Tornado Warning 146, NWS Fort Worth, TX

561 
WWUS54 KFWD 270006
SVSFWD

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
606 PM CST SAT DEC 26 2015

TXC113-139-270045-
/O.CON.KFWD.TO.W.0146.000000T0000Z-151227T0045Z/
ELLIS TX-DALLAS TX-
606 PM CST SAT DEC 26 2015

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 645 PM CST FOR NORTH
CENTRAL ELLIS AND CENTRAL DALLAS COUNTIES...
    
AT 605 PM CST...A CONFIRMED LARGE AND EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TORNADO WAS
LOCATED OVER OVILLA...OR NEAR GLENN HEIGHTS...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35
MPH.

THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO. 

SOURCE...WEATHER SPOTTERS CONFIRMED TORNADO. 

IMPACT...YOU ARE IN A LIFE THREATENING SITUATION. FLYING DEBRIS MAY 
         BE DEADLY TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES 
         WILL BE DESTROYED. CONSIDERABLE DAMAGE TO 
         HOMES...BUSINESSES AND VEHICLES IS LIKELY AND COMPLETE   
DESTRUCTION IS POSSIBLE. SPOTTERS ARE REPORTING A WEDGE TORNADO
MOVING DIRECTLY AT OVILLA AND GLENN HEIGHTS. IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH
OF THIS STORM...TAKE COVER IMMEDIATELY TO PROTECT YOUR LIFE!

THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
  RED OAK AROUND 610 PM CST.
  GLENN HEIGHTS AROUND 615 PM CST.
  DESOTO...DUNCANVILLE AND WILMER AROUND 620 PM CST.
  LANCASTER AROUND 625 PM CST.
  HUTCHINS AND COCKRELL HILL AROUND 630 PM CST.
  BALCH SPRINGS AROUND 640 PM CST.
  MESQUITE...UNIVERSITY PARK AND HIGHLAND PARK AROUND 645 PM CST.

OTHER LOCATIONS IMPACTED BY THIS TORNADIC THUNDERSTORM INCLUDE PECAN
HILL.

THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING INTERSTATES...
 INTERSTATE 35E BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 408 AND 436.
 INTERSTATE 20 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 456 AND 477.
 INTERSTATE 30 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 33 AND 63.
 INTERSTATE 45 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 272 AND 284.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MOTORISTS SHOULD NOT TAKE SHELTER UNDER HIGHWAY OVERPASSES. IF YOU
CANNOT SAFELY DRIVE AWAY FROM THE TORNADO...AS A LAST RESORT...EITHER
PARK YOUR VEHICLE AND STAY PUT...OR ABANDON YOUR VEHICLE AND LIE DOWN
IN A LOW LYING AREA AND PROTECT YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

&&

LAT...LON 3250 9676 3250 9695 3255 9700 3287 9703
      3288 9652
TIME...MOT...LOC 0005Z 206DEG 30KT 3251 9688 

TORNADO...OBSERVED
TORNADO DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE
HAIL...1.00IN

$$

CAVANAUGH

287 
WWUS54 KFWD 270014
SVSFWD

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
614 PM CST SAT DEC 26 2015

TXC113-139-270045-
/O.CON.KFWD.TO.W.0146.000000T0000Z-151227T0045Z/
ELLIS TX-DALLAS TX-
614 PM CST SAT DEC 26 2015

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 645 PM CST FOR NORTH
CENTRAL ELLIS AND CENTRAL DALLAS COUNTIES...
    
AT 612 PM CST...A CONFIRMED LARGE AND EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TORNADO WAS
LOCATED OVER DESOTO...MOVING NORTH AT 40 MPH.

THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION.

HAZARD...DAMAGING TORNADO. 

SOURCE...WEATHER SPOTTERS CONFIRMED TORNADO. 

IMPACT...YOU ARE IN A LIFE THREATENING SITUATION. FLYING DEBRIS MAY 
         BE DEADLY TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES 
         WILL BE DESTROYED. CONSIDERABLE DAMAGE TO 
         HOMES...BUSINESSES AND VEHICLES IS LIKELY AND COMPLETE    
DESTRUCTION IS POSSIBLE. THIS DESTRUCTIVE TORNADO IS MOVING INTO
DESOTO AND LANCASTER. IF YOU ARE NEAR THIS STORM...TAKE COVER
IMMEDIATELY TO PROTECT YOUR LIFE!

THE TORNADO WILL BE NEAR...
  WILMER AROUND 620 PM CST.
  HUTCHINS AND COCKRELL HILL AROUND 625 PM CST.
  BALCH SPRINGS AROUND 635 PM CST.
  UNIVERSITY PARK AND HIGHLAND PARK AROUND 640 PM CST.
  GARLAND AND MESQUITE AROUND 645 PM CST.

THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING INTERSTATES...
 INTERSTATE 35E BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 410 AND 436.
 INTERSTATE 20 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 457 AND 477.
 INTERSTATE 30 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 34 AND 63.
 INTERSTATE 45 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 272 AND 284.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TO REPEAT...A LARGE...EXTREMELY DANGEROUS AND POTENTIALLY DEADLY
TORNADO IS ON THE GROUND. TO PROTECT YOUR LIFE...TAKE COVER NOW! MOVE
TO A BASEMENT OR AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A STURDY
BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF YOU ARE OUTDOORS OR IN A VEHICLE...MOVE
TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT YOURSELF FROM FLYING
DEBRIS.

&&

LAT...LON 3252 9675 3252 9690 3255 9697 3287 9703
      3288 9652
TIME...MOT...LOC 0012Z 202DEG 35KT 3258 9685 

TORNADO...OBSERVED
TORNADO DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE
HAIL...1.00IN

$$

CAVANAUGH

168 
WWUS54 KFWD 270022
SVSFWD

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
622 PM CST SAT DEC 26 2015

TXC139-270031-
/O.CAN.KFWD.TO.W.0146.000000T0000Z-151227T0045Z/
ELLIS TX-
622 PM CST SAT DEC 26 2015

...THE TORNADO WARNING FOR NORTH CENTRAL ELLIS COUNTY IS CANCELLED...
    
THE TORNADIC THUNDERSTORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT
OF THE WARNED AREA. THEREFORE THE WARNING HAS BEEN CANCELLED.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CST FOR NORTH CENTRAL
TEXAS.

LAT...LON 3260 9670 3261 9685 3264 9697 3287 9703
      3288 9652
TIME...MOT...LOC 0021Z 200DEG 41KT 3269 9681 

$$

TXC113-270045-
/O.CON.KFWD.TO.W.0146.000000T0000Z-151227T0045Z/
DALLAS TX-
622 PM CST SAT DEC 26 2015

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 645 PM CST FOR CENTRAL
DALLAS COUNTY...
    
AT 621 PM CST...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO
WAS LOCATED NEAR COCKRELL HILL...MOVING NORTH AT 45 MPH.

HAZARD...TORNADO AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION. 

IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT 
         SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED. DAMAGE 
         TO ROOFS...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR.  TREE DAMAGE IS
         LIKELY. THIS STORM HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING TORNADOES.
THIS IS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS STORM...IF YOU ARE IN ITS PATH...
TAKE COVER IMMEDIATELY!

THIS DANGEROUS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
  BALCH SPRINGS AROUND 630 PM CST.
  UNIVERSITY PARK AND HIGHLAND PARK AROUND 635 PM CST.
  MESQUITE AROUND 640 PM CST.
  GARLAND AROUND 645 PM CST.

THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING INTERSTATES...
 INTERSTATE 35E BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 416 AND 436.
 INTERSTATE 20 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 458 AND 477.
 INTERSTATE 30 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 34 AND 63.
 INTERSTATE 45 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 272 AND 284.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! MOVE TO A BASEMENT OR AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST
FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF YOU ARE OUTDOORS OR IN
A VEHICLE...MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER AND PROTECT
YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

&&

LAT...LON 3260 9670 3261 9685 3264 9697 3287 9703
      3288 9652
TIME...MOT...LOC 0021Z 200DEG 41KT 3269 9681 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...1.00IN

$$

CAVANAUGH

403 
WWUS54 KFWD 270028
SVSFWD

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
628 PM CST SAT DEC 26 2015

TXC113-270045-
/O.CON.KFWD.TO.W.0146.000000T0000Z-151227T0045Z/
DALLAS TX-
628 PM CST SAT DEC 26 2015

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 645 PM CST FOR CENTRAL
DALLAS COUNTY...
    
AT 627 PM CST...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO
WAS LOCATED NEAR DALLAS...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

HAZARD...TORNADO AND QUARTER SIZE HAIL. 

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION. 

IMPACT...THIS DANGEROUS STORM APPEARS TO BE REORGANIZING AND MAY
PRODUCE ANOTHER DAMAGING TORNADO IN DOWNTOWN DALLAS. IF YOU ARE IN
THE PATH OF THIS DANGEROUS STORM...TAKE COVER IMMEDIATELY TO PROTECT
YOUR LIFT!

THIS DANGEROUS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
  BALCH SPRINGS AND HIGHLAND PARK AROUND 635 PM CST.
  UNIVERSITY PARK AROUND 640 PM CST.
  GARLAND...MESQUITE AND SUNNYVALE AROUND 645 PM CST.

THIS INCLUDES THE FOLLOWING INTERSTATES...
 INTERSTATE 35E BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 419 AND 436.
 INTERSTATE 20 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 473 AND 477.
 INTERSTATE 30 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 41 AND 63.
 INTERSTATE 45 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 276 AND 284.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

MOTORISTS SHOULD NOT TAKE SHELTER UNDER HIGHWAY OVERPASSES. IF YOU
CANNOT SAFELY DRIVE AWAY FROM THE TORNADO...AS A LAST RESORT...EITHER
PARK YOUR VEHICLE AND STAY PUT...OR ABANDON YOUR VEHICLE AND LIE DOWN
IN A LOW LYING AREA AND PROTECT YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

TORNADOES ARE EXTREMELY DIFFICULT TO SEE AND CONFIRM AT NIGHT. DO NOT
WAIT TO SEE OR HEAR THE TORNADO. TAKE COVER NOW.

&&

LAT...LON 3267 9666 3265 9682 3266 9688 3287 9690
      3288 9652
TIME...MOT...LOC 0027Z 206DEG 35KT 3273 9677 

TORNADO...RADAR INDICATED
HAIL...1.00IN

$$

CAVANAUGH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
208 PM CST SAT DEC 26 2015

.DISCUSSION...

WITH A TORNADO WATCH IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF NORTH AND CENTRAL
TEXAS...WILL KEEP THE FORECAST DISCUSSION FOCUSED ON THE MAIN
THREATS ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER LEVEL STORM SYSTEM APPROACHING
FROM THE WEST.

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT: THE MAIN WINDOW OF OPPORTUNITY FOR SEVERE
STORMS IS THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH OVERNIGHT TONIGHT...PRIMARILY
ALONG AND SOUTHEAST OF A COLD FRONT MOVING SLOWLY SOUTHEAST ACROSS
THE REGION.

FOR THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING: THE 18Z FWD RAOB INDICATED OVER
2000 J/KG OF SURFACE BASED CAPE IN PLACE OVER THE REGION...WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT CAP IN PLACE INHIBITING CONVECTION. DEEP LAYER AND
LOW-LEVEL SHEAR PROFILES ARE SUPPORTIVE OF SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING TORNADOES. THE 18 UTC FWD RAOB NUMBERS RANK
HIGHLY IN THE PARAMETER SPACE SUPPORTIVE OF SIGNIFICANT TORNADOES
ACCORDING TO THE STORM PREDICTION CENTERS SEVERE WEATHER
ENVIRONMENT CLIMATOLOGY. AS A RESULT...THINK THAT SUPERCELL
THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING TORNADOES WILL POSE A
SIGNIFICANT THREAT TO THE REGION THROUGH THIS EVENING. THE ONLY
MISSING INGREDIENT THAT WOULD SUPPORT A MORE WIDESPREAD SEVERE
WEATHER OR TORNADO OUTBREAK IS STRONG LIFT OVER THE REGION. LIFT
IS GENERALLY WEAK AND LACKS FOCUS...HOWEVER THE ENVIRONMENT IS
UNCAPPED. EVEN WEAK LIFT MAY BE ENOUGH FOR SCATTERED SEVERE
STORM/SUPERCELL DEVELOPMENT ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH THIS
EVENING. A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH 8 PM FOR ALL OF
NORTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS AS A RESULT. ASSUMING SUPERCELL
THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP IN THIS
ENVIRONMENT...SIGNIFICANT TO VIOLENT TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE. THE
TORNADO THREAT MAY DIMINISH LATE THIS EVENING AFTER SEVERAL HOURS
OF COOLING...THOUGH THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WILL LIKELY PERSIST
ALONG AND SOUTHEAST OF THE COLD FRONT.

OVERNIGHT INTO SUNDAY: THE THREAT FOR SUPERCELLS WILL CONTINUE
OVERNIGHT ALONG AND SOUTHEAST OF THE COLD FRONT. THE TORNADO
THREAT MAY DIMINISH A BIT...BUT WILL NOT LIKELY BECOME ZERO AT ANY
POINT SOUTHEAST OF THE FRONT WITH NEAR 70 DEW POINTS IN PLACE. THE
SPEED OF THE FRONT WILL LARGELY DETERMINE THE SEVERE WEATHER
THREAT FOR SUNDAY. IF THE FRONT STALLS OUT ACROSS THE CWA...THE
THREAT FOR SUPERCELLS AND TORNADOES WILL LIKELY BE PRESENT
AGAIN...ALONG AND SOUTHEAST OF WHEREVER THE FRONT STALLS. IF THE
FRONT STALLS IN THE CWA...IT IS MOST LIKELY TO STALL OUT NEAR A
PARIS TO DALLAS TO TEMPLE LINE.

FLASH FLOODING THREAT: THE FLASH FLOODING THREAT IS EXPECTED TO BE
THE GREATEST ALONG AND BEHIND THE COLD FRONT...ESPECIALLY IF IT
STALLS OUT SUNDAY AFTERNOON. FLASH FLOODING IS LIKELY THE MOST
WIDESPREAD THREAT FOR THE REGION. WITH SOIL MOISTURE CONDITIONS
AND THE TRINITY RIVER BASIN ALREADY STARTING OUT ABOVE
NORMAL...THERE IS NOT MUCH STORAGE CAPACITY FOR SIGNIFICANT
RAINFALL AND RUNOFF. WITH 3-6 INCHES (AND ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS)
EXPECTED ALONG AND EAST OF INTERSTATE 35...SIGNIFICANT FLASH
FLOODING IS POSSIBLE. ADDITIONAL RIVER FLOODING ALL ALONG THE
TRINITY IS LIKELY AS WELL. THE PRIMARY FLASH FLOODING THREAT IS
LIKELY TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...AGAIN...ALONG AND BEHIND THE
FRONTAL BOUNDARY.

WINTRY PRECIPITATION: THE FORECAST REMAINS LARGELY UNCHANGED FROM
THE OVERNIGHT FORECAST. RAIN IS LIKELY TO CHANGE OVER TO SNOW ON
THE BACK SIDE OF THE UPPER LOW SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY
MORNING. THIS UPPER LEVEL LOW IS AN INCREDIBLY DYNAMIC SYSTEM
SPORTING OVER 120 KTS OF WIND AT THE 500 MB LEVEL AND WITH
TEMPERATURES DOWN TO -36 DEG C AT THE 500 MB LEVEL. THE COLD AIR
ALREADY WRAPPED UP IN THIS SYSTEM COMPARED TO THE INCREDIBLY
ANOMALOUS SPRING TIME WARMTH AND MOISTURE CURRENTLY IN PLACE OVER
THE REGION SUPPORTS A SYSTEM WITH HIGH END POTENTIAL TO DEEPEN AS
IT MOVES OUT OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. THE STRONG POTENTIAL FOR
CYCLOGENESIS ASSOCIATED WITH THE INTENSE BAROCLINICITY PROGGED BY
MODELS FOR SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY MEANS THAT THIS IS THE
PORTION OF THE FORECAST MOST SUSCEPTIBLE TO CHANGE OVER THE NEXT
36 HOURS. AS IT STANDS NOW...LOCATIONS WITHIN THE WINTER STORM
WATCH...ROUGHLY ALONG AND NORTHWEST OF A LINE FROM BOWIE TO
MINERAL WELLS TO CISCO...ARE THE MOST LIKELY TO SEE ACCUMULATING
SNOWFALL SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING. 1-3 INCHES OF
SNOWFALL LOOKS LIKELY AT THIS TIME FOR THESE AREAS. EVEN THOUGH
THIS IS TECHNICALLY BELOW WINTER STORM WARNING/WATCH CRITERIA...
THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR ADDITIONAL SNOWFALL DEPENDING ON THE
EXACT TRACK OF THE UPPER LOW...AND HOW MUCH IT DEEPENS ONCE OVER
THE SOUTHERN PLAINS. EVEN IF 1-3 INCHES OF SNOWFALL IS ALL THAT
FALLS...WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE SUSTAINED AT 25 KTS GUSTING TO 35
KTS...MEANING THERE WILL BE A GOOD POTENTIAL FOR BLOWING AND
DRIFTING OF SNOW WHICH COULD SIGNIFICANTLY INHIBIT TRAVEL ACROSS
THE WINTER STORM WATCH AREA. WILL NOT CHANGE THE AREAL OR TEMPORAL
COVERAGE OF THE WATCH FOR NOW...BUT WILL BE WATCHING FOR THE
POTENTIAL FOR ADDITIONAL WINTER WEATHER IMPACTS AND CHANGES IN THE
WATCH COVERAGE AREA IN LATER FORECASTS.

AFTER MONDAY...MADE NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE PREVIOUS
FORECAST.

CAVANAUGH

&&

.AVIATION...

/ISSUED 556 AM CST SAT DEC 26 2015/
MOIST SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL PREVAIL THROUGH TODAY WITH MVFR CIGS
LIKELY. SOME IFR IS POSSIBLE...AND MOS SEEMS ESPECIALLY ADAMANT
ON AN IFR OR LIFR CIG FORECAST THROUGH TODAY. HOWEVER CURRENT
TEMPERATURES ARE NEARLY EQUAL TO UPSTREAM DEWPOINTS AND THIS RULE
OF THUMB SUGGESTS IFR THREAT MAY BE OVER. OTHERWISE WILL SHOW VCSH
THROUGH THE DAY FOR SHOWERS THAT WILL STREAM ACROSS THE AREA.
MOST RAIN ACTIVITY WILL BE LIGHT AND BRIEF. WILL HAVE TO KEEP AN
EYE OUT FOR MORE INTENSE CONVECTION/THUNDERSTORMS THIS
AFTERNOON/EVENING...BUT RIGHT NOW THE CHANCE FOR THIS IS TOO LOW
TO DELINEATE ANY ONE HOUR SO WILL HAVE TO LEAVE IT OUT OF THE TAF.
SOUTH WINDS WILL INCREASE TODAY TO NEAR 20KT AND GUSTY.

PREFER THE HI-RES MODELS WHICH SHOW A SLIGHTLY EARLIER COLD
FRONTAL PASSAGE...PUTTING IT THROUGH KAFW AROUND 3Z...DFW AROUND
5Z...AND WACO AROUND 7Z. WINDS WILL BECOME NORTHERLY BEHIND THE
FRONT AND RAIN/STORM CHANCES WILL ALSO INCREASE NEAR AND JUST
BEHIND THE FRONT SO WILL SHOW SHRA AND VCTS AFTER FROPA.
STRONGEST PERIOD OF UPPER LEVEL FORCING OCCURS AFTER 7 OR 8Z /1AM
OR 2AM TONIGHT/ AND WILL INDICATE PREVAILING TSRA THROUGH EARLY
MORNING SUNDAY.

TR.92

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DALLAS-FT. WORTH, TX  54  58  33  42  31 / 100 100  80  20   5
WACO, TX              62  62  32  45  30 /  80  90  50  10   5
PARIS, TX             61  66  36  43  30 / 100 100  90  30   5
DENTON, TX            49  50  32  40  27 / 100 100  80  20   5
MCKINNEY, TX          55  57  33  41  29 / 100 100  80  20   5
DALLAS, TX            56  60  33  43  32 / 100 100  80  20   5
TERRELL, TX           61  64  34  43  30 /  90 100  80  20   5
CORSICANA, TX         65  66  33  45  33 /  80 100  70  10   5
TEMPLE, TX            61  61  31  47  31 /  80  90  50  10   5
MINERAL WELLS, TX     44  44  29  39  26 /  90 100  80  20   5

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FLASH FLOOD WATCH THROUGH LATE SUNDAY NIGHT FOR TXZ091>095-
102>107-117>123-131>135-144>148-158>162-174-175.

WINTER STORM WATCH FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH MONDAY MORNING
FOR TXZ091-100-101-115-116-129.

&&

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
320 PM CST SAT DEC 26 2015

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-271130-
MONTAGUE-COOKE-GRAYSON-FANNIN-LAMAR-YOUNG-JACK-WISE-DENTON-COLLIN-
HUNT-DELTA-HOPKINS-STEPHENS-PALO PINTO-PARKER-TARRANT-DALLAS-
ROCKWALL-KAUFMAN-VAN ZANDT-RAINS-EASTLAND-ERATH-HOOD-SOMERVELL-
JOHNSON-ELLIS-HENDERSON-COMANCHE-MILLS-HAMILTON-BOSQUE-HILL-NAVARRO-
FREESTONE-ANDERSON-LAMPASAS-CORYELL-BELL-MCLENNAN-FALLS-LIMESTONE-
LEON-MILAM-ROBERTSON-
320 PM CST SAT DEC 26 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY BY TONIGHT ACROSS ALL OF NORTH TEXAS.
SOME THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE SEVERE WITH A THREAT OF DAMAGING
WINDS...ISOLATED TORNADOES AND HAIL.

HEAVY RAIN MAY LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING IN SOME AREAS AS WELL. A
FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR AREAS GENERALLY ALONG AND EAST
OF A LINE FROM BOWIE TO KILLEEN.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE LIKELY ACROSS ALL OF NORTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS
SUNDAY...ESPECIALLY DURING THE MORNING HOURS. THERE IS A SLIGHT
RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ALONG AND EAST OF A COLD FRONT WHICH
SHOULD BE NEAR A LINE FROM BONHAM TO TERRELL TO KILLEN AT
DAYBREAK. THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT WILL END AS THE FRONT MOVES
EAST THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF NORTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS SUNDAY
AFTERNOON.

HEAVY RAIN MAY LEAD TO FLASH FLOODING IN SOME AREAS AS WELL. A
FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR AREAS GENERALLY ALONG AND
EAST OF A LINE FROM BOWIE TO KILLEEN THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT.

SNOW SHOULD DEVELOP WEST OF A LINE FROM COMANCHE TO MINERAL WELLS
TO GAINESVILLE LINE SUNDAY NIGHT. SOME ACCUMULATIONS AND IMPACTS
TO TRAVEL ARE POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE COUNTIES OF
EASTLAND...JACK...STEPHENS...PALO PINTO...YOUNG AND MONTAGUE
WHERE A WINTER STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT.

A RAIN AND SNOW MIX IS POSSIBLE AS FAR EAST AS BONHAM TO DALLAS
TO HILLSBORO TO LAMPASAS. GENERALLY LITTLE TO NO ACCUMULATION OR
IMPACTS TO TRAVEL ARE EXPECTED IN THESE AREAS DUE TO TEMPERATURES
STAYING ABOVE FREEZING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS POSSIBLE TODAY AND TONIGHT ACROSS ALL OF
NORTH AND CENTRAL TEXAS.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
137 PM CST SAT DEC 26 2015

TXZ158>160-262000-
MCLENNAN TX-BELL TX-FALLS TX-
137 PM CST SAT DEC 26 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN BELL...WEST CENTRAL
FALLS AND SOUTH CENTRAL MCLENNAN COUNTIES UNTIL 200 PM CST...

AT 137 PM CST...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR
TEMPLE...MOVING NORTH AT 50 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
WACO...TEMPLE...HEWITT...ROBINSON...WOODWAY...MCGREGOR...BEVERLY
HILLS...LORENA...TROY...BRUCEVILLE-EDDY AND MOODY.

THIS INCLUDES INTERSTATE 35 BETWEEN MILE MARKERS 295 AND 333.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

HEAVY RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD TO
FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

&&

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CST FOR CENTRAL TEXAS.

LAT...LON 3104 9720 3105 9743 3162 9741 3154 9712
TIME...MOT...LOC 1937Z 184DEG 43KT 3113 9732

JLDUNN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
204 PM CST SAT DEC 26 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0203 PM     TORNADO          5 N HUBBARD             31.92N  96.80W
12/26/2015                   HILL               TX   EMERGENCY MNGR

            REPORT OF A CONFIRMED TORNADO ROUGHLY 5 MILES NORTH OF
            HUBBARD VIA VFD.

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
231 PM CST SAT DEC 26 2015

TXZ100-262115-
YOUNG TX-
231 PM CST SAT DEC 26 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR YOUNG COUNTY UNTIL 315 PM CST...

AT 231 PM CST...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 8
MILES WEST OF GRAHAM...MOVING NORTH AT 40 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS OF 50 TO 55 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
GRAHAM...OLNEY AND NEWCASTLE.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CST FOR NORTH CENTRAL
TEXAS.

LAT...LON 3340 9892 3340 9844 3304 9861 3306 9882
TIME...MOT...LOC 2031Z 184DEG 36KT 3314 9871

CAVANAUGH

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
232 PM CST SAT DEC 26 2015

TXZ122-135-262100-
VAN ZANDT TX-HENDERSON TX-
232 PM CST SAT DEC 26 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN VAN ZANDT AND NORTH
CENTRAL HENDERSON COUNTIES UNTIL 300 PM CST...

AT 231 PM CST...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM OVER
CANEY CITY...OR 7 MILES WEST OF ATHENS...MOVING NORTH AT 45 MPH.

WIND GUSTS OF 50 TO 55 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THIS STORM.
TORNADOES MAY QUICKLY DEVELOP WITH ANY STORMS THIS AFTERNOON.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
ATHENS...MALAKOFF...EUSTACE...TRINIDAD...CANEY CITY...PURTIS CREEK
STATE PARK...PAYNE SPRINGS...LOG CABIN AND STAR HARBOR.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CST FOR NORTH CENTRAL
TEXAS.

LAT...LON 3211 9590 3216 9610 3252 9597 3242 9576
TIME...MOT...LOC 2031Z 198DEG 40KT 3221 9599

JLDUNN

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
341 PM CST SAT DEC 26 2015

TXZ091-101-262230-
MONTAGUE TX-JACK TX-
341 PM CST SAT DEC 26 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WESTERN MONTAGUE AND NORTHERN
JACK COUNTIES UNTIL 430 PM CST...

AT 341 PM CST...DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A STRONG THUNDERSTORM 7
MILES SOUTHWEST OF NEWPORT...OR 11 MILES NORTH OF JACKSBORO...MOVING
NORTH AT 45 MPH.

NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH
THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
BOWIE...STONEBURG AND NEWPORT.

THIS STORM MAY INTENSIFY...SO BE CERTAIN TO MONITOR LOCAL RADIO AND
TV STATIONS...AS WELL AS LOCAL CABLE TV OUTLETS...FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CST FOR NORTH CENTRAL
TEXAS.

LAT...LON 3392 9775 3343 9789 3343 9792 3325 9792
      3326 9839 3347 9831 3347 9798 3389 9798
      3385 9786 3388 9781 3390 9780 3390 9778
      3392 9778
TIME...MOT...LOC 2141Z 195DEG 40KT 3338 9809

CAVANAUGH