Alert archive / Texas / Tornado Watches in 2015

Tornado Watch 569

December 26, 20157 counties in Arkansas; 24 counties in Oklahoma; 55 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Dec 26, 2015, 12:35 PM CST for 7 counties in Arkansas; 24 counties in Oklahoma; 55 counties in Texas. It was in force for 9 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Dec 26, 2015, 12:35 PM CST (18:35 UTC)
Expired
Dec 26, 2015, 9:45 PM CST
In force
9 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 86 counties

Crawford County, AR, Franklin County, AR, Johnson County, AR, Logan County, AR, Polk County, AR, Scott County, AR, Sebastian County, AR, Atoka County, OK, Bryan County, OK, Carter County, OK, Choctaw County, OK, Coal County, OK, Haskell County, OK, Hughes County, OK, Jefferson County, OK, Johnston County, OK, Latimer County, OK, LeFlore County, OK, Love County, OK, Marshall County, OK, McCurtain County, OK, McIntosh County, OK, Murray County, OK, Muskogee County, OK, Okfuskee County, OK, Okmulgee County, OK, Pittsburg County, OK, Pontotoc County, OK, Pushmataha County, OK, Seminole County, OK, Sequoyah County, OK, Anderson County, TX, Bell County, TX, Bosque County, TX, Camp County, TX, Clay County, TX, Collin County, TX, Comanche County, TX, Cooke County, TX, Coryell County, TX, Dallas County, TX, Delta County, TX, Denton County, TX, Eastland County, TX, Ellis County, TX, Erath County, TX, Falls County, TX, Fannin County, TX, Franklin County, TX, Freestone County, TX, Grayson County, TX, Hamilton County, TX, Henderson County, TX, Hill County, TX, Hood County, TX, Hopkins County, TX, Hunt County, TX, Jack County, TX, Johnson County, TX, Kaufman County, TX, Lamar County, TX, Lampasas County, TX, Leon County, TX, Limestone County, TX, McLennan County, TX, Milam County, TX, Mills County, TX, Montague County, TX, Morris County, TX, Navarro County, TX, Palo Pinto County, TX, Parker County, TX, Rains County, TX, Red River County, TX, Robertson County, TX, Rockwall County, TX, Smith County, TX, Somervell County, TX, Stephens County, TX, Tarrant County, TX, Titus County, TX, Upshur County, TX, Van Zandt County, TX, Wise County, TX, Wood County, TX, Young County, TX

The radar

The Dallas/Ft Worth radar (KFWS), 84 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:36 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
50%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
70%

Warnings issued inside it

68 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 26, 12:58 PM CSTTornado WarningOUNCarter, Garvin, Murray32 min
Dec 26, 1:27 PM CSTTornado WarningOUNGarvin, McClain, Murray, Pontotoc, Pottawatomie33 min
Dec 26, 1:43 PM CSTTornado WarningFWDFreestone, Leon, Limestone, Robertson47 min
Dec 26, 1:49 PM CSTTornado WarningFWDHill, Limestone, Navarro41 min
Dec 26, 1:55 PM CSTTornado WarningOUNMcClain, Pontotoc, Pottawatomie20 min
Dec 26, 2:10 PM CSTTornado Warning Tornado observedOUNPottawatomie, Seminole10 min
Dec 26, 2:26 PM CSTTornado WarningFWDEllis, Navarro23 min
Dec 26, 2:35 PM CSTTornado WarningFWDHenderson, Van Zandt40 min
Dec 26, 2:42 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDYoung31 min
Dec 26, 2:57 PM CSTTornado WarningOUNAtoka, Coal21 min
Dec 26, 2:58 PM CSTTornado WarningFWDVan Zandt32 min
Dec 26, 3:00 PM CSTTornado WarningFWDHenderson, Navarro45 min
Dec 26, 3:06 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDCooke, Grayson24 min
Dec 26, 3:09 PM CSTTornado WarningFWDKaufman36 min
Dec 26, 3:25 PM CSTTornado WarningFWDRains, Van Zandt35 min
Dec 26, 3:30 PM CSTTornado WarningFWDHenderson, Van Zandt30 min
Dec 26, 3:31 PM CSTTornado WarningSHVWood29 min
Dec 26, 3:44 PM CSTTornado WarningFWDHunt, Kaufman31 min
Dec 26, 3:48 PM CSTTornado WarningFWDHopkins27 min
Dec 26, 3:50 PM CSTTornado WarningFWDVan Zandt25 min
Dec 26, 3:57 PM CSTTornado WarningFWDHenderson, Navarro33 min
Dec 26, 4:06 PM CSTTornado WarningTSAMcIntosh, Muskogee, Pittsburg39 min
Dec 26, 4:07 PM CSTTornado WarningFWDRains, Van Zandt27 min
Dec 26, 4:16 PM CSTTornado WarningSHVWood25 min
Dec 26, 4:26 PM CSTTornado WarningOUNAtoka, Coal34 min
Dec 26, 4:28 PM CSTTornado WarningFWDHenderson, Van Zandt32 min
Dec 26, 4:30 PM CSTTornado WarningFWDBosque, Hill, McLennan45 min
Dec 26, 4:33 PM CSTTornado WarningFWDEllis, Hill27 min
Dec 26, 4:39 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDCooke, Montague43 min
Dec 26, 4:44 PM CSTTornado WarningFWDHopkins31 min
Dec 26, 4:49 PM CSTTornado WarningTSACherokee, Muskogee, Wagoner41 min
Dec 26, 4:52 PM CSTTornado WarningFWDRains, Van Zandt38 min
Dec 26, 4:53 PM CSTTornado WarningTSAPittsburg39 min
Dec 26, 4:54 PM CSTTornado WarningFWDEllis36 min
Dec 26, 4:57 PM CSTTornado WarningOUNCoal, Hughes18 min
Dec 26, 5:01 PM CSTTornado WarningOUNCarter, Love, Marshall29 min
Dec 26, 5:04 PM CSTTornado WarningFWDHill41 min
Dec 26, 5:10 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningTSAOkmulgee6 hr
Dec 26, 5:12 PM CSTTornado WarningFWDFalls, Limestone, McLennan33 min
Dec 26, 5:20 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNCarter, Johnston, Love, Murray25 min
Dec 26, 5:28 PM CSTTornado WarningFWDDallas47 min
Dec 26, 5:28 PM CSTTornado WarningFWDEllis, Johnson47 min
Dec 26, 5:52 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDEllis, Hill, Navarro38 min
Dec 26, 5:56 PM CSTTornado WarningFWDCollin, Dallas18 min
Dec 26, 6:01 PM CSTTornado WarningFWDDallas, Ellis44 min
Dec 26, 6:27 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDEllis, Navarro48 min
Dec 26, 6:31 PM CSTTornado WarningFWDEllis, Navarro29 min
Dec 26, 6:34 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningTSAAdair, Cherokee, Delaware, McIntosh, Muskogee, Okmulgee and 2 more6 hr
Dec 26, 6:35 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningFWDDallas3 hr
Dec 26, 6:39 PM CSTTornado WarningFWDCollin, Dallas, Rockwall51 min
Dec 26, 6:44 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningFWDCooke, Grayson3 hr
Dec 26, 6:50 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningOUNAtoka, Bryan, Coal, Hughes, Johnston, Marshall and 1 more6 hr
Dec 26, 6:52 PM CSTTornado WarningFWDEllis, Kaufman38 min
Dec 26, 6:59 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningFWDCollin3 hr
Dec 26, 7:13 PM CSTTornado WarningFWDDallas, Ellis, Kaufman32 min
Dec 26, 7:13 PM CSTTornado WarningFWDCollin, Hunt32 min
Dec 26, 7:28 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningFWDDenton, Tarrant3 hr
Dec 26, 7:34 PM CSTTornado Warning Tornado observedConsiderable damage threatFWDCollin, Fannin, Grayson, Hunt41 min
Dec 26, 7:47 PM CSTTornado WarningFWDCollin, Rockwall28 min
Dec 26, 7:50 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningFWDParker3 hr
Dec 26, 7:54 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningTSAHaskell, Latimer, McIntosh, Muskogee, Pittsburg6 hr
Dec 26, 8:14 PM CSTTornado WarningFWDFannin31 min
Dec 26, 8:20 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningFWDHood, Johnson, Somervell2 hr
Dec 26, 8:25 PM CSTTornado WarningOUNBryan35 min
Dec 26, 8:40 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningFWDWise2 hr
Dec 26, 8:44 PM CSTTornado WarningFWDFannin46 min
Dec 26, 8:49 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningFWDFannin2 hr
Dec 26, 9:28 PM CSTFlash Flood WarningFWDCooke, Grayson2 hr

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Fort Worth, TX (KFWD), launched 12:00Z, 6.6 hours before the alert went out and 64 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Fort Worth, TX at 12:00Z on 2015-12-26Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 703 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Fort Worth, TX at 12:00Z on 2015-12-26The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 307 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
703 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-43 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
724 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
51 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
307 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
300 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
1.1
Supercell composite
8.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

378 
WWUS20 KWNS 261833
SEL9  
SPC WW 261833
ARZ000-OKZ000-TXZ000-270200-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 569
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1235 PM CST SAT DEC 26 2015

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
  WEST-CENTRAL ARKANSAS
  SOUTH-CENTRAL INTO SOUTHEAST AND EAST-CENTRAL OKLAHOMA
  NORTH-CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST TEXAS

* EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 1235 PM
  UNTIL 800 PM CST.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
  A FEW TORNADOES POSSIBLE
  ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
  ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE

SUMMARY...THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY INCREASE IN
COVERAGE AND INTENSITY THIS AFTERNOON AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT
PROGRESSING SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE REGION.  THE ENVIRONMENT AHEAD OF
THE FRONT IS FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF A FEW
TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING OUTFLOW WINDS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 85 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 20 MILES SOUTHWEST OF WACO
TEXAS TO 40 MILES NORTHWEST OF FORT SMITH ARKANSAS.  FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22035.


...MEAD

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 26, 4:29 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArkansas, Crittenden, Cross, Lee, Mississippi, Monroe and 4 more3 hr
Dec 26, 12:02 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCFranklin, Howard, Logan, Montgomery, Pike, Polk and 4 more58 min
Dec 26, 3:51 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCrawford, Franklin, Johnson, Logan, Polk, Scott and 2 more114 min
Dec 26, 11:39 AM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCaddo, Canadian, Comanche, Grady, Logan, Oklahoma and 2 more3 hr
Dec 26, 5:52 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtoka, Bryan, Carter, Choctaw, Coal, Haskell and 11 more83 min
Dec 26, 2:58 PM CSTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAustin, Bastrop, Blanco, Brazos, Burleson, Burnet and 15 more2 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Texas, 2015Tornado Watches in Oklahoma, 2015Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2015Every tornado watch in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.