Gale Warning 12, NWS Fairbanks, AK

Issued

Jan 11, 2016, 3:44 PM AKST (00:44 UTC)

Expired

Jan 12, 2016, 3:15 AM AKST

In force

12 hr

Issued by

NWS Fairbanks, AK

340 
FZAK51 PAFG 120044
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
344 PM AKST MON JAN 11 2016

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-121215-
344 PM AKST MON JAN 11 2016

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A STRONG RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF THE ARCTIC COAST WILL
SLOWLY MOVE SOUTH AND EAST THROUGH WED. A 976 MB LOW IN THE
NORTHWEST BERING SEA WILL WEAKEN THROUGH TUE. A 986 MB LOW OVER
THE ALASKA PENINSULA WILL MOVE TO THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA AS A 983 MB
LOW BY TUESDAY MORNING AND TO 150 NM SOUTHEAST OF ST LAWRENCE
ISLAND AS A 983 MB LOW BY WEDNESDAY EVENING.

$$

PKZ225-121215-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
344 PM AKST MON JAN 11 2016

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 45 KT. 
.TUE...NE WINDS 40 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WINDS 35 KT. 
.WED...NE WINDS 30 KT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WINDS 30 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 30 KT. 
.SAT...NE WINDS 30 KT.  

$$

PKZ230-121215-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
344 PM AKST MON JAN 11 2016

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 30 KT. FOG.
.TUE...NE WINDS 25 KT. FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WINDS 30 KT. FOG.
.WED...E WINDS 30 KT. FOG.
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 25 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI...E WINDS 30 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 30 KT.  

$$

PKZ235-121215-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
344 PM AKST MON JAN 11 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. FOG.
.TUE...NE WINDS 20 KT. FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. FOG.
.WED...NE WINDS 20 KT. FOG.
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...NE WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ240-121215-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
344 PM AKST MON JAN 11 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. FOG.
.TUE...NE WINDS 15 KT. FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. FOG.
.WED...NE WINDS 15 KT. FOG.
.WED NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...NE WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ245-121215-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
344 PM AKST MON JAN 11 2016

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. FOG.
.TUE...E WINDS 15 KT. FOG.
.TUE NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. FOG.
.WED...E WINDS 15 KT. FOG.
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...N WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...NE WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

CCC/DJH JAN 16

NWS Fairbanks, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Jan 11, 1:57 PM AKST, 1 hour 47 minutes earlier.

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
157 PM AKST MON JAN 11 2016

.DISCUSSION...
THE 12Z MODELS INITIALIZED WELL AGAINST THE THE 12Z ANALYSIS AND
VERIFIED WELL AGAINST THE 18Z ANALYSIS AT LEAST AS COMPARED TO
YESTERDAY WITH ONLY MINOR DIFFERENCES NOTED IN STRENGTH AND
POSITION.

ALOFT...UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WITH AXIS ALONG A WAINWRIGHT TO SEATTLE
AXIS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH THE WEEK HOWEVER THE NORTHERN
PORTION WILL ERODE AND FLATTEN AND RETREAT TO THE SOUTH AND EAST
THROUGH FRIDAY AS A SERIES OF SHORT WAVE TROUGHS WITH ATTENDING
SURFACE LOWS PROGRESS NORTHWEST OUT OF THE GULF...OVER THE AK
PENINSULA AND INTO BRISTOL BAY AND THEN INTO THE CENTRAL BERING
SEA.

ON THE SURFACE...A 1046 MB HIGH OVER THE POLE CONTINUES TO PUSH
SOUTH AND EAST AS A 986 MB LOW PUSHES NORTH AND WEST OUT OF THE
GULF AND INTO BRISTOL BAY. A TIGHT GRADIENT CONTINUES ALONG THE
WESTERN NORTH SLOPE WEST OF ICY CAPE WHERE STRONG WINDS ARE
CREATING REDUCED VISIBILITIES IN BLOWING SNOW. MIX OF LOW CIGS AND
FOG AS WELL AS MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES CONTINUE ON THE EASTERN NORTH
SLOPE.

WINDS ON THE INTERIOR SUMMITS HAVE DIMINISHED AS HAS THE TANANA
VALLEY JET ALONG THE TANANA VALLEY FLATS NEAR AND WEST OF DELTA
JUNCTION. A WEAK WAVE PUSHED NORTH FAIRBANKS THIS MORNING WITH
ONLY A FEW SNOW FLURRIES FAIRBANKS AND SOUTH AND ISOLATED SNOW
SHOWERS NOTED ON THE RADAR NORTH OF FAIRBANKS.

NEXT LOW CURRENTLY AROUND 986 MB OVER NEAR KUSKOKWIM BAY WILL
NUDGE NORTH AND WEST TO BE JUST EAST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND TUESDAY
MORNING AND 150 NM SOUTHEAST OF ST LAWRENCE ISLAND TUESDAY
EVENING AS A 983 MB LOW. GRADIENT BETWEEN THE 1046 MB HIGH OVER
THE ARCTIC AND THE 983 MB LOW IN THE EASTERN BERING SEA WILL ALLOW
THE STRONG WINDS OVER THE WESTERN NORTH SLOPE AND THROUGH THE
BERING STRAIT TO CONTINUE. ADVISORY LEVEL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP TUESDAY MORNING IN THE LOWER YK DELTA AS WELL AS THE
BERING STRAIT AND ST LAWRENCE ISLAND WHERE COMBINED WITH FALLING
SNOW WILL CREATE LOW VISIBILITIES WHERE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES
HAVE BEEN ISSUED THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING. ADDITIONAL WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORIES MAY BE NEEDED AS THE LOW STALLS OUT OVER ST
LAWRENCE ISLAND TUESDAY NIGHT AND SNOW AND WIND SPREADS NORTH
OVER THE SEWARD PENINSULA AND INTO KOTZEBUE SOUND AND ALONG THE
CHUKCHI SEA COAST.

LONG RANGE MODELS CONTINUE TO INDICATE A TRANSITION TO A COOLER
WEATHER PATTERN OVER NORTHERN ALASKA...HOWEVER MODEL SPREAD IN THE
LONG RANGE REMAINS LARGE INSTILLING LOW FORECAST CONFIDENCE AT
THIS POINT.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GALE WARNING FOR PKZ225.

BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ200-PKZ210-PKZ215-PKZ220-PKZ230.
&&

CCC JAN 16

Gale Warnings in Alaska, 2016Every gale warning in 2016

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.