Gale Warning 733, NWS Anchorage, AK

097 
FZAK51 PAFC 210253 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
553 PM AKST SUN NOV 20 2016

UPDATED ZONE 141

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-211515-
553 PM AKST SUN NOV 20 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A FRONT SWEEPS OVER THE NORTH GULF COAST AND DECAYS MON NIGHT. A
986 MB LOW MOVES TO 250 NM SOUTHWEST OF YAKUTAT MON NIGHT AND
SHIFTS TO 190 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK CITY AT 990 MB BY TUE
AFTERNOON. THE ASSOCIATED FRONT STRETCHES ACROSS THE GULF OF
ALASKA THROUGH TUE AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ119-211515-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
553 PM AKST SUN NOV 20 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ120-211515-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
553 PM AKST SUN NOV 20 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ121-211515-
RESURRECTION BAY-
553 PM AKST SUN NOV 20 2016

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. WIDESPREAD SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. WIDESPREAD SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. 
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-211515-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
553 PM AKST SUN NOV 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
6 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-211515-
PORT VALDEZ-
553 PM AKST SUN NOV 20 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-211515-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
553 PM AKST SUN NOV 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED THROUGH FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-211515-
VALDEZ ARM-
553 PM AKST SUN NOV 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ129-211515-
PASSAGE CANAL-
553 PM AKST SUN NOV 20 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW. 
.MON...E WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED THROUGH FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-211515-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
553 PM AKST SUN NOV 20 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ131-211515-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
553 PM AKST SUN NOV 20 2016

...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN. 
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ132-211515-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
553 PM AKST SUN NOV 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT EXCEPT NE 20 KT N OF DANGEROUS CAPE. SEAS
9 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ136-211515-
CHINIAK BAY-
553 PM AKST SUN NOV 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ137-211515-
MARMOT BAY-
553 PM AKST SUN NOV 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ138-211515-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
553 PM AKST SUN NOV 20 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
16 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ139-211515-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
553 PM AKST SUN NOV 20 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ140-211515-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
553 PM AKST SUN NOV 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING. 
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-211515-
KACHEMAK BAY-
553 PM AKST SUN NOV 20 2016

UPDATED

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

916 
FZAK51 PAFC 211233
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
333 AM AKST MON NOV 21 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-220145-
333 AM AKST MON NOV 21 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A FRONT OVER THE NORTH GULF COAST WILL DISSIPATE MON NIGHT. A 986
MB LOW WILL MOVE TO 185 NM SOUTH MIDDLETON ISLAND MON NIGHT AND
THEN TO 190 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK CITY AT 990 MB TUE AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ119-220145-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
333 AM AKST MON NOV 21 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ120-220145-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
333 AM AKST MON NOV 21 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ121-220145-
RESURRECTION BAY-
333 AM AKST MON NOV 21 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD. WIDESPREAD SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-220145-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
333 AM AKST MON NOV 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-220145-
PORT VALDEZ-
333 AM AKST MON NOV 21 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT AND TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-220145-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
333 AM AKST MON NOV 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT AND TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-220145-
VALDEZ ARM-
333 AM AKST MON NOV 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT AND TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ129-220145-
PASSAGE CANAL-
333 AM AKST MON NOV 21 2016

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-220145-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
333 AM AKST MON NOV 21 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND WIDESPREAD
SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ131-220145-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
333 AM AKST MON NOV 21 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ132-220145-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
333 AM AKST MON NOV 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT EXCEPT NE 20 KT N OF DANGEROUS CAPE. SEAS
9 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ136-220145-
CHINIAK BAY-
333 AM AKST MON NOV 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ137-220145-
MARMOT BAY-
333 AM AKST MON NOV 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT SUBSIDING TO 5 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ138-220145-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
333 AM AKST MON NOV 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ139-220145-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
333 AM AKST MON NOV 21 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ140-220145-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
333 AM AKST MON NOV 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4
FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-220145-
KACHEMAK BAY-
333 AM AKST MON NOV 21 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

249 
FZAK51 PAFC 220031
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
331 PM AKST MON NOV 21 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-221400-
331 PM AKST MON NOV 21 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A FRONT OVER THE NORTH GULF COAST SLOWLY DECAYS THROUGH TUE
AFTERNOON. A 987 MB LOW MOVES TO 210 NM EAST OF SITKINAK LATE
TONIGHT...THEN MOVES TO 60 NM SOUTH OF SITKINAK AND MERGES WITH A
BERING LOW TO FORM A NEW 987 MB LOW. THIS LOW THEN EXITS INTO THE
NORTH PACIFIC 350 NM SOUTHEAST OF SITKINAK AT 983 MB EARLY WED.

$$

PKZ119-221400-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
331 PM AKST MON NOV 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ120-221400-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
331 PM AKST MON NOV 21 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
16 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ121-221400-
RESURRECTION BAY-
331 PM AKST MON NOV 21 2016

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF
CAINES HEAD.
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ125-221400-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
331 PM AKST MON NOV 21 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-221400-
PORT VALDEZ-
331 PM AKST MON NOV 21 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-221400-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
331 PM AKST MON NOV 21 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-221400-
VALDEZ ARM-
331 PM AKST MON NOV 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 5 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ129-221400-
PASSAGE CANAL-
331 PM AKST MON NOV 21 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-221400-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
331 PM AKST MON NOV 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
7 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ131-221400-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
331 PM AKST MON NOV 21 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT NEAR MORNING. SEAS
17 FT SUBSIDING.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ132-221400-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
331 PM AKST MON NOV 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT EXCEPT NE 30 KT N OF DANGEROUS CAPE.
SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ136-221400-
CHINIAK BAY-
331 PM AKST MON NOV 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
BUILDING TO 7 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT SUBSIDING.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ137-221400-
MARMOT BAY-
331 PM AKST MON NOV 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
BUILDING TO 8 FT. WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 7 FT AFTER
MIDNIGHT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ138-221400-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
331 PM AKST MON NOV 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.FRI...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ139-221400-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
331 PM AKST MON NOV 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
7 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-221400-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
331 PM AKST MON NOV 21 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING.
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-221400-
KACHEMAK BAY-
331 PM AKST MON NOV 21 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT EXCEPT 15 KT NEAR THE OUTER WATERS. SEAS
2 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

580 
FZAK51 PAFC 221234
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
334 AM AKST TUE NOV 22 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-230215-
334 AM AKST TUE NOV 22 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 987 MB LOW 200 NM SOUTH OF MIDDLETON ISLAND WILL MERGE WITH A
LOW APPROACHING FROM THE WEST THIS EVENING TO BECOME A BROAD
COMPLEX LOW TONIGHT. THIS LOW IN THE SOUTHERN GULF WILL THEN EXIT
TO THE NORTH PACIFIC WED.

$$

PKZ119-230215-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
334 AM AKST TUE NOV 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ120-230215-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
334 AM AKST TUE NOV 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...NE WIND 25 DIMINISHING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9
FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ121-230215-
RESURRECTION BAY-
334 AM AKST TUE NOV 22 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. GUSTS TO 25 KT DURING THE MORNING. SEAS 3
FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ125-230215-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
334 AM AKST TUE NOV 22 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-230215-
PORT VALDEZ-
334 AM AKST TUE NOV 22 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-230215-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
334 AM AKST TUE NOV 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. GUSTS TO 40 KT DURING THE MORNING. SEAS 4
FT.
.TONIGHT AND WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-230215-
VALDEZ ARM-
334 AM AKST TUE NOV 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ129-230215-
PASSAGE CANAL-
334 AM AKST TUE NOV 22 2016

.TODAY...W WIND 15 KT WITH GUSTS TO 25 KT DURING THE MORNING. WIND BECOMING
E 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-230215-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
334 AM AKST TUE NOV 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ131-230215-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
334 AM AKST TUE NOV 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ132-230215-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
334 AM AKST TUE NOV 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ136-230215-
CHINIAK BAY-
334 AM AKST TUE NOV 22 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO NE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU THROUGH SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ137-230215-
MARMOT BAY-
334 AM AKST TUE NOV 22 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU THROUGH SAT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ138-230215-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
334 AM AKST TUE NOV 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.FRI AND SAT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ139-230215-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
334 AM AKST TUE NOV 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ140-230215-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
334 AM AKST TUE NOV 22 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU THROUGH SAT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-230215-
KACHEMAK BAY-
334 AM AKST TUE NOV 22 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT. 
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.SAT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
402 AM AKST Sun Nov 20 2016

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
The flow pattern aloft looks different, yet still the same this
morning. A baggy weak trough stretches from Kamchatka eastward
thorough the mainland with no real center or organization at all.
The active jet stream extends from east Asia through the northern
Pacific where several disturbances are combining south of the
Alaska Peninsula to re-orient the longwave pattern. A blocking
high pressure sits over the Arctic Ocean leaving much of our
forecast area under weak flow aloft.

The remnants of a dying upper low are moving inland over the
northern Gulf with the main effect being rain/snow showers. A
disorganized front stretches from the Pribilof Islands eastward
leaving a showery regime over the eastern Bering.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
While in good synoptic agreement, the track and position of a
surface low approaching Kodiak Island are still up for debate with
the EC/GEM further north/east and the NAM/GFS further south and
west. Impacts will be how strong the northerlies get on the back
side of the system around Kodiak Island. The amount of clear sky
has given every model/MOS guidance fits with the low temperatures
lately. Beyond that, the front entering the Bering today is well
agreed upon in timing/strength.

&&

.AVIATION...

PANC...VFR cigs are expected through early afternoon. Cloud bases
lower but are expected to remain VFR from 00z until around 07z
this evening with light snow possible as a warm front crosses the
area from east to west. Ceilings should rise again with frontal
passage after 07z.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
An area of snow showers is moving inland over the north Gulf
Coast this morning ahead of a warm front moving slowly northward
in the Gulf of Alaska. These snow showers will mix with or turn to
rain as temperatures warm up this afternoon. Kodiak Island will
likely get some snow this morning that turns to rain by the
afternoon with this warm front.

The timing of the front has been a little bit of a challenge as it
is associated with an elongating low which has thrown some doubt
into exactly how fast the front will move and how the low
structure will look as it becomes complex, with multiple centers, over
the next two days. The area of biggest uncertainty with all this
is over and south of the Gulf of Alaska with inland areas not
affected as much with this situation.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...

The offshore pressure gradient will strengthen throughout the day
today which will allow northerly winds of 5 to 15 mph to be common
across much of Southwest Alaska. This will help keep fog at bay
this morning and future mornings as drier air from the interior is
advected southward. Another feature of the offshore flow is that
it will keep any snow chances at bay through at least the first
half of the week as the moisture aloft (especially within the
first several thousand feet above sea-level) diminishes significantly
over the next 24 to 36 hours. Temperatures appear likely to remain
slightly below normal through the forecast period with the
reinforcing shot of cold air from the arctic already evident
based on temperatures across much of the state this morning.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2)...

The complex weather system yesterday with multiple low centers
across the southern Bering Sea and North Pacific is a thing of
the past. As expected, the low pressure systems have phased into a
single surface low south of the Alaska Peninsula which has been
quite evident on IR imagery and scatterometer data. A nice swath
of gale force winds will be seen near the Central Aleutians
through this afternoon before a weak ridge moves over the southern
Bering Sea. While this weak ridge will bring a brief reprieve of
strong winds and moderate to heavy rain to the Western and Central
Aleutians, an area of low pressure over the Kamchatka Peninsula will
strengthen. This low will push a gale force front across the
western Bering Sea late tonight into Monday morning and will
continue to move eastward into the eastern Bering Sea by Tuesday
morning. Luckily, by the time the low pressure system moves into
the Bering Sea on Tuesday it will have already begun to weaken so
winds in excess of 45 kt are not expected at this time. However,
due to a persistent and dynamic fetch, seas approaching or
possibly exceeding 35 ft will be possible over the western Bering
Sea on Tuesday. A decent moisture anomaly should accompany the
front as it moves into the Bering Sea which will likely produce
another shot of moderate to heavy rainfall across the Bering Sea
and Aleutians yet again.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...

From previous discussion...

The active pattern will continue through next week with multiple
lows moving across the forecast area. However, the storm track
looks to largely stay south of mainland Alaska with lows moving
across the Aleutians and then into the Gulf. This setup will keep
most of the precipitation and warm air out of the mainland with
coastal areas seeing the majority of the precipitation. Although
the models disagree somewhat on the timing of the various lows,
they are in decent agreement with the position of the storm track.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...None.
MARINE...Gales...119 120 130 132 138 139 150 155 165 173-178 185
				 411-413.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...ML
AVIATION...CC
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...EZ
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...MC
LONG TERM...DK