Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2015

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 192

May 20, 201519 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at May 20, 2015, 5:29 PM CDT for 19 counties in Texas. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 20, 2015, 5:29 PM CDT (22:29 UTC)
Expired
May 20, 2015, 11:03 PM CDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt

Counties Brewster County, TX, Concho County, TX, Crane County, TX, Crockett County, TX, Edwards County, TX, Irion County, TX, Kimble County, TX, Mason County, TX, McCulloch County, TX, Menard County, TX, Pecos County, TX, Presidio County, TX, Reagan County, TX, Schleicher County, TX, Sutton County, TX, Terrell County, TX, Tom Green County, TX, Upton County, TX, Val Verde County, TX

The radar

The San Angelo radar (KSJT), 123 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:31 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
20%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
60%

Warnings issued inside it

8 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 20, 5:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTIrion, Schleicher, Tom Green53 min
May 20, 5:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFPecos63 min
May 20, 5:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningMAFBrewster24 min
May 20, 6:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTSchleicher53 min
May 20, 7:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTSchleicher, Sutton42 min
May 20, 8:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTCrockett, Sutton41 min
May 20, 8:52 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXEdwards38 min
May 20, 9:03 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXEdwards, Val Verde42 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 12:00Z, 10.5 hours before the alert went out and 146 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Midland Regional, TX at 12:00Z on 2015-05-20Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1293 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Midland Regional, TX at 12:00Z on 2015-05-20The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 13 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1293 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-75 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
774 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
27 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
13 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
152 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 19, 7:15 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArcher, Baylor, Callahan, Clay, Cooke, Eastland and 11 more90 min
May 19, 8:58 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCArcher, Baylor, Clay, Foard, Hardeman, Knox and 2 more5 hr
May 19, 9:18 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCComanche, Cooke, Denton, Eastland, Erath, Hood and 9 more87 min
May 19, 11:15 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArcher, Baylor, Clay, Cooke, Cottle, Fannin and 8 more90 min
May 20, 1:10 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArcher, Baylor, Clay, Cooke, Foard, Knox and 3 more95 min
May 20, 1:35 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCrane, Pecos, Terrell, Upton2 hr
May 20, 5:07 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrewster, Crockett, Edwards, Kerr, Kimble, Kinney and 7 more53 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Texas, 2015Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.