Alert archive / Missouri / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2015

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 41, NWS Springfield, MO

March 25, 2015Howell County, Shannon County, Texas County, Missouri

NWS Springfield, MO issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Mar 25, 2015, 6:13 PM CDT for Howell County, Shannon County, Texas County, Missouri. It was in force for 47 min. 5 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued: Mar 25, 2015, 6:13 PM CDT (23:13 UTC)
Expired: Mar 25, 2015, 7:00 PM CDT
In force: 47 min
Issued by: NWS Springfield, MO
Area: Storm-based polygon
Tornado: Possible
Hail: 1.5 in
Wind: 60.0 mph

Counties Howell County, MO, Shannon County, MO, Texas County, MO

The radar

The Springfield radar (KSGF), 156 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:15 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

Time	Report	Where	Remark
Mar 25, 6:25 PM CDT	TSTM WND DMG	4 Ssw Summersville, MO	TREE DOWN
Mar 25, 6:25 PM CDT	TSTM WND DMG	5 S Summersville, MO	TREE DOWN
Mar 25, 6:30 PM CDT	HAIL 2	7 Ne Mountain View, MO
Mar 25, 6:32 PM CDT	HAIL 1.75	Summersville, MO	BROKE WINDSHIELD
Mar 25, 6:53 PM CDT	HAIL 1.75	7 W Alley Spring, MO

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched 5 storm reports to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 12 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Mar 25, 2:16 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	8 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 11.2 hours before the alert went out and 194 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL: 2127 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 56 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: -38 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 22 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

685 
WUUS53 KSGF 252313
SVRSGF
MOC091-203-215-260000-
/O.NEW.KSGF.SV.W.0041.150325T2313Z-150326T0000Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
613 PM CDT WED MAR 25 2015

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SPRINGFIELD HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  NORTHEASTERN HOWELL COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI...
  WESTERN SHANNON COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI...
  SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI...

* UNTIL 700 PM CDT

* AT 611 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED 13 MILES
  SOUTHWEST OF SUMMERSVILLE...AND MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH.

  HAZARD...PING PONG BALL SIZE HAIL AND 60 MPH WIND GUSTS.

  SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

  IMPACT...PEOPLE AND ANIMALS OUTDOORS WILL BE INJURED. EXPECT HAIL
           DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES. EXPECT
           WIND DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  ALLEY SPRING...ARROLL...CLEAR SPRINGS...PINE CREST AND
  SUMMERSVILLE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMAIN ALERT FOR A POSSIBLE TORNADO! TORNADOES CAN DEVELOP QUICKLY
FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. IF YOU SPOT A TORNADO GO AT ONCE INTO THE
BASEMENT OR SMALL CENTRAL ROOM IN A STURDY STRUCTURE.

&&

LAT...LON 3729 9147 3702 9141 3698 9191 3718 9195
TIME...MOT...LOC 2314Z 256DEG 17KT 3710 9184

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL...1.50IN
WIND...60MPH

$$

BOXELL

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Springfield, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Mar 25, 5:58 PM CDT, 15 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 25, 5:58 PM CDT, 15 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
558 PM CDT Wed Mar 25 2015

.SHORT TERM...(This Evening through Thursday)
Issued at 235 PM CDT WED MAR 25 2015

Elevated convection developed north of a warm front over parts of
southeast Kansas into southwest MO. Steep mid level lapse rates
and mid level storm updraft rotation supported some large hail with
some storms.

A warm front from just north of Tulsa to the sw corner of MO then
into north central AR is expected to continue to lift north to
along a Columbus KS-Springfield-West Plains line by 6 pm with a
sfc trough/dry line extending to the southwest from ne into central
OK. An outflow boundary is also present south of earlier elevated
convection. Capping evident in the warm sector based on METSAT
data, but synoptic scale lift will increase with an approaching
positively tilted trough from the west along with the right
entrance region with a jet max over the Midwest. Lift will help
break the cap with increased coverage in sfc based storms over ne
OK within the next couple of hours. Progged helicity supports
initial discrete supercell over ne OK transitioning to e-ene
training line segments given the orientation of both the sfc and
mid level winds. Large hail will be the most likely hazard with
lower wind/tornado threat along the southern edge of the
convection where stronger sfc based instability and mesovorts/line
segements can maintain themselves. A severe thunderstorm watch is
in effect through 10 pm for the southern 2/3rds of the cwfa.

Rainfall amounts will be a concern where storms can train this
evening. A hydro watch is already out and it's location still
looks good. The heaviest rain is expected form 00z-06z (7 pm-1 am)
then tapering off from nw-se late tonight.

Chilly blustery conditions will occur as the front moves south and
east of the area Thursday.

.LONG TERM...(Thursday Night through Wednesday)
Issued at 235 PM CDT WED MAR 25 2015

Cold air will remain in place to end the week with a cold air mass
over much of the Midwest and eastern CONUS in a highly amplified
upper level pattern. A couple of shortwave (clipper like systems) are
expected to bring some light rain/snow Thursday night and again
Friday night. Temperatures will fall to near freezing both these
nights, even with cloud cover.

The upper level pattern transition back to a less amplified/more
zonal flow over the weekend with a warming trend. A weak
shortwave/associated sfc front will bring limited rain chances
late Sunday. A more substantial shortwave will approach the area
by day 6-7/Tuesday night-Wednesday.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Thursday Evening)
Issued at 550 PM CDT WED MAR 25 2015

Thunderstorms will continue across southern MO and will be
possible at the 3 TAF locations through the evening hours. A
shortwave trough will swing through from the northwest and will
clear the convection from northwest to southeast late this evening
and overnight. MVFR/IFR conditions will be possible within the
convection this evening and will persist overnight with the colder
air moving in. Improving flight conditions will arrive Thursday
morning behind the shortwave.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...FLOOD WATCH through Thursday morning FOR MOZ070-071-081>083-
     090>098-101>106.

KS...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...DSA
LONG TERM...DSA
AVIATION...Lindenberg

Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 25, 4:50 PM CDT, 1 hour 23 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
450 PM CDT WED MAR 25 2015

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-262200-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
450 PM CDT WED MAR 25 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

  LIMITED TORNADO RISK.
  SIGNIFICANT HAIL RISK.
  ELEVATED THUNDERSTORM WIND DAMAGE RISK.
  ELEVATED FLOODING RISK.
  SIGNIFICANT LIGHTNING RISK.
  LIMITED NON THUNDERSTORM WIND RISK.

DISCUSSION...

THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED ACROSS SOUTHERN MISSOURI THIS EVENING
AND WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP AND SPREAD EAST ACROSS LOCATIONS
ALONG AND SOUTH OF A PITTSBURG KANSAS TO LEBANON TO SALEM MISSOURI
LINE THIS EVENING. SOME OF THESE STORMS WILL BE IN THE FORM OF SUPERCELLS
WITH HAIL TO THE SIZE OF GOLF BALLS BEING THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER
HAZARD.

AS THE STORMS TRACK EAST THIS EVENING ACROSS SOUTHERN MISSOURI THE
SUPERCELLS WILL LIKELY FORM INTO LINE SEGMENTS. WIND GUSTS OVER
60 MPH WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREAT WITH THESE LINE SEGMENTS. A FEW
TORNADOES WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE THIS EVENING WITH ANY LINE
SEGMENTS THAT BOW OUT TO THE NORTHEAST ACROSS MAINLY FAR SOUTHERN
MISSOURI.

FARTHER TO THE NORTH SHOWERS WITH EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS WILL
OCCUR NORTH OF THE PITTSBURG TO LEBANON TO SALEM LINE. THE MAIN
RISK WITH THESE STORMS WOULD BE SMALL HAIL AND CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING STRIKES.

THE THREAT FOR SEVERE STORMS WILL THEN BEGIN TO DIMINISH
OVERNIGHT.

HEAVY RAINFALL IS ALSO EXPECTED FOR AREAS ROUGHLY ALONG AND
SOUTHEAST OF THE INTERSTATE 44 CORRIDOR FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON
INTO TONIGHT. ONE TO TWO INCHES OF RAINFALL...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS UP TO THREE INCHES...IS EXPECTED. THIS MAY RESULT IN
LOCALIZED FLOODING F CREEKS...STREAMS AND LOW WATER CROSSINGS.

A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE AREA FROM THE NORTHWEST TO
SOUTHEAST LATER THIS EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. THE WINDS
WILL SWITCH TO THE NORTH BEHIND THE FRONT WITH GUST AROUND 30 MPH
OCCURRING AT TIMES OVERNIGHT...ESPECIALLY ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN
KANSAS AND WESTERN MISSOURI.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE POSSIBLE TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY NEXT WEEK AS
A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE REGION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS EVENING ACROSS SOUTHERN
MISSOURI AND EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

WFO SGF

In the hours before

Local storm report, Mar 25, 5:10 PM CDT, 1 hour 3 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
510 PM CDT WED MAR 25 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0455 PM     HAIL             6 S NIXA                36.96N 93.29W
03/25/2015  E0.88 INCH       CHRISTIAN          MO   PUBLIC

            VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.

&&

GAEDE

Local storm report, Mar 25, 5:16 PM CDT, 57 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
516 PM CDT WED MAR 25 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0502 PM     HAIL             1 N MANSFIELD           37.12N 92.58W
03/25/2015  E0.75 INCH       WRIGHT             MO   AMATEUR RADIO

            DIME HAIL COVERING HIGHWAY 60

&&

GAEDE

Local storm report, Mar 25, 5:22 PM CDT, 51 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
522 PM CDT WED MAR 25 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0512 PM     HEAVY RAIN       4 NNE NOEL              36.60N 94.46W
03/25/2015  E1.30 INCH       MCDONALD           MO   COCORAHS

            ESTIMATED 0.71 INCHES SINCE 435 PM

&&

GAEDE

Local storm report, Mar 25, 5:26 PM CDT, 47 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
526 PM CDT WED MAR 25 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0520 PM     HAIL             8 SE PINEVILLE          36.51N 94.28W
03/25/2015  E1.25 INCH       MCDONALD           MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

BURCHFIELD

Local storm report, Mar 25, 5:44 PM CDT, 29 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
544 PM CDT WED MAR 25 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0525 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 E SHELL KNOB          36.63N 93.60W
03/25/2015                   BARRY              MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            DAMAGE TO BOAT DOCKS IN BIG BAY AREA

&&

BURCHFIELD

Local storm report, Mar 25, 5:48 PM CDT, 25 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
548 PM CDT WED MAR 25 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0525 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 N SHELL KNOB          36.65N 93.63W
03/25/2015                   BARRY              MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            LARGE BILBOARD BLOWN OVER

&&

BURCHFIELD

The office that day

Everything else NWS Springfield, MO issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Mar 24, 7:20 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	SGF	Pulaski	25 min
Mar 24, 7:43 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	SGF	Texas, Wright	32 min
Mar 24, 7:46 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	SGF	Pulaski	29 min
Mar 25, 8:35 AM CDT	River Flood Warning	SGF	Pulaski	66 hr
Mar 25, 9:24 AM CDT	River Flood Warning	SGF	Vernon	3 days
Mar 25, 9:24 AM CDT	River Flood Warning	SGF	Cedar	3 days
Mar 25, 12:11 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Barton, Dade, Jasper, Lawrence	49 min
Mar 25, 12:28 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Greene, Lawrence	47 min
Mar 25, 12:51 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Dallas, Greene, Polk, Webster	54 min
Mar 25, 12:59 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	SGF	Jasper	31 min
Mar 25, 1:27 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Barton, Vernon	33 min
Mar 25, 2:01 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	SGF	Vernon	29 min
Mar 25, 2:19 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	SGF	Cedar	26 min
Mar 25, 2:41 PM CDT	River Flood Warning	SGF	McDonald	59 hr
Mar 25, 3:33 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Jasper, McDonald, Newton	42 min
Mar 25, 3:43 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Dade, Lawrence	47 min
Mar 25, 4:00 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	McDonald	45 min
Mar 25, 4:09 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Christian, Douglas, Webster, Wright	51 min
Mar 25, 4:13 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Douglas, Ozark	47 min
Mar 25, 4:15 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Barry, Lawrence, McDonald, Newton	45 min
Mar 25, 4:39 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Jasper, Lawrence, Newton	36 min
Mar 25, 4:45 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Barry, Christian, Dade, Greene, Lawrence, Stone	45 min
Mar 25, 4:52 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Barry, McDonald, Newton	38 min
Mar 25, 4:54 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Douglas, Howell, Texas, Wright	51 min
Mar 25, 4:58 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Douglas, Webster, Wright	47 min
Mar 25, 5:11 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Dade, Jasper, Lawrence	34 min
Mar 25, 5:30 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Barry, McDonald	45 min
Mar 25, 5:35 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	SGF	Barry, McDonald	6 hr
Mar 25, 5:45 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Texas	45 min
Mar 25, 5:49 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	SGF	Christian, Douglas, Greene, Stone, Webster, Wright	6 hr
Mar 25, 6:23 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	SGF	Shannon, Texas	37 min
Mar 25, 6:30 PM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	SGF	Douglas, Howell, Texas, Wright	6 hr
Mar 25, 6:35 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Stone, Taney	55 min
Mar 25, 6:56 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Shannon	49 min
Mar 25, 6:56 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Ozark	64 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Missouri, 2015 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.