Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2015

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 67

April 17, 201579 counties in Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Apr 17, 2015, 11:53 AM CDT for 79 counties in Texas. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Apr 17, 2015, 11:53 AM CDT (16:53 UTC)
Expired
Apr 17, 2015, 7:00 PM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 79 counties

Archer County, TX, Atascosa County, TX, Bandera County, TX, Baylor County, TX, Bee County, TX, Bell County, TX, Bexar County, TX, Blanco County, TX, Bosque County, TX, Brown County, TX, Burnet County, TX, Callahan County, TX, Clay County, TX, Coke County, TX, Coleman County, TX, Comal County, TX, Comanche County, TX, Concho County, TX, Coryell County, TX, Dimmit County, TX, Eastland County, TX, Edwards County, TX, Erath County, TX, Fisher County, TX, Foard County, TX, Frio County, TX, Gillespie County, TX, Guadalupe County, TX, Hamilton County, TX, Hardeman County, TX, Haskell County, TX, Hays County, TX, Hood County, TX, Jack County, TX, Jones County, TX, Karnes County, TX, Kendall County, TX, Kerr County, TX, Kimble County, TX, Kinney County, TX, Knox County, TX, La Salle County, TX, Lampasas County, TX, Live Oak County, TX, Llano County, TX, Mason County, TX, Maverick County, TX, McCulloch County, TX, McLennan County, TX, McMullen County, TX, Medina County, TX, Menard County, TX, Mills County, TX, Montague County, TX, Nolan County, TX, Palo Pinto County, TX, Parker County, TX, Real County, TX, Runnels County, TX, San Saba County, TX, Schleicher County, TX, Shackelford County, TX, Somervell County, TX, Stephens County, TX, Sutton County, TX, Taylor County, TX, Throckmorton County, TX, Tom Green County, TX, Travis County, TX, Uvalde County, TX, Val Verde County, TX, Webb County, TX, Wichita County, TX, Wilbarger County, TX, Williamson County, TX, Wilson County, TX, Wise County, TX, Young County, TX, Zavala County, TX

The radar

The San Angelo radar (KSJT), 138 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:54 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
5%
Ten or more severe wind reports
70%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
70%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
95%

Warnings issued inside it

30 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 17, 12:01 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningSJTTom Green3 hr
Apr 17, 12:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXEdwards, Kerr, Real37 min
Apr 17, 12:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXEdwards45 min
Apr 17, 12:34 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXEdwards, Real3 hr
Apr 17, 12:35 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTShackelford, Throckmorton40 min
Apr 17, 12:56 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXKinney, Maverick, Uvalde34 min
Apr 17, 12:59 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningSJTTaylor2 hr
Apr 17, 1:04 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTJones, Taylor41 min
Apr 17, 1:27 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXKinney, Uvalde43 min
Apr 17, 1:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXReal, Uvalde43 min
Apr 17, 1:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTShackelford, Throckmorton45 min
Apr 17, 1:38 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCRPLa Salle67 min
Apr 17, 2:34 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCRPLa Salle, McMullen56 min
Apr 17, 2:45 PM CDTTornado WarningCRPLa Salle, McMullen30 min
Apr 17, 2:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSJTHaskell35 min
Apr 17, 3:07 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningSJTTaylor53 min
Apr 17, 3:08 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEWXBandera, Kerr3 hr
Apr 17, 3:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCRPLive Oak, McMullen59 min
Apr 17, 3:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXKinney51 min
Apr 17, 3:45 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXAtascosa, Karnes, Wilson45 min
Apr 17, 3:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXKinney, Maverick29 min
Apr 17, 3:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCRPBee, Live Oak51 min
Apr 17, 4:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXEdwards, Kinney31 min
Apr 17, 4:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXDeWitt, Gonzales, Karnes, Lavaca, Wilson55 min
Apr 17, 4:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDParker31 min
Apr 17, 5:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXDimmit, Maverick, Zavala36 min
Apr 17, 5:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCRPLive Oak31 min
Apr 17, 6:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningCRPBee, Live Oak40 min
Apr 17, 6:47 PM CDTTornado WarningCRPBee28 min
Apr 17, 6:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEWXDimmit, Frio, Zavala37 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Del Rio, TX (KDLF), launched 12:00Z, 4.9 hours before the alert went out and 174 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Del Rio, TX at 12:00Z on 2015-04-17Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2878 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Del Rio, TX at 12:00Z on 2015-04-17The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 98 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2878 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-3 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
470 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
34 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
98 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
165 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
1.5
Supercell composite
7.7

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Apr 16, 7:08 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeckham, Ellis, Roger Mills2 hr
Apr 16, 7:16 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlfalfa, Blaine, Caddo, Comanche, Cotton, Custer and 10 more89 min
Apr 16, 7:44 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCimarron, Texas61 min
Apr 16, 8:56 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCRoger Mills94 min
Apr 16, 9:17 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlfalfa, Blaine, Caddo, Custer, Dewey, Garfield and 5 more88 min
Apr 16, 10:20 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeckham, Ellis, Harmon, Roger Mills2 hr
Apr 16, 11:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBeckham, Blaine, Custer, Dewey, Ellis, Greer and 4 more5 hr
Apr 17, 2:02 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeckham, Blaine, Custer, Dewey, Ellis, Greer and 6 more88 min
Apr 17, 4:43 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeckham, Blaine, Caddo, Canadian, Comanche, Custer and 8 more62 min
Apr 17, 3:06 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlfalfa, Beaver, Beckham, Blaine, Custer, Dewey and 12 more84 min
Apr 16, 8:20 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrazoria, Chambers, Colorado, Fort Bend, Galveston, Harris and 2 more85 min
Apr 16, 8:36 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAustin, Brazoria, Chambers, Colorado, Fort Bend, Galveston and 10 more3 hr
Apr 16, 11:33 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAustin, Brazoria, Chambers, Colorado, Fort Bend, Galveston and 6 more87 min
Apr 17, 1:10 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBorden, Childress, Cottle, Crosby, Dawson, Dickens and 13 more95 min
Apr 17, 10:26 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBandera, Bexar, Blanco, Burnet, Comal, Edwards and 12 more2 hr
Apr 17, 10:55 AM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBaylor, Brown, Callahan, Coke, Coleman, Concho and 15 more2 hr
Apr 17, 1:31 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAtascosa, Bee, Calhoun, DeWitt, Dimmit, Frio and 12 more89 min
Apr 17, 3:22 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAransas, Bee, Brazoria, Calhoun, Colorado, DeWitt and 11 more113 min
Apr 17, 3:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAransas, Atascosa, Austin, Bastrop, Brazoria, Brazos and 30 more6 hr
Apr 17, 5:02 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCArcher, Baylor, Bosque, Brown, Callahan, Clay and 28 more88 min
Apr 17, 5:41 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAransas, Atascosa, Bee, Brazoria, Brooks, Calhoun and 26 more94 min
Apr 17, 6:57 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAransas, Bee, Brooks, Calhoun, Duval, Goliad and 16 more5 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Texas, 2015Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.