Alert archive / North Carolina / River Flood Warnings in 2016

River Flood Warning 2, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

February 3, 2016Madison County, North Carolina

NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued this river flood warning at Feb 3, 2016, 1:36 PM EST for Madison County, North Carolina. It took effect at Feb 3, 2016, 7:00 PM EST. It was in force for 25 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Feb 3, 2016, 1:36 PM EST (18:36 UTC)
In effect from
Feb 3, 2016, 7:00 PM EST
Expired
Feb 4, 2016, 8:00 PM EST
In force
25 hr
Issued by
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

County Madison County, NC

The radar

The Knoxville radar (KMRX), 81 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:39 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point French Broad River above Rollins Rd, 1 SE Marshall (MARN7). The gauge peaked at 7.76 ft at Feb 3, 2016, 2:00 PM EST.

actionminormoderate51002/0302/0402/0502/06
Action stage
7.5 ft
Minor stage
8 ft
Moderate stage
10 ft
Major stage
13 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 03453500, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

738 
WGUS42 KGSP 031836
FLWGSP

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
136 PM EST WED FEB 3 2016

...The National Weather Service in Greenville-Spartanburg
has issued a Flood Warning for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...


  French Broad River SE of Marshall affecting Madison County


.Runoff from heavy rain will cause the river to rise above flood 
stage.
 Remember...river stage forecasts are based on observed and 
forecasted rainfall. If actual rainfall varies from the forecast 
values...the river stage will vary accordingly.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas. Remember...night time makes 
it difficult to recognize flooded areas.

The latest stages and forecasts for rivers can be found on our web 
page at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=gsp

 Please report high water...flooding and landslides to the National 
Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg by calling toll free...1...8 0
0...2 6 7...8 1 0 1...or by posting on our Facebook page...or tweet 
it using hashtag nwsgsp. Your message should describe the event and 
the specific location where it occurred.

&&

NCC115-041836-
/O.NEW.KGSP.FL.W.0002.160204T0000Z-160205T0100Z/
/MARN7.1.ER.160204T0000Z.160204T0600Z.160204T1300Z.NO/
136 PM EST WED FEB 3 2016

The National Weather Service in Greenville-Spartanburg has issued a 

* Flood Warning for the French Broad River 1 SE of Marshall.
* From this evening until Thursday evening...or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At 1:00 PM Wednesday the stage was 7.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river is expected to rise above flood stage this 
  evening and continue to rise to near 8.5 feet by early Thursday morning.
  The river will fall below flood stage by Thursday morning.
* Impact...At 8.0 feet...Flood stage. The river begins to flood some 
  buildings on blennerhassett island and approaches homes along 
  island road. Rollins island will also begin to flood. The river will 
  approach the railroad tracks in the back street area.

&&

LAT...LON 3569 8265 3576 8270 3582 8277 3583 8271 3578 8263
      3570 8257             

$$
JPT
1 follow-up statement
416 
WGUS82 KGSP 040132
FLSGSP

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
832 PM EST WED FEB 3 2016

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers
in North Carolina...


  French Broad River At French Broad River 1 SE Marshall affecting 
  Madison County.

 
 
.Runoff from previous heavy rain will continue to work its way  
downstream and the river will slowly fall.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

The latest stages and forecasts for rivers can be found on our web 
page at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=gsp

 Please report high water...flooding and landslides to the National 
Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg by calling toll free...1...8 0
0...2 6 7...8 1 0 1...or by posting on our Facebook page...or tweet 
it using hashtag nwsgsp. Your message should describe the event and 
the specific location where it occurred.

&&

NCC115-040202-
/O.CAN.KGSP.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-160205T0100Z/
/MARN7.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
832 PM EST WED FEB 3 2016

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The French Broad River At French Broad River 1 SE Marshall.
* At 8 PM Wednesday the stage was 7.0 feet.
* Bankfull stage is 4.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Forecast...the river crested below flood stage at 7.8 feet. The 
  river will continue to fall to 6.1 feet by Friday morning.
* Impact...At 7.0 feet...Water will approach buildings on 
  blannahassett island and backwater on hays creek will cause parts 
  of rollins road to begin to flood.

&&

LAT...LON 3569 8265 3576 8270 3582 8277 3583 8271 3578 8263
      3570 8257             

$$

OUTLAW

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Feb 3, 1:27 PM EST, 9 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 3, 1:27 PM EST, 9 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
127 PM EST WED FEB 3 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA TODAY BRINGING WIDESPREAD SHOWERS
AND SOME THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. IN THE FRONTS
WAKE...DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN AND PERSIST INTO THE WEEKEND.
A MOIST UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL APPROACH THE CAROLINAS EARLY
NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AS OF 120 PM...A PRE FRONTAL BAND OF SHOWERS WAS PUSHING ACROSS THE
FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT AREAS...WITH A STRONG BAND ALONG AND EAST OF
I-77. I WILL UPDATE THE FORECAST TO REDUCE TSRA MENTION...AND
DECREASE POPS OVER THE WESTERN NC MTNS. WINDOW FOR SEVERE WEATHER IS
COMING TO A CLOSE...WATER RUNOFF CONTINUES.

AS OF 1105 AM....A LINE OF STRONG STORMS WAS LOCATED ALONG HWY 321
AND ACROSS THE I-85 CORRIDOR OF SC/GA. THIS LINE HAS A HISTORY OF
PRODUCING FLASH FLOODING ACROSS THE FOOTHILLS AND PORTIONS OF MTNS.
CONDITIONS ACROSS THE MTNS AND FOOTHILLS MAY HAVE BEEN PRIMED BY THE
RECENT MELTING OF THE SNOWPACK. HOWEVER...DUAL POL RADAR CONTINUES
TO INDICATE 1 HR RATES IN EXCESS OF 1 INCH. BASED ON THE LINE
HISTORY AND RECENT TRENDS I HAVE EXPANDED THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH EAST
ACROSS THE I-77 CORRIDOR. IN ADDITION...A HIGH SHEAR AND LOW CAPE
ENVIRONMENT EXISTS ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE LINE...GUSTY WINDS ARE
CERTAIN. HOWEVER...LOCAL DAMAGING WINDS AND A BRIEF TORNADO CANNOT
BE RULED OUT.

AS OF 655 AM...FRONTAL PRECIP BAND IS MOVING INTO THE AREA...WITH
PLENTY OF UPSLOPE/UPGLIDE INDUCED PRECIP AHEAD OF IT. CURRENT TRENDS
OR MORE OR LESS IN LINE WITH THE GOING FORECAST...SO ONLY MINOR
TWEAKS HAVE BEEN MADE TO ACCOUNT FOR TRENDS.

SOME RELATIVELY HEALTHY CONVECTION IS NOTED ACROSS NORTH GA
ATTM...WITHIN AXIS OF (BARELY) POSITIVE SBCAPE. THE LATEST SHORT
TERM GUIDANCE INDICATES THIS CAPE AXIS WILL WEAKEN EVEN FURTHER AS
THE CONVECTIVE BAND MOVES EAST...WHERE IT WILL ENCOUNTER AN AIR MASS
THAT IS COOLER OWING TO RESIDUAL COLD POOL AND PRECEDING UPSLOPE
SHOWERS. NEVERTHELESS...A PROMINENT WARM FRONT/CAD BOUNDARY IS
LOCATED ROUGHLY ALONG THE I-85 CORRIDOR...WHERE SRH IS BEING
ENHANCED ABOVE AND BEYOND THE ALREADY-IMPRESSIVE ENVIRONMENTAL SRH.
SO THE SITUATION WILL BEAR CLOSE MONITORING LATER THIS MORNING.
ADDITIONALLY...WITH VERY STRONG LOW LEVEL JET OF 50-60 KTS
TRANSLATING ACROSS THE AREA...CONVECTIVE ELEMENTS COULD MIX DOWN
HIGHER MOMENTUM AIR INTO THE MTN VALLEYS AS THEY TRANSLATE ACROSS
THE WARM SECTOR PORTION OF THE HIGH TERRAIN OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS.
OF EQUAL CONCERN IS THE HEAVY RAIN THREAT...IN LIGHT OF VIRTUALLY
OFF-THE-CHART PWATS...GOOD S/SE UPSLOPE FLOW IN THE LOWEST 5
KFT...AND THE POTENTIAL FOR CONVECTION TO ENHANCE RAINFALL RATES
LOCALLY. UPSLOPE SHOWERS HAVE ALREADY PRODUCED 0.5-1.5 INCHES OF
RAIN ACROSS THE BLUE RIDGE...WITH ANOTHER 1-2 INCHES TO COME...AND
AS MUCH AS 3 ADDITIONAL INCHES POSSIBLE NEAR THE SOUTHERN ESCARPMENT
IN NC. CONVECTION ALSO ADDS A BIT OF A WILD CARD TO THE SCENARIO...
SO OPTED TO ISSUE A FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR THE BLUE RIDGE IN
NC...FROM TRANSYLVANIA COUNTY NORTHEAST TO AVERY/CALDWELL MTNS.

THE FRONTAL BAND IS MOVING EAST WITH A BIT MORE MOMENTUM THAN
ADVERTISED BY 00Z GUIDANCE. IN FACT...IT WILL LIKELY BE RAINING
ACROSS ROUGHLY THE WESTERN 2/3 OF THE FORECAST AREA BY SUNRISE. THE
LATEST MESOSCALE/CONVECTION ALLOWING MODEL OUTPUT ACTUALLY BLAST THE
FRONTAL BAND THROUGH THE AREA...PUSHING IT EAST OF I-77 BY 00Z. THIS
MAY BE A BIT TOO FAST...BUT IT DOES CALL INTO QUESTION HOW MUCH
HEATING/BUOYANCY WILL BE REALIZED LATER TODAY...DESPITE NAM/GFS
DEPICTION OF AROUND 500 J/KG SBCAPE ACROSS THE PIEDMONT THIS
AFTERNOON. PER THE NAM AND THE GFS...THE SEVERE HAZARDS IN
ENVIRONMENTS WITH REDUCED BUOYANCY (SHERB) EXPERIMENTAL PARAMETER IS
AT NEARLY THE OPTIMAL VALUE FOR IDENTIFYING POTENTIALLY SIGNIFICANT
SEVERE HIGH SHEAR/LOW CAPE ENVIRONMENTS. INDEED...IF WE ARE ABLE TO
REALIZE AS MUCH INSTABILITY AS DEPICTED IN THE LATEST GUIDANCE...
GIVEN THE HIGH DEGREE OF SHEAR...AN ORGANIZED SEVERE CONVECTIVE
THREAT WILL EXIST...WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE
WINDS/ DOWNWARD MOMENTUM FLUX AND ISOLATED TORNADOES. THE HIGHEST
RISK FOR SUCH WILL BE EAST OF THE I-85 CORRIDOR...FROM LATE MORNING
ON.

NEEDLESS TO SAY...ALL LOCALES RECEIVE A 100 POP FOR TODAY... WITH
POPS RAMPING DOWN SOMEWHAT QUICKLY THIS EVENING. THE NAM IS SLOWER
WITH MOVING THE PRECIP EAST THIS EVENING THAN THE OTHER OPERATIONAL
MODELS...AS IT TENDS TO DEVELOP A WEAK SURFACE LOW ACROSS THE
PIEDMONT...QUITE A BIT FARTHER INLAND THAN THE OTHER MODELS. BUT
AGAIN EVEN THE 06Z NAM IS BEHIND THE CURVE IN BEING MUCH TOO SLOW TO
MOVE THE FRONTAL BAND INTO THE FORECAST AREA THIS MORNING. THEREFORE
LEANED THE FORECAST TOWARD THE FASTER SOLUTIONS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 200 AM EST WEDNESDAY...THE SHORT TERM PERIOD INITIALIZES
ON THURSDAY MORNING AS THE UPPER PATTERN FEATURES A NEARLY FULL
LATITUDE UPPER TROF SLIDING ACROSS THE PLAINS STATES...WHILE
BROAD/COOL HIGH PRESSURE SPILLS ACROSS THE MS RIVER VALLEY.
CLOSER TO HOME...AN OLD COLD FRONTAL AXIS STALLED ALONG THE ATLANTIC
COAST WILL PROVIDE A FOCUS SHOWERS AS MODELS FAVOR A SERIES OF
WEAK WAVES TRAVERSING THE BOUNDARY THROUGH THE DAY ON THURSDAY.
THE PRIMARY IMPACTS FROM SAID ACTIVITY WILL LIKELY REMAIN EAST
OF THE FCST AREA...HOWEVER WILL KEEP POPS IN THE CHANCE RANGE
SOUTH/EAST OF I85/I77 RESPECTIVELY.

BEYOND THAT...THE ABOVE MENTIONED UPPER TROF AXIS AND EMBEDDED
SHORT WAVE WILL SLIDE THROUGH THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS INTO
FRIDAY MORNING EFFECTIVELY PUSHING THE STALLED FRONT OUT TO
SEA.  AS A RESULT...THE FCST WILL DRY OUT AS THE HIGH PRESSURE
INTRUDES AT THE SURFACE BENEATH SHORTWAVE RIDGING ALOFT ON FRIDAY.
MEANWHILE...ANOTHER H5 SHORTWAVE IS PROGGED TO DIG ACROSS SOUTHERN
PLAINS INTO SATURDAY MORNING WITH A REGION OF SURFACE CYCLOGENESIS
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP IN THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO...POTENTIALLY
SETTING UP AN ACTIVE PATTERN FOR THE START OF THE NEW WORK WEEK.
TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE PERIOD WILL BE GENERALLY A FEW DEGREES
BELOW NORMAL.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT IS HAD BTW THE OP MODELS AND ENS MEANS WITH
THE OVERALL SYNOPTIC PATTERN THROUGHOUT MOST OF THE EXT PERIOD.
HEMISPHERIC CHARTS SHOW A TIGHT HEIGHT GRADIENT ACROSS THE NRN ATL
WITH LITTLE MERIDIONAL BLOCKING POTENTIAL...THUS EXPECT PROGRESSIVE
SYSTEMS TO PERSIST ACROSS THE SE/RN CONUS.

FLAT RIDGING WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA SAT WITH WEAK AND DRY SFC
HIGH PRESSURE TRANSITIONING OFF THE ATL COAST. CLOUD COVER INCREASES
IN THE AFTERNOON AS DIFL FLOW ALOFT INCREASES AHEAD OF A DIGGING
S/W. SO...WILL EXPECT NOMINAL WARMING WITH HIGHS RIGHT AROUND
NORMAL. THE PATTERN BEGINS TO CHANGE SAT NIGHT AS A COASTAL LOW
DEVELOPS AND REMAINS OFF THE CAROLINA COAST THROUGH THE DAY SUN.
WITH THE PLACEMENT OF THE UPPER TROF...THE COASTAL LOW SHOULD
MAINTAIN CLOSELY WRAPPED PRECIP AND TRACK FAR ENUF EAST FOR LITTLE
IN THE WAY OF POP CONCERNS FOR THE FA. THIS COULD CHANGE ACROSS THE
ERN ZONES AS WE NEAR THE EVENT AND THICKNESSES WOULD SUPPORT A -SN
OR A MIXED P/TYPE SITUATION SUN NIGHT.

MONDAY SHOULD REMAIN MOSTLY DRY ACROSS THE CWFA WITH THE NEXT S/W
DIVING INTO THE BASE OF THE MEAN TROF MON NIGHT THROUGH THE PERIOD.
THE MODELS CONTINUE TO SUPPORT THE REINFORCING CP AIRMASS IDEA AND
THIS WILL SET THE STAGE FOR WINTRY PRECIP BEGINNING ACROSS THE MTNS
LATE MON INTO TUE. WITH STRONG DYNO OMEGA CROSSING AND JUST ENUF LOW
TO MID LEVEL MOISTURE...SNOW SHOWERS COULD BREAK HIGH TERRAIN
CONTAINMENT INTO THE NC/SC PIEDMONT. TOO EARLY TO SPECULATE ON
ACCUMS...BUT THE EVENT LOOKS PROGRESSIVE AND LOW END OUTSIDE THE
MTNS.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
AT KCLT AND ELSEWHERE...AT 1 PM...A PRE FRONTAL BAND OF SHOWERS WAS
PUSHING ACROSS THE FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT AREAS...WITH A STRONG BAND
ALONG AND EAST OF I-77. FOR THE 18Z TAFS...I WILL REMOVE THE MENTION
OF TSRA...KEEPING SHRA THROUGH THE REST OF THE AFTERNOON. CEILINGS
WILL REMAIN CHAOTIC AS THE BAND PASSES THIS AFTERNOON...BUT SHOULD
FAVOR MVFR CEILINGS INTO THE MID EVENING. WINDS SHOULD VEER FROM THE
NW LATE THIS EVENING AT KAVL...EAST OF THE MTNS VEERING NW LATE
TONIGHT TO AROUND DAWN THURSDAY. EAST OF THE MTNS...CONDITIONS WILL
RETURN TO VFR BY SUNRISE THURSDAY. UPSLOPE MVFR CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED
TO REMAIN OVER KAVL THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS...BECOMING VFR BY MID
DAY.

OUTLOOK...IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT...LARGE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD
ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH THE WEEKEND...PROVIDING UNRESTRICTED
CONDITIONS.

CONFIDENCE TABLE...

            18-24Z        00-06Z        06-12Z        12-18Z
KCLT       HIGH  89%     HIGH  88%     HIGH  93%     HIGH  95%
KGSP       HIGH  93%     HIGH  94%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%
KAVL       HIGH  83%     HIGH  91%     MED   69%     MED   75%
KHKY       MED   65%     MED   64%     MED   74%     HIGH  95%
KGMU       HIGH  97%     MED   77%     HIGH  86%     HIGH  93%
KAND       HIGH  86%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH  83%

THE PERCENTAGE REFLECTS THE NUMBER OF GUIDANCE MEMBERS AGREEING
WITH THE SCHEDULE TAF ISSUANCE FLIGHT RULE CATEGORY.  COMPLET HOURLY
EXPERIMENTAL AVIATION FORECAST CONSISTENCY TABLES AND ENSEMBLE FORECASTS
ARE AVAILABLE AT THE FOLLOWING LINK:

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GSP/AVIATION

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...NONE.
NC...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR NCZ033-
     035>037-049-050-053-056-057-064-065-068>072-082-501>510.
SC...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR SCZ008-009-
     013-014.

&&

SYNOPSIS...SBK
NEAR TERM...NED
SHORT TERM...CDG
LONG TERM...SBK
AVIATION...NED
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 3, 11:04 AM EST, 2 hours 32 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1104 AM EST WED FEB 3 2016

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ048-051-052-058-059-062-063-SCZ001>007-
010>012-019-041615-
RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-MADISON-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-
GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-
PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER OCONEE-
GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-
LAURENS-GREENWOOD-
1104 AM EST WED FEB 3 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA...WESTERN
NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

NCZ033-049-050-053-064-065-501>510-041615-
AVERY-YANCEY-MITCHELL-BUNCOMBE-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-
CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-GREATER CALDWELL-BURKE MOUNTAINS-GREATER BURKE-
MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-EASTERN MCDOWELL-RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-
GREATER RUTHERFORD-POLK MOUNTAINS-EASTERN POLK-
1104 AM EST WED FEB 3 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO FORWARD ANY REPORTS OF FLASH
FLOODING TO OUR OFFICE.

NCZ035>037-056-057-068>072-082-SCZ008-009-013-014-041615-
ALEXANDER-IREDELL-DAVIE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-
MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION-CHEROKEE-YORK-CHESTER-
1104 AM EST WED FEB 3 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PIEDMONT NORTH CAROLINA AND
UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO
MOVE ACROSS THE FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON.
STRONG WIND SHEAR AND WEAK INSTABILITY WILL COMBINE TO PRODUCE A
THREAT FOR ISOLATED SEVERE WEATHER IN THIS LINE OF STORMS...WITH
DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES BEING THE PRIMARY THREATS.
THE HIGHEST RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL EXIST ALONG AND SOUTH OF
THE I-85 CORRIDOR...ESPECIALLY FROM LATE MORNING ON. HOWEVER...SEVERE
WEATHER CANNOT BE RULED OUT ANYWHERE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO FORWARD ANY REPORTS OF DAMAGING
WINDS...TORNADOES OR FLASH FLOODING TO OUR OFFICE.

NED

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Feb 3, 12:57 PM EST, 39 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1257 PM EST WED FEB 3 2016

NCZ071-082-031900-
UNION NC-MECKLENBURG NC-
1257 PM EST WED FEB 3 2016

...LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN
MECKLENBURG AND UNION COUNTIES UNTIL 200 PM EST...

AT 1257 PM EST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THE LEADING EDGE OF A LINE
OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 14 MILES SOUTH OF
DOWNTOWN CONCORD TO 10 MILES SOUTH OF ROCK HILL...AND MOVING EAST AT
45 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH AND VERY HEAVY RAINFALL RATES UP TO 2 INCHES
PER HOUR WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
MONROE...MATTHEWS...INDIAN TRAIL...WEDDINGTON...STALLINGS...
UNIONVILLE...WESLEY CHAPEL...WINGATE...WAXHAW AND MARSHVILLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE COMBINATION OF GUSTY WINDS AND SATURATED SOIL CONDITIONS WILL
CAUSE SCATTERED TREES AND POWER LINES TO FALL. SEEK SHELTER INSIDE AN
INTERIOR ROOM.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL MAY FLOOD AREAS WITH POOR DRAINAGE...SUCH AS
DITCHES AND UNDERPASSES. AVOID THESE AREAS AND DO NOT CROSS FLOODED
ROADS. WATER LEVELS OF SMALL STREAMS AND RIVERS MAY ALSO RISE
RAPIDLY. SEEK HIGHER GROUND IF THREATENED BY FLOOD WATERS.

&&

LAT...LON 3481 8032 3482 8080 3494 8078 3500 8084
      3503 8085 3522 8060 3516 8044 3517 8042
      3516 8041 3518 8037 3517 8036 3518 8031
      3519 8030 3519 8028
TIME...MOT...LOC 1757Z 255DEG 31KT 3521 8053 3480 8099

MOORE
Local storm report, Feb 3, 1:08 PM EST, 28 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
108 PM EST WED FEB 03 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0100 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 E GOLD HILL           35.52N 80.32W
02/03/2016                   ROWAN              NC   TRAINED SPOTTER

            NUMEROUS TREE LIMBS DOWN...UP TO 6 TO 7 INCH DIAMETER.

&&

NED
Local storm report, Feb 3, 1:21 PM EST, 15 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
121 PM EST WED FEB 03 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1230 PM     TSTM WND DMG     CHARLOTTE               35.20N 80.83W
02/03/2016                   MECKLENBURG        NC   SOCIAL MEDIA

            TREE DOWN ON ARDSLEY ROAD AND AT SUGAR CREEK BEFORE NEVIN
            ROAD.

1230 PM     TSTM WND DMG     5 S HARRISBURG          35.25N 80.67W
02/03/2016                   MECKLENBURG        NC   SOCIAL MEDIA

            FEW TREES DOWN.

&&

TPALMER
Local storm report, Feb 3, 1:27 PM EST, 9 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
127 PM EST WED FEB 03 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1235 PM     TSTM WND DMG     5 S HARRISBURG          35.25N 80.67W
02/03/2016                   MECKLENBURG        NC   SOCIAL MEDIA

            FEW TREES DOWN.

&&

TPALMER
Special weather statement, Feb 3, 1:31 PM EST, 5 minutes before
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
131 PM EST WED FEB 3 2016

SCZ014-031845-
CHESTER SC-
131 PM EST WED FEB 3 2016

...LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN
CHESTER COUNTY UNTIL 145 PM EST...

AT 131 PM EST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THE LEADING EDGE OF A LINE OF
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 3 MILES WEST OF
LANCASTER TO 14 MILES NORTHEAST OF WINNSBORO...AND MOVING NORTHEAST
AT 50 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH AND VERY HEAVY RAINFALL RATES UP TO 2 INCHES
PER HOUR WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
GREAT FALLS...FORT LAWN AND FISHING CREEK RESERVOIR.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE COMBINATION OF GUSTY WINDS AND SATURATED SOIL CONDITIONS WILL
CAUSE SCATTERED TREES AND POWER LINES TO FALL. SEEK SHELTER INSIDE AN
INTERIOR ROOM.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL MAY FLOOD AREAS WITH POOR DRAINAGE...SUCH AS
DITCHES AND UNDERPASSES. AVOID THESE AREAS AND DO NOT CROSS FLOODED
ROADS. WATER LEVELS OF SMALL STREAMS AND RIVERS MAY ALSO RISE
RAPIDLY. SEEK HIGHER GROUND IF THREATENED BY FLOOD WATERS.

&&

LAT...LON 3467 8089 3463 8090 3462 8089 3460 8089
      3458 8088 3455 8087 3454 8088 3454 8095
      3456 8110 3477 8089 3477 8088 3475 8088
      3470 8086
TIME...MOT...LOC 1831Z 238DEG 50KT 3473 8084 3457 8099

MOORE
Local storm report, Feb 3, 1:32 PM EST, 4 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
132 PM EST WED FEB 03 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1230 PM     FLASH FLOOD      MORGANTON               35.74N 81.70W
02/03/2016                   BURKE              NC   911 CALL CENTER

            MULTIPLE REPORTS OF FLASH FLOODING THROUGHOUT THE COUNTY.
            LAST REPORTS CAME IN JUST AFTER 1230PM. CREEKS OUT OF
            BANKS AND OVER ROADS IN LAKE JAMES AREA AND TOWARD
            MCDOWELL COUNTY...NC 126 AT GLEN ALPINE...AND SEVERAL IN
            THE CITY OF MORGANTON.

1235 PM     TSTM WND DMG     CONCORD                 35.41N 80.59W
02/03/2016                   CABARRUS           NC   EMERGENCY MNGR

            5 LIVING TREES DOWN...LOTS OF DEAD TREES BLOWN DOWN.

&&

TPALMER

The office that day

Everything else NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 2, 9:33 PM ESTWind AdvisoryGSPAvery, Buncombe, Graham, Haywood, Jackson, McDowell and 6 more12 hr
Feb 3, 4:11 AM ESTFlash Flood WatchGSPAlexander, Avery, Buncombe, Burke, Cabarrus, Caldwell and 16 more11 hr
Feb 3, 6:32 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementGSPGraham, Macon, Swain58 min
Feb 3, 6:34 AM ESTAreal Flood AdvisoryGSPGraham, Jackson, Macon, Swain3 hr
Feb 3, 6:37 AM ESTAreal Flood AdvisoryGSPHenderson, Transylvania3 hr
Feb 3, 7:33 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementGSPMacon57 min
Feb 3, 7:45 AM ESTFlash Flood WarningGSPHenderson, Transylvania6 hr
Feb 3, 8:57 AM ESTAreal Flood AdvisoryGSPAvery, Buncombe, Burke, Caldwell, McDowell, Mitchell and 1 more3 hr
Feb 3, 9:01 AM ESTAreal Flood AdvisoryGSPPolk, Rutherford3 hr
Feb 3, 9:27 AM ESTAreal Flood AdvisoryGSPGraham, Jackson, Macon, Swain3 hr
Feb 3, 9:37 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementGSPAvery, Burke, Caldwell, McDowell38 min
Feb 3, 9:49 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementGSPAvery, Burke, Caldwell, McDowell26 min
Feb 3, 10:10 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningGSPHenderson, Transylvania66 hr
Feb 3, 10:37 AM ESTFlash Flood WarningGSPBuncombe, McDowell6 hr
Feb 3, 10:48 AM ESTFlash Flood WarningGSPBurke, Caldwell6 hr
Feb 3, 10:54 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementGSPCleveland, Gaston51 min
Feb 3, 10:58 AM ESTFlash Flood WarningGSPAvery, Mitchell, Yancey4 hr
Feb 3, 11:04 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementGSPIredell41 min
Feb 3, 11:10 AM ESTAreal Flood AdvisoryGSPAlexander, Catawba, Cleveland, Gaston, Iredell, Lincoln3 hr
Feb 3, 11:24 AM ESTFlash Flood WarningGSPPolk, Rutherford3 hr
Feb 3, 11:28 AM ESTRiver Flood AdvisoryGSPBuncombe12 hr
Feb 3, 11:41 AM ESTSpecial Weather StatementGSPGaston, Mecklenburg49 min
Feb 3, 11:44 AM ESTFlash Flood WarningGSPAlexander, Catawba4 hr
Feb 3, 12:21 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPCabarrus, Mecklenburg, Union24 min
Feb 3, 12:31 PM ESTAreal Flood AdvisoryGSPCabarrus, Mecklenburg, Union3 hr
Feb 3, 12:32 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementGSPDavie, Rowan43 min
Feb 3, 12:45 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPCabarrus, Mecklenburg, Rowan15 min
Feb 3, 12:50 PM ESTRiver Flood AdvisoryGSPHaywood12 hr
Feb 3, 12:57 PM ESTRiver Flood AdvisoryGSPSwain12 hr
Feb 3, 12:57 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementGSPUnion63 min
Feb 3, 1:55 PM ESTAreal Flood AdvisoryGSPHenderson, Transylvania12 hr
Feb 3, 1:58 PM ESTSpecial Weather StatementGSPUnion47 min
Feb 3, 2:00 PM ESTAreal Flood AdvisoryGSPPolk, Rutherford3 hr
Feb 3, 2:24 PM ESTRiver Flood WarningGSPBuncombe, Henderson41 hr
Feb 3, 2:53 PM ESTFlash Flood WarningGSPMcDowell3 hr
Feb 3, 3:43 PM ESTAreal Flood AdvisoryGSPAlexander, Avery, Buncombe, Burke, Caldwell, Catawba and 5 more6 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in North Carolina, 2016Every river flood warning in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.