Alert archive / Texas / Tornado Watches in 2015
Tornado Watch 293
The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Jun 12, 2015, 2:47 PM CDT for 51 counties in Texas. It was in force for 7 hr.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jun 12, 2015, 2:47 PM CDT (19:47 UTC)
- Expired
- Jun 12, 2015, 10:00 PM CDT
- In force
- 7 hr
- Issued by
- the Storm Prediction Center
- Largest hail expected
- 2.5 in
- Strongest gust expected
- 60 kt
All 51 counties
Andrews County, TX, Armstrong County, TX, Bailey County, TX, Borden County, TX, Brewster County, TX, Briscoe County, TX, Castro County, TX, Childress County, TX, Cochran County, TX, Collingsworth County, TX, Cottle County, TX, Crane County, TX, Crosby County, TX, Dawson County, TX, Deaf Smith County, TX, Dickens County, TX, Donley County, TX, Ector County, TX, Floyd County, TX, Gaines County, TX, Garza County, TX, Glasscock County, TX, Hale County, TX, Hall County, TX, Hockley County, TX, Howard County, TX, Kent County, TX, King County, TX, Lamb County, TX, Loving County, TX, Lubbock County, TX, Lynn County, TX, Martin County, TX, Midland County, TX, Mitchell County, TX, Motley County, TX, Parmer County, TX, Pecos County, TX, Potter County, TX, Randall County, TX, Reagan County, TX, Reeves County, TX, Scurry County, TX, Stonewall County, TX, Swisher County, TX, Terrell County, TX, Terry County, TX, Upton County, TX, Ward County, TX, Winkler County, TX, Yoakum County, TX
The radar
The Lubbock radar (KLBB), 67 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:47 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
What SPC expected
The probabilities SPC published with the watch, for the watch area over its life.
- Two or more tornadoes
- 50%
- One or more EF2 to EF5 tornadoes
- 20%
- Ten or more severe wind reports
- 30%
- One or more gusts of 65 knots or more
- 10%
- Ten or more severe hail reports
- 60%
- One or more hailstones of 2 inches or more
- 60%
- Six or more combined severe hail and wind reports
- 95%
Warnings issued inside it
60 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 12, 2:52 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LUB | Bailey, Parmer | 38 min |
| Jun 12, 3:21 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AMA | Deaf Smith | 54 min |
| Jun 12, 3:23 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | AMA | Deaf Smith | 17 min |
| Jun 12, 3:25 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LUB | Bailey, Lamb, Parmer | 50 min |
| Jun 12, 3:28 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LUB | Castro, Parmer | 47 min |
| Jun 12, 3:36 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LUB | Cochran, Yoakum | 24 min |
| Jun 12, 3:49 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LUB | Yoakum | 26 min |
| Jun 12, 3:50 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Pecos | 55 min |
| Jun 12, 4:04 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AMA | Collingsworth | 28 min |
| Jun 12, 4:12 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LUB | Bailey, Castro, Lamb, Parmer | 48 min |
| Jun 12, 4:15 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LUB | Yoakum | 30 min |
| Jun 12, 4:15 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LUB | Castro | 45 min |
| Jun 12, 4:24 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Crane, Upton | 51 min |
| Jun 12, 4:41 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LUB | Cochran, Hockley, Terry, Yoakum | 34 min |
| Jun 12, 4:43 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LUB | Childress | 17 min |
| Jun 12, 4:43 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LUB | Yoakum | 32 min |
| Jun 12, 4:43 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Pecos | 18 min |
| Jun 12, 4:48 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Andrews, Ector, Winkler | 42 min |
| Jun 12, 4:57 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LUB | Bailey, Cochran, Hockley, Lamb | 48 min |
| Jun 12, 4:59 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LUB | Castro, Swisher | 46 min |
| Jun 12, 4:59 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Pecos, Terrell | 44 min |
| Jun 12, 5:02 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LUB | Childress, Hall | 43 min |
| Jun 12, 5:14 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Crane, Ector, Midland, Upton | 46 min |
| Jun 12, 5:15 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LUB | Terry, Yoakum | 30 min |
| Jun 12, 5:16 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LUB | Hockley, Terry | 29 min |
| Jun 12, 5:24 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LUB | Castro, Hale, Lamb, Swisher | 51 min |
| Jun 12, 5:29 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Andrews, Ector | 46 min |
| Jun 12, 5:35 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Gaines | 55 min |
| Jun 12, 5:44 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LUB | Terry, Yoakum | 31 min |
| Jun 12, 5:44 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | MAF | Ector | 25 min |
| Jun 12, 5:47 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LUB | Hockley, Terry | 28 min |
| Jun 12, 5:47 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LUB | Bailey, Cochran | 28 min |
| Jun 12, 5:50 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | AMA | Armstrong | 38 min |
| Jun 12, 5:50 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Gaines | 55 min |
| Jun 12, 5:54 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LUB | Hale, Swisher | 36 min |
| Jun 12, 5:56 PM CDT | Flash Flood Warning | MAF | Ector, Midland | 4 hr |
| Jun 12, 6:00 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Andrews, Ector, Martin, Midland | 45 min |
| Jun 12, 6:12 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LUB | Cochran | 48 min |
| Jun 12, 6:15 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LUB | Hockley, Lubbock | 30 min |
| Jun 12, 6:21 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LUB | Yoakum | 39 min |
| Jun 12, 6:28 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LUB | Crosby, Floyd, Hale, Lubbock | 30 min |
| Jun 12, 6:32 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Dawson, Gaines | 58 min |
| Jun 12, 6:40 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LUB | Lynn, Terry | 35 min |
| Jun 12, 6:40 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Ector, Winkler | 50 min |
| Jun 12, 6:42 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LUB | Briscoe, Crosby, Floyd, Hale, Lubbock, Motley | 33 min |
| Jun 12, 6:45 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LUB | Hockley, Lubbock | 30 min |
| Jun 12, 6:51 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Martin | 54 min |
| Jun 12, 6:55 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LUB | Childress | 50 min |
| Jun 12, 6:56 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LUB | Hockley | 34 min |
| Jun 12, 7:12 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LUB | Hockley, Lubbock, Lynn, Terry | 33 min |
| Jun 12, 7:13 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LUB | Lynn, Terry | 32 min |
| Jun 12, 7:27 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LUB | Hockley, Lubbock | 48 min |
| Jun 12, 7:27 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Crane, Ector | 45 min |
| Jun 12, 7:30 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | MAF | Gaines | 30 min |
| Jun 12, 7:31 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MAF | Gaines | 31 min |
| Jun 12, 7:33 PM CDT | Tornado Warning | LUB | Lynn, Terry | 14 min |
| Jun 12, 7:44 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LUB | Hockley, Lubbock, Lynn, Terry | 46 min |
| Jun 12, 8:03 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LUB | Lubbock | 42 min |
| Jun 12, 8:11 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LUB | Hockley, Terry | 49 min |
| Jun 12, 8:58 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LUB | Lynn, Terry | 32 min |
Discussions around it
SPC mesoscale discussions over the same counties from four hours before the watch to its end.
The nearest sounding before it
Midland Regional, TX (KMAF), launched 12:00Z, 7.8 hours before the alert went out and 131 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 654 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -367 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1245 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 24 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 96 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 147 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.1
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
302
WWUS20 KWNS 121945
SEL3
SPC WW 121945
NMZ000-TXZ000-130300-
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 293
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
245 PM CDT FRI JUN 12 2015
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
FAR EASTERN NEW MEXICO
WEST TEXAS
* EFFECTIVE THIS FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 245 PM UNTIL
1000 PM CDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...
A FEW TORNADOES POSSIBLE
SCATTERED LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 2.5
INCHES IN DIAMETER LIKELY
ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
SUMMARY...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS AND A FEW SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF
VERY LARGE HAIL AND TORNADOES EXPECTED TO FORM OVER THE TEXAS SOUTH
PLAINS AND ADJACENT FAR EASTERN NEW MEXICO LATER THIS
AFTERNOON...WITH MORE ISOLATED ACTIVITY EXTENDING SOUTH TO THE DAVIS
MOUNTAINS. THE STORMS SHOULD MERGE INTO ONE OR TWO SLOWLY-MOVING
CLUSTERS THAT PERSIST WELL INTO THE EVENING.
THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 65 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 65 MILES NORTH NORTHEAST OF
PLAINVIEW TEXAS TO 45 MILES SOUTH OF FORT STOCKTON TEXAS. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE
UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 290...WW 291...WW 292...
AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2.5 INCHES. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
600. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 30015.
...CORFIDISPC that day
Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 11, 7:10 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Dallam, Hansford, Hartley, Sherman | 95 min |
| Jun 11, 9:48 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Dallam, Hansford, Hartley, Ochiltree, Sherman | 87 min |
| Jun 11, 11:10 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Dallam, Hansford, Hartley, Hemphill, Hutchinson, Lipscomb and 4 more | 65 min |
| Jun 12, 1:44 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Andrews, Bailey, Borden, Cochran, Crane, Dawson and 17 more | 2 hr |
| Jun 12, 3:30 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Childress, Cottle, Foard, Hardeman, Wilbarger | 2 hr |
| Jun 12, 3:55 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | Foard, Hardeman, Wilbarger | 6 hr |
| Jun 12, 5:39 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Andrews, Armstrong, Borden, Briscoe, Castro, Cochran and 30 more | 96 min |
| Jun 12, 6:23 PM CDT | Mesoscale Discussion | SPC | Foard, Hardeman, Wichita, Wilbarger | 97 min |
Nearby
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.