Severe Thunderstorm Warning 28, NWS Springfield, MO

751 
WWUS53 KSGF 252055
SVSSGF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
355 PM CDT WED MAR 25 2015

MOC057-109-252130-
/O.CON.KSGF.SV.W.0028.000000T0000Z-150325T2130Z/
DADE MO-LAWRENCE MO-
355 PM CDT WED MAR 25 2015

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR LAWRENCE AND
SOUTHEASTERN DADE COUNTIES UNTIL 430 PM CDT...

AT 352 PM CDT...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS LOCATED NEAR MOUNT
VERNON...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

HAZARD...PING PONG BALL SIZE HAIL.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT...PEOPLE AND ANIMALS OUTDOORS WILL BE INJURED. EXPECT DAMAGE
         TO ROOFS...SIDING...WINDOWS AND VEHICLES.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
AURORA...CHESAPEAKE...EVERTON...FREISTATT...HALLTOWN...HOBERG...
MARIONVILLE...MILLER...MOUNT VERNON...PENNSBORO...PIERCE CITY...RED
OAK...SOUTH GREENFIELD...STOTTS CITY AND VERONA.

THIS WARNING ALSO INCLUDES STOCKTON LAKE. INTERSTATE 44 BETWEEN MILE
MARKERS 33 AND 58 WILL ALSO BE IMPACTED BY THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THIS STORM IS PRODUCING LARGE HAIL. SEEK SHELTER NOW INSIDE A STURDY
STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

&&

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1000 PM CDT
WEDNESDAY EVENING FOR SOUTHEAST KANSAS AND SOUTHWESTERN MISSOURI.

LAT...LON 3693 9406 3729 9406 3750 9362 3692 9362
TIME...MOT...LOC 2055Z 235DEG 27KT 3713 9387

HAIL...1.50IN
WIND...<50MPH

$$

BOXELL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
325 PM CDT Wed Mar 25 2015

.SHORT TERM...(This Evening through Thursday)
Issued at 235 PM CDT WED MAR 25 2015

Elevated convection developed north of a warm front over parts of
southeast Kansas into southwest MO. Steep mid level lapse rates
and mid level storm updraft rotation supported some large hail with
some storms.

A warm front from just north of Tulsa to the sw corner of MO then
into north central AR is expected to continue to lift north to
along a Columbus KS-Springfield-West Plains line by 6 pm with a
sfc trough/dry line extending to the southwest from ne into central
OK. An outflow boundary is also present south of earlier elevated
convection. Capping evident in the warm sector based on METSAT
data, but synoptic scale lift will increase with an approaching
positively tilted trough from the west along with the right
entrance region with a jet max over the Midwest. Lift will help
break the cap with increased coverage in sfc based storms over ne
OK within the next couple of hours. Progged helicity supports
initial discrete supercell over ne OK transitioning to e-ene
training line segments given the orientation of both the sfc and
mid level winds. Large hail will be the most likely hazard with
lower wind/tornado threat along the southern edge of the
convection where stronger sfc based instability and mesovorts/line
segements can maintain themselves. A severe thunderstorm watch is
in effect through 10 pm for the southern 2/3rds of the cwfa.

Rainfall amounts will be a concern where storms can train this
evening. A hydro watch is already out and it's location still
looks good. The heaviest rain is expected form 00z-06z (7 pm-1 am)
then tapering off from nw-se late tonight.

Chilly blustery conditions will occur as the front moves south and
east of the area Thursday.

.LONG TERM...(Thursday Night through Wednesday)
Issued at 235 PM CDT WED MAR 25 2015

Cold air will remain in place to end the week with a cold air mass
over much of the Midwest and eastern CONUS in a highly amplified
upper level pattern. A couple of shortwave (clipper like systems) are
expected to bring some light rain/snow Thursday night and again
Friday night. Temperatures will fall to near freezing both these
nights, even with cloud cover.

The upper level pattern transition back to a less amplified/more
zonal flow over the weekend with a warming trend. A weak
shortwave/associated sfc front will bring limited rain chances
late Sunday. A more substantial shortwave will approach the area
by day 6-7/Tuesday night-Wednesday.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Thursday Morning)
Issued at 200 PM CDT WED MAR 25 2015

For the KSGF/KJLN/KBBG tafs: Scattered thunderstorms will affect
the area north of a warm front. More widespread storms are
expected after 22z as a disturbance over the Plains interacts
with the front and eventually pushes the front south and east of
the area later in the taf period. MVFR/IFR visibility in heavier
showers are expected with lower mvfr/ifr ceilings developing as
colder air moves into the region. Ceiling will improve and scatter
out from west to east over the region late in the taf period.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...FLOOD WATCH through Thursday morning FOR MOZ070-071-081>083-
     090>098-101>106.

KS...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...DSA
LONG TERM...DSA
AVIATION...DSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1117 AM CDT WED MAR 25 2015

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-261630-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
1117 AM CDT WED MAR 25 2015

...STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS EXPECTED LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS
EVENING...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

  LIMITED TORNADO RISK.
  ELEVATED TO SIGNIFICANT HAIL RISK.
  ELEVATED THUNDERSTORM WIND DAMAGE RISK.
  ELEVATED FLOODING RISK.
  SIGNIFICANT LIGHTNING RISK.
  LIMITED NON THUNDERSTORM WIND RISK.

DISCUSSION...

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP THROUGH EARLY THIS AFTERNOON
ACROSS EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS INTO WEST CENTRAL MISSOURI AS A
WARM FRONT BEGINS TO LIFT NORTH TOWARDS THE REGION. THE MAIN
HAZARDS WITH THESE STORMS WILL BE HAIL TO THE SIZE OF
NICKELS...CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING...AND BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL.

ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS WILL THEN DEVELOP ALONG THAT WARM FRONT
FROM MID TO LATE AFTERNOON ACROSS NORTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA AND
SOUTHWESTERN MISSOURI. SOME OF THESE STORMS WILL LIKELY BE
SUPERCELLS WITH HAIL TO THE SIZE OF PING PONG BALLS BEING THE
PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER HAZARD. AN ISOLATED TORNADO WILL ALSO BE
POSSIBLE FOR STORMS TRACKING ALONG THE WARM FRONT.

THE THREAT FOR STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WILL THEN OVERSPREAD THE
REMAINDER OF SOUTHERN MISSOURI THIS EVENING. WHILE A FEW
SUPERCELLS WITH A THREAT FOR LARGE HAIL AND AN ISOLATED TORNADO
WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE...LINE SEGMENTS WILL LIKELY BECOME THE MAIN
THUNDERSTORM MODE THIS EVENING. WIND GUSTS OVER 60 MPH WILL BE
THE PRIMARY THREAT WITH THESE LINE SEGMENTS. A FEW TORNADOES WILL
ALSO BE POSSIBLE THIS EVENING WITH ANY LINE SEGMENTS THAT BOW OUT
TO THE NORTHEAST.

THE THREAT FOR SEVERE STORMS WILL THEN BEGIN TO DIMINISH
OVERNIGHT.

HEAVY RAINFALL IS ALSO EXPECTED FOR AREAS ROUGHLY ALONG AND
SOUTHEAST OF THE INTERSTATE 44 CORRIDOR FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON
INTO TONIGHT. ONE TO TWO INCHES OF RAINFALL...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS UP TO THREE INCHES...IS EXPECTED. THIS MAY RESULT IN
LOCALIZED FLOODING OF CREEKS...STREAMS AND LOW WATER CROSSINGS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

  NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS
  EVENING ACROSS EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS AND SOUTHERN
  MISSOURI.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

SCHAUMANN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
125 PM CDT WED MAR 25 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0120 PM     HAIL             LOCKWOOD                37.39N 93.95W
03/25/2015  E0.88 INCH       DADE               MO   PUBLIC

            RELAYED VIA COUNTY 911.

&&

DSA

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
201 PM CDT WED MAR 25 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1209 PM     HAIL             CARTHAGE                37.18N 94.31W
03/25/2015  E1.00 INCH       JASPER             MO   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

&&

DSA

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
201 PM CDT WED MAR 25 2015

MOZ066-077-251930-
BARTON MO-VERNON MO-
201 PM CDT WED MAR 25 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHEASTERN BARTON AND
SOUTHEASTERN VERNON COUNTIES UNTIL 230 PM CDT...

AT 159 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 3 MILES NORTHWEST OF SHELDON...OR 7 MILES
NORTHEAST OF VERDELLA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH. PENNY SIZE HAIL
IS EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE IRWIN...MILFORD...MILO...MONTEVALLO AND
SHELDON.

LAT...LON 3796 9408 3756 9407 3753 9438 3773 9448
TIME...MOT...LOC 1901Z 239DEG 41KT 3769 9432

SCHAUMANN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
209 PM CDT WED MAR 25 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0207 PM     HAIL             7 N LAMAR               37.60N 94.28W
03/25/2015  E0.88 INCH       BARTON             MO   PUBLIC

            DIME TO NICKEL SIZE HAIL COVERING GROUND.

&&

WISE

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
219 PM CDT WED MAR 25 2015

MOZ067-078-251945-
CEDAR MO-ST. CLAIR MO-
219 PM CDT WED MAR 25 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CEDAR AND SOUTHERN ST. CLAIR
COUNTIES UNTIL 245 PM CDT...

AT 218 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR OLYMPIA...OR 11 MILES SOUTH OF EL DORADO
SPRINGS...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH. NICKEL SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS
AROUND 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE ARNICA...CAPLINGER MILLS...CEDAR
SPRINGS...COLLINS...EL DORADO SPRINGS...FILLEY...JERICO SPRINGS...
OLYMPIA...OSCEOLA...ROSCOE...STOCKTON...VISTA AND WAGONER.

OTHER LOCATIONS IN THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY INCLUDE STOCKTON
LAKE AND TRUMAN LAKE.

PEOPLE IN CEDAR AND SOUTHERN ST. CLAIR COUNTIES...SHOULD MONITOR THE
WEATHER SITUATION CLOSELY. LISTEN FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS AND BE
PREPARED TO TAKE APPROPRIATE ACTION SHOULD SEVERE WEATHER THREATEN.

LAT...LON 3783 9360 3783 9363 3775 9363 3774 9361
      3766 9361 3760 9408 3788 9407 3812 9360
TIME...MOT...LOC 1920Z 243DEG 38KT 3774 9404

SCHAUMANN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
250 PM CDT WED MAR 25 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0228 PM     HAIL             MARSHFIELD              37.34N 92.91W
03/25/2015  M1.00 INCH       WEBSTER            MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

BURCHFIELD