Severe Thunderstorm Warning 324, NWS Wichita, KS

131 
WWUS53 KICT 050148
SVSICT

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
848 PM CDT TUE OCT 4 2016

KSC015-050157-
/O.CAN.KICT.SV.W.0324.000000T0000Z-161005T0230Z/
BUTLER KS-
848 PM CDT TUE OCT 4 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN BUTLER COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
    
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF
THE WARNED AREA. THEREFORE...THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT FOR
SOUTHEASTERN AND EAST CENTRAL KANSAS.

LAT...LON 3793 9568 3780 9652 3821 9650 3835 9636
      3817 9635 3817 9596 3804 9596 3804 9579
TIME...MOT...LOC 0147Z 252DEG 41KT 3808 9631 

$$

KSC017-073-207-050230-
/O.CON.KICT.SV.W.0324.000000T0000Z-161005T0230Z/
CHASE KS-GREENWOOD KS-WOODSON KS-
848 PM CDT TUE OCT 4 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 930 PM CDT
FOR SOUTHEASTERN CHASE...NORTHERN GREENWOOD AND NORTHWESTERN WOODSON
COUNTIES...

AT 847 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 10 MILES WEST OF
MADISON...MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND HALF DOLLAR SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO 
         ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
EUREKA...MADISON...HAMILTON...VIRGIL...EUREKA CITY LAKE...THRALL AND
EUREKA AIRPORT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

&&

LAT...LON 3793 9568 3780 9652 3821 9650 3835 9636
      3817 9635 3817 9596 3804 9596 3804 9579
TIME...MOT...LOC 0147Z 252DEG 41KT 3808 9631 

HAIL...1.25IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

MCGUIRE

222 
WWUS53 KICT 050217
SVSICT

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
917 PM CDT TUE OCT 4 2016

KSC017-073-207-050226-
/O.CAN.KICT.SV.W.0324.000000T0000Z-161005T0230Z/
CHASE KS-GREENWOOD KS-WOODSON KS-
917 PM CDT TUE OCT 4 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHEASTERN CHASE...NORTHERN
GREENWOOD AND NORTHWESTERN WOODSON COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...
        
THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF THE AREA.
THEREFORE...THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.  HOWEVER HEAVY RAIN
AND GUSTY WINDS ARE STILL POSSIBLE WITH THIS THUNDERSTORM.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT FOR
SOUTHEASTERN AND EAST CENTRAL KANSAS.

LAT...LON 3793 9568 3780 9652 3821 9650 3835 9636
      3817 9635 3817 9596 3804 9596 3804 9579
TIME...MOT...LOC 0215Z 252DEG 41KT 3818 9590 

$$

MCGUIRE

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
649 PM CDT TUE OCT 4 2016

...Updated for 00z Aviation Discussion...

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Thursday night)
Issued at 308 PM CDT Tue Oct 4 2016

Forecast highlights: Active weather for early October standards,
with severe thunderstorms this afternoon- evening, and more
strong/severe storms and heavy rain Thursday late afternoon-
night. Much cooler weather by Friday.

Latest observational trends in concert with short-term hi-res
guidance suggests greatest threat for severe weather this
afternoon/evening will be generally along east of a line extending
from Lincoln to Lyons to Pratt, and generally along/west of the
Flint Hills, along and ahead of an approaching dryline/cold front.
Stout deep layer shear oriented nearly perpendicular to the
dryline (reference 2pm Norman OK sounding) along with decent
instability for October standards will support a handful of
supercells initially, with large hail (possibly up to baseball
size), damaging winds and a few tornadoes possible. Greatest
threat for a tornado or two will be mainly south-central Kansas
into Oklahoma, where greatest instability/low-level moisture will
reside, and also where storms should stay discrete the longest.
Given strong forcing/mid-level cooling, activity should tend to go
linear (broken squall line) within 2-3 hours of initiation, with
the main threat transitioning to marginally severe hail and wind,
although any "tail-end Charlie" storms on the far southern end
over south-central/southeast Kansas/Oklahoma could maintain a
large hail and possible tornado threat well into the evening. As
convection outruns instability, severe threat should tend to wane
later in the evening over far southeast Kansas.

A lull in activity expected Wednesday, although should see
gradually increasing shower/thunderstorm chances by late afternoon
over southeast Kansas as 850-600mb warm advection/moisture
transport increases ahead of an impressive digging western CONUS
trough. These chances will increase/expand for many areas of
eastern Kansas Wednesday night, but severe weather is unlikely
given marginal instability.

Attention then shifts to severe weather and heavy rain potential
Thursday late afternoon-night, especially over southeast Kansas,
as a strong shortwave and associated strong cold front approach
the region. Low-level moisture, precipitable waters and
instability looks to increase for this next system, which will
favor additional strong/severe storms along with the potential for
heavy rain. Heavy rain threat will be amplified by mid/upper flow
oriented parallel to the cold front, and especially if the cold
front slows down as advertised by the GFS. Will continue to
monitor.

.LONG TERM...(Friday through Tuesday)
Issued at 308 PM CDT Tue Oct 4 2016

*Much* cooler weather spreading south across the region by
Friday, with highs in the 60s. Gradual warming trend back into the
70s by Sunday. Slight chances of rain/isolated storms by Sunday
afternoon, but not expecting widespread activity.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Wednesday evening)
Issued at 649 PM CDT Tue Oct 4 2016

Scattered thunderstorms will continue to progress across eastern
Kansas this evening and overnight ahead of an advancing cold
front. Activity should clear Hutchinson-Salina by 7-8pm, Wichita
by 9-10pm, with activity not getting into Chanute until around
10pm or so. Activity could linger several hours past midnight
across southeast Kansas as the front slows down and low-level jet
impinges upon it. Later tonight into Wednesday morning, could be
looking at MVFR to IFR ceiling/visibilities, as low-level
moisture advects back north amidst a diurnally cooled airmass.
Confidence is low on any one scenario verifying, so only went MVFR
below 2000 ft for now at Wichita-Hutchinson.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Wichita-KICT    60  83  65  84 /  60  10  40  40
Hutchinson      53  81  61  82 /  50   0  30  30
Newton          56  81  63  81 /  70  10  40  40
ElDorado        59  83  65  82 /  80  10  50  40
Winfield-KWLD   62  85  67  85 /  60  10  50  40
Russell         46  79  54  75 /  10   0  10  10
Great Bend      47  80  55  78 /  10   0  10  10
Salina          51  81  60  81 /  30   0  20  30
McPherson       53  81  60  81 /  50  10  30  30
Coffeyville     64  85  69  87 /  70  20  50  40
Chanute         61  83  67  84 /  70  20  60  50
Iola            61  82  67  84 /  80  20  60  60
Parsons-KPPF    63  85  68  85 /  70  20  60  40

&&

.ICT Watches/Warnings/Advisories...None.

&&

SHORT TERM...ADK
LONG TERM...ADK
AVIATION...ADK

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
823 PM CDT TUE OCT 4 2016

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-060130-
RUSSELL-LINCOLN-BARTON-ELLSWORTH-SALINE-RICE-MCPHERSON-MARION-CHASE-
RENO-HARVEY-BUTLER-GREENWOOD-WOODSON-ALLEN-KINGMAN-SEDGWICK-HARPER-
SUMNER-COWLEY-ELK-WILSON-NEOSHO-CHAUTAUQUA-MONTGOMERY-LABETTE-
823 PM CDT TUE OCT 4 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL KANSAS,
SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THIS EVENING THROUGH
ABOUT MIDNIGHT GENERALLY SOUTHEAST OF THE KANSAS TURNPIKE. WHILE
THE THREAT FOR HIGHER-END SEVERE WEATHER IS DIMINISHING...THE
STRONGEST ACTIVITY WILL STILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING UP TO
GOLFBALL SIZE HAIL AND 70 MPH WINDS...ALONG WITH HEAVY RAIN AND
LOCALIZED FLOODING. A TORNADO CANNOT BE COMPLETELY RULED OUT
THROUGH ABOUT 10 PM...BUT THE CHANCE IS SLIM.

PATCHY DENSE FOG IS POSSIBLE LATER TONIGHT OVER PORTIONS OF THE
AREA.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

PATCHY DENSE FOG IS POSSIBLE EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING OVER
PORTIONS OF THE AREA.

A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHEAST KANSAS
LATE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...EXPANDING TO INCLUDE MUCH OF EASTERN
KANSAS WEDNESDAY NIGHT. WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED
WITH THIS ACTIVITY.

CHANCES FOR STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE ONCE
AGAIN ACROSS THE AREA THURSDAY LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING...AS A
STRONG COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE NORTHWEST. HEAVY RAIN AND
ASSOCIATED FLOODING IS POSSIBLE AS WELL.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS LIKELY LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING
ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTH-CENTRAL AND CENTRAL KANSAS...MAINLY
ALONG AND WEST OF THE FLINT HILLS CORRIDOR.

&&

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS INFORMATION, SEE OUR WEBPAGE AT:
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/WICHITA/HWO/

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
805 PM CDT TUE OCT 04 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0800 PM     HAIL             8 E WICHITA EISENHOWER  37.66N 97.29W
10/04/2016  E0.50 INCH       SEDGWICK           KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

KED

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
810 PM CDT TUE OCT 04 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0805 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 WSW DOWNTOWN WICHITA  37.68N 97.36W
10/04/2016                   SEDGWICK           KS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREE FELL ON HOUSE.

&&

KED

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
814 PM CDT TUE OCT 4 2016

KSZ092-093-050145-
SUMNER KS-COWLEY KS-
814 PM CDT TUE OCT 4 2016

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WICHITA HAS ISSUED A

* SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
  SOUTHEASTERN SUMNER COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...
  SOUTHWESTERN COWLEY COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...

* UNTIL 845 PM CDT

* AT 811 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE
  TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR SOUTH HAVEN...OR 15 MILES WEST
  OF ARKANSAS CITY...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS...AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE
POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  ARKANSAS CITY...WINFIELD...OXFORD...SOUTH HAVEN...GEUDA SPRINGS...
  HUNNEWELL AND STROTHER FIELD AIRPORT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BE PREPARED TO TAKE SHELTER IN THE EVENT THE STORMS INTENSIFY AND
BECOME SEVERE...OR A WARNING IS ISSUES BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD
TO LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED
ROADWAYS.

&&

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CDT FOR SOUTH CENTRAL
KANSAS.

LAT...LON 3714 9752 3732 9701 3700 9686 3700 9756
TIME...MOT...LOC 0114Z 257DEG 28KT 3704 9732

RITZMAN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
815 PM CDT TUE OCT 04 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0810 PM     HAIL             HUNNEWELL               37.00N 97.41W
10/04/2016  E1.00 INCH       SUMNER             KS   PUBLIC

&&

KED

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
817 PM CDT TUE OCT 04 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0809 PM     TSTM WND GST     9 N EL DORADO           37.95N 96.86W
10/04/2016  E55 MPH          BUTLER             KS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

&&

KED

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
825 PM CDT TUE OCT 04 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0712 PM     TSTM WND DMG     VALLEY CENTER           37.84N 97.37W
10/04/2016                   SEDGWICK           KS   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            TREE FELL ON 300 GALLON PROPANE TANK KNOCKING VALVE OFF.
            TIME ESTIMATED.

&&

KED