Alert archive / Texas / Tornado Watches in 2015
Tornado Watch 196
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at May 23, 2015, 3:04 PM CDT for 55 counties in Texas. It was in force for 6 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- May 23, 2015, 3:04 PM CDT (20:04 UTC)
- Expired
- May 23, 2015, 9:00 PM CDT
- In force
- 6 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 55 kt
All 55 counties
Andrews County, TX, Borden County, TX, Brewster County, TX, Brown County, TX, Callahan County, TX, Coke County, TX, Coleman County, TX, Concho County, TX, Crane County, TX, Crockett County, TX, Dawson County, TX, Dimmit County, TX, Ector County, TX, Edwards County, TX, Fisher County, TX, Gaines County, TX, Glasscock County, TX, Haskell County, TX, Howard County, TX, Irion County, TX, Jeff Davis County, TX, Jones County, TX, Kimble County, TX, Kinney County, TX, Loving County, TX, Martin County, TX, Mason County, TX, Maverick County, TX, McCulloch County, TX, Menard County, TX, Midland County, TX, Mitchell County, TX, Nolan County, TX, Pecos County, TX, Presidio County, TX, Reagan County, TX, Real County, TX, Reeves County, TX, Runnels County, TX, San Saba County, TX, Schleicher County, TX, Scurry County, TX, Shackelford County, TX, Sterling County, TX, Sutton County, TX, Taylor County, TX, Terrell County, TX, Throckmorton County, TX, Tom Green County, TX, Upton County, TX, Uvalde County, TX, Val Verde County, TX, Ward County, TX, Winkler County, TX, Zavala County, TX
The radar
The Midland/Odessa radar (KMAF), 49 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:06 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 30%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 30%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 10%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 30%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 70%
Warnings issued inside it
19 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 23, 3:11 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | EWX | Bandera, Real, Uvalde | 2 hr |
| May 23, 3:36 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SJT | Brown | 24 min |
| May 23, 3:44 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Andrews, Ector, Midland | 61 min |
| May 23, 4:02 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Andrews, Dawson, Gaines, Martin | 58 min |
| May 23, 4:08 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | EWX | Edwards, Kinney, Val Verde | 3 hr |
| May 23, 4:23 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MAF | Andrews, Ector, Gaines | 4 hr |
| May 23, 4:24 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Crane, Ector, Martin, Midland, Upton | 66 min |
| May 23, 4:45 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Dawson | 45 min |
| May 23, 4:50 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | EWX | Bandera, Edwards, Kerr, Real | 6 hr |
| May 23, 5:11 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | SJT | Kimble | 4 hr |
| May 23, 5:14 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | EWX | Bandera, Medina, Real, Uvalde | 3 hr |
| May 23, 5:16 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Crane, Ector, Pecos, Upton, Ward, Winkler | 44 min |
| May 23, 5:25 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | SJT | Mason, Menard | 3 hr |
| May 23, 5:51 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | EWX | Uvalde | 39 min |
| May 23, 6:05 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SJT | Fisher | 25 min |
| May 23, 6:22 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MAF | Ector, Martin, Midland | 3 hr |
| May 23, 7:25 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | EWX | Frio, Zavala | 3 hr |
| May 23, 7:38 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | SJT | Fisher, Haskell, Jones | 52 min |
| May 23, 8:10 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | EWX | Bandera, Medina, Uvalde | 3 hr |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 12:00Z, 8.1 hours before the alert went out and 50 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 494 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -248 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1265 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 31 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 330 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 404 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 2.7
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
762 WWUS20 KWNS 232001 SEL6 SPC WW 232001 TXZ000-240200- URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 196 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 300 PM CDT SAT MAY 23 2015 THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL TEXAS INCLUDING THE MIDDLE RIO GRANDE VALLEY * EFFECTIVE THIS SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 300 PM UNTIL 900 PM CDT. * PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE... A COUPLE TORNADOES POSSIBLE ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 65 MPH POSSIBLE SUMMARY...THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY INCREASE ACROSS PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL TEXAS AND ADJACENT NORTHERN MEXICO...WITH SEVERE RISK INCREASING ACROSS THIS AREA. LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE...ALONG WITH A COUPLE OF TORNADOES INTO THE EVENING HOURS. THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 120 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 70 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF BIG SPRING TEXAS TO 60 MILES SOUTH OF DRYDEN TEXAS. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 194...WW 195... AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 55 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23030. ...GOSS
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 22, 7:06 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Crane, Ector, Loving, Pecos, Reeves, Ward and 1 more | 114 min |
| May 23, 12:35 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Bailey, Castro, Cochran, Deaf Smith, Hockley, Lamb and 6 more | 115 min |
| May 23, 5:38 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Armstrong, Briscoe, Carson, Castro, Collingsworth, Donley and 9 more | 97 min |
| May 23, 12:17 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Baylor, Briscoe, Castro, Childress, Cottle, Crosby and 17 more | 2 hr |
| May 23, 1:16 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Archer, Armstrong, Bailey, Baylor, Briscoe, Castro and 31 more | 6 hr |
| May 23, 2:02 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Brewster, Coke, Concho, Crane, Crockett, Ector and 28 more | 88 min |
| May 23, 3:44 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Archer, Bailey, Baylor, Briscoe, Castro, Childress and 27 more | 2 hr |
| May 23, 5:04 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Archer, Baylor, Bosque, Childress, Clay, Collin and 34 more | 2 hr |
| May 23, 5:30 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Archer, Baylor, Briscoe, Childress, Clay, Collin and 30 more | 9 hr |
| May 23, 6:06 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Andrews, Atascosa, Bandera, Bexar, Blanco, Borden and 61 more | 114 min |
| May 23, 6:19 PM CDT | Tornado Watch | SPC | Atascosa, Bandera, Bastrop, Bee, Bexar, Blanco and 30 more | 9 hr |
| May 23, 6:37 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Archer, Clay, Cooke, Denton, Grayson, Montague and 2 more | 83 min |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.