Gale Warning 529, NWS Anchorage, AK

165 
FZAK52 PAFC 191206
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
406 AM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-200100-
406 AM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 975 MB LOW 280 NM NORTH OF ATTU MOVES TO 40 NM SOUTHEAST OF ST
MATTHEW ISLAND AT 978 MB BY WED MORNING. AN ASSOCIATED FRONT
MOVES ACROSS THE EASTERN BERING SEA INTO MAINLAND ALASKA AND GULF
OF ALASKA TONIGHT AND TUESDAY.

$$

PKZ150-200100-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
406 AM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7
FT.
.TONIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT BUILDING TO 16
FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.TUE...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ155-200100-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
406 AM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND INCREASING TO 45 KT...SEAS 12 FT BUILDING TO 18
FT IN THE AFTERNOON. FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...S WIND 25 KT
INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON...SEAS 6 FT BUILDING TO 10 FT.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 45 KT...BECOMING NW 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT W OF
THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT. FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...S WIND 40 KT
BECOMING NW 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ160-200100-
BRISTOL BAY-
406 AM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING NW 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7
FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ165-200100-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
406 AM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 45 KT. FROM PORT MOLLER E...S WIND 30 KT
INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT...EXCEPT S 45 KT IN THE EVENING FROM PORT
MOLLER E. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SW WIND 20 KT EXCEPT W 15 KT FROM PORT MOLLER E. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ170-200100-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
406 AM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 45 KT BECOMING W 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO
55 KT OUT OF BAYS AND PASSES IN THE MORNING. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ171-200100-
UNALASKA BAY-
406 AM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT...THEN BECOMING SW 20 KT IN
THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 55 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 12 FT. SEAS 6
FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ172-200100-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
406 AM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 45 KT...BECOMING W 20 IN THE AFTERNOON W OF
UNALASKA. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ173-200100-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
406 AM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ174-200100-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
406 AM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 40 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING W 20 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ175-200100-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
406 AM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ176-200100-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
406 AM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ177-200100-
ADAK TO KISKA-
406 AM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ178-200100-
KISKA TO ATTU-
406 AM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ179-200100-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
406 AM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 40 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING SW 20 KT. SEAS 16
FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ180-200100-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
406 AM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
14 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 45 KT BECOMING SW 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
14 FT. RAIN.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ181-200100-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
406 AM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ185-200100-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
406 AM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 35 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...S 20 KT W OF
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...N 25 KT W OF
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS 13 FT. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

472 
FZAK52 PAFC 192320
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
320 PM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-201215-
320 PM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 975 MB LOW 300 NM NORTH OF SHEMYA WILL MOVE TO 130 NM WEST OF
HOOPER BAY AT 979 MB BY WED AFTERNOON. AN ASSOCIATED FRONT OVER
THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS WILL ENTER BRISTOL BAY EARLY TUE MORNING AND
MOVE TO THE WESTERN GULF OF ALASKA BY TUE NIGHT. A 994 MB LOW WILL
DEVELOP ALONG THE FRONT 120 NM SOUTH OF CHIGNIK TUE MORNING AND
MOVE TO NEAR KING SALMON AT 988 MB TUE AFTERNOON BEFORE MOVING
INLAND TUE EVENING.

$$

PKZ150-201215-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
320 PM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT BUILDING TO 16 
FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.TUE...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 20 FT SUBSIDING TO 15 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ155-201215-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
320 PM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 45 KT BECOMING W 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FROM THE
SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...NW WIND 20 KT EXCEPT SW 30 KT FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E.
SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ160-201215-
BRISTOL BAY-
320 PM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 45 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT BECOMING W 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT
SUBSIDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ165-201215-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
320 PM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT BECOMING W 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. FROM
PORT MOLLER E...S WIND 45 KT BECOMING W 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ170-201215-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
320 PM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ171-201215-
UNALASKA BAY-
320 PM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ172-201215-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
320 PM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ173-201215-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
320 PM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ174-201215-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
320 PM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ175-201215-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
320 PM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ176-201215-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
320 PM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ177-201215-
ADAK TO KISKA-
320 PM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ178-201215-
KISKA TO ATTU-
320 PM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ179-201215-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
320 PM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ180-201215-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
320 PM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 40 KT BECOMING SW 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
14 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ181-201215-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
320 PM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ185-201215-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
320 PM AKDT MON SEP 19 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
.TUE...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN
THE EVENING.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

940 
FZAK52 PAFC 201151
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
351 AM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-210115-
351 AM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 977 MB LOW 240 NM NORTHWEST OF SAINT PAUL MOVES TO NEAR SAINT
MATTHEW ISLAND LATE TONIGHT AND MAINTAINS STRENGTH...THEN MOVES
TO 70 NM WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND AT 982 MB LATE WED NIGHT. A 998 MB
LOW 350 NM SOUTH OF COLD BAY MOVES INLAND 70 NM NORTHEAST OF
CHIGNIK AT 985 MB THIS EVENING.

$$

PKZ150-210115-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
351 AM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2016

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 40 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
17 FT BUILDING TO 22 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT BECOMING W 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 20
FT SUBSIDING TO 15 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ155-210115-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
351 AM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT...EXCEPT S 35 KT IN THE MORNING E OF THE
SHUMAGIN ISLANDS. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ160-210115-
BRISTOL BAY-
351 AM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING NW 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6
FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ165-210115-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
351 AM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ170-210115-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
351 AM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ171-210115-
UNALASKA BAY-
351 AM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2016

.TODAY...SW WIND INCREASING TO 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ172-210115-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
351 AM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ173-210115-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
351 AM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ174-210115-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
351 AM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ175-210115-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
351 AM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ176-210115-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
351 AM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ177-210115-
ADAK TO KISKA-
351 AM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ178-210115-
KISKA TO ATTU-
351 AM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ179-210115-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
351 AM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
.WED...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED NIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ180-210115-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
351 AM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT EXCEPT 15 KT S OF CAPE NEWENHAM. SEAS 8
FT.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ181-210115-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
351 AM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ185-210115-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
351 AM AKDT TUE SEP 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...S WIND 25 KT. W OF SAINT
MATTHEW ISLAND...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
.TONIGHT...E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...SE WIND 25 KT. W OF SAINT
MATTHEW ISLAND...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
.WED...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

Southcentral and Southwest Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
512 AM AKDT SUN SEP 18 2016

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
Ridging has built in over the central Bering and is tracking to
the east. It has helped to bring stratus and fog for areas around
the Bering and southwest Alaska. The upper level disturbance that
was over southwest Alaska has moved south and is now moving into
the North Pacific. West of the ridging the next system is moving
into the western Bering. This system is still deepening and is
bringing up a strong push of moisture with it.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
The models are in good agreement with the main features until
early on Tuesday when a triple point low develops on the frontal
boundary of the system moving into the Bering. The 00Z runs are
starting to come into better agreement on the placement of the
triple point low, but still vary on its intensity. However, the
NAM is still struggling to place a true triple point low and is
much faster than the others.

&&

.AVIATION...

Main forecast issue this morning is with possibility of IFR or
MVFR ceilings later this morning through early afternoon. Guidance
indicates low stratus banked mainly along the mountains but will
watch carefully to see if it backs west to PANC. Possible that
low stratus hangs around a while well into the late afternoon or
evening, but went the more optimistic route for now with 12z
package.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (Days 1 and 2)...
The upper level low is moving through the Copper River Basin this
morning causing showers to come to an end and winds to turn to north
to west. The biggest question for today is how long the patchy
fog and stratus will linger in areas west of mountain ranges such
as the Anchorage to Palmer region. It is possible that the
northwest flow may pack up the very moist air that is in place
along the mountains causing the stratus not to burn off until well
into the afternoon.

Gusty north to west outflow winds have already begun along the
Gulf coast and will persist through tonight and rapidly diminish
Monday as the ridge is displaced by the strong storm moving into
the area for the middle of the week. Clearing skies tonight may
bring below freezing temperatures to colder areas of the Anchorage
Bowl and Mat-Su valleys as well as the Kenai Peninsula and Copper
River Basin.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (Days 1 and 2...Sun and Mon)...
Today represents the relative break in the pattern before a major
Fall storm moves in Monday. Weak ridging is building over the
area this morning. This is resulting in some drying to the mid and
upper levels, helping to bring an end to much of the
precipitation. However, it is also serving to trap some of the
low-level moisture creating pockets of fog and low stratus. Expect
this fog and low stratus to build in a little bit more this
morning as subsidence increases. It is fighting against some
northwest flow, so even as it develops, it should be short-lived
and burn off by noon. The initial warm occlusion from the Bering
will start to spread high clouds in across the area today and
could clip the Y-K Delta coast with some light precipitation.

The bigger show is definitely on Monday as a gale-force front
arrives from the Bering. South winds will overspread the coastline
by Monday morning and then push inland through Monday afternoon.
These winds, even though they will be short-lived, should be
enough to bring some high surf into areas stretching from
Kuskokwim Bay northward. A High Surf Advisory has been issued for
this. With a slightly NE to SW orientation, rain will hit the Y-K
Delta first in the late morning and then move into the Bristol Bay
Coast by evening. Some of this rain could be moderate to heavy at
times as the front plows inland overnight Monday and Tuesday. The
silver lining is that the front moves quickly off to the east,
which will allow winds to diminish and the heaviest precipitation
to end.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (Days 1 and 2...Sun and
Mon)...
Ridging is holding on over the Eastern Bering this morning, but is
quickly being supplanted by the strong front developing over the
Western Aleutians. This will be the story for the next 24 hours.
The parent low is located just south of the Gulf of Anadyr. It
will begin a slow and methodical track across the Bering starting
today. The low will maintain its strength courtesy of some
lower-level thermodynamics and a finger of the subtropical jet in
the upper levels. As it tracks across, it will push a vigorous
near-storm-force front across the Bering. The front will bring
moderate to heavy rain to the Central Aleutians by this afternoon
and to the Eastern Aleutians by Monday morning. After the front
sweeps through, the low itself will have plenty of cold air aloft
to support widespread showers, gusty winds, and even some isolated
thunderstorms over the Central Bering.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (Days 3 through 7)...

Models are converging toward a consensus solution with the low
pressure that is forecasted to develop south of Kodiak and the
Alaska Peninsula along the strong north-south oriented weather
front Tuesday into Wednesday. It appears as though the primary
low moves north to the west of the Alaska Range, with secondary
and tertiary lows forming along the front over upper Cook Inlet
and the North Gulf Coast, respectively. This has enabled us to
trend stronger with winds with greater confidence for this storm
beginning late Tuesday and extending through Wednesday, especially
along the North Gulf Coast, Prince William Sound, Portage Valley,
Turnagain Arm and the higher elevations of Anchorage. If
confidence continues to improve with respect to higher winds,
watches or warnings for high winds over land and/or marine areas
may be needed in the next day or two with this potentially major
storm.

From previous long-term discussion...

Forecast confidence is improving on the timing and intensity of
the strong gale force front that will move from the Alaska
Peninsula into the Gulf for the middle of next week. This will
bring gusty winds and heavy rain to Kodiak Island starting Tuesday
evening, before spreading into the Gulf Coast where it will bring
widespread gale force winds and heavy rain to much of the Gulf
Coast through Wednesday. For interior Southcentral, downsloping
will prevent the heaviest rain from falling over the population
centers, however a significant amount of available moisture from
this system will likely keep light rain over the area for the
middle of next week. There is also decent agreement that a triple
point low developing over the western gulf on Wednesday will bring
gusty northerly winds from Cook Inlet into the Matanuska Valley,
however there isn't enough confidence at this point to determine
how strong these might be. As a result, winds were conservatively
increased throughout the Cook Inlet region today, but these may
need to be increased further if confidence increases. The other
concern from this system rests with how much rain may fall along
the Gulf Coast. The good news is that there is good confidence
that ridging over the panhandle will be much weaker than expected
a few days ago, and as a result the chances of a prolonged period
of heavy rain during the middle of next week is lower than it was
a few days ago.

By late next week the models really begin to struggle as another much
deeper system quickly develops in the North Pacific and moves
into the Gulf. The exact impacts from this system are tough to
tell with large model spread; however, it is very likely that
active weather will continue throughout the Gulf and south
Mainland through the work week. This could include a potential for
continued heavy rain and significant winds throughout the Gulf, as
well as the chance of a significant wind storm into Southcentral.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...None.
MARINE...Gales...150 155 165 170 172-181 185.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...DK
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...EZ
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...MO
LONG TERM...CC/DEK