River Flood Warning 1, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

117 
WGUS42 KGSP 031850
FLWGSP

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
150 PM EST WED FEB 3 2016

In North Carolina...
...Forecast flooding changed from Minor to Moderate severity for the 
following rivers in North Carolina...
  
  French Broad River At Blantyre affecting Henderson and Transylvania
  Counties

.Runoff from heavy rain will cause the river to rise above flood 
stage. Remember...river stage forecasts are based on observed and 
forecasted rainfall. If actual rainfall varies from the forecast 
values...the river stage will vary accordingly.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas. Remember...night time makes 
it difficult to recognize flooded areas.

The latest stages and forecasts for rivers can be found on our web 
page at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=gsp

 Please report high water...flooding and landslides to the National 
Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg by calling toll free...1...8 0
0...2 6 7...8 1 0 1...or by posting on our Facebook page...or tweet 
it using hashtag nwsgsp. Your message should describe the event and 
the specific location where it occurred.

&&

NCC089-175-041850-
/O.EXT.KGSP.FL.W.0001.160203T1939Z-160206T0840Z/
/BLAN7.2.ER.160203T1939Z.160204T1200Z.160205T2040Z.NO/
150 PM EST WED FEB 3 2016

...Forecast flooding increased from Minor to Moderate severity...
The Flood Warning continues for 
 The French Broad River At Blantyre.
* until late Friday evening...or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 1:30 PM Wednesday the stage was 15.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...the river is expected to rise above flood stage this afternoon 
  and continue to rise to near 20.5 feet by Thursday morning. The river will 
  fall below flood stage by Friday afternoon.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet...The river overtops the railroad tracks and 
  will start to flood highway 64. A trailer park on river ridge road 
  will be affected and buildings north of grove bridge road will 
  likely flood.

&&

LAT...LON 3538 8257 3537 8250 3529 8254 3521 8267
      3526 8274 3534 8261             

$$
JPT

327 
WGUS82 KGSP 040058
FLSGSP

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
758 PM EST WED FEB 3 2016

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers
in North Carolina...


  French Broad River At Blantyre affecting Henderson and Transylvania 
  Counties.

 
 
.Runoff from previous heavy rain will result in the river remaining 
above flood stage.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

The latest stages and forecasts for rivers can be found on our web 
page at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=gsp

 Please report high water...flooding and landslides to the National 
Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg by calling toll free...1...8 0
0...2 6 7...8 1 0 1...or by posting on our Facebook page...or tweet 
it using hashtag nwsgsp. Your message should describe the event and 
the specific location where it occurred.

&&

NCC089-175-050057-
/O.EXT.KGSP.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-160206T0524Z/
/BLAN7.1.ER.160203T2055Z.160204T1800Z.160205T1724Z.NO/
758 PM EST WED FEB 3 2016

The Flood Warning continues for 
 The French Broad River At Blantyre
* Until Friday night.
* At 1930 PM Wednesday the stage was...16.8 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 18.5 feet by early Thursday 
  afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage late Friday.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet...The river overtops the railroad tracks near  
  Fodderstack Mountain Road and River Ridge Road.  Flooding of most 
  areas between the river and the railroad tracks will continue.

&&

LAT...LON 3538 8257 3537 8250 3529 8254 3521 8267
      3526 8274 3534 8261             

$$

OUTLAW

861 
WGUS82 KGSP 040404
FLSGSP

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1104 PM EST WED FEB 3 2016

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers
in North Carolina...

  French Broad River At Blantyre affecting Henderson and Transylvania 
  Counties.

  
.Runoff from previous heavy rain will result in the river remaining 
above flood stage.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

The latest stages and forecasts for rivers can be found on our web 
page at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=gsp

 Please report high water...flooding and landslides to the National 
Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg by calling toll free...1...8 0
0...2 6 7...8 1 0 1...or by posting on our Facebook page...or tweet 
it using hashtag nwsgsp. Your message should describe the event and 
the specific location where it occurred.

&&

NCC089-175-050404-
/O.CON.KGSP.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-160206T0524Z/
/BLAN7.1.ER.160203T2055Z.160204T1800Z.160205T1724Z.NO/
1104 PM EST WED FEB 3 2016

The Flood Warning continues for 
 The French Broad River At Blantyre
* Until Friday night.
* At 2245 PM Wednesday the stage was...17.4 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* The river will continue rising to near 18.5 feet by early Thursday 
  afternoon. The river will fall below flood stage late Friday.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet...Minor Flooding of the French Broad River 
  will continue. The river will overtop the railroad tracks near 
  Fodderstack Mountain Road and River Ridge Road. Flooding of most of
  areas between the river and the railroad tracks will continue.

&&

LAT...LON 3538 8257 3537 8250 3529 8254 3521 8267
      3526 8274 3534 8261             

$$

OUTLAW

677 
WGUS82 KGSP 041615
FLSGSP

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
1115 AM EST THU FEB 4 2016

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers
in North Carolina...


  French Broad River At Blantyre affecting Henderson and Transylvania 
  Counties.

 
.Runoff from previous heavy rain will result in the river remaining 
above flood stage.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

The latest stages and forecasts for rivers can be found on our web 
page at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=gsp

 Please report high water...flooding and landslides to the National 
Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg by calling toll free...1...8 0
0...2 6 7...8 1 0 1...or by posting on our Facebook page...or tweet 
it using hashtag nwsgsp. Your message should describe the event and 
the specific location where it occurred.

&&

NCC089-175-051615-
/O.EXT.KGSP.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-160206T0600Z/
/BLAN7.1.ER.160203T2055Z.160204T1800Z.160205T1800Z.NO/
1115 AM EST THU FEB 4 2016

The Flood Warning continues for 
 The French Broad River At Blantyre
* Until Friday night.
* At 1100 AM Thursday the stage was...18.1 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* The river is cresting and will remain around 18.2 feet this 
  afternoon. The river will fall tonight and Friday while going 
  below flood stage Friday night.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet...Minor Flooding of the French Broad River 
  will continue. The river will overtop the railroad tracks near 
  Fodderstack Mountain Road and River Ridge Road. Flooding of most of
  areas between the river and the railroad tracks will continue.

&&

LAT...LON 3538 8257 3537 8250 3529 8254 3521 8267
      3526 8274 3534 8261             

$$

OUTLAW

219 
WGUS82 KGSP 042049
FLSGSP

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
349 PM EST THU FEB 4 2016

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers
in North Carolina...


  French Broad River At Blantyre affecting Henderson and Transylvania 
  Counties.

  
.Runoff from previous heavy rain will result in the river remaining 
above flood stage.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

The latest stages and forecasts for rivers can be found on our web 
page at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=gsp

 Please report high water...flooding and landslides to the National 
Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg by calling toll free...1...8 0
0...2 6 7...8 1 0 1...or by posting on our Facebook page...or tweet 
it using hashtag nwsgsp. Your message should describe the event and 
the specific location where it occurred.

&&

NCC089-175-052049-
/O.EXT.KGSP.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-160206T1612Z/
/BLAN7.1.ER.160203T2055Z.160205T0000Z.160206T0412Z.NO/
349 PM EST THU FEB 4 2016

The Flood Warning continues for 
 The French Broad River At Blantyre
* Until Saturday morning.
* At 1530 PM Thursday the stage was...18.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* The river is forecast to reach a crest of 18.8 feet this evening 
  and then gradually fall through Friday night going below flood 
  stage Saturday morning.  
* Impact...At 18.0 feet...Minor Flooding of the French Broad River 
  will continue. The river will overtop the railroad tracks near 
  Fodderstack Mountain Road and River Ridge Road. Flooding of most of
  areas between the river and the railroad tracks will continue.

&&

LAT...LON 3538 8257 3537 8250 3529 8254 3521 8267
      3526 8274 3534 8261             

$$

OUTLAW

070 
WGUS82 KGSP 050042
FLSGSP

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
742 PM EST THU FEB 4 2016

...The Flood Warning continues for the FRENCH BROAD RIVER 
in North Carolina...

  ...At BLANTYRE affecting Henderson and Transylvania Counties.

The river is nearing crest...however...runoff from recent heavy 
rains will result in the river remaining above flood stage through 
Saturday morning.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

The latest stages and forecasts for rivers can be found on our web 
page at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=gsp

Please report impacts from the ongoing river flooding...including 
road closures...water over roadways...flooding of homes...
businesses...or other structures to the National Weather Service 
Greenville-Spartanburg by calling toll free...1...8 0 0...2 6 7...
8 1 0 1. Please provide specific information in your message...
including any nearby intersections or other landmarks. Your report 
will help us improve our flood stages and impact statements for 
future warnings.

&&

NCC089-175-060042-
/O.EXT.KGSP.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-160207T0325Z/
/BLAN7.1.ER.160203T2055Z.160205T0600Z.160206T1525Z.NO/
742 PM EST THU FEB 4 2016

The Flood Warning continues for 
 The FRENCH BROAD RIVER at BLANTYRE
* Until Saturday evening
* At 1915 PM Thursday the stage was...18.6 feet and nearing crest.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast 
  through Saturday morning.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet
* Impact...At 18.0 feet...Minor Flooding of the French Broad River 
  will continue. The river will overtop the railroad tracks near 
  Fodderstack Mountain Road and River Ridge Road. Flooding of most of
  areas between the river and the railroad tracks will continue.

&&

LAT...LON 3538 8257 3537 8250 3529 8254 3521 8267
      3526 8274 3534 8261             

$$

JMP

578 
WGUS82 KGSP 051250
FLSGSP

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
750 AM EST FRI FEB 5 2016

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers
in North Carolina...

  French Broad River At Blantyre affecting Henderson and Transylvania 
  Counties.

  
.Runoff from previous heavy rain will result in the river remaining 
above flood stage.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

The latest stages and forecasts for rivers can be found on our web 
page at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=gsp

 Please report high water...flooding and landslides to the National 
Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg by calling toll free...1...8 0
0...2 6 7...8 1 0 1...or by posting on our Facebook page...or tweet 
it using hashtag nwsgsp. Your message should describe the event and 
the specific location where it occurred.

&&

NCC089-175-061250-
/O.CON.KGSP.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-160207T0325Z/
/BLAN7.1.ER.160203T2055Z.160205T0130Z.160206T1525Z.NO/
750 AM EST FRI FEB 5 2016

The Flood Warning continues for 
 The French Broad River At Blantyre
* Until Saturday evening.
* At 730 AM Friday the stage was...18.1 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* The river crested at 18.61 feet at 830 PM Thursday. 
  The river will continue to fall and go below flood stage 
  Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet...Minor Flooding of the French Broad River 
  will continue. The river will overtop the railroad tracks near 
  Fodderstack Mountain Road and River Ridge Road. Flooding of most of
  areas between the river and the railroad tracks will continue.

&&

LAT...LON 3538 8257 3537 8250 3529 8254 3521 8267
      3526 8274 3534 8261             

$$

OUTLAW

427 
WGUS82 KGSP 051850
FLSGSP

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
150 PM EST FRI FEB 5 2016

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers
in North Carolina...


  French Broad River At Blantyre affecting Henderson and Transylvania 
  Counties.

  
.Runoff from previous heavy rain will result in the river remaining 
above flood stage.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

The latest stages and forecasts for rivers can be found on our web 
page at http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=gsp

 Please report high water...flooding and landslides to the National 
Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg by calling toll free...1...8 0
0...2 6 7...8 1 0 1...or by posting on our Facebook page...or tweet 
it using hashtag nwsgsp. Your message should describe the event and 
the specific location where it occurred.

&&

NCC089-175-061850-
/O.EXT.KGSP.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-160206T2125Z/
/BLAN7.1.ER.160203T2055Z.160205T0130Z.160206T0925Z.NO/
150 PM EST FRI FEB 5 2016

The Flood Warning continues for 
 The French Broad River At Blantyre
* Until Saturday.
* At 130 PM Friday the stage was...17.6 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet
* The river will continue to fall to below flood stage on Saturday.
* Impact...At 17.5 feet...Minor flooding on the French Broad River 
  continues.The river will begin to overtop the railroad tracks south
  of Grove Bridge Road. Flooding of most areas between the river and 
  the railroad tracks will continue.

&&

LAT...LON 3538 8257 3537 8250 3529 8254 3521 8267
      3526 8274 3534 8261             

$$

OUTLAW

213 
WGUS82 KGSP 060104
FLSGSP

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
804 PM EST FRI FEB 5 2016

...The Flood Warning continues for the FRENCH BROAD RIVER
in North Carolina...

  ...At BLANTYRE affecting Henderson and Transylvania Counties.

The river continues to recede quickly and will fall below Minor 
Flood Stage overnight tonight...however...the river will 
remain above Action or Bankfull Stage through Saturday morning.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

The latest stages and forecasts this forecast point can be found 
on our web page at:

http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/hydrograph.php?wfo=gsp&gage=blan7

Please report impacts from the ongoing river flooding...including 
road closures...water over roadways...flooding of homes...
businesses...or other structures to the National Weather Service 
Greenville-Spartanburg by calling toll free...1...8 0 0...2 6 7...
8 1 0 1. Please provide specific information in your message...
including any nearby intersections or other landmarks. Your report 
will help us improve our flood stages and impact statements for 
future warnings.

&&

NCC089-175-061851-
/O.EXT.KGSP.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-160206T1851Z/
/BLAN7.1.ER.160203T2055Z.160205T0130Z.160206T0651Z.NO/
804 PM EST FRI FEB 5 2016

The Minor Flood Warning continues for 
The FRENCH BROAD RIVER at BLANTYRE

* Until Saturday afternoon
* At 745 PM Friday the stage was 17.0 feet and falling.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Minor Flood Stage is 16.0 feet.
* The river is receding rapidly and will fall below Minor Flood Stage 
overnight tonight and below Action or Bankfull Stage Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet...The French Broad River reaches Minor Flood 
  Stage. Farmland flooding continues on both sides of the French 
  Broad River.

&&

LAT...LON 3538 8257 3537 8250 3529 8254 3521 8267
      3526 8274 3534 8261             

$$

JMP

939 
WGUS82 KGSP 060855
FLSGSP

FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
355 AM EST SAT FEB 6 2016

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers
in North Carolina...


  French Broad River At Blantyre affecting Henderson and Transylvania 
  Counties.

Runoff from previous heavy rain has worked its way further downstream.
thus...the river will continue to fall slowly. However...the river will
remain above Action or Bankfull Stage through Saturday morning.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

The latest stages and forecasts for rivers can be found on our web 
page at:

http://water.weather.gov/ahps2/index.php?wfo=gsp

Please report high water...flooding and landslides to the National 
Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg by calling toll
free...1...8 0 0...2 6 7...8 1 0 1...or by posting on our Facebook
page...or tweet it using hashtag nwsgsp. Your message should describe
the event and the specific location where it occurred.

&&

NCC089-175-060925-
/O.CAN.KGSP.FL.W.0001.000000T0000Z-160206T1851Z/
/BLAN7.1.ER.160203T2055Z.160205T0130Z.160206T0751Z.NO/
355 AM EST SAT FEB 6 2016

The Flood Advisory is cancelled for
  The French Broad River At Blantyre.
* At 03 AM Saturday the stage was 15.8 feet.
* Bankfull stage is 12.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Forecast...the river crested below flood stage at 18.3 feet. The 
  river will continue to fall to 10.7 feet by Sunday morning.


&&

LAT...LON 3538 8257 3537 8250 3529 8254 3521 8267
      3526 8274 3534 8261             

$$
WIMBERLEY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
658 AM EST WED FEB 3 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA TODAY BRINGING WIDESPREAD SHOWERS
AND SOME THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. IN THE FRONTS
WAKE...DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN AND PERSIST INTO THE WEEKEND.
A MOIST UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL APPROACH THE CAROLINAS EARLY
NEXT WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
AS OF 655 AM...FRONTAL PRECIP BAND IS MOVING INTO THE AREA...WITH
PLENTY OF UPSLOPE/UPGLIDE INDUCED PRECIP AHEAD OF IT. CURRENT TRENDS
OR MORE OR LESS IN LINE WITH THE GOING FORECAST...SO ONLY MINOR
TWEAKS HAVE BEEN MADE TO ACCOUNT FOR TRENDS.

SOME RELATIVELY HEALTHY CONVECTION IS NOTED ACROSS NORTH GA
ATTM...WITHIN AXIS OF (BARELY) POSITIVE SBCAPE. THE LATEST SHORT
TERM GUIDANCE INDICATES THIS CAPE AXIS WILL WEAKEN EVEN FURTHER AS
THE CONVECTIVE BAND MOVES EAST...WHERE IT WILL ENCOUNTER AN AIR MASS
THAT IS COOLER OWING TO RESIDUAL COLD POOL AND PRECEDING UPSLOPE
SHOWERS. NEVERTHELESS...A PROMINENT WARM FRONT/CAD BOUNDARY IS
LOCATED ROUGHLY ALONG THE I-85 CORRIDOR...WHERE SRH IS BEING
ENHANCED ABOVE AND BEYOND THE ALREADY-IMPRESSIVE ENVIRONMENTAL SRH.
SO THE SITUATION WILL BEAR CLOSE MONITORING LATER THIS MORNING.
ADDITIONALLY...WITH VERY STRONG LOW LEVEL JET OF 50-60 KTS
TRANSLATING ACROSS THE AREA...CONVECTIVE ELEMENTS COULD MIX DOWN
HIGHER MOMENTUM AIR INTO THE MTN VALLEYS AS THEY TRANSLATE ACROSS
THE WARM SECTOR PORTION OF THE HIGH TERRAIN OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS.
OF EQUAL CONCERN IS THE HEAVY RAIN THREAT...IN LIGHT OF VIRTUALLY
OFF-THE-CHART PWATS...GOOD S/SE UPSLOPE FLOW IN THE LOWEST 5
KFT...AND THE POTENTIAL FOR CONVECTION TO ENHANCE RAINFALL RATES
LOCALLY. UPSLOPE SHOWERS HAVE ALREADY PRODUCED 0.5-1.5 INCHES OF
RAIN ACROSS THE BLUE RIDGE...WITH ANOTHER 1-2 INCHES TO COME...AND
AS MUCH AS 3 ADDITIONAL INCHES POSSIBLE NEAR THE SOUTHERN ESCARPMENT
IN NC. CONVECTION ALSO ADDS A BIT OF A WILD CARD TO THE SCENARIO...
SO OPTED TO ISSUE A FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR THE BLUE RIDGE IN
NC...FROM TRANSYLVANIA COUNTY NORTHEAST TO AVERY/CALDWELL MTNS.

THE FRONTAL BAND IS MOVING EAST WITH A BIT MORE MOMENTUM THAN
ADVERTISED BY 00Z GUIDANCE. IN FACT...IT WILL LIKELY BE RAINING
ACROSS ROUGHLY THE WESTERN 2/3 OF THE FORECAST AREA BY SUNRISE. THE
LATEST MESOSCALE/CONVECTION ALLOWING MODEL OUTPUT ACTUALLY BLAST THE
FRONTAL BAND THROUGH THE AREA...PUSHING IT EAST OF I-77 BY 00Z. THIS
MAY BE A BIT TOO FAST...BUT IT DOES CALL INTO QUESTION HOW MUCH
HEATING/BUOYANCY WILL BE REALIZED LATER TODAY...DESPITE NAM/GFS
DEPICTION OF AROUND 500 J/KG SBCAPE ACROSS THE PIEDMONT THIS
AFTERNOON. PER THE NAM AND THE GFS...THE SEVERE HAZARDS IN
ENVIRONMENTS WITH REDUCED BUOYANCY (SHERB) EXPERIMENTAL PARAMETER IS
AT NEARLY THE OPTIMAL VALUE FOR IDENTIFYING POTENTIALLY SIGNIFICANT
SEVERE HIGH SHEAR/LOW CAPE ENVIRONMENTS. INDEED...IF WE ARE ABLE TO
REALIZE AS MUCH INSTABILITY AS DEPICTED IN THE LATEST GUIDANCE...
GIVEN THE HIGH DEGREE OF SHEAR...AN ORGANIZED SEVERE CONVECTIVE
THREAT WILL EXIST...WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE
WINDS/ DOWNWARD MOMENTUM FLUX AND ISOLATED TORNADOES. THE HIGHEST
RISK FOR SUCH WILL BE EAST OF THE I-85 CORRIDOR...FROM LATE MORNING
ON.

NEEDLESS TO SAY...ALL LOCALES RECEIVE A 100 POP FOR TODAY... WITH
POPS RAMPING DOWN SOMEWHAT QUICKLY THIS EVENING. THE NAM IS SLOWER
WITH MOVING THE PRECIP EAST THIS EVENING THAN THE OTHER OPERATIONAL
MODELS...AS IT TENDS TO DEVELOP A WEAK SURFACE LOW ACROSS THE
PIEDMONT...QUITE A BIT FARTHER INLAND THAN THE OTHER MODELS. BUT
AGAIN EVEN THE 06Z NAM IS BEHIND THE CURVE IN BEING MUCH TOO SLOW TO
MOVE THE FRONTAL BAND INTO THE FORECAST AREA THIS MORNING. THEREFORE
LEANED THE FORECAST TOWARD THE FASTER SOLUTIONS.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
AS OF 200 AM EST WEDNESDAY...THE SHORT TERM PERIOD INITIALIZES
ON THURSDAY MORNING AS THE UPPER PATTERN FEATURES A NEARLY FULL
LATITUDE UPPER TROF SLIDING ACROSS THE PLAINS STATES...WHILE
BROAD/COOL HIGH PRESSURE SPILLS ACROSS THE MS RIVER VALLEY.
CLOSER TO HOME...AN OLD COLD FRONTAL AXIS STALLED ALONG THE ATLANTIC
COAST WILL PROVIDE A FOCUS SHOWERS AS MODELS FAVOR A SERIES OF
WEAK WAVES TRAVERSING THE BOUNDARY THROUGH THE DAY ON THURSDAY.
THE PRIMARY IMPACTS FROM SAID ACTIVITY WILL LIKELY REMAIN EAST
OF THE FCST AREA...HOWEVER WILL KEEP POPS IN THE CHANCE RANGE
SOUTH/EAST OF I85/I77 RESPECTIVELY.

BEYOND THAT...THE ABOVE MENTIONED UPPER TROF AXIS AND EMBEDDED
SHORT WAVE WILL SLIDE THROUGH THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS INTO
FRIDAY MORNING EFFECTIVELY PUSHING THE STALLED FRONT OUT TO
SEA.  AS A RESULT...THE FCST WILL DRY OUT AS THE HIGH PRESSURE
INTRUDES AT THE SURFACE BENEATH SHORTWAVE RIDGING ALOFT ON FRIDAY.
MEANWHILE...ANOTHER H5 SHORTWAVE IS PROGGED TO DIG ACROSS SOUTHERN
PLAINS INTO SATURDAY MORNING WITH A REGION OF SURFACE CYCLOGENESIS
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP IN THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO...POTENTIALLY
SETTING UP AN ACTIVE PATTERN FOR THE START OF THE NEW WORK WEEK.
TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE PERIOD WILL BE GENERALLY A FEW DEGREES
BELOW NORMAL.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT IS HAD BTW THE OP MODELS AND ENS MEANS WITH
THE OVERALL SYNOPTIC PATTERN THROUGHOUT MOST OF THE EXT PERIOD.
HEMISPHERIC CHARTS SHOW A TIGHT HEIGHT GRADIENT ACROSS THE NRN ATL
WITH LITTLE MERIDIONAL BLOCKING POTENTIAL...THUS EXPECT PROGRESSIVE
SYSTEMS TO PERSIST ACROSS THE SE/RN CONUS.

FLAT RIDGING WILL REMAIN OVER THE AREA SAT WITH WEAK AND DRY SFC
HIGH PRESSURE TRANSITIONING OFF THE ATL COAST. CLOUD COVER INCREASES
IN THE AFTERNOON AS DIFL FLOW ALOFT INCREASES AHEAD OF A DIGGING
S/W. SO...WILL EXPECT NOMINAL WARMING WITH HIGHS RIGHT AROUND
NORMAL. THE PATTERN BEGINS TO CHANGE SAT NIGHT AS A COASTAL LOW
DEVELOPS AND REMAINS OFF THE CAROLINA COAST THROUGH THE DAY SUN.
WITH THE PLACEMENT OF THE UPPER TROF...THE COASTAL LOW SHOULD
MAINTAIN CLOSELY WRAPPED PRECIP AND TRACK FAR ENUF EAST FOR LITTLE
IN THE WAY OF POP CONCERNS FOR THE FA. THIS COULD CHANGE ACROSS THE
ERN ZONES AS WE NEAR THE EVENT AND THICKNESSES WOULD SUPPORT A -SN
OR A MIXED P/TYPE SITUATION SUN NIGHT.

MONDAY SHOULD REMAIN MOSTLY DRY ACROSS THE CWFA WITH THE NEXT S/W
DIVING INTO THE BASE OF THE MEAN TROF MON NIGHT THROUGH THE PERIOD.
THE MODELS CONTINUE TO SUPPORT THE REINFORCING CP AIRMASS IDEA AND
THIS WILL SET THE STAGE FOR WINTRY PRECIP BEGINNING ACROSS THE MTNS
LATE MON INTO TUE. WITH STRONG DYNO OMEGA CROSSING AND JUST ENUF LOW
TO MID LEVEL MOISTURE...SNOW SHOWERS COULD BREAK HIGH TERRAIN
CONTAINMENT INTO THE NC/SC PIEDMONT. TOO EARLY TO SPECULATE ON
ACCUMS...BUT THE EVENT LOOKS PROGRESSIVE AND LOW END OUTSIDE THE
MTNS.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AT KCLT AND ELSEWHERE...RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO OVERSPREAD THE AREA
THROUGH THE MORNING. THERE WILL ALSO BE SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS...
AND TEMPOS HAVE BEEN INCLUDED FOR TSRA AT ALL SITES (EXCEPT KHKY
WHERE THE AIR MASS IS MORE STABLE)...THIS MORNING AT THE UPSTATE SC
TERMINALS AND KAVL...AND FROM 16Z-20Z AT KCLT. WINDS WILL REMAIN
S/SE AT 10-15 KTS...WITH OCCL GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 20 KTS POSSIBLE.
SOME WESTERLY GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 20 KTS WILL BE POSSIBLE IN
ASSOCIATION WITH THUNDERSTORMS. OTHERWISE...CIGS ARE EXPECTED TO
REMAIN IFR OR LOW MVFR AT ALL TERMINALS THIS AM...WITH VISBY FALLING
TO 2-3SM IN MODERATE TO HEAVY RAINFALL. RAIN WILL BEGIN TO TAPER OFF
DURING THE AFTERNOON. CIGS WILL REMAIN IFR/MVFR THROUGH LATE
AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING...IMPROVING TO VFR THEREAFTER. WINDS WILL
TURN TO LIGHT NW BEHIND A COLD FRONT THIS EVENING. WITH THE LIGHT
WINDS...LINGERING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE COULD RESULT IN SOME FOG
DEVELOPMENT AFTER MIDNIGHT...BUT HAVE HELD OFF ON ADVERTISING THIS
FOR NOW.

OUTLOOK...IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT...LARGE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD
ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH THE WEEKEND...PROVIDING UNRESTRICTED
CONDITIONS.

CONFIDENCE TABLE...

            12-18Z        18-24Z        00-06Z        06-12Z
KCLT       HIGH  97%     HIGH  94%     MED   75%     MED   72%
KGSP       HIGH  96%     MED   76%     HIGH  85%     HIGH  87%
KAVL       HIGH  98%     MED   62%     HIGH 100%     HIGH  81%
KHKY       HIGH  91%     MED   79%     MED   66%     MED   77%
KGMU       HIGH  95%     MED   76%     HIGH  94%     HIGH  90%
KAND       HIGH  96%     HIGH  83%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%

THE PERCENTAGE REFLECTS THE NUMBER OF GUIDANCE MEMBERS AGREEING
WITH THE SCHEDULE TAF ISSUANCE FLIGHT RULE CATEGORY. COMPLETE HOURLY
EXPERIMENTAL AVIATION FORECAST CONSISTENCY TABLES AND ENSEMBLE
FORECASTS ARE AVAILABLE AT THE FOLLOWING LINK:

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GSP/AVIATION

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...NONE.
NC...FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR NCZ033-049-050-053-
     064-065-501-503-505-507-509.
     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING FOR NCZ033-048>052-
     058-059-062>064.
SC...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...SBK
NEAR TERM...JDL
SHORT TERM...CDG
LONG TERM...SBK
AVIATION...JDL

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
441 AM EST WED FEB 3 2016

NCZ048-051-052-058-059-062-063-040945-
MADISON-SWAIN-HAYWOOD-GRAHAM-NORTHERN JACKSON-MACON-SOUTHERN JACKSON-
441 AM EST WED FEB 3 2016

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING ABOVE
3500 FEET...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   WIND ADVISORY.

IN ADDITION TO THE STRONG HIGH ELEVATION WINDS...A LINE OF HEAVY
RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE
MOUNTAINS THIS MORNING. THESE HEAVY RAIN SHOWERS COULD BRING SOME
OF THE HIGH WINDS ALOFT DOWN TO THE VALLEY FLOORS...POSSIBLY
RESULTING IN LOCALIZED WIND DAMAGE. ALSO...TOTAL RAINFALL OF UP
TO 3 INCHES IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS THROUGH THE END OF
THE DAY. THIS COULD RESULT IN LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO FORWARD ANY REPORTS OF DAMAGING
WINDS OR FLASH FLOODING TO OUR OFFICE.

NCZ033-049-050-053-064-505-040945-
AVERY-YANCEY-MITCHELL-BUNCOMBE-TRANSYLVANIA-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS-
441 AM EST WED FEB 3 2016

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 AM EST THIS MORNING ABOVE
3500 FEET...
...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.
   WIND ADVISORY.

IN ADDITION TO THE STRONG HIGH ELEVATION WINDS...A LINE OF HEAVY
RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE
MOUNTAINS THIS MORNING. THESE HEAVY RAIN SHOWERS COULD BRING SOME
OF THE HIGH WINDS ALOFT DOWN TO THE VALLEY FLOORS...POSSIBLY
RESULTING IN LOCALIZED WIND DAMAGE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO FORWARD ANY REPORTS OF DAMAGING
WINDS OR FLASH FLOODING TO OUR OFFICE.

NCZ065-501-503-507-509-040945-
HENDERSON-CALDWELL MOUNTAINS-BURKE MOUNTAINS-RUTHERFORD MOUNTAINS-
POLK MOUNTAINS-
441 AM EST WED FEB 3 2016

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

PLEASE LISTEN TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR GO TO WEATHER.GOV ON THE
INTERNET FOR MORE INFORMATION ABOUT THE FOLLOWING HAZARDS.

   FLASH FLOOD WATCH.

IN ADDITION TO THE STRONG HIGH ELEVATION WINDS...A LINE OF HEAVY
RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE
MOUNTAINS THIS MORNING. THESE HEAVY RAIN SHOWERS COULD BRING SOME
OF THE HIGH WINDS ALOFT DOWN TO THE VALLEY FLOORS...POSSIBLY
RESULTING IN LOCALIZED WIND DAMAGE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO FORWARD ANY REPORTS OF DAMAGING
WINDS OR FLASH FLOODING TO OUR OFFICE.

GAZ010-040945-
RABUN-
441 AM EST WED FEB 3 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

A LINE OF HEAVY RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE
ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS THIS MORNING. THESE HEAVY RAIN SHOWERS COULD
BRING SOME OF THE HIGH WINDS ALOFT DOWN TO THE VALLEY
FLOORS...POSSIBLY RESULTING IN LOCALIZED WIND DAMAGE. ALSO...TOTAL
RAINFALL OF UP TO 3 INCHES IS EXPECTED ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS
THROUGH THE END OF THE DAY. THIS COULD RESULT IN LOCALIZED FLASH
FLOODING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO FORWARD ANY REPORTS OF DAMAGING
OR FLASH FLOODING TO OUR OFFICE.

GAZ017-018-026-028-029-NCZ035>037-056-057-068>072-082-502-504-506-
508-510-SCZ001>014-019-040945-
HABERSHAM-STEPHENS-FRANKLIN-HART-ELBERT-ALEXANDER-IREDELL-DAVIE-
CATAWBA-ROWAN-CLEVELAND-LINCOLN-GASTON-MECKLENBURG-CABARRUS-UNION-
GREATER CALDWELL-GREATER BURKE-EASTERN MCDOWELL-GREATER RUTHERFORD-
EASTERN POLK-OCONEE MOUNTAINS-PICKENS MOUNTAINS-GREENVILLE MOUNTAINS-
GREATER OCONEE-GREATER PICKENS-GREATER GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG-
CHEROKEE-YORK-ANDERSON-ABBEVILLE-LAURENS-CHESTER-GREENWOOD-
441 AM EST WED FEB 3 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST GEORGIA...PIEDMONT
NORTH CAROLINA...WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO
MOVE ACROSS THE WESTERN CAROLINAS AND NORTHEAST GEORGIA TODAY. THE
LINE OF STORMS IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO NORTHEAST GEORGIA AND
UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA BY MID-MORNING...THEN PROGRESS EAST ACROSS
THE WESTERN CAROLINAS THROUGHOUT THE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. STRONG
WIND SHEAR AND WEAK INSTABILITY WILL COMBINE TO PRODUCE A THREAT
FOR ISOLATED SEVERE WEATHER IN THIS LINE OF STORMS...WITH DAMAGING
WINDS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES BEING THE PRIMARY THREATS. THE
HIGHEST RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL EXIST ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE
I-85 CORRIDOR...ESPECIALLY FROM LATE MORNING ON. HOWEVER...SEVERE
WEATHER CANNOT BE RULED OUT ANYWHERE.

IN ADDITION TO THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT... LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL COULD RESULT IN FLOODING OF URBANIZED AREAS AND
SMALL...FLOOD PRONE STREAMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

..THURSDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..FRIDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SATURDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..SUNDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..MONDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
..TUESDAY...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SKYWARN SPOTTERS ARE REQUESTED TO FORWARD ANY REPORTS OF DAMAGING
WINDS...TORNADOES OR FLASH FLOODING TO OUR OFFICE.

LANE

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
937 AM EST WED FEB 3 2016

NCZ033-501>506-508-031515-
GREATER CALDWELL NC-GREATER BURKE NC-CALDWELL MOUNTAINS NC-AVERY NC-
GREATER RUTHERFORD NC-BURKE MOUNTAINS NC-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS NC-
EASTERN MCDOWELL NC-
937 AM EST WED FEB 3 2016

...LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF CALDWELL...
BURKE...NORTHEASTERN RUTHERFORD...SOUTHEASTERN AVERY AND MCDOWELL
COUNTIES UNTIL 1015 AM EST...

AT 937 AM EST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THE LEADING EDGE OF A LINE OF
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 4 MILES EAST OF
NEWLAND TO 7 MILES NORTHWEST OF RUTHERFORDTON...AND MOVING NORTHEAST
AT 110 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
LENOIR...MORGANTON...MARION...SAWMILLS...GRANITE FALLS...VALDESE...
GAMEWELL...HUDSON...ICARD AND CAJAH'S MOUNTAIN.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE COMBINATION OF GUSTY WINDS AND SATURATED SOIL CONDITIONS WILL
CAUSE SCATTERED TREES AND POWER LINES TO FALL. SEEK SHELTER INSIDE AN
INTERIOR ROOM.

THESE STORMS MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

&&

LAT...LON 3615 8182 3611 8181 3612 8169 3612 8155
      3610 8152 3607 8141 3604 8139 3602 8134
      3600 8133 3577 8135 3557 8153 3556 8166
      3558 8169 3556 8169 3553 8217 3588 8201
      3589 8198 3592 8199 3615 8189
TIME...MOT...LOC 1437Z 220DEG 97KT 3607 8184 3541 8207

NED

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
948 AM EST WED FEB 03 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0943 AM     FLOOD            1 WSW ASHEVILLE         35.57N 82.57W
02/03/2016                   BUNCOMBE           NC   SOCIAL MEDIA

            MEDIA RESPORTS FLOODING ON AMBOY ROAD.

&&

07

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
949 AM EST WED FEB 3 2016

NCZ033-501>506-508-031515-
GREATER CALDWELL NC-GREATER BURKE NC-CALDWELL MOUNTAINS NC-AVERY NC-
GREATER RUTHERFORD NC-BURKE MOUNTAINS NC-MCDOWELL MOUNTAINS NC-
EASTERN MCDOWELL NC-
949 AM EST WED FEB 3 2016

...LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF CALDWELL...
BURKE...NORTHEASTERN RUTHERFORD...SOUTHEASTERN AVERY AND MCDOWELL
COUNTIES UNTIL 1015 AM EST...

AT 937 AM EST...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THE LEADING EDGE OF A LINE OF
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 4 MILES EAST OF
NEWLAND TO 7 MILES NORTHWEST OF RUTHERFORDTON...AND MOVING NORTHEAST
AT 55 MPH.

WIND GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
LENOIR...MORGANTON...MARION...SAWMILLS...GRANITE FALLS...VALDESE...
GAMEWELL...HUDSON...ICARD AND CAJAH'S MOUNTAIN.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE COMBINATION OF GUSTY WINDS AND SATURATED SOIL CONDITIONS WILL
CAUSE SCATTERED TREES AND POWER LINES TO FALL. SEEK SHELTER INSIDE AN
INTERIOR ROOM.

THESE STORMS MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

&&

LAT...LON 3615 8182 3611 8181 3612 8169 3612 8155
      3610 8152 3607 8141 3604 8139 3602 8134
      3600 8133 3577 8135 3557 8153 3556 8166
      3558 8169 3556 8169 3553 8217 3588 8201
      3589 8198 3592 8199 3615 8189
TIME...MOT...LOC 1437Z 220DEG 97KT 3607 8184 3541 8207

NED

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
951 AM EST WED FEB 03 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0943 AM     FLOOD            3 NE ASHEVILLE          35.61N 82.50W
02/03/2016                   BUNCOMBE           NC   SOCIAL MEDIA

            MEDIA REPORTS FLOODING OF BALL FIELDS NEAR NEW HAW CREEK
            ROAD.

&&

07

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
953 AM EST WED FEB 03 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0943 AM     FLOOD            4 ENE ASHEVILLE         35.60N 82.47W
02/03/2016                   BUNCOMBE           NC   SOCIAL MEDIA

            FLOODING OF LOWER GRASSY CREEK ROAD.

&&

07

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
955 AM EST WED FEB 03 2016

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0943 AM     FLOOD            3 ENE ASHEVILLE         35.59N 82.50W
02/03/2016                   BUNCOMBE           NC   SOCIAL MEDIA

            FLOODING OF TUNNEL ROAD.

&&

07