Storm Warning 58, NWS Anchorage, AK

468 
FZAK51 PAFC 210216 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
516 PM AKST SAT FEB 20 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-211530-
516 PM AKST SAT FEB 20 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 968 MB LOW 180 NM SOUTHEAST OF SITKINAK MOVES INTO BRISTOL BAY AT
980 MB SUN AFTERNOON...THEN DRIFTS INTO THE BERING. AN ASSOCIATED
FRONT OVER THE CENTRAL GULF MOVES TO THE NORTHERN GULF
TONIGHT...THEN STALLS ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST. A 988 MB LOW 220
NM SOUTHEAST OF MIDDLETON ISLAND EARLY SUN MOVES MOVES INLAND NEAR
KALGIN ISLAND SUN AFTERNOON.

$$

PKZ119-211530-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
516 PM AKST SAT FEB 20 2016

...STORM WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 50 KT. NEAR THE COAST...E WIND 60 KT. SEAS 25
FT. RAIN.
.SUN...SE WIND 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT BECOMING S 30 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 29 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 29 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT.

$$

PKZ120-211530-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
516 PM AKST SAT FEB 20 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING SOUTH 25 KT.
SEAS 18 FT SUBSIDING TO 13 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 29 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ121-211530-
RESURRECTION BAY-
516 PM AKST SAT FEB 20 2016

.TONIGHT...N WIND 15 KT WITH GUSTS TO 30 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER
WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND
SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES
HEAD. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ125-211530-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
516 PM AKST SAT FEB 20 2016

...STORM WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT INCREASING TO 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KTS
BY MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 BUILDING TO 12 FT BY MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 50 WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT BY
LATE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT BY LATE AFTERNOON.
RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 6 FT. RAIN. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ126-211530-
PORT VALDEZ-
516 PM AKST SAT FEB 20 2016

.TONIGHT...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SUN...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-211530-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
516 PM AKST SAT FEB 20 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...NE WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-211530-
VALDEZ ARM-
516 PM AKST SAT FEB 20 2016

...GALE WARNING SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN...E WIND 35 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 7 FT.
RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ129-211530-
PASSAGE CANAL-
516 PM AKST SAT FEB 20 2016

...GALE WARNING THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT BEFORE MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT INCREASING TO 6 FT BEFORE MIDNIGHT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...E WIND 40 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT IN THE LATE AFTERNOON.
GUSTS TO 55 KT IN THE MORNING. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ130-211530-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
516 PM AKST SAT FEB 20 2016

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT BECOMING SE 30 KT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 20 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN
AND SNOW.
.SUN...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ131-211530-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
516 PM AKST SAT FEB 20 2016

...STORM WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 30 KT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. NEAR KENNEDY ENTRANCE...NE WIND 50 KT WITH GUSTS
TO 60 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 13 FT.
.SUN...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING S 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
17 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN. 
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 27 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ132-211530-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
516 PM AKST SAT FEB 20 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT AND SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT...EXCEPT 25 KT N OF DANGEROUS CAPE. SEAS
19 FT EXCEPT 12 FT N OF DANGEROUS CAPE. 
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN. 
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 26 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ136-211530-
CHINIAK BAY-
516 PM AKST SAT FEB 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ137-211530-
MARMOT BAY-
516 PM AKST SAT FEB 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.SUN...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ138-211530-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
516 PM AKST SAT FEB 20 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT INCREASING TO 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
7 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN...SE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ139-211530-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
516 PM AKST SAT FEB 20 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 45 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 14 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SUN...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 3 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ140-211530-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
516 PM AKST SAT FEB 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING N 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 13 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW. 
.SUN...N WIND 15 KT BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. SNOW WITH RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ141-211530-
KACHEMAK BAY-
516 PM AKST SAT FEB 20 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT BECOMING E 10 KT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN
WITH SNOW. 
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN. 
.MON...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

524 
FZAK51 PAFC 211251
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
351 AM AKST SUN FEB 21 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-220200-
351 AM AKST SUN FEB 21 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 989 MB LOW 225 NM SOUTH OF YAKUTAT BECOMES A TROUGH OF LOW
PRESSURE NEAR SEWARD LATE THIS MORNING. AN ASSOCIATED FRONT ALONG
THE NORTH GULF COAST MOVES INLAND AND DISSIPATES BY AFTERNOON.
ANOTHER FRONT OVER THE SOUTHWEST GULF MOVES TO THE NORTHERN GULF
LATE TONIGHT...THEN DISSIPATES. A STRONG FRONT APPROACHES THE
SOUTHERN GULF LATE MON NIGHT.

$$

PKZ119-220200-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
351 AM AKST SUN FEB 21 2016

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 55 KT BECOMING S 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 29
FT SUBSIDING TO 23 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 28 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 25 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ120-220200-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
351 AM AKST SUN FEB 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...WINDS BECOMING SW 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 30 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 24 FT.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ121-220200-
RESURRECTION BAY-
351 AM AKST SUN FEB 21 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 3 FT.
HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN
SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ125-220200-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
351 AM AKST SUN FEB 21 2016

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 50 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13
FT SUBSIDING TO 10 FT THIS AFTERNOON. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO
4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ126-220200-
PORT VALDEZ-
351 AM AKST SUN FEB 21 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE THROUGH THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-220200-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
351 AM AKST SUN FEB 21 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE THIS AFTERNOON.
SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.
SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-220200-
VALDEZ ARM-
351 AM AKST SUN FEB 21 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT THIS AFTERNOON. SEAS 7
FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE THROUGH THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ129-220200-
PASSAGE CANAL-
351 AM AKST SUN FEB 21 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT THIS MORNING...THEN
DIMINISHING TO 25 KT THIS AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ130-220200-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
351 AM AKST SUN FEB 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT THIS AFTERNOON. SEAS 9 FT.
RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ131-220200-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
351 AM AKST SUN FEB 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
17 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 30 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ132-220200-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
351 AM AKST SUN FEB 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 30 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ136-220200-
CHINIAK BAY-
351 AM AKST SUN FEB 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ137-220200-
MARMOT BAY-
351 AM AKST SUN FEB 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ138-220200-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
351 AM AKST SUN FEB 21 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 13
FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ139-220200-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
351 AM AKST SUN FEB 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 5
FT SUBSIDING. SNOW WITH RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN
SHOWERS.
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ140-220200-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
351 AM AKST SUN FEB 21 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS
AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ141-220200-
KACHEMAK BAY-
351 AM AKST SUN FEB 21 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN
SHOWERS.
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

188 
FZAK51 PAFC 211754 AAA
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
854 AM AKST SUN FEB 21 2016

UPDATED AREA 120

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-220415-
854 AM AKST SUN FEB 21 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 989 MB LOW 225 NM SOUTH OF YAKUTAT BECOMES A TROUGH OF LOW
PRESSURE NEAR SEWARD LATE THIS MORNING. AN ASSOCIATED FRONT ALONG
THE NORTH GULF COAST MOVES INLAND AND DISSIPATES BY AFTERNOON.
ANOTHER FRONT OVER THE SOUTHWEST GULF MOVES TO THE NORTHERN GULF
LATE TONIGHT...THEN DISSIPATES. A STRONG FRONT APPROACHES THE
SOUTHERN GULF LATE MON NIGHT.

$$

PKZ119-220415-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
854 AM AKST SUN FEB 21 2016

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 55 KT BECOMING S 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
29 FT SUBSIDING TO 23 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 28 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 25 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ120-220415-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
854 AM AKST SUN FEB 21 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 45 KT BECOMING BECOMING SW 25 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 20 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 18 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 30 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT.

$$

PKZ121-220415-
RESURRECTION BAY-
854 AM AKST SUN FEB 21 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH WED...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ125-220415-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
854 AM AKST SUN FEB 21 2016

...STORM WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 50 KT BECOMING SE 35 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
13 FT SUBSIDING TO 10 FT THIS AFTERNOON. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO
4 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ126-220415-
PORT VALDEZ-
854 AM AKST SUN FEB 21 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-220415-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
854 AM AKST SUN FEB 21 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT LATE THIS AFTERNOON.
SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT.
SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.  
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ128-220415-
VALDEZ ARM-
854 AM AKST SUN FEB 21 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 25 KT THIS AFTERNOON. SEAS
7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ129-220415-
PASSAGE CANAL-
854 AM AKST SUN FEB 21 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...E WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT THIS MORNING...THEN
DIMINISHING TO 25 KT THIS AFTERNOON. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ130-220415-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
854 AM AKST SUN FEB 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 30 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT THIS AFTERNOON. SEAS
9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 22 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ131-220415-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
854 AM AKST SUN FEB 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT INCREASING TO 30 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
17 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 17 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 30 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ132-220415-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
854 AM AKST SUN FEB 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 16 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...SW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 16 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 30 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 24 FT. 
.THU...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 15 FT.

$$

PKZ136-220415-
CHINIAK BAY-
854 AM AKST SUN FEB 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ137-220415-
MARMOT BAY-
854 AM AKST SUN FEB 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 14 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ138-220415-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
854 AM AKST SUN FEB 21 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT BECOMING SE 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
13 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT. RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 18 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ139-220415-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
854 AM AKST SUN FEB 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT AND MONDAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
5 FT SUBSIDING. SNOW WITH RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.TUE...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ140-220415-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
854 AM AKST SUN FEB 21 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.MON...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS
AND SNOW SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ141-220415-
KACHEMAK BAY-
854 AM AKST SUN FEB 21 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 10 KT BECOMING SE 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN
SHOWERS. 
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.TUE...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.THU...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

560 
FZAK51 PAFC 220023
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
323 PM AKST SUN FEB 21 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-221345-
323 PM AKST SUN FEB 21 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 980 MB LOW NEAR PORT HEIDEN WILL MOVE NORTH AND WEAKEN THROUGH
MON. AN ASSOCIATED FRONT ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST WILL MOVE ONSHORE
SUN EVENING. ANOTHER STRONG FRONT WILL APPROACH THE SOUTHERN GULF
TUE.

$$

PKZ119-221345-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
323 PM AKST SUN FEB 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS
19 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 26 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 26 FT.
.THU...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 19 FT.

$$

PKZ120-221345-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
323 PM AKST SUN FEB 21 2016

...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS
19 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON...S WIND 25 KT DIMINISHING TO 15 KT TOWARD EVENING. SEAS 14
FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT. AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 28 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 26 FT.
.THU...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 18 FT.

$$

PKZ121-221345-
RESURRECTION BAY-
323 PM AKST SUN FEB 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT
DURING THE EVENING. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN
SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...N WIND 30 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ125-221345-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
323 PM AKST SUN FEB 21 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO SE 25 KT BY EARLY EVENING.
SEAS 12 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT IN THE
AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.TUE...E WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ126-221345-
PORT VALDEZ-
323 PM AKST SUN FEB 21 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ127-221345-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
323 PM AKST SUN FEB 21 2016

.TONIGHT...N WIND 20 KT BECOMING S WIND 15 KT WITH GUSTS TO 25 KT
BY EARLY THIS EVENING...THEN DIMINISHING TO VARIABLE 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE THROUGH WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-221345-
VALDEZ ARM-
323 PM AKST SUN FEB 21 2016

.TONIGHT...E WIND 20 KT WITH GUSTS TO 30 KT BECOMING SW WIND 15
KT WITH GUSTS TO 25 KT BY EARLY THIS EVENING...THEN BECOMING SE 15
KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE WIND 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ129-221345-
PASSAGE CANAL-
323 PM AKST SUN FEB 21 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT
EARLY THIS EVENING. SEAS 5 FT SUBSIDING TO 2 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SNOW SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
2 FT. SNOW SHOWERS.
.TUE...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ130-221345-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
323 PM AKST SUN FEB 21 2016

...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 25 KT INCREASING TO 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 10 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 24 FT.
.WED...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ131-221345-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
323 PM AKST SUN FEB 21 2016

...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 30 KT. SEAS 19 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 40 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
11 FT.
.TUE...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 23 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 29 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 26 FT.
.THU...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ132-221345-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
323 PM AKST SUN FEB 21 2016

...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT BECOMING E 45 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
12 FT BUILDING TO 28 FT. RAIN.
.TUE...E WIND 50 KT. SEAS 28 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 29 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 26 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 17 FT.

$$

PKZ136-221345-
CHINIAK BAY-
323 PM AKST SUN FEB 21 2016

...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4
FT BUILDING TO 9 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 15 FT.
.THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 10 FT.

$$

PKZ137-221345-
MARMOT BAY-
323 PM AKST SUN FEB 21 2016

...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT BUILDING TO 11 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.TUE...E WIND 45 KT. SEAS 17 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 40 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.THU THROUGH FRI...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ138-221345-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
323 PM AKST SUN FEB 21 2016

...GALE WARNING MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 35 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
4 FT BUILDING TO 18 FT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.TUE...NE WIND 45 KT. SEAS 22 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 20 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ139-221345-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
323 PM AKST SUN FEB 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS.
.MON...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 40 KT. SEAS 18 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...NE WIND 35 KT. SEAS 16 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ140-221345-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
323 PM AKST SUN FEB 21 2016

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON...SE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS IN
ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW
SHOWERS AND RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
IN ICE FREE WATERS 4 FT.
.TUE AND TUE NIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 8 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 9 FT.
.FRI...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ141-221345-
KACHEMAK BAY-
323 PM AKST SUN FEB 21 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SE WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS 3
FT. RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. AND SNOW SHOWERS.
.MON NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT INCREASING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE NIGHT...E WIND 35 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.FRI...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
515 AM AKST SAT FEB 20 2016

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...
AN UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTERED SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA IS THE
GYRE AROUND WHICH ALL OF THE SMALLER DISTURBANCES AFFECTING THE
AREA ARE ROTATING ABOUT. TWO SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS ARE
ROTATING ABOUT EACH OTHER IN A PRETTY NEAT EXAMPLE OF THE
FUJIWARA EFFECT. THE SUBTROPICAL JET IS FLOWING AROUND THE WEST
AND SOUTH SIDES OF THIS UPPER LOW. ON THE EAST SIDE OF THE
LOW...THE FLOW IS SIGNIFICANTLY WEAKER...BUT AT AROUND 90 KTS...IT
IS NOT INSIGNIFICANT. THIS IS IMPORTANT AS IT WILL BE ONE OF THE
MANY FORCING MECHANISMS FOR THIS WEEKEND'S POTENTIAL WINTER EVENT
IN SOUTHCENTRAL. ANOTHER OF THE FORCING MECHANISMS IS SURFACE
FRONTOGENESIS ONGOING OVER THE PACIFIC EAST OF THE DUAL SURFACE
LOWS. MORE ON THE UPCOMING WEEKEND EVENT BELOW.

WEAK UPPER LEVEL FORCING IS CAUSING A FEW LINES OF SNOW SHOWERS TO
MOVE NORTHWESTWARD ACROSS THE KENAI PENINSULA THIS MORNING. THE
FORCING CAUSING THEM IS ELONGATING AND WEAKENING AS IT PUSHES
NORTHWARD. WEAK NORTH TO NORTHEAST FLOW ACROSS SOUTHCENTRAL
CONTINUES INTO THE LOW WELL SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA. WITH
THE SHOWERS CAUSING LOCAL INCREASES IN THE PRESSURE
GRADIENT THE WINDS HAVE BEEN SOMEWHAT HIGHER ACROSS THE ANCHORAGE
BOWL. THAT COUPLED WITH THICKER CLOUD COVER HAS KEPT TEMPERATURES SEVERAL
DEGREES WARMER IN MOST AREAS THAN THIS TIME YESTERDAY.

OVER SOUTHWEST ALASKA...A FEW WEAK FEATURES ARE CAUSING LOCALLY
THICKER CLOUD COVER FROM DILLINGHAM WEST...BUT BOTH KING SALMON
AND BETHEL RADARS ARE FREE OF ANY ASSOCIATED PRECIPITATION. A FEW
LIGHT SHOWERS ARE TRYING TO GET OVER THE ALEUTIAN RANGE ON THE
ALASKA PENINSULA...BUT OTHERWISE SOUTHWEST ALASKA IS QUIET.
INCREASED WINDS DUE TO THE STRONGER PRESSURE GRADIENT ARE THE
BIGGEST CHANGE IN THE WEATHER OVER NEARLY ALL OF SOUTHWEST ALASKA.

FOR THE BERING/ALEUTIANS...THE ACERBIC TROUGH THAT BROUGHT SNOW TO
THE PRIBILOFS YESTERDAY AND BLIZZARD CONDITIONS TO NIKOLSKI HAS
CONTINUED MOVING WESTWARD AND WEAKENING. THE LOW SOUTH OF THE
ALASKA PENINSULA IS THE STRONGER OF THE SYNOPTIC FEATURES LEADING
TO THE TROUGH AS COMPARED WITH THE DYING LOW MOVING INTO THE
KAMCHATKA PENINSULA...AS SUCH THE EASTERLY FLOW HAS BEEN DOMINANT
LEADING TO THE WESTWARD MOVEMENT OF THE TROUGH. STRONG COLD
NORTHWEST FLOW CONTINUES WEST OF THE TROUGH OVER THE WESTERN
BERING AND WESTERN AND CENTRAL ALEUTIANS...BRINGING COLD SNOW
SHOWER ACTIVITY TO THOSE AREAS WITH COLD TEMPS IN THE 20S.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
SYNOPTICALLY GUIDANCE HEMISPHERIC AND MESOSCALE ALIKE HAVE A
SIMILAR HANDLE ON THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN. THE MAIN DRIVERS OF THE
PATTERN ARE WELL AGREED UPON IN THE COMING DAYS...A COMPLEX LOW
SOUTH OF THE ALASKA PENINSULA AND WESTERN NORTH AMERICA RIDGING.
THE JET BETWEEN THE TWO IS WHERE ALL THE ACTION RESIDES. HOWEVER
AS ALWAYS...THE DEVIL IS IN THE DETAILS. THE UPPER LEVEL JET AND
LARGE SCALE DYNAMICS ARE WELL AGREED UPON AMONG MODELS. THE SETUP
BEGINS TODAY AS AN OCCLUDED FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH THE COMPLEX LOW
STALL OVER THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA JUST AS THE 300 MB JET IS
PROGGED TO INCREASE AND SHIFT OVER SOUTHCENTRAL FROM THE SOUTHEAST
LATE TONIGHT AT 80-100 KTS. A BASAL TROUGH CURRENTLY IN THE NORTH
PACIFIC SHOWN TO RIDE THE AFOREMENTIONED FRONT DEVELOPING A
FRONTAL WAVE THAT REALLY ENERGIZES THE LOW LEVEL GRADIENT OVER THE
NORTHEAST/NORTHERN GULF. GUIDANCE IS EVEN IN REALLY GOOD AGREEMENT
WITH THE DEVELOPMENT OF THE LOW LEVEL JET...HOWEVER ONCE IT
APPROACHES THE CHUGACH IS WHEN DIFFERENCES BEGIN TO SHOW UP. THE
HIGHER RESOLUTION MODELS (NAM/CANADIAN REGIONAL) CARRY THIS FLOW A
LITTLE STRONGER OVER THE MOUNTAINS AND DOWNSLOPE ON THE LEE SIDE
WHERE AS THE COARSER RESOLUTION GFS/ECMWF STOP THE LOW LEVEL JET
ON THE PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND SIDE WITH NO DOWNSLOPING. THIS WILL BE
THE KEY FEATURE TO FOCUS ON FOR THIS FORECAST PACKAGE. THE EAST
DOMAIN PREFERRED A BLEND OF THE 20/06Z NAM AND 20/00Z GFS WHILE
THE WEST DOMAIN PREFERRED THE 20/00Z GFS.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
TODAY STARTS OFF WITH A LEADING FRONT AND SHORTWAVE TROUGH
APPROACHING THE NORTH GULF COAST...BRINGING A MIXTURE OF RAIN AND
SNOW TO SEA LEVEL ALONG THE COAST AND SNOW TO HIGHER ELEVATIONS
ALONG THE COAST. THIS FRONT STALLS OUT TOWARD THE EVENING HOURS AS
THE JET RAMPS UP AND SHOULD BRING SOME LIGHT SNOW OVER THE
MOUNTAINS TO THE COOK INLET REGION WHILE COASTAL AREAS SEE STEADY
MODERATE RAIN. AROUND THE ANCHORAGE AREA THE BEST CHANCE TO SEE
ACCUMULATING SNOW COMES DURING THE MID TO LATE MORNING HOURS. AS
CROSS BARRIER FLOW INCREASES AND DOWNSLOPE FLOW WARMS A LITTLE BIT
SOME RAIN COULD BEGIN TO MIX IN WITH THE SNOW. IN THE AFTERNOON
HOURS...THE UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE CROSSES THE MOUNTAINS AND
BRINGS SOUTHERLY FLOW UP THE INLET ALONG WITH SOME COLD ADVECTION.
THE FORECAST HERE GETS A LITTLE BIT TRICKIER...TEMPERATURES OFF
THE SURFACE WOULD SUGGEST SNOW...ESPECIALLY WITH SOUTHERLY COLD
ADVECTION UP THE INLET...HOWEVER ANY AIR COMING THROUGH TURNAGAIN
ARM IS GOING TO BE ABOVE FREEZING MEANING PRECIPITATION TYPE WILL
BE DEPENDENT ON PRECIPITATION INTENSITY. LIGHTER PRECIPITATION
WILL RESULT IN RAIN OR A RAIN SNOW MIX WHILE HEAVIER PRECIPITATION
COULD BE A 34 DEGREE SNOW. THE FRONT MOVES INLAND AND BRINGS A
MORE SHOWERY REGIME ALOFT WITH THE MAJORITY OF RAIN/SNOW HUNG UP
ALONG THE COAST...THOUGH SOME SHOWERS COULD MAKE IT OVER THE
MOUNTAINS. UNCERTAINTY IS STILL PRETTY HIGH WITH THIS INCOMING
SYSTEM...THE SYNOPTIC PATTERN IS NOT A COMMON ONE AROUND HERE. A
VARIETY OF OUTCOMES ARE POSSIBLE AND THE DETAILS MAY NOT REVEAL
THEMSELVES UNTIL VERY CLOSE TO THE EVENT...STAY TUNED.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
MOST OF THE ACTIVE WEATHER OVER THE SOUTHWEST THIS WEEKEND WILL
CENTER AROUND THE LOW AND ASSOCIATED FRONT CURRENTLY MOVING
THROUGH THE WESTERN GULF. THIS LOW WILL BRING A CHANCE OF SNOW
MAINLY TO WESTERN BRISTOL BAY STARTING LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
CONTINUE INTO EARLY SUNDAY MORNING. THE HEAVIEST ACCUMULATIONS
SHOULD OCCUR OVER HIGHER ELEVATIONS NORTH AND WEST OF
DILLINGHAM...THOUGH A FEW INCHES OF NEW SNOWFALL SHOULD STILL FALL
OVER THE LOWER ELEVATIONS. TO THE EAST OF DILLINGHAM...DOWNSLOPING
FROM EASTERLY FLOW ALONG THE ALEUTIAN RANGE WILL PREVENT ANYTHING
MORE THAN A FEW PASSING SNOW SHOWERS THIS MORNING. GUSTY EASTERLY
WINDS WILL ALSO INCREASE THIS MORNING...MAINLY ALONG THE ALEUTIAN
RANGE...AND THEN CONTINUE INTO SUNDAY AS THE SURFACE LOW MOVES
INTO BRISTOL BAY. A CHANCE OF SNOW WILL MOVE INTO THE KUSKOKWIM
DELTA AND VALLEY ON SUNDAY...HOWEVER WITH CONTINUED EASTERLY FLOW
AND MINIMAL MOISTURE THESE SHOULD NOT BE TOO WIDESPREAD WITH
LITTLE SNOW ACCUMULATION.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
MUCH OF THE BERING SEA WILL REMAIN RELATIVELY QUIET THROUGH THIS
WEEKEND AS SNOW SHOWERS AND WINDS BEGIN TO DIMINISH TO GENERALLY
BELOW GALE FORCE. THE LOW APPROACHING THE AKPEN LATE TONIGHT WILL
BRING WIDESPREAD NORTHERLY WINDS THROUGHOUT THE BERING ALONG WITH COLD
AIR ADVECTION SNOW SHOWERS. A FRONTAL SYSTEM APPROACHING THE
WESTERN ALEUTIANS LATE SUNDAY WILL THEN BRING EASTERLY GALE FORCE
WINDS ALONG RAIN/SNOW TO THAT AREA INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...
THE OVERALL SYNOPTIC PATTERN FOR THE MID TO LONG TERM HAS CHANGED
LITTLE FROM YESTERDAY WITH MODELS CONTINUING TO SHOW A LARGE
AMPLITUDE RIDGE SPANNING FROM THE BROOKS RANGE SOUTHWARD ALONG THE
CONTINENTAL DIVIDE INTO THE WESTERN CONUS AND A BROAD TROUGH OVER
THE NORTHERN PACIFIC WITH CENTERS NEAR THE ALASKA PENINSULA AND
THE SEA OF OHKOSK.

AT THE SURFACE...A 960-970 MB LOW IS EXPECTED TO PROGRESS EASTWARD
ALONG THE ALEUTIAN CHAIN FROM SUNDAY EVENING TO A POSITION SOUTH
OF ADAK BY LATE MONDAY EVENING. BY TUESDAY MORNING...THIS SYSTEM
WILL BEGIN TO MERGE WITH A 980MB LOW MOVING UP FROM THE NORTH
PACIFIC...FORMING A BROAD 960-970MB LOW IN THE CENTERED IN THE
VICINITY OF DUTCH HARBOR. THIS WILL PUT MOST OF THE FORECAST AREA
IN A BROAD CYCLONIC FLOW WITH SOUTH TO EASTERLY FLOW OVER MOST OF
SOUTHERN/SOUTHWESTERN ALASKA AND MAINLY NORTHEAST FLOW OVER THE
BERING SEA. THIS BROAD LOW IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE
REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD WITH SHORTWAVES ROTATING AROUND
THE PARENT LOW.

THIS PATTERN WILL KEEP GENERALLY WET AND WARM WEATHER ALONG THE
NORTH GULF COAST AND PRODUCE A WARMING TREND THROUGH THE WEEK FOR
THE INTERIOR AREAS OF SOUTHERN/SOUTHWESTERN ALASKA.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR BLOWING SNOW 131.
MARINE...STORM WARNING 119 120 130 131 138.
         GALE WARNING 125 127 150 160 173 174 180 132 136 137
                      139 141.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...JPW
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...MTL
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...DEK
LONG TERM...TP