Alert archive / Ohio / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2015

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 563

December 23, 201511 counties in Kentucky; 32 counties in Ohio

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Dec 23, 2015, 4:17 PM EST for 11 counties in Kentucky; 32 counties in Ohio. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Dec 23, 2015, 4:17 PM EST (21:17 UTC)
Expired
Dec 23, 2015, 11:00 PM EST
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
0.5 in
Strongest gust expected
65 kt
All 43 counties

Boone County, KY, Bracken County, KY, Campbell County, KY, Gallatin County, KY, Grant County, KY, Kenton County, KY, Lewis County, KY, Mason County, KY, Owen County, KY, Pendleton County, KY, Robertson County, KY, Adams County, OH, Auglaize County, OH, Brown County, OH, Butler County, OH, Champaign County, OH, Clark County, OH, Clermont County, OH, Clinton County, OH, Darke County, OH, Delaware County, OH, Fairfield County, OH, Fayette County, OH, Franklin County, OH, Greene County, OH, Hamilton County, OH, Hardin County, OH, Highland County, OH, Hocking County, OH, Licking County, OH, Logan County, OH, Madison County, OH, Mercer County, OH, Miami County, OH, Montgomery County, OH, Pickaway County, OH, Pike County, OH, Preble County, OH, Ross County, OH, Scioto County, OH, Shelby County, OH, Union County, OH, Warren County, OH

The radar

The Cincinnati radar (KILN), 39 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:17 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
20%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
20%
Ten or more severe wind reports
60%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
30%
Ten or more severe hail reports
5%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
5%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
60%

Warnings issued inside it

17 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 23, 4:27 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNDarke, Preble48 min
Dec 23, 4:40 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNBoone, Carroll, Gallatin, Owen37 min
Dec 23, 4:49 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNButler, Hamilton, Montgomery, Preble, Warren56 min
Dec 23, 4:51 PM ESTTornado WarningILNDarke, Preble24 min
Dec 23, 5:03 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNBoone, Campbell, Kenton42 min
Dec 23, 5:11 PM ESTTornado WarningILNDarke, Miami19 min
Dec 23, 5:22 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNChampaign, Clark, Logan, Miami, Montgomery, Shelby38 min
Dec 23, 5:28 PM ESTTornado WarningILNMiami21 min
Dec 23, 5:31 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNButler, Clark, Clinton, Greene, Miami, Montgomery and 1 more44 min
Dec 23, 5:40 PM ESTTornado WarningILNMiami, Shelby12 min
Dec 23, 5:59 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNChampaign, Clark, Logan, Madison, Union46 min
Dec 23, 7:15 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNCarroll, Gallatin, Grant, Owen45 min
Dec 23, 7:53 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNBoone, Campbell, Gallatin, Grant, Kenton, Pendleton27 min
Dec 23, 8:02 PM ESTTornado WarningILNCampbell, Grant, Kenton, Pendleton15 min
Dec 23, 8:12 PM ESTSevere Thunderstorm WarningILNBracken, Campbell, Mason, Pendleton48 min
Dec 23, 8:12 PM ESTTornado WarningILNCampbell, Pendleton6 min
Dec 23, 8:15 PM ESTTornado WarningILNBracken, Pendleton14 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Cncnati-Daytn, OH (KILN), launched 12:00Z, 9.3 hours before the alert went out and 39 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Cncnati-Daytn, OH at 12:00Z on 2015-12-23Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 133 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Cncnati-Daytn, OH at 12:00Z on 2015-12-23The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 34 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
133 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-40 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
583 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
46 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
34 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
30 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 23, 10:05 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCGibson, Posey, Vanderburgh85 min
Dec 23, 10:13 AM ESTTornado WatchSPCGibson, Posey, Vanderburgh8 hr
Dec 23, 10:41 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCLake, Newton2 hr
Dec 23, 11:29 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCPosey, Vanderburgh91 min
Dec 23, 1:06 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBartholomew, Brown, Clark, Clay, Crawford, Daviess and 31 more84 min
Dec 23, 1:28 PM ESTTornado WatchSPCBartholomew, Boone, Brown, Carroll, Clark, Clay and 51 more8 hr
Dec 23, 2:55 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, DeKalb, Elkhart, Huntington, Kosciusko, LaGrange and 4 more95 min
Dec 23, 3:16 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBartholomew, Brown, Clark, Crawford, Dearborn, Decatur and 34 more59 min
Dec 23, 5:59 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCClark, Crawford, Dubois, Floyd, Harrison, Orange and 4 more2 hr
Dec 23, 7:13 AM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBallard, Carlisle, Fulton, Graves, Hickman, Livingston and 1 more2 hr
Dec 23, 3:49 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCalloway86 min
Dec 23, 6:26 PM ESTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAshland, Champaign, Clark, Clinton, Coshocton, Crawford and 27 more2 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Ohio, 2015Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Kentucky, 2015Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.