Alert archive / Oklahoma / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2015

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 295

June 12, 201531 counties in Oklahoma; Foard County, Hardeman County, Wilbarger County, Texas

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Jun 12, 2015, 3:55 PM CDT for 31 counties in Oklahoma; Foard County, Hardeman County, Wilbarger County, Texas. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 12, 2015, 3:55 PM CDT (20:55 UTC)
Expired
Jun 12, 2015, 9:55 PM CDT
In force
6 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
Largest hail expected
1.5 in
Strongest gust expected
60 kt
All 34 counties

Alfalfa County, OK, Beckham County, OK, Blaine County, OK, Caddo County, OK, Canadian County, OK, Cleveland County, OK, Comanche County, OK, Cotton County, OK, Custer County, OK, Dewey County, OK, Ellis County, OK, Garfield County, OK, Grady County, OK, Grant County, OK, Greer County, OK, Harmon County, OK, Jackson County, OK, Kay County, OK, Kingfisher County, OK, Kiowa County, OK, Logan County, OK, Major County, OK, McClain County, OK, Noble County, OK, Oklahoma County, OK, Payne County, OK, Roger Mills County, OK, Tillman County, OK, Washita County, OK, Woods County, OK, Woodward County, OK, Foard County, TX, Hardeman County, TX, Wilbarger County, TX

The radar

The Altus AFB radar (KFDR), 94 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:57 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What SPC expected

The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.

Two or more tornadoes
10%
One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
2%
Ten or more severe wind reports
40%
One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
10%
Ten or more severe hail reports
50%
One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
20%
Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
80%

Warnings issued inside it

6 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 12, 4:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNHarmon46 min
Jun 12, 4:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNDewey, Major, Woodward49 min
Jun 12, 4:57 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNWoodward34 min
Jun 12, 5:19 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNGreer, Harmon41 min
Jun 12, 5:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNBlaine, Custer, Dewey38 min
Jun 12, 8:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUNHarmon, Jackson46 min

Discussions around it

SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.

The nearest sounding before it

Amarillo Airport, TX (KAMA), launched 12:00Z, 8.9 hours before the alert went out and 226 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Amarillo Airport, TX at 12:00Z on 2015-06-12Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 153 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Amarillo Airport, TX at 12:00Z on 2015-06-12The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -81 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
153 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-247 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1122 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
47 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-81 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-39 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-0.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 11, 7:10 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeaver, Cimarron, Harper, Texas95 min
Jun 11, 9:48 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeaver, Cimarron, Harper, Texas87 min
Jun 11, 11:10 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeaver, Ellis, Harper, Texas, Woodward65 min
Jun 12, 3:30 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCBeckham, Custer, Greer, Harmon, Jackson, Kiowa and 2 more2 hr
Jun 12, 3:52 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCCraig, Delaware, Mayes, Nowata, Ottawa, Rogers and 2 more83 min
Jun 12, 6:23 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAlfalfa, Beckham, Blaine, Caddo, Canadian, Comanche and 22 more97 min
Jun 12, 1:44 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAndrews, Bailey, Borden, Cochran, Crane, Dawson and 17 more2 hr
Jun 12, 2:47 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCAndrews, Armstrong, Bailey, Borden, Brewster, Briscoe and 45 more7 hr
Jun 12, 5:39 PM CDTMesoscale DiscussionSPCAndrews, Armstrong, Borden, Briscoe, Castro, Cochran and 30 more96 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Oklahoma, 2015Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Texas, 2015Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.