Alert archive / Kansas / Tornado Watches in 2016
Tornado Watch 490
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Oct 4, 2016, 2:45 PM CDT for 29 counties in Kansas; 9 counties in Nebraska. It was in force for 6 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Oct 4, 2016, 2:45 PM CDT (19:45 UTC)
- Expired
- Oct 4, 2016, 9:00 PM CDT
- In force
- 6 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 38 counties
Butler County, KS, Chase County, KS, Clay County, KS, Cloud County, KS, Cowley County, KS, Dickinson County, KS, Ellsworth County, KS, Geary County, KS, Harper County, KS, Harvey County, KS, Kingman County, KS, Lincoln County, KS, Lyon County, KS, Marion County, KS, Marshall County, KS, McPherson County, KS, Morris County, KS, Nemaha County, KS, Ottawa County, KS, Pottawatomie County, KS, Reno County, KS, Republic County, KS, Rice County, KS, Riley County, KS, Saline County, KS, Sedgwick County, KS, Sumner County, KS, Wabaunsee County, KS, Washington County, KS, Gage County, NE, Jefferson County, NE, Johnson County, NE, Lancaster County, NE, Nemaha County, NE, Pawnee County, NE, Richardson County, NE, Saline County, NE, Seward County, NE
The radar
The Topeka radar (KTWX), 87 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:46 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 50%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 60%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 10%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 60%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 40%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 90%
Warnings issued inside it
31 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 3:30 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TOP | Clay, Dickinson, Geary, Riley | 45 min |
| Oct 4, 3:41 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ICT | Ellsworth, Lincoln | 49 min |
| Oct 4, 4:06 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TOP | Clay, Washington | 39 min |
| Oct 4, 4:22 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ICT | Ellsworth, Lincoln, Saline | 38 min |
| Oct 4, 4:26 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TOP | Ottawa | 49 min |
| Oct 4, 4:32 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TOP | Washington | 43 min |
| Oct 4, 4:48 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TOP | Marshall, Riley, Washington | 27 min |
| Oct 4, 4:52 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ICT | Ellsworth, Lincoln, Saline | 23 min |
| Oct 4, 4:54 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TOP | Ottawa | 51 min |
| Oct 4, 5:09 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TOP | Marshall, Washington | 22 min |
| Oct 4, 5:11 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ICT | Ellsworth, Lincoln, Saline | 64 min |
| Oct 4, 5:22 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Saline | 38 min |
| Oct 4, 5:23 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TOP | Clay, Cloud, Ottawa | 52 min |
| Oct 4, 5:41 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TOP | Clay, Dickinson, Ottawa | 34 min |
| Oct 4, 5:48 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ICT | Saline | 57 min |
| Oct 4, 5:48 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TOP | Clay, Riley, Washington | 42 min |
| Oct 4, 5:58 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OAX | Saline, Seward | 32 min |
| Oct 4, 6:08 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ICT | Kingman, Reno, Sedgwick | 52 min |
| Oct 4, 6:25 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TOP | Dickinson, Ottawa | 35 min |
| Oct 4, 6:28 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | TOP | Clay, Riley, Washington | 21 min |
| Oct 4, 6:36 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ICT | Sedgwick | 39 min |
| Oct 4, 6:44 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ICT | Harvey, McPherson, Marion | 34 min |
| Oct 4, 7:08 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ICT | Sedgwick, Sumner | 31 min |
| Oct 4, 7:11 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ICT | Butler, Harvey, Sedgwick | 49 min |
| Oct 4, 7:25 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ICT | Chase, Marion | 28 min |
| Oct 4, 7:39 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ICT | Butler, Chase, Greenwood, Harvey, Marion | 66 min |
| Oct 4, 7:40 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | TOP | Morris | 35 min |
| Oct 4, 7:42 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ICT | Butler, Harvey, Sedgwick | 33 min |
| Oct 4, 7:55 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ICT | Butler, Sedgwick | 20 min |
| Oct 4, 8:29 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ICT | Butler, Chase, Greenwood, Woodson | 48 min |
| Oct 4, 8:35 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | ICT | Cowley, Sumner | 55 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Topeka, KS (KFOE), launched 12:00Z, 7.8 hours before the alert went out and 138 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1219 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 22 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 292 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 250 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
498
WWUS20 KWNS 041944
SEL0
SPC WW 041944
KSZ000-NEZ000-050200-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 490
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
245 PM CDT TUE OCT 4 2016
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL KANSAS
SOUTHEAST NEBRASKA
* EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 245 PM UNTIL
900 PM CDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
A FEW TORNADOES POSSIBLE
SCATTERED LARGE HAIL LIKELY WITH ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS
TO 2.5 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
SCATTERED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH LIKELY
SUMMARY...THUNDERSTORMS WILL RAPIDLY DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON OVER
CENTRAL KS AND SPREAD ACROSS THE WATCH AREA. VERY LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE STRONGER CELLS...ALONG WITH A
RISK OF A FEW TORNADOES THIS AFTERNOON.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 55 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 10 MILES NORTH OF BEATRICE
NEBRASKA TO 45 MILES SOUTH OF WICHITA KANSAS. FOR A COMPLETE
DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU0).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
&&
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23035.
...HARTSPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 1:51 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Barber, Butler, Chase, Clay, Cloud, Dickinson and 26 more | 84 min |
| Oct 4, 4:49 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Butler, Chase, Clay, Cowley, Dickinson, Geary and 17 more | 86 min |
| Oct 4, 6:50 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Butler, Chase, Clay, Dickinson, Geary, Harvey and 12 more | 115 min |
| Oct 3, 9:30 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Blaine, Brown, Hayes, Lincoln, Logan, McPherson and 1 more | 30 min |
| Oct 4, 6:08 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Burt, Colfax, Cuming, Dakota, Dixon, Dodge and 2 more | 2 hr |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Kansas, 2016Tornado Watches in Nebraska, 2016Every tornado watch in 2016
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.