Alert archive / Louisiana / Special Weather Statements in 2016

Special Weather Statement, NWS Jackson, MS

July 10, 2016East Carroll Parish, Louisiana

NWS Jackson, MS issued this special weather statement at Jul 10, 2016, 4:54 PM CDT for East Carroll Parish, Louisiana. It was in force for 36 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jul 10, 2016, 4:54 PM CDT (21:54 UTC)
Expired: Jul 10, 2016, 5:30 PM CDT
In force: 36 min
Issued by: NWS Jackson, MS

County East Carroll Parish, LA

The radar

The Jackson/Brandon,MS radar (KDGX), 134 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:57 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Jackson, MS (KJAN), launched 12:00Z, 9.9 hours before the alert went out and 124 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 1666 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -49 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 744 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 19 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 58 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 65 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jul 10, 3:19 PM CDT, 1 hour 35 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 10, 3:19 PM CDT, 1 hour 35 minutes before

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jackson MS
319 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2016

.DISCUSSION...A weak, slow moving mid level shortwave will continue
to be the impetus for better than average convective probabilities
through the early part of the week. Slightly anomalous cold air aloft
associated with the shortwave has led to decent lapse rates and a
good scattering of showers and thunderstorms in the heat of the
afternoon once again today. The wave will continue its slow eastward
march across the area with a continuing good chance of convection
during the heat of Monday and Tuesday afternoon.

By Wednesday, the trof axis will be draped over the far se area
while slight mid level ridging/warming will get underway over the
northwest. This will bring lesser convective chances in the
northwest and a return of the mid 90 heat.

Moving later in the week, while mid level ridge axis will remain
anchored over the area, a series of potent shortwaves look to pass
from the Plains across the middle MS valley and to the east. As
these waves move to the east, they will exploit the weak part of
ridge axis in this area and lead to another period of weak troffiness
and enhanced convective chances over the area.

The troffiness looks to be brief, however, as model consensus is
indicating mid/upper level ridging to get underway in earnest
through the weekend which will lead to another period of hot
and dry conditions./26/

&&

.AVIATION...Afternoon activity is ongoing and evolving. Will continue
to time in/out activity as it impacts sites. Look for VFR conditions
to exist in the wake of storms and for much of the evening and
night. However, there will be the opportunity for most sites to see
MVFR conditions by 10z and will cover that accordingly. /CME/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Jackson       73  91  74  93 /  33  39  17  18
Meridian      72  89  73  93 /  39  48  22  31
Vicksburg     74  93  74  93 /  36  28  11  16
Hattiesburg   73  92  74  92 /  42  49  21  43
Natchez       74  92  74  92 /  39  34   8  25
Greenville    74  92  75  93 /  35  31  11  10
Greenwood     73  91  74  91 /  39  39  16  19

&&

.JAN Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
MS...None.
LA...None.
AR...None.
&&

Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 10, 2:54 PM CDT, 2 hours before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
254 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2016

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-025-034-035-040-
041-060-112000-
ASHLEY-CHICOT-MOREHOUSE-WEST CARROLL-EAST CARROLL-RICHLAND-
MADISON LA-FRANKLIN LA-CATAHOULA-TENSAS-CONCORDIA-BOLIVAR-
SUNFLOWER-LEFLORE-WASHINGTON-HUMPHREYS-ISSAQUENA-SHARKEY-ADAMS-
254 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
ARKANSAS...NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...NORTH
CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...NORTHWEST MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST
MISSISSIPPI...AND WEST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND MONDAY

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...LIMITED
TIMING...THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THIS AFTERNOON

A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE THROUGH ABOUT 7 PM
TODAY. DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREAT.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=1)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION REMAINDER
OF THE AFTERNOON.

MSZ026>033-036>039-042>059-061>066-072>074-112000-
GRENADA-CARROLL-MONTGOMERY-WEBSTER-CLAY-LOWNDES-CHOCTAW-OKTIBBEHA-
HOLMES-ATTALA-WINSTON-NOXUBEE-YAZOO-MADISON MS-LEAKE-NESHOBA-
KEMPER-WARREN-HINDS-RANKIN-SCOTT-NEWTON-LAUDERDALE-CLAIBORNE-
COPIAH-SIMPSON-SMITH-JASPER-CLARKE-JEFFERSON-FRANKLIN MS-LINCOLN-
LAWRENCE-JEFFERSON DAVIS-COVINGTON-JONES-MARION-LAMAR-FORREST-
254 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI...EAST CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...NORTH CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI...NORTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...SOUTH CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHWEST MISSISSIPPI...AND WEST CENTRAL
MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND MONDAY

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...LIMITED
TIMING...THIS AFTERNOON AND AGAIN MONDAY

A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE THROUGH ABOUT 7 PM
TODAY. DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREAT.

SIMILAR CONDITIONS WILL BE IN PLACE MONDAY AND ADDITIONAL STRONG TO
SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE. THIS WILL PRIMARILY BE BETWEEN 1 AND
7 PM. DAMAGING WINDS AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING WILL BE THE MAIN THREATS.

(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=1)
(WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/GRAPHICAST.PHP?SITE=JAN&GC=2)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF THE REGION REMAINDER
OF THE AFTERNOON AND MONDAY.

CME

&&

...HAZARD LEGEND...

*SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS*
EXTREME...CONFIDENT IN SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH WIND GUSTS OF
 75 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR 2 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL.
SIGNIFICANT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE WITH WIND GUSTS OF
 75 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR 2 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL.
ELEVATED...CONFIDENT IN SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH WINDS GUSTS OF
 60 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR 1 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL.
LIMITED...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE WITH WIND GUSTS OF 60
 MPH OR GREATER AND/OR 1 INCH DIAMETER OR LARGER HAIL.

...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)...

NWS JAN HOME PAGE...
   WWW.WEATHER.GOV/JAN
STAY AWARE, STAY SAFE NWS JAN BRIEFING PAGE...
   WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN/?N=SAFE
NWS JAN TROPICAL PAGE...
   WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN/?N=TROPICAL
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER HOME PAGE...
   WWW.NHC.NOAA.GOV/
FIND NWS JAN ON FACEBOOK...
   WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSJACKSONMS
FOLLOW NWS JAN ON TWITTER...
   @NWSJACKSONMS

...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR SEVERE WEATHER ISSUES...

STORM PREDICTION CENTER (SPC)...
   WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/
SPC...MESO ANALYSIS...
   WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/EXPER/MESOANALYSIS/NEW/#
SPC...DAY 1 THROUGH 3 OUTLOOKS...
   WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/PRODUCTS/OUTLOOK/
SPC...STORM REPORTS...
   WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV/CLIMO/
NWS JAN CURRENT SVR/TOR WATCHES...
   WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/RTIMAGES/JAN/WATCH/TOASVA.PNG

   PLEASE CONVERT ALL WEB ADDRESSES TO LOWER CASE BEFORE ENTERING!

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 10, 3:45 PM CDT, 1 hour 9 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
345 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2016

MSZ041-102130-
SHARKEY MS-
345 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2016

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT CENTRAL SHARKEY COUNTY UNTIL 430
PM CDT...

AT 345 PM CDT...METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM
OVER ROLLING FORK...MOVING EAST AT 10 MPH.

DIME SIZE HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

THIS STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  ANGUILLA AROUND 410 PM CDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD
TO LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 3294 9092 3294 9091 3295 9092 3299 9092
      3303 9091 3303 9066 3292 9066 3284 9076
      3281 9076 3282 9095
TIME...MOT...LOC 2045Z 257DEG 7KT 3289 9087

10

Special weather statement, Jul 10, 3:48 PM CDT, 1 hour 6 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
348 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2016

MSZ019-034-035-102130-
SUNFLOWER MS-HUMPHREYS MS-WASHINGTON MS-
348 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2016

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHEASTERN WASHINGTON...
SOUTHWESTERN SUNFLOWER AND NORTHWESTERN HUMPHREYS COUNTIES UNTIL 430
PM CDT...

AT 348 PM CDT...METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM
OVER TRIBBETT...OR 8 MILES EAST OF LELAND...MOVING EAST AT 10 MPH.

DIME SIZE HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

THIS STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  HOLLY RIDGE AROUND 400 PM CDT.
  INDIANOLA AND INVERNESS AROUND 430 PM CDT.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE ARCOLA.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD
TO LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 3323 9099 3351 9088 3352 9055 3321 9055
TIME...MOT...LOC 2048Z 257DEG 7KT 3337 9076

10

Special weather statement, Jul 10, 3:59 PM CDT, 55 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
359 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2016

MSZ066-102145-
JONES MS-
359 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2016

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHERN JONES COUNTY UNTIL 445
PM CDT...

AT 359 PM CDT...METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM
NEAR ELLISVILLE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

DIME SIZE HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

THIS STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  LAUREL AROUND 410 PM CDT.
  TUCKERS CROSSING AROUND 430 PM CDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD
TO LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 3166 8940 3172 8907 3149 8901 3143 8939
      3143 8940
TIME...MOT...LOC 2059Z 236DEG 13KT 3156 8919

10

Special weather statement, Jul 10, 4:04 PM CDT, 50 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
404 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2016

MSZ019-025-102145-
LEFLORE MS-SUNFLOWER MS-
404 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2016

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT EAST CENTRAL SUNFLOWER AND
NORTHWESTERN LEFLORE COUNTIES UNTIL 445 PM CDT...

AT 403 PM CDT...METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM
NEAR BLAINE...OR 9 MILES SOUTHEAST OF RULEVILLE...MOVING NORTHEAST AT
10 MPH.

DIME SIZE HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

THIS STORM WILL REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF EAST CENTRAL
SUNFLOWER AND NORTHWESTERN LEFLORE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING
LOCATIONS: SCHLATER AND DODDSVILLE.

LAT...LON 3376 9032 3352 9026 3350 9054 3372 9063
TIME...MOT...LOC 2103Z 213DEG 10KT 3362 9044

10

Special weather statement, Jul 10, 4:29 PM CDT, 25 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
429 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2016

MSZ073-074-102200-
LAMAR MS-FORREST MS-
429 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2016

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTH CENTRAL FORREST AND EAST
CENTRAL LAMAR COUNTIES UNTIL 500 PM CDT...

AT 429 PM CDT...METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM
NEAR WEST HATTIESBURG...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 5 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

THIS STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  HATTIESBURG AND OAK GROVE AROUND 435 PM CDT.
  WEST HATTIESBURG AROUND 440 PM CDT.

LAT...LON 3126 8945 3138 8935 3128 8921 3123 8932
      3119 8940
TIME...MOT...LOC 2129Z 235DEG 6KT 3126 8936

10

Special weather statement, Jul 10, 4:54 PM CDT, 0 minutes before

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
454 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2016

LAZ009-MSZ040-102230-
EAST CARROLL LA-ISSAQUENA MS-
454 PM CDT SUN JUL 10 2016

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT CENTRAL EAST CARROLL PARISH IN
NORTHEASTERN LOUISIANA AND WEST CENTRAL ISSAQUENA COUNTIES UNTIL 530
PM CDT...

AT 454 PM CDT...METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM
OVER TRANSYLVANIA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 10 MPH.

DIME SIZE HAIL AND WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

THIS STORM WILL REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF CENTRAL EAST
CARROLL PARISH IN NORTHEASTERN LOUISIANA AND WEST CENTRAL ISSAQUENA
COUNTIES.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD
TO LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 3275 9134 3282 9134 3287 9133 3287 9132
      3288 9131 3291 9131 3286 9103 3258 9109
      3263 9136
TIME...MOT...LOC 2154Z 216DEG 9KT 3265 9115

10

The office that day

Everything else NWS Jackson, MS issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jul 9, 7:20 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	JAN	Sharkey	40 min
Jul 9, 8:16 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	JAN	Yazoo	44 min
Jul 10, 11:38 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	JAN	Madison	37 min
Jul 10, 11:42 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	JAN	Leake	33 min
Jul 10, 12:09 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Leake, Neshoba, Newton, Scott	66 min
Jul 10, 12:39 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	JAN	Leake	36 min
Jul 10, 12:57 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	JAN	Noxubee	33 min
Jul 10, 1:05 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	JAN	Madison	25 min
Jul 10, 1:06 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	JAN	Attala	24 min
Jul 10, 1:17 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Attala	43 min
Jul 10, 1:21 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	JAN	Neshoba	24 min
Jul 10, 1:45 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	JAN	Lowndes	15 min
Jul 10, 2:09 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	JAN	Yazoo	21 min
Jul 10, 2:11 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	JAN	Madison	49 min
Jul 10, 2:19 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	JAN	Noxubee	41 min
Jul 10, 2:30 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Washington	27 min
Jul 10, 3:08 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	JAN	Forrest	52 min
Jul 10, 3:45 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	JAN	Sharkey	45 min
Jul 10, 3:48 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	JAN	Washington	42 min
Jul 10, 3:59 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	JAN	Jones	46 min
Jul 10, 4:04 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	JAN	Leflore	41 min
Jul 10, 4:16 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Jones	44 min
Jul 10, 4:29 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	JAN	Forrest	31 min
Jul 10, 6:10 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	JAN	Copiah	35 min
Jul 10, 6:23 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	JAN	Jefferson Davis	37 min
Jul 10, 6:32 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Hinds	43 min
Jul 10, 5:30 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	JAN	West Carroll	30 min
Jul 10, 1:08 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	JAN	Ashley	37 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Louisiana, 2016 Every special weather statement in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.