Alert archive / Louisiana / River Flood Warnings in 2016
River Flood Warning 25, NWS New Orleans, LA
NWS New Orleans, LA issued this river flood warning at Mar 10, 2016, 8:41 AM CST for Saint Tammany Parish, Louisiana. It took effect at Mar 11, 2016, 8:08 AM CST. It was in force for 4 days.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Mar 10, 2016, 8:41 AM CST (14:41 UTC)
- In effect from
- Mar 11, 2016, 8:08 AM CST
- Expired
- Mar 14, 2016, 10:05 PM CDT
- In force
- 4 days
- Issued by
- NWS New Orleans, LA
- Area
- Storm-based polygon
- Flood severity
- Minor
County Saint Tammany Parish, LA
The river
Written for the forecast point Tchefuncte River near Covington (CUSL1). The gauge peaked at 31.19 ft at Mar 12, 2016, 10:00 AM CST.
- Action stage
- 18 ft
- Minor stage
- 20 ft
- Moderate stage
- 25 ft
- Major stage
- 28 ft
This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests
Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 07375050, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.
The text
As transmitted.
099 WGUS44 KLIX 101441 FLWLIX BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA 841 AM CST THU MAR 10 2016 ...The National Weather Service in New Orleans Baton Rouge has issued a flood warning for the following rivers in Louisiana... Tchefuncte River Near Folsom affecting St. Tammany Parish Tchefuncte River Above U.S. Highway 190 Near Covington affecting St. Tammany Parish PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has occurred along with anticipated rain for the next 12 hours. Adjustments to the forecasts will be made if additional heavy rainfall occurs. Do not drive cars through flooded areas. Remember, two feet of rushing water can carry away most vehicles including pickups. Turn around and don't drown! A followup product will be issued later. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio, local tv and radio stations...or your cable provider, for the latest information. The latest graphical hydrologic information can also be found at Weather.Gov. && LAC103-112041- /O.NEW.KLIX.FL.W.0024.160312T0651Z-160313T2300Z/ /FLSL1.2.ER.160312T0651Z.160312T1800Z.160313T1700Z.NO/ 841 AM CST THU MAR 10 2016 The National Weather Service in New Orleans/Baton Rouge has issued a * Flood Warning for The Tchefuncte River Near Folsom. * from late Friday night to Sunday evening. * At 8:00 AM Thursday the stage was 5.6 feet. * Moderate flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 16.0 feet. * Forecast...Rise above flood stage by early Saturday morning and continue to rise to near 18.0 feet by Saturday afternoon. * Impact...At 16.0 feet...Areas of Spring Park and Albert Thompson Road will be inundated. Homes will flood if the river rises higher. Evacuation of those areas is recommended. && LAT...LON 3062 9019 3062 9023 3059 9023 3059 9018 && LAT...LON 3062 9019 3062 9023 3059 9023 3059 9018 $$ LAC103-112041- /O.NEW.KLIX.FL.W.0025.160312T0000Z-160314T2208Z/ /CUSL1.1.ER.160312T0000Z.160313T0000Z.160314T1608Z.NO/ 841 AM CST THU MAR 10 2016 The National Weather Service in New Orleans/Baton Rouge has issued a * Flood Warning for The Tchefuncte River Above U.S. Highway 190 Near Covington. * from Friday evening to Monday afternoon. * At 7:30 AM Thursday the stage was 10.4 feet. * Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 20.0 feet. * Forecast...Rise above flood stage by tomorrow evening and continue to rise to near 23.5 feet by Saturday evening. * Impact...At 22.0 feet...Tchefuncte River camp grounds will be under a few inches of water. The Goodbee commumunity is threatened with flooding. Water will invade Camp Tchefuncte's parking lot. Vehicles must be removed to higher ground. * Impact...At 20.0 feet...Water will invade Camp Tchefuncte's parking lot. Vehicles must be removed to higher ground. * Impact...At 18.0 feet...The Camp Tchefuncte softball field will be under water. The camp parking lot is threatened with flooding and vehicles are advised to be moved if higher river stages are anticipated. && LAT...LON 3059 9018 3059 9022 3048 9014 3049 9009 && LAT...LON 3059 9018 3059 9022 3048 9014 3049 9009 $$
12 follow-up statements
721 WGUS84 KLIX 110126 FLSLIX FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA 726 PM CST THU MAR 10 2016 ...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Louisiana... Tchefuncte River Near Folsom affecting St. Tammany Parish Tchefuncte River Above U.S. Highway 190 Near Covington affecting St. Tammany Parish PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has occurred along with anticipated rain for the next 12 hours. Adjustments to the forecasts will be made if additional heavy rainfall occurs. Do not drive cars through flooded areas. Remember, two feet of rushing water can carry away most vehicles including pickups. Turn around and don't drown! A followup product will be issued later. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio, local tv and radio stations...or your cable provider, for the latest information. The latest graphical hydrologic information can also be found at Weather.Gov. && LAC103-120726- /O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0024.160311T1726Z-160314T0800Z/ /FLSL1.2.ER.160311T1726Z.160312T1200Z.160314T0200Z.NO/ 726 PM CST THU MAR 10 2016 ...Flood Warning extended until late Sunday night...The Flood Warning continues for The Tchefuncte River Near Folsom. * from Friday morning to late Sunday night. * At 7:00 PM Thursday the stage was 6.1 feet. * Moderate flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 16.0 feet. * Forecast...Rise above flood stage by tomorrow late morning and continue to rise to near 18.5 feet by Saturday morning.the river will fall below flood stage by Sunday before midnight. * Impact...At 16.0 feet...Areas of Spring Park and Albert Thompson Road will be inundated. Homes will flood if the river rises higher. Evacuation of those areas is recommended. && LAT...LON 3062 9019 3062 9023 3059 9023 3059 9018 $$ LAC103-120726- /O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0025.160311T1656Z-160315T0642Z/ /CUSL1.1.ER.160311T1656Z.160313T0000Z.160315T0042Z.NO/ 726 PM CST THU MAR 10 2016 ...Flood Warning extended until late Monday night...The Flood Warning continues for The Tchefuncte River Above U.S. Highway 190 Near Covington. * from Friday morning to late Monday night. * At 6:30 PM Thursday the stage was 10.6 feet. * Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 20.0 feet. * Forecast...Rise above flood stage by tomorrow late morning and continue to rise to near 24.5 feet by Saturday evening.The river will fall below flood stage by Monday evening. * Impact...At 22.0 feet...Tchefuncte River camp grounds will be under a few inches of water. The Goodbee commumunity is threatened with flooding. Water will invade Camp Tchefuncte's parking lot. Vehicles must be removed to higher ground. * Impact...At 20.0 feet...Water will invade Camp Tchefuncte's parking lot. Vehicles must be removed to higher ground. * Impact...At 18.0 feet...The Camp Tchefuncte softball field will be under water. The camp parking lot is threatened with flooding and vehicles are advised to be moved if higher river stages are anticipated. && LAT...LON 3059 9018 3059 9022 3048 9014 3049 9009 $$
000 WGUS44 KLIX 111411 FLWLIX BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA 811 AM CST FRI MAR 11 2016 ...Forecast Flooding Changed from Minor to Record Severity for the following rivers in Louisiana... Tchefuncte River Above U.S. Highway 190 Near Covington affecting St. Tammany Parish PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has occurred along with anticipated rain for the next 12 hours. Adjustments to the forecasts will be made if additional heavy rainfall occurs. Do not drive cars through flooded areas. Remember, two feet of rushing water can carry away most vehicles including pickups. Turn around and don't drown! A followup product will be issued later. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio, local tv and radio stations...or your cable provider, for the latest information. The latest graphical hydrologic information can also be found at Weather.Gov. && LAC103-122011- /O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0025.160311T1408Z-160315T0300Z/ /CUSL1.3.ER.160311T1144Z.160312T1200Z.160314T2100Z.NR/ 811 AM CST FRI MAR 11 2016 ...Forecast flooding increased from Minor to Record severity... The Flood Warning continues for The Tchefuncte River Above U.S. Highway 190 Near Covington. * until Monday evening. * At 7:30 AM Friday the stage was 21.8 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Record flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 20.0 feet. * Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 32.0 feet by tomorrow morning. A record stage is 32 feet. * Impact...At 28.5 feet...Louisiana Highway 21 closed, water will be over the roadway surface of the bridge. Flowers Estates will be inundated. A few homes not elevated will flood. Homes along Old Landing and Riverbend Lane will flood. Homes near Highway 1077 and in the Tantella Ranch Road area will flood. * Impact...At 28.0 feet...Flowers estates will be inundated. A few homes not elevated will flood. Homes along Old Landing and Riverbend Lane will flood. Homes near Highway 1077 and in the Tantella Ranch Road area will flood. * Impact...At 26.0 feet...The entrance road to Camp Tchefuncte will flood. The campgrounds will be inaccessible by auto and evacuation of the campground area is advised. Homes between Tantella Ranch Road and the river as well as homes on Trinchard Road and Louisiana Highway 1077 will be threatened. * Impact...At 22.0 feet...Tchefuncte River camp grounds will be under a few inches of water. The Goodbee commumunity is threatened with flooding. Water will invade Camp Tchefuncte's parking lot. Vehicles must be removed to higher ground. * Impact...At 20.0 feet...Water will invade Camp Tchefuncte's parking lot. Vehicles must be removed to higher ground. && LAT...LON 3059 9018 3059 9022 3048 9014 3049 9009 && LAT...LON 3059 9018 3059 9022 3048 9014 3049 9009 $$
810 WGUS84 KLIX 120112 FLSLIX FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA 712 PM CST FRI MAR 11 2016 ...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Louisiana... Tchefuncte River Near Folsom affecting St. Tammany Parish Tchefuncte River Above U.S. Highway 190 Near Covington affecting St. Tammany Parish PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has occurred along with anticipated rain for the next 12 hours. Adjustments to the forecasts will be made if additional heavy rainfall occurs. Do not drive cars through flooded areas. Remember, two feet of rushing water can carry away most vehicles including pickups. Turn around and don't drown! A followup product will be issued later. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio, local tv and radio stations...or your cable provider, for the latest information. The latest graphical hydrologic information can also be found at Weather.Gov. && LAC103-130712- /O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0024.000000T0000Z-160313T2113Z/ /FLSL1.3.ER.160311T1021Z.160312T0000Z.160313T1513Z.NR/ 712 PM CST FRI MAR 11 2016 The Flood Warning continues for The Tchefuncte River Near Folsom. * until Sunday afternoon. * At 6:00 PM Friday the stage was 25.2 feet. * Record flooding is occurring and Record flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 16.0 feet. * Forecast...The river will begin to fall and is expected to fall to below flood stage by late Sunday morning. * Impact...At 21.5 feet...Strong river current carrying debris will threaten damage to the bridge structure. There will be water in homes near Savannah Branch. Evacuation will be required near Bennet Bridge Road. There will be water over low-lying stretches of Louisiana Highway 1077 downstream of the Highway 40 bridge. Evacuation of the area around Spring Park and Albert Thompson Roads should be complete. * Impact...At 21.0 feet...There will be water in homes near Savannah Branch. Evacuation will be required near Bennet Bridge Road. There will be water over low lying stretches of Louisiana Highway 1077 downstream of the Highway 40 bridge. Evacuation of the area around Spring Park and Albert Thompson Roads should be complete. * Impact...At 19.0 feet...Louisiana Highway 40 will overflow the west bank by the bridge. Evacuation of the area around Spring Park and Albert Thompson roads should be complete. * Impact...At 16.0 feet...Areas of Spring Park and Albert Thompson Road will be inundated. Homes will flood if the river rises higher. Evacuation of those areas is recommended. && LAT...LON 3062 9019 3062 9023 3059 9023 3059 9018 $$ LAC103-130711- /O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0025.000000T0000Z-160314T1924Z/ /CUSL1.3.ER.160311T1144Z.160313T0000Z.160314T1324Z.NR/ 712 PM CST FRI MAR 11 2016 The Flood Warning continues for The Tchefuncte River Above U.S. Highway 190 Near Covington. * until Monday afternoon. * At 6:30 PM Friday the stage was 28.1 feet. * Major flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 20.0 feet. * Impact...At 28.5 feet...Louisiana Highway 21 closed, water will be over the roadway surface of the bridge. Flowers Estates will be inundated. A few homes not elevated will flood. Homes along Old Landing and Riverbend Lane will flood. Homes near Highway 1077 and in the Tantella Ranch Road area will flood. * Impact...At 28.0 feet...Flowers estates will be inundated. A few homes not elevated will flood. Homes along Old Landing and Riverbend Lane will flood. Homes near Highway 1077 and in the Tantella Ranch Road area will flood. * Impact...At 26.0 feet...The entrance road to Camp Tchefuncte will flood. The campgrounds will be inaccessible by auto and evacuation of the campground area is advised. Homes between Tantella Ranch Road and the river as well as homes on Trinchard Road and Louisiana Highway 1077 will be threatened. * Impact...At 22.0 feet...Tchefuncte River camp grounds will be under a few inches of water. The Goodbee commumunity is threatened with flooding. Water will invade Camp Tchefuncte's parking lot. Vehicles must be removed to higher ground. * Impact...At 20.0 feet...Water will invade Camp Tchefuncte's parking lot. Vehicles must be removed to higher ground. * Impact...At 18.0 feet...The Camp Tchefuncte softball field will be under water. The camp parking lot is threatened with flooding and vehicles are advised to be moved if higher river stages are anticipated. && LAT...LON 3059 9018 3059 9022 3048 9014 3049 9009 $$
565 WGUS44 KLIX 120155 FLWLIX BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED FLOOD WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA 755 PM CST FRI MAR 11 2016 ...Forecast Flooding Changed from Major to Record Severity for the following rivers in Louisiana... Tchefuncte River Above U.S. Highway 190 Near Covington affecting St. Tammany Parish PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has occurred along with anticipated rain for the next 12 hours. Adjustments to the forecasts will be made if additional heavy rainfall occurs. Do not drive cars through flooded areas. Remember, two feet of rushing water can carry away most vehicles including pickups. Turn around and don't drown! A followup product will be issued later. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio, local tv and radio stations...or your cable provider, for the latest information. The latest graphical hydrologic information can also be found at Weather.Gov. && LAC103-130755- /O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0025.000000T0000Z-160315T0124Z/ /CUSL1.3.ER.160311T1144Z.160312T1200Z.160314T1924Z.NR/ 755 PM CST FRI MAR 11 2016 ...Forecast flooding increased from Major to Record severity... The Flood Warning continues for The Tchefuncte River Above U.S. Highway 190 Near Covington. * until Monday evening. * At 7:30 PM Friday the stage was 28.2 feet. * Major flooding is occurring and Record flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 20.0 feet. * Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 32.0 feet by tomorrow morning. The river will fall below flood stage Monday early afternoon. * Impact...At 32.0 feet...Homes will flood along the Tchefuncte River. Some evacuations will be necessary. * Impact...At 28.5 feet...Louisiana Highway 21 closed, water will be over the roadway surface of the bridge. Flowers Estates will be inundated. A few homes not elevated will flood. Homes along Old Landing and Riverbend Lane will flood. Homes near Highway 1077 and in the Tantella Ranch Road area will flood. * Impact...At 28.0 feet...Flowers estates will be inundated. A few homes not elevated will flood. Homes along Old Landing and Riverbend Lane will flood. Homes near Highway 1077 and in the Tantella Ranch Road area will flood. * Impact...At 26.0 feet...The entrance road to Camp Tchefuncte will flood. The campgrounds will be inaccessible by auto and evacuation of the campground area is advised. Homes between Tantella Ranch Road and the river as well as homes on Trinchard Road and Louisiana Highway 1077 will be threatened. * Impact...At 22.0 feet...Tchefuncte River camp grounds will be under a few inches of water. The Goodbee commumunity is threatened with flooding. Water will invade Camp Tchefuncte's parking lot. Vehicles must be removed to higher ground. * Impact...At 20.0 feet...Water will invade Camp Tchefuncte's parking lot. Vehicles must be removed to higher ground. * Impact...At 18.0 feet...The Camp Tchefuncte softball field will be under water. The camp parking lot is threatened with flooding and vehicles are advised to be moved if higher river stages are anticipated. && LAT...LON 3059 9018 3059 9022 3048 9014 3049 9009 && LAT...LON 3059 9018 3059 9022 3048 9014 3049 9009 $$
179 WGUS84 KLIX 121738 FLSLIX FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA 1138 AM CST SAT MAR 12 2016 ...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Louisiana... The Tchefuncte River Near Folsom affecting St. Tammany Parish The Tchefuncte River Above U.S. Highway 190 Near Covington affecting St. Tammany Parish PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has occurred along with anticipated rain for the next 12 hours. Adjustments to the forecasts will be made if additional heavy rainfall occurs. Do not drive cars through flooded areas. Remember, two feet of rushing water can carry away most vehicles including pickups. Turn around and don't drown! A followup product will be issued later. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio, local tv and radio stations...or your cable provider, for the latest information. The latest graphical hydrologic information can also be found at Weather.Gov. && LAC103-131800- /O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0024.000000T0000Z-160313T1800Z/ /FLSL1.3.ER.160311T1021Z.160312T0000Z.160313T1200Z.NR/ 1138 AM CST SAT MAR 12 2016 The Flood Warning continues for The Tchefuncte River Near Folsom. * until Sunday afternoon. * At 11:00 AM Saturday the stage was 21.0 feet. * Major flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 16.0 feet. * Forecast...The river has already crested and is expected to fall below flood stage by tomorrow morning. * Impact...At 21.0 feet...There will be water in homes near Savannah Branch. Evacuation will be required near Bennet Bridge Road. There will be water over low lying stretches of Louisiana Highway 1077 downstream of the Highway 40 bridge. Evacuation of the area around Spring Park and Albert Thompson Roads should be complete. * Impact...At 19.0 feet...Louisiana Highway 40 will overflow the west bank by the bridge. Evacuation of the area around Spring Park and Albert Thompson roads should be complete. * Impact...At 16.0 feet...Areas of Spring Park and Albert Thompson Road will be inundated. Homes will flood if the river rises higher. Evacuation of those areas is recommended. && LAT...LON 3062 9019 3062 9023 3059 9023 3059 9018 $$ LAC103-132337- /O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0025.000000T0000Z-160315T0349Z/ /CUSL1.3.ER.160311T1144Z.160312T1800Z.160314T2149Z.NR/ 1138 AM CST SAT MAR 12 2016 ...Flood Warning extended until Monday evening...The Flood Warning continues for The Tchefuncte River Above U.S. Highway 190 Near Covington. * until Monday evening. * At 10:30 AM Saturday the stage was 31.2 feet. * Major flooding is occurring and Record flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 20.0 feet. * Forecast...The river is expected to continue rising until cresting at around 32.0 feet by this afternoon. The river is expected to fall below flood stage Monday afternoon. * Impact...At 32.0 feet...Homes will flood along the Tchefuncte River. Some evacuations will be necessary. * Impact...At 28.5 feet...Louisiana Highway 21 closed, water will be over the roadway surface of the bridge. Flowers Estates will be inundated. A few homes not elevated will flood. Homes along Old Landing and Riverbend Lane will flood. Homes near Highway 1077 and in the Tantella Ranch Road area will flood. * Impact...At 28.0 feet...Flowers estates will be inundated. A few homes not elevated will flood. Homes along Old Landing and Riverbend Lane will flood. Homes near Highway 1077 and in the Tantella Ranch Road area will flood. * Impact...At 26.0 feet...The entrance road to Camp Tchefuncte will flood. The campgrounds will be inaccessible by auto and evacuation of the campground area is advised. Homes between Tantella Ranch Road and the river as well as homes on Trinchard Road and Louisiana Highway 1077 will be threatened. * Impact...At 22.0 feet...Tchefuncte River camp grounds will be under a few inches of water. The Goodbee commumunity is threatened with flooding. Water will invade Camp Tchefuncte's parking lot. Vehicles must be removed to higher ground. * Impact...At 20.0 feet...Water will invade Camp Tchefuncte's parking lot. Vehicles must be removed to higher ground. && LAT...LON 3059 9018 3059 9022 3048 9014 3049 9009 $$
465 WGUS84 KLIX 122017 FLSLIX FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA 217 PM CST SAT MAR 12 2016 ...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Louisiana... The Tchefuncte River Above U.S. Highway 190 Near Covington affecting St. Tammany Parish PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has occurred along with anticipated rain for the next 12 hours. Adjustments to the forecasts will be made if additional heavy rainfall occurs. Do not drive cars through flooded areas. Remember, two feet of rushing water can carry away most vehicles including pickups. Turn around and don't drown! A followup product will be issued later. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio, local tv and radio stations...or your cable provider, for the latest information. The latest graphical hydrologic information can also be found at Weather.Gov. && LAC103-140217- /O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0025.000000T0000Z-160314T2242Z/ /CUSL1.3.ER.160311T1144Z.160312T1530Z.160314T1642Z.NR/ 217 PM CST SAT MAR 12 2016 The Flood Warning continues for The Tchefuncte River Above U.S. Highway 190 Near Covington. * until Monday afternoon. * At 1:30 PM Saturday the stage was 31.0 feet. * Major flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 20.0 feet. * Forecast...The river is currently near crest and is expected to fall below flood stage by late Monday morning. * Impact...At 28.5 feet...Louisiana Highway 21 closed, water will be over the roadway surface of the bridge. Flowers Estates will be inundated. A few homes not elevated will flood. Homes along Old Landing and Riverbend Lane will flood. Homes near Highway 1077 and in the Tantella Ranch Road area will flood. * Impact...At 28.0 feet...Flowers estates will be inundated. A few homes not elevated will flood. Homes along Old Landing and Riverbend Lane will flood. Homes near Highway 1077 and in the Tantella Ranch Road area will flood. * Impact...At 26.0 feet...The entrance road to Camp Tchefuncte will flood. The campgrounds will be inaccessible by auto and evacuation of the campground area is advised. Homes between Tantella Ranch Road and the river as well as homes on Trinchard Road and Louisiana Highway 1077 will be threatened. * Impact...At 22.0 feet...Tchefuncte River camp grounds will be under a few inches of water. The Goodbee commumunity is threatened with flooding. Water will invade Camp Tchefuncte's parking lot. Vehicles must be removed to higher ground. * Impact...At 20.0 feet...Water will invade Camp Tchefuncte's parking lot. Vehicles must be removed to higher ground. && LAT...LON 3059 9018 3059 9022 3048 9014 3049 9009 $$
707 WGUS84 KLIX 130248 FLSLIX FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA 848 PM CST SAT MAR 12 2016 ...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Louisiana... Tchefuncte River Near Folsom affecting St. Tammany Parish Tchefuncte River Above U.S. Highway 190 Near Covington affecting St. Tammany Parish PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has occurred along with anticipated rain for the next 12 hours. Adjustments to the forecasts will be made if additional heavy rainfall occurs. Do not drive cars through flooded areas. Remember, two feet of rushing water can carry away most vehicles including pickups. Turn around and don't drown! A followup product will be issued later. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio, local tv and radio stations...or your cable provider, for the latest information. The latest graphical hydrologic information can also be found at Weather.Gov. && LAC103-131600- /O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0024.000000T0000Z-160313T1600Z/ /FLSL1.3.ER.160311T1021Z.160312T0000Z.160313T1000Z.NR/ 848 PM CST SAT MAR 12 2016 The Flood Warning continues for the Tchefuncte River Near Folsom. * until Sunday morning. * At 7:00 PM Saturday the stage was 18.5 feet. * Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 16.0 feet. * Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by early tomorrow. * Impact...At 16.0 feet...Areas of Spring Park and Albert Thompson Road will be inundated. Homes will flood if the river rises higher. Evacuation of those areas is recommended. && LAT...LON 3062 9019 3062 9023 3059 9023 3059 9018 $$ LAC103-140847- /O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0025.000000T0000Z-160314T1900Z/ /CUSL1.3.ER.160311T1144Z.160312T1530Z.160314T1300Z.NR/ 848 PM CST SAT MAR 12 2016 The Flood Warning continues for the Tchefuncte River Above U.S. Highway 190 Near Covington. * until Monday afternoon. * At 8:30 PM Saturday the stage was 30.1 feet. * Major flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 20.0 feet. * Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by Monday morning. * Impact...At 28.5 feet...Louisiana Highway 21 closed, water will be over the roadway surface of the bridge. Flowers Estates will be inundated. A few homes not elevated will flood. Homes along Old Landing and Riverbend Lane will flood. Homes near Highway 1077 and in the Tantella Ranch Road area will flood. * Impact...At 28.0 feet...Flowers estates will be inundated. A few homes not elevated will flood. Homes along Old Landing and Riverbend Lane will flood. Homes near Highway 1077 and in the Tantella Ranch Road area will flood. * Impact...At 26.0 feet...The entrance road to Camp Tchefuncte will flood. The campgrounds will be inaccessible by auto and evacuation of the campground area is advised. Homes between Tantella Ranch Road and the river as well as homes on Trinchard Road and Louisiana Highway 1077 will be threatened. * Impact...At 22.0 feet...Tchefuncte River camp grounds will be under a few inches of water. The Goodbee commumunity is threatened with flooding. Water will invade Camp Tchefuncte's parking lot. Vehicles must be removed to higher ground. * Impact...At 20.0 feet...Water will invade Camp Tchefuncte's parking lot. Vehicles must be removed to higher ground. * Impact...At 18.0 feet...The Camp Tchefuncte softball field will be under water. The camp parking lot is threatened with flooding and vehicles are advised to be moved if higher river stages are anticipated. && LAT...LON 3059 9018 3059 9022 3048 9014 3049 9009 $$
533 WGUS84 KLIX 131628 FLSLIX FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA 1128 AM CDT SUN MAR 13 2016 ...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Louisiana... The Tchefuncte River Above U.S. Highway 190 Near Covington affecting St. Tammany Parish PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has occurred along with anticipated rain for the next 12 hours. Adjustments to the forecasts will be made if additional heavy rainfall occurs. Do not drive cars through flooded areas. Remember, two feet of rushing water can carry away most vehicles including pickups. Turn around and don't drown! A followup product will be issued later. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio, local tv and radio stations...or your cable provider, for the latest information. The latest graphical hydrologic information can also be found at Weather.Gov. && LAC103-142228- /O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0025.000000T0000Z-160315T1127Z/ /CUSL1.3.ER.160311T1144Z.160312T1530Z.160315T0527Z.NR/ 1128 AM CDT SUN MAR 13 2016 ...Flood Warning extended until Tuesday morning...The Flood Warning continues for The Tchefuncte River Above U.S. Highway 190 Near Covington. * until Tuesday morning. * At 10:30 AM Sunday the stage was 27.6 feet. * Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 20.0 feet. * Forecast...The river has already crested and is expected to fall below flood stage by late Monday night. * Impact...At 26.0 feet...The entrance road to Camp Tchefuncte will flood. The campgrounds will be inaccessible by auto and evacuation of the campground area is advised. Homes between Tantella Ranch Road and the river as well as homes on Trinchard Road and Louisiana Highway 1077 will be threatened. * Impact...At 22.0 feet...Tchefuncte River camp grounds will be under a few inches of water. The Goodbee commumunity is threatened with flooding. Water will invade Camp Tchefuncte's parking lot. Vehicles must be removed to higher ground. * Impact...At 20.0 feet...Water will invade Camp Tchefuncte's parking lot. Vehicles must be removed to higher ground. * Impact...At 18.0 feet...The Camp Tchefuncte softball field will be under water. The camp parking lot is threatened with flooding and vehicles are advised to be moved if higher river stages are anticipated. && LAT...LON 3059 9018 3059 9022 3048 9014 3049 9009 $$
536 WGUS84 KLIX 140338 FLSLIX FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA 1038 PM CDT SUN MAR 13 2016 ...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Louisiana... Tchefuncte River Above U.S. Highway 190 Near Covington affecting St. Tammany Parish PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has occurred along with anticipated rain for the next 12 hours. Adjustments to the forecasts will be made if additional heavy rainfall occurs. Do not drive cars through flooded areas. Remember, two feet of rushing water can carry away most vehicles including pickups. Turn around and don't drown! A followup product will be issued later. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio, local tv and radio stations...or your cable provider, for the latest information. The latest graphical hydrologic information can also be found at Weather.Gov. && LAC103-150938- /O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0025.000000T0000Z-160315T1120Z/ /CUSL1.3.ER.160311T1144Z.160312T1530Z.160315T0520Z.NR/ 1038 PM CDT SUN MAR 13 2016 The Flood Warning continues for the Tchefuncte River Above U.S. Highway 190 Near Covington. * until Tuesday morning. * At 9:30 PM Sunday the stage was 24.5 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 20.0 feet. * Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by early Tuesday morning. * Impact...At 22.0 feet...Tchefuncte River camp grounds will be under a few inches of water. The Goodbee commumunity is threatened with flooding. Water will invade Camp Tchefuncte's parking lot. Vehicles must be removed to higher ground. * Impact...At 20.0 feet...Water will invade Camp Tchefuncte's parking lot. Vehicles must be removed to higher ground. * Impact...At 18.0 feet...The Camp Tchefuncte softball field will be under water. The camp parking lot is threatened with flooding and vehicles are advised to be moved if higher river stages are anticipated. && LAT...LON 3059 9018 3059 9022 3048 9014 3049 9009 $$
136 WGUS84 KLIX 141446 FLSLIX FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA 946 AM CDT MON MAR 14 2016 ...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Louisiana... Tchefuncte River Above U.S. Highway 190 Near Covington affecting St. Tammany Parish PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has occurred along with anticipated rain for the next 12 hours. Adjustments to the forecasts will be made if additional heavy rainfall occurs. Do not drive cars through flooded areas. Remember, two feet of rushing water can carry away most vehicles including pickups. Turn around and don't drown! A followup product will be issued later. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio, local tv and radio stations...or your cable provider, for the latest information. The latest graphical hydrologic information can also be found at Weather.Gov. && LAC103-151108- /O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0025.000000T0000Z-160315T1108Z/ /CUSL1.3.ER.160311T1144Z.160312T1530Z.160315T0508Z.NR/ 946 AM CDT MON MAR 14 2016 The Flood Warning continues for The Tchefuncte River Above U.S. Highway 190 Near Covington. * until Tuesday morning. * At 9:30 AM Monday the stage was 22.1 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast. * Flood stage is 20.0 feet. * Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by late tonight. * Impact...At 22.0 feet...Tchefuncte River camp grounds will be under a few inches of water. The Goodbee commumunity is threatened with flooding. Water will invade Camp Tchefuncte's parking lot. Vehicles must be removed to higher ground. * Impact...At 20.0 feet...Water will invade Camp Tchefuncte's parking lot. Vehicles must be removed to higher ground. * Impact...At 18.0 feet...The Camp Tchefuncte softball field will be under water. The camp parking lot is threatened with flooding and vehicles are advised to be moved if higher river stages are anticipated. && LAT...LON 3059 9018 3059 9022 3048 9014 3049 9009 $$
591 WGUS84 KLIX 150200 FLSLIX FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA 900 PM CDT MON MAR 14 2016 ...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in Louisiana... The Tchefuncte River Above U.S. Highway 190 Near Covington affecting St. Tammany Parish PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has occurred along with anticipated rain for the next 12 hours. Adjustments to the forecasts will be made if additional heavy rainfall occurs. Do not drive cars through flooded areas. Remember, two feet of rushing water can carry away most vehicles including pickups. Turn around and don't drown! A followup product will be issued later. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio, local tv and radio stations...or your cable provider, for the latest information. The latest graphical hydrologic information can also be found at Weather.Gov. && LAC103-150843- /O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0025.000000T0000Z-160315T0843Z/ /CUSL1.3.ER.160311T1144Z.160312T1530Z.160315T0243Z.NR/ 900 PM CDT MON MAR 14 2016 The Flood Warning continues for The Tchefuncte River Above U.S. Highway 190 Near Covington. * until late tonight. * At 8:30 PM Monday the stage was 20.1 feet. * Minor flooding is occurring. * Flood stage is 20.0 feet. * Forecast...The river has already crested and is expected to fall below flood stage by around 11 pm tonight. * Impact...At 20.0 feet...Water will invade Camp Tchefuncte's parking lot. Vehicles must be removed to higher ground. * Impact...At 18.0 feet...The Camp Tchefuncte softball field will be under water. The camp parking lot is threatened with flooding and vehicles are advised to be moved if higher river stages are anticipated. && LAT...LON 3059 9018 3059 9022 3048 9014 3049 9009 $$
511 WGUS84 KLIX 150305 FLSLIX FLOOD STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA 1005 PM CDT MON MAR 14 2016 ...The flood warning has been cancelled for the following rivers in Louisiana... The Tchefuncte River Above U.S. Highway 190 Near Covington affecting St. Tammany Parish && LAC103-150335- /O.CAN.KLIX.FL.W.0025.000000T0000Z-160315T0843Z/ /CUSL1.3.ER.160311T1144Z.160312T1530Z.160315T0209Z.NR/ 1005 PM CDT MON MAR 14 2016 The Flood Warning has been cancelled for The Tchefuncte River Above U.S. Highway 190 Near Covington. * At 9:30 PM Monday the stage was 19.9 feet. * Fell below flood stage at 9:09 PM Monday. * Flood stage is 20.0 feet. * Forecast...The river has fallen below flood stage. No flooding is forecast within the near future. && LAT...LON 3059 9018 3059 9022 3048 9014 3049 9009 $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS New Orleans, LA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Mar 10, 7:46 AM CST, 55 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Mar 10, 7:46 AM CST, 55 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
746 AM CST THU MAR 10 2016
...SOUNDING DISCUSSION...
THE LOWER ATMOSPHERE CONTINUES TO MOISTEN WITH A RECORD
PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUE FOR THIS DATE/TIME OF 1.76 INCHES. THE
MOISTURE ADVECTION IS BEING HELPED BY AN IMPRESSIVE LOW LEVEL JET
WITH A 925 MB WIND OF 52 KNOTS AND A 850 MB WIND OF 49 KNOTS
/BOTH RECORD VALUES FOR THIS DATE/TIME/. THIS IS PRIMING THE
ATMOSPHERE FOR HEAVY RAINFALL.
WHILE THE LOWER LEVELS ARE MOIST...THERE IS A QUITE A BIT OF DRY
AIR IN THE MID AND UPPER LEVELS. THIS HAS LED TO A DOWNDRAFT CAPE
VALUE OF 925 J/KG...WHICH IF ANY STRONGER SHOWERS OR
THUNDERSTORMS CAN ENTRAIN THOSE LOW LEVEL WINDS INTO DOWNDRAFTS WOULD
RESULT IN SEVERE WIND GUSTS REACHING THE SURFACE. IF WE GET
MIXING UP TO 925MB *OUTSIDE* OF RAIN/CONVECTION...WHICH ISN'T OUT
OF THE QUESTION...WE COULD GET 50 KNOTS GUSTS MIXING DOWN TO THE
SURFACE AS WELL. DIRECTIONAL SHEAR EXISTS WITH SOUTHEAST WINDS
NEAR THE SURFACE ROTATING AROUND TO BLOW FROM THE SOUTHWEST BY THE
UPPER LEVELS. WINDS INCREASE FROM ABOUT 10 KNOTS AT THE SURFACE TO
50 KNOTS AT 925MB AS MENTIONED ABOVE. THIS HAS YIELDED VERY
IMPRESSIVE 0-1KM AND 0-3KM SRH VALUES OF 500 M2/S2. WHILE A FEW
TORNADOES REMAIN POSSIBLE...LAPSE RATES IN THE LOW AND MIDLEVELS
ARE NOT STEEP AND THERE IS A LACK OF A STRONG LIFTING OR FORCING
MECHANISM. THIS SHOULD HELP MITIGATE AGAINST A LARGER TORNADO
THREAT.
12Z BALLOON INFO: A ROUTINE FLIGHT REACHING A HEIGHT OF 21.1 MILES
ABOVE THE GROUND AFTER ASCENDING FOR 97 MINUTES. THE BALLOON
BURST NEAR CARNES 50 MILES DOWNRANGE FROM THE OFFICE.
ANSORGE
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 402 AM CST THU MAR 10 2016/
SHORT TERM...
THE MOST SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN THINKING CONCERNS THE POTENTIAL FOR
HEAVIER RAINS TO LINGER INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS ON SATURDAY. ALL
OF THE GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO SHOW STRONG FORCING AND HIGH MEAN W
VALUES OF 14 TO 15 G/KG IN PLACE FROM THE EASTERN HALF OF THE
FORECAST AREA THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON. GIVEN THESE EXPECTED
CONDITIONS...HAVE OPTED TO EXTEND THE DURATION OF THE FLASH FLOOD
WATCH UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING. IT STILL LOOKS LIKE THERE WILL BE
MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF HEAVY RAINFALL IMPACTING THE REGION BEGINNING
LATER THIS MORNING AND THEN CONTINUING THROUGH SATURDAY.
LITTLE CHANGE IN THE FORECAST THINKING HAS OCCURRED FOR TODAY AND
TOMORROW. TODAY...THE HEAVIEST RAINS SHOULD GENERALLY BE OVER THE
WESTERN HALF OF THE CWA...WEST OF THE I-55 CORRIDOR. RAINFALL
TOTALS OF 2 TO 3 INCHES WITH SOME HIGHER AMOUNTS COULD OCCUR OVER
THESE AREAS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE BAND OF HEAVIER RAIN
SHOULD THEN SET UP FOR TONIGHT GENERALLY BETWEEN THE ATCHAFALAYA
AND PEARL RIVERS. THIS BAND OF RAIN SHOULD THEN PERSIST THROUGH
THE DAY TOMORROW. AN ADDITIONAL 3 TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN WITH
LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS COULD IMPACT AREAS WEST OF INTERSTATE
55...BRINGING RAIN TOTALS OT 7 TO 10 INCHES. FOR AREAS EAST OF THE
I-55 CORRIDOR IN SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHWEST MISSISSIPPI...INCLUDING
METRO NEW ORLEANS...HEAVY RAINFALL OF 3 TO 6 INCHES WITH LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS OVER 8 INCHES COULD OCCUR TONIGHT AND TOMORROW.
OUTSIDE OF THE HEAVY RAIN THREAT...THERE WILL ALSO CONTINUE TO BE
A SEVERE THREAT FOR TODAY...MAINLY DUE TO THE STRONG WIND SHEAR
IN PLACE ACROSS THE AREA. THIS WIND SHEAR WILL BE DRIVEN BY A
STRONG 40 TO 50 KNOT LOW LEVEL JET PARKED OVER THE AREA. AS A
RESULT...TOTAL SHEAR WILL BE IN EXCESS OF 50 KNOTS AND HELICITY
VALUES WILL BE AROUND 300 M2/S2 THIS AFTERNOON. THE ONE NEGATIVE
TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS WEAKER LAPSE RATES AND
OVERALL LOWER INSTABILITY ACROSS THE REGION DUE TO THE HIGHLY
SATURATED AIRMASS IN PLACE. GIVEN THE LACK OF COLDER AIR
ALOFT...DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND TORNADOES WOULD BE THE PRIMARY
CONCERN WITH ANY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THAT TRY TO DEVELOP TODAY.
THE LOW LEVEL JET IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN HEADING INTO TONIGHT AND
TOMORROW...AND THE THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER SHOULD ALSO DIMINISH
SUBSTANTIALLY.
AS MENTIONED EARLIER...THERE HAS BEEN A SHIFT IN THINKING FOR
FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY. THE UPPER LEVEL LOW DRIVING THE HEAVY
RAINFALL ACROSS THE AREA LOOKS TO LIFT OUT OF MEXICO SLOWER THAN
ORIGINALLY EXPECTED. AS A RESULT...A HIGH MOISTURE CONTENT AIRMASS
AND STRONG DYNAMIC FORCING WILL LINGER OVER THE FORECAST AREA
THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON. IT LOOKS LIKE THE HIGHEST PROBABILITY
AREAS FOR HEAVY RAINFALL WILL GENERALLY BE FROM METRO NEW ORLEANS
AND THE NORTHSHORE EASTWARD ACROSS THE MISSISSIPPI GULF COAST. AN
ADDITIONAL 3 TO 5 INCHES OF RAIN WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS OF
OVER 6 INCHES COULD IMPACT METRO NEW ORLEANS AND NORTHSHORE. THE
MISSISSIPPI COAST COULD EASILY SEE 3 TO 5 INCHES OF RAIN AS WELL
WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS OVER 6 INCHES POSSIBLE. STORM TOTAL
RAINFALL ACROSS THE AREA COULD VARY FROM 7 TO 10 INCHES FOR THE
BATON ROUGE AREA AND MISSISSIPPI GULF COAST TO A BULLSEYE OF 10
TO 14 INCHES FOR METRO NEW ORLEANS AND THE NORTHSHORE BY THE TIME
THE EVENT IS OVER. ALL OF THESE TOTALS ARE HIGHLY DEPENDENT ON
EXACTLY WHERE THE HEAVY RAIN BAND DEVELOPS...AND IF MULTIPLE AREAS
OF HEAVIER RAIN TRAIN OVER THE SAME LOCATION. SIGNIFICANT FLOODING
ISSUES COULD ARISE WITH THIS EVENT GIVEN THE HIGH RAINFALL TOTALS
EXPECTED. WITH HIGH DEWPOINTS IN PLACE...OVERNIGHTS LOWS WILL ONLY
COOL INTO THE MIDDLE TO UPPER 60S TONIGHT AND FRIDAY NIGHT.
DAYTIME HIGHS SHOULD BE SOMEWHAT COOLER DUE TO THE EXPECTED
RAINS...AND ONLY HAVE HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S THROUGH SATURDAY.
LONG TERM...
ALL OF THE MODELS INDICATE THAT THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AXIS WILL
FINALLY PUSH TO THE EAST OF THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT...ALLOWING
FOR DRIER AIR AND INCREASING SUBSIDENCE ALOFT TO ADVECT IN.
RAINFALL SHOULD QUICKLY END FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST THROUGH
SATURDAY NIGHT...AND EXPECT TO SEE MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES IN PLACE BY
SUNDAY MORNING. WITH SKIES CLEARING AND DEWPOINTS
DROPPING...OVERNIGHT LOWS SHOULD FALL INTO THE UPPER 50S AND LOWER
60S SATURDAY NIGHT.
ANOTHER FAST MOVING UPPER LEVEL LOW SHOULD SWEEP THROUGH THE LOWER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY NIGHT...BUT NO REAL IMPACTS
ARE EXPECTED FROM THIS SYSTEM ACROSS OUR FORECAST AREA. THE SYSTEM
WILL BE MOISTURE STARVED AND ONLY EXPECT TO SEE A FEW MORE CLOUDS
AS THE TROUGH AXIS SLIDES THROUGH. THE LOWER DEWPOINTS COMBINED
WITH SOUTHWEST FLOW OFF THE MEXICAN PLATEAU SHOULD ALLOW
TEMPERATURES TO WARM TO AROUND 80 DEGREES BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURES COULD FURTHER WARM INTO THE LOWER 80S FOR MONDAY IN
THE WAKE OF THE PASSING TROUGH AXIS AND THE FORMATION OF A SHORT
WAVE RIDGE OVER THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. THESE CONDITIONS
WILL PERSIST INTO TUESDAY...WITH TEMPERATURES POSSIBLY WARMING
FURTHER INTO THE MIDDLE 80S.
THE NEXT CHANCE OF SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY SHOULD BEGIN
TO DEVELOP ON WEDNESDAY...AS A BROAD AREA OF POSITIVE VORTICITY
ADVECTION OVERSPREAD THE REGION. INCREASING MOISTURE ADVECTION
INTO THE REGION...ALONG WITH THE INCREASE IN FORCING ALOFT SHOULD
ALLOW FOR SOME ISOLATED SHOWERS AND STORMS TO DEVELOP BY WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON. A FRONT IS THEN FORECAST TO APPROACH FROM THE NORTH ON
THURSDAY...AND THIS COULD SERVE AS FOCUS FOR MORE SCATTERED SHOWER
AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ON THURSDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN
MILD...WITH HIGHS IN THE MIDDLE TO UPPER 70S BOTH WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY. AS MOISTURE INCREASES OVER THE AREA...OVERNIGHT LOWS
SHOULD CLIMB BACK INTO THE 60S BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
AVIATION...
MVFR CONDITIONS ALONG WITH STRONG GUSTY WINDS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS
ALL SITES OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. RAIN COVERAGE WILL BEGIN TO
INCREASE THROUGHOUT THE DAY...WITH HEAVIER RAIN BANDS STARTING TO
COME IN LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. EXPECT MVFR CONDITIONS TO
PREVAIL DUE TO LOW CEILINGS...BUT PERIODS OF IFR ARE POSSIBLE ALONG
THE HEAVIER RAIN BANDS. EXPECT FOR THESE CONDITIONS TO LAST THROUGH
AT LEAST THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
MARINE...
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY APPROACH THE NORTHERN
GULF WATER OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM...A TIGHT
PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE STRONG SOUTHEAST WINDS
WHICH WILL YIELD SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ACROSS ALL
AREAS. HOWEVER...WINDS AND SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO DROP BELOW
THRESHOLDS FROM WEST TO EAST LATE TONIGHT.
IN ADDITION TO THE STRONG WINDS AND SEAS...COASTAL FLOODING WILL
CONTINUE TO BE AN ISSUE. A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT.
GIVEN THAT WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO LOWER LATER TODAY...LOOKS LIKE
WARNING CRITERIA WILL NOT BE MET. HOWEVER...THIS IS SOMETHING THAT
WILL BE CLOSELY WATCHED DURING THE DAYTIME HOURS.
DECISION SUPPORT...
DSS CODE....BLUE.
DEPLOYED...NONE.
ACTIVATION...NONE.
ACTIVITIES...RIVER FLOODING AT RED RIVER LANDING AND MONITORING FOR HEAVY
RAIN THREAT THROUGH SATURDAY.
DECISION SUPPORT SERVICES (DSS) CODE LEGEND
GREEN = NO WEATHER IMPACTS THAT REQUIRE ACTION
BLUE = LONG FUSED WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY IN EFFECT OR HIGH
VISIBILITY EVENT
YELLOW = HEIGHTENED IMPACTS WITH SHORT FUSED WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY
ISSUANCES; RADAR SUPPORT
ORANGE = HIGH IMPACTS - SLIGHT TO MODERATE RISK SEVERE; NEARBY
TROPICAL EVENTS; HAZMAT OR OTHER LARGE EPISODES
RED = FULL ENGAGEMENT FOR MODERATE RISK SVR AND/OR DIRECT
TROPICAL THREATS; EVENTS OF NATIONAL SIGNIFICANCE
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB 75 67 71 64 / 100 100 100 90
BTR 76 68 72 64 / 100 100 100 90
ASD 75 68 71 66 / 80 100 100 100
MSY 76 68 71 66 / 90 100 100 100
GPT 74 68 71 67 / 70 80 100 100
PQL 74 67 72 66 / 60 70 80 80
&&
.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR LAZ040-058>070-072.
COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR LAZ040-
049-050-057-058-060>064-066>070-072.
FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON FOR LAZ034>037-039-
040-046>050-056>072.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT FOR GMZ530-532-
534-536-538-550-552-555-557-570-572-575-577.
MS...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR MSZ080>082.
COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR
MSZ080>082.
FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON FOR MSZ068>071-077-
080>082.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT FOR GMZ532-534-
536-538-550-552-555-557-570-572-575-577.
&&Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 10, 5:54 AM CST, 2 hours 47 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA 554 AM CST THU MAR 10 2016 GMZ530-532-534-536-538-550-552-555-557-570-572-575-577-LAZ034>037- 039-040-046>050-056>072-MSZ068>071-077-080>082-110000- LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS-MISSISSIPPI SOUND- LAKE BORGNE-CHANDELEUR SOUND-BRETON SOUND- COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON LA TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER LA OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON LOUISIANA OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI TO STAKE ISLAND OUT 20 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON LOUISIANA TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO PORT FOURCHON LOUISIANA FROM 20 TO 60 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM STAKE ISLAND LA TO SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM- COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI TO STAKE ISLAND LOUISIANA OUT 20 TO 60 NM-POINTE COUPEE-WEST FELICIANA- EAST FELICIANA-ST. HELENA-WASHINGTON-ST. TAMMANY-IBERVILLE- WEST BATON ROUGE-EAST BATON ROUGE-ASCENSION-LIVINGSTON-ASSUMPTION- ST. JAMES-ST. JOHN THE BAPTIST-UPPER LAFOURCHE-ST. CHARLES- UPPER JEFFERSON-ORLEANS-UPPER PLAQUEMINES-UPPER ST. BERNARD- UPPER TERREBONNE-LOWER TERREBONNE-LOWER LAFOURCHE-LOWER JEFFERSON- LOWER PLAQUEMINES-LOWER ST. BERNARD-NORTHERN TANGIPAHOA- SOUTHERN TANGIPAHOA-WILKINSON-AMITE-PIKE-WALTHALL-PEARL RIVER- HANCOCK-HARRISON-JACKSON- 554 AM CST THU MAR 10 2016 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...SOUTH MISSISSIPPI AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS. .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES WILL REMAIN FOR WATERS EAST OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER AND WILL INCLUDE ALL COASTAL WATERS THROUGH MIDNIGHT. A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF THE OUTLOOK AREA ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE INTERSTATE 10 AND 12 CORRIDOR. SOUTHERLY WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH FREQUENT GUSTS OF 35 TO 45 MPH ARE EXPECTED. A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL COASTAL LOCATIONS FROM THE MOUTH OF THE ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO THE MISSISSIPPI-ALABAMA STATE LINE. THESE LOCATIONS WILL CONTINUE TO EXPERIENCE TIDES UP TO 2.5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS. A FEW LOCATIONS MAY NEED TO BE UPGRADED TO A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING WITH TIDES POSSIBLY AS HIGH AS 3 TO 3.5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL...MAINLY HANCOCK COUNTY AND THE NORTHSHORE OF LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN. A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL EXIST FOR THE ENTIRE AREA. THE MAIN CONCERNS WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS HEAVY RAINFALL AND THE POSSIBILITY OF AN ISOLATED TORNADO. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY A FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON. STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 7 TO 11 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS EXCEEDING 13 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NECESSARY STARTING TODAY MAINLY FOR FLOOD REPORTING.
The office that day
Everything else NWS New Orleans, LA issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 7:52 PM CST | River Flood Warning | LIX | Tangipahoa | 7 days |
| Mar 9, 7:52 PM CST | River Flood Warning | LIX | Saint Tammany | 4 days |
| Mar 10, 8:41 AM CST | River Flood Warning | LIX | Saint Tammany | 3 days |
| Mar 10, 8:43 AM CST | River Flood Warning | LIX | Saint Tammany | 69 hr |
| Mar 10, 8:47 AM CST | River Flood Warning | LIX | Saint Helena | 4 days |
| Mar 10, 8:47 AM CST | River Flood Warning | LIX | Livingston | 5 days |
| Mar 10, 8:47 AM CST | River Flood Warning | LIX | Saint Helena | 4 days |
| Mar 10, 9:10 AM CST | River Flood Warning | LIX | East Baton Rouge, Livingston | 5 days |
| Mar 10, 9:10 AM CST | River Flood Warning | LIX | East Baton Rouge | 7 days |
| Mar 10, 9:18 AM CST | River Flood Warning | LIX | East Baton Rouge | 4 days |
| Mar 10, 10:03 AM CST | River Flood Warning | LIX | Saint Tammany | 7 days |
| Mar 10, 10:06 AM CST | River Flood Warning | LIX | Saint Tammany, Washington | 48 days |
| Mar 10, 10:06 AM CST | River Flood Warning | LIX | Saint Tammany | 50 days |
| Mar 10, 10:25 AM CST | Coastal Flood Warning | LIX | 8 hr | |
| Mar 10, 10:25 AM CST | Coastal Flood Advisory | LIX | 19 hr | |
| Mar 10, 12:38 PM CST | Special Weather Statement | LIX | Ascension, Assumption, East Baton Rouge, East Feliciana, Iberville, Livingston and 6 more | 22 min |
| Mar 10, 1:17 PM CST | Areal Flood Advisory | LIX | Ascension, Assumption, East Baton Rouge, East Feliciana, Iberville, Lafourche and 7 more | 3 hr |
| Mar 10, 3:10 PM CST | Areal Flood Advisory | LIX | Livingston, Saint Helena, Saint John the Baptist, Saint Tammany, Tangipahoa, Washington | 2 hr |
| Mar 10, 4:32 PM CST | Areal Flood Advisory | LIX | Ascension, Assumption, East Baton Rouge, East Feliciana, Iberville, Jefferson and 10 more | 4 hr |
| Mar 10, 5:05 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | LIX | Ascension, Assumption, Lafourche, Livingston, Saint Charles, Saint Helena and 6 more | 3 hr |
Nearby
River Flood Warnings in Louisiana, 2016Every river flood warning in 2016
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.