in the Tent Area.

&&

LAT...LON 3062 9059 3062 9065 3051 9069 3051 9061

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
746 AM CST THU MAR 10 2016

...SOUNDING DISCUSSION...

THE LOWER ATMOSPHERE CONTINUES TO MOISTEN WITH A RECORD
PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUE FOR THIS DATE/TIME OF 1.76 INCHES. THE
MOISTURE ADVECTION IS BEING HELPED BY AN IMPRESSIVE LOW LEVEL JET
WITH A 925 MB WIND OF 52 KNOTS AND A 850 MB WIND OF 49 KNOTS
/BOTH RECORD VALUES FOR THIS DATE/TIME/. THIS IS PRIMING THE
ATMOSPHERE FOR HEAVY RAINFALL.

WHILE THE LOWER LEVELS ARE MOIST...THERE IS A QUITE A BIT OF DRY
AIR IN THE MID AND UPPER LEVELS. THIS HAS LED TO A DOWNDRAFT CAPE
VALUE OF 925 J/KG...WHICH IF ANY STRONGER SHOWERS OR
THUNDERSTORMS CAN ENTRAIN THOSE LOW LEVEL WINDS INTO DOWNDRAFTS WOULD
RESULT IN SEVERE WIND GUSTS REACHING THE SURFACE. IF WE GET
MIXING UP TO 925MB *OUTSIDE* OF RAIN/CONVECTION...WHICH ISN'T OUT
OF THE QUESTION...WE COULD GET 50 KNOTS GUSTS MIXING DOWN TO THE
SURFACE AS WELL. DIRECTIONAL SHEAR EXISTS WITH SOUTHEAST WINDS
NEAR THE SURFACE ROTATING AROUND TO BLOW FROM THE SOUTHWEST BY THE
UPPER LEVELS. WINDS INCREASE FROM ABOUT 10 KNOTS AT THE SURFACE TO
50 KNOTS AT 925MB AS MENTIONED ABOVE. THIS HAS YIELDED VERY
IMPRESSIVE 0-1KM AND 0-3KM SRH VALUES OF 500 M2/S2. WHILE A FEW
TORNADOES REMAIN POSSIBLE...LAPSE RATES IN THE LOW AND MIDLEVELS
ARE NOT STEEP AND THERE IS A LACK OF A STRONG LIFTING OR FORCING
MECHANISM. THIS SHOULD HELP MITIGATE AGAINST A LARGER TORNADO
THREAT.

12Z BALLOON INFO: A ROUTINE FLIGHT REACHING A HEIGHT OF 21.1 MILES
ABOVE THE GROUND AFTER ASCENDING FOR 97 MINUTES. THE BALLOON
BURST NEAR CARNES 50 MILES DOWNRANGE FROM THE OFFICE.

ANSORGE

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 402 AM CST THU MAR 10 2016/

SHORT TERM...

THE MOST SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN THINKING CONCERNS THE POTENTIAL FOR
HEAVIER RAINS TO LINGER INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS ON SATURDAY. ALL
OF THE GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO SHOW STRONG FORCING AND HIGH MEAN W
VALUES OF 14 TO 15 G/KG IN PLACE FROM THE EASTERN HALF OF THE
FORECAST AREA THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON. GIVEN THESE EXPECTED
CONDITIONS...HAVE OPTED TO EXTEND THE DURATION OF THE FLASH FLOOD
WATCH UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING. IT STILL LOOKS LIKE THERE WILL BE
MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF HEAVY RAINFALL IMPACTING THE REGION BEGINNING
LATER THIS MORNING AND THEN CONTINUING THROUGH SATURDAY.

LITTLE CHANGE IN THE FORECAST THINKING HAS OCCURRED FOR TODAY AND
TOMORROW. TODAY...THE HEAVIEST RAINS SHOULD GENERALLY BE OVER THE
WESTERN HALF OF THE CWA...WEST OF THE I-55 CORRIDOR. RAINFALL
TOTALS OF 2 TO 3 INCHES WITH SOME HIGHER AMOUNTS COULD OCCUR OVER
THESE AREAS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE BAND OF HEAVIER RAIN
SHOULD THEN SET UP FOR TONIGHT GENERALLY BETWEEN THE ATCHAFALAYA
AND PEARL RIVERS. THIS BAND OF RAIN SHOULD THEN PERSIST THROUGH
THE DAY TOMORROW. AN ADDITIONAL 3 TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN WITH
LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS COULD IMPACT AREAS WEST OF INTERSTATE
55...BRINGING RAIN TOTALS OT 7 TO 10 INCHES. FOR AREAS EAST OF THE
I-55 CORRIDOR IN SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHWEST MISSISSIPPI...INCLUDING
METRO NEW ORLEANS...HEAVY RAINFALL OF 3 TO 6 INCHES WITH LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS OVER 8 INCHES COULD OCCUR TONIGHT AND TOMORROW.

OUTSIDE OF THE HEAVY RAIN THREAT...THERE WILL ALSO CONTINUE TO BE
A SEVERE THREAT FOR TODAY...MAINLY DUE TO THE STRONG WIND SHEAR
IN PLACE ACROSS THE AREA. THIS WIND SHEAR WILL BE DRIVEN BY A
STRONG 40 TO 50 KNOT LOW LEVEL JET PARKED OVER THE AREA. AS A
RESULT...TOTAL SHEAR WILL BE IN EXCESS OF 50 KNOTS AND HELICITY
VALUES WILL BE AROUND 300 M2/S2 THIS AFTERNOON. THE ONE NEGATIVE
TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS WEAKER LAPSE RATES AND
OVERALL LOWER INSTABILITY ACROSS THE REGION DUE TO THE HIGHLY
SATURATED AIRMASS IN PLACE. GIVEN THE LACK OF COLDER AIR
ALOFT...DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND TORNADOES WOULD BE THE PRIMARY
CONCERN WITH ANY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THAT TRY TO DEVELOP TODAY.
THE LOW LEVEL JET IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN HEADING INTO TONIGHT AND
TOMORROW...AND THE THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER SHOULD ALSO DIMINISH
SUBSTANTIALLY.

AS MENTIONED EARLIER...THERE HAS BEEN A SHIFT IN THINKING FOR
FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY. THE UPPER LEVEL LOW DRIVING THE HEAVY
RAINFALL ACROSS THE AREA LOOKS TO LIFT OUT OF MEXICO SLOWER THAN
ORIGINALLY EXPECTED. AS A RESULT...A HIGH MOISTURE CONTENT AIRMASS
AND STRONG DYNAMIC FORCING WILL LINGER OVER THE FORECAST AREA
THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON. IT LOOKS LIKE THE HIGHEST PROBABILITY
AREAS FOR HEAVY RAINFALL WILL GENERALLY BE FROM METRO NEW ORLEANS
AND THE NORTHSHORE EASTWARD ACROSS THE MISSISSIPPI GULF COAST. AN
ADDITIONAL 3 TO 5 INCHES OF RAIN WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS OF
OVER 6 INCHES COULD IMPACT METRO NEW ORLEANS AND NORTHSHORE. THE
MISSISSIPPI COAST COULD EASILY SEE 3 TO 5 INCHES OF RAIN AS WELL
WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS OVER 6 INCHES POSSIBLE. STORM TOTAL
RAINFALL ACROSS THE AREA COULD VARY FROM 7 TO 10 INCHES FOR THE
BATON ROUGE AREA AND MISSISSIPPI GULF COAST TO A BULLSEYE OF 10
TO 14 INCHES FOR METRO NEW ORLEANS AND THE NORTHSHORE BY THE TIME
THE EVENT IS OVER. ALL OF THESE TOTALS ARE HIGHLY DEPENDENT ON
EXACTLY WHERE THE HEAVY RAIN BAND DEVELOPS...AND IF MULTIPLE AREAS
OF HEAVIER RAIN TRAIN OVER THE SAME LOCATION. SIGNIFICANT FLOODING
ISSUES COULD ARISE WITH THIS EVENT GIVEN THE HIGH RAINFALL TOTALS
EXPECTED. WITH HIGH DEWPOINTS IN PLACE...OVERNIGHTS LOWS WILL ONLY
COOL INTO THE MIDDLE TO UPPER 60S TONIGHT AND FRIDAY NIGHT.
DAYTIME HIGHS SHOULD BE SOMEWHAT COOLER DUE TO THE EXPECTED
RAINS...AND ONLY HAVE HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S THROUGH SATURDAY.

LONG TERM...

ALL OF THE MODELS INDICATE THAT THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AXIS WILL
FINALLY PUSH TO THE EAST OF THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT...ALLOWING
FOR DRIER AIR AND INCREASING SUBSIDENCE ALOFT TO ADVECT IN.
RAINFALL SHOULD QUICKLY END FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST THROUGH
SATURDAY NIGHT...AND EXPECT TO SEE MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES IN PLACE BY
SUNDAY MORNING. WITH SKIES CLEARING AND DEWPOINTS
DROPPING...OVERNIGHT LOWS SHOULD FALL INTO THE UPPER 50S AND LOWER
60S SATURDAY NIGHT.

ANOTHER FAST MOVING UPPER LEVEL LOW SHOULD SWEEP THROUGH THE LOWER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY NIGHT...BUT NO REAL IMPACTS
ARE EXPECTED FROM THIS SYSTEM ACROSS OUR FORECAST AREA. THE SYSTEM
WILL BE MOISTURE STARVED AND ONLY EXPECT TO SEE A FEW MORE CLOUDS
AS THE TROUGH AXIS SLIDES THROUGH. THE LOWER DEWPOINTS COMBINED
WITH SOUTHWEST FLOW OFF THE MEXICAN PLATEAU SHOULD ALLOW
TEMPERATURES TO WARM TO AROUND 80 DEGREES BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURES COULD FURTHER WARM INTO THE LOWER 80S FOR MONDAY IN
THE WAKE OF THE PASSING TROUGH AXIS AND THE FORMATION OF A SHORT
WAVE RIDGE OVER THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. THESE CONDITIONS
WILL PERSIST INTO TUESDAY...WITH TEMPERATURES POSSIBLY WARMING
FURTHER INTO THE MIDDLE 80S.

THE NEXT CHANCE OF SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY SHOULD BEGIN
TO DEVELOP ON WEDNESDAY...AS A BROAD AREA OF POSITIVE VORTICITY
ADVECTION OVERSPREAD THE REGION. INCREASING MOISTURE ADVECTION
INTO THE REGION...ALONG WITH THE INCREASE IN FORCING ALOFT SHOULD
ALLOW FOR SOME ISOLATED SHOWERS AND STORMS TO DEVELOP BY WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON. A FRONT IS THEN FORECAST TO APPROACH FROM THE NORTH ON
THURSDAY...AND THIS COULD SERVE AS FOCUS FOR MORE SCATTERED SHOWER
AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ON THURSDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN
MILD...WITH HIGHS IN THE MIDDLE TO UPPER 70S BOTH WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY. AS MOISTURE INCREASES OVER THE AREA...OVERNIGHT LOWS
SHOULD CLIMB BACK INTO THE 60S BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

AVIATION...

MVFR CONDITIONS ALONG WITH STRONG GUSTY WINDS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS
ALL SITES OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. RAIN COVERAGE WILL BEGIN TO
INCREASE THROUGHOUT THE DAY...WITH HEAVIER RAIN BANDS STARTING TO
COME IN LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. EXPECT MVFR CONDITIONS TO
PREVAIL DUE TO LOW CEILINGS...BUT PERIODS OF IFR ARE POSSIBLE ALONG
THE HEAVIER RAIN BANDS. EXPECT FOR THESE CONDITIONS TO LAST THROUGH
AT LEAST THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

MARINE...

LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY APPROACH THE NORTHERN
GULF WATER OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM...A TIGHT
PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE STRONG SOUTHEAST WINDS
WHICH WILL YIELD SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ACROSS ALL
AREAS. HOWEVER...WINDS AND SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO DROP BELOW
THRESHOLDS FROM WEST TO EAST LATE TONIGHT.

IN ADDITION TO THE STRONG WINDS AND SEAS...COASTAL FLOODING WILL
CONTINUE TO BE AN ISSUE. A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT.
GIVEN THAT WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO LOWER LATER TODAY...LOOKS LIKE
WARNING CRITERIA WILL NOT BE MET. HOWEVER...THIS IS SOMETHING THAT
WILL BE CLOSELY WATCHED DURING THE DAYTIME HOURS.

DECISION SUPPORT...

DSS CODE....BLUE.
DEPLOYED...NONE.
ACTIVATION...NONE.
ACTIVITIES...RIVER FLOODING AT RED RIVER LANDING AND MONITORING FOR HEAVY
             RAIN THREAT THROUGH SATURDAY.

DECISION SUPPORT SERVICES (DSS) CODE LEGEND
GREEN  = NO WEATHER IMPACTS THAT REQUIRE ACTION
BLUE   = LONG FUSED WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY IN EFFECT OR HIGH
         VISIBILITY EVENT
YELLOW = HEIGHTENED IMPACTS WITH SHORT FUSED WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY
         ISSUANCES; RADAR SUPPORT
ORANGE = HIGH IMPACTS - SLIGHT TO MODERATE RISK SEVERE; NEARBY
         TROPICAL EVENTS; HAZMAT OR OTHER LARGE EPISODES
RED    = FULL ENGAGEMENT FOR MODERATE RISK SVR AND/OR DIRECT
         TROPICAL THREATS; EVENTS OF NATIONAL SIGNIFICANCE

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  75  67  71  64 / 100 100 100  90
BTR  76  68  72  64 / 100 100 100  90
ASD  75  68  71  66 /  80 100 100 100
MSY  76  68  71  66 /  90 100 100 100
GPT  74  68  71  67 /  70  80 100 100
PQL  74  67  72  66 /  60  70  80  80

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR LAZ040-058>070-072.

     COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR LAZ040-
     049-050-057-058-060>064-066>070-072.

     FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON FOR LAZ034>037-039-
     040-046>050-056>072.

GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT FOR GMZ530-532-
     534-536-538-550-552-555-557-570-572-575-577.

MS...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR MSZ080>082.

     COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR
     MSZ080>082.

     FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON FOR MSZ068>071-077-
     080>082.

GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT FOR GMZ532-534-
     536-538-550-552-555-557-570-572-575-577.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
554 AM CST THU MAR 10 2016

GMZ530-532-534-536-538-550-552-555-557-570-572-575-577-LAZ034>037-
039-040-046>050-056>072-MSZ068>071-077-080>082-110000-
LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS-MISSISSIPPI SOUND-
LAKE BORGNE-CHANDELEUR SOUND-BRETON SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON LA TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER
LA OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
TO PORT FOURCHON LOUISIANA OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI TO STAKE ISLAND OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON LOUISIANA TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA
RIVER LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO
PORT FOURCHON LOUISIANA FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM STAKE ISLAND LA TO SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI TO STAKE ISLAND
LOUISIANA OUT 20 TO 60 NM-POINTE COUPEE-WEST FELICIANA-
EAST FELICIANA-ST. HELENA-WASHINGTON-ST. TAMMANY-IBERVILLE-
WEST BATON ROUGE-EAST BATON ROUGE-ASCENSION-LIVINGSTON-ASSUMPTION-
ST. JAMES-ST. JOHN THE BAPTIST-UPPER LAFOURCHE-ST. CHARLES-
UPPER JEFFERSON-ORLEANS-UPPER PLAQUEMINES-UPPER ST. BERNARD-
UPPER TERREBONNE-LOWER TERREBONNE-LOWER LAFOURCHE-LOWER JEFFERSON-
LOWER PLAQUEMINES-LOWER ST. BERNARD-NORTHERN TANGIPAHOA-
SOUTHERN TANGIPAHOA-WILKINSON-AMITE-PIKE-WALTHALL-PEARL RIVER-
HANCOCK-HARRISON-JACKSON-
554 AM CST THU MAR 10 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
LOUISIANA...SOUTH MISSISSIPPI AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES WILL REMAIN FOR WATERS EAST OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER AND WILL INCLUDE ALL COASTAL WATERS THROUGH
MIDNIGHT.

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF THE OUTLOOK AREA
ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE INTERSTATE 10 AND 12 CORRIDOR. SOUTHERLY
WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH FREQUENT GUSTS OF 35 TO 45 MPH ARE
EXPECTED.

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL COASTAL
LOCATIONS FROM THE MOUTH OF THE ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO THE
MISSISSIPPI-ALABAMA STATE LINE. THESE LOCATIONS WILL CONTINUE TO
EXPERIENCE TIDES UP TO 2.5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS. A FEW
LOCATIONS MAY NEED TO BE UPGRADED TO A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING WITH
TIDES POSSIBLY AS HIGH AS 3 TO 3.5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL...MAINLY
HANCOCK COUNTY AND THE NORTHSHORE OF LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN.

A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL EXIST FOR THE ENTIRE
AREA. THE MAIN CONCERNS WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS HEAVY RAINFALL AND
THE POSSIBILITY OF AN ISOLATED TORNADO.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA
THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON. STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 7 TO
11 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS EXCEEDING 13 INCHES ARE
POSSIBLE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NECESSARY STARTING TODAY MAINLY FOR
FLOOD REPORTING.