Alert archive / Oklahoma / Tornado Watches in 2015
Tornado Watch 191
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at May 19, 2015, 8:58 PM CDT for 19 counties in Oklahoma; 8 counties in Texas. It was in force for 5 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- May 19, 2015, 8:58 PM CDT (01:58 UTC)
- Expired
- May 20, 2015, 2:00 AM CDT
- In force
- 5 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 27 counties
Atoka County, OK, Bryan County, OK, Carter County, OK, Coal County, OK, Comanche County, OK, Cotton County, OK, Garvin County, OK, Greer County, OK, Harmon County, OK, Jackson County, OK, Jefferson County, OK, Johnston County, OK, Kiowa County, OK, Love County, OK, Marshall County, OK, Murray County, OK, Pontotoc County, OK, Stephens County, OK, Tillman County, OK, Archer County, TX, Baylor County, TX, Clay County, TX, Foard County, TX, Hardeman County, TX, Knox County, TX, Wichita County, TX, Wilbarger County, TX
The radar
The Altus AFB radar (KFDR), 61 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:00 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 30%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 30%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 10%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 30%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 30%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 60%
Warnings issued inside it
22 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 19, 8:58 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | OUN | Beckham, Comanche, Greer, Harmon, Jackson, Kiowa and 2 more | 4 hr |
| May 19, 9:02 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Jefferson | 43 min |
| May 19, 9:03 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Beckham, Greer, Jackson, Kiowa, Washita | 42 min |
| May 19, 9:07 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Cotton | 38 min |
| May 19, 9:09 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | OUN | Cotton, Jefferson, Tillman | 6 hr |
| May 19, 9:11 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Harmon, Jackson | 49 min |
| May 19, 9:12 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Caddo, Comanche | 35 min |
| May 19, 9:17 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | OUN | Caddo, Carter, Comanche, Cotton, Garvin, Grady and 6 more | 6 hr |
| May 19, 9:23 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | OUN | Jackson, Tillman | 52 min |
| May 19, 9:29 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | OUN | Carter | 31 min |
| May 19, 9:39 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Comanche, Greer, Jackson, Kiowa | 66 min |
| May 19, 9:42 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Carter, Jefferson, Love | 48 min |
| May 19, 9:58 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | OUN | Carter | 47 min |
| May 19, 10:01 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Hughes, Pontotoc, Pottawatomie, Seminole | 44 min |
| May 19, 10:10 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Comanche, Jackson, Kiowa, Tillman | 35 min |
| May 19, 10:43 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Caddo, Comanche, Cotton, Jackson, Kiowa, Tillman | 47 min |
| May 19, 10:49 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Archer, Clay | 41 min |
| May 19, 11:20 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | OUN | Hughes, Pontotoc, Seminole | 3 hr |
| May 19, 11:30 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Archer, Clay | 45 min |
| May 19, 11:57 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Cotton | 78 min |
| May 20, 12:24 AM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | OUN | Atoka, Bryan, Carter, Coal, Hughes, Johnston and 4 more | 6 hr |
| May 20, 1:15 AM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | OUN | Clay | 15 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Fort Worth, TX (KFWD), launched 00:00Z, 2.0 hours before the alert went out and 181 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1306 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -38 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 832 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 46 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 267 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 427 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 2.4
- Supercell composite
- 26.2
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
464 WWUS20 KWNS 200156 SEL1 SPC WW 200156 OKZ000-TXZ000-200700- URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 191 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 900 PM CDT TUE MAY 19 2015 THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA WESTERN NORTH TEXAS * EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MORNING FROM 900 PM UNTIL 200 AM CDT. * PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE... A COUPLE TORNADOES POSSIBLE ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE SUMMARY...ISOLATED SUPERCELL THUNDERSTORMS ARE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN OK...WHILE NEW STORMS ARE FORMING IN WESTERN OK. THIS ACTIVITY WILL AFFECT THE WATCH AREA FOR SEVERAL MORE HOURS. THE MAIN RISK IS DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL...BUT SOME RISK OF ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL REMAIN FOR ANOTHER COUPLE OF HOURS. THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 45 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 60 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ALTUS OKLAHOMA TO 35 MILES EAST NORTHEAST OF DURANT OKLAHOMA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. && OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS TORNADO WATCH REPLACES TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 189. WATCH NUMBER 189 WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT AFTER 900 PM CDT. CONTINUE...WW 190... AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26035. ...HART
SPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 19, 7:15 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Carter, Cleveland, Cotton, Garvin, Jefferson, Love and 6 more | 90 min |
| May 19, 9:18 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Love | 87 min |
| May 19, 11:15 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Atoka, Bryan, Carter, Coal, Comanche, Cotton and 14 more | 90 min |
| May 20, 1:10 AM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Atoka, Bryan, Carter, Coal, Cotton, Jefferson and 6 more | 95 min |
| May 20, 1:35 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Crane, Pecos, Terrell, Upton | 2 hr |
| May 20, 5:07 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Brewster, Crockett, Edwards, Kerr, Kimble, Kinney and 7 more | 53 min |
| May 20, 5:29 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Brewster, Concho, Crane, Crockett, Edwards, Irion and 13 more | 6 hr |
Nearby
Tornado Watches in Oklahoma, 2015Tornado Watches in Texas, 2015Every tornado watch in 2015
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.