Severe Thunderstorm Warning 119, NWS Wichita, KS

302 
WWUS53 KICT 261810
SVSICT

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
110 PM CDT THU MAY 26 2016

KSC191-261830-
/O.CON.KICT.SV.W.0119.000000T0000Z-160526T1830Z/
SUMNER KS-
110 PM CDT THU MAY 26 2016

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 130 PM CDT
FOR SOUTHERN SUMNER COUNTY...

AT 110 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 6 MILES NORTHEAST
OF CALDWELL...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED. 

IMPACT...HAIL DAMAGE TO VEHICLES IS EXPECTED. EXPECT WIND DAMAGE TO 
         ROOFS...SIDING...AND TREES. 

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
CALDWELL...SOUTH HAVEN AND PERTH. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3725 9761 3712 9729 3700 9744 3700 9763
      3707 9769
TIME...MOT...LOC 1810Z 212DEG 31KT 3710 9752 

HAIL...1.00IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

HOWERTON

719 
WWUS53 KICT 261825
SVSICT

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
125 PM CDT THU MAY 26 2016

KSC191-261834-
/O.EXP.KICT.SV.W.0119.000000T0000Z-160526T1830Z/
SUMNER KS-
125 PM CDT THU MAY 26 2016

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHERN SUMNER COUNTY WILL
EXPIRE AT 130 PM CDT...
    
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED.
THEREFORE THE WARNING WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE. HOWEVER SMALL
HAIL...GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN ARE STILL POSSIBLE WITH THIS
THUNDERSTORM.

LAT...LON 3725 9761 3712 9729 3700 9744 3700 9763
      3707 9769
TIME...MOT...LOC 1823Z 212DEG 29KT 3710 9752 

$$

HOWERTON

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
1236 PM CDT THU MAY 26 2016

.SHORT TERM...(Today through Saturday Night)
Issued at 355 AM CDT Thu May 26 2016

Forecast Headline:
Severe thunderstorm potential remains high from late this afternoon
thru tonight with very large hail and tornadoes the greatest
threats.

This Afternoon & Tonight:
During the night a deep upper-deck trof was positioned over AZ. The
upper trof is still expected to push slowly E across the Srn
Rockies today & is still expected to experience cyclogenesis as it
begins to lift very slowly NE from Nrn NM late tonight, with the
upper cyclone reaching the CO/KS border early Fri Morning. As this
character lifts NE sfc cyclongenesis will increase considerably as
the sfc low ventures from NE NM to the TX/OK Panhandles/SE CO/SW KS
region this afternoon. The ultra-high octane moisture streaming N
will team with the greatly increasing deep-layer shear, both speed
& directional, to trigger severe thunderstorms across most of KICT
Country late this afternoon & this evening. Although it won't be
quite as warm/hot yesterday, the extremely rich moisture would be
more than sufficient to cause extreme destablization. CAPES will
experience an adrenaline rush with SBCAPES & MLCAPES projected to
reach 4,000-5,500 J/KG & primarily 3,500-4,000 J/KG, respectively &
deep-layer bulk shear increasing to 40-60 KTS & an E-W sfc boundary
forming near I-70, there will be supercells that'll be capable of
very large hail that now is likely to reach around baseball-sized
& tornadoes. Areas at greatest risk for such large hail & tornadoes
would be from Southern Nebraska to nearly all of Central KS. SPC
continues to assign "Enhanced Risk" to these areas but wouldn't be
surprised to see them up the ante to " MODERATE Risk". Stay tuned.

*Corrected risk in last line.

This Weekend:
With the overall pattern making very slow ewd progress, more
thunderstorms will fire across the region. Although the projected
instability & deep-layer shear won't be as impressive, plus the
absence of a lower-deck focusing mechanism, still expect a few
strong-severe thunderstorms to develop Fri Afternoon & Evening
with the convection weakening Fri Night. Scattered thunderstorms
will continue thru the weekend.

.LONG TERM...(Sunday through Wednesday)
Issued at 355 AM CDT Thu May 26 2016

The GFS & ECMWF continue to agree quite well with overall pattern
 with both depicting a weak zonal regime Sunday & Sunday Night. A
2nd upper-deck trof is forecast to move E & like it's predecessor
it'll move slowly E & strengthen as it digs across Srn CA. A lead
shortwave will eject NE, likely reaching Wrn OK & Wrn KS Sun
Afternoon. As such, there'll be several rounds of thunderstorms
from Sun Afternoon thru next Tue.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Friday afternoon)
Issued at 1232 PM CDT Thu May 26 2016

Major concern is convective potential and confidence in timing is
low. Ongoing elevated showers/thunderstorms will track close to
KGBD/KHUT/KICT and possibly KSLN over the first couple of hours
of forecast. Stronger storms are likely mid-late afternoon, but
exact location and timing is suspect. This seems most likely
at KHUT/KGBD, but is possible at all sites except KCNU. IFR
conditions are likely with storms with winds of 35g45kt likely.
Given soupy airmass will remain in place, anticipate mvfr/ifr
condition to return later tonight. -howerton

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Wichita-KICT    85  67  81  63 /  50  60  50  40
Hutchinson      85  65  82  60 /  60  60  50  40
Newton          84  65  80  62 /  60  60  50  40
ElDorado        84  66  80  64 /  60  60  50  50
Winfield-KWLD   85  67  81  64 /  50  60  50  40
Russell         85  62  82  57 /  50  50  40  40
Great Bend      86  62  83  57 /  50  50  40  30
Salina          85  65  81  61 /  60  70  50  60
McPherson       85  65  81  60 /  60  60  50  40
Coffeyville     84  68  81  66 /  50  50  60  50
Chanute         84  67  79  65 /  50  60  60  60
Iola            84  66  79  65 /  50  60  60  60
Parsons-KPPF    84  68  80  65 /  50  60  60  50

&&

.ICT Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.
&&

SHORT TERM...EPS
LONG TERM...EPS
AVIATION...PJH

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
535 AM CDT THU MAY 26 2016

KSZ032-033-047>053-067>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-271045-
RUSSELL-LINCOLN-BARTON-ELLSWORTH-SALINE-RICE-MCPHERSON-MARION-CHASE-
RENO-HARVEY-BUTLER-GREENWOOD-WOODSON-ALLEN-KINGMAN-SEDGWICK-HARPER-
SUMNER-COWLEY-ELK-WILSON-NEOSHO-CHAUTAUQUA-MONTGOMERY-LABETTE-
535 AM CDT THU MAY 26 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL, SOUTH
CENTRAL, AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THE POTENTIAL FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS REMAINS HIGH ACROSS CENTRAL
AND EASTERN KANSAS. AREAS AT GREATEST RISK ARE ALONG AND NORTHWEST
OF THE TURNPIKE WHERE VERY LARGE HAIL AND A FEW TORNADOES POSE THE
GREATEST THREAT. DAMAGING WINDS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY
THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT ALONG WITH VERY HEAVY RAINS THAT ARE
LIKELY TO CAUSE FURTHER FLOODING AND FLASH FLOODING. FOR SOUTHEAST
KANSAS...HAIL MAY BE AS LARGE AS GOLFBALLS ALONG WITH WINDS AROUND
65 MPH AND VERY HEAVY RAINS THAT MAY CAUSE FURTHER FLOODING.

FLOOD WARNINGS HAVE BEEN POSTED FOR BOTH RIVER AND AREAL FLOODING.
CHECK THE LATEST FLOOD STATEMENTS FOR DETAILS.

THE FORECAST FOR THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT SHOULD BE MONITORED
CLOSELY!

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

THERE IS A GOOD CHANCE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE REGION
FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND FRIDAY NIGHT WITH HAIL UP TO GOLFBALL-SIZED
AND 60 TO 70 MPH WINDS.

THERE REMAINS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS...PRIMARILY ACROSS
SOUTHEAST KANSAS SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT THAT MAY PRODUCE
SMALL HAIL AND 40 TO 50 MPH WINDS. THE GREATER THUNDERSTORM
POTENTIAL WOULD BE AREA WIDE FROM SUNDAY THRU TUESDAY. STRONG TO
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE ANTICIPATED.

GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD...PLEASE CHECK LATER
OUTLOOKS FOR UPDATED INFORMATION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT.

&&

FOR A GRAPHICAL VERSION OF THIS INFORMATION, SEE OUR WEBPAGE AT:
HTTP://WEATHER.GOV/WICHITA/HWO/

ES

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1212 PM CDT THU MAY 26 2016

KSZ091-092-261745-
HARPER KS-SUMNER KS-
1212 PM CDT THU MAY 26 2016

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WICHITA HAS ISSUED A

* SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
  EASTERN HARPER COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...
  WEST CENTRAL SUMNER COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...

* UNTIL 1245 PM CDT

* AT 1209 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE
  TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR ANTHONY...MOVING NORTHEAST AT
  40 MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS...AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH WILL BE
POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  ANTHONY...HARPER...ARGONIA...MILAN...BLUFF CITY...DANVILLE...
  FREEPORT AND RUNNYMEDE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BE PREPARED TO TAKE SHELTER IN THE EVENT THE STORMS INTENSIFY AND
BECOME SEVERE...OR A WARNING IS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

&&

LAT...LON 3710 9808 3739 9806 3739 9799 3728 9764
      3704 9792
TIME...MOT...LOC 1709Z 203DEG 34KT 3716 9794

RITZMAN

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1231 PM CDT THU MAY 26 2016

KSZ082-083-092-261800-
SEDGWICK KS-KINGMAN KS-SUMNER KS-
1231 PM CDT THU MAY 26 2016

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WICHITA HAS ISSUED A

* SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
  SOUTHWESTERN SEDGWICK COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...
  SOUTHEASTERN KINGMAN COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...
  NORTHWESTERN SUMNER COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...

* UNTIL 100 PM CDT

* AT 1229 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE
  TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR CONWAY SPRINGS...MOVING
  NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS...AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH WILL BE
POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  CLEARWATER...CHENEY...CONWAY SPRINGS...NORWICH...
  VIOLA AND LAKE AFTON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BE PREPARED TO TAKE SHELTER IN THE EVENT THE STORMS INTENSIFY AND
BECOME SEVERE...OR A WARNING IS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

&&

LAT...LON 3733 9780 3738 9780 3739 9787 3767 9785
      3755 9738 3729 9769
TIME...MOT...LOC 1729Z 203DEG 34KT 3738 9775

RITZMAN

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1247 PM CDT THU MAY 26 2016

KSZ083-092-261815-
SEDGWICK KS-SUMNER KS-
1247 PM CDT THU MAY 26 2016

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WICHITA HAS ISSUED A

* SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
  SOUTHEASTERN SEDGWICK COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...
  NORTH CENTRAL SUMNER COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...

* UNTIL 115 PM CDT

* AT 1245 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE
  TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR CLEARWATER...MOVING NORTHEAST
  AT 30 MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS...AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH WILL BE
POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  WICHITA...DERBY...HAYSVILLE...MULVANE...GODDARD...CLEARWATER...
  SOUTH WICHITA...EISENHOWER NATIONAL  AIRPORT...WEST WICHITA...
  MCCONNELL AIR FORCE BASE AND OAKLAWN.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BE PREPARED TO TAKE SHELTER IN THE EVENT THE STORMS INTENSIFY AND
BECOME SEVERE...OR A WARNING IS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

&&

LAT...LON 3743 9766 3773 9751 3754 9715 3752 9715
      3732 9750
TIME...MOT...LOC 1745Z 216DEG 28KT 3745 9751

RITZMAN

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
1250 PM CDT THU MAY 26 2016

KSZ067-082-083-261815-
SEDGWICK KS-KINGMAN KS-RENO KS-
1250 PM CDT THU MAY 26 2016

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WICHITA HAS ISSUED A

* SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR...
  NORTHWESTERN SEDGWICK COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...
  NORTHEASTERN KINGMAN COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...
  SOUTHEASTERN RENO COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KANSAS...

* UNTIL 115 PM CDT

* AT 1248 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS WERE
  TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 8 MILES NORTHWEST OF CHENEY...MOVING
  NORTHEAST AT 60 MPH.

HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS...AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH WILL BE
POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  HAVEN...PRETTY PRAIRIE...ANDALE...YODER...MURDOCK...WATERLOO...
  CHENEY LAKE AND MT VERNON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BE PREPARED TO TAKE SHELTER IN THE EVENT THE STORMS INTENSIFY AND
BECOME SEVERE...OR A WARNING IS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

&&

LAT...LON 3757 9791 3763 9810 3802 9792 3777 9757
TIME...MOT...LOC 1748Z 224DEG 52KT 3769 9791

RITZMAN