Severe Thunderstorm Warning 196, NWS Springfield, MO

921 
WWUS53 KSGF 022323
SVSSGF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
623 PM CDT THU JUL 2 2015

MOC009-022334-
/O.EXP.KSGF.SV.W.0196.000000T0000Z-150702T2330Z/
BARRY MO-
623 PM CDT THU JUL 2 2015

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR SOUTHERN BARRY COUNTY WILL
EXPIRE AT 630 PM CDT...

THE STORM WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS MOVED OUT OF THE WARNED
AREA.

LAT...LON 3661 9408 3651 9358 3650 9358 3649 9407
TIME...MOT...LOC 2324Z 285DEG 20KT 3647 9380

$$

GRIFFIN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
230 PM CDT Thu Jul 2 2015

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 229 PM CDT THU JUL 2 2015

Residual flooding from previous two days/nights of heavy rainfall
continues across much of the forecast area. Many low water
crossing remain flooded, along with road closures and rivers are
running high. Flooding will likely continue into the evening and
areal flood warnings may need to be extended past 5 pm.

Currently have showers and thunderstorms associated with upper
level energy across central and southern Kansas pushing south-
southeast. This activity extends northeast into eastern Nebraska
and northwest Missouri and may push into the Ozarks region this
evening.

In addition, a boundary remains positioned from west to east
across far southern Missouri this afternoon and may be the focus
for additional thunderstorm activity later this afternoon and evening.

The focus with this forecast will be with these thunderstorm
chances tonight through the holiday weekend.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(This Evening through Friday)
Issued at 229 PM CDT THU JUL 2 2015

Bulk of the hi-res models show the convection moving in from the
northwest staying to the west over Kansas and may push into west
central MO and extreme southeast Kansas this evening. Along the
southern boundary, models keep most of the convection to our south
across Arkansas. That said, we are still keeping pops in for
tonight with favored areas across the west with the upper level
shortwave, and the south along and south of the boundary. The
southern storms will have the highest potential of becoming strong
to severe with large hail and damaging winds the main severe
weather risks. For rainfall, it does not appear we will have the
same setup for organized convection tonight as we have had the
past couple of nights and rainfall will be more scattered and much
less than in previous nights. Residual flooding will likely
persist tonight however with some river/stream crests still not
occuring yet.

More shortwave energy will dive southeast into the area on Friday
with the frontal boundary still bisecting southern MO. Will hold
on to scattered thunderstorms throughout the day for the forecast.
Again, not expecting widespread heavy rain, but more scattered
with the rainfall amounts.

.LONG TERM...(Friday Night through Thursday)
Issued at 229 PM CDT THU JUL 2 2015

Heading into the holiday weekend, the thunderstorm chances will
remain as we continue in a west-northwest flow pattern aloft with
shortwave energy continuing to push through. However main
shortwave will push through on Friday and precipitation chances
will lessen from Friday night into Sunday.

Things become more problematic again during the early part of next
week as we get into more of a westerly pattern aloft and a front
boundary begins to stall out across the region. Showers and
thunderstorms will be forecast through the remainder of the
extended period and it looks like the potential for more heavy rain.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Friday Afternoon)
Issued at 105 PM CDT THU JUL 2 2015

Scattered to broken MVFR ceilings will persist this afternoon and
into this evening. An area of showers and storms was moving to the
ESE across eastern Kansas which is expected to impact portions of
the region this evening. Visibilities overnight may be impacted
with fog and or low ceilings with MVFR to IFR conditions possible.
After sunrise on Friday, visibilities will improve but ceilings
will remain MVFR.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...NONE.
KS...NONE.
&&

SYNOPSIS...Lindenberg
SHORT TERM...Lindenberg
LONG TERM...Lindenberg
AVIATION...Hatch

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
110 PM CDT THU JUL 2 2015

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-031815-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
110 PM CDT THU JUL 2 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

  ELEVATED HAIL RISK.
  ELEVATED THUNDERSTORM WIND DAMAGE RISK.
  ELEVATED FLOODING RISK.
  ELEVATED LIGHTNING RISK.
  LIMITED EXCESSIVE HEAT RISK.

DISCUSSION...

  RESIDUAL FLOODING WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE EASTERN TWO THIRDS OF
  THE MISSOURI OZARKS THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND INTO THE EARLY
  EVENING FROM THE PREVIOUS COUPLE NIGHTS OF HEAVY RAINFALL.

  ADDITIONAL SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM MID
  AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING AS A WEAK COLD FRONT PUSHES THROUGH
  THE OZARKS. IF ENOUGH INSTABILITY CAN MANAGE TO DEVELOP AHEAD OF
  THIS FRONT...A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WILL BE
  POSSIBLE...MAINLY SOUTH OF A PITTSBURG KANSAS TO SALEM MISSOURI
  LINE. HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF QUARTERS AND DAMAGING WIND GUSTS UP
  TO 60 MPH WILL BE THE PRIMARY POTENTIAL SEVERE WEATHER HAZARDS.
  LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING CAN ALSO BE
  EXPECTED FROM ANY STORMS.

  IN ADDITION TO THE THUNDERSTORM HAZARDS...AFTERNOON HEAT
  INDEX VALUES IN THE MIDDLE TO UPPER 90S ARE EXPECTED ACROSS
  FAR SOUTHWESTERN MISSOURI.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

  RESIDUAL FLOODING OF CREEKS...STREAMS AND MAIN STEM RIVERS
  WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE THROUGH AT LEAST FRIDAY.

  MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE INTO THE
  MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK...INCLUDING THE UPCOMING FOURTH OF JULY
  WEEKEND.

  AFTERNOON HEAT INDEX VALUES IN THE MIDDLE TO UPPER 90S ARE
  EXPECTED ACROSS WESTERN MISSOURI AND EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN
  KANSAS ON MONDAY AFTERNOON.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THROUGH TONIGHT.

&&

MORE DETAILED INFORMATION CAN BE ACCESSED AT:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SGF/SITREP(ALL LOWERCASE)

THIS PRODUCT IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...
HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

LINDENBERG

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
347 PM CDT THU JUL 02 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1256 AM     TSTM WND DMG     5 NW MARSHFIELD         37.39N 92.97W
07/02/2015                   WEBSTER            MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            MULTIPLE TREES DOWN. A HOUSE WITH MINOR SHINGLE AND ROOF
            DAMAGE.

&&

BURCHFIELD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
348 PM CDT THU JUL 02 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1256 AM     TSTM WND DMG     5 WSW MARSHFIELD        37.31N 92.99W
07/02/2015                   WEBSTER            MO   NWS EMPLOYEE

            LARGE TREE UPROOTED. POWER LINES DOWN.

&&

BURCHFIELD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
355 PM CDT THU JUL 02 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0100 AM     TSTM WND DMG     1 S NORTHVIEW           37.27N 93.00W
07/02/2015                   WEBSTER            MO   PUBLIC

            DELAYED REPORT...SEVERAL LARGE TREES UPROOTED AND TREE
            DAMAGE AROUND THE NORTHVIEW AREA. PICTURES SENT IN FROM
            SOCIAL MEDIA. TIME ESTIMATED.

&&

MGRIFFIN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
415 PM CDT THU JUL 02 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1157 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 SE LEBANON            37.67N 92.65W
07/01/2015                   LACLEDE            MO   PUBLIC

            DELAYED REPORT...NUMEROUS REPORTS AND PICTURE FROM SOCIAL
            MEDIA OF LARGE TREES BLOWN DOWN AROUND LEBANON. A COUPLE
            TREES ONTO OUTBUILDINGS AND FENCES CAUSING MINOR DAMAGE.
            TIME ESTIMATED.

&&

MGRIFFIN

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
435 PM CDT THU JUL 2 2015

MOZ101-022200-
MCDONALD MO-
435 PM CDT THU JUL 2 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHERN MCDONALD COUNTY UNTIL
500 PM CDT...

AT 432 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM 4 MILES WEST OF NOEL...OR 10 MILES WEST OF
PINEVILLE...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH. NICKEL SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS
AROUND 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE NOEL AND SOUTH WEST CITY.

LAT...LON 3649 9462 3652 9463 3662 9462 3651 9407
      3649 9410
TIME...MOT...LOC 2135Z 281DEG 17KT 3654 9453

GRIFFIN

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
457 PM CDT THU JUL 2 2015

MOZ102-103-022245-
BARRY MO-STONE MO-
457 PM CDT THU JUL 2 2015

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR CENTRAL BARRY AND SOUTHERN STONE
COUNTIES UNTIL 545 PM CDT...

AT 455 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM NEAR CASSVILLE...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH.
PENNY SIZE HAIL...AND WINDS AROUND 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THIS
STORM.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE BUTTERFIELD...CAPE FAIR...CASSVILLE...
EAGLE ROCK...EXETER...KIMBERLING CITY...LAMPE...RIDGLEY...SHELL
KNOB...WASHBURN AND WAYNE.

OTHER LOCATIONS IN THIS SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY INCLUDE ROARING
RIVER STATE PARK AND TABLE ROCK LAKE.

LAT...LON 3675 9339 3650 9340 3658 9407 3676 9407
TIME...MOT...LOC 2158Z 299DEG 17KT 3667 9388

GRIFFIN