Flash Flood Warning 1, NWS Springfield, MO

489 
WGUS73 KSGF 260242
FFSSGF

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
942 PM CDT WED MAR 25 2015

MOC009-119-260500-
/O.CON.KSGF.FF.W.0001.000000T0000Z-150326T0500Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BARRY MO-MCDONALD MO-
942 PM CDT WED MAR 25 2015

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT FOR
BARRY AND MCDONALD COUNTIES...

AT 936 PM CDT...EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS REPORTED THAT FLASH 
FLOODING FROM THE HEAVY RAINFALL THIS EVENING WAS OCCURRING ACROSS 
THE WARNED AREA. STATE HIGHWAY E SEVEN MILES SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 76 
NEAR POWELL MISSOURI HAD 6 INCHES OF WATER OVER THE ROADWAY.  LIGHT 
TO MODERATE RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS ON TOP 
OF THE HEAVY RAINFALL THAT OCCURRED EARLIER THIS EVENING. 

RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL IS CAUSING FLASH FLOODING.
LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE...ANDERSON...BIG SUGAR CREEK STATE
PARK...CASSVILLE...EXETER...GOODMAN...LANAGAN...NOEL...PINEVILLE...
ROARING RIVER STATE PARK...SELIGMAN...SOUTH WEST CITY AND WASHBURN.
CREEKS...STREAMS AND LOW WATER CROSSINGS WILL BE ESPECIALLY
SUSCEPTIBLE TO THE DANGERS OF FLASH FLOODING.

THIS WARNING INCLUDES BUT IS NOT LIMITED TO THE FOLLOWING LOW WATER
CROSSINGS...

HIGHWAY 43 AT BUFFALO CREEK WEST OF ANDERSON...
ROUTE Y AT FLAT CREEK JUST NORTHEAST OF CASSVILLE...
ROUTE C JUST SOUTH OF MCDOWELL...
HIGHWAY 39 AT FLAT CREEK SOUTH OF JENKINS...
ROUTE DD AT THE ELK RIVER JUST NORTH OF NOEL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLOODING. IF FLASH FLOODING IS OBSERVED ACT QUICKLY. DO
NOT ENTER THE WATER. TURN AROUND AND MOVE UP TO HIGHER GROUND TO
ESCAPE FLOOD WATERS. DO NOT STAY IN AREAS SUBJECT TO FLOODING WHEN
WATER BEGINS RISING.

&&

LAT...LON 3649 9462 3677 9462 3675 9407 3692 9362
      3682 9361 3682 9357 3650 9359

$$

WISE

320 
WGUS73 KSGF 260456
FFSSGF

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1156 PM CDT WED MAR 25 2015

MOC009-119-260502-
/O.EXP.KSGF.FF.W.0001.000000T0000Z-150326T0500Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
BARRY MO-MCDONALD MO-
1156 PM CDT WED MAR 25 2015

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT MIDNIGHT CDT FOR BARRY AND
MCDONALD COUNTIES...

HEAVY RAINFALL IS ENDING ACROSS THE WARNED AREA. EXCESS RUNOFF FROM 
EARLIER RAINS WILL OCCUR INTO THURSDAY MORNING. AS A RESULT...THE 
FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN REPLACED WITH AN AREAL FLOOD WARNING. 
IF FLOODING HAS BEEN OBSERVED...PLEASE REPORT IT TO YOUR LOCAL LAW 
ENFORCEMENT AGENCY.

LAT...LON 3649 9462 3677 9462 3675 9407 3692 9362
      3682 9361 3682 9357 3650 9359

$$

WISE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
325 PM CDT Wed Mar 25 2015

.SHORT TERM...(This Evening through Thursday)
Issued at 235 PM CDT WED MAR 25 2015

Elevated convection developed north of a warm front over parts of
southeast Kansas into southwest MO. Steep mid level lapse rates
and mid level storm updraft rotation supported some large hail with
some storms.

A warm front from just north of Tulsa to the sw corner of MO then
into north central AR is expected to continue to lift north to
along a Columbus KS-Springfield-West Plains line by 6 pm with a
sfc trough/dry line extending to the southwest from ne into central
OK. An outflow boundary is also present south of earlier elevated
convection. Capping evident in the warm sector based on METSAT
data, but synoptic scale lift will increase with an approaching
positively tilted trough from the west along with the right
entrance region with a jet max over the Midwest. Lift will help
break the cap with increased coverage in sfc based storms over ne
OK within the next couple of hours. Progged helicity supports
initial discrete supercell over ne OK transitioning to e-ene
training line segments given the orientation of both the sfc and
mid level winds. Large hail will be the most likely hazard with
lower wind/tornado threat along the southern edge of the
convection where stronger sfc based instability and mesovorts/line
segements can maintain themselves. A severe thunderstorm watch is
in effect through 10 pm for the southern 2/3rds of the cwfa.

Rainfall amounts will be a concern where storms can train this
evening. A hydro watch is already out and it's location still
looks good. The heaviest rain is expected form 00z-06z (7 pm-1 am)
then tapering off from nw-se late tonight.

Chilly blustery conditions will occur as the front moves south and
east of the area Thursday.

.LONG TERM...(Thursday Night through Wednesday)
Issued at 235 PM CDT WED MAR 25 2015

Cold air will remain in place to end the week with a cold air mass
over much of the Midwest and eastern CONUS in a highly amplified
upper level pattern. A couple of shortwave (clipper like systems) are
expected to bring some light rain/snow Thursday night and again
Friday night. Temperatures will fall to near freezing both these
nights, even with cloud cover.

The upper level pattern transition back to a less amplified/more
zonal flow over the weekend with a warming trend. A weak
shortwave/associated sfc front will bring limited rain chances
late Sunday. A more substantial shortwave will approach the area
by day 6-7/Tuesday night-Wednesday.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Thursday Morning)
Issued at 200 PM CDT WED MAR 25 2015

For the KSGF/KJLN/KBBG tafs: Scattered thunderstorms will affect
the area north of a warm front. More widespread storms are
expected after 22z as a disturbance over the Plains interacts
with the front and eventually pushes the front south and east of
the area later in the taf period. MVFR/IFR visibility in heavier
showers are expected with lower mvfr/ifr ceilings developing as
colder air moves into the region. Ceiling will improve and scatter
out from west to east over the region late in the taf period.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...FLOOD WATCH through Thursday morning FOR MOZ070-071-081>083-
     090>098-101>106.

KS...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...DSA
LONG TERM...DSA
AVIATION...DSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
450 PM CDT WED MAR 25 2015

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-262200-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
450 PM CDT WED MAR 25 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

  LIMITED TORNADO RISK.
  SIGNIFICANT HAIL RISK.
  ELEVATED THUNDERSTORM WIND DAMAGE RISK.
  ELEVATED FLOODING RISK.
  SIGNIFICANT LIGHTNING RISK.
  LIMITED NON THUNDERSTORM WIND RISK.

DISCUSSION...

THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED ACROSS SOUTHERN MISSOURI THIS EVENING
AND WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP AND SPREAD EAST ACROSS LOCATIONS
ALONG AND SOUTH OF A PITTSBURG KANSAS TO LEBANON TO SALEM MISSOURI
LINE THIS EVENING. SOME OF THESE STORMS WILL BE IN THE FORM OF SUPERCELLS
WITH HAIL TO THE SIZE OF GOLF BALLS BEING THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER
HAZARD.

AS THE STORMS TRACK EAST THIS EVENING ACROSS SOUTHERN MISSOURI THE
SUPERCELLS WILL LIKELY FORM INTO LINE SEGMENTS. WIND GUSTS OVER
60 MPH WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREAT WITH THESE LINE SEGMENTS. A FEW
TORNADOES WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE THIS EVENING WITH ANY LINE
SEGMENTS THAT BOW OUT TO THE NORTHEAST ACROSS MAINLY FAR SOUTHERN
MISSOURI.

FARTHER TO THE NORTH SHOWERS WITH EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS WILL
OCCUR NORTH OF THE PITTSBURG TO LEBANON TO SALEM LINE. THE MAIN
RISK WITH THESE STORMS WOULD BE SMALL HAIL AND CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING STRIKES.

THE THREAT FOR SEVERE STORMS WILL THEN BEGIN TO DIMINISH
OVERNIGHT.

HEAVY RAINFALL IS ALSO EXPECTED FOR AREAS ROUGHLY ALONG AND
SOUTHEAST OF THE INTERSTATE 44 CORRIDOR FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON
INTO TONIGHT. ONE TO TWO INCHES OF RAINFALL...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS UP TO THREE INCHES...IS EXPECTED. THIS MAY RESULT IN
LOCALIZED FLOODING F CREEKS...STREAMS AND LOW WATER CROSSINGS.

A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE AREA FROM THE NORTHWEST TO
SOUTHEAST LATER THIS EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. THE WINDS
WILL SWITCH TO THE NORTH BEHIND THE FRONT WITH GUST AROUND 30 MPH
OCCURRING AT TIMES OVERNIGHT...ESPECIALLY ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN
KANSAS AND WESTERN MISSOURI.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE POSSIBLE TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY NEXT WEEK AS
A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE REGION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS EVENING ACROSS SOUTHERN
MISSOURI AND EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS.

&&

THIS PRODUCT IS NOW AVAILABLE IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH
OTHER WEATHER...HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

WFO SGF

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
506 PM CDT WED MAR 25 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0502 PM     HAIL             7 N AVA                 37.05N 92.66W
03/25/2015  E1.00 INCH       DOUGLAS            MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

&&

GAEDE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
507 PM CDT WED MAR 25 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0500 PM     HAIL             6 S NIXA                36.96N 93.29W
03/25/2015  E0.88 INCH       CHRISTIAN          MO   PUBLIC

            VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.

&&

GAEDE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
510 PM CDT WED MAR 25 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0455 PM     HAIL             6 S NIXA                36.96N 93.29W
03/25/2015  E0.88 INCH       CHRISTIAN          MO   PUBLIC

            VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.

&&

GAEDE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
516 PM CDT WED MAR 25 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0502 PM     HAIL             1 N MANSFIELD           37.12N 92.58W
03/25/2015  E0.75 INCH       WRIGHT             MO   AMATEUR RADIO

            DIME HAIL COVERING HIGHWAY 60

&&

GAEDE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
522 PM CDT WED MAR 25 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0512 PM     HEAVY RAIN       4 NNE NOEL              36.60N 94.46W
03/25/2015  E1.30 INCH       MCDONALD           MO   COCORAHS

            ESTIMATED 0.71 INCHES SINCE 435 PM

&&

GAEDE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
526 PM CDT WED MAR 25 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0520 PM     HAIL             8 SE PINEVILLE          36.51N 94.28W
03/25/2015  E1.25 INCH       MCDONALD           MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

BURCHFIELD