Alert archive / Oklahoma / Tornado Watches in 2015

Tornado Watch 191

May 19, 201519 counties in Oklahoma; 8 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at May 19, 2015, 8:58 PM CDT for 19 counties in Oklahoma; 8 counties in Texas. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 19, 2015, 8:58 PM CDT (01:58 UTC)
Expired
May 20, 2015, 2:00 AM CDT
In force
5 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 27 counties

Atoka County, OK, Bryan County, OK, Carter County, OK, Coal County, OK, Comanche County, OK, Cotton County, OK, Garvin County, OK, Greer County, OK, Harmon County, OK, Jackson County, OK, Jefferson County, OK, Johnston County, OK, Kiowa County, OK, Love County, OK, Marshall County, OK, Murray County, OK, Pontotoc County, OK, Stephens County, OK, Tillman County, OK, Archer County, TX, Baylor County, TX, Clay County, TX, Foard County, TX, Hardeman County, TX, Knox County, TX, Wichita County, TX, Wilbarger County, TX

The radar

The Altus AFB radar (KFDR), 61 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:00 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
30%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
30%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
60%

Warnings issued inside it

22 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 19, 8:58 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningOUNBeckham, Comanche, Greer, Harmon, Jackson, Kiowa and 2 more4 hr
May 19, 9:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNJefferson43 min
May 19, 9:03 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNBeckham, Greer, Jackson, Kiowa, Washita42 min
May 19, 9:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNCotton38 min
May 19, 9:09 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningOUNCotton, Jefferson, Tillman6 hr
May 19, 9:11 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNHarmon, Jackson49 min
May 19, 9:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNCaddo, Comanche35 min
May 19, 9:17 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningOUNCaddo, Carter, Comanche, Cotton, Garvin, Grady and 6 more6 hr
May 19, 9:23 PM CDTTornado WarningOUNJackson, Tillman52 min
May 19, 9:29 PM CDTTornado WarningOUNCarter31 min
May 19, 9:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNComanche, Greer, Jackson, Kiowa66 min
May 19, 9:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNCarter, Jefferson, Love48 min
May 19, 9:58 PM CDTTornado WarningOUNCarter47 min
May 19, 10:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNHughes, Pontotoc, Pottawatomie, Seminole44 min
May 19, 10:10 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNComanche, Jackson, Kiowa, Tillman35 min
May 19, 10:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNCaddo, Comanche, Cotton, Jackson, Kiowa, Tillman47 min
May 19, 10:49 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNArcher, Clay41 min
May 19, 11:20 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningOUNHughes, Pontotoc, Seminole3 hr
May 19, 11:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNArcher, Clay45 min
May 19, 11:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNCotton78 min
May 20, 12:24 AM CDTFlash Flood WarningOUNAtoka, Bryan, Carter, Coal, Hughes, Johnston and 4 more6 hr
May 20, 1:15 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNClay15 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Fort Worth, TX (KFWD), launched 00:00Z, 2.0 hours before the alert went out and 181 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Fort Worth, TX at 00:00Z on 2015-05-20Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1306 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Fort Worth, TX at 00:00Z on 2015-05-20The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 267 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1306 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-38 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
832 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
46 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
267 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
427 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
2.4
Supercell composite
26.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

464 
WWUS20 KWNS 200156
SEL1  
SPC WW 200156
OKZ000-TXZ000-200700-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 191
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
900 PM CDT TUE MAY 19 2015

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF 
  SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA
  WESTERN NORTH TEXAS

* EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MORNING FROM 900 PM
  UNTIL 200 AM CDT.

* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
  A COUPLE TORNADOES POSSIBLE
  ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
  ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE

SUMMARY...ISOLATED SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS ARE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF
SOUTHERN OK...WHILE NEW STORMS ARE FORMING IN WESTERN OK.  THIS
ACTIVITY WILL AFFECT THE WATCH AREA FOR SEVERAL MORE HOURS.  THE
MAIN RISK IS DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL...BUT SOME RISK OF ISOLATED
TORNADOES WILL REMAIN FOR ANOTHER COUPLE OF HOURS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 45 STATUTE
MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 60 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ALTUS
OKLAHOMA TO 35 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF DURANT OKLAHOMA.  FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

&&

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS TORNADO WATCH REPLACES TORNADO
WATCH NUMBER 189. WATCH NUMBER 189 WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT AFTER
900 PM CDT. CONTINUE...WW 190...

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26035.


...HART

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 19, 7:15 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCarter, Cleveland, Cotton, Garvin, Jefferson, Love and 6 more90 min
May 19, 9:18 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCLove87 min
May 19, 11:15 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtoka, Bryan, Carter, Coal, Comanche, Cotton and 14 more90 min
May 20, 1:10 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtoka, Bryan, Carter, Coal, Cotton, Jefferson and 6 more95 min
May 20, 1:35 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCrane, Pecos, Terrell, Upton2 hr
May 20, 5:07 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrewster, Crockett, Edwards, Kerr, Kimble, Kinney and 7 more53 min
May 20, 5:29 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBrewster, Concho, Crane, Crockett, Edwards, Irion and 13 more6 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Oklahoma, 2015Tornado Watches in Texas, 2015Every tornado watch in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.