Alert archive / Kentucky / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2015

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 425

July 14, 201558 counties in Kentucky; Buchanan County, Dickenson County, Virginia; 7 counties in West Virginia

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jul 14, 2015, 5:10 PM EDT for 58 counties in Kentucky; Buchanan County, Dickenson County, Virginia; 7 counties in West Virginia. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 14, 2015, 5:10 PM EDT (21:10 UTC)
Expired
Jul 14, 2015, 10:45 PM EDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
2 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 67 counties

Anderson County, KY, Bath County, KY, Bell County, KY, Bourbon County, KY, Boyle County, KY, Breathitt County, KY, Casey County, KY, Clark County, KY, Clay County, KY, Elliott County, KY, Estill County, KY, Fayette County, KY, Fleming County, KY, Floyd County, KY, Franklin County, KY, Garrard County, KY, Harlan County, KY, Harrison County, KY, Henry County, KY, Jackson County, KY, Jessamine County, KY, Johnson County, KY, Knott County, KY, Knox County, KY, Laurel County, KY, Lee County, KY, Leslie County, KY, Letcher County, KY, Lincoln County, KY, Madison County, KY, Magoffin County, KY, Marion County, KY, Martin County, KY, McCreary County, KY, Menifee County, KY, Mercer County, KY, Montgomery County, KY, Morgan County, KY, Nelson County, KY, Nicholas County, KY, Oldham County, KY, Owsley County, KY, Perry County, KY, Pike County, KY, Powell County, KY, Pulaski County, KY, Rockcastle County, KY, Rowan County, KY, Scott County, KY, Shelby County, KY, Spencer County, KY, Taylor County, KY, Trimble County, KY, Washington County, KY, Wayne County, KY, Whitley County, KY, Wolfe County, KY, Woodford County, KY, Buchanan County, VA, Dickenson County, VA, Boone County, WV, Fayette County, WV, Logan County, WV, McDowell County, WV, Mingo County, WV, Raleigh County, WV, Wyoming County, WV

The radar

The Jackson,KY radar (KJKL), 40 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:13 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
50%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
30%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
30%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

32 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 14, 5:16 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLBath, Elliott, Fleming, Morgan, Rowan59 min
Jul 14, 5:18 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRLXBoone, Braxton, Calhoun, Clay, Gilmer, Jackson and 5 more57 min
Jul 14, 5:43 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRLXBoone, Fayette, Kanawha, Lincoln, Logan, Mingo and 2 more62 min
Jul 14, 5:45 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLBath, Fleming, Menifee, Montgomery, Morgan, Powell and 1 more30 min
Jul 14, 5:48 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRLXBraxton, Clay, Fayette, Gilmer, Kanawha, Lewis and 5 more57 min
Jul 14, 5:54 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLBath, Elliott, Fleming, Johnson, Magoffin, Menifee and 2 more66 min
Jul 14, 6:06 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningRLXBoone, Kanawha, Logan, Mingo4 hr
Jul 14, 6:12 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLBath, Menifee, Montgomery, Morgan, Wolfe63 min
Jul 14, 6:13 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningJKLBath, Elliott, Floyd, Johnson, Magoffin, Martin and 3 more6 hr
Jul 14, 6:23 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRLXFayette, Nicholas, Pocahontas, Randolph, Webster67 min
Jul 14, 6:35 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRLXBoone, Fayette, Kanawha, Lincoln, Logan, Mingo and 4 more55 min
Jul 14, 6:47 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLBreathitt, Floyd, Johnson, Knott, Letcher, Magoffin and 4 more73 min
Jul 14, 6:54 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningJKLBreathitt, Floyd, Knott, Letcher, Magoffin, Martin and 7 more6 hr
Jul 14, 6:59 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningRLXBuchanan, Dickenson4 hr
Jul 14, 6:59 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningRLXBuchanan, Dickenson61 min
Jul 14, 7:08 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLBreathitt, Knott, Lee, Menifee, Perry, Powell and 1 more52 min
Jul 14, 7:11 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKLarue, Marion, Nelson29 min
Jul 14, 7:32 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKBullitt, Jefferson, Spencer28 min
Jul 14, 7:35 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKMarion, Taylor40 min
Jul 14, 7:47 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLBreathitt, Clay, Jackson, Lee, Leslie, Owsley and 1 more43 min
Jul 14, 7:50 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningJKLBreathitt, Clay, Estill, Harlan, Jackson, Knott and 7 more4 hr
Jul 14, 7:53 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLBreathitt, Floyd, Harlan, Knott, Letcher, Perry and 1 more67 min
Jul 14, 8:00 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKAdair, Casey, Lincoln, Marion, Russell, Taylor45 min
Jul 14, 8:09 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLBell, Clay, Harlan, Jackson, Knox, Laurel and 2 more51 min
Jul 14, 8:10 PM EDTFlash Flood Warning EmergencyJKLMagoffin3 hr
Jul 14, 8:18 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningJKLBell, Clay, Harlan, Jackson, Knox, Laurel and 2 more4 hr
Jul 14, 8:24 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLClay, Harlan, Leslie, Letcher, Owsley, Perry54 min
Jul 14, 8:47 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLBell, Knox, Laurel, McCreary, Pulaski, Rockcastle and 2 more58 min
Jul 14, 8:48 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLMKCasey20 min
Jul 14, 8:54 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningJKLBell, Clay, Harlan, Knox, Laurel, Leslie and 2 more51 min
Jul 14, 9:03 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningJKLBell, Knox, Laurel, McCreary, Pulaski, Wayne and 1 more4 hr
Jul 14, 9:13 PM EDTFlash Flood Warning EmergencyJKLKnott, Perry3 hr

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 13, 9:31 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Ballard, Barren, Boone, Bourbon, Boyle and 60 more59 min
Jul 13, 10:19 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAnderson, Boone, Bourbon, Boyle, Bracken, Breckinridge and 54 more7 hr
Jul 14, 12:47 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAnderson, Boone, Bourbon, Bracken, Bullitt, Campbell and 19 more58 min
Jul 14, 3:06 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAdair, Anderson, Boyle, Breckinridge, Bullitt, Casey and 25 more5 hr
Jul 14, 5:35 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAdair, Boyle, Casey, Garrard, Green, Hardin and 12 more85 min
Jul 14, 6:35 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBell, Clay, Jackson, Knox, Laurel, McCreary and 3 more55 min
Jul 14, 12:40 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCBoone, Boyd, Bracken, Campbell, Carroll, Carter and 10 more7 hr
Jul 14, 1:14 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Clinton, Cumberland, McCreary, Monroe, Simpson91 min
Jul 14, 3:12 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoone, Bracken, Campbell, Carroll, Gallatin, Grant and 11 more93 min
Jul 14, 3:41 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAllen, Calloway, Carlisle, Clinton, Fulton, Graves and 6 more94 min
Jul 14, 4:37 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBoone, Bracken, Campbell, Carroll, Gallatin, Grant and 11 more83 min
Jul 13, 8:06 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlleghany, Amherst, Appomattox, Bath, Bedford, Botetourt and 20 more84 min
Jul 13, 9:46 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAmelia, Brunswick, Chesterfield, Cumberland, Dinwiddie, Fluvanna and 14 more3 hr
Jul 13, 10:34 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAmelia, Appomattox, Brunswick, Buckingham, Charlotte, Cumberland and 7 more86 min
Jul 14, 6:10 PM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlbemarle, Alleghany, Amherst, Appomattox, Arlington, Augusta and 73 more2 hr
Jul 14, 6:44 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCAlbemarle, Alleghany, Amherst, Appomattox, Arlington, Augusta and 72 more4 hr
Jul 14, 11:44 AM EDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBrooke, Hancock61 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Kentucky, 2015Severe Thunderstorm Watches in West Virginia, 2015Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Virginia, 2015Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.