Alert archive / Louisiana / River Flood Warnings in 2016

River Flood Warning 26, NWS New Orleans, LA

March 10, 2016Saint Tammany Parish, Louisiana

NWS New Orleans, LA issued this river flood warning at Mar 10, 2016, 8:43 AM CST for Saint Tammany Parish, Louisiana. It took effect at Mar 11, 2016, 3:33 AM CST. It was in force for 50 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 10, 2016, 8:43 AM CST (14:43 UTC)
In effect from
Mar 11, 2016, 3:33 AM CST
Expired
Mar 13, 2016, 7:00 AM CDT
In force
50 hr
Issued by
NWS New Orleans, LA
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

County Saint Tammany Parish, LA

The river

Written for the forecast point Bogue Falaya River near Camp Covington (CGSL1). The gauge peaked at 61.14 ft at Mar 11, 2016, 2:00 PM CST.

actionminormoderatemajor40506003/1003/1103/1203/1303/14
Action stage
40 ft
Minor stage
45 ft
Moderate stage
50 ft
Major stage
60 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 07375105, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

040 
WGUS44 KLIX 101443
FLWLIX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA 
843 AM CST THU MAR 10 2016

...The National Weather Service in New Orleans Baton Rouge has issued
a flood warning for the following rivers in Louisiana... 

  Bogue Falaya River At Camp Covington affecting St. Tammany Parish
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has occurred along with 
anticipated rain for the next 12 hours. Adjustments to the forecasts 
will be made if additional heavy rainfall occurs.

Do not drive cars through flooded areas. Remember, two feet of 
rushing water can carry away most vehicles including pickups.  Turn 
around and don't drown!

A followup product will be issued later. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather 
Radio, local tv and radio stations...or your cable provider, for the 
latest information. The latest graphical hydrologic information can 
also be found at Weather.Gov.

&&

LAC103-112043-
/O.NEW.KLIX.FL.W.0026.160313T0600Z-160313T1200Z/
/CGSL1.1.ER.160313T0600Z.160313T0600Z.160313T0600Z.NO/
843 AM CST THU MAR 10 2016

The National Weather Service in New Orleans/Baton Rouge has issued a 

* Flood Warning for 
  The Bogue Falaya River At Camp Covington.
* from late Saturday night to Sunday morning.
* At 8:00 AM Thursday the stage was 35.4 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 45.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near flood stage early 
  Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 45.0 feet...Water will encroach residential property in 
  the vicinity of the gage. Residences on the east bank near the 
  river will be threatened. Water will cover entrance driveways to 
  property on the east bank.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3060 9010 3061 9019 3052 9014 3052 9004

&&

LAT...LON 3060 9010 3061 9019 3052 9014 3052 9004

$$
11 follow-up statements
125 
WGUS84 KLIX 110129
FLSLIX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA 
729 PM CST THU MAR 10 2016

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Louisiana...
 
  Bogue Falaya River At Camp Covington affecting St. Tammany Parish 

  Bogue Falaya River At Boston St in Covington affecting St. Tammany 
  Parish 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has occurred along with 
anticipated rain for the next 12 hours. Adjustments to the forecasts 
will be made if additional heavy rainfall occurs.

Do not drive cars through flooded areas. Remember, two feet of 
rushing water can carry away most vehicles including pickups.  Turn 
around and don't drown!

A followup product will be issued later. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather 
Radio, local tv and radio stations...or your cable provider, for the 
latest information. The latest graphical hydrologic information can 
also be found at Weather.Gov.

&&

LAC103-120729-
/O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0026.160312T1200Z-160314T0500Z/
/CGSL1.1.ER.160312T1200Z.160313T0000Z.160313T2300Z.NO/
729 PM CST THU MAR 10 2016

...Flood Warning extended until late Sunday night...The Flood Warning
continues for
  The Bogue Falaya River At Camp Covington.
* from Saturday morning to late Sunday night.
* At  7:00 PM Thursday the stage was 36.1 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 45.0 feet.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by Saturday morning and continue 
  to rise to near 46.0 feet by Saturday evening.the river will fall 
  below flood stage by Sunday evening.
* Impact...At 45.0 feet...Water will encroach residential property in 
  the vicinity of the gage. Residences on the east bank near the 
  river will be threatened. Water will cover entrance driveways to 
  property on the east bank.

&&

LAT...LON 3060 9010 3061 9019 3052 9014 3052 9004




$$

LAC103-120729-
/O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0023.160311T0834Z-000000T0000Z/
/CVEL1.2.ER.160311T0834Z.160312T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
729 PM CST THU MAR 10 2016

...Flood Warning extended until further notice...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  The Bogue Falaya River At Boston St in Covington.
* from late tonight until further notice.
* At  6:30 PM Thursday the stage was 4.8 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 6.0 feet.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by after midnight tomorrow and 
  continue to rise to near 11.0 feet by Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 11.0 feet...There will be major flooding at Christ 
  Episcopal School and Bogue Falaya River Park.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet...Bogue Falaya River park will be inundated. 
  Some classrooms at Christ Episcopal School grounds will flood.
* Impact...At 7.0 feet...Water will rise onto the right bank flooding 
  property of the bogue falaya towers at east Boston Street and 
  threatening commercial property on the left bank near Military 
  Road. Bogue falaya river park and christ episcopal school grounds 
  will begin to flood
* Impact...At 6.0 feet...The river will leave its banks under the 
  Boston Street bridge and begin to flood the boston towers property

&&

LAT...LON 3052 9004 3052 9014 3042 9016 3042 9004




$$
823 
WGUS84 KLIX 110529
FLSLIX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA 
1129 PM CST THU MAR 10 2016

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Louisiana...
 
  Bogue Falaya River At Camp Covington affecting St. Tammany Parish 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has occurred along with 
anticipated rain for the next 12 hours. Adjustments to the forecasts 
will be made if additional heavy rainfall occurs.

Do not drive cars through flooded areas. Remember, two feet of 
rushing water can carry away most vehicles including pickups.  Turn 
around and don't drown!

A followup product will be issued later. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather 
Radio, local tv and radio stations...or your cable provider, for the 
latest information. The latest graphical hydrologic information can 
also be found at Weather.Gov.

&&

LAC103-121129-
/O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0026.160311T1146Z-160313T1315Z/
/CGSL1.1.ER.160311T1146Z.160312T0000Z.160313T0715Z.NO/
1129 PM CST THU MAR 10 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Bogue Falaya River At Camp Covington.
* from late tonight to Sunday morning.
* At 11:00 PM Thursday the stage was 42.6 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 45.0 feet.
* Forecast...Rise above flood stage by early tomorrow and continue to
  rise to near 46.0 feet by tomorrow evening.the river will fall 
  below flood stage by early Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 45.0 feet...Water will encroach residential property in 
  the vicinity of the gage. Residences on the east bank near the 
  river will be threatened. Water will cover entrance driveways to 
  property on the east bank.

&&

LAT...LON 3060 9010 3061 9019 3052 9014 3052 9004




$$
408 
WGUS84 KLIX 110934
FLSLIX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA 
334 AM CST FRI MAR 11 2016

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Louisiana...
 
  Bogue Falaya River At Camp Covington affecting St. Tammany Parish
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has occurred along with 
anticipated rain for the next 12 hours. Adjustments to the forecasts 
will be made if additional heavy rainfall occurs.

Do not drive cars through flooded areas. Remember, two feet of 
rushing water can carry away most vehicles including pickups.  Turn 
around and don't drown!

A followup product will be issued later. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather 
Radio, local tv and radio stations...or your cable provider, for the 
latest information. The latest graphical hydrologic information can 
also be found at Weather.Gov.

&&

LAC103-121534-
/O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0026.160311T0933Z-160313T0447Z/
/CGSL1.1.ER.160311T0705Z.160312T0000Z.160312T2247Z.NO/
334 AM CST FRI MAR 11 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Bogue Falaya River At Camp Covington.
* until Saturday evening.
* At 3:00 AM Friday the stage was 47.1 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 45.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 49.0 feet by this
  evening. 
* Impact...At 45.0 feet...Water will encroach residential property in 
  the vicinity of the gage. Residences on the east bank near the 
  river will be threatened. Water will cover entrance driveways to 
  property on the east bank.

&&

LAT...LON 3060 9010 3061 9019 3052 9014 3052 9004

$$
833 
WGUS44 KLIX 111059
FLWLIX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA 
459 AM CST FRI MAR 11 2016

...Forecast Flooding Changed from Minor to Moderate Severity for the 
following rivers in Louisiana...

  Bogue Falaya River At Camp Covington affecting St. Tammany Parish
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has occurred along with 
anticipated rain for the next 12 hours. Adjustments to the forecasts 
will be made if additional heavy rainfall occurs.

Do not drive cars through flooded areas. Remember, two feet of 
rushing water can carry away most vehicles including pickups.  Turn 
around and don't drown!

A followup product will be issued later. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather 
Radio, local tv and radio stations...or your cable provider, for the 
latest information. The latest graphical hydrologic information can 
also be found at Weather.Gov.

&&

LAC103-121659-
/O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0026.000000T0000Z-160313T1349Z/
/CGSL1.2.ER.160311T0705Z.160312T0600Z.160313T0749Z.NO/
459 AM CST FRI MAR 11 2016

...Forecast flooding increased from Minor to Moderate severity...
The Flood Warning continues for 
 The Bogue Falaya River At Camp Covington.
* until Sunday morning.
* At 4:00 AM Friday the stage was 48.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 45.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 54.0 feet by 
  midnight tonight.
* Impact...At 50.0 feet...Property along the east bank will be 
  inundated. The entrance driveway to property near the gage on the 
  east bank will become impassable. Water will cover Million Dollar 
  Road at the intersection of KC Camp Road. Caution is urged driving 
  along Million Dollar Road. The river will be bankfull at Saint 
  Joseph Abbey downstream threatening the Abbey parking lot.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3060 9010 3061 9019 3052 9014 3052 9004

&&

LAT...LON 3060 9010 3061 9019 3052 9014 3052 9004

$$
440 
WGUS44 KLIX 111349
FLWLIX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA 
749 AM CST FRI MAR 11 2016

...Forecast Flooding Changed from Moderate to Record Severity for the
following rivers in Louisiana...

  Bogue Falaya River At Camp Covington affecting St. Tammany Parish
  
  Bogue Falaya River At Boston St in Covington affecting St. Tammany 
  Parish
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has occurred along with 
anticipated rain for the next 12 hours. Adjustments to the forecasts 
will be made if additional heavy rainfall occurs.

Do not drive cars through flooded areas. Remember, two feet of 
rushing water can carry away most vehicles including pickups.  Turn 
around and don't drown!

A followup product will be issued later. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather 
Radio, local tv and radio stations...or your cable provider, for the 
latest information. The latest graphical hydrologic information can 
also be found at Weather.Gov.

&&

LAC103-121949-
/O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0026.000000T0000Z-160313T2136Z/
/CGSL1.3.ER.160311T0705Z.160312T0000Z.160313T1536Z.NR/
749 AM CST FRI MAR 11 2016

...Forecast flooding increased from Moderate to Record severity...
The Flood Warning continues for 
 The Bogue Falaya River At Camp Covington.
* until Sunday afternoon.
* At 7:00 AM Friday the stage was 55.1 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Record flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 45.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 57.5 feet by this
  evening.
* Impact...At 55.0 feet...Lower end of Camp Covington Camp grounds 
  will begin to flood. Cabins on the lower end will be threatened. 
  Water will threaten living space of homes along the river east of 
  the gage. Water will cover Million Dollar Road at the intersection 
  of KC Camp Road. The Saint Joseph Abbey parking lot will be 
  threatened.
* Impact...At 50.0 feet...Property along the east bank will be 
  inundated. The entrance driveway to property near the gage on the 
  east bank will become impassable. Water will cover Million Dollar 
  Road at the intersection of KC Camp Road. Caution is urged driving 
  along Million Dollar Road. The river will be bankfull at Saint 
  Joseph Abbey downstream threatening the Abbey parking lot.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3060 9010 3061 9019 3052 9014 3052 9004

&&

LAT...LON 3060 9010 3061 9019 3052 9014 3052 9004

$$

LAC103-121948-
/O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-160315T1600Z/
/CVEL1.3.ER.160311T0903Z.160312T1200Z.160315T1000Z.NR/
749 AM CST FRI MAR 11 2016

...Forecast flooding increased from Moderate to Major severity...
The Flood Warning continues for 
 The Bogue Falaya River At Boston St in Covington.
* until Tuesday morning.
* At 7:30 AM Friday the stage was 8.9 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Major flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 6.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 17.0 feet by 
  tomorrow morning. 
* Impact...At 17.0 feet...Water will back up on the Abita River 
  flooding most of the area between Highway 190 and Gighway 36. The 
  river will be at the undercarriage of the east Boston Street 
  bridge.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Water on east Boston Street and on Louisiana
  Highway 21 east of the river will make driving hazardous. Low- 
  lying areas near the Bogue Ralaya and Abita Rivers will flood.
* Impact...At 13.5 feet...Homes along River Bend Road will flood. 
  Water will be in the ground floor classrooms of Christ Episcopal 
  School.
* Impact...At 12.0 feet...River Bend Road will be under water 
  threatening adjacent homes. Bogue Falaya River Park and Christ 
  Episcopal School grounds will remain flooded.
* Impact...At 11.0 feet...There will be major flooding at Christ 
  Episcopal School and Bogue Falaya River Park.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet...Bogue Falaya River park will be inundated. 
  Some classrooms at Christ Episcopal School grounds will flood.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3052 9004 3052 9014 3042 9016 3042 9004

&&

LAT...LON 3052 9004 3052 9014 3042 9016 3042 9004

$$
384 
WGUS44 KLIX 111757
FLWLIX
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA 
1157 AM CST FRI MAR 11 2016

...Forecast Flooding Changed from Record to Record Severity for the 
following rivers in Louisiana...

  Bogue Falaya River At Camp Covington affecting St. Tammany Parish
  
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has occurred along with 
anticipated rain for the next 12 hours. Adjustments to the forecasts 
will be made if additional heavy rainfall occurs.

Do not drive cars through flooded areas. Remember, two feet of 
rushing water can carry away most vehicles including pickups.  Turn 
around and don't drown!

A followup product will be issued later. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather 
Radio, local tv and radio stations...or your cable provider, for the 
latest information. The latest graphical hydrologic information can 
also be found at Weather.Gov.

&&

LAC103-122357-
/O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0026.000000T0000Z-160314T0400Z/
/CGSL1.3.ER.160311T0705Z.160312T0600Z.160313T2200Z.NR/
1157 AM CST FRI MAR 11 2016

The Flood Warning continues for 
 The Bogue Falaya River At Camp Covington.
* until Sunday evening.
* At 11:40 AM, USGS personnel reported the river was at 62.0 feet.
* Record flooding is occurring and Record flooding is forecast!
* Flood stage is 45.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will crest at 62.5 feet this afternoon. This is
  record flooding on Bogue Falaya River at Camp Covington!
* Impact...At 55.0 feet...Lower end of Camp Covington Camp grounds 
  will begin to flood. Cabins on the lower end will be threatened. 
  Water will threaten living space of homes along the river east of 
  the gage. Water will cover Million Dollar Road at the intersection 
  of KC Camp Road. The Saint Joseph Abbey parking lot will be 
  threatened.

&&
 
LAT...LON 3060 9010 3061 9019 3052 9014 3052 9004

&&

LAT...LON 3060 9010 3061 9019 3052 9014 3052 9004

$$
334 
WGUS84 KLIX 120114
FLSLIX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA 
714 PM CST FRI MAR 11 2016

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Louisiana...
 
  Bogue Falaya River At Camp Covington affecting St. Tammany Parish 
  
  Bogue Falaya River At Boston St in Covington affecting St. Tammany 
  Parish 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has occurred along with 
anticipated rain for the next 12 hours. Adjustments to the forecasts 
will be made if additional heavy rainfall occurs.

Do not drive cars through flooded areas. Remember, two feet of 
rushing water can carry away most vehicles including pickups.  Turn 
around and don't drown!

A followup product will be issued later. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather 
Radio, local tv and radio stations...or your cable provider, for the 
latest information. The latest graphical hydrologic information can 
also be found at Weather.Gov.

&&

LAC103-130714-
/O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0026.000000T0000Z-160313T0741Z/
/CGSL1.2.ER.160311T0705Z.160312T0600Z.160313T0141Z.NO/
714 PM CST FRI MAR 11 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Bogue Falaya River At Camp Covington.
* until late Saturday night.
* Flood stage is 45.0 feet.
* Impact...At 55.0 feet...Lower end of Camp Covington Camp grounds 
  will begin to flood. Cabins on the lower end will be threatened. 
  Water will threaten living space of homes along the river east of 
  the gage. Water will cover Million Dollar Road at the intersection 
  of KC Camp Road. The Saint Joseph Abbey parking lot will be 
  threatened.
* Impact...At 50.0 feet...Property along the east bank will be 
  inundated. The entrance driveway to property near the gage on the 
  east bank will become impassable. Water will cover Million Dollar 
  Road at the intersection of KC Camp Road. Caution is urged driving 
  along Million Dollar Road. The river will be bankfull at Saint 
  Joseph Abbey downstream threatening the Abbey parking lot.
* Impact...At 45.0 feet...Water will encroach residential property in 
  the vicinity of the gage. Residences on the east bank near the 
  river will be threatened. Water will cover entrance driveways to 
  property on the east bank.


&&

LAT...LON 3060 9010 3061 9019 3052 9014 3052 9004




$$

LAC103-130713-
/O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-160315T0936Z/
/CVEL1.3.ER.160311T0903Z.160312T1200Z.160315T0336Z.NR/
714 PM CST FRI MAR 11 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Bogue Falaya River At Boston St in Covington.
* until late Monday night.
* At  6:30 PM Friday the stage was 17.6 feet.
* Record flooding is occurring and Record flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 6.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 19.5 feet by 
  tomorrow morning. The river will fall below flood stage Monday 
  before midnight.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet...Water will back up on the Abita River 
  flooding most of the area between Highway 190 and Highway 36. The 
  river will be at the undercarriage of the east Boston Street 
  bridge.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Water on east Boston Street and on Louisiana
  Highway 21 east of the river will make driving hazardous. Low- 
  lying areas near the Bogue Ralaya and Abita Rivers will flood.
* Impact...At 13.5 feet...Homes along River Bend Road will flood. 
  Water will be in the ground floor classrooms of Christ Episcopal 
  School.
* Impact...At 12.0 feet...River Bend Road will be under water 
  threatening adjacent homes. Bogue Falaya River Park and Christ 
  Episcopal School grounds will remain flooded.
* Impact...At 11.0 feet...There will be major flooding at Christ 
  Episcopal School and Bogue Falaya River Park.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet...Bogue Falaya River park will be inundated. 
  Some classrooms at Christ Episcopal School grounds will flood.
* Impact...At 7.0 feet...Water will rise onto the right bank flooding 
  property of the bogue falaya towers at east Boston Street and 
  threatening commercial property on the left bank near Military 
  Road. Bogue falaya river park and christ episcopal school grounds 
  will begin to flood
* Impact...At 6.0 feet...The river will leave its banks under the 
  Boston Street bridge and begin to flood the boston towers property

&&

LAT...LON 3052 9004 3052 9014 3042 9016 3042 9004




$$
180 
WGUS84 KLIX 120146
FLSLIX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA 
746 PM CST FRI MAR 11 2016

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Louisiana...

  Bogue Falaya River At Camp Covington affecting St. Tammany Parish 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has occurred along with 
anticipated rain for the next 12 hours. Adjustments to the forecasts 
will be made if additional heavy rainfall occurs.

Do not drive cars through flooded areas. Remember, two feet of 
rushing water can carry away most vehicles including pickups.  Turn 
around and don't drown!

A followup product will be issued later. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather 
Radio, local tv and radio stations...or your cable provider, for the 
latest information. The latest graphical hydrologic information can 
also be found at Weather.Gov.

&&

LAC103-130741-
/O.CON.KLIX.FL.W.0026.000000T0000Z-160313T0741Z/
/CGSL1.2.ER.160311T0705Z.160312T0600Z.160313T0141Z.NO/
746 PM CST FRI MAR 11 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Bogue Falaya River At Camp Covington.
* until late Saturday night.
* At 7:00 PM Friday the stage was estimated near 59.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 45.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is likely cresting and should begin falling 
  overnight.
* Impact...At 55.0 feet...Lower end of Camp Covington Camp grounds 
  will begin to flood. Cabins on the lower end will be threatened. 
  Water will threaten living space of homes along the river east of 
  the gage. Water will cover Million Dollar Road at the intersection 
  of KC Camp Road. The Saint Joseph Abbey parking lot will be 
  threatened.
* Impact...At 50.0 feet...Property along the east bank will be 
  inundated. The entrance driveway to property near the gage on the 
  east bank will become impassable. Water will cover Million Dollar 
  Road at the intersection of KC Camp Road. Caution is urged driving 
  along Million Dollar Road. The river will be bankfull at Saint 
  Joseph Abbey downstream threatening the Abbey parking lot.
* Impact...At 45.0 feet...Water will encroach residential property in 
  the vicinity of the gage. Residences on the east bank near the 
  river will be threatened. Water will cover entrance driveways to 
  property on the east bank.


&&

LAT...LON 3060 9010 3061 9019 3052 9014 3052 9004




$$
729 
WGUS84 KLIX 121756
FLSLIX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA 
1156 AM CST SAT MAR 12 2016

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Louisiana...
 
The Bogue Falaya River At Camp Covington affecting St. Tammany Parish 

The Bogue Falaya River At Boston St in Covington affecting St. Tammany 
Parish 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has occurred along with 
anticipated rain for the next 12 hours. Adjustments to the forecasts 
will be made if additional heavy rainfall occurs.

Do not drive cars through flooded areas. Remember, two feet of 
rushing water can carry away most vehicles including pickups.  Turn 
around and don't drown!

A followup product will be issued later. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather 
Radio, local tv and radio stations...or your cable provider, for the 
latest information. The latest graphical hydrologic information can 
also be found at Weather.Gov.

&&

LAC103-130907-
/O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0026.000000T0000Z-160313T0907Z/
/CGSL1.2.ER.160311T0705Z.160312T1030Z.160313T0307Z.NO/
1156 AM CST SAT MAR 12 2016

...Flood Warning extended until late tonight...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  The Bogue Falaya River At Camp Covington.
* until late tonight.
* At 11:00 AM Saturday the stage was 49.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 45.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river has already crested and is expected to fall 
  below flood stage by this evening.
* Impact...At 50.0 feet...Property along the east bank will be 
  inundated. The entrance driveway to property near the gage on the 
  east bank will become impassable. Water will cover Million Dollar 
  Road at the intersection of KC Camp Road. Caution is urged driving 
  along Million Dollar Road. The river will be bankfull at Saint 
  Joseph Abbey downstream threatening the Abbey parking lot.
* Impact...At 45.0 feet...Water will encroach residential property in 
  the vicinity of the gage. Residences on the east bank near the 
  river will be threatened. Water will cover entrance driveways to 
  property on the east bank.

&&

LAT...LON 3060 9010 3061 9019 3052 9014 3052 9004



$$

LAC103-132356-
/O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-160314T2200Z/
/CVEL1.3.ER.160311T0903Z.160312T0700Z.160314T1600Z.NR/
1156 AM CST SAT MAR 12 2016

...Flood Warning extended until Monday afternoon...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  The Bogue Falaya River At Boston St in Covington.
* until Monday afternoon.
* At 10:30 AM Saturday the stage was 16.6 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Record flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 6.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river has already crested and is expected to fall 
  below flood stage by Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet...Water will back up on the Abita River 
  flooding most of the area between Highway 190 and Highway 36. The 
  river will be at the undercarriage of the east Boston Street 
  bridge.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet...Water on east Boston Street and on Louisiana
  Highway 21 east of the river will make driving hazardous. Low- 
  lying areas near the Bogue Ralaya and Abita Rivers will flood.
* Impact...At 13.5 feet...Homes along River Bend Road will flood. 
  Water will be in the ground floor classrooms of Christ Episcopal 
  School.
* Impact...At 12.0 feet...River Bend Road will be under water 
  threatening adjacent homes. Bogue Falaya River Park and Christ 
  Episcopal School grounds will remain flooded.
* Impact...At 11.0 feet...There will be major flooding at Christ 
  Episcopal School and Bogue Falaya River Park.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet...Bogue Falaya River park will be inundated. 
  Some classrooms at Christ Episcopal School grounds will flood.
* Impact...At 7.0 feet...Water will rise onto the right bank flooding 
  property of the bogue falaya towers at east Boston Street and 
  threatening commercial property on the left bank near Military 
  Road. Bogue falaya river park and christ episcopal school grounds 
  will begin to flood
* Impact...At 6.0 feet...The river will leave its banks under the 
  Boston Street bridge and begin to flood the boston towers property.

&&

LAT...LON 3052 9004 3052 9014 3042 9016 3042 9004




$$
729 
WGUS84 KLIX 122022
FLSLIX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA 
222 PM CST SAT MAR 12 2016

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Louisiana...
 
The Bogue Falaya River At Camp Covington affecting St. Tammany Parish .

The Bogue Falaya River At Boston St in Covington affecting St. Tammany
Parish 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has occurred along with 
anticipated rain for the next 12 hours. Adjustments to the forecasts 
will be made if additional heavy rainfall occurs.

Do not drive cars through flooded areas. Remember, two feet of 
rushing water can carry away most vehicles including pickups.  Turn 
around and don't drown!

A followup product will be issued later. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather 
Radio, local tv and radio stations...or your cable provider, for the 
latest information. The latest graphical hydrologic information can 
also be found at Weather.Gov.

&&

LAC103-131000-
/O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0026.000000T0000Z-160313T1000Z/
/CGSL1.2.ER.160311T0705Z.160312T1030Z.160313T0400Z.NO/
222 PM CST SAT MAR 12 2016

...Flood Warning extended until late tonight...The Flood Warning 
continues for
  The Bogue Falaya River At Camp Covington.
* until late tonight.
* At 2:00 PM Saturday the stage was 46.8 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 45.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river has already crested and is expected to fall 
  below flood stage by early tonight.
* Impact...At 45.0 feet...Water will encroach residential property in 
  the vicinity of the gage. Residences on the east bank near the 
  river will be threatened. Water will cover entrance driveways to 
  property on the east bank.

&&

LAT...LON 3060 9010 3061 9019 3052 9014 3052 9004



$$

LAC103-140221-
/O.CON.KLIX.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-160314T2200Z/
/CVEL1.3.ER.160311T0903Z.160312T0700Z.160314T1600Z.NR/
222 PM CST SAT MAR 12 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Bogue Falaya River At Boston St in Covington.
* until Monday afternoon.
* At  1:30 PM Saturday the stage was 14.8 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 6.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river has already crested and is expected to fall 
  below flood stage by Monday morning.
* Impact...At 13.5 feet...Homes along River Bend Road will flood. 
  Water will be in the ground floor classrooms of Christ Episcopal 
  School.
* Impact...At 12.0 feet...River Bend Road will be under water 
  threatening adjacent homes. Bogue Falaya River Park and Christ 
  Episcopal School grounds will remain flooded.
* Impact...At 11.0 feet...There will be major flooding at Christ 
  Episcopal School and Bogue Falaya River Park.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet...Bogue Falaya River park will be inundated. 
  Some classrooms at Christ Episcopal School grounds will flood.
* Impact...At 7.0 feet...Water will rise onto the right bank flooding 
  property of the bogue falaya towers at east Boston Street and 
  threatening commercial property on the left bank near Military 
  Road. Bogue falaya river park and christ episcopal school grounds 
  will begin to flood
* Impact...At 6.0 feet...The river will leave its banks under the 
  Boston Street bridge and begin to flood the boston towers property


&&

LAT...LON 3052 9004 3052 9014 3042 9016 3042 9004




$$
249 
WGUS84 KLIX 130250
FLSLIX
FLOOD STATEMENT 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS BATON ROUGE LA 
850 PM CST SAT MAR 12 2016

...The flood warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Louisiana...
 
  Bogue Falaya River At Camp Covington affecting St. Tammany Parish

...The flood warning continues for the following rivers in 
Louisiana...
 
  Bogue Falaya River At Boston St in Covington affecting St. Tammany 
  Parish 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Forecast crests are based upon rainfall that has occurred along with 
anticipated rain for the next 12 hours. Adjustments to the forecasts 
will be made if additional heavy rainfall occurs.

Do not drive cars through flooded areas. Remember, two feet of 
rushing water can carry away most vehicles including pickups.  Turn 
around and don't drown!

A followup product will be issued later. Stay tuned to NOAA Weather 
Radio, local tv and radio stations...or your cable provider, for the 
latest information. The latest graphical hydrologic information can 
also be found at Weather.Gov.

&&

LAC103-130320-
/O.CAN.KLIX.FL.W.0026.000000T0000Z-160313T1000Z/
/CGSL1.2.ER.160311T0705Z.160312T1030Z.160312T2224Z.NO/
850 PM CST SAT MAR 12 2016

The Flood Warning is cancelled for the Bogue Falaya River At Camp Covington.
* At  8:00 PM Saturday the stage was 43.2 feet.
* The river fell below flood stage at 4:24 PM Saturday.
* Flood stage is 45.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to 36.9 feet by Monday 
  morning.


&&

LAT...LON 3060 9010 3061 9019 3052 9014 3052 9004




$$

LAC103-140850-
/O.EXT.KLIX.FL.W.0023.000000T0000Z-160314T2100Z/
/CVEL1.3.ER.160311T0903Z.160312T0700Z.160314T1500Z.NR/
850 PM CST SAT MAR 12 2016

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Bogue Falaya River At Boston St in Covington.
* until Monday afternoon.
* At  8:30 PM Saturday the stage was 11.7 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring.
* Flood stage is 6.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue to fall to below flood stage by 
  late Monday morning.
* Impact...At 11.0 feet...There will be major flooding at Christ 
  Episcopal School and Bogue Falaya River Park.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet...Bogue Falaya River park will be inundated. 
  Some classrooms at Christ Episcopal School grounds will flood.
* Impact...At 7.0 feet...Water will rise onto the right bank flooding 
  property of the bogue falaya towers at east Boston Street and 
  threatening commercial property on the left bank near Military 
  Road. Bogue falaya river park and christ episcopal school grounds 
  will begin to flood
* Impact...At 6.0 feet...The river will leave its banks under the 
  Boston Street bridge and begin to flood the boston towers property

&&

LAT...LON 3052 9004 3052 9014 3042 9016 3042 9004




$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS New Orleans, LA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Mar 10, 7:46 AM CST, 57 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 10, 7:46 AM CST, 57 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
746 AM CST THU MAR 10 2016

...SOUNDING DISCUSSION...

THE LOWER ATMOSPHERE CONTINUES TO MOISTEN WITH A RECORD
PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUE FOR THIS DATE/TIME OF 1.76 INCHES. THE
MOISTURE ADVECTION IS BEING HELPED BY AN IMPRESSIVE LOW LEVEL JET
WITH A 925 MB WIND OF 52 KNOTS AND A 850 MB WIND OF 49 KNOTS
/BOTH RECORD VALUES FOR THIS DATE/TIME/. THIS IS PRIMING THE
ATMOSPHERE FOR HEAVY RAINFALL.

WHILE THE LOWER LEVELS ARE MOIST...THERE IS A QUITE A BIT OF DRY
AIR IN THE MID AND UPPER LEVELS. THIS HAS LED TO A DOWNDRAFT CAPE
VALUE OF 925 J/KG...WHICH IF ANY STRONGER SHOWERS OR
THUNDERSTORMS CAN ENTRAIN THOSE LOW LEVEL WINDS INTO DOWNDRAFTS WOULD
RESULT IN SEVERE WIND GUSTS REACHING THE SURFACE. IF WE GET
MIXING UP TO 925MB *OUTSIDE* OF RAIN/CONVECTION...WHICH ISN'T OUT
OF THE QUESTION...WE COULD GET 50 KNOTS GUSTS MIXING DOWN TO THE
SURFACE AS WELL. DIRECTIONAL SHEAR EXISTS WITH SOUTHEAST WINDS
NEAR THE SURFACE ROTATING AROUND TO BLOW FROM THE SOUTHWEST BY THE
UPPER LEVELS. WINDS INCREASE FROM ABOUT 10 KNOTS AT THE SURFACE TO
50 KNOTS AT 925MB AS MENTIONED ABOVE. THIS HAS YIELDED VERY
IMPRESSIVE 0-1KM AND 0-3KM SRH VALUES OF 500 M2/S2. WHILE A FEW
TORNADOES REMAIN POSSIBLE...LAPSE RATES IN THE LOW AND MIDLEVELS
ARE NOT STEEP AND THERE IS A LACK OF A STRONG LIFTING OR FORCING
MECHANISM. THIS SHOULD HELP MITIGATE AGAINST A LARGER TORNADO
THREAT.

12Z BALLOON INFO: A ROUTINE FLIGHT REACHING A HEIGHT OF 21.1 MILES
ABOVE THE GROUND AFTER ASCENDING FOR 97 MINUTES. THE BALLOON
BURST NEAR CARNES 50 MILES DOWNRANGE FROM THE OFFICE.

ANSORGE

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 402 AM CST THU MAR 10 2016/

SHORT TERM...

THE MOST SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN THINKING CONCERNS THE POTENTIAL FOR
HEAVIER RAINS TO LINGER INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS ON SATURDAY. ALL
OF THE GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO SHOW STRONG FORCING AND HIGH MEAN W
VALUES OF 14 TO 15 G/KG IN PLACE FROM THE EASTERN HALF OF THE
FORECAST AREA THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON. GIVEN THESE EXPECTED
CONDITIONS...HAVE OPTED TO EXTEND THE DURATION OF THE FLASH FLOOD
WATCH UNTIL SATURDAY EVENING. IT STILL LOOKS LIKE THERE WILL BE
MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF HEAVY RAINFALL IMPACTING THE REGION BEGINNING
LATER THIS MORNING AND THEN CONTINUING THROUGH SATURDAY.

LITTLE CHANGE IN THE FORECAST THINKING HAS OCCURRED FOR TODAY AND
TOMORROW. TODAY...THE HEAVIEST RAINS SHOULD GENERALLY BE OVER THE
WESTERN HALF OF THE CWA...WEST OF THE I-55 CORRIDOR. RAINFALL
TOTALS OF 2 TO 3 INCHES WITH SOME HIGHER AMOUNTS COULD OCCUR OVER
THESE AREAS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE BAND OF HEAVIER RAIN
SHOULD THEN SET UP FOR TONIGHT GENERALLY BETWEEN THE ATCHAFALAYA
AND PEARL RIVERS. THIS BAND OF RAIN SHOULD THEN PERSIST THROUGH
THE DAY TOMORROW. AN ADDITIONAL 3 TO 4 INCHES OF RAIN WITH
LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS COULD IMPACT AREAS WEST OF INTERSTATE
55...BRINGING RAIN TOTALS OT 7 TO 10 INCHES. FOR AREAS EAST OF THE
I-55 CORRIDOR IN SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHWEST MISSISSIPPI...INCLUDING
METRO NEW ORLEANS...HEAVY RAINFALL OF 3 TO 6 INCHES WITH LOCALLY
HIGHER AMOUNTS OVER 8 INCHES COULD OCCUR TONIGHT AND TOMORROW.

OUTSIDE OF THE HEAVY RAIN THREAT...THERE WILL ALSO CONTINUE TO BE
A SEVERE THREAT FOR TODAY...MAINLY DUE TO THE STRONG WIND SHEAR
IN PLACE ACROSS THE AREA. THIS WIND SHEAR WILL BE DRIVEN BY A
STRONG 40 TO 50 KNOT LOW LEVEL JET PARKED OVER THE AREA. AS A
RESULT...TOTAL SHEAR WILL BE IN EXCESS OF 50 KNOTS AND HELICITY
VALUES WILL BE AROUND 300 M2/S2 THIS AFTERNOON. THE ONE NEGATIVE
TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS WEAKER LAPSE RATES AND
OVERALL LOWER INSTABILITY ACROSS THE REGION DUE TO THE HIGHLY
SATURATED AIRMASS IN PLACE. GIVEN THE LACK OF COLDER AIR
ALOFT...DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND TORNADOES WOULD BE THE PRIMARY
CONCERN WITH ANY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THAT TRY TO DEVELOP TODAY.
THE LOW LEVEL JET IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN HEADING INTO TONIGHT AND
TOMORROW...AND THE THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER SHOULD ALSO DIMINISH
SUBSTANTIALLY.

AS MENTIONED EARLIER...THERE HAS BEEN A SHIFT IN THINKING FOR
FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY. THE UPPER LEVEL LOW DRIVING THE HEAVY
RAINFALL ACROSS THE AREA LOOKS TO LIFT OUT OF MEXICO SLOWER THAN
ORIGINALLY EXPECTED. AS A RESULT...A HIGH MOISTURE CONTENT AIRMASS
AND STRONG DYNAMIC FORCING WILL LINGER OVER THE FORECAST AREA
THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON. IT LOOKS LIKE THE HIGHEST PROBABILITY
AREAS FOR HEAVY RAINFALL WILL GENERALLY BE FROM METRO NEW ORLEANS
AND THE NORTHSHORE EASTWARD ACROSS THE MISSISSIPPI GULF COAST. AN
ADDITIONAL 3 TO 5 INCHES OF RAIN WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS OF
OVER 6 INCHES COULD IMPACT METRO NEW ORLEANS AND NORTHSHORE. THE
MISSISSIPPI COAST COULD EASILY SEE 3 TO 5 INCHES OF RAIN AS WELL
WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS OVER 6 INCHES POSSIBLE. STORM TOTAL
RAINFALL ACROSS THE AREA COULD VARY FROM 7 TO 10 INCHES FOR THE
BATON ROUGE AREA AND MISSISSIPPI GULF COAST TO A BULLSEYE OF 10
TO 14 INCHES FOR METRO NEW ORLEANS AND THE NORTHSHORE BY THE TIME
THE EVENT IS OVER. ALL OF THESE TOTALS ARE HIGHLY DEPENDENT ON
EXACTLY WHERE THE HEAVY RAIN BAND DEVELOPS...AND IF MULTIPLE AREAS
OF HEAVIER RAIN TRAIN OVER THE SAME LOCATION. SIGNIFICANT FLOODING
ISSUES COULD ARISE WITH THIS EVENT GIVEN THE HIGH RAINFALL TOTALS
EXPECTED. WITH HIGH DEWPOINTS IN PLACE...OVERNIGHTS LOWS WILL ONLY
COOL INTO THE MIDDLE TO UPPER 60S TONIGHT AND FRIDAY NIGHT.
DAYTIME HIGHS SHOULD BE SOMEWHAT COOLER DUE TO THE EXPECTED
RAINS...AND ONLY HAVE HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S THROUGH SATURDAY.

LONG TERM...

ALL OF THE MODELS INDICATE THAT THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AXIS WILL
FINALLY PUSH TO THE EAST OF THE REGION SATURDAY NIGHT...ALLOWING
FOR DRIER AIR AND INCREASING SUBSIDENCE ALOFT TO ADVECT IN.
RAINFALL SHOULD QUICKLY END FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST THROUGH
SATURDAY NIGHT...AND EXPECT TO SEE MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES IN PLACE BY
SUNDAY MORNING. WITH SKIES CLEARING AND DEWPOINTS
DROPPING...OVERNIGHT LOWS SHOULD FALL INTO THE UPPER 50S AND LOWER
60S SATURDAY NIGHT.

ANOTHER FAST MOVING UPPER LEVEL LOW SHOULD SWEEP THROUGH THE LOWER
MISSISSIPPI VALLEY SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY NIGHT...BUT NO REAL IMPACTS
ARE EXPECTED FROM THIS SYSTEM ACROSS OUR FORECAST AREA. THE SYSTEM
WILL BE MOISTURE STARVED AND ONLY EXPECT TO SEE A FEW MORE CLOUDS
AS THE TROUGH AXIS SLIDES THROUGH. THE LOWER DEWPOINTS COMBINED
WITH SOUTHWEST FLOW OFF THE MEXICAN PLATEAU SHOULD ALLOW
TEMPERATURES TO WARM TO AROUND 80 DEGREES BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURES COULD FURTHER WARM INTO THE LOWER 80S FOR MONDAY IN
THE WAKE OF THE PASSING TROUGH AXIS AND THE FORMATION OF A SHORT
WAVE RIDGE OVER THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. THESE CONDITIONS
WILL PERSIST INTO TUESDAY...WITH TEMPERATURES POSSIBLY WARMING
FURTHER INTO THE MIDDLE 80S.

THE NEXT CHANCE OF SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY SHOULD BEGIN
TO DEVELOP ON WEDNESDAY...AS A BROAD AREA OF POSITIVE VORTICITY
ADVECTION OVERSPREAD THE REGION. INCREASING MOISTURE ADVECTION
INTO THE REGION...ALONG WITH THE INCREASE IN FORCING ALOFT SHOULD
ALLOW FOR SOME ISOLATED SHOWERS AND STORMS TO DEVELOP BY WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON. A FRONT IS THEN FORECAST TO APPROACH FROM THE NORTH ON
THURSDAY...AND THIS COULD SERVE AS FOCUS FOR MORE SCATTERED SHOWER
AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY ON THURSDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN
MILD...WITH HIGHS IN THE MIDDLE TO UPPER 70S BOTH WEDNESDAY AND
THURSDAY. AS MOISTURE INCREASES OVER THE AREA...OVERNIGHT LOWS
SHOULD CLIMB BACK INTO THE 60S BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT.

AVIATION...

MVFR CONDITIONS ALONG WITH STRONG GUSTY WINDS WILL PREVAIL ACROSS
ALL SITES OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. RAIN COVERAGE WILL BEGIN TO
INCREASE THROUGHOUT THE DAY...WITH HEAVIER RAIN BANDS STARTING TO
COME IN LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. EXPECT MVFR CONDITIONS TO
PREVAIL DUE TO LOW CEILINGS...BUT PERIODS OF IFR ARE POSSIBLE ALONG
THE HEAVIER RAIN BANDS. EXPECT FOR THESE CONDITIONS TO LAST THROUGH
AT LEAST THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

MARINE...

LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY APPROACH THE NORTHERN
GULF WATER OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM...A TIGHT
PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL CONTINUE TO PRODUCE STRONG SOUTHEAST WINDS
WHICH WILL YIELD SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS ACROSS ALL
AREAS. HOWEVER...WINDS AND SEAS ARE EXPECTED TO DROP BELOW
THRESHOLDS FROM WEST TO EAST LATE TONIGHT.

IN ADDITION TO THE STRONG WINDS AND SEAS...COASTAL FLOODING WILL
CONTINUE TO BE AN ISSUE. A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT.
GIVEN THAT WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO LOWER LATER TODAY...LOOKS LIKE
WARNING CRITERIA WILL NOT BE MET. HOWEVER...THIS IS SOMETHING THAT
WILL BE CLOSELY WATCHED DURING THE DAYTIME HOURS.

DECISION SUPPORT...

DSS CODE....BLUE.
DEPLOYED...NONE.
ACTIVATION...NONE.
ACTIVITIES...RIVER FLOODING AT RED RIVER LANDING AND MONITORING FOR HEAVY
             RAIN THREAT THROUGH SATURDAY.

DECISION SUPPORT SERVICES (DSS) CODE LEGEND
GREEN  = NO WEATHER IMPACTS THAT REQUIRE ACTION
BLUE   = LONG FUSED WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY IN EFFECT OR HIGH
         VISIBILITY EVENT
YELLOW = HEIGHTENED IMPACTS WITH SHORT FUSED WATCH/WARNING/ADVISORY
         ISSUANCES; RADAR SUPPORT
ORANGE = HIGH IMPACTS - SLIGHT TO MODERATE RISK SEVERE; NEARBY
         TROPICAL EVENTS; HAZMAT OR OTHER LARGE EPISODES
RED    = FULL ENGAGEMENT FOR MODERATE RISK SVR AND/OR DIRECT
         TROPICAL THREATS; EVENTS OF NATIONAL SIGNIFICANCE

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  75  67  71  64 / 100 100 100  90
BTR  76  68  72  64 / 100 100 100  90
ASD  75  68  71  66 /  80 100 100 100
MSY  76  68  71  66 /  90 100 100 100
GPT  74  68  71  67 /  70  80 100 100
PQL  74  67  72  66 /  60  70  80  80

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR LAZ040-058>070-072.

     COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR LAZ040-
     049-050-057-058-060>064-066>070-072.

     FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON FOR LAZ034>037-039-
     040-046>050-056>072.

GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT FOR GMZ530-532-
     534-536-538-550-552-555-557-570-572-575-577.

MS...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR MSZ080>082.

     COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR
     MSZ080>082.

     FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON FOR MSZ068>071-077-
     080>082.

GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL MIDNIGHT CST TONIGHT FOR GMZ532-534-
     536-538-550-552-555-557-570-572-575-577.

&&
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 10, 5:54 AM CST, 2 hours 49 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
554 AM CST THU MAR 10 2016

GMZ530-532-534-536-538-550-552-555-557-570-572-575-577-LAZ034>037-
039-040-046>050-056>072-MSZ068>071-077-080>082-110000-
LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN AND LAKE MAUREPAS-MISSISSIPPI SOUND-
LAKE BORGNE-CHANDELEUR SOUND-BRETON SOUND-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON LA TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA RIVER
LA OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM THE SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER
TO PORT FOURCHON LOUISIANA OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM BOOTHVILLE LA TO SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI TO STAKE ISLAND OUT
20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PORT FOURCHON LOUISIANA TO LOWER ATCHAFALAYA
RIVER LA FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER TO
PORT FOURCHON LOUISIANA FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM STAKE ISLAND LA TO SOUTHWEST PASS OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PASCAGOULA MISSISSIPPI TO STAKE ISLAND
LOUISIANA OUT 20 TO 60 NM-POINTE COUPEE-WEST FELICIANA-
EAST FELICIANA-ST. HELENA-WASHINGTON-ST. TAMMANY-IBERVILLE-
WEST BATON ROUGE-EAST BATON ROUGE-ASCENSION-LIVINGSTON-ASSUMPTION-
ST. JAMES-ST. JOHN THE BAPTIST-UPPER LAFOURCHE-ST. CHARLES-
UPPER JEFFERSON-ORLEANS-UPPER PLAQUEMINES-UPPER ST. BERNARD-
UPPER TERREBONNE-LOWER TERREBONNE-LOWER LAFOURCHE-LOWER JEFFERSON-
LOWER PLAQUEMINES-LOWER ST. BERNARD-NORTHERN TANGIPAHOA-
SOUTHERN TANGIPAHOA-WILKINSON-AMITE-PIKE-WALTHALL-PEARL RIVER-
HANCOCK-HARRISON-JACKSON-
554 AM CST THU MAR 10 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
LOUISIANA...SOUTH MISSISSIPPI AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES WILL REMAIN FOR WATERS EAST OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER AND WILL INCLUDE ALL COASTAL WATERS THROUGH
MIDNIGHT.

A WIND ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR MUCH OF THE OUTLOOK AREA
ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE INTERSTATE 10 AND 12 CORRIDOR. SOUTHERLY
WINDS OF 20 TO 30 MPH WITH FREQUENT GUSTS OF 35 TO 45 MPH ARE
EXPECTED.

A COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL COASTAL
LOCATIONS FROM THE MOUTH OF THE ATCHAFALAYA RIVER TO THE
MISSISSIPPI-ALABAMA STATE LINE. THESE LOCATIONS WILL CONTINUE TO
EXPERIENCE TIDES UP TO 2.5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS. A FEW
LOCATIONS MAY NEED TO BE UPGRADED TO A COASTAL FLOOD WARNING WITH
TIDES POSSIBLY AS HIGH AS 3 TO 3.5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL...MAINLY
HANCOCK COUNTY AND THE NORTHSHORE OF LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN.

A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL EXIST FOR THE ENTIRE
AREA. THE MAIN CONCERNS WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS HEAVY RAINFALL AND
THE POSSIBILITY OF AN ISOLATED TORNADO.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

A FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE AREA
THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON. STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 7 TO
11 INCHES WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS EXCEEDING 13 INCHES ARE
POSSIBLE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NECESSARY STARTING TODAY MAINLY FOR
FLOOD REPORTING.

The office that day

Everything else NWS New Orleans, LA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Mar 9, 7:52 PM CSTRiver Flood WarningLIXTangipahoa7 days
Mar 9, 7:52 PM CSTRiver Flood WarningLIXSaint Tammany4 days
Mar 10, 8:41 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningLIXSaint Tammany3 days
Mar 10, 8:41 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningLIXSaint Tammany5 days
Mar 10, 8:47 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningLIXSaint Helena4 days
Mar 10, 8:47 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningLIXLivingston5 days
Mar 10, 8:47 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningLIXSaint Helena4 days
Mar 10, 9:10 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningLIXEast Baton Rouge, Livingston5 days
Mar 10, 9:10 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningLIXEast Baton Rouge7 days
Mar 10, 9:18 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningLIXEast Baton Rouge4 days
Mar 10, 10:03 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningLIXSaint Tammany7 days
Mar 10, 10:06 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningLIXSaint Tammany, Washington48 days
Mar 10, 10:06 AM CSTRiver Flood WarningLIXSaint Tammany50 days
Mar 10, 10:25 AM CSTCoastal Flood WarningLIX8 hr
Mar 10, 10:25 AM CSTCoastal Flood AdvisoryLIX19 hr
Mar 10, 12:38 PM CSTSpecial Weather StatementLIXAscension, Assumption, East Baton Rouge, East Feliciana, Iberville, Livingston and 6 more22 min
Mar 10, 1:17 PM CSTAreal Flood AdvisoryLIXAscension, Assumption, East Baton Rouge, East Feliciana, Iberville, Lafourche and 7 more3 hr
Mar 10, 3:10 PM CSTAreal Flood AdvisoryLIXLivingston, Saint Helena, Saint John the Baptist, Saint Tammany, Tangipahoa, Washington2 hr
Mar 10, 4:32 PM CSTAreal Flood AdvisoryLIXAscension, Assumption, East Baton Rouge, East Feliciana, Iberville, Jefferson and 10 more4 hr
Mar 10, 5:05 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningLIXAscension, Assumption, Lafourche, Livingston, Saint Charles, Saint Helena and 6 more3 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Louisiana, 2016Every river flood warning in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.