Alert archive / Alaska / Gale Warnings in 2016

Gale Warning 163, NWS Anchorage, AK

February 13, 2016

NWS Anchorage, AK issued this gale warning at Feb 13, 2016, 3:01 PM AKST. It was in force for 12 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Feb 13, 2016, 3:01 PM AKST (00:01 UTC)
Expired
Feb 14, 2016, 3:20 AM AKST
In force
12 hr
Issued by
NWS Anchorage, AK

The text

As transmitted.

492 
FZAK51 PAFC 140001
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
301 PM AKST SAT FEB 13 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-141245-
301 PM AKST SAT FEB 13 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 983 MB LOW 125 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK CITY MOVES TO 60 NM
SOUTHWEST OF HOMER AT 990 MB SUN AFTERNOON AND DISSIPATES. A 990
MB LOW FORMS 320 NM SOUTHWEST OF SITKA SUN MORNING AND MOVES TO
85 NM SOUTHEAST OF SITKA AT 992 MB BEFORE MOVING INLAND SUNDAY
EVENING.

$$

PKZ119-141245-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
301 PM AKST SAT FEB 13 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ120-141245-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
301 PM AKST SAT FEB 13 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE EVENING...THEN
DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ121-141245-
RESURRECTION BAY-
301 PM AKST SAT FEB 13 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING
N 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS
S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-141245-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
301 PM AKST SAT FEB 13 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-141245-
PORT VALDEZ-
301 PM AKST SAT FEB 13 2016

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE THROUGH THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-141245-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
301 PM AKST SAT FEB 13 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE THROUGH THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-141245-
VALDEZ ARM-
301 PM AKST SAT FEB 13 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE WIND 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE THROUGH THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ129-141245-
PASSAGE CANAL-
301 PM AKST SAT FEB 13 2016

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT BY LATE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-141245-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
301 PM AKST SAT FEB 13 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT. SEAS BUILDING TO 12 FT. RAIN
SHOWERS.
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
12 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ131-141245-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
301 PM AKST SAT FEB 13 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE EVENING...THEN
BECOMING S 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ132-141245-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
301 PM AKST SAT FEB 13 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. N OF DANGEROUS CAPE...E WIND 25 KT
BECOMING SW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ136-141245-
CHINIAK BAY-
301 PM AKST SAT FEB 13 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 5
FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ137-141245-
MARMOT BAY-
301 PM AKST SAT FEB 13 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ138-141245-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
301 PM AKST SAT FEB 13 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING SW 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ139-141245-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
301 PM AKST SAT FEB 13 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
SUBSIDING TO 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ140-141245-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
301 PM AKST SAT FEB 13 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT.
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING DIMINISHING TO 10 KT.
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.MON AND MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE
FREE WATERS 2 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-141245-
KACHEMAK BAY-
301 PM AKST SAT FEB 13 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT EXCEPT NE 20 KT OVER THE OUTER BAY. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS 2
FT. RAIN.
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$
2 follow-up statements
903 
FZAK51 PAFC 140659
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
959 PM AKST SAT FEB 13 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-141915-
959 PM AKST SAT FEB 13 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...

A 983 MB LOW 125 NM SOUTHEAST OF KODIAK CITY MOVES TO 60 NM
SOUTHWEST OF HOMER AT 990 MB SUN AFTERNOON AND DISSIPATES. A 990
MB LOW FORMS 320 NM SOUTHWEST OF SITKA SUN MORNING AND MOVES TO
85 NM SOUTHEAST OF SITKA AT 992 MB BEFORE MOVING INLAND SUNDAY
EVENING.

$$

PKZ119-141915-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
959 PM AKST SAT FEB 13 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 13 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. 
.MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ120-141915-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
959 PM AKST SAT FEB 13 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE EVENING...THEN
DIMINISHING TO 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 14 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN. 
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ121-141915-
RESURRECTION BAY-
959 PM AKST SAT FEB 13 2016

.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING
N 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER WINDS AND SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.SUN...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING S 10 KT IN THE
AFTERNOON. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER
SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ125-141915-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
959 PM AKST SAT FEB 13 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT BUILDING TO 6 FT
AFTER MIDNIGHT. RAIN. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-141915-
PORT VALDEZ-
959 PM AKST SAT FEB 13 2016

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SUN...E WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-141915-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
959 PM AKST SAT FEB 13 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-141915-
VALDEZ ARM-
959 PM AKST SAT FEB 13 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE WIND 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE THROUGH THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ129-141915-
PASSAGE CANAL-
959 PM AKST SAT FEB 13 2016

.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 20 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...E WIND 20 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT BY LATE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-141915-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
959 PM AKST SAT FEB 13 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT. GUSTS TO 45 KT. SEAS
BUILDING TO 12 FT. RAIN SHOWERS.
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
12 FT SUBSIDING TO 7 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ131-141915-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
959 PM AKST SAT FEB 13 2016

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...E WIND INCREASING TO 35 KT IN THE EVENING...THEN
BECOMING S 25 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS TO 45 KT IN THE EVENING. SEAS
13 FT. RAIN.
.SUN...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.

$$

PKZ132-141915-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
959 PM AKST SAT FEB 13 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...

.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. N OF DANGEROUS CAPE...E WIND 25 KT
BECOMING SW AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT. 
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 10 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ136-141915-
CHINIAK BAY-
959 PM AKST SAT FEB 13 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN...SW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...W WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...SE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ137-141915-
MARMOT BAY-
959 PM AKST SAT FEB 13 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 7 FT SUBSIDING TO 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...S WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ138-141915-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
959 PM AKST SAT FEB 13 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING SW 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
RAIN SHOWERS. 
.SUN NIGHT...SW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN SHOWERS. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 4 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.WED...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. 
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ139-141915-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
959 PM AKST SAT FEB 13 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY...

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN...NE WIND 30 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
SUBSIDING TO 7 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SEAS 3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ140-141915-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
959 PM AKST SAT FEB 13 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. 
.SUN...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.SUN NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT IN THE EVENING DIMINISHING TO 10 KT.
SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN. 
.MON AND MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE
FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-141915-
KACHEMAK BAY-
959 PM AKST SAT FEB 13 2016

.TONIGHT...NE WIND 10 KT EXCEPT NE 20 KT OVER THE OUTER BAY. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
2 FT. RAIN. 
.SUN NIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN. 
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. 
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$
873 
FZAK51 PAFC 141220
CWFAER

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE ALASKA
320 AM AKST SUN FEB 14 2016

COASTAL WATERS FORECAST FOR THE NORTHERN GULF OF ALASKA COAST
UP TO 100 NM OUT INCLUDING KODIAK ISLAND AND COOK INLET.

WIND FORECASTS REFLECT THE PREDOMINANT SPEED AND DIRECTION
EXPECTED. SEA FORECASTS REPRESENT AN AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST
ONE-THIRD OF THE COMBINED WIND WAVE AND SWELL HEIGHT.

PKZ197-150115-
320 AM AKST SUN FEB 14 2016
.SYNOPSIS FOR THE NORTH GULF COAST+KODIAK ISLAND WATERS+
COOK INLET...
A 983 MB LOW 25 NM NORTHEAST OF KODIAK CITY WILL MOVE INLAND OVER
KAMISHAK BAY THIS AFTERNOON AND DISSIPATE. A TROUGH WILL LINGER
ALONG THE NORTH GULF COAST THROUGH MONDAY BEFORE DISSIPATING. WEAK
RIDGING WILL BUILD OVER THE GULF THROUGH LATE MON NIGHT.

$$

PKZ119-150115-
CAPE SUCKLING TO CAPE CLEARE-
320 AM AKST SUN FEB 14 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT NEAR THE COAST THROUGH
EARLY MORNING. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT AND MON...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ120-150115-
CAPE CLEARE TO GORE POINT-
320 AM AKST SUN FEB 14 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...S WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 8 FT. RAIN.
.MON...SE WIND 15 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS
8 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT.

$$

PKZ121-150115-
RESURRECTION BAY-
320 AM AKST SUN FEB 14 2016

.TODAY...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING S 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON.
SEAS BUILDING TO 3 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT BECOMING N AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2
FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. HIGHER SEAS S OF CAINES HEAD.
RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ125-150115-
PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
320 AM AKST SUN FEB 14 2016

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. GUSTS TO 30 KT DURING THE MORNING. SEAS 4
FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT BECOMING E 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3
FT. RAIN.
.MON...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ126-150115-
PORT VALDEZ-
320 AM AKST SUN FEB 14 2016

.TODAY...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.TONIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT BECOMING E 10 KT AFTER
MIDNIGHT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ127-150115-
VALDEZ NARROWS-
320 AM AKST SUN FEB 14 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT INCREASING TO 15 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ128-150115-
VALDEZ ARM-
320 AM AKST SUN FEB 14 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT AND MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON NIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT.

$$

PKZ129-150115-
PASSAGE CANAL-
320 AM AKST SUN FEB 14 2016

.TODAY...E WIND 20 KT. SEAS 3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN.
.MON NIGHT...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 4 FT.
.WED...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.THU...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.

$$

PKZ130-150115-
WEST OF BARREN ISLANDS INCLUDING KAMISHAK BAY-
320 AM AKST SUN FEB 14 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 40 KT BECOMING SE 25 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
12 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...NW WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ131-150115-
BARREN ISLANDS EAST-
320 AM AKST SUN FEB 14 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 11 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 9 FT. RAIN.
.MON...S WIND 15 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS
9 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 20 KT. SEAS 6 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 30 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 12 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 11 FT.

$$

PKZ132-150115-
MARMOT ISLAND TO SITKINAK-
320 AM AKST SUN FEB 14 2016

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH MONDAY...

.TODAY...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 10 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 11 FT.
.MON...S WIND 15 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE 10 KT. SEAS
9 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 15 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 30 KT. SEAS 14 FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 13 FT.

$$

PKZ136-150115-
CHINIAK BAY-
320 AM AKST SUN FEB 14 2016

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON...SW WIND 10 KT IN THE MORNING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS THAN
10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...SE WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ137-150115-
MARMOT BAY-
320 AM AKST SUN FEB 14 2016

.TODAY...S WIND 20 KT. SEAS 4 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT BECOMING SW 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 3
FT.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT...NW WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...W WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...E WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT.

$$

PKZ138-150115-
SHELIKOF STRAIT-
320 AM AKST SUN FEB 14 2016

.TODAY...W WIND 20 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...S WIND 15 KT. SEAS 5 FT. RAIN.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.TUE...SW WIND 25 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.WED...E WIND 30 KT. SEAS 9 FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 8 FT.

$$

PKZ139-150115-
COOK INLET KALGIN ISLAND TO POINT BEDE-
320 AM AKST SUN FEB 14 2016

...GALE WARNING TODAY...

.TODAY...NE WIND 35 KT DIMINISHING TO 20 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
9 FT SUBSIDING TO 6 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND SNOW.
.TONIGHT...E WIND 15 KT BECOMING NE 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS 4
FT SUBSIDING. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...NE WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.MON NIGHT...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.WED...NE WIND 20 KT. SEAS 7 FT.
.THU...N WIND 25 KT. SEAS 6 FT.

$$

PKZ140-150115-
COOK INLET NORTH OF KALGIN ISLAND-
320 AM AKST SUN FEB 14 2016

.TODAY...N WIND 20 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 5 FT. SNOW.
.TONIGHT...NE WIND 15 KT DIMINISHING TO 10 KT AFTER MIDNIGHT. SEAS
IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT. SNOW AND RAIN.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2
FT.
.MON NIGHT...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE
WATERS 2 FT.
.TUE...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 2
FT.
.WED THROUGH THU...N WIND 15 KT. SEAS IN ICE FREE WATERS 3 FT.

$$

PKZ141-150115-
KACHEMAK BAY-
320 AM AKST SUN FEB 14 2016

.TODAY...NE WIND 15 KT BECOMING SE 10 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. SEAS
3 FT. RAIN.
.TONIGHT...SE WIND 10 KT IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE LESS
THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON...VARIABLE WIND LESS THAN 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT. RAIN AND SNOW.
.MON NIGHT AND TUE...N WIND 10 KT. SEAS 2 FT.
.WED...E WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.
.THU...NE WIND 15 KT. SEAS 3 FT.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this gale warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Anchorage, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this gale warning went out at Feb 13, 4:39 AM AKST, 10 hours 22 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 13, 4:39 AM AKST, 10 hours 22 minutes before
SOUTHCENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST ALASKA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
439 AM AKST SAT FEB 13 2016

.ANALYSIS AND UPPER LEVELS...

THE REMNANTS OF A LOW AND ITS FRONT HAS PUSHED ONSHORE ALONG THE
NORTH GULF COAST THROUGH PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND. THE UPPER TROUGH IS
MOVING ACROSS NORTHERN COOK INLET TONIGHT. A STRONG ONSHORE PUSH
OF MOISTURE HAS PRODUCED RAIN ACROSS MUCH OF THE NORTH GULF COAST
WITH SNOW AT HIGHER ELEVATION OF THE COASTAL MOUNTAINS. THIS UPPER
TROUGH EXTENDS BACK TO THE WEST OVER BRISTOL BAY. PRECIPITATION
HAS SPREAD ACROSS THE ALEUTIAN MOUNTAINS INTO THE BRISTOL BAY
REGION AND MOISTURE IS ADVECTING TO THE WEST AS THE UPPER TROUGH
PUSHES THROUGH TONIGHT.

OUT WEST IS A COMPLEX OF THREE LOWS SOUTH OF THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS
WITH AN ELONGATED FRONT TO A LOW ABOUT 300 MILES SOUTH OF KODIAK
ISLAND. THIS IS RESULTING IN CLOUDS AND PRECIPITATION ALONG THE
CENTRAL TO WESTERN ALEUTIANS WITH MODERATE WINDS AS THE GRADIENT
IS WEAK ALONG THIS ELONGATED FRONT. ANOTHER LOW IS JUST WEST OF
THE SOUTHERN KAMCHATKA PENINSULA.

AN UPPER LOW IS NEAR CAPE LISBURNE WITH A TROUGH THAT EXTENDS
ACROSS NORTHWEST ALASKA THROUGH THE KUSKOKWIM DELTA RESULTING IN
SOME SHOWERS ACROSS THE DELTA THIS EVENING.

&&

.MODEL DISCUSSION...
THE MODELS REMAIN IN GOOD AGREEMENT THROUGH SUNDAY THEN BEGIN TO
DIVERGE ON THE SOLUTION OF THE NEXT SYSTEM MOVING INTO THE
SOUTHERN GULF OF ALASKA EARLY NEXT WEEK. THE GFS AND NAM STAY IN
GOOD AGREEMENT WHILE THE ECMWF IS THE OUTLIER WITH A FASTER
SOLUTION RESULTING IN THE LOW BEING ABOUT 300 MILES FURTHER TO THE
NORTHEAST BY TUE MORNING. THIS DOES HAVE IMPLICATIONS FOR THE GULF
OF ALASKA OFFSHORE WIND DIRECTION AND SPEED. WE ARE STAYING THE
COURSE USING THE WPC/ECMWF GUIDANCE FOR THIS LOW'S LOCATION AND
INTENSITY. THE MODELS HAVE COME INTO EXCELLENT AGREEMENT WITH THE
MOVEMENT OF THE LOW TOWARD KODIAK ISLAND TONIGHT AND REMAIN IN
EXCELLENT AGREEMENT WITH THE MAIN LOW MOVING TOWARD UNALASKA
TONIGHT AS WELL.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
A FAIRLY POTENT SHORTWAVE IS MOVING OVER SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA
EARLY THIS MORNING. TEMPERATURES ARE RATHER WARM BEHIND THIS
FEATURE CAUSING MOST OF THE PRECIPITATION AT SEA LEVEL TO FALL AS
RAIN. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN WARM THROUGH THE WEEKEND ACROSS
MOST OF THE AREA. THE COPPER RIVER BASIN WILL BE THE EXCEPTION
WHERE TEMPERATURES SHOULD REMAIN BELOW FREEZING.

THE MAIN SURFACE LOW IS SOUTH OF KODIAK ISLAND AND WILL MAKE IT
TO THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE KENAI PENINSULA SUNDAY. THIS WILL BRING
IN ANOTHER SHOT OF PRECIPITATION TO THE AREA MUCH LIKE THIS
MORNING.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST SOUTHWEST ALASKA (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
AS A WEAK DISTURBANCE (WHICH BROUGHT LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS TO THE
KUSKOKWIM DELTA DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS) EXITS TO THE NORTH...
ANOTHER WAVE STARTS TO PUSH THROUGH THE BRISTOL BAY AREA. LIGHT
SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS OVER THE BRISTOL BAY AREA ARE EXPECTED AS
THIS WAVE PUSHES FURTHER INLAND...WITH LITTLE OR NO ACCUMULATIONS
EXPECTED. HOWEVER...AREAS ALONG THE ALEUTIAN/ALASKA RANGE WILL SEE
SLIGHTLY DRIER CONDITIONS DUE TO WEAK DOWNSLOPING...ALONG WITH
GUSTY GAP WINDS INCREASING TODAY AND PERSISTING THROUGH SUNDAY
MORNING. AS THE LOW NEAR KODIAK ISLAND STARTS TRACKING INLAND OVER
THE BRISTOL BAY AREA SUNDAY MORNING...MOISTURE WILL SPILL OVER
INTO THE SOUTHWEST MAINLAND...KEEPING A CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION
OVER THE AREA THROUGH MONDAY MORNING.

&&

.SHORT TERM FORECAST BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS (DAYS 1 AND 2)...
A COMPLEX NORTH PACIFIC LOW SOUTH OF THE CENTRAL ALEUTIANS WILL
CONSOLIDATE AND MOVE OVER THE EASTERN ALEUTIANS SUNDAY MORNING...
THEN BEGIN TO DISSIPATE OVER THE ALASKA PENINSULA MONDAY MORNING.
THIS SYSTEM WILL KEEP SHOWERY CONDITIONS ALONG THE EASTERN
ALEUTIANS AND AKPEN THROUGH MONDAY MORNING...WITH SHOWERS TAPERING
OFF FROM WEST TO EAST AS RIDGING BUILDS OVER THE WESTERN
ALEUTIANS/BERING SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND PUSH EASTWARD OVER THE
CENTRAL ALEUTIANS BY MONDAY MORNING. A FRONTAL SYSTEM ASSOCIATED
WITH A LOW NEAR THE KAMCHATKA PENINSULA WILL START TO BRING SOME
RAIN AND GALE FORCE WINDS TO THE WESTERN ALEUTIANS COME MONDAY
MORNING.

&&

.LONG TERM FORECAST (DAYS 3 THROUGH 7)...

STARTING MONDAY THE PERSISTENT PATTERN OF A BROAD TROUGH OVER THE
BERING WITH RIDGING OVER THE WESTERN NORTH AMERICAN COAST WILL
BEGIN TO BREAK DOWN AS A COLD UPPER LEVEL TROUGH BEGINS TO DIVE
INTO SOUTHERN GULF AND THE NORTHEAST PACIFIC...WHILE A SHARP AND
NARROW RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT BUILDS OVER THE EASTERN BERING
AND WESTERN ALASKA MAINLAND. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR A SHIFT TO
NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT OVER SOUTHERN ALASKA...BRINGING COLDER
AIR BACK TO THE MAINLAND. MEANWHILE...SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL INCREASE
OVER THE WESTERN AND CENTRAL BERING AS LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS MOVE
FROM KAMCHATKA INTO THE BERING SEA. THIS SYSTEM LOOKS TO IMPACT
THE BERING SEA WITH GALE FORCE WINDS AND RAIN/SNOW ON MON AND
TUE...WHILE WEAK HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE MAINLAND SHOULD BRING
SUNNY SKIES AND COOLER TEMPERATURES.

AS THIS SYSTEM CROSSES THE BERING TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST MAINLAND
AND WEAKENS TOWARD MID-WEEK...A TRIPLE POINT LOW PRESSURE WILL
FORM OVER THE SOUTHERN GULF AND NORTHEAST PACIFIC. THIS WILL
LIKELY ALLOW FOR MORE SEASONABLE COLDER AIR TO FILTER INTO
SOUTHWEST AND SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA TOWARD THE END OF NEXT WEEK.
THIS WILL ALSO OFFER LITTLE CHANCE OF ENDING THE CONSECUTIVE DAYS
STREAK WITHOUT MEASURABLE SNOW IN ANCHORAGE.

&&

.AFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...NONE.
MARINE...GALES...130
		 HEAVY FREEZING SPRAY...185.

&&

SYNOPSIS AND MODEL DISCUSSION...SA
SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA...EZ
SOUTHWEST ALASKA/BERING SEA/ALEUTIANS...TP
LONG TERM...CC

The office that day

Everything else NWS Anchorage, AK issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 14, 3:02 AM AKSTGale WarningAFC6 days
Feb 14, 3:09 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC12 hr
Feb 14, 3:20 AM AKSTGale WarningAFC12 hr
Feb 14, 3:20 AM AKSTSmall Craft AdvisoryAFC3 days
Feb 14, 2:55 PM AKSTBrisk Wind AdvisoryAFC12 hr
Feb 14, 2:55 PM AKSTGale WarningAFC5 days
Feb 14, 2:55 PM AKSTGale WarningAFC4 days

Nearby

Gale Warnings in Alaska, 2016Every gale warning in 2016

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.