Small Craft Advisory 914, NWS Anchorage, AK

455 
FZAK52 PAFC 211241
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
341 AM AKST MON NOV 21 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-220115-
341 AM AKST MON NOV 21 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A GALE-FORCE FRONT MOVES WEST TO EAST ACROSS THE BERING SEA
THROUGH TUE AFTERNOON. A WEAKENING KAMCHATKA LOW 130 NM NORTH OF
ATTU LATE TONIGHT THEN SLOWLY TRACKS EAST AND GETS ABSORBED INTO
A GULF LOW LATE TUE NIGHT.

$$

PKZ150-220115-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
341 AM AKST MON NOV 21 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ155-220115-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
341 AM AKST MON NOV 21 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 35 KT. W OF THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS...NW WIND 35 KT
DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF BAYS
AND PASSES. SEAS 15 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING S AFTER MIDNIGHT. FROM THE SHUMAGIN
ISLANDS E...NW WIND 35 KT BECOMING W 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11
FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ160-220115-
BRISTOL BAY-
341 AM AKST MON NOV 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 10 KT BY MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ165-220115-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
341 AM AKST MON NOV 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. W OF PORT MOLLER...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING
TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
W OF PORT MOLLER...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...S WIND 30 KT BECOMING W IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ170-220115-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
341 AM AKST MON NOV 21 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW IN THE LATE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 10 FT.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT IN THE EVENING INCREASING TO 35 KT.
SEAS 12 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ171-220115-
UNALASKA BAY-
341 AM AKST MON NOV 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT BECOMING W 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO
35 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING W 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO
35 KT DEVELOPING AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. GUSTS TO 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ172-220115-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
341 AM AKST MON NOV 21 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 30 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 13 FT.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SW 35 KT BY MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 13 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ173-220115-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
341 AM AKST MON NOV 21 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ174-220115-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
341 AM AKST MON NOV 21 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.THU...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ175-220115-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
341 AM AKST MON NOV 21 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING
TO THE W IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 12 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT BUILDING TO 23 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ176-220115-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
341 AM AKST MON NOV 21 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN
SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...W WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 20 FT BUILDING TO 26 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 28 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.THU...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ177-220115-
ADAK TO KISKA-
341 AM AKST MON NOV 21 2016

...STORM WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 40 KT BECOMING W IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...SW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 29 FT BERING SIDE...37 FT PACIFIC
SIDE. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 31 FT.
.WED...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT.

$$

PKZ178-220115-
KISKA TO ATTU-
341 AM AKST MON NOV 21 2016

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN AND SNOW
SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT INCREASING TO 55 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
BERING SIDE...SEAS 31 FT. PACIFIC SIDE...SEAS 32 FT BUILDING TO
40 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN SHOWERS AND WIDESPREAD SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...W WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
30 FT BERING SIDE...39 FT PACIFIC SIDE. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 26 FT.
.WED...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 30 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 25 FT.

$$

PKZ179-220115-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
341 AM AKST MON NOV 21 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT IN THE EVENING INCREASING TO 40 KT.
SEAS 11 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ180-220115-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
341 AM AKST MON NOV 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT EXCEPT 20 KT N OF CAPE NEWENHAM. SEAS 7 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING E AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ181-220115-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
341 AM AKST MON NOV 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ185-220115-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
341 AM AKST MON NOV 21 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...NE WIND 15 KT. W OF SAINT
MATTHEW ISLAND...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE LATE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...E 45 KT W OF
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS 17 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

031 
FZAK52 PAFC 220045
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
345 PM AKST MON NOV 21 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-221315-
345 PM AKST MON NOV 21 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A FRONT IN THE CENTRAL BERING SEA MOVES INTO THE EASTERN BERING
LATE TONIGHT AND WEAKENS IN PLACE THROUGH TUE AFTERNOON. THE
ASSOCIATED 973 MB LOW 360 NM NORTHWEST OF SHEMYA MOVES TO 80 NM
SOUTHEAST OF SAINT PAUL AT 998 MB LATE TUE NIGHT AND BECOMES
ABSORBED INTO A GULF LOW. A NEW FRONT ENTERS THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS
WED MORNING.

$$

PKZ150-221315-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
345 PM AKST MON NOV 21 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
GUSTS TO 50 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES IN THE EVENING. SEAS 19 FT
SUBSIDING TO 11 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING N AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 12 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ155-221315-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
345 PM AKST MON NOV 21 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING S AFTER MIDNIGHT. FROM THE
SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...NW WIND 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT OUT OF BAYS
AND PASSES BECOMING W 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 17 FT SUBSIDING
TO 8 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT EXCEPT NW 35 KT FROM THE SHUMAGIN
ISLANDS E. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ160-221315-
BRISTOL BAY-
345 PM AKST MON NOV 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY ALONG THE NORTH
COAST.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ165-221315-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
345 PM AKST MON NOV 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 7 FT.
RAIN.
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ170-221315-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
345 PM AKST MON NOV 21 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ171-221315-
UNALASKA BAY-
345 PM AKST MON NOV 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ172-221315-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
345 PM AKST MON NOV 21 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ173-221315-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
345 PM AKST MON NOV 21 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ174-221315-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
345 PM AKST MON NOV 21 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 45 KT. SEAS 25 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ175-221315-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
345 PM AKST MON NOV 21 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT BUILDING TO 23 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ176-221315-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
345 PM AKST MON NOV 21 2016

...STORM WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...W WIND 40 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 21
FT BUILDING TO 27 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 29 FT.
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ177-221315-
ADAK TO KISKA-
345 PM AKST MON NOV 21 2016

...STORM WARNING TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...SW WIND 50 KT. SEAS 28 FT BERING SIDE... 37 FT PACIFIC SIDE.
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
BERING SIDE...SEAS 25 FT SUBSIDING TO 18 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
PACIFIC SIDE...SEAS 33 FT SUBSIDING TO 24 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 24 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ178-221315-
KISKA TO ATTU-
345 PM AKST MON NOV 21 2016

...STORM WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT INCREASING TO 55 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
BERING SIDE...SEAS 31 FT. PACIFIC SIDE...SEAS 33 FT BUILDING TO
40 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...W WIND 55 KT. SEAS 31 FT BERING SIDE...40 FT PACIFIC SIDE.
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
26 FT SUBSIDING TO 17 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.WED...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 45 KT. SEAS 32 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 26 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ179-221315-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
345 PM AKST MON NOV 21 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
13 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ180-221315-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
345 PM AKST MON NOV 21 2016

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY ALONG THE ICE
EDGE. SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY ALONG THE ICE EDGE. SNOW.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ181-221315-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
345 PM AKST MON NOV 21 2016

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY ALONG THE ICE
EDGE.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY ALONG THE ICE EDGE.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ185-221315-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
345 PM AKST MON NOV 21 2016

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO
40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...E WIND 50 KT.
SEAS 18 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. FREEZING SPRAY E OF SAINT
MATTHEW ISLAND.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
402 AM AKST Sun Nov 20 2016

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
The flow pattern aloft looks different, yet still the same this
morning. A baggy weak trough stretches from Kamchatka eastward
thorough the mainland with no real center or organization at all.
The active jet stream extends from east Asia through the northern
Pacific where several disturbances are combining south of the
Alaska Peninsula to re-orient the longwave pattern. A blocking
high pressure sits over the Arctic Ocean leaving much of our
forecast area under weak flow aloft.

The remnants of a dying upper low are moving inland over the
northern Gulf with the main effect being rain/snow showers. A
disorganized front stretches from the Pribilof Islands eastward
leaving a showery regime over the eastern Bering.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
While in good synoptic agreement, the track and position of a
surface low approaching Kodiak Island are still up for debate with
the EC/GEM further north/east and the NAM/GFS further south and
west. Impacts will be how strong the northerlies get on the back
side of the system around Kodiak Island. The amount of clear sky
has given every model/MOS guidance fits with the low temperatures
lately. Beyond that, the front entering the Bering today is well
agreed upon in timing/strength.

&&

.AVIATION...

PANC...VFR cigs are expected through early afternoon. Cloud bases
lower but are expected to remain VFR from 00z until around 07z
this evening with light snow possible as a warm front crosses the
area from east to west. Ceilings should rise again with frontal
passage after 07z.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
An area of snow showers is moving inland over the north Gulf
Coast this morning ahead of a warm front moving slowly northward
in the Gulf of Alaska. These snow showers will mix with or turn to
rain as temperatures warm up this afternoon. Kodiak Island will
likely get some snow this morning that turns to rain by the
afternoon with this warm front.

The timing of the front has been a little bit of a challenge as it
is associated with an elongating low which has thrown some doubt
into exactly how fast the front will move and how the low
structure will look as it becomes complex, with multiple centers, over
the next two days. The area of biggest uncertainty with all this
is over and south of the Gulf of Alaska with inland areas not
affected as much with this situation.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...

The offshore pressure gradient will strengthen throughout the day
today which will allow northerly winds of 5 to 15 mph to be common
across much of Southwest Alaska. This will help keep fog at bay
this morning and future mornings as drier air from the interior is
advected southward. Another feature of the offshore flow is that
it will keep any snow chances at bay through at least the first
half of the week as the moisture aloft (especially within the
first several thousand feet above sea-level) diminishes significantly
over the next 24 to 36 hours. Temperatures appear likely to remain
slightly below normal through the forecast period with the
reinforcing shot of cold air from the arctic already evident
based on temperatures across much of the state this morning.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2)...

The complex weather system yesterday with multiple low centers
across the southern Bering Sea and North Pacific is a thing of
the past. As expected, the low pressure systems have phased into a
single surface low south of the Alaska Peninsula which has been
quite evident on IR imagery and scatterometer data. A nice swath
of gale force winds will be seen near the Central Aleutians
through this afternoon before a weak ridge moves over the southern
Bering Sea. While this weak ridge will bring a brief reprieve of
strong winds and moderate to heavy rain to the Western and Central
Aleutians, an area of low pressure over the Kamchatka Peninsula will
strengthen. This low will push a gale force front across the
western Bering Sea late tonight into Monday morning and will
continue to move eastward into the eastern Bering Sea by Tuesday
morning. Luckily, by the time the low pressure system moves into
the Bering Sea on Tuesday it will have already begun to weaken so
winds in excess of 45 kt are not expected at this time. However,
due to a persistent and dynamic fetch, seas approaching or
possibly exceeding 35 ft will be possible over the western Bering
Sea on Tuesday. A decent moisture anomaly should accompany the
front as it moves into the Bering Sea which will likely produce
another shot of moderate to heavy rainfall across the Bering Sea
and Aleutians yet again.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...

From previous discussion...

The active pattern will continue through next week with multiple
lows moving across the forecast area. However, the storm track
looks to largely stay south of mainland Alaska with lows moving
across the Aleutians and then into the Gulf. This setup will keep
most of the precipitation and warm air out of the mainland with
coastal areas seeing the majority of the precipitation. Although
the models disagree somewhat on the timing of the various lows,
they are in decent agreement with the position of the storm track.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...None.
MARINE...Gales...119 120 130 132 138 139 150 155 165 173-178 185
				 411-413.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...ML
AVIATION...CC
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...EZ
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...MC
LONG TERM...DK