Flash Flood Warning 1, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

717 
WGUS72 KGSP 031541
FFSGSP

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1041 AM EST WED FEB 3 2016

NCC089-175-031845-
/O.CON.KGSP.FF.W.0001.000000T0000Z-160203T1845Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
TRANSYLVANIA NC-HENDERSON NC-
1041 AM EST WED FEB 3 2016

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 145 PM EST
WEDNESDAY FOR TRANSYLVANIA AND HENDERSON COUNTIES...

AT 1038 AM EST...DOPPLER RADAR AND AUTOMATED RAIN GAUGES INDICATED
THAT HEAVY RAIN WAS FALLING OVER THE AREA. BETWEEN 3 AND 6 INCHES OF
RAIN HAVE FALLEN SINCE LAST NIGHT. FLASH FLOODING IS OCCURRING IN 
MANY LOCATIONS ACROSS THE COUNTY. THE FRENCH BROAD AND ASSOCIATED
TRIBUTARIES INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO MUD CREEK...BAT FORK
CREEK...THE LITTLE RIVER...AND THE DAVIDSON RIVER ARE ALL EXPERIENCING
RAPID RISES.

SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
HENDERSONVILLE...BREVARD...MILLS RIVER...FLETCHER...FLAT ROCK...
ETOWAH...MOUNTAIN HOME...LAUREL PARK...ROSMAN AND LOOKING GLASS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MOST FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN VEHICLES. DO NOT DRIVE INTO AREAS WHERE
WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. ONLY A FEW INCHES OF RAPIDLY FLOWING WATER
CAN CARRY AWAY YOUR VEHICLE. TURN AROUND...DONT DROWN.

FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR IS IMMINENT. HEAVY RAIN FALLING ALONG
MOUNTAIN CREEKS CAN CAUSE SUDDEN INCREASES IN WATER FLOW AND LEVELS
DOWNSTREAM...EVEN IN AREAS WHERE IT IS NOT RAINING. PEOPLE
PARTICIPATING IN OUTDOOR RECREATION SHOULD IMMEDIATELY SEEK HIGH
GROUND AWAY FROM CREEKS AND STREAMS.

PLEASE REPORT FLOOD WATER FLOWING OVER ROADS OR THREATENING
PROPERTY...OR LANDSLIDES TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE
SPARTANBURG BY CALLING TOLL FREE...1...800...2 6 7...8 1 0 1...OR BY
POSTING ON OUR FACEBOOK PAGE...OR TWEET IT USING HASHTAG NWSGSP. YOUR
MESSAGE SHOULD DESCRIBE THE EVENT AND THE SPECIFIC LOCATION WHERE IT
OCCURRED.

&&

LAT...LON 3547 8227 3539 8226 3529 8235 3518 8237
      3521 8239 3517 8244 3513 8268 3507 8275
      3509 8279 3503 8301 3505 8306 3513 8298
      3516 8300 3529 8292 3532 8283 3542 8274
      3542 8254 3547 8242 3546 8237 3550 8233

$$

TDP

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
658 AM EST WED FEB 3 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA TODAY BRINGING WIDESPREAD SHOWERS
AND SOME THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. IN THE FRONTS
WAKE...DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN AND PERSIST INTO THE WEEKEND.
A MOIST UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL APPROACH THE CAROLINAS EARLY
NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AS OF 655 AM...FRONTAL PRECIP BAND IS MOVING INTO THE AREA...WITH
PLENTY OF UPSLOPE/UPGLIDE INDUCED PRECIP AHEAD OF IT. CURRENT TRENDS
OR MORE OR LESS IN LINE WITH THE GOING FORECAST...SO ONLY MINOR
TWEAKS HAVE BEEN MADE TO ACCOUNT FOR TRENDS.

SOME RELATIVELY HEALTHY CONVECTION IS NOTED ACROSS NORTH GA
ATTM...WITHIN AXIS OF (BARELY) POSITIVE SBCAPE. THE LATEST SHORT
TERM GUIDANCE INDICATES THIS CAPE AXIS WILL WEAKEN EVEN FURTHER AS
THE CONVECTIVE BAND MOVES EAST...WHERE IT WILL ENCOUNTER AN AIR MASS
THAT IS COOLER OWING TO RESIDUAL COLD POOL AND PRECEDING UPSLOPE
SHOWERS. NEVERTHELESS...A PROMINENT WARM FRONT/CAD BOUNDARY IS
LOCATED ROUGHLY ALONG THE I-85 CORRIDOR...WHERE SRH IS BEING
ENHANCED ABOVE AND BEYOND THE ALREADY-IMPRESSIVE ENVIRONMENTAL SRH.
SO THE SITUATION WILL BEAR CLOSE MONITORING LATER THIS MORNING.
ADDITIONALLY...WITH VERY STRONG LOW LEVEL JET OF 50-60 KTS
TRANSLATING ACROSS THE AREA...CONVECTIVE ELEMENTS COULD MIX DOWN
HIGHER MOMENTUM AIR INTO THE MTN VALLEYS AS THEY TRANSLATE ACROSS
THE WARM SECTOR PORTION OF THE HIGH TERRAIN OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS.
OF EQUAL CONCERN IS THE HEAVY RAIN THREAT...IN LIGHT OF VIRTUALLY
OFF-THE-CHART PWATS...GOOD S/SE UPSLOPE FLOW IN THE LOWEST 5
KFT...AND THE POTENTIAL FOR CONVECTION TO ENHANCE RAINFALL RATES
LOCALLY. UPSLOPE SHOWERS HAVE ALREADY PRODUCED 0.5-1.5 INCHES OF
RAIN ACROSS THE BLUE RIDGE...WITH ANOTHER 1-2 INCHES TO COME...AND
AS MUCH AS 3 ADDITIONAL INCHES POSSIBLE NEAR THE SOUTHERN ESCARPMENT
IN NC. CONVECTION ALSO ADDS A BIT OF A WILD CARD TO THE SCENARIO...
SO OPTED TO ISSUE A FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR THE BLUE RIDGE IN
NC...FROM TRANSYLVANIA COUNTY NORTHEAST TO AVERY/CALDWELL MTNS.

THE FRONTAL BAND IS MOVING EAST WITH A BIT MORE MOMENTUM THAN
ADVERTISED BY 00Z GUIDANCE. IN FACT...IT WILL LIKELY BE RAINING
ACROSS ROUGHLY THE WESTERN 2/3 OF THE FORECAST AREA BY SUNRISE. THE
LATEST MESOSCALE/CONVECTION ALLOWING MODEL OUTPUT ACTUALLY BLAST THE
FRONTAL BAND THROUGH THE AREA...PUSHING IT EAST OF I-77 BY 00Z. THIS
MAY BE A BIT TOO FAST...BUT IT DOES CALL INTO QUESTION HOW MUCH
HEATING/BUOYANCY WILL BE REALIZED LATER TODAY...DESPITE NAM/GFS
DEPICTION OF AROUND 500 J/KG SBCAPE ACROSS THE PIEDMONT THIS
AFTERNOON. PER THE NAM AND THE GFS...THE SEVERE HAZARDS IN
ENVIRONMENTS WITH REDUCED BUOYANCY (SHERB) EXPERIMENTAL PARAMETER IS
AT NEARLY THE OPTIMAL VALUE FOR IDENTIFYING POTENTIALLY SIGNIFICANT
SEVERE HIGH SHEAR/LOW CAPE ENVIRONMENTS. INDEED...IF WE ARE ABLE TO
REALIZE AS MUCH INSTABILITY AS DEPICTED IN THE LATEST GUIDANCE...
GIVEN THE HIGH DEGREE OF SHEAR...AN ORGANIZED SEVERE CONVECTIVE
THREAT WILL EXIST...WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE
WINDS/ DOWNWARD MOMENTUM FLUX AND ISOLATED TORNADOES. THE HIGHEST
RISK FOR SUCH WILL BE EAST OF THE I-85 CORRIDOR...FROM LATE MORNING
ON.

NEEDLESS TO SAY...ALL LOCALES RECEIVE A 100 POP FOR TODAY... WITH
POPS RAMPING DOWN SOMEWHAT QUICKLY THIS EVENING. THE NAM IS SLOWER
WITH MOVING THE PRECIP EAST THIS EVENING THAN THE OTHER OPERATIONAL
MODELS...AS IT TENDS TO DEVELOP A WEAK SURFACE LOW ACROSS THE
PIEDMONT...QUITE A BIT FARTHER INLAND THAN THE OTHER MODELS. BUT
AGAIN EVEN THE 06Z NAM IS BEHIND THE CURVE IN BEING MUCH TOO SLOW TO
MOVE THE FRONTAL BAND INTO THE FORECAST AREA THIS MORNING. THEREFORE
LEANED THE FORECAST TOWARD THE FASTER SOLUTIONS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 200 AM EST WEDNESDAY...THE SHORT TERM PERIOD INITIALIZES
ON THURSDAY MORNING AS THE UPPER PATTERN FEATURES A NEARLY FULL
LATITUDE UPPER TROF SLIDING ACROSS THE PLAINS STATES...WHILE
BROAD/COOL HIGH PRESSURE SPILLS ACROSS THE MS RIVER VALLEY.
CLOSER TO HOME...AN OLD COLD FRONTAL AXIS STALLED ALONG THE ATLANTIC
COAST WILL PROVIDE A FOCUS SHOWERS AS MODELS FAVOR A SERIES OF
WEAK WAVES TRAVERSING THE BOUNDARY THROUGH THE DAY ON THURSDAY.
THE PRIMARY IMPACTS FROM SAID ACTIVITY WILL LIKELY REMAIN EAST
OF THE FCST AREA...HOWEVER WILL KEEP POPS IN THE CHANCE RANGE
SOUTH/EAST OF I85/I77 RESPECTIVELY.

BEYOND THAT...THE ABOVE MENTIONED UPPER TROF AXIS AND EMBEDDED
SHORT WAVE WILL SLIDE THROUGH THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS INTO
FRIDAY MORNING EFFECTIVELY PUSHING THE STALLED FRONT OUT TO
SEA.  AS A RESULT...THE FCST WILL DRY OUT AS THE HIGH PRESSURE
INTRUDES AT THE SURFACE BENEATH SHORTWAVE RIDGING ALOFT ON FRIDAY.
MEANWHILE...ANOTHER H5 SHORTWAVE IS PROGGED TO DIG ACROSS SOUTHERN
PLAINS INTO SATURDAY MORNING WITH A REGION OF SURFACE CYCLOGENESIS
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP IN THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO...POTENTIALLY
SETTING UP AN ACTIVE PATTERN FOR THE START OF THE NEW WORK WEEK.
TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE PERIOD WILL BE GENERALLY A FEW DEGREES
BELOW NORMAL.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT IS HAD BTW THE OP MODELS AND ENS MEANS WITH
THE OVERALL SYNOPTIC PATTERN THROUGHOUT MOST OF THE EXT PERIOD.
HEMISPHERIC CHARTS SHOW A TIGHT HEIGHT GRADIENT ACROSS THE NRN ATL
WITH LITTLE MERIDIONAL BLOCKING POTENTIAL...THUS EXPECT PROGRESSIVE
SYSTEMS TO PERSIST ACROSS THE SE/RN CONUS.

FLAT RIDGING WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA SAT WITH WEAK AND DRY SFC
HIGH PRESSURE TRANSITIONING OFF THE ATL COAST. CLOUD COVER INCREASES
IN THE AFTERNOON AS DIFL FLOW ALOFT INCREASES AHEAD OF A DIGGING
S/W. SO...WILL EXPECT NOMINAL WARMING WITH HIGHS RIGHT AROUND
NORMAL. THE PATTERN BEGINS TO CHANGE SAT NIGHT AS A COASTAL LOW
DEVELOPS AND REMAINS OFF THE CAROLINA COAST THROUGH THE DAY SUN.
WITH THE PLACEMENT OF THE UPPER TROF...THE COASTAL LOW SHOULD
MAINTAIN CLOSELY WRAPPED PRECIP AND TRACK FAR ENUF EAST FOR LITTLE
IN THE WAY OF POP CONCERNS FOR THE FA. THIS COULD CHANGE ACROSS THE
ERN ZONES AS WE NEAR THE EVENT AND THICKNESSES WOULD SUPPORT A -SN
OR A MIXED P/TYPE SITUATION SUN NIGHT.

MONDAY SHOULD REMAIN MOSTLY DRY ACROSS THE CWFA WITH THE NEXT S/W
DIVING INTO THE BASE OF THE MEAN TROF MON NIGHT THROUGH THE PERIOD.
THE MODELS CONTINUE TO SUPPORT THE REINFORCING CP AIRMASS IDEA AND
THIS WILL SET THE STAGE FOR WINTRY PRECIP BEGINNING ACROSS THE MTNS
LATE MON INTO TUE. WITH STRONG DYNO OMEGA CROSSING AND JUST ENUF LOW
TO MID LEVEL MOISTURE...SNOW SHOWERS COULD BREAK HIGH TERRAIN
CONTAINMENT INTO THE NC/SC PIEDMONT. TOO EARLY TO SPECULATE ON
ACCUMS...BUT THE EVENT LOOKS PROGRESSIVE AND LOW END OUTSIDE THE
MTNS.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AT KCLT AND ELSEWHERE...RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO OVERSPREAD THE AREA
THROUGH THE MORNING. THERE WILL ALSO BE SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS...
AND TEMPOS HAVE BEEN INCLUDED FOR TSRA AT ALL SITES (EXCEPT KHKY
WHERE THE AIR MASS IS MORE STABLE)...THIS MORNING AT THE UPSTATE SC
TERMINALS AND KAVL...AND FROM 16Z-20Z AT KCLT. WINDS WILL REMAIN
S/SE AT 10-15 KTS...WITH OCCL GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 20 KTS POSSIBLE.
SOME WESTERLY GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 20 KTS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN
ASSOCIATION WITH THUNDERSTORMS. OTHERWISE...CIGS ARE EXPECTED TO
REMAIN IFR OR LOW MVFR AT ALL TERMINALS THIS AM...WITH VISBY FALLING
TO 2-3SM IN MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL. RAIN WILL BEGIN TO TAPER OFF
DURING THE AFTERNOON. CIGS WILL REMAIN IFR/MVFR THROUGH LATE
AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING...IMPROVING TO VFR THEREAFTER. WINDS WILL
TURN TO LIGHT NW BEHIND A COLD FRONT THIS EVENING. WITH THE LIGHT
WINDS...LINGERING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE COULD RESULT IN SOME FOG
DEVELOPMENT AFTER MIDNIGHT...BUT HAVE HELD OFF ON ADVERTISING THIS
FOR NOW.

OUTLOOK...IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT...LARGE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD
ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH THE WEEKEND...PROVIDING UNRESTRICTED
CONDITIONS.

CONFIDENCE TABLE...

            12-18Z        18-24Z        00-06Z        06-12Z
KCLT       HIGH  97%     HIGH  94%     MED   75%     MED   72%
KGSP       HIGH  96%     MED   76%     HIGH  85%     HIGH  87%
KAVL       HIGH  98%     MED   62%     HIGH 100%     HIGH  81%
KHKY       HIGH  91%     MED   79%     MED   66%     MED   77%
KGMU       HIGH  95%     MED   76%     HIGH  94%     HIGH  90%
KAND       HIGH  96%     HIGH  83%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%

THE PERCENTAGE REFLECTS THE NUMBER OF GUIDANCE MEMBERS AGREEING
WITH THE SCHEDULE TAF ISSUANCE FLIGHT RULE CATEGORY. COMPLETE HOURLY
EXPERIMENTAL AVIATION FORECAST CONSISTENCY TABLES AND ENSEMBLE
FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE AT THE FOLLOWING LINK:

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GSP/AVIATION

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...NONE.
NC...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR NCZ033-049-050-053-
     064-065-501-503-505-507-509.
     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING FOR NCZ033-048>052-
     058-059-062>064.
SC...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...SBK
NEAR TERM...JDL
SHORT TERM...CDG
LONG TERM...SBK
AVIATION...JDL

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
441 AM EST WED FEB 3 2016

NCZ048-051-052-058-059-062-063-040945-
MADISON-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-
441 AM EST WED FEB 3 2016

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING ABOVE
3500 FEET...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.

IN ADDITION TO THE STRONG HIGH ELEVATION WINDS...A LINE OF HEAVY
RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE
MOUNTAINS THIS MORNING. THESE HEAVY RAIN SHOWERS COULD BRING SOME
OF THE HIGH WINDS ALOFT DOWN TO THE VALLEY FLOORS...POSSIBLY
RESULTING IN LOCALIZED WIND DAMAGE. ALSO...TOTAL RAINFALL OF UP
TO 3 INCHES IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS THROUGH THE END OF
THE DAY. THIS COULD RESULT IN LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO FORWARD ANY REPORTS OF DAMAGING
WINDS OR FLASH FLOODING TO OUR OFFICE.

NCZ033-049-050-053-064-505-040945-
AVERY-YANCEY-MITCHELL-BUNCOMBE-TRANSYLVANIA-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-
441 AM EST WED FEB 3 2016

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING ABOVE
3500 FEET...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.
   WIND ADVISORY.

IN ADDITION TO THE STRONG HIGH ELEVATION WINDS...A LINE OF HEAVY
RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE
MOUNTAINS THIS MORNING. THESE HEAVY RAIN SHOWERS COULD BRING SOME
OF THE HIGH WINDS ALOFT DOWN TO THE VALLEY FLOORS...POSSIBLY
RESULTING IN LOCALIZED WIND DAMAGE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO FORWARD ANY REPORTS OF DAMAGING
WINDS OR FLASH FLOODING TO OUR OFFICE.

NCZ065-501-503-507-509-040945-
HENDERSON-CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-BURKE MOUNTAINS-RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-
POLK MOUNTAINS-
441 AM EST WED FEB 3 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

IN ADDITION TO THE STRONG HIGH ELEVATION WINDS...A LINE OF HEAVY
RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE
MOUNTAINS THIS MORNING. THESE HEAVY RAIN SHOWERS COULD BRING SOME
OF THE HIGH WINDS ALOFT DOWN TO THE VALLEY FLOORS...POSSIBLY
RESULTING IN LOCALIZED WIND DAMAGE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO FORWARD ANY REPORTS OF DAMAGING
WINDS OR FLASH FLOODING TO OUR OFFICE.

GAZ010-040945-
RABUN-
441 AM EST WED FEB 3 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

A LINE OF HEAVY RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE
ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS THIS MORNING. THESE HEAVY RAIN SHOWERS COULD
BRING SOME OF THE HIGH WINDS ALOFT DOWN TO THE VALLEY
FLOORS...POSSIBLY RESULTING IN LOCALIZED WIND DAMAGE. ALSO...TOTAL
RAINFALL OF UP TO 3 INCHES IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS
THROUGH THE END OF THE DAY. THIS COULD RESULT IN LOCALIZED FLASH
FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO FORWARD ANY REPORTS OF DAMAGING
OR FLASH FLOODING TO OUR OFFICE.

GAZ017-018-026-028-029-NCZ035>037-056-057-068>072-082-502-504-506-
508-510-SCZ001>014-019-040945-
HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-ALEXANDER-IREDELL-DAVIE-
CATAWBA-ROWAN-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION-
GREATER CALDWELL-GREATER BURKE-EASTERN MCDOWELL-GREATER RUTHERFORD-
EASTERN POLK-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-
GREATER OCONEE-GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-
CHEROKEE-YORK-ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-CHESTER-GREENWOOD-
441 AM EST WED FEB 3 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA...PIEDMONT
NORTH CAROLINA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO
MOVE ACROSS THE WESTERN CAROLINAS AND NORTHEAST GEORGIA TODAY. THE
LINE OF STORMS IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO NORTHEAST GEORGIA AND
UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA BY MID-MORNING...THEN PROGRESS EAST ACROSS
THE WESTERN CAROLINAS THROUGHOUT THE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. STRONG
WIND SHEAR AND WEAK INSTABILITY WILL COMBINE TO PRODUCE A THREAT
FOR ISOLATED SEVERE WEATHER IN THIS LINE OF STORMS...WITH DAMAGING
WINDS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES BEING THE PRIMARY THREATS. THE
HIGHEST RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL EXIST ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE
I-85 CORRIDOR...ESPECIALLY FROM LATE MORNING ON. HOWEVER...SEVERE
WEATHER CANNOT BE RULED OUT ANYWHERE.

IN ADDITION TO THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT... LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL COULD RESULT IN FLOODING OF URBANIZED AREAS AND
SMALL...FLOOD PRONE STREAMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO FORWARD ANY REPORTS OF DAMAGING
WINDS...TORNADOES OR FLASH FLOODING TO OUR OFFICE.

LANE

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
632 AM EST WED FEB 3 2016

NCZ051-052-058-059-062-031230-
HAYWOOD NC-NORTHERN JACKSON NC-SWAIN NC-GRAHAM NC-MACON NC-
632 AM EST WED FEB 3 2016

...LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF NORTHWESTERN
JACKSON...SWAIN...GRAHAM...NORTHWESTERN HAYWOOD AND MACON COUNTIES
UNTIL 730 AM EST...

AT 631 AM EST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THE LEADING EDGE OF A LINE OF
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 11 MILES SOUTH OF
SEVIERVILLE TO 5 MILES SOUTHWEST OF MURPHY...AND MOVING EAST AT 50
MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
FRANKLIN...SYLVA...BRYSON CITY...ROBBINSVILLE...CHEROKEE...WEBSTER...
DILLSBORO...TOWN OF SANTEETLAH...LAKE SANTEETLAH AND FONTANA VILLAGE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL MAY FLOOD AREAS WITH POOR DRAINAGE...SUCH AS
DITCHES AND UNDERPASSES. AVOID THESE AREAS AND DO NOT CROSS FLOODED
ROADS. WATER LEVELS OF SMALL STREAMS AND RIVERS MAY ALSO RISE
RAPIDLY. SEEK HIGHER GROUND IF THREATENED BY FLOOD WATERS.

&&

LAT...LON 3541 8402 3552 8388 3556 8377 3556 8350
      3566 8335 3566 8330 3572 8325 3576 8316
      3579 8296 3574 8295 3499 8343 3500 8352
      3515 8365 3515 8374 3523 8369 3526 8371
      3525 8385 3522 8396 3523 8400 3531 8404
TIME...MOT...LOC 1131Z 264DEG 44KT 3572 8363 3502 8407

CDG

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
700 AM EST WED FEB 3 2016

GAZ010-017-031245-
RABUN GA-HABERSHAM GA-
700 AM EST WED FEB 3 2016

...LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF HABERSHAM AND
RABUN COUNTIES UNTIL 745 AM EST...

AT 659 AM EST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THE LEADING EDGE OF A LINE OF
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 8 MILES NORTHEAST OF
HIAWASSEE TO NEAR GAINESVILLE...AND MOVING EAST AT 45 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
CLAYTON...CLARKESVILLE...CORNELIA...BALDWIN...DEMOREST...MOUNT
AIRY...ALTO...MOUNTAIN CITY...TIGER AND DILLARD.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL MAY FLOOD AREAS WITH POOR DRAINAGE...SUCH AS
DITCHES AND UNDERPASSES. AVOID THESE AREAS AND DO NOT CROSS FLOODED
ROADS. WATER LEVELS OF SMALL STREAMS AND RIVERS MAY ALSO RISE
RAPIDLY. SEEK HIGHER GROUND IF THREATENED BY FLOOD WATERS.

&&

LAT...LON 3491 8363 3495 8355 3499 8355 3500 8310
      3499 8310 3494 8311 3488 8324 3482 8327
      3479 8332 3473 8335 3469 8334 3467 8337
      3449 8346 3449 8354 3443 8362 3450 8367
      3454 8362 3465 8366 3474 8362 3480 8368
TIME...MOT...LOC 1159Z 267DEG 52KT 3503 8364 3433 8380

CDG

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
733 AM EST WED FEB 3 2016

GAZ010-017-018-026-NCZ062-063-SCZ001-031330-
FRANKLIN GA-STEPHENS GA-RABUN GA-HABERSHAM GA-SOUTHERN JACKSON NC-
MACON NC-OCONEE MOUNTAINS SC-
733 AM EST WED FEB 3 2016

...LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF STEPHENS...
HABERSHAM...WESTERN FRANKLIN...RABUN...SOUTHEASTERN JACKSON...
SOUTHERN MACON AND WESTERN OCONEE COUNTIES UNTIL 830 AM EST...

AT 731 AM EST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THE LEADING EDGE OF A LINE OF
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 7 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
FRANKLIN TO 9 MILES SOUTH OF CLEVELAND...AND MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
TOCCOA...CLAYTON...CLARKESVILLE...CORNELIA...BALDWIN...DEMOREST...
MOUNT AIRY...HIGHLANDS...ALTO AND MOUNTAIN CITY.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL MAY FLOOD AREAS WITH POOR DRAINAGE...SUCH AS
DITCHES AND UNDERPASSES. AVOID THESE AREAS AND DO NOT CROSS FLOODED
ROADS. WATER LEVELS OF SMALL STREAMS AND RIVERS MAY ALSO RISE
RAPIDLY. SEEK HIGHER GROUND IF THREATENED BY FLOOD WATERS.

&&

LAT...LON 3446 8340 3449 8354 3443 8362 3450 8367
      3454 8362 3465 8366 3473 8362 3480 8368
      3488 8366 3495 8355 3499 8355 3500 8348
      3500 8352 3512 8362 3526 8292 3519 8299
      3513 8298 3505 8306 3503 8299 3423 8335
TIME...MOT...LOC 1231Z 272DEG 25KT 3509 8346 3446 8373

CDG