Gale Warning 181, NWS Anchorage, AK

111 
FZAK52 PAFC 211251
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
351 AM AKST SUN FEB 21 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-220130-
351 AM AKST SUN FEB 21 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 973 LOW 50 NM SOUTHEAST OF CHIGNIK MOVES TO NEAR BETHEL AT 982
MB LATE SUN NIGHT...THEN MOVES THROUGH THE BERING STRAIT. A FRONT
MOVES ALONG THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL ALEUTIANS FROM SUN NIGHT
THROUGH LATE MON NIGHT. A STRONG FRONT APPROACHES THE PACIFIC
SIDE OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA MON NIGHT.

$$

PKZ150-220130-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
351 AM AKST SUN FEB 21 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT...EXCEPT SE 35 KT E OF CHIRIKOF ISLAND IN
THE MORNING. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 55 KT. SEAS 29 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ155-220130-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
351 AM AKST SUN FEB 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
9 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...W WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 27 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.

$$

PKZ160-220130-
BRISTOL BAY-
351 AM AKST SUN FEB 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 35 KT BECOMING E 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7
FT. SNOW SHOWERS
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. SNOW.
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ165-220130-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
351 AM AKST SUN FEB 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 15 KT...EXCEPT INCREASING TO 25 KT FROM COLD BAY
WEST IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 8 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. PATCHY
FOG.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ170-220130-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
351 AM AKST SUN FEB 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
9 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ171-220130-
UNALASKA BAY-
351 AM AKST SUN FEB 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ172-220130-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
351 AM AKST SUN FEB 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ173-220130-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
351 AM AKST SUN FEB 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
8 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.WED...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ174-220130-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
351 AM AKST SUN FEB 21 2016

...GALE WARNING MONDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10
FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ175-220130-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
351 AM AKST SUN FEB 21 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 12 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING S AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
9 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ176-220130-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
351 AM AKST SUN FEB 21 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 13 FT.
.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9
FT
BUILDING TO 15 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ177-220130-
ADAK TO KISKA-
351 AM AKST SUN FEB 21 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT...EXCEPT BECOMING SE 35 KT PACIFIC SIDE AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE EVENING.
.MON...E WIND 40 KT...EXCEPT 30 KT BERING SIDE IN THE MORNING.
SEAS 16 FT. SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ178-220130-
KISKA TO ATTU-
351 AM AKST SUN FEB 21 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 11 FT.
FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT...EXCEPT BECOMING E 40 KT PACIFIC SIDE AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE EVENING.
.MON...E WIND 40 KT...EXCEPT 30 KT BERING SIDE. SEAS 17 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT.

$$

PKZ179-220130-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
351 AM AKST SUN FEB 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT.
SEAS 8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ180-220130-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
351 AM AKST SUN FEB 21 2016

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY TODAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT. SNOW AND
RAIN. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY N OF CAPE NEWENHAM.
.TONIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. SNOW.
FREEZING SPRAY N OF CAPE NEWENHAM.
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. FREEZING
SPRAY N OF CAPE NEWENHAM.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 13 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ181-220130-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
351 AM AKST SUN FEB 21 2016

...BRISK WIND ADVISORY TODAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT.
.TUE...NE WIND 35 KT.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT.

$$

PKZ185-220130-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
351 AM AKST SUN FEB 21 2016

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...NW WIND 15 KT IN THE MORNING
BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...N WIND 20 KT.
SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

819 
FZAK52 PAFC 220014
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
314 PM AKST SUN FEB 21 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-221300-
314 PM AKST SUN FEB 21 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 980 MB LOW NEAR PORT HEIDEN WILL MOVE TO TOGIAK AT 993 MB SUN
NIGHT AND THEN DISSIPATE MON. A 963 MB LOW 350 NM SOUTHWEST OF
SHEMYA SUN NIGHT WILL MOVE TO 525 NM SOUTH OF DUTCH HARBOR AT 972
MB TUE AFTERNOON. A NORTH PACIFIC LOW WILL MOVE TO 300 NM SOUTH OF
SAND POINT AT 962 MB TUE AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ150-221300-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
314 PM AKST SUN FEB 21 2016

...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING E 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.TUE...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 28 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 25 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ155-221300-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
314 PM AKST SUN FEB 21 2016

...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
15 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 26 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ160-221300-
BRISTOL BAY-
314 PM AKST SUN FEB 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING SW 25 KT. SEAS 5
FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ165-221300-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
314 PM AKST SUN FEB 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
6 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ170-221300-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
314 PM AKST SUN FEB 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.WED...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ171-221300-
UNALASKA BAY-
314 PM AKST SUN FEB 21 2016

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ172-221300-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
314 PM AKST SUN FEB 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 25 FT.
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ173-221300-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
314 PM AKST SUN FEB 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING S AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
8 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ174-221300-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
314 PM AKST SUN FEB 21 2016

...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 10
FT.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 25 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ175-221300-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
314 PM AKST SUN FEB 21 2016

...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING S AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9
FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ176-221300-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
314 PM AKST SUN FEB 21 2016

...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9
FT.
.MON...SE WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 9
FT BUILDING TO 15 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ177-221300-
ADAK TO KISKA-
314 PM AKST SUN FEB 21 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 9
FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT BUILDING TO 17 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SNOW AND RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 20 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ178-221300-
KISKA TO ATTU-
314 PM AKST SUN FEB 21 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.

$$

PKZ179-221300-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
314 PM AKST SUN FEB 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE EVENING.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.WED...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ180-221300-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
314 PM AKST SUN FEB 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN ICE
FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 12 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ181-221300-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
314 PM AKST SUN FEB 21 2016

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT.
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT.

$$

PKZ185-221300-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
314 PM AKST SUN FEB 21 2016

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO
15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...N WIND 25 KT.
SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...N 20 KT W
OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY W OF
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY W OF SAINT
MATTHEW ISLAND.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

316 
FZAK52 PAFC 220613
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
913 PM AKST SUN FEB 21 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-221915-
913 PM AKST SUN FEB 21 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...

A 980 MB LOW NEAR PORT HEIDEN WILL MOVE TO TOGIAK AT 993 MB SUN
NIGHT AND THEN DISSIPATE MON. A 963 MB LOW 350 NM SOUTHWEST OF
SHEMYA SUN NIGHT WILL MOVE TO 525 NM SOUTH OF DUTCH HARBOR AT 972
MB TUE AFTERNOON. A NORTH PACIFIC LOW WILL MOVE TO 300 NM SOUTH OF
SAND POINT AT 962 MB TUE AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ150-221915-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
913 PM AKST SUN FEB 21 2016

...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING E 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. 
.TUE...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 28 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ155-221915-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
913 PM AKST SUN FEB 21 2016

...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 26 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.FRI...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ160-221915-
BRISTOL BAY-
913 PM AKST SUN FEB 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING SW 25 KT. SEAS
5 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ165-221915-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
913 PM AKST SUN FEB 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ170-221915-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
913 PM AKST SUN FEB 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ171-221915-
UNALASKA BAY-
913 PM AKST SUN FEB 21 2016

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ172-221915-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
913 PM AKST SUN FEB 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ173-221915-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
913 PM AKST SUN FEB 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT BECOMING S AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
8 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ174-221915-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
913 PM AKST SUN FEB 21 2016

...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
10 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ175-221915-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
913 PM AKST SUN FEB 21 2016

...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 15 KT BECOMING S AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
9 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ176-221915-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
913 PM AKST SUN FEB 21 2016

...GALE WARNING MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...W WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
9 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
9 FT BUILDING TO 15 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 21 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.WED...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ177-221915-
ADAK TO KISKA-
913 PM AKST SUN FEB 21 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
9 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT BUILDING TO 17 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 20 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ178-221915-
KISKA TO ATTU-
913 PM AKST SUN FEB 21 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT. FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. SNOW. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.FRI...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.

$$

PKZ179-221915-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
913 PM AKST SUN FEB 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
8 FT. FREEZING SPRAY IN THE EVENING. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.WED...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. 
.THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ180-221915-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
913 PM AKST SUN FEB 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.MON...NW WIND 20 KT BECOMING S IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN ICE
FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS
12 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. 
.FRI...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ181-221915-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
913 PM AKST SUN FEB 21 2016

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. 
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. 
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT.

$$

PKZ185-221915-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
913 PM AKST SUN FEB 21 2016

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING THROUGH MONDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...N WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING
TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...N WIND
25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND...N 20 KT W
OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY W OF
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. FREEZING SPRAY W OF SAINT
MATTHEW ISLAND. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

941 
FZAK52 PAFC 221221
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
321 AM AKST MON FEB 22 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-230130-
321 AM AKST MON FEB 22 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 992 MB LOW 60 NM EAST OF CAPE NEWENHAM WILL DISSIPATE MON. A
966 MB LOW 400 NM SOUTHWEST OF SHEMYA WILL TRACK TO 450 NM SOUTH
OF ADAK AT 972 MB MON NIGHT...THEN BECOME ABSORBED INTO A 964 MB
NORTH PACIFIC LOW CENTERED 250 NM SOUTH OF SAND POINT TUE NIGHT.

$$

PKZ150-230130-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
321 AM AKST MON FEB 22 2016

...STORM WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 25 KT BY MIDNIGHT AND THEN
INCREASING TO 40 KT TOWARD MORNING. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...NE WIND 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 26 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ155-230130-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
321 AM AKST MON FEB 22 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 9 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 25 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ160-230130-
BRISTOL BAY-
321 AM AKST MON FEB 22 2016

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 8 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ165-230130-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
321 AM AKST MON FEB 22 2016

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 15 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ170-230130-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
321 AM AKST MON FEB 22 2016

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING INCREASING TO 30 KT.
SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.WED...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ171-230130-
UNALASKA BAY-
321 AM AKST MON FEB 22 2016

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 3 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ172-230130-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
321 AM AKST MON FEB 22 2016

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING NE 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT
BUILDING TO 23 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT.
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ173-230130-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
321 AM AKST MON FEB 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.WED...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ174-230130-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
321 AM AKST MON FEB 22 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 10 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ175-230130-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
321 AM AKST MON FEB 22 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING E 30 KT.
SEAS 8 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT TOWARD MORNING.
SEAS 12 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.WED...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ176-230130-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
321 AM AKST MON FEB 22 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT BECOMING E 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 15 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 19 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 21 FT. RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.WED...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ177-230130-
ADAK TO KISKA-
321 AM AKST MON FEB 22 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...E WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT BUILDING TO 17 FT
IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT TOWARD MORNING.
SEAS 20 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 18 FT. SNOW WITH RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ178-230130-
KISKA TO ATTU-
321 AM AKST MON FEB 22 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
BERING SIDE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT EXCEPT 10 FT BERING SIDE.
SNOW.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING N 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
SEAS 15 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.

$$

PKZ179-230130-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
321 AM AKST MON FEB 22 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TUESDAY...

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 20 KT.
SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.WED...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ180-230130-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
321 AM AKST MON FEB 22 2016

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY...

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT EXCEPT VARIABLE 10 KT FROM CAPE NEWENHAM N.
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. N OF
CAPE NEWENHAM...E WIND 20 KT BECOMING NE 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 12 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ181-230130-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
321 AM AKST MON FEB 22 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING NE 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT.
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...E WIND 25 KT.

$$

PKZ185-230130-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
321 AM AKST MON FEB 22 2016

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TODAY AND TUESDAY...

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT EXCEPT 10 KT FROM SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND E.
SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY W OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY W OF SAINT
MATTHEW ISLAND.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY N OF SAINT
MATTHEW ISLAND.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

145 
FZAK52 PAFC 230000
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
300 PM AKST MON FEB 22 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-231300-
300 PM AKST MON FEB 22 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 962 MB LOW 240 NM SOUTHWEST OF ADAK WILL MOVE TO 700 NM SOUTH
OF DUTCH HARBOR AT 972 MB TUE AFTERNOON AND DISSIPATE WED
MORNING. A 960 MB LOW WILL MOVE TO 360 NM SOUTH OF CHIGNIK TUE
AFTERNOON THEN MOVE TO 250 NM SOUTH OF SAND POINT WED AFTERNOON
AT 965 MB. A 996 MB LOW WILL FORM 100 NM EAST OF SHEMYA WED
MORNING AND MOVE TO 30 NM EAST OF SHEMYA WED AFTERNOON AT 989 MB.

$$

PKZ150-231300-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
300 PM AKST MON FEB 22 2016

...STORM WARNING TUESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
10 FT BUILDING TO 16 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE...NE WIND 50 KT. SEAS 25 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ155-231300-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
300 PM AKST MON FEB 22 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT BECOMING E 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 25 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ160-231300-
BRISTOL BAY-
300 PM AKST MON FEB 22 2016

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 6
FT BUILDING TO 10 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ165-231300-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
300 PM AKST MON FEB 22 2016

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 7
FT BUILDING TO 13 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 18 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ170-231300-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
300 PM AKST MON FEB 22 2016

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 12 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.WED...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ171-231300-
UNALASKA BAY-
300 PM AKST MON FEB 22 2016

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 4
FT BUILDING TO 7 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ172-231300-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
300 PM AKST MON FEB 22 2016

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT BUILDING TO 22 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT. RAIN.
.WED...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ173-231300-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
300 PM AKST MON FEB 22 2016

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.WED...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ174-231300-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
300 PM AKST MON FEB 22 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.WED...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ175-231300-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
300 PM AKST MON FEB 22 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. SNOW.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ176-231300-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
300 PM AKST MON FEB 22 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ177-231300-
ADAK TO KISKA-
300 PM AKST MON FEB 22 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ178-231300-
KISKA TO ATTU-
300 PM AKST MON FEB 22 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW.
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ179-231300-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
300 PM AKST MON FEB 22 2016

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.WED...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ180-231300-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
300 PM AKST MON FEB 22 2016

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 45 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 12 FT. RAIN.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT.
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 7 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ181-231300-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
300 PM AKST MON FEB 22 2016

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT.
.WED...N WIND 35 KT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E WIND 25 KT.

$$

PKZ185-231300-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
300 PM AKST MON FEB 22 2016

...GALE WARNING TUESDAY NIGHT...
...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT E OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND... NE 25 KT W
OF SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED AND WED NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

784 
FZAK52 PAFC 231221
CWFALU

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
321 AM AKST TUE FEB 23 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE
ALASKA PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS UP TO 100 NM OUT.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ199-240100-
321 AM AKST TUE FEB 23 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA+BRISTOL BAY+THE ALASKA
PENINSULA WATERS AND THE ALEUTIAN ISLANDS...
A 974 MB LOW 425 NM SOUTH OF ADAK WILL DISSIPATE WED MORNING 700
NM SOUTH OF SAND POINT. A 968 MB LOW 600 NM SOUTH OF SITKINAK WILL
MOVE TO 225 NM SOUTH OF COLD BAY AT 970 MB WED NIGHT. A 996 MB
LOW WILL FORM 175 NM SOUTHEAST OF SHEMYA WED MORNING THEN MOVE TO
160 NM SOUTHEAST OF SHEMYA AT 988 MB WED NIGHT.

$$

PKZ150-240100-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA SITKINAK TO CASTLE CAPE-
321 AM AKST TUE FEB 23 2016

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND INCREASING TO 50 KT BY LATE MORNING AND DIMINISHING
TO 40 KT IN THE LATE AFTERNOON. SEAS 17 FT BUILDING TO 26 FT IN
THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 40 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO
50 KT OUT OF SHELIKOF STRAIT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 22 FT. RAIN.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 35 KT.
SEAS 20 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ155-240100-
SOUTH OF THE AK PENINSULA CASTLE CAPE TO CAPE SARICHEF-
321 AM AKST TUE FEB 23 2016

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 40 KT. FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...NE WIND
INCREASING TO 50 KT BY LATE MORNING AND DIMINISHING TO 40 KT IN
THE LATE AFTERNOON. SEAS 17 FT BUILDING TO 25 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
RAIN.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
FROM THE SHUMAGIN ISLANDS E...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 23 FT. RAIN.
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

PKZ160-240100-
BRISTOL BAY-
321 AM AKST TUE FEB 23 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 5 FT BUILDING TO 9 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 11 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 7 FT.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ165-240100-
PORT HEIDEN TO CAPE SARICHEF-
321 AM AKST TUE FEB 23 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 8 FT BUILDING TO 13 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 35 KT TOWARD MORNING.
SEAS 18 FT. RAIN.
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT BECOMING E 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 15 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ170-240100-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI BERING SIDE-
321 AM AKST TUE FEB 23 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 7 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.WED...N WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT FROM DUTCH HARBOR E IN
THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN WITH SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.THU...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ171-240100-
UNALASKA BAY-
321 AM AKST TUE FEB 23 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 30 KT. SEAS 6
FT BUILDING TO 10 FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.WED...N WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 16 FT SUBSIDING TO 12 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ172-240100-
CAPE SARICHEF TO NIKOLSKI PACIFIC SIDE-
321 AM AKST TUE FEB 23 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND INCREASING TO 40 KT. SEAS 13 FT BUILDING TO 20
FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT. RAIN.
.WED...N WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT FROM DUTCH HARBOR E IN
THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ173-240100-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND BERING SIDE-
321 AM AKST TUE FEB 23 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.WED...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.THU THROUGH SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ174-240100-
NIKOLSKI TO SEGUAM ISLAND PACIFIC SIDE-
321 AM AKST TUE FEB 23 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.WED...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 21 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.THU...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ175-240100-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK BERING SIDE-
321 AM AKST TUE FEB 23 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT FROM ATKA E AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10 FT.
.WED...N WIND 30 KT EXCEPT 20 KT W OF ATKA. SEAS 14 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.SAT...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ176-240100-
SEGUAM ISLAND TO ADAK PACIFIC SIDE-
321 AM AKST TUE FEB 23 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 20 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT FROM ATKA E IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 17 FT.
.WED...N WIND 30 KT EXCEPT 20 KT W OF ATKA. SEAS 17 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.THU...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ177-240100-
ADAK TO KISKA-
321 AM AKST TUE FEB 23 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT PACIFIC SIDE AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT EXCEPT 10 KT PACIFIC SIDE. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.

$$

PKZ178-240100-
KISKA TO ATTU-
321 AM AKST TUE FEB 23 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 14 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ179-240100-
PRIBILOF ISLANDS NEAR SHORE WATERS-
321 AM AKST TUE FEB 23 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 14 FT.
.WED...N WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ180-240100-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA AND ETOLIN STRAIT-
321 AM AKST TUE FEB 23 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 30 KT BECOMING NE 40 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. 
FROM CAPE NEWENHAM N...E WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT EXCEPT 35 KT N OF CAPE NEWENHAM. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED...NE WIND 35 KT BECOMING E 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 10 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.WED NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT.
.THU...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 6 FT.
.SAT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ181-240100-
NORTH AND WEST OF NUNIVAK ISLAND-
321 AM AKST TUE FEB 23 2016

...GALE WARNING WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT IN THE EVENING INCREASING TO 30 KT.
.WED...N WIND 35 KT.
.WED NIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT.
.FRI THROUGH SAT...E WIND 25 KT.

$$

PKZ185-240100-
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND WATERS-
321 AM AKST TUE FEB 23 2016

...HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY WARNING TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. FREEZING SPRAY.
.TONIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY FROM
SAINT MATTHEW ISLAND N.
.WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY.
.WED NIGHT...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.SAT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
515 AM AKST SAT FEB 20 2016

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
AN UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA IS THE
GYRE AROUND WHICH ALL OF THE SMALLER DISTURBANCES AFFECTING THE
AREA ARE ROTATING ABOUT. TWO SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS ARE
ROTATING ABOUT EACH OTHER IN A PRETTY NEAT EXAMPLE OF THE
FUJIWARA EFFECT. THE SUBTROPICAL JET IS FLOWING AROUND THE WEST
AND SOUTH SIDES OF THIS UPPER LOW. ON THE EAST SIDE OF THE
LOW...THE FLOW IS SIGNIFICANTLY WEAKER...BUT AT AROUND 90 KTS...IT
IS NOT INSIGNIFICANT. THIS IS IMPORTANT AS IT WILL BE ONE OF THE
MANY FORCING MECHANISMS FOR THIS WEEKEND'S POTENTIAL WINTER EVENT
IN SOUTHCENTRAL. ANOTHER OF THE FORCING MECHANISMS IS SURFACE
FRONTOGENESIS ONGOING OVER THE PACIFIC EAST OF THE DUAL SURFACE
LOWS. MORE ON THE UPCOMING WEEKEND EVENT BELOW.

WEAK UPPER LEVEL FORCING IS CAUSING A FEW LINES OF SNOW SHOWERS TO
MOVE NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS THE KENAI PENINSULA THIS MORNING. THE
FORCING CAUSING THEM IS ELONGATING AND WEAKENING AS IT PUSHES
NORTHWARD. WEAK NORTH TO NORTHEAST FLOW ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL
CONTINUES INTO THE LOW WELL SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA. WITH
THE SHOWERS CAUSING LOCAL INCREASES IN THE PRESSURE
GRADIENT THE WINDS HAVE BEEN SOMEWHAT HIGHER ACROSS THE ANCHORAGE
BOWL. THAT COUPLED WITH THICKER CLOUD COVER HAS KEPT TEMPERATURES SEVERAL
DEGREES WARMER IN MOST AREAS THAN THIS TIME YESTERDAY.

OVER SOUTHWEST ALASKA...A FEW WEAK FEATURES ARE CAUSING LOCALLY
THICKER CLOUD COVER FROM DILLINGHAM WEST...BUT BOTH KING SALMON
AND BETHEL RADARS ARE FREE OF ANY ASSOCIATED PRECIPITATION. A FEW
LIGHT SHOWERS ARE TRYING TO GET OVER THE ALEUTIAN RANGE ON THE
ALASKA PENINSULA...BUT OTHERWISE SOUTHWEST ALASKA IS QUIET.
INCREASED WINDS DUE TO THE STRONGER PRESSURE GRADIENT ARE THE
BIGGEST CHANGE IN THE WEATHER OVER NEARLY ALL OF SOUTHWEST ALASKA.

FOR THE BERING/ALEUTIANS...THE ACERBIC TROUGH THAT BROUGHT SNOW TO
THE PRIBILOFS YESTERDAY AND BLIZZARD CONDITIONS TO NIKOLSKI HAS
CONTINUED MOVING WESTWARD AND WEAKENING. THE LOW SOUTH OF THE
ALASKA PENINSULA IS THE STRONGER OF THE SYNOPTIC FEATURES LEADING
TO THE TROUGH AS COMPARED WITH THE DYING LOW MOVING INTO THE
KAMCHATKA PENINSULA...AS SUCH THE EASTERLY FLOW HAS BEEN DOMINANT
LEADING TO THE WESTWARD MOVEMENT OF THE TROUGH. STRONG COLD
NORTHWEST FLOW CONTINUES WEST OF THE TROUGH OVER THE WESTERN
BERING AND WESTERN AND CENTRAL ALEUTIANS...BRINGING COLD SNOW
SHOWER ACTIVITY TO THOSE AREAS WITH COLD TEMPS IN THE 20S.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
SYNOPTICALLY GUIDANCE HEMISPHERIC AND MESOSCALE ALIKE HAVE A
SIMILAR HANDLE ON THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN. THE MAIN DRIVERS OF THE
PATTERN ARE WELL AGREED UPON IN THE COMING DAYS...A COMPLEX LOW
SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA AND WESTERN NORTH AMERICA RIDGING.
THE JET BETWEEN THE TWO IS WHERE ALL THE ACTION RESIDES. HOWEVER
AS ALWAYS...THE DEVIL IS IN THE DETAILS. THE UPPER LEVEL JET AND
LARGE SCALE DYNAMICS ARE WELL AGREED UPON AMONG MODELS. THE SETUP
BEGINS TODAY AS AN OCCLUDED FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE COMPLEX LOW
STALL OVER THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA JUST AS THE 300 MB JET IS
PROGGED TO INCREASE AND SHIFT OVER SOUTHCENTRAL FROM THE SOUTHEAST
LATE TONIGHT AT 80-100 KTS. A BASAL TROUGH CURRENTLY IN THE NORTH
PACIFIC SHOWN TO RIDE THE AFOREMENTIONED FRONT DEVELOPING A
FRONTAL WAVE THAT REALLY ENERGIZES THE LOW LEVEL GRADIENT OVER THE
NORTHEAST/NORTHERN GULF. GUIDANCE IS EVEN IN REALLY GOOD AGREEMENT
WITH THE DEVELOPMENT OF THE LOW LEVEL JET...HOWEVER ONCE IT
APPROACHES THE CHUGACH IS WHEN DIFFERENCES BEGIN TO SHOW UP. THE
HIGHER RESOLUTION MODELS (NAM/CANADIAN REGIONAL) CARRY THIS FLOW A
LITTLE STRONGER OVER THE MOUNTAINS AND DOWNSLOPE ON THE LEE SIDE
WHERE AS THE COARSER RESOLUTION GFS/ECMWF STOP THE LOW LEVEL JET
ON THE PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND SIDE WITH NO DOWNSLOPING. THIS WILL BE
THE KEY FEATURE TO FOCUS ON FOR THIS FORECAST PACKAGE. THE EAST
DOMAIN PREFERRED A BLEND OF THE 20/06Z NAM AND 20/00Z GFS WHILE
THE WEST DOMAIN PREFERRED THE 20/00Z GFS.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
TODAY STARTS OFF WITH A LEADING FRONT AND SHORTWAVE TROUGH
APPROACHING THE NORTH GULF COAST...BRINGING A MIXTURE OF RAIN AND
SNOW TO SEA LEVEL ALONG THE COAST AND SNOW TO HIGHER ELEVATIONS
ALONG THE COAST. THIS FRONT STALLS OUT TOWARD THE EVENING HOURS AS
THE JET RAMPS UP AND SHOULD BRING SOME LIGHT SNOW OVER THE
MOUNTAINS TO THE COOK INLET REGION WHILE COASTAL AREAS SEE STEADY
MODERATE RAIN. AROUND THE ANCHORAGE AREA THE BEST CHANCE TO SEE
ACCUMULATING SNOW COMES DURING THE MID TO LATE MORNING HOURS. AS
CROSS BARRIER FLOW INCREASES AND DOWNSLOPE FLOW WARMS A LITTLE BIT
SOME RAIN COULD BEGIN TO MIX IN WITH THE SNOW. IN THE AFTERNOON
HOURS...THE UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE CROSSES THE MOUNTAINS AND
BRINGS SOUTHERLY FLOW UP THE INLET ALONG WITH SOME COLD ADVECTION.
THE FORECAST HERE GETS A LITTLE BIT TRICKIER...TEMPERATURES OFF
THE SURFACE WOULD SUGGEST SNOW...ESPECIALLY WITH SOUTHERLY COLD
ADVECTION UP THE INLET...HOWEVER ANY AIR COMING THROUGH TURNAGAIN
ARM IS GOING TO BE ABOVE FREEZING MEANING PRECIPITATION TYPE WILL
BE DEPENDENT ON PRECIPITATION INTENSITY. LIGHTER PRECIPITATION
WILL RESULT IN RAIN OR A RAIN SNOW MIX WHILE HEAVIER PRECIPITATION
COULD BE A 34 DEGREE SNOW. THE FRONT MOVES INLAND AND BRINGS A
MORE SHOWERY REGIME ALOFT WITH THE MAJORITY OF RAIN/SNOW HUNG UP
ALONG THE COAST...THOUGH SOME SHOWERS COULD MAKE IT OVER THE
MOUNTAINS. UNCERTAINTY IS STILL PRETTY HIGH WITH THIS INCOMING
SYSTEM...THE SYNOPTIC PATTERN IS NOT A COMMON ONE AROUND HERE. A
VARIETY OF OUTCOMES ARE POSSIBLE AND THE DETAILS MAY NOT REVEAL
THEMSELVES UNTIL VERY CLOSE TO THE EVENT...STAY TUNED.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
MOST OF THE ACTIVE WEATHER OVER THE SOUTHWEST THIS WEEKEND WILL
CENTER AROUND THE LOW AND ASSOCIATED FRONT CURRENTLY MOVING
THROUGH THE WESTERN GULF. THIS LOW WILL BRING A CHANCE OF SNOW
MAINLY TO WESTERN BRISTOL BAY STARTING LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
CONTINUE INTO EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. THE HEAVIEST ACCUMULATIONS
SHOULD OCCUR OVER HIGHER ELEVATIONS NORTH AND WEST OF
DILLINGHAM...THOUGH A FEW INCHES OF NEW SNOWFALL SHOULD STILL FALL
OVER THE LOWER ELEVATIONS. TO THE EAST OF DILLINGHAM...DOWNSLOPING
FROM EASTERLY FLOW ALONG THE ALEUTIAN RANGE WILL PREVENT ANYTHING
MORE THAN A FEW PASSING SNOW SHOWERS THIS MORNING. GUSTY EASTERLY
WINDS WILL ALSO INCREASE THIS MORNING...MAINLY ALONG THE ALEUTIAN
RANGE...AND THEN CONTINUE INTO SUNDAY AS THE SURFACE LOW MOVES
INTO BRISTOL BAY. A CHANCE OF SNOW WILL MOVE INTO THE KUSKOKWIM
DELTA AND VALLEY ON SUNDAY...HOWEVER WITH CONTINUED EASTERLY FLOW
AND MINIMAL MOISTURE THESE SHOULD NOT BE TOO WIDESPREAD WITH
LITTLE SNOW ACCUMULATION.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
MUCH OF THE BERING SEA WILL REMAIN RELATIVELY QUIET THROUGH THIS
WEEKEND AS SNOW SHOWERS AND WINDS BEGIN TO DIMINISH TO GENERALLY
BELOW GALE FORCE. THE LOW APPROACHING THE AKPEN LATE TONIGHT WILL
BRING WIDESPREAD NORTHERLY WINDS THROUGHOUT THE BERING ALONG WITH COLD
AIR ADVECTION SNOW SHOWERS. A FRONTAL SYSTEM APPROACHING THE
WESTERN ALEUTIANS LATE SUNDAY WILL THEN BRING EASTERLY GALE FORCE
WINDS ALONG RAIN/SNOW TO THAT AREA INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...
THE OVERALL SYNOPTIC PATTERN FOR THE MID TO LONG TERM HAS CHANGED
LITTLE FROM YESTERDAY WITH MODELS CONTINUING TO SHOW A LARGE
AMPLITUDE RIDGE SPANNING FROM THE BROOKS RANGE SOUTHWARD ALONG THE
CONTINENTAL DIVIDE INTO THE WESTERN CONUS AND A BROAD TROUGH OVER
THE NORTHERN PACIFIC WITH CENTERS NEAR THE ALASKA PENINSULA AND
THE SEA OF OHKOSK.

AT THE SURFACE...A 960-970 MB LOW IS EXPECTED TO PROGRESS EASTWARD
ALONG THE ALEUTIAN CHAIN FROM SUNDAY EVENING TO A POSITION SOUTH
OF ADAK BY LATE MONDAY EVENING. BY TUESDAY MORNING...THIS SYSTEM
WILL BEGIN TO MERGE WITH A 980MB LOW MOVING UP FROM THE NORTH
PACIFIC...FORMING A BROAD 960-970MB LOW IN THE CENTERED IN THE
VICINITY OF DUTCH HARBOR. THIS WILL PUT MOST OF THE FORECAST AREA
IN A BROAD CYCLONIC FLOW WITH SOUTH TO EASTERLY FLOW OVER MOST OF
SOUTHERN/SOUTHWESTERN ALASKA AND MAINLY NORTHEAST FLOW OVER THE
BERING SEA. THIS BROAD LOW IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE
REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD WITH SHORTWAVES ROTATING AROUND
THE PARENT LOW.

THIS PATTERN WILL KEEP GENERALLY WET AND WARM WEATHER ALONG THE
NORTH GULF COAST AND PRODUCE A WARMING TREND THROUGH THE WEEK FOR
THE INTERIOR AREAS OF SOUTHERN/SOUTHWESTERN ALASKA.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR BLOWING SNOW 131.
MARINE...STORM WARNING 119 120 130 131 138.
         GALE WARNING 125 127 150 160 173 174 180 132 136 137
                      139 141.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...JPW
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...MTL
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...DEK
LONG TERM...TP