Severe Thunderstorm Warning 2, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1113 AM EST WED FEB 3 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA TODAY BRINGING WIDESPREAD SHOWERS
AND SOME THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. IN THE FRONTS
WAKE...DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN AND PERSIST INTO THE WEEKEND.
A MOIST UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL APPROACH THE CAROLINAS EARLY
NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AS OF 1105 AM....A LINE OF STRONG STORMS WAS LOCATED ALONG HWY 321
AND ACROSS THE I-85 CORRIDOR OF SC/GA. THIS LINE HAS A HISTORY OF
PRODUCING FLASH FLOODING ACROSS THE FOOTHILLS AND PORTIONS OF MTNS.
CONDITIONS ACROSS THE MTNS AND FOOTHILLS MAY HAVE BEEN PRIMED BY THE
RECENT MELTING OF THE SNOWPACK. HOWEVER...DUAL POL RADAR CONTINUES
TO INDICATE 1 HR RATES IN EXCESS OF 1 INCH. BASED ON THE LINE
HISTORY AND RECENT TRENDS I HAVE EXPANDED THE FLASH FLOOD WATCH EAST
ACROSS THE I-77 CORRIDOR. IN ADDITION...A HIGH SHEAR AND LOW CAPE
ENVIRONMENT EXISTS ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE LINE...GUSTY WINDS ARE
CERTAIN. HOWEVER...LOCAL DAMAGING WINDS AND A BRIEF TORNADO CANNOT
BE RULED OUT.

AS OF 655 AM...FRONTAL PRECIP BAND IS MOVING INTO THE AREA...WITH
PLENTY OF UPSLOPE/UPGLIDE INDUCED PRECIP AHEAD OF IT. CURRENT TRENDS
OR MORE OR LESS IN LINE WITH THE GOING FORECAST...SO ONLY MINOR
TWEAKS HAVE BEEN MADE TO ACCOUNT FOR TRENDS.

SOME RELATIVELY HEALTHY CONVECTION IS NOTED ACROSS NORTH GA
ATTM...WITHIN AXIS OF (BARELY) POSITIVE SBCAPE. THE LATEST SHORT
TERM GUIDANCE INDICATES THIS CAPE AXIS WILL WEAKEN EVEN FURTHER AS
THE CONVECTIVE BAND MOVES EAST...WHERE IT WILL ENCOUNTER AN AIR MASS
THAT IS COOLER OWING TO RESIDUAL COLD POOL AND PRECEDING UPSLOPE
SHOWERS. NEVERTHELESS...A PROMINENT WARM FRONT/CAD BOUNDARY IS
LOCATED ROUGHLY ALONG THE I-85 CORRIDOR...WHERE SRH IS BEING
ENHANCED ABOVE AND BEYOND THE ALREADY-IMPRESSIVE ENVIRONMENTAL SRH.
SO THE SITUATION WILL BEAR CLOSE MONITORING LATER THIS MORNING.
ADDITIONALLY...WITH VERY STRONG LOW LEVEL JET OF 50-60 KTS
TRANSLATING ACROSS THE AREA...CONVECTIVE ELEMENTS COULD MIX DOWN
HIGHER MOMENTUM AIR INTO THE MTN VALLEYS AS THEY TRANSLATE ACROSS
THE WARM SECTOR PORTION OF THE HIGH TERRAIN OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS.
OF EQUAL CONCERN IS THE HEAVY RAIN THREAT...IN LIGHT OF VIRTUALLY
OFF-THE-CHART PWATS...GOOD S/SE UPSLOPE FLOW IN THE LOWEST 5
KFT...AND THE POTENTIAL FOR CONVECTION TO ENHANCE RAINFALL RATES
LOCALLY. UPSLOPE SHOWERS HAVE ALREADY PRODUCED 0.5-1.5 INCHES OF
RAIN ACROSS THE BLUE RIDGE...WITH ANOTHER 1-2 INCHES TO COME...AND
AS MUCH AS 3 ADDITIONAL INCHES POSSIBLE NEAR THE SOUTHERN ESCARPMENT
IN NC. CONVECTION ALSO ADDS A BIT OF A WILD CARD TO THE SCENARIO...
SO OPTED TO ISSUE A FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR THE BLUE RIDGE IN
NC...FROM TRANSYLVANIA COUNTY NORTHEAST TO AVERY/CALDWELL MTNS.

THE FRONTAL BAND IS MOVING EAST WITH A BIT MORE MOMENTUM THAN
ADVERTISED BY 00Z GUIDANCE. IN FACT...IT WILL LIKELY BE RAINING
ACROSS ROUGHLY THE WESTERN 2/3 OF THE FORECAST AREA BY SUNRISE. THE
LATEST MESOSCALE/CONVECTION ALLOWING MODEL OUTPUT ACTUALLY BLAST THE
FRONTAL BAND THROUGH THE AREA...PUSHING IT EAST OF I-77 BY 00Z. THIS
MAY BE A BIT TOO FAST...BUT IT DOES CALL INTO QUESTION HOW MUCH
HEATING/BUOYANCY WILL BE REALIZED LATER TODAY...DESPITE NAM/GFS
DEPICTION OF AROUND 500 J/KG SBCAPE ACROSS THE PIEDMONT THIS
AFTERNOON. PER THE NAM AND THE GFS...THE SEVERE HAZARDS IN
ENVIRONMENTS WITH REDUCED BUOYANCY (SHERB) EXPERIMENTAL PARAMETER IS
AT NEARLY THE OPTIMAL VALUE FOR IDENTIFYING POTENTIALLY SIGNIFICANT
SEVERE HIGH SHEAR/LOW CAPE ENVIRONMENTS. INDEED...IF WE ARE ABLE TO
REALIZE AS MUCH INSTABILITY AS DEPICTED IN THE LATEST GUIDANCE...
GIVEN THE HIGH DEGREE OF SHEAR...AN ORGANIZED SEVERE CONVECTIVE
THREAT WILL EXIST...WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE
WINDS/ DOWNWARD MOMENTUM FLUX AND ISOLATED TORNADOES. THE HIGHEST
RISK FOR SUCH WILL BE EAST OF THE I-85 CORRIDOR...FROM LATE MORNING
ON.

NEEDLESS TO SAY...ALL LOCALES RECEIVE A 100 POP FOR TODAY... WITH
POPS RAMPING DOWN SOMEWHAT QUICKLY THIS EVENING. THE NAM IS SLOWER
WITH MOVING THE PRECIP EAST THIS EVENING THAN THE OTHER OPERATIONAL
MODELS...AS IT TENDS TO DEVELOP A WEAK SURFACE LOW ACROSS THE
PIEDMONT...QUITE A BIT FARTHER INLAND THAN THE OTHER MODELS. BUT
AGAIN EVEN THE 06Z NAM IS BEHIND THE CURVE IN BEING MUCH TOO SLOW TO
MOVE THE FRONTAL BAND INTO THE FORECAST AREA THIS MORNING. THEREFORE
LEANED THE FORECAST TOWARD THE FASTER SOLUTIONS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 200 AM EST WEDNESDAY...THE SHORT TERM PERIOD INITIALIZES
ON THURSDAY MORNING AS THE UPPER PATTERN FEATURES A NEARLY FULL
LATITUDE UPPER TROF SLIDING ACROSS THE PLAINS STATES...WHILE
BROAD/COOL HIGH PRESSURE SPILLS ACROSS THE MS RIVER VALLEY.
CLOSER TO HOME...AN OLD COLD FRONTAL AXIS STALLED ALONG THE ATLANTIC
COAST WILL PROVIDE A FOCUS SHOWERS AS MODELS FAVOR A SERIES OF
WEAK WAVES TRAVERSING THE BOUNDARY THROUGH THE DAY ON THURSDAY.
THE PRIMARY IMPACTS FROM SAID ACTIVITY WILL LIKELY REMAIN EAST
OF THE FCST AREA...HOWEVER WILL KEEP POPS IN THE CHANCE RANGE
SOUTH/EAST OF I85/I77 RESPECTIVELY.

BEYOND THAT...THE ABOVE MENTIONED UPPER TROF AXIS AND EMBEDDED
SHORT WAVE WILL SLIDE THROUGH THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS INTO
FRIDAY MORNING EFFECTIVELY PUSHING THE STALLED FRONT OUT TO
SEA.  AS A RESULT...THE FCST WILL DRY OUT AS THE HIGH PRESSURE
INTRUDES AT THE SURFACE BENEATH SHORTWAVE RIDGING ALOFT ON FRIDAY.
MEANWHILE...ANOTHER H5 SHORTWAVE IS PROGGED TO DIG ACROSS SOUTHERN
PLAINS INTO SATURDAY MORNING WITH A REGION OF SURFACE CYCLOGENESIS
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP IN THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO...POTENTIALLY
SETTING UP AN ACTIVE PATTERN FOR THE START OF THE NEW WORK WEEK.
TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE PERIOD WILL BE GENERALLY A FEW DEGREES
BELOW NORMAL.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT IS HAD BTW THE OP MODELS AND ENS MEANS WITH
THE OVERALL SYNOPTIC PATTERN THROUGHOUT MOST OF THE EXT PERIOD.
HEMISPHERIC CHARTS SHOW A TIGHT HEIGHT GRADIENT ACROSS THE NRN ATL
WITH LITTLE MERIDIONAL BLOCKING POTENTIAL...THUS EXPECT PROGRESSIVE
SYSTEMS TO PERSIST ACROSS THE SE/RN CONUS.

FLAT RIDGING WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA SAT WITH WEAK AND DRY SFC
HIGH PRESSURE TRANSITIONING OFF THE ATL COAST. CLOUD COVER INCREASES
IN THE AFTERNOON AS DIFL FLOW ALOFT INCREASES AHEAD OF A DIGGING
S/W. SO...WILL EXPECT NOMINAL WARMING WITH HIGHS RIGHT AROUND
NORMAL. THE PATTERN BEGINS TO CHANGE SAT NIGHT AS A COASTAL LOW
DEVELOPS AND REMAINS OFF THE CAROLINA COAST THROUGH THE DAY SUN.
WITH THE PLACEMENT OF THE UPPER TROF...THE COASTAL LOW SHOULD
MAINTAIN CLOSELY WRAPPED PRECIP AND TRACK FAR ENUF EAST FOR LITTLE
IN THE WAY OF POP CONCERNS FOR THE FA. THIS COULD CHANGE ACROSS THE
ERN ZONES AS WE NEAR THE EVENT AND THICKNESSES WOULD SUPPORT A -SN
OR A MIXED P/TYPE SITUATION SUN NIGHT.

MONDAY SHOULD REMAIN MOSTLY DRY ACROSS THE CWFA WITH THE NEXT S/W
DIVING INTO THE BASE OF THE MEAN TROF MON NIGHT THROUGH THE PERIOD.
THE MODELS CONTINUE TO SUPPORT THE REINFORCING CP AIRMASS IDEA AND
THIS WILL SET THE STAGE FOR WINTRY PRECIP BEGINNING ACROSS THE MTNS
LATE MON INTO TUE. WITH STRONG DYNO OMEGA CROSSING AND JUST ENUF LOW
TO MID LEVEL MOISTURE...SNOW SHOWERS COULD BREAK HIGH TERRAIN
CONTAINMENT INTO THE NC/SC PIEDMONT. TOO EARLY TO SPECULATE ON
ACCUMS...BUT THE EVENT LOOKS PROGRESSIVE AND LOW END OUTSIDE THE
MTNS.

&&

.AVIATION /16Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AT KCLT AND ELSEWHERE...RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO OVERSPREAD THE AREA
THROUGH THE MORNING. THERE WILL ALSO BE SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS...
AND TEMPOS HAVE BEEN INCLUDED FOR TSRA AT ALL SITES (EXCEPT KHKY
WHERE THE AIR MASS IS MORE STABLE)...THIS MORNING AT THE UPSTATE SC
TERMINALS AND KAVL...AND FROM 16Z-20Z AT KCLT. WINDS WILL REMAIN
S/SE AT 10-15 KTS...WITH OCCL GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 20 KTS POSSIBLE.
SOME WESTERLY GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 20 KTS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN
ASSOCIATION WITH THUNDERSTORMS. OTHERWISE...CIGS ARE EXPECTED TO
REMAIN IFR OR LOW MVFR AT ALL TERMINALS THIS AM...WITH VISBY FALLING
TO 2-3SM IN MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL. RAIN WILL BEGIN TO TAPER OFF
DURING THE AFTERNOON. CIGS WILL REMAIN IFR/MVFR THROUGH LATE
AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING...IMPROVING TO VFR THEREAFTER. WINDS WILL
TURN TO LIGHT NW BEHIND A COLD FRONT THIS EVENING. WITH THE LIGHT
WINDS...LINGERING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE COULD RESULT IN SOME FOG
DEVELOPMENT AFTER MIDNIGHT...BUT HAVE HELD OFF ON ADVERTISING THIS
FOR NOW.

OUTLOOK...IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT...LARGE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD
ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH THE WEEKEND...PROVIDING UNRESTRICTED
CONDITIONS.

CONFIDENCE TABLE...

            16-22Z        22-04Z        04-10Z        10-12Z
KCLT       HIGH 100%     HIGH  83%     HIGH  83%     HIGH 100%
KGSP       HIGH 100%     LOW   50%     HIGH  83%     HIGH 100%
KAVL       HIGH  97%     HIGH  80%     HIGH 100%     MED   76%
KHKY       HIGH  93%     LOW   50%     MED   72%     HIGH  80%
KGMU       HIGH 100%     LOW   55%     HIGH 100%     HIGH  96%
KAND       HIGH 100%     MED   64%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%

THE PERCENTAGE REFLECTS THE NUMBER OF GUIDANCE MEMBERS AGREEING
WITH THE SCHEDULE TAF ISSUANCE FLIGHT RULE CATEGORY.  COMPLET HOURLY
EXPERIMENTAL AVIATION FORECAST CONSISTENCY TABLES AND ENSEMBLE FORECASTS
ARE AVAILABLE AT THE FOLLOWING LINK:

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GSP/AVIATION

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...NONE.
NC...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR NCZ033-
     035>037-049-050-053-056-057-064-065-068>072-082-501>510.
SC...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR SCZ008-009-
     013-014.

&&

SYNOPSIS...SBK
NEAR TERM...NED
SHORT TERM...CDG
LONG TERM...SBK
AVIATION...JDL

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1104 AM EST WED FEB 3 2016

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ048-051-052-058-059-062-063-SCZ001>007-
010>012-019-041615-
RABUN-HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-MADISON-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-
GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-
PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-GREATER OCONEE-
GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-
LAURENS-GREENWOOD-
1104 AM EST WED FEB 3 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA...WESTERN
NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NONE.

NCZ033-049-050-053-064-065-501>510-041615-
AVERY-YANCEY-MITCHELL-BUNCOMBE-TRANSYLVANIA-HENDERSON-
CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-GREATER CALDWELL-BURKE MOUNTAINS-GREATER BURKE-
MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-EASTERN MCDOWELL-RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-
GREATER RUTHERFORD-POLK MOUNTAINS-EASTERN POLK-
1104 AM EST WED FEB 3 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO FORWARD ANY REPORTS OF FLASH
FLOODING TO OUR OFFICE.

NCZ035>037-056-057-068>072-082-SCZ008-009-013-014-041615-
ALEXANDER-IREDELL-DAVIE-CATAWBA-ROWAN-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-
MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION-CHEROKEE-YORK-CHESTER-
1104 AM EST WED FEB 3 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PIEDMONT NORTH CAROLINA AND
UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO
MOVE ACROSS THE FOOTHILLS AND PIEDMONT THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON.
STRONG WIND SHEAR AND WEAK INSTABILITY WILL COMBINE TO PRODUCE A
THREAT FOR ISOLATED SEVERE WEATHER IN THIS LINE OF STORMS...WITH
DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES BEING THE PRIMARY THREATS.
THE HIGHEST RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL EXIST ALONG AND SOUTH OF
THE I-85 CORRIDOR...ESPECIALLY FROM LATE MORNING ON. HOWEVER...SEVERE
WEATHER CANNOT BE RULED OUT ANYWHERE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO FORWARD ANY REPORTS OF DAMAGING
WINDS...TORNADOES OR FLASH FLOODING TO OUR OFFICE.

NED

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1205 PM EST WED FEB 03 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1100 AM     FLOOD            1 WSW RUTHERFORDTON     35.36N 81.97W
02/03/2016                   RUTHERFORD         NC   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            FLOODING NEAR HIGHWAY 108 AND CLUB HOUSE DRIVE.

&&

07

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1211 PM EST WED FEB 03 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1100 AM     FLOOD            1 N RUTHERFORDTON       35.38N 81.96W
02/03/2016                   RUTHERFORD         NC   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            FLOODING AT RIDGE CREST STREET AND MAPLE CREEK ROAD.

&&

07

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1215 PM EST WED FEB 03 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1100 AM     FLOOD            5 ESE LAKE LURE         35.42N 82.13W
02/03/2016                   RUTHERFORD         NC   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            FLOODING NEAR HIGHWAY 64-74 AND ROCK SPRINGS CHURCH ROAD.

&&

07

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1232 PM EST WED FEB 3 2016

NCZ037-057-031815-
DAVIE NC-ROWAN NC-
1232 PM EST WED FEB 3 2016

...LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF ROWAN AND
DAVIE COUNTIES UNTIL 115 PM EST...

AT 1231 PM EST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THE LEADING EDGE OF A LINE
OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 3 MILES SOUTHWEST
OF MOCKSVILLE TO 3 MILES NORTHWEST OF KANNAPOLIS...AND MOVING EAST AT
35 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH AND VERY HEAVY RAINFALL RATES UP TO 2 INCHES
PER HOUR WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
SALISBURY...MOCKSVILLE...KANNAPOLIS...CHINA GROVE...SPENCER...
LANDIS...ENOCHVILLE...GRANITE QUARRY...ROCKWELL AND BERMUDA RUN.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE COMBINATION OF GUSTY WINDS AND SATURATED SOIL CONDITIONS WILL
CAUSE SCATTERED TREES AND POWER LINES TO FALL. SEEK SHELTER INSIDE AN
INTERIOR ROOM.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL MAY FLOOD AREAS WITH POOR DRAINAGE...SUCH AS
DITCHES AND UNDERPASSES. AVOID THESE AREAS AND DO NOT CROSS FLOODED
ROADS. WATER LEVELS OF SMALL STREAMS AND RIVERS MAY ALSO RISE
RAPIDLY. SEEK HIGHER GROUND IF THREATENED BY FLOOD WATERS.

&&

LAT...LON 3550 8018 3551 8073 3596 8063 3601 8041
      3599 8042 3596 8038 3589 8037 3588 8042
      3586 8039 3584 8039 3585 8042 3583 8043
      3583 8049 3577 8045 3574 8046 3572 8042
      3571 8033 3568 8033 3559 8021 3551 8018
TIME...MOT...LOC 1731Z 258DEG 33KT 3587 8060 3551 8067

MOORE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1239 PM EST WED FEB 03 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1120 AM     FLOOD            4 NE COLUMBUS           35.29N 82.17W
02/03/2016                   POLK               NC   COUNTY OFFICIAL

            WATER FROM STREAM OVER ROAD.

1200 PM     FLASH FLOOD      ASHEVILLE               35.57N 82.55W
02/03/2016                   BUNCOMBE           NC   911 CALL CENTER

            ABOUT 20 TOTAL ROADS CLOSED ACROSS BUNCOME COUNTY. MOST
            RECENT REPORTS CAME IN AROUND NOON WITH CLOSINGS OF
            SWANANOA RIVER ROAD AND BRYSON STREET IN THE BILTMORE
            VILLAGE AREA.

1220 PM     FLASH FLOOD      NEWLAND                 36.09N 81.93W
02/03/2016                   AVERY              NC   911 CALL CENTER

            BEECH STREET IN NEWLAND CLOSED...WATER FLOWING OVER THE
            ROAD FROM CREEK OUT OF ITS BANKS.

1220 PM     TSTM WND DMG     CHARLOTTE               35.20N 80.83W
02/03/2016                   MECKLENBURG        NC   SOCIAL MEDIA

            TWO TREES DOWN...ONE ON WEST TRADE STREET.

&&

TPALMER

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1243 PM EST WED FEB 3 2016

SCZ009-014-031830-
CHESTER SC-YORK SC-
1243 PM EST WED FEB 3 2016

...LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN
YORK AND CHESTER COUNTIES UNTIL 130 PM EST...

AT 1242 PM EST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THE LEADING EDGE OF A LINE
OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 7 MILES NORTHEAST
OF ROCK HILL TO NEAR CHESTER TO 16 MILES SOUTHEAST OF UNION...AND
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 55 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH AND VERY HEAVY RAINFALL RATES UP TO 2 INCHES
PER HOUR WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
ROCK HILL...CHESTER...FORT MILL...TEGA CAY...NEWPORT...LESSLIE...
GREAT FALLS...FORT LAWN...MCCONNELLS AND RICHBURG.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE COMBINATION OF GUSTY WINDS AND SATURATED SOIL CONDITIONS WILL
CAUSE SCATTERED TREES AND POWER LINES TO FALL. SEEK SHELTER INSIDE AN
INTERIOR ROOM.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL MAY FLOOD AREAS WITH POOR DRAINAGE...SUCH AS
DITCHES AND UNDERPASSES. AVOID THESE AREAS AND DO NOT CROSS FLOODED
ROADS. WATER LEVELS OF SMALL STREAMS AND RIVERS MAY ALSO RISE
RAPIDLY. SEEK HIGHER GROUND IF THREATENED BY FLOOD WATERS.

&&

LAT...LON 3464 8090 3454 8088 3457 8141 3464 8142
      3468 8145 3505 8104 3511 8093 3506 8090
      3501 8091 3492 8086 3490 8088 3484 8087
      3483 8090 3470 8086
TIME...MOT...LOC 1742Z 238DEG 50KT 3502 8092 3470 8118 3459 8140

MOORE