Alert archive / Texas / Tornado Watches in 2015
Tornado Watch 569
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Dec 26, 2015, 12:35 PM CST for 7 counties in Arkansas; 24 counties in Oklahoma; 55 counties in Texas. It was in force for 9 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Dec 26, 2015, 12:35 PM CST (18:35 UTC)
- Expired
- Dec 26, 2015, 9:45 PM CST
- In force
- 9 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 86 counties
Crawford County, AR, Franklin County, AR, Johnson County, AR, Logan County, AR, Polk County, AR, Scott County, AR, Sebastian County, AR, Atoka County, OK, Bryan County, OK, Carter County, OK, Choctaw County, OK, Coal County, OK, Haskell County, OK, Hughes County, OK, Jefferson County, OK, Johnston County, OK, Latimer County, OK, LeFlore County, OK, Love County, OK, Marshall County, OK, McCurtain County, OK, McIntosh County, OK, Murray County, OK, Muskogee County, OK, Okfuskee County, OK, Okmulgee County, OK, Pittsburg County, OK, Pontotoc County, OK, Pushmataha County, OK, Seminole County, OK, Sequoyah County, OK, Anderson County, TX, Bell County, TX, Bosque County, TX, Camp County, TX, Clay County, TX, Collin County, TX, Comanche County, TX, Cooke County, TX, Coryell County, TX, Dallas County, TX, Delta County, TX, Denton County, TX, Eastland County, TX, Ellis County, TX, Erath County, TX, Falls County, TX, Fannin County, TX, Franklin County, TX, Freestone County, TX, Grayson County, TX, Hamilton County, TX, Henderson County, TX, Hill County, TX, Hood County, TX, Hopkins County, TX, Hunt County, TX, Jack County, TX, Johnson County, TX, Kaufman County, TX, Lamar County, TX, Lampasas County, TX, Leon County, TX, Limestone County, TX, McLennan County, TX, Milam County, TX, Mills County, TX, Montague County, TX, Morris County, TX, Navarro County, TX, Palo Pinto County, TX, Parker County, TX, Rains County, TX, Red River County, TX, Robertson County, TX, Rockwall County, TX, Smith County, TX, Somervell County, TX, Stephens County, TX, Tarrant County, TX, Titus County, TX, Upshur County, TX, Van Zandt County, TX, Wise County, TX, Wood County, TX, Young County, TX
The radar
The Dallas/Ft Worth radar (KFWS), 84 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:36 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 50%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 30%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 10%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 30%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 70%
Warnings issued inside it
68 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 26, 12:58 PM CST | Tornado Warning | OUN | Carter, Garvin, Murray | 32 min |
| Dec 26, 1:27 PM CST | Tornado Warning | OUN | Garvin, McClain, Murray, Pontotoc, Pottawatomie | 33 min |
| Dec 26, 1:43 PM CST | Tornado Warning | FWD | Freestone, Leon, Limestone, Robertson | 47 min |
| Dec 26, 1:49 PM CST | Tornado Warning | FWD | Hill, Limestone, Navarro | 41 min |
| Dec 26, 1:55 PM CST | Tornado Warning | OUN | McClain, Pontotoc, Pottawatomie | 20 min |
| Dec 26, 2:10 PM CST | Tornado Warning | OUN | Pottawatomie, Seminole | 10 min |
| Dec 26, 2:26 PM CST | Tornado Warning | FWD | Ellis, Navarro | 23 min |
| Dec 26, 2:35 PM CST | Tornado Warning | FWD | Henderson, Van Zandt | 40 min |
| Dec 26, 2:42 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Young | 31 min |
| Dec 26, 2:57 PM CST | Tornado Warning | OUN | Atoka, Coal | 21 min |
| Dec 26, 2:58 PM CST | Tornado Warning | FWD | Van Zandt | 32 min |
| Dec 26, 3:00 PM CST | Tornado Warning | FWD | Henderson, Navarro | 45 min |
| Dec 26, 3:06 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Cooke, Grayson | 24 min |
| Dec 26, 3:09 PM CST | Tornado Warning | FWD | Kaufman | 36 min |
| Dec 26, 3:25 PM CST | Tornado Warning | FWD | Rains, Van Zandt | 35 min |
| Dec 26, 3:30 PM CST | Tornado Warning | FWD | Henderson, Van Zandt | 30 min |
| Dec 26, 3:31 PM CST | Tornado Warning | SHV | Wood | 29 min |
| Dec 26, 3:44 PM CST | Tornado Warning | FWD | Hunt, Kaufman | 31 min |
| Dec 26, 3:48 PM CST | Tornado Warning | FWD | Hopkins | 27 min |
| Dec 26, 3:50 PM CST | Tornado Warning | FWD | Van Zandt | 25 min |
| Dec 26, 3:57 PM CST | Tornado Warning | FWD | Henderson, Navarro | 33 min |
| Dec 26, 4:06 PM CST | Tornado Warning | TSA | McIntosh, Muskogee, Pittsburg | 39 min |
| Dec 26, 4:07 PM CST | Tornado Warning | FWD | Rains, Van Zandt | 27 min |
| Dec 26, 4:16 PM CST | Tornado Warning | SHV | Wood | 25 min |
| Dec 26, 4:26 PM CST | Tornado Warning | OUN | Atoka, Coal | 34 min |
| Dec 26, 4:28 PM CST | Tornado Warning | FWD | Henderson, Van Zandt | 32 min |
| Dec 26, 4:30 PM CST | Tornado Warning | FWD | Bosque, Hill, McLennan | 45 min |
| Dec 26, 4:33 PM CST | Tornado Warning | FWD | Ellis, Hill | 27 min |
| Dec 26, 4:39 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Cooke, Montague | 43 min |
| Dec 26, 4:44 PM CST | Tornado Warning | FWD | Hopkins | 31 min |
| Dec 26, 4:49 PM CST | Tornado Warning | TSA | Cherokee, Muskogee, Wagoner | 41 min |
| Dec 26, 4:52 PM CST | Tornado Warning | FWD | Rains, Van Zandt | 38 min |
| Dec 26, 4:53 PM CST | Tornado Warning | TSA | Pittsburg | 39 min |
| Dec 26, 4:54 PM CST | Tornado Warning | FWD | Ellis | 36 min |
| Dec 26, 4:57 PM CST | Tornado Warning | OUN | Coal, Hughes | 18 min |
| Dec 26, 5:01 PM CST | Tornado Warning | OUN | Carter, Love, Marshall | 29 min |
| Dec 26, 5:04 PM CST | Tornado Warning | FWD | Hill | 41 min |
| Dec 26, 5:10 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | TSA | Okmulgee | 6 hr |
| Dec 26, 5:12 PM CST | Tornado Warning | FWD | Falls, Limestone, McLennan | 33 min |
| Dec 26, 5:20 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Carter, Johnston, Love, Murray | 25 min |
| Dec 26, 5:28 PM CST | Tornado Warning | FWD | Dallas | 47 min |
| Dec 26, 5:28 PM CST | Tornado Warning | FWD | Ellis, Johnson | 47 min |
| Dec 26, 5:52 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Ellis, Hill, Navarro | 38 min |
| Dec 26, 5:56 PM CST | Tornado Warning | FWD | Collin, Dallas | 18 min |
| Dec 26, 6:01 PM CST | Tornado Warning | FWD | Dallas, Ellis | 44 min |
| Dec 26, 6:27 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FWD | Ellis, Navarro | 48 min |
| Dec 26, 6:31 PM CST | Tornado Warning | FWD | Ellis, Navarro | 29 min |
| Dec 26, 6:34 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | TSA | Adair, Cherokee, Delaware, McIntosh, Muskogee, Okmulgee and 2 more | 6 hr |
| Dec 26, 6:35 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | FWD | Dallas | 3 hr |
| Dec 26, 6:39 PM CST | Tornado Warning | FWD | Collin, Dallas, Rockwall | 51 min |
| Dec 26, 6:44 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | FWD | Cooke, Grayson | 3 hr |
| Dec 26, 6:50 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | OUN | Atoka, Bryan, Coal, Hughes, Johnston, Marshall and 1 more | 6 hr |
| Dec 26, 6:52 PM CST | Tornado Warning | FWD | Ellis, Kaufman | 38 min |
| Dec 26, 6:59 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | FWD | Collin | 3 hr |
| Dec 26, 7:13 PM CST | Tornado Warning | FWD | Dallas, Ellis, Kaufman | 32 min |
| Dec 26, 7:13 PM CST | Tornado Warning | FWD | Collin, Hunt | 32 min |
| Dec 26, 7:28 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | FWD | Denton, Tarrant | 3 hr |
| Dec 26, 7:34 PM CST | Tornado Warning | FWD | Collin, Fannin, Grayson, Hunt | 41 min |
| Dec 26, 7:47 PM CST | Tornado Warning | FWD | Collin, Rockwall | 28 min |
| Dec 26, 7:50 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | FWD | Parker | 3 hr |
| Dec 26, 7:54 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | TSA | Haskell, Latimer, McIntosh, Muskogee, Pittsburg | 6 hr |
| Dec 26, 8:14 PM CST | Tornado Warning | FWD | Fannin | 31 min |
| Dec 26, 8:20 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | FWD | Hood, Johnson, Somervell | 2 hr |
| Dec 26, 8:25 PM CST | Tornado Warning | OUN | Bryan | 35 min |
| Dec 26, 8:40 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | FWD | Wise | 2 hr |
| Dec 26, 8:44 PM CST | Tornado Warning | FWD | Fannin | 46 min |
| Dec 26, 8:49 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | FWD | Fannin | 2 hr |
| Dec 26, 9:28 PM CST | Flash Flood Warning | FWD | Cooke, Grayson | 2 hr |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Fort Worth, TX (KFWD), launched 12:00Z, 6.6 hours before the alert went out and 64 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 703 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -43 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 724 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 51 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 307 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 300 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 1.1
- Supercell composite
- 8.3
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
378 WWUS20 KWNS 261833 SEL9 SPC WW 261833 ARZ000-OKZ000-TXZ000-270200- URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 569 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1235 PM CST SAT DEC 26 2015 THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF WEST-CENTRAL ARKANSAS SOUTH-CENTRAL INTO SOUTHEAST AND EAST-CENTRAL OKLAHOMA NORTH-CENTRAL AND NORTHEAST TEXAS * EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 1235 PM UNTIL 800 PM CST. * PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE... A FEW TORNADOES POSSIBLE ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE SUMMARY...THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY INCREASE IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY THIS AFTERNOON AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT PROGRESSING SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE REGION. THE ENVIRONMENT AHEAD OF THE FRONT IS FAVORABLE FOR SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF A FEW TORNADOES...LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING OUTFLOW WINDS. THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 85 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 20 MILES SOUTHWEST OF WACO TEXAS TO 40 MILES NORTHWEST OF FORT SMITH ARKANSAS. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. && AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 22035. ...MEAD
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 26, 4:29 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Arkansas, Crittenden, Cross, Lee, Mississippi, Monroe and 4 more | 3 hr |
| Dec 26, 12:02 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Franklin, Howard, Logan, Montgomery, Pike, Polk and 4 more | 58 min |
| Dec 26, 3:51 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Crawford, Franklin, Johnson, Logan, Polk, Scott and 2 more | 114 min |
| Dec 26, 11:39 AM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Caddo, Canadian, Comanche, Grady, Logan, Oklahoma and 2 more | 3 hr |
| Dec 26, 5:52 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Atoka, Bryan, Carter, Choctaw, Coal, Haskell and 11 more | 83 min |
| Dec 26, 2:58 PM CST | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Austin, Bastrop, Blanco, Brazos, Burleson, Burnet and 15 more | 2 hr |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Texas, 2015Tornado Watches in Oklahoma, 2015Tornado Watches in Arkansas, 2015Every tornado watch in 2015
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.