River Flood Warning 56, NWS Tulsa, OK

559 
WGUS84 KTSA 180744
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
244 AM CDT THU JUN 18 2015


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-181544-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0056.150619T0824Z-150621T1912Z/
/COMO2.1.ER.150619T0824Z.150620T0600Z.150621T1312Z.NO/
244 AM CDT THU JUN 18 2015

...Flood Warning extended until Sunday afternoon...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* from late tonight to Sunday afternoon, or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At  2:30 AM Thursday, the stage was 12.55 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce is expected to rise above
  flood stage early Friday morning and continue to rise to near 17.0 
  feet by Saturday before dawn . The river is expected to fall below 
  flood stage Sunday morning. However, additional heavy rainfall may
  cause the river to go higher or stay above flood stage longer than
  currently forecast.  Continue to monitor the latest forecasts.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet, minor agricultural flooding occurs. Riverview
  Park experiences minor flooding.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9510 3681 9488 3689 9478 3700 9491

$$

264 
WGUS44 KTSA 181347
FLWTSA
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
847 AM CDT THU JUN 18 2015



...Forecast flooding changed from Minor to Moderate severity for the 
following rivers in Oklahoma...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-182147-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0056.150619T0300Z-150621T1333Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.150619T0300Z.150620T0600Z.150621T0733Z.NO/
847 AM CDT THU JUN 18 2015

...Forecast flooding increased from Minor to Moderate severity...
The Flood Warning continues for 
 The Neosho River near Commerce
* from this evening to Sunday morning, or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At  8:30 AM Thursday, the stage was 13.26 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce is expected to rise above
  flood stage tonight and continue to rise to near 19.1 feet by 
  late Friday night. The river is expected to fall below flood 
  stage Sunday before dawn.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet, low lying areas around Miami become cut off 
  from easy access. Riverview Park experiences moderate flooding. 
  State Highway 125 near the fairgrounds will be threatened.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9510 3681 9488 3689 9478 3700 9491

$$

634 
WGUS84 KTSA 181925
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
225 PM CDT THU JUN 18 2015


...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Spring River near Quapaw affecting Ottawa County. 
  
...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-190325-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0056.150618T2117Z-150620T1920Z/
/COMO2.1.ER.150618T2117Z.150620T0000Z.150620T1320Z.NO/
225 PM CDT THU JUN 18 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* until Saturday afternoon, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  1:30 PM Thursday, the stage was 14.59 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce is expected to rise above
  flood stage late this afternoon and continue to rise to near 17.0 
  feet by Friday evening. The river is expected to fall below flood 
  stage Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet, minor agricultural flooding occurs. Riverview
  Park experiences minor flooding.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9510 3681 9488 3689 9478 3700 9491

$$

OKC115-181955-
/O.CAN.KTSA.FL.W.0059.000000T0000Z-150621T1617Z/
/QUAO2.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
225 PM CDT THU JUN 18 2015

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Spring River near Quapaw.
* At  1:00 PM Thursday, the stage was 11.43 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Forecast...The Spring River near Quapaw will crest below flood 
  stage at 14.9 feet Saturday morning. Observed rainfall was less 
  than anticipated, and therefore, the river will remain below flood 
  stage.  


$$

314 
WGUS44 KTSA 190145
FLWTSA
BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
845 PM CDT THU JUN 18 2015



...Forecast flooding changed from Minor to Moderate severity for the 
following rivers in Oklahoma...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-190945-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0056.000000T0000Z-150621T0400Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.150618T2002Z.150619T1800Z.150620T2200Z.NO/
845 PM CDT THU JUN 18 2015

...Forecast flooding increased from Minor to Moderate severity...
The Flood Warning continues for 
 The Neosho River near Commerce
* until Saturday evening, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  8:30 PM Thursday, the stage was 16.48 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce will continue rising to 
  near 18.0 feet early Friday afternoon. The river will fall below 
  flood stage Saturday afternoon.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, moderate agricultural flooding occurs with 
  Riverview Park experiencing minor to moderate flooding. Low lying 
  places around Miami may be cut off from easy access.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9510 3681 9488 3689 9478 3700 9491

$$

979 
WGUS84 KTSA 190741
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
241 AM CDT FRI JUN 19 2015


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-191541-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0056.000000T0000Z-150620T2100Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.150618T2002Z.150619T1800Z.150620T1500Z.NO/
241 AM CDT FRI JUN 19 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* until Saturday afternoon, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  2:30 AM Friday, the stage was 17.39 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce will continue rising to 
  near 18.0 feet this afternoon. The river is expected to fall below 
  flood stage late Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, moderate agricultural flooding occurs with 
  Riverview Park experiencing minor to moderate flooding. Low lying 
  places around Miami may be cut off from easy access.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9510 3681 9488 3689 9478 3700 9491

$$

837 
WGUS84 KTSA 191320
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
820 AM CDT FRI JUN 19 2015


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
  Spring River near Quapaw affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-192120-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0056.000000T0000Z-150620T1420Z/
/COMO2.2.ER.150618T2002Z.150619T1800Z.150620T0820Z.NO/
820 AM CDT FRI JUN 19 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* until Saturday morning, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  7:30 AM Friday, the stage was 17.58 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce will continue rising to 
  near 18.0 feet this afternoon. The river is expected to fall below 
  flood stage early Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, moderate agricultural flooding occurs with 
  Riverview Park experiencing minor to moderate flooding. Low lying 
  places around Miami may be cut off from easy access.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9510 3681 9488 3689 9478 3700 9491

$$

OKC115-192120-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0064.000000T0000Z-150620T0600Z/
/QUAO2.1.ER.150619T1610Z.150619T1800Z.150620T0000Z.NO/
820 AM CDT FRI JUN 19 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Spring River near Quapaw.
* until late tonight, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  7:00 AM Friday, the stage was 19.08 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Spring River near Quapaw is expected to rise above 
  flood stage late this morning and continue to rise to near 20.4 
  feet by this afternoon. The river is expected to fall below flood 
  stage this evening.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, minor agricultural flooding occurs.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3695 9481 3682 9481 3682 9469 3695 9469

$$

878 
WGUS84 KTSA 191917
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
217 PM CDT FRI JUN 19 2015


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Polecat Creek near Sapulpa affecting Creek County. 
  
  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
  Illinois River near Watts affecting Adair County. 
  
  Illinois River near Tahlequah affecting Cherokee County. 
  
  Arkansas River near Muskogee affecting Muskogee County. 
  
OKC037-200317-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0052.000000T0000Z-150620T1845Z/
/SPCO2.2.ER.150618T1243Z.150619T0521Z.150620T1245Z.NO/
217 PM CDT FRI JUN 19 2015

...Flood Warning extended until Saturday afternoon...
The Flood Warning continues for
  The Polecat Creek near Sapulpa.
* until Saturday afternoon, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  1:58 PM Friday, the stage was 26.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring but the river is falling.
* Forecast...The Polecat Creek near Sapulpa will continue falling to 
  below flood stage by Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 26.0 feet, moderate flooding affects pasturelands and 
  suburban roads between Sapulpa and Jenks. Livestock barns and other
  outbuildings are flooded.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3600 9615 3592 9614 3599 9598 3606 9599

$$

OKC001-200317-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0057.000000T0000Z-150620T1651Z/
/WTTO2.2.ER.150619T1428Z.150620T0000Z.150620T1051Z.NO/
217 PM CDT FRI JUN 19 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Illinois River near Watts.
* until Saturday morning, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  1:00 PM Friday, the stage was 15.13 feet.
* Flood stage is 13.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Illinois River near Watts will continue rising to 
  near 21.9 feet this evening. The river is expected to fall below 
  flood stage early Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 21.0 feet, severe flooding occurs from the Arkansas 
  border to Chewey Bridge. Water will reach the base of the building 
  at River Valley Raceway. Farmlands and permanent camgrounds are 
  inundated. Numerous cabins in the Fidlers Bend area are flooded.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3619 9478 3611 9478 3607 9453 3615 9453

$$

OKC021-200317-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0053.000000T0000Z-150621T2037Z/
/TALO2.2.ER.150619T0822Z.150621T0000Z.150621T1437Z.NO/
217 PM CDT FRI JUN 19 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Illinois River near Tahlequah.
* until Sunday afternoon, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  1:00 PM Friday, the stage was 12.33 feet.
* Flood stage is 11.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Illinois River near Tahlequah will continue rising 
  to near 16.0 feet Saturday evening. The river is expected to fall 
  below flood stage late Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet, moderate flooding occurs from Chewey Bridge
  downstream towards Tahlequah. Access roads east of the Combs Bridge
  near Eagles Bluff are impassable. Some cabin parks may begin to
  flood. At 17.0 feet, severe flooding occurs from Chewey Bridge 
  downstream towards Tahlequah. Some cabin parks may be flooded 
  to a depth of a couple of feet.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3604 9498 3573 9498 3573 9487 3617 9472 3617 9485

$$

OKC115-200317-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0056.000000T0000Z-150620T1025Z/
/COMO2.1.ER.150618T2002Z.150619T1230Z.150620T0425Z.NO/
217 PM CDT FRI JUN 19 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* until late tonight, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  1:30 PM Friday, the stage was 17.15 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring but the river is falling.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce will continue falling to 
  below flood stage tonight.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet, minor agricultural flooding occurs. Riverview
  Park experiences minor flooding.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9510 3681 9488 3689 9478 3700 9491

$$

OKC101-200317-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0054.000000T0000Z-150620T0600Z/
/MKGO2.1.ER.150619T0636Z.150619T1500Z.150620T0000Z.NO/
217 PM CDT FRI JUN 19 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Arkansas River near Muskogee.
* until late tonight, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  1:00 PM Friday, the stage was 28.63 feet.
* Flood stage is 28.0 feet.
* Forecast...The Arkansas River near Muskogee will continue falling 
  to below flood stage this evening. The river is expected to fall 
  below action stage of 27 feet Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 29.0 feet, minor lowland flooding occurs. A boating 
  marina north of OG&E power plant may be flooded.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3583 9537 3559 9532 3547 9515 3552 9507 3583 9520

$$

921 
WGUS84 KTSA 200052
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
752 PM CDT FRI JUN 19 2015


...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-200852-
/O.EXT.KTSA.FL.W.0056.000000T0000Z-150620T0912Z/
/COMO2.1.ER.150618T2002Z.150619T1230Z.150620T0312Z.NO/
752 PM CDT FRI JUN 19 2015

The Flood Warning continues for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* until late tonight, or until the warning is cancelled.
* At  7:30 PM Friday, the stage was 15.78 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce will continue falling to 
  below flood stage by tonight.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet, minor agricultural flooding occurs. Riverview
  Park experiences minor flooding.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9510 3681 9488 3689 9478 3700 9491

$$

313 
WGUS84 KTSA 200639
FLSTSA
FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
139 AM CDT SAT JUN 20 2015


...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Oklahoma...

  Neosho River near Commerce affecting Ottawa County. 
  
OKC115-200709-
/O.CAN.KTSA.FL.W.0056.000000T0000Z-150620T0912Z/
/COMO2.1.ER.150618T2002Z.150619T1230Z.150620T0302Z.NO/
139 AM CDT SAT JUN 20 2015

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  The Neosho River near Commerce.
* At  1:30 AM Saturday, the stage was 13.87 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* The river fell below flood stage yesterday late evening.
* Forecast...The Neosho River near Commerce will continue falling and
  remain below flood stage.
* Impact...At 14.0 feet, low lying areas along the river in Riverview 
  Park are threatened by high water, and faster flows are expected. 
  Use extra caution or avoid recreational activities near the river. 
  Interests near the river should continue to monitor later 
  forecasts.
 
&&
 
LAT...LON 3700 9510 3681 9488 3689 9478 3700 9491

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
630 PM CDT WED JUN 17 2015

.AVIATION...
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORM BILL WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT THE
FORECAST AREA THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH AREAS OF MODERATE TO
HEAVY RAIN RESULTING IN MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS. IFR VISIBILITY LIKELY
IN HEAVY RAIN BANDS. SOME THUNDER REMAINS POSSIBLE BUT COVERAGE
SHOULD REMAIN TOO LIMITED TO INCLUDE IN THE FORECAST. EAST WINDS
WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE AND SHIFT MORE SOUTHEAST-SOUTH AFTER 12Z
THURSDAY WITH SOME GUSTS OVER 25 KNOTS LIKELY.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 243 PM CDT WED JUN 17 2015/

DISCUSSION...
CENTER OF CIRCULATION FROM REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORM BILL CURRENTLY
LIFTING NORTH JUST WEST OF THE FTW/DFW METROPLEX. BANDS OF
HEAVIER RAIN CONTINUE ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA IN ASSOCIATION
WITH SYSTEM. A FEW BREAKS IN THE CLOUD COVER HAS ALLOWED ENOUGH
SURFACE HEATING FOR ATMOSPHERE TO BECOME MODERATELY UNSTABLE BOTH
AHEAD AND BEHIND THE MAIN BAND. LOW LEVEL WIND FIELDS WILL CONTINUE
TO INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA...SPREADING
INTO WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS SYSTEM LIFTS NORTH. THIS WILL
PROVIDE AT LEAST A LIMITED CHANCE FOR ISOLATED TORNADOES/MARGINALLY
SEVERE WINDS FOR THE REMAINDER OF THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

MAIN THREAT WILL CONTINUE TO BE THE HEAVY RAINFALL/FLASH FLOODING
AS TROPICAL SYSTEM TRACKS VERY SLOWLY ACROSS NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA
INTO NORTHWEST ARKANSAS THURSDAY INTO THURSDAY NIGHT. WIDESPREAD
3 TO 7 INCH RAINFALL TOTALS WILL BE LIKELY WITH LOCALLY AROUND 10
INCHES POSSIBLE. AT THIS TIME IT APPEARS THAT THE HEAVIEST
RAINFALL WILL FALL ALONG AND JUST SOUTH OF THE INTERSTATE 44
CORRIDOR WITH AXIS EXTENDING INTO NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. THIS WILL
LIKELY LEAD TO SIGNIFICANT...LIFE THREATENING FLASH FLOODING AND
MAIN-STEM RIVER FLOODING.

REMNANT LOW EXPECTED TO SHIFT NORTHEAST INTO NORTH CENTRAL ARKANSAS
DURING THE DAY FRIDAY WITH THE HEAVY RAINFALL THREAT ENDING FROM
WEST TO EAST. BOTH THE GFS/ECMWF MODELS ARE IN FAIRLY GOOD
AGREEMENT WITH THIS SCENARIO...ALTHOUGH THE NAM IS A LITTLE SLOWER
WITH OVERALL PROGRESSION OF SYSTEM. UPPER RIDGE AXIS WILL BEGIN
TO BUILD OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT
WEEK WITH A MUCH NEEDED EXTENDED DRY PERIOD.

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 7 AM FRIDAY FOR OKZ049-OKZ053-OKZ054-
     OKZ055-OKZ056-OKZ057-OKZ058-OKZ059-OKZ060-OKZ061-OKZ062-
     OKZ063-OKZ064-OKZ065-OKZ066-OKZ067-OKZ068-OKZ069-OKZ070-
     OKZ071-OKZ072-OKZ073-OKZ074-OKZ075-OKZ076.

AR...FLASH FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 7 AM FRIDAY FOR ARZ001-ARZ002-ARZ010-
     ARZ011-ARZ019-ARZ020-ARZ029.

&&

SHORT TERM...99
LONG TERM....99
AVIATION...14

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
512 PM CDT WED JUN 17 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-181015-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
512 PM CDT WED JUN 17 2015

...POTENTIAL LIFE THREATENING FLOOD EVENT DEVELOPING...

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

FLASH FLOOD.
	RISK...CRITICAL.
	AREA...ALL OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
	ONSET...ONGOING...CONTINUING THROUGH THURSDAY.

	AREA AT GREATEST RISK...JUST SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 44 CORRIDOR.

TORNADO.
	RISK...LIMITED.
	AREA...GENERALLY EAST OF A LINE FROM MIAMI TO MCALESTER.
	ONSET...ONGOING.

DISCUSSION...
WIDESPREAD RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT
THROUGH THURSDAY ASSOCIATED WITH SLOW MOVING TROPICAL SYSTEM BILL.
EXCESS RAINFALL IS EXPECTED JUST SOUTH OF THE INTERSTATE 44
CORRIDOR WITH THIS SYSTEM...WITH LOCALIZED AMOUNTS WITHIN THIS
ZONE REACHING THE 10 TO 14 INCH RANGE.  THIS AMOUNT OF RAINFALL
WILL CAUSE WIDESPREAD EXTENSIVE FLOODING WITH MAY PROVE LIFE
THREATENING IN SOME INSTANCES.

RAINFALL AMOUNTS ACROSS SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA THROUGH NORTHWEST
ARKANSAS AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE 44 ARE MORE LIKELY IN THE
3 TO 6 INCH RANGE.  AGAIN...THIS AMOUNT OF RAINFALL WILL LIKELY
CAUSE FLOODING ISSUES.

MANY RIVERS AND LAKES REMAIN FULL FROM THE HEAVY RAINFALL
THAT OCCURRED DURING THE MONTH OF MAY.  THE ADDITIONAL HEAVY
RAINFALL WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL CAUSE RAPID RISES ON SOME RIVERS...
AND SIGNIFICANT RISES CAN BE EXPECTED ON AREA LAKES.

AN ADDITIONAL HAZARD OVERNIGHT WILL BE ISOLATED SEVERE
WEATHER WITH BRIEF TORNADOES POSSIBLE WITHIN THIS TROPICAL
ENVIRONMENT.  THE RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL PERSIST THROUGH
THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
THURSDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
FRIDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...NO HAZARDS.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE ONGOING THURSDAY AND PERSIST THROUGH
THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY.  WIDESPREAD FLOODING WILL EITHER
DEVELOP OR WORSEN THURSDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT.  THE
TROPICAL RAINFALL WILL GRADUALLY DECREASE IN COVERAGE ON FRIDAY.
DRY CONDITIONS AND ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED
FROM THE WEEKEND THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
433 PM CDT WED JUN 17 2015

OKZ070-071-172215-
MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-
433 PM CDT WED JUN 17 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY EFFECTIVE UNTIL 515 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     NORTHEASTERN MCINTOSH

IN EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
     CENTRAL MUSKOGEE

AT 432 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 2 MILES SOUTH OF
WARNER...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 20 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE
AFFECTED BY THIS STORM INCLUDE...RENTIESVILLE...WARNER AND OKTAHA.

THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH.
RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT IN CASE THE SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY IS UPGRADED TO A WARNING.

LAT...LON 3554 9554 3566 9540 3546 9525 3542 9532
TIME...MOT...LOC 2132Z 134DEG 16KT 3548 9532

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
444 PM CDT WED JUN 17 2015

OKZ076-172230-
LE FLORE OK-
444 PM CDT WED JUN 17 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY EFFECTIVE UNTIL 530 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTY...

IN SOUTHEAST OKLAHOMA
     SOUTHERN LE FLORE

AT 443 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 13 MILES SOUTHEAST
OF BIG CEDAR...MOVING NORTH AT 30 MPH. ANOTHER STRONG STORM WAS
LOCATED 5 MILES WEST OF OCTAVIA...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 30 MPH.
SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE AFFECTED BY THESE STORMS INCLUDE...
OCTAVIA...BIG CEDAR...MUSE...WHITESBORO...HODGEN...HEAVENER...
HONOBIA AND HEAVENER RUNESTONE STATE PARK.

THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH.
RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT IN CASE THE SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY IS UPGRADED TO A WARNING.

LAT...LON 3487 9493 3495 9452 3476 9445 3451 9446
      3450 9447 3450 9494
TIME...MOT...LOC 2143Z 158DEG 26KT 3454 9448

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
514 PM CDT WED JUN 17 2015

OKZ070-172300-
MUSKOGEE OK-
514 PM CDT WED JUN 17 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY EFFECTIVE UNTIL 600 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTY...

IN EAST CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
     NORTHWESTERN MUSKOGEE

AT 513 PM CDT...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED OVER OKTAHA...
MOVING NORTHWEST AT 20 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE AFFECTED BY
THIS STORM INCLUDE...COUNCIL HILL...OKTAHA...WAINWRIGHT...BOYNTON AND
JAMESVILLE.

THIS STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH.
RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT IN CASE THE SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY IS UPGRADED TO A WARNING.

LAT...LON 3584 9572 3564 9542 3555 9546 3556 9571
TIME...MOT...LOC 2213Z 125DEG 17KT 3557 9550

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
641 PM CDT WED JUN 17 2015

ARZ011-020-180045-
FRANKLIN AR-MADISON AR-
641 PM CDT WED JUN 17 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY EFFECTIVE UNTIL 745 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS
     EASTERN FRANKLIN

IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS
     SOUTHERN MADISON

AT 641 PM CDT...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM 25 MILES EAST OF ALIX TO 11 MILES EAST OF ALIX TO 6
MILES SOUTHEAST OF ETNA...MOVING NORTH AT 30 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT
WILL BE AFFECTED BY THESE STORMS INCLUDE...PARADISE...ALIX...TAFT...
RED STAR...WEATHERS...OZARK...DENNING...ALTUS...WATALULA...JETHRO...
MOUNTAIN TOP...BARNES...TURNERS BEND...CASS...REDDING...WIEDERKEHR
VILLAGE...SAINT PAUL...PETTIGREW...COMBS...BRASHEARS...DUTTON...
PATRICK...BOSTON...DELANEY...CROSSES...WITTER AND ETNA.

THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH.
RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT IN CASE THE SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY IS UPGRADED TO A WARNING.

LAT...LON 3592 9350 3587 9352 3577 9351 3576 9369
      3538 9370 3536 9375 3540 9380 3532 9381
      3531 9384 3573 9392 3576 9389 3576 9393
      3585 9395 3603 9365 3601 9344 3597 9345
TIME...MOT...LOC 2341Z 171DEG 26KT 3545 9329 3546 9354
          3534 9375

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
706 PM CDT WED JUN 17 2015

ARZ010-011-019-020-029-180045-
CRAWFORD AR-FRANKLIN AR-MADISON AR-SEBASTIAN AR-WASHINGTON AR-
706 PM CDT WED JUN 17 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY EFFECTIVE UNTIL 745 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS
     CRAWFORD...SOUTHERN MADISON AND SOUTHEASTERN WASHINGTON

IN WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS
     FRANKLIN AND NORTHEASTERN SEBASTIAN

AT 705 PM CDT...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM 19 MILES SOUTHEAST OF RED STAR TO MOUNTAIN TOP TO
BLOOMER...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 30 MPH. SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL BE
AFFECTED BY THESE STORMS
INCLUDE...OZARK...MULBERRY...LAVACA...WINSLOW...MOUNTAINBURG..
.ALMA...DYER...FIGURE FIVE...RUDY...LOCKE...MOUNT GAYLER AND LAKE
FORT SMITH.

THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH.

LAT...LON 3592 9350 3588 9350 3587 9352 3577 9351
      3576 9352 3576 9369 3551 9370 3516 9417
      3560 9443 3592 9399 3595 9348 3593 9348
TIME...MOT...LOC 0005Z 147DEG 26KT 3563 9337 3562 9373
          3530 9416

LACY

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
744 PM CDT WED JUN 17 2015

ARZ002-010-011-019-180130-
CARROLL AR-CRAWFORD AR-MADISON AR-WASHINGTON AR-
744 PM CDT WED JUN 17 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TULSA HAS ISSUED A
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY EFFECTIVE UNTIL 830 PM CDT
FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES...

IN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS
     SOUTHERN CARROLL...CRAWFORD...MADISON AND WASHINGTON

AT 744 PM CDT...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM 8 MILES EAST OF WEATHERS TO 3 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
DELANEY TO 2 MILES NORTHWEST OF VAN BUREN...MOVING NORTH AT 30 MPH.

THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH.
RESIDENTS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT IN CASE THE SIGNIFICANT
WEATHER ADVISORY IS UPGRADED TO A WARNING.

LAT...LON 3612 9347 3608 9344 3597 9345 3592 9350
      3582 9351 3577 9391 3575 9390 3566 9407
      3562 9407 3539 9434 3545 9440 3540 9444
      3609 9455 3610 9439 3614 9438 3621 9420
      3623 9388 3630 9387 3639 9329 3612 9329
TIME...MOT...LOC 0044Z 171DEG 25KT 3594 9338 3585 9394
          3548 9437