Alert archive / Louisiana / River Flood Warnings in 2016

River Flood Warning 23, NWS New Orleans, LA

March 9, 2016Saint Tammany Parish, Louisiana

NWS New Orleans, LA issued this river flood warning at Mar 9, 2016, 7:52 PM CST for Saint Tammany Parish, Louisiana. It took effect at Mar 11, 2016, 2:00 AM CST. It was in force for 70 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 9, 2016, 7:52 PM CST (01:52 UTC)
In effect from
Mar 11, 2016, 2:00 AM CST
Expired
Mar 14, 2016, 12:49 AM CDT
In force
70 hr
Issued by
NWS New Orleans, LA
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

County Saint Tammany Parish, LA

The river

Written for the forecast point Bogue Falaya River at Boston Street (CVEL1). The gauge peaked at 19.20 ft at Mar 12, 2016, 1:00 AM CST.

actionminormoderatemajor510152003/1003/1103/1203/1303/1403/15
Action stage
5 ft
Minor stage
6 ft
Moderate stage
11 ft
Major stage
17 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 07375175, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

409 
WGUS44 KLIX 100152
FLWLIX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA 
752 PM CST WED MAR 9 2016

...The National Weather Service in New Orleans Baton Rouge has issued
a flood warning for the following rivers in Louisiana... 

  Tangipahoa River Near Robert affecting Tangipahoa Parish
  Bogue Falaya River At Boston St in Covington affecting St. Tammany 
  Parish

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has occurred along with 
anticipated rain for the next 48 hours. Adjustments to the forecasts 
will be made if additional heavy rainfall occurs.

Do not drive cars through flooded areas. Remember, two feet of 
rushing water can carry away most vehicles including pickups.  Turn 
around and don't drown!

A followup product will be issued later. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather 
Radio, local tv and radio stations...or your cable provider, for the 
latest information. The latest graphical hydrologic information can 
also be found at weather.gov.

&&

LAC105-110752-
/O.NEW.KLIX.FL.W.0022.160311T2200Z-160314T2100Z/
/ROBL1.1.ER.160311T2200Z.160312T1800Z.160314T1500Z.NO/
752 PM CST WED MAR 9 2016

The National Weather Service in New Orleans/Baton Rouge has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  The Tangipahoa River Near Robert.
* from Friday afternoon to Monday afternoon.
* At  6:30 PM Wednesday the stage was 7.7 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by Friday afternoon and continue 
  to rise to near 16.5 feet by Saturday early afternoon. The river 
  is expected to fall below flood stage by late Monday morning.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet...Minor flooding near the river with beach 
  areas under water.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Minor flooding near the river.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3069 9043 3069 9050 3030 9030 3036 9025

&&

LAT...LON 3069 9043 3069 9050 3030 9030 3036 9025




$$

LAC103-110752-
/O.NEW.KLIX.FL.W.0023.160311T0800Z-160313T1500Z/
/CVEL1.1.ER.160311T0800Z.160312T0000Z.160313T0900Z.NO/
752 PM CST WED MAR 9 2016

The National Weather Service in New Orleans/Baton Rouge has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  The Bogue Falaya River At Boston St in Covington.
* from late Thursday night to Sunday morning.
* At  7:30 PM Wednesday the stage was 4.2 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 6.0 feet.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by early Friday morning and 
  continue to rise to near 8.0 feet by Friday evening. The river is 
  expected to fall below flood stage by Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 7.0 feet...Water will rise onto the right bank flooding 
  property of the Bogue Falaya Towers at East Boston Street and 
  threatening commercial property on the left bank near Military 
  Road. Bogue Falaya River Park and Christ Episcopal School grounds 
  will begin to flood.
* Impact...At 6.0 feet...The river will leave its banks under the 
  Boston Street bridge and begin to flood the Boston Towers property.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3052 9004 3052 9014 3042 9016 3042 9004

&&

LAT...LON 3052 9004 3052 9014 3042 9016 3042 9004




$$
14 follow-up statements
725 
WGUS84 KLIX 101442
FLSLIX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA 
842 AM CST THU MAR 10 2016

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Louisiana...
 
  Bogue Falaya River At Boston St in Covington affecting St. Tammany 
  Parish 
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has occurred along with 
anticipated rain for the next 12 hours. Adjustments to the forecasts 
will be made if additional heavy rainfall occurs.

Do not drive cars through flooded areas. Remember, two feet of 
rushing water can carry away most vehicles including pickups.  Turn 
around and don't drown!

A followup product will be issued later. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather 
Radio, local tv and radio stations...or your cable provider, for the 
latest information. The latest graphical hydrologic information can 
also be found at Weather.Gov.

&&

LAC103-112042-
/O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0023.160311T0600Z-160315T0200Z/
/CVEL1.2.ER.160311T0600Z.160312T1200Z.160314T2000Z.NO/
842 AM CST THU MAR 10 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Monday evening...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  The Bogue Falaya River At Boston St in Covington.
* from late tonight to Monday evening.
* At 7:30 AM Thursday the stage was 4.7 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 6.0 feet.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage around midnight tonight and 
  continue to rise to near 11.0 feet by Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 11.0 feet...There will be major flooding at Christ 
  Episcopal School and Bogue Falaya River Park.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet...Bogue Falaya River park will be inundated. 
  Some classrooms at Christ Episcopal School grounds will flood.
* Impact...At 7.0 feet...Water will rise onto the right bank flooding 
  property of the bogue falaya towers at east Boston Street and 
  threatening commercial property on the left bank near Military 
  Road. Bogue falaya river park and christ episcopal school grounds 
  will begin to flood
* Impact...At 6.0 feet...The river will leave its banks under the 
  Boston Street bridge and begin to flood the boston towers property

&&

LAT...LON 3052 9004 3052 9014 3042 9016 3042 9004

$$
125 
WGUS84 KLIX 110129
FLSLIX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA 
729 PM CST THU MAR 10 2016

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Louisiana...
 
  Bogue Falaya River At Camp Covington affecting St. Tammany Parish 

  Bogue Falaya River At Boston St in Covington affecting St. Tammany 
  Parish 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has occurred along with 
anticipated rain for the next 12 hours. Adjustments to the forecasts 
will be made if additional heavy rainfall occurs.

Do not drive cars through flooded areas. Remember, two feet of 
rushing water can carry away most vehicles including pickups.  Turn 
around and don't drown!

A followup product will be issued later. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather 
Radio, local tv and radio stations...or your cable provider, for the 
latest information. The latest graphical hydrologic information can 
also be found at Weather.Gov.

&&

LAC103-120729-
/O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0026.160312T1200Z-160314T0500Z/
/CGSL1.1.ER.160312T1200Z.160313T0000Z.160313T2300Z.NO/
729 PM CST THU MAR 10 2016

...Flood Warning extended until late Sunday night...The Flood Warning
continues for
  The Bogue Falaya River At Camp Covington.
* from Saturday morning to late Sunday night.
* At  7:00 PM Thursday the stage was 36.1 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 45.0 feet.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by Saturday morning and continue 
  to rise to near 46.0 feet by Saturday evening.the river will fall 
  below flood stage by Sunday evening.
* Impact...At 45.0 feet...Water will encroach residential property in 
  the vicinity of the gage. Residences on the east bank near the 
  river will be threatened. Water will cover entrance driveways to 
  property on the east bank.

&&

LAT...LON 3060 9010 3061 9019 3052 9014 3052 9004




$$

LAC103-120729-
/O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0023.160311T0834Z-000000T0000Z/
/CVEL1.2.ER.160311T0834Z.160312T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
729 PM CST THU MAR 10 2016

...Flood Warning extended until further notice...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  The Bogue Falaya River At Boston St in Covington.
* from late tonight until further notice.
* At  6:30 PM Thursday the stage was 4.8 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 6.0 feet.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by after midnight tomorrow and 
  continue to rise to near 11.0 feet by Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 11.0 feet...There will be major flooding at Christ 
  Episcopal School and Bogue Falaya River Park.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet...Bogue Falaya River park will be inundated. 
  Some classrooms at Christ Episcopal School grounds will flood.
* Impact...At 7.0 feet...Water will rise onto the right bank flooding 
  property of the bogue falaya towers at east Boston Street and 
  threatening commercial property on the left bank near Military 
  Road. Bogue falaya river park and christ episcopal school grounds 
  will begin to flood
* Impact...At 6.0 feet...The river will leave its banks under the 
  Boston Street bridge and begin to flood the boston towers property

&&

LAT...LON 3052 9004 3052 9014 3042 9016 3042 9004




$$
440 
WGUS44 KLIX 111349
FLWLIX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA 
749 AM CST FRI MAR 11 2016

...Forecast Flooding Changed from Moderate to Record Severity for the
following rivers in Louisiana...

  Bogue Falaya River At Camp Covington affecting St. Tammany Parish
  
  Bogue Falaya River At Boston St in Covington affecting St. Tammany 
  Parish
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has occurred along with 
anticipated rain for the next 12 hours. Adjustments to the forecasts 
will be made if additional heavy rainfall occurs.

Do not drive cars through flooded areas. Remember, two feet of 
rushing water can carry away most vehicles including pickups.  Turn 
around and don't drown!

A followup product will be issued later. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather 
Radio, local tv and radio stations...or your cable provider, for the 
latest information. The latest graphical hydrologic information can 
also be found at Weather.Gov.

&&

LAC103-121949-
/O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0026.000000T0000Z-160313T2136Z/
/CGSL1.3.ER.160311T0705Z.160312T0000Z.160313T1536Z.NR/
749 AM CST FRI MAR 11 2016

...Forecast flooding increased from Moderate to Record severity...
The Flood Warning continues for 
 The Bogue Falaya River At Camp Covington.
* until Sunday afternoon.
* At 7:00 AM Friday the stage was 55.1 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Record flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 45.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 57.5 feet by this
  evening.
* Impact...At 55.0 feet...Lower end of Camp Covington Camp grounds 
  will begin to flood. Cabins on the lower end will be threatened. 
  Water will threaten living space of homes along the river east of 
  the gage. Water will cover Million Dollar Road at the intersection 
  of KC Camp Road. The Saint Joseph Abbey parking lot will be 
  threatened.
* Impact...At 50.0 feet...Property along the east bank will be 
  inundated. The entrance driveway to property near the gage on the 
  east bank will become impassable. Water will cover Million Dollar 
  Road at the intersection of KC Camp Road. Caution is urged driving 
  along Million Dollar Road. The river will be bankfull at Saint 
  Joseph Abbey downstream threatening the Abbey parking lot.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3060 9010 3061 9019 3052 9014 3052 9004

&&

LAT...LON 3060 9010 3061 9019 3052 9014 3052 9004

$$

LAC103-121948-
/O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-160315T1600Z/
/CVEL1.3.ER.160311T0903Z.160312T1200Z.160315T1000Z.NR/
749 AM CST FRI MAR 11 2016

...Forecast flooding increased from Moderate to Major severity...
The Flood Warning continues for 
 The Bogue Falaya River At Boston St in Covington.
* until Tuesday morning.
* At 7:30 AM Friday the stage was 8.9 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 6.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 17.0 feet by 
  tomorrow morning. 
* Impact...At 17.0 feet...Water will back up on the Abita River 
  flooding most of the area between Highway 190 and Gighway 36. The 
  river will be at the undercarriage of the east Boston Street 
  bridge.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Water on east Boston Street and on Louisiana
  Highway 21 east of the river will make driving hazardous. Low- 
  lying areas near the Bogue Ralaya and Abita Rivers will flood.
* Impact...At 13.5 feet...Homes along River Bend Road will flood. 
  Water will be in the ground floor classrooms of Christ Episcopal 
  School.
* Impact...At 12.0 feet...River Bend Road will be under water 
  threatening adjacent homes. Bogue Falaya River Park and Christ 
  Episcopal School grounds will remain flooded.
* Impact...At 11.0 feet...There will be major flooding at Christ 
  Episcopal School and Bogue Falaya River Park.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet...Bogue Falaya River park will be inundated. 
  Some classrooms at Christ Episcopal School grounds will flood.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3052 9004 3052 9014 3042 9016 3042 9004

&&

LAT...LON 3052 9004 3052 9014 3042 9016 3042 9004

$$
712 
WGUS84 KLIX 111414
FLSLIX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA 
814 AM CST FRI MAR 11 2016

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Louisiana...

  Bogue Falaya River At Boston St in Covington affecting St. Tammany
  Parish 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has occurred along with 
anticipated rain for the next 12 hours. Adjustments to the forecasts 
will be made if additional heavy rainfall occurs.

Do not drive cars through flooded areas. Remember, two feet of 
rushing water can carry away most vehicles including pickups.  Turn 
around and don't drown!

A followup product will be issued later. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather 
Radio, local tv and radio stations...or your cable provider, for the 
latest information. The latest graphical hydrologic information can 
also be found at Weather.Gov.

&&

LAC103-122014-
/O.CON.KLIX.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-160315T1600Z/
/CVEL1.3.ER.160311T0903Z.160312T1200Z.160315T1000Z.NR/
814 AM CST FRI MAR 11 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Bogue Falaya River At Boston St in Covington.
* until Tuesday morning.
* At 7:30 AM Friday the stage was 8.9 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 6.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 17.0 feet by 
  tomorrow morning. This is near the record crest of 17.1 feet.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet...Water will back up on the Abita River 
  flooding most of the area between Highway 190 and Gighway 36. The 
  river will be at the undercarriage of the east Boston Street 
  bridge.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Water on east Boston Street and on Louisiana
  Highway 21 east of the river will make driving hazardous. Low- 
  lying areas near the Bogue Ralaya and Abita Rivers will flood.
* Impact...At 13.5 feet...Homes along River Bend Road will flood. 
  Water will be in the ground floor classrooms of Christ Episcopal 
  School.
* Impact...At 12.0 feet...River Bend Road will be under water 
  threatening adjacent homes. Bogue Falaya River Park and Christ 
  Episcopal School grounds will remain flooded.
* Impact...At 11.0 feet...There will be major flooding at Christ 
  Episcopal School and Bogue Falaya River Park.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet...Bogue Falaya River park will be inundated. 
  Some classrooms at Christ Episcopal School grounds will flood.

&&

LAT...LON 3052 9004 3052 9014 3042 9016 3042 9004

$$
650 
WGUS44 KLIX 111800
FLWLIX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA 
1200 PM CST FRI MAR 11 2016

...Forecast Flooding Changed from Major to Record Severity for the 
following rivers in Louisiana...

  Bogue Falaya River At Boston St in Covington affecting St. Tammany 
  Parish
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has occurred along with 
anticipated rain for the next 12 hours. Adjustments to the forecasts 
will be made if additional heavy rainfall occurs.

Do not drive cars through flooded areas. Remember, two feet of 
rushing water can carry away most vehicles including pickups.  Turn 
around and don't drown!

A followup product will be issued later. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather 
Radio, local tv and radio stations...or your cable provider, for the 
latest information. The latest graphical hydrologic information can 
also be found at Weather.Gov.

&&

LAC103-130000-
/O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-160315T2200Z/
/CVEL1.3.ER.160311T0903Z.160312T1200Z.160315T1600Z.NR/
1200 PM CST FRI MAR 11 2016

...Forecast flooding increased from Major to Record severity...
The Flood Warning continues for 
 The Bogue Falaya River At Boston St in Covington.
* until Tuesday afternoon.
* At 11:30 AM Friday the stage was 11.2 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Record flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 6.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 19.0 feet by 
  tomorrow morning.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet...Water will back up on the Abita River 
  flooding most of the area between Highway 190 and Gighway 36. The 
  river will be at the undercarriage of the east Boston Street 
  bridge.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Water on east Boston Street and on Louisiana
  Highway 21 east of the river will make driving hazardous. Low- 
  lying areas near the Bogue Ralaya and Abita Rivers will flood.
* Impact...At 13.5 feet...Homes along River Bend Road will flood. 
  Water will be in the ground floor classrooms of Christ Episcopal 
  School.
* Impact...At 12.0 feet...River Bend Road will be under water 
  threatening adjacent homes. Bogue Falaya River Park and Christ 
  Episcopal School grounds will remain flooded.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3052 9004 3052 9014 3042 9016 3042 9004

&&

LAT...LON 3052 9004 3052 9014 3042 9016 3042 9004

$$
334 
WGUS84 KLIX 120114
FLSLIX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA 
714 PM CST FRI MAR 11 2016

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Louisiana...
 
  Bogue Falaya River At Camp Covington affecting St. Tammany Parish 
  
  Bogue Falaya River At Boston St in Covington affecting St. Tammany 
  Parish 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has occurred along with 
anticipated rain for the next 12 hours. Adjustments to the forecasts 
will be made if additional heavy rainfall occurs.

Do not drive cars through flooded areas. Remember, two feet of 
rushing water can carry away most vehicles including pickups.  Turn 
around and don't drown!

A followup product will be issued later. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather 
Radio, local tv and radio stations...or your cable provider, for the 
latest information. The latest graphical hydrologic information can 
also be found at Weather.Gov.

&&

LAC103-130714-
/O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0026.000000T0000Z-160313T0741Z/
/CGSL1.2.ER.160311T0705Z.160312T0600Z.160313T0141Z.NO/
714 PM CST FRI MAR 11 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Bogue Falaya River At Camp Covington.
* until late Saturday night.
* Flood stage is 45.0 feet.
* Impact...At 55.0 feet...Lower end of Camp Covington Camp grounds 
  will begin to flood. Cabins on the lower end will be threatened. 
  Water will threaten living space of homes along the river east of 
  the gage. Water will cover Million Dollar Road at the intersection 
  of KC Camp Road. The Saint Joseph Abbey parking lot will be 
  threatened.
* Impact...At 50.0 feet...Property along the east bank will be 
  inundated. The entrance driveway to property near the gage on the 
  east bank will become impassable. Water will cover Million Dollar 
  Road at the intersection of KC Camp Road. Caution is urged driving 
  along Million Dollar Road. The river will be bankfull at Saint 
  Joseph Abbey downstream threatening the Abbey parking lot.
* Impact...At 45.0 feet...Water will encroach residential property in 
  the vicinity of the gage. Residences on the east bank near the 
  river will be threatened. Water will cover entrance driveways to 
  property on the east bank.


&&

LAT...LON 3060 9010 3061 9019 3052 9014 3052 9004




$$

LAC103-130713-
/O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-160315T0936Z/
/CVEL1.3.ER.160311T0903Z.160312T1200Z.160315T0336Z.NR/
714 PM CST FRI MAR 11 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Bogue Falaya River At Boston St in Covington.
* until late Monday night.
* At  6:30 PM Friday the stage was 17.6 feet.
* Record flooding is occurring and Record flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 6.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 19.5 feet by 
  tomorrow morning. The river will fall below flood stage Monday 
  before midnight.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet...Water will back up on the Abita River 
  flooding most of the area between Highway 190 and Highway 36. The 
  river will be at the undercarriage of the east Boston Street 
  bridge.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Water on east Boston Street and on Louisiana
  Highway 21 east of the river will make driving hazardous. Low- 
  lying areas near the Bogue Ralaya and Abita Rivers will flood.
* Impact...At 13.5 feet...Homes along River Bend Road will flood. 
  Water will be in the ground floor classrooms of Christ Episcopal 
  School.
* Impact...At 12.0 feet...River Bend Road will be under water 
  threatening adjacent homes. Bogue Falaya River Park and Christ 
  Episcopal School grounds will remain flooded.
* Impact...At 11.0 feet...There will be major flooding at Christ 
  Episcopal School and Bogue Falaya River Park.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet...Bogue Falaya River park will be inundated. 
  Some classrooms at Christ Episcopal School grounds will flood.
* Impact...At 7.0 feet...Water will rise onto the right bank flooding 
  property of the bogue falaya towers at east Boston Street and 
  threatening commercial property on the left bank near Military 
  Road. Bogue falaya river park and christ episcopal school grounds 
  will begin to flood
* Impact...At 6.0 feet...The river will leave its banks under the 
  Boston Street bridge and begin to flood the boston towers property

&&

LAT...LON 3052 9004 3052 9014 3042 9016 3042 9004




$$
031 
WGUS84 KLIX 120537
FLSLIX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA 
1137 PM CST FRI MAR 11 2016

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Louisiana...
 
  Bogue Falaya River At Boston St. in Covington affecting St. Tammany 
  Parish 
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has occurred along with 
anticipated rain for the next 12 hours. Adjustments to the forecasts 
will be made if additional heavy rainfall occurs.

Do not drive cars through flooded areas. Remember, two feet of 
rushing water can carry away most vehicles including pickups.  Turn 
around and don't drown!

A followup product will be issued later. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather 
Radio, local tv and radio stations...or your cable provider, for the 
latest information. The latest graphical hydrologic information can 
also be found at Weather.Gov.

&&

LAC103-131137-
/O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-160315T0012Z/
/CVEL1.3.ER.160311T0903Z.160312T0430Z.160314T1812Z.NR/
1137 PM CST FRI MAR 11 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Bogue Falaya River At Boston St in Covington.
* Until Monday evening.
* At 10:30 PM Friday the stage was 19.8 feet.
* Record flooding is occurring.
* Flood stage is 6.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to 21.5 feet by around
  6AM Saturday morning.  This is a RECORD flood event!  
* Impact...At 17.0 feet...Water will back up on the Abita River 
  flooding most of the area between Highway 190 and Highway 36. The 
  river will be at the undercarriage of the east Boston Street 
  bridge.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Water on east Boston Street and on Louisiana
  Highway 21 east of the river will make driving hazardous. Low- 
  lying areas near the Bogue Falaya and Abita Rivers will flood.

&&

LAT...LON 3052 9004 3052 9014 3042 9016 3042 9004

$$

98/SO
470 
WGUS84 KLIX 121115
FLSLIX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA 
515 AM CST SAT MAR 12 2016

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Louisiana...
 
  Bogue Falaya River At Boston St in Covington affecting St. Tammany 
  Parish 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has occurred along with 
anticipated rain for the next 12 hours. Adjustments to the forecasts 
will be made if additional heavy rainfall occurs.

Do not drive cars through flooded areas. Remember, two feet of 
rushing water can carry away most vehicles including pickups.  Turn 
around and don't drown!

A followup product will be issued later. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather 
Radio, local tv and radio stations...or your cable provider, for the 
latest information. The latest graphical hydrologic information can 
also be found at Weather.Gov.

&&

LAC103-131715-
/O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-160314T1248Z/
/CVEL1.3.ER.160311T0903Z.160312T0700Z.160314T0648Z.NR/
515 AM CST SAT MAR 12 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Bogue Falaya River At Boston St in Covington.
* Until Monday morning.
* At 4:30 AM Saturday the stage was 19.55 feet.
* Record flooding is occurring.
* Flood stage is 6.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river has crested this morning at 20.07 feet and is now
  slowly falling. The river is expected to continue to fall to below flood 
  stage by early Monday morning.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet...Water will back up on the Abita River 
  flooding most of the area between Highway 190 and Highway 36. The 
  river will be at the undercarriage of the east Boston Street 
  bridge.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Water on east Boston Street and on Louisiana
  Highway 21 east of the river will make driving hazardous. Low- 
  lying areas near the Bogue Ralaya and Abita Rivers will flood.
* Impact...At 13.5 feet...Homes along River Bend Road will flood. 
  Water will be in the ground floor classrooms of Christ Episcopal 
  School.
* Impact...At 12.0 feet...River Bend Road will be under water 
  threatening adjacent homes. Bogue Falaya River Park and Christ 
  Episcopal School grounds will remain flooded.
* Impact...At 11.0 feet...There will be major flooding at Christ 
  Episcopal School and Bogue Falaya River Park.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet...Bogue Falaya River park will be inundated. 
  Some classrooms at Christ Episcopal School grounds will flood.
* Impact...At 7.0 feet...Water will rise onto the right bank flooding 
  property of the bogue falaya towers at east Boston Street and 
  threatening commercial property on the left bank near Military 
  Road. Bogue falaya river park and christ episcopal school grounds 
  will begin to flood
* Impact...At 6.0 feet...The river will leave its banks under the 
  Boston Street bridge and begin to flood the boston towers property

&&

LAT...LON 3052 9004 3052 9014 3042 9016 3042 9004

$$

98/SO
729 
WGUS84 KLIX 121756
FLSLIX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA 
1156 AM CST SAT MAR 12 2016

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Louisiana...
 
The Bogue Falaya River At Camp Covington affecting St. Tammany Parish 

The Bogue Falaya River At Boston St in Covington affecting St. Tammany 
Parish 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has occurred along with 
anticipated rain for the next 12 hours. Adjustments to the forecasts 
will be made if additional heavy rainfall occurs.

Do not drive cars through flooded areas. Remember, two feet of 
rushing water can carry away most vehicles including pickups.  Turn 
around and don't drown!

A followup product will be issued later. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather 
Radio, local tv and radio stations...or your cable provider, for the 
latest information. The latest graphical hydrologic information can 
also be found at Weather.Gov.

&&

LAC103-130907-
/O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0026.000000T0000Z-160313T0907Z/
/CGSL1.2.ER.160311T0705Z.160312T1030Z.160313T0307Z.NO/
1156 AM CST SAT MAR 12 2016

...Flood Warning extended until late tonight...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  The Bogue Falaya River At Camp Covington.
* until late tonight.
* At 11:00 AM Saturday the stage was 49.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 45.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river has already crested and is expected to fall 
  below flood stage by this evening.
* Impact...At 50.0 feet...Property along the east bank will be 
  inundated. The entrance driveway to property near the gage on the 
  east bank will become impassable. Water will cover Million Dollar 
  Road at the intersection of KC Camp Road. Caution is urged driving 
  along Million Dollar Road. The river will be bankfull at Saint 
  Joseph Abbey downstream threatening the Abbey parking lot.
* Impact...At 45.0 feet...Water will encroach residential property in 
  the vicinity of the gage. Residences on the east bank near the 
  river will be threatened. Water will cover entrance driveways to 
  property on the east bank.

&&

LAT...LON 3060 9010 3061 9019 3052 9014 3052 9004



$$

LAC103-132356-
/O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-160314T2200Z/
/CVEL1.3.ER.160311T0903Z.160312T0700Z.160314T1600Z.NR/
1156 AM CST SAT MAR 12 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Monday afternoon...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  The Bogue Falaya River At Boston St in Covington.
* until Monday afternoon.
* At 10:30 AM Saturday the stage was 16.6 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Record flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 6.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river has already crested and is expected to fall 
  below flood stage by Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet...Water will back up on the Abita River 
  flooding most of the area between Highway 190 and Highway 36. The 
  river will be at the undercarriage of the east Boston Street 
  bridge.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Water on east Boston Street and on Louisiana
  Highway 21 east of the river will make driving hazardous. Low- 
  lying areas near the Bogue Ralaya and Abita Rivers will flood.
* Impact...At 13.5 feet...Homes along River Bend Road will flood. 
  Water will be in the ground floor classrooms of Christ Episcopal 
  School.
* Impact...At 12.0 feet...River Bend Road will be under water 
  threatening adjacent homes. Bogue Falaya River Park and Christ 
  Episcopal School grounds will remain flooded.
* Impact...At 11.0 feet...There will be major flooding at Christ 
  Episcopal School and Bogue Falaya River Park.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet...Bogue Falaya River park will be inundated. 
  Some classrooms at Christ Episcopal School grounds will flood.
* Impact...At 7.0 feet...Water will rise onto the right bank flooding 
  property of the bogue falaya towers at east Boston Street and 
  threatening commercial property on the left bank near Military 
  Road. Bogue falaya river park and christ episcopal school grounds 
  will begin to flood
* Impact...At 6.0 feet...The river will leave its banks under the 
  Boston Street bridge and begin to flood the boston towers property.

&&

LAT...LON 3052 9004 3052 9014 3042 9016 3042 9004




$$
729 
WGUS84 KLIX 122022
FLSLIX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA 
222 PM CST SAT MAR 12 2016

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Louisiana...
 
The Bogue Falaya River At Camp Covington affecting St. Tammany Parish .

The Bogue Falaya River At Boston St in Covington affecting St. Tammany
Parish 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has occurred along with 
anticipated rain for the next 12 hours. Adjustments to the forecasts 
will be made if additional heavy rainfall occurs.

Do not drive cars through flooded areas. Remember, two feet of 
rushing water can carry away most vehicles including pickups.  Turn 
around and don't drown!

A followup product will be issued later. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather 
Radio, local tv and radio stations...or your cable provider, for the 
latest information. The latest graphical hydrologic information can 
also be found at Weather.Gov.

&&

LAC103-131000-
/O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0026.000000T0000Z-160313T1000Z/
/CGSL1.2.ER.160311T0705Z.160312T1030Z.160313T0400Z.NO/
222 PM CST SAT MAR 12 2016

...Flood Warning extended until late tonight...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  The Bogue Falaya River At Camp Covington.
* until late tonight.
* At 2:00 PM Saturday the stage was 46.8 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 45.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river has already crested and is expected to fall 
  below flood stage by early tonight.
* Impact...At 45.0 feet...Water will encroach residential property in 
  the vicinity of the gage. Residences on the east bank near the 
  river will be threatened. Water will cover entrance driveways to 
  property on the east bank.

&&

LAT...LON 3060 9010 3061 9019 3052 9014 3052 9004



$$

LAC103-140221-
/O.CON.KLIX.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-160314T2200Z/
/CVEL1.3.ER.160311T0903Z.160312T0700Z.160314T1600Z.NR/
222 PM CST SAT MAR 12 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Bogue Falaya River At Boston St in Covington.
* until Monday afternoon.
* At  1:30 PM Saturday the stage was 14.8 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 6.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river has already crested and is expected to fall 
  below flood stage by Monday morning.
* Impact...At 13.5 feet...Homes along River Bend Road will flood. 
  Water will be in the ground floor classrooms of Christ Episcopal 
  School.
* Impact...At 12.0 feet...River Bend Road will be under water 
  threatening adjacent homes. Bogue Falaya River Park and Christ 
  Episcopal School grounds will remain flooded.
* Impact...At 11.0 feet...There will be major flooding at Christ 
  Episcopal School and Bogue Falaya River Park.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet...Bogue Falaya River park will be inundated. 
  Some classrooms at Christ Episcopal School grounds will flood.
* Impact...At 7.0 feet...Water will rise onto the right bank flooding 
  property of the bogue falaya towers at east Boston Street and 
  threatening commercial property on the left bank near Military 
  Road. Bogue falaya river park and christ episcopal school grounds 
  will begin to flood
* Impact...At 6.0 feet...The river will leave its banks under the 
  Boston Street bridge and begin to flood the boston towers property


&&

LAT...LON 3052 9004 3052 9014 3042 9016 3042 9004




$$
249 
WGUS84 KLIX 130250
FLSLIX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA 
850 PM CST SAT MAR 12 2016

...The flood warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Louisiana...
 
  Bogue Falaya River At Camp Covington affecting St. Tammany Parish

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Louisiana...
 
  Bogue Falaya River At Boston St in Covington affecting St. Tammany 
  Parish 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has occurred along with 
anticipated rain for the next 12 hours. Adjustments to the forecasts 
will be made if additional heavy rainfall occurs.

Do not drive cars through flooded areas. Remember, two feet of 
rushing water can carry away most vehicles including pickups.  Turn 
around and don't drown!

A followup product will be issued later. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather 
Radio, local tv and radio stations...or your cable provider, for the 
latest information. The latest graphical hydrologic information can 
also be found at Weather.Gov.

&&

LAC103-130320-
/O.CAN.KLIX.FL.W.0026.000000T0000Z-160313T1000Z/
/CGSL1.2.ER.160311T0705Z.160312T1030Z.160312T2224Z.NO/
850 PM CST SAT MAR 12 2016

The Flood Warning is cancelled for the Bogue Falaya River At Camp Covington.
* At  8:00 PM Saturday the stage was 43.2 feet.
* The river fell below flood stage at 4:24 PM Saturday.
* Flood stage is 45.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to 36.9 feet by Monday 
  morning.


&&

LAT...LON 3060 9010 3061 9019 3052 9014 3052 9004




$$

LAC103-140850-
/O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-160314T2100Z/
/CVEL1.3.ER.160311T0903Z.160312T0700Z.160314T1500Z.NR/
850 PM CST SAT MAR 12 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Bogue Falaya River At Boston St in Covington.
* until Monday afternoon.
* At  8:30 PM Saturday the stage was 11.7 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring.
* Flood stage is 6.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  late Monday morning.
* Impact...At 11.0 feet...There will be major flooding at Christ 
  Episcopal School and Bogue Falaya River Park.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet...Bogue Falaya River park will be inundated. 
  Some classrooms at Christ Episcopal School grounds will flood.
* Impact...At 7.0 feet...Water will rise onto the right bank flooding 
  property of the bogue falaya towers at east Boston Street and 
  threatening commercial property on the left bank near Military 
  Road. Bogue falaya river park and christ episcopal school grounds 
  will begin to flood
* Impact...At 6.0 feet...The river will leave its banks under the 
  Boston Street bridge and begin to flood the boston towers property

&&

LAT...LON 3052 9004 3052 9014 3042 9016 3042 9004




$$
790 
WGUS84 KLIX 131636
FLSLIX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA 
1136 AM CDT SUN MAR 13 2016

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Louisiana...
 
The Bogue Falaya River At Boston St in Covington affecting St. Tammany 
Parish 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has occurred along with 
anticipated rain for the next 12 hours. Adjustments to the forecasts 
will be made if additional heavy rainfall occurs.

Do not drive cars through flooded areas. Remember, two feet of 
rushing water can carry away most vehicles including pickups.  Turn 
around and don't drown!

A followup product will be issued later. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather 
Radio, local tv and radio stations...or your cable provider, for the 
latest information. The latest graphical hydrologic information can 
also be found at Weather.Gov.

&&

LAC103-141000-
/O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-160314T1000Z/
/CVEL1.3.ER.160311T0903Z.160312T0700Z.160314T0400Z.NR/
1136 AM CDT SUN MAR 13 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Bogue Falaya River At Boston St in Covington.
* until late tonight.
* At 10:30 AM Sunday the stage was 7.9 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 6.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river has already crested and is expected to fall
  below flood stage by early tonight.
* Impact...At 7.0 feet...Water will rise onto the right bank flooding 
  property of the bogue falaya towers at east Boston Street and 
  threatening commercial property on the left bank near Military 
  Road. Bogue falaya river park and christ episcopal school grounds 
  will begin to flood
* Impact...At 6.0 feet...The river will leave its banks under the 
  Boston Street bridge and begin to flood the boston towers property.

&&

LAT...LON 3052 9004 3052 9014 3042 9016 3042 9004




$$
782 
WGUS84 KLIX 140339
FLSLIX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA 
1039 PM CDT SUN MAR 13 2016

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Louisiana...
 
  Bogue Falaya River At Boston St in Covington affecting St. Tammany 
  Parish 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has occurred along with 
anticipated rain for the next 12 hours. Adjustments to the forecasts 
will be made if additional heavy rainfall occurs.

Do not drive cars through flooded areas. Remember, two feet of 
rushing water can carry away most vehicles including pickups.  Turn 
around and don't drown!

A followup product will be issued later. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather 
Radio, local tv and radio stations...or your cable provider, for the 
latest information. The latest graphical hydrologic information can 
also be found at Weather.Gov.

&&

LAC103-140912-
/O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-160314T0912Z/
/CVEL1.3.ER.160311T0903Z.160312T0700Z.160314T0312Z.NR/
1039 PM CDT SUN MAR 13 2016

The Flood Warning continues for the Bogue Falaya River At Boston St in Covington.
* until late tonight.
* At  9:30 PM Sunday the stage was 6.1 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Flood stage is 6.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  tonight.
* Impact...At 6.0 feet...The river will leave its banks under the 
  Boston Street bridge and begin to flood the boston towers property

&&

LAT...LON 3052 9004 3052 9014 3042 9016 3042 9004




$$
130 
WGUS84 KLIX 140549
FLSLIX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA 
1249 AM CDT MON MAR 14 2016

...The flood warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Louisiana...
 
  Bogue Falaya River At Boston St in Covington affecting St. Tammany
  Parish
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has occurred along with 
anticipated rain for the next 12 hours. Adjustments to the forecasts 
will be made if additional heavy rainfall occurs.

Do not drive cars through flooded areas. Remember, two feet of 
rushing water can carry away most vehicles including pickups.  Turn 
around and don't drown!

A followup product will be issued later. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather 
Radio, local tv and radio stations...or your cable provider, for the 
latest information. The latest graphical hydrologic information can 
also be found at Weather.Gov.

&&

LAC103-140619-
/O.CAN.KLIX.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-160314T0912Z/
/CVEL1.3.ER.160311T0903Z.160312T0700Z.160314T0318Z.NR/
1249 AM CDT MON MAR 14 2016

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Bogue Falaya River At Boston St in Covington.
* At 12:30 AM Monday the stage was 5.8 feet.
* Fell below flood stage at 10:18 PM Sunday.
* Flood stage is 6.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to 3.8 feet by tomorrow 
  morning.

&&

LAT...LON 3052 9004 3052 9014 3042 9016 3042 9004

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS New Orleans, LA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Mar 9, 3:17 PM CST, 4 hours 35 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 9, 3:17 PM CST, 4 hours 35 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISSCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
317 PM CST WED MAR 9 2016

...MULTI-DAY SIGNIFICANT HEAVY RAIN EVENT FOR SOUTHERN
MISSISSIPPI AND SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...

.SYNOPSIS...

LOW PRESSURE OVER SOUTHERN ONTARIO CANADA HAS A COLD FRONT
EXTENDING SOUTHWEST INTO NORTH TEXAS. AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY HAS
BECOME STATIONARY OVER NORTHERN LOUISIANA WITH RAIN AND
THUNDERSTORMS FOCUSED ALONG THE BOUNDARY PRODUCING VERY HEAVY RAIN
IN THE SHREVEPORT AREA. ALOFT...A CLOSED UPPER LOW CONTINUES TO
MOVE ONLY VERY SLOWLY EASTWARD OVER NORTHWEST MEXICO.

LOCALLY...SCATTERED SHOWERS HAVE DEVELOPED NORTH OF THE
INTERSTATE 10-12 CORRIDOR WITH GENERALLY LIGHT RAIN AMOUNTS.
BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS CONTINUE ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA...WITH
GUSTS ABOVE 40 MPH COMMON IN THE NEW ORLEANS AREA OVER THE PAST
FEW HOURS. TEMPERATURES HAVE WARMED WELL INTO THE 70S ACROSS THE
AREA WITH SEVERAL SITES SOUTH OF LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN HAVING TOUCHED
80 DEGREES EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. DEW POINTS ARE GENERALLY IN THE
MIDDLE AND UPPER 60S.

&&

.SHORT TERM...

MODELS COMING INTO BETTER AGREEMENT ON A MAJOR HEAVY RAIN EVENT
FOR THE LOCAL AREA.

MEXICAN UPPER LOW WILL FINALLY BEGIN TO SLOWLY...AND I MEAN
SLOWLY...LIFT NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH MEXICO ON THURSDAY...NOT
REACHING LOUISIANA UNTIL LATE IN THE DAY SATURDAY. PRECIPITABLE
WATER VALUES ARE ALREADY AROUND 1.5 INCHES...AND SHOULD INCREASE
TO 1.75 TO 2 INCHES ACROSS THE AREA OVER THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS
WITH THE HELP OF A 40-50 KNOT LOW LEVEL JET. THESE MOISTURE LEVELS
ARE 200 PERCENT OR MORE OF CLIMATOLOGIC NORMALS. UPPER DIVERGENCE
WILL BE IN PLACE ACROSS THE AREA FOR MUCH OF THE NEXT 48 TO 60
HOURS. WHILE THERE WILL BE A THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER...A SLIGHT
RISK MAINLY NEAR THE ATCHAFALAYA RIVER LATE TONIGHT...AND A
MARGINAL RISK ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA THURSDAY...THE VERY HEAVY
RAINFALL WILL BE THE LARGER THREAT. CURRENT MESOSCALE MODELING
INDICATES THAT HEAVY RAIN THREAT SHOULD FOCUS ACROSS WESTERN
PORTIONS OF THE AREA...INCLUDING BATON ROUGE...ON THURSDAY INTO
THURSDAY NIGHT. THIS FOCUS IS EXPECTED TO SHIFT EASTWARD INTO THE
NEW ORLEANS...HAMMOND AND SLIDELL AREAS ON FRIDAY. GETTING SOME
INDICATIONS FROM MODELS THAT THE HEAVY RAIN THREAT COULD LINGER
INTO SATURDAY MORNING ACROSS THE EAST HALF OF THE AREA. WHERE THE
BANDS OF HEAVY RAIN BECOME STATIONARY...4 TO 6 INCH RAINFALL
TOTALS ARE LIKELY...WITH ISOLATED TO SCATTERED AMOUNTS IN EXCESS
OF THAT LIKELY. THROUGH THE DAYTIME HOURS ON SATURDAY...MUCH OF
THE LOCAL AREA COULD SEE 6 TO 10 INCHES OF RAIN WITH ISOLATED
TOTALS IN EXCESS OF A FOOT POSSIBLE.

WILL ALLOW WIND ADVISORY TO EXPIRE OVER BATON ROUGE AREA AT
00Z...BUT LEAVE IT IN EFFECT ELSEWHERE.

RAIN CHANCES WILL GRADUALLY RAMP UP TONIGHT WITH CATEGORICAL
CHANCES WEST TO CHANCE EAST BY THURSDAY MORNING...AND CATEGORICAL
POPS ACROSS JUST ABOUT ALL OF THE AREA THURSDAY NIGHT INTO
SATURDAY. WARM WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE PERIOD AND WILL
RUN WITH THE BLENDED TEMPERATURE FORECAST. 35

&&

.LONG TERM...

FORTUNATELY...THE UPPER LOW WILL MOVE NORTH OF THE AREA SATURDAY
NIGHT...SWEEPING MOST OF THE DEEP MOISTURE OUT OF THE AREA. A
SECOND COMPACT SYSTEM WILL SWEEP THROUGH THE AREA SUNDAY NIGHT.
MOISTURE WILL BE RATHER LIMITED WITH THIS SYSTEM...AND MAY ONLY
PRODUCE A FEW SHOWERS ACROSS SOUTHWEST MISSISSIPPI. OTHER THAN
THAT...ANTICIPATE THE EARLY PART OF THE WORK WEEK NEXT WEEK TO BE
DRY. MODELS DIVERGE AT MIDWEEK...WITH THE GFS SHOWING ANOTHER RAIN
EVENT BY LATE WEDNESDAY OR THURSDAY...AND THE ECMWF 12-24 HOURS
SLOWER THAN THAT. BLENDS TREND TOWARD THE GFS SOLUTION RIGHT NOW
WHICH WOULD MAKE THURSDAY WET.

SINCE WE REMAIN IN THE SOUTHERN JET TRACK...WARM WEATHER TO
CONTINUE. MUCH OF THE AREA WILL SEE HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER
70S TO LOWER 80S EARLY IN THE WEEK. WILL TREND TOWARD SLIGHTLY
COOLER NUMBERS AS THE GROUND WILL BE MUCH WETTER THAN CURRENT
GUIDANCE INDICATES. 35

&&

.AVIATION...

OVERALL THE MAIN IMPACTS ON TERMINALS ARE LOW CIGS AND STRONG
WINDS. THE WINDS ARE IMPRESSIVELY STRONG ALONG THE SOUTHSHORE
WHERE NUMEROUS GUSTS OF GREATER THAN 45 MPH HAVE OCCURRED. MVFR
AND IFR STATUS WILL CONTINUE TO PLAGUE MOST OF THE TERMINALS DUE
TO LOW CIGS BUT CONVECTION MAY FINALLY BEGIN TO IMPACT WRN
TERMINALS LATE TONIGHT OR EARLY TOMORROW MORNING. /CAB/

&&

.MARINE...

PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL TIGHTEN AND RELAX A FEW TIMES OVER THE
NEXT FEW DAYS AS WEAK SFC WAVES ROTATE THROUGH THE WRN GULF AND
INTO ERN TX AND THE LOWER MS VALLEY. WINDS HAVE BEEN RATHER STRONG
TODAY ESPECIALLY WEST OF THE RIVER AND OVER THE TIDAL LAKES AND
THUS A GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH TONIGHT FOR THOSE
AREAS. ALMOST CONSTANT GUSTS OF 40-50 MPH ALONG THE SOUTHSHORE
EASILY VALIDATING THE GALE OVER THE LAKE.

WINDS WILL RELAX DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS BUT AT SCY CONDITIONS
WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY AND COULD PERSIST FOR A FEW DAYS.

OTHER ISSUE IS COASTAL FLOODING. CURRENTLY A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY
IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL COASTAL ZONES BUT THERE IS A SMALL CHANCE THAT
THE NORTHSHORE OF LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND HANCOCK COUNTY COULD BE
UPGRADED TO A WARNING AS TIDES MAY REACH 3-3.5 FT ABV NORMAL. THE
STRONG ONSHORE WINDS WILL KEEP THE WATER FROM RECEDING AND AS WINDS
INCREASE ONCE AGAIN TIDES COULD CONTINUE TO SLOWLY INCREASE. THE
BIGGEST CONCERN COULD BE SAT MORNING WHEN ASTRONOMICAL TIDES BEGIN
TO INCREASE AGAIN. /CAB/

&&

.DECISION SUPPORT...

DSS CODE....YELLOW.
DEPLOYED...NONE.
ACTIVATION...NONE.
ACTIVITIES...RIVER FLOODING
             FLASH FLOOD WATCH
             COASTAL FLOOD ADV
             SMALL CRAFT ADV AND GALE WARNING
             WIND ADV

DECISION SUPPORT SERVICES (DSS) CODE LEGEND
GREEN  = NO WEATHER IMPACTS THAT REQUIRE ACTION
BLUE   = LONG FUSED WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY IN EFFECT OR HIGH
         VISIBILITY EVENT
YELLOW = HEIGHTENED IMPACTS WITH SHORT FUSED WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY
         ISSUANCES; RADAR SUPPORT
ORANGE = HIGH IMPACTS - SLIGHT TO MODERATE RISK SEVERE; NEARBY
         TROPICAL EVENTS; HAZMAT OR OTHER LARGE EPISODES
RED    = FULL ENGAGEMENT FOR MODERATE RISK SVR AND/OR DIRECT
         TROPICAL THREATS; EVENTS OF NATIONAL SIGNIFICANCE

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  68  75  67  71 /  70  90  90  90
BTR  69  76  67  73 /  80  90  90  90
ASD  69  75  67  72 /  50  70  90  90
MSY  70  76  67  72 /  60  90  90 100
GPT  68  74  67  72 /  40  50  80  80
PQL  68  74  66  73 /  40  40  70  60

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST THURSDAY FOR LAZ040-058>070-072.

     COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST THURSDAY FOR LAZ040-049-
     050-057-058-060>064-066>070-072.

     FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING
     FOR LAZ034>037-039-040-046>050-056>072.

     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR LAZ046>050-056-057.

GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 6 AM THURSDAY TO MIDNIGHT CST THURSDAY
     NIGHT FOR GMZ530-534-550-552-570-572.

     GALE WARNING UNTIL 6 AM CST THURSDAY FOR GMZ530-534-550-552-570-
     572.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST THURSDAY NIGHT FOR
     GMZ532-536-538-555-557-575-577.

MS...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST THURSDAY FOR MSZ080>082.

     COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST THURSDAY FOR MSZ080>082.

     FLASH FLOOD WATCH FROM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING
     FOR MSZ068>071-077-080>082.

GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 6 AM THURSDAY TO MIDNIGHT CST THURSDAY
     NIGHT FOR GMZ534-550-552-570-572.

     GALE WARNING UNTIL 6 AM CST THURSDAY FOR GMZ534-550-552-570-572.

     SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST THURSDAY NIGHT FOR
     GMZ536-538-555-557-575-577.

&&
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 9, 5:00 PM CST, 2 hours 52 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
500 PM CST WED MAR 9 2016

GMZ530-532-534-536-538-550-552-555-557-570-572-575-577-LAZ034>037-
039-040-046>050-056>072-MSZ068>071-077-080>082-101400-
LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS-MISSISSIPPI SOUND-
LAKE BORGNE-CHANDELEUR SOUND-BRETON SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON LA TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER
LA OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
TO PORT FOURCHON LOUISIANA OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI TO STAKE ISLAND OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON LOUISIANA TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA
RIVER LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO
PORT FOURCHON LOUISIANA FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM STAKE ISLAND LA TO SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI TO STAKE ISLAND
LOUISIANA OUT 20 TO 60 NM-POINTE COUPEE-WEST FELICIANA-
EAST FELICIANA-ST. HELENA-WASHINGTON-ST. TAMMANY-IBERVILLE-
WEST BATON ROUGE-EAST BATON ROUGE-ASCENSION-LIVINGSTON-ASSUMPTION-
ST. JAMES-ST. JOHN THE BAPTIST-UPPER LAFOURCHE-ST. CHARLES-
UPPER JEFFERSON-ORLEANS-UPPER PLAQUEMINES-UPPER ST. BERNARD-
UPPER TERREBONNE-LOWER TERREBONNE-LOWER LAFOURCHE-LOWER JEFFERSON-
LOWER PLAQUEMINES-LOWER ST. BERNARD-NORTHERN TANGIPAHOA-
SOUTHERN TANGIPAHOA-WILKINSON-AMITE-PIKE-WALTHALL-PEARL RIVER-
HANCOCK-HARRISON-JACKSON-
500 PM CST WED MAR 9 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
LOUISIANA...SOUTH MISSISSIPPI AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

A GALE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR COASTAL WATERS WEST OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER AND THE TIDAL LAKES THROUGH TONIGHT. SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORIES WILL REMAIN FOR WATERS EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER AND
WILL INCLUDE ALL COASTAL WATERS THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH MIDNIGHT
THURSDAY NIGHT.

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF THE OUTLOOK AREA
THROUGH THURSDAY ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE INTERSTATE 10 AND 12
CORRIDOR. SOUTHERLY WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH FREQUENT GUSTS OF 35
TO 45 MPH ARE EXPECTED.

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY FOR
ALL COASTAL LOCATIONS FROM THE MOUTH OF THE ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO
THE MISSISSIPPI-ALABAMA STATE LINE. THESE LOCATIONS WILL CONTINUE
TO EXPERIENCE TIDES UP TO 2.5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS. A FEW
LOCATIONS MAY NEED TO BE UPGRADED TO A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING WITH
TIDES POSSIBLY AS HIGH AS 3 TO 3.5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL...MAINLY
HANCOCK COUNTY AND THE NORTHSHORE OF LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN.

THERE IS STILL A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR THE AREA
THROUGH TONIGHT MAINLY ALONG AND WEST OF A LINE FROM THE BATON
ROUGE METRO TO HOUMA. IF A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM IS CAPABLE OF
DEVELOPING...THE MAIN HAZARDS WOULD BE DAMAGING WINDS...FREQUENT
TO CONTINUOUS LIGHTNING...AND VERY HEAVY RAINFALL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA
STARTING 6 AM THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING. STORM TOTAL
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS
EXCEEDING 12 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE.

A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL EXIST THURSDAY FOR THE
ENTIRE AREA. THE MAIN CONCERNS WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS HEAVY RAINFALL
AND THE POSSIBILITY OF AN ISOLATED TORNADO.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NECESSARY STARTING THURSDAY MAINLY FOR
FLOOD REPORTING.

The office that day

Everything else NWS New Orleans, LA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 9, 7:52 PM CSTRiver Flood WarningLIXTangipahoa7 days
Mar 10, 8:41 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningLIXSaint Tammany3 days
Mar 10, 8:41 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningLIXSaint Tammany5 days
Mar 10, 8:43 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningLIXSaint Tammany69 hr
Mar 10, 8:47 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningLIXSaint Helena4 days
Mar 10, 8:47 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningLIXLivingston5 days
Mar 10, 8:47 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningLIXSaint Helena4 days
Mar 10, 9:10 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningLIXEast Baton Rouge, Livingston5 days
Mar 10, 9:10 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningLIXEast Baton Rouge7 days
Mar 10, 9:18 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningLIXEast Baton Rouge4 days
Mar 10, 10:03 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningLIXSaint Tammany7 days
Mar 10, 10:06 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningLIXSaint Tammany, Washington48 days
Mar 10, 10:06 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningLIXSaint Tammany50 days
Mar 10, 10:25 AM CSTCoastal Flood WarningLIX8 hr
Mar 10, 10:25 AM CSTCoastal Flood AdvisoryLIX19 hr
Mar 10, 12:38 PM CSTSpecial Weather StatementLIXAscension, Assumption, East Baton Rouge, East Feliciana, Iberville, Livingston and 6 more22 min
Mar 10, 1:17 PM CSTAreal Flood AdvisoryLIXAscension, Assumption, East Baton Rouge, East Feliciana, Iberville, Lafourche and 7 more3 hr
Mar 10, 3:10 PM CSTAreal Flood AdvisoryLIXLivingston, Saint Helena, Saint John the Baptist, Saint Tammany, Tangipahoa, Washington2 hr
Mar 10, 4:32 PM CSTAreal Flood AdvisoryLIXAscension, Assumption, East Baton Rouge, East Feliciana, Iberville, Jefferson and 10 more4 hr
Mar 10, 5:05 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningLIXAscension, Assumption, Lafourche, Livingston, Saint Charles, Saint Helena and 6 more3 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Louisiana, 2016Every river flood warning in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.