Gale Warning 13, NWS Fairbanks, AK

863 
FZAK51 PAFG 122213
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
113 PM AKST TUE JAN 12 2016

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-131400-
113 PM AKST TUE JAN 12 2016

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A STRONG RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF THE ARCTIC COAST WILL
PERSIST THROUGH THU. A 985 MB LOW 100 NM WEST OF KUSKOKWIM DELTA
WILL MOVE TO JUST SOUTH OF TIN CITY AS A 993 MB LOW BY 3 PM WED.

$$

PKZ225-131400-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
113 PM AKST TUE JAN 12 2016

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW.
.WED...NE WINDS 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW. VSBY 1 NM OR LESS.
.WED NIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW. SNOW.
.THU...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT...NE WINDS 25 KT. 
.SUN...N WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

PKZ230-131400-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
113 PM AKST TUE JAN 12 2016

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. FOG AND BLOWING SNOW. 
.WED...E WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW AND FOG. 
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 25 KT. FOG AND BLOWING SNOW. 
.THU...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

PKZ235-131400-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
113 PM AKST TUE JAN 12 2016

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING
THROUGH WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...

.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. FOG.
.WED...E WINDS 25 KT. FOG.
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. FOG.
.THU...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ240-131400-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
113 PM AKST TUE JAN 12 2016

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. FOG.
.WED...E WINDS 15 KT. FOG.
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. FOG.
.THU...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ245-131400-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
113 PM AKST TUE JAN 12 2016

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. FOG.
.WED...E WINDS 15 KT. FOG.
.WED NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. FOG.
.THU...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 5 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN...E WINDS 20 KT.  

$$

CF/DA JAN 16

699 
FZAK51 PAFG 131318
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
418 AM AKST WED JAN 13 2016

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-140030-
418 AM AKST WED JAN 13 2016

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF THE ARCTIC COAST OF ALASKA WILL
PERSIST THROUGH FRI. A 987 MB LOW 60 NM SOUTH OF NOME WILL MOVE
TO SHISHMAREF AS A 995 LOW BY 3PM WED...TO 80 NM WEST OF POINT
HOPE AS A 1004 MB LOW BY 3AM THU...TO 120 NM WEST OF CAPE LISBURNE
AS A 1014 MB LOW BY 3PM THU...THEN SLOWLY WEAKEN THROUGH FRI.

$$

PKZ225-140030-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
418 AM AKST WED JAN 13 2016

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...NE WINDS 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW. SNOW. VSBY 1 NM OR LESS. 
.TONIGHT...NE WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. SNOW. VSBY 1 NM OR LESS.
.THU...E WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.THU NIGHT...S WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI...N WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT...NE WINDS 25 KT. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 30 KT.  

$$

PKZ230-140030-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
418 AM AKST WED JAN 13 2016

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...E WINDS 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW AND FOG. VSBY 1 NM OR LESS. 
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW AND FOG. VSBY 1 NM OR LESS. 
.THU...E WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

PKZ235-140030-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
418 AM AKST WED JAN 13 2016

.TODAY...E WINDS 20 KT. FOG. BLOWING SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. FOG. BLOWING SNOW. 
.THU...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ240-140030-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
418 AM AKST WED JAN 13 2016

.TODAY...E WINDS 15 KT. FOG.
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. FOG.
.THU...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI...W WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ245-140030-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
418 AM AKST WED JAN 13 2016

.TODAY...E WINDS 15 KT. FOG.
.TONIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. FOG.
.THU...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.THU NIGHT...SE WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...SE WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

JAN 16

168 
FZAK51 PAFG 132311
CWFNSB

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR ARCTIC ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
211 PM AKST WED JAN 13 2016

ARCTIC ALASKA COASTAL WATERS OUT 100 NM

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST ONE-
THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ298-141415-
211 PM AKST WED JAN 13 2016

.SYNOPSIS FOR ARCTIC COAST...
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF THE ARCTIC COAST OF ALASKA WILL
PERSIST THROUGH FRI. A 994 NEAR TELLER WILL MOVE TO 100 NM WEST
OF KIVALINA AS A 1015 MB LOW BY 3PM THU...THEN SLOWLY WEAKEN
THROUGH FRI.

$$

PKZ225-141415-
CAPE THOMPSON TO CAPE BEAUFORT-
211 PM AKST WED JAN 13 2016

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. SNOW.
.THU...E WINDS 20 KT. SNOW.
.THU NIGHT...SE WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT...NE WINDS 25 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WINDS 25 KT. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 30 KT. 
.MON...NE WINDS 30 KT.  

$$

PKZ230-141415-
CAPE BEAUFORT TO POINT FRANKLIN-
211 PM AKST WED JAN 13 2016

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY THURSDAY MORNING...

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 35 KT. BLOWING SNOW.
.THU...E WINDS 30 KT. BLOWING SNOW. 
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WINDS 20 KT. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 25 KT. 
.MON...NE WINDS 25 KT.  

$$

PKZ235-141415-
POINT FRANKLIN TO CAPE HALKETT-
211 PM AKST WED JAN 13 2016

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. FOG.
.THU...E WINDS 20 KT. FOG.
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON...NE WINDS 15 KT.  

$$

PKZ240-141415-
CAPE HALKETT TO FLAXMAN ISLAND-
211 PM AKST WED JAN 13 2016

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. FOG.
.THU...E WINDS 20 KT. FOG.
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. 
.FRI...SW WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 15 KT. 
.MON...NE WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

PKZ245-141415-
FLAXMAN ISLAND TO DEMARCATION POINT-
211 PM AKST WED JAN 13 2016

.TONIGHT...E WINDS 20 KT. FOG.
.THU...E WINDS 20 KT. FOG.
.THU NIGHT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.FRI...SE WINDS 10 KT. 
.FRI NIGHT...E WINDS 10 KT. 
.SAT...E WINDS 15 KT. 
.SAT NIGHT...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.SUN...NE WINDS 10 KT. 
.MON...NE WINDS 10 KT.  

$$

CF/EWP JAN 16

NORTHERN ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
337 AM AKST TUE JAN 12 2016

.SYNOPSIS...
ALOFT...
THE LONG WAVE PATTERN CONSISTING OF A RIDGE OVER ALASKA AND WESTERN
CANADA WITH A TROUGH OVER THE BERING SEA ND NORTHERN PACIFIC WILL
PERSIST THROUGH FRI. THE RIDGE WILL START TO BREAK DOWN OVER THE
WEEKEND. WEAK SOUTH FLOW ALOFT OVER NORTHERN ALASKA THROUGH FRI
WILL CAUSE PERIODS OF LIGHT SNOW AS SHORT WAVES TROUGHS MOVE
NORTH. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN ABOVE NORMAL SOUTH OF THE BROOKS
RANGE THROUGH FRI...WHILE THE ARCTIC SLOPE WILL REMAIN CLOSE TO
NORMAL AND FAIRLY DRY. TEMPERATURES WILL FALL TO NEAR NORMAL OVER
THE WEEKEND AS THE FLOW WEAKENS.

850 MB TEMPERATURES RANGE FROM -3C OVER THE SOUTHERN INTERIOR TO
-16C OVER THE NORTH SLOPE. TEMPERATURES OVER THE INTERIOR WILL
COOL 2-4C TODAY AND ANOTHER FEW DEGREES TONIGHT. THIS WILL LEAD TO
SURFACE TEMPERATURES FALLING OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. THIS WILL

SURFACE...
A STRONG RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE NORTH OF THE ARCTIC COAST WILL
PERSIST THROUGH THU. THIS WILL KEEP NE WINDS AND AREAS OF
FLURRIES AND FOG ALONG THE COAST FROM WAINWRIGHT EAST.

A 985 MB LOW OVER THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA WILL MOVE TO SCAMMON BAY BY
3PM TUE AS A 985 MB LOW...TO 80 NM NORTHWEST OF EMMONAK AS A 989
MB LOW BY 3AM WED...TO SHISHMAREF AS A 995 MB LOW BY 3PM WED...AND
TO NEAR POINT HOPE AS A 1014 MB LOW BY 3PM THU. WILL SEE WINDS OF
20-30KT AROUND THIS LOW ALONG WITH WIDESPREAD SNOW SHOWERS.
EXPECT 2-3 INCHES OF SNOW ZONES 214 AND 213 THROUGH TONIGHT. LOCAL
GUSTS TO 35KT IN ZONES 214 AND 213 TODAY WILL CAUSE LOCALLY LOW
VSBY IN BLOWING SNOW.

AN OCCLUDED FRONT STRETCHING FROM THE LOW TO THE BERING STRAIT TO
MCGRATH WILL MOVE TO THE LOW TO SOUTHERN CHUKCHI SEA TO MINCHUMINA
BY 3PM TUE...TO THE LOW TO POINT HOPE TO MINCHUMINA BY 3AM
WED...TO THE LOW TO WAINWRIGHT TO MINCHUMINA BY 3PM WED...AND TO
BARROW NORTHWAY BY 3PM THU. EXPECT SNOW ALONG THE FRONT ALONG THE
WEST COAST AND SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS ALONG THE FRONT IN THE
WESTERN INTERIOR MOVING INTO THE EASTERN INTERIOR WITH THE FRONT.

THERE ARE EAST WINDS 20G35KT ALONG WITH AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW ALONG
THE WEST COAST AND WESTERN ARCTIC COAST. WINDS WILL DECREASE
SLIGHTLY SOUTH OF THE FRONT.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
MODELS INITIALIZE WELL AND SHOW SIMILAR SOLUTIONS THROUGH 3PM
WED. AFTER THAT THE GFS TAKES LOW FROM BERING STRAIT A BIT FURTHER
NORTH THAN THE NAM AND ECMF. WILL USE GFS FOR WED NIGHT AND THU.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR AKZ213-AKZ214.

GALE WARNING FOR PKZ210-PKZ220-PKZ225.

BRISK WIND ADVISORY FOR PKZ200-PKZ215-PKZ230.
&&

JB JAN 16