Flash Flood Warning 43, NWS Springfield, MO

038 
WGUS73 KSGF 021029
FFSSGF

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
529 AM CDT THU JUL 2 2015

MOC091-149-153-203-209-213-215-021300-
/O.CON.KSGF.FF.W.0043.000000T0000Z-150702T1300Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
HOWELL MO-OREGON MO-OZARK MO-SHANNON MO-STONE MO-TANEY MO-TEXAS MO-
529 AM CDT THU JUL 2 2015

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 AM CDT FOR
HOWELL...OREGON...OZARK...SHANNON...SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...STONE AND
TANEY COUNTIES...

AT 526 AM CDT...LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICIALS REPORTED THAT
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WAS PRODUCING FLASH FLOODING ACROSS THE WARNED 
AREA. NUMEROUS ROADS ARE FLOODED IN THE AREA...AND MANY 
CREEKS...STREAMS...AND RIVERS ARE RUNNING HIGH OR OUT OF THEIR 
BANKS. 

RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL IS CAUSING FLASH FLOODING.
CREEKS...STREAMS AND LOW WATER CROSSINGS WILL BE ESPECIALLY
SUSCEPTIBLE TO THE DANGERS OF FLASH FLOODING.

THIS WARNING INCLUDES BUT IS NOT LIMITED TO THE FOLLOWING LOW WATER
CROSSINGS...

ROUTE W AT CANEY CREEK JUST EAST OF BROWNBRANCH...
HIGHWAY 13 AT RAILEY CREEK NEAR REEDS SPRING...
HIGHWAY 13 AT PINE RUN NORTHWEST OF GALENA...
ROUTE H...3 MILES EAST OF WINONA...
HIGHWAY 142 AT THE SPRING RIVER WEST OF LANTON...
HIGHWAY 142 AT THE BENNETTS RIVER WEST OF MOODY...
ROUTE K...3 MILES SOUTHWEST OF POTTERSVILLE...
ROUTE H AT ROCKY CREEK 6 MILES NORTHEAST OF WINONA...
ROUTE H AT THOMAS HOLLOW 8 MILES NORTHEAST OF WINONA...
HIGHWAY 176 NEAR ROCKAWAY BEACH.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN HILLY TERRAIN THERE ARE HUNDREDS OF LOW WATER CROSSINGS WHICH ARE
POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS IN HEAVY RAIN. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO TRAVEL ACROSS
FLOODED ROADS. FIND ALTERNATE ROUTES. IT ONLY TAKES A FEW INCHES OF
SWIFTLY FLOWING WATER TO CARRY VEHICLES AWAY.

&&

LAT...LON 3699 9361 3699 9334 3682 9334 3679 9210
      3723 9207 3720 9166 3728 9115 3714 9101
      3709 9103 3708 9121 3684 9122 3682 9111
      3649 9114 3649 9358

$$

355 
WGUS53 KSGF 021228
FFWSGF
MOC091-149-153-203-209-213-215-021600-
/O.EXT.KSGF.FF.W.0043.000000T0000Z-150702T1600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
728 AM CDT THU JUL 2 2015

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SPRINGFIELD HAS EXTENDED THE

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  HOWELL COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI...
  OREGON COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI...
  OZARK COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST MISSOURI...
  SHANNON COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI...
  SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI...
  STONE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST MISSOURI...
  TANEY COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST MISSOURI...

* UNTIL 1100 AM CDT.

* AT 721 AM CDT...LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICIALS REPORTED THAT
  EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WAS PRODUCING FLASH FLOODING ACROSS THE WARNED  
  AREA. NUMEROUS ROADS ARE FLOODED IN THE AREA...AND MANY            
  CREEKS...STREAMS...AND RIVERS ARE RUNNING HIGH OR OUT OF THEIR     
  BANKS. 

* RUNOFF FROM THIS EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL CAUSE FLASH FLOODING TO
  OCCUR. LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE...ALTON...BAKERSFIELD...
  BIRCH TREE...BRANSON WEST...BRANSON...CRANE...EMINENCE...FORSYTH...
  GAINESVILLE...GALENA...GRAND GULF STATE PARK...HOLLISTER...INDIAN
  POINT...KIMBERLING CITY...MERRIAM WOODS...MOUNTAIN VIEW...REEDS
  SPRING...ROCKAWAY BEACH...SUMMERSVILLE...TABLE ROCK STATE PARK...
  TANEYVILLE...THAYER...WEST PLAINS...WILLOW SPRINGS AND WINONA.
  CREEKS...STREAMS AND LOW WATER CROSSINGS WILL BE ESPECIALLY
  SUSCEPTIBLE TO THE DANGERS OF FLASH FLOODING.

THIS WARNING INCLUDES BUT IS NOT LIMITED TO THE FOLLOWING LOW WATER
CROSSINGS...

ROUTE W AT CANEY CREEK JUST EAST OF BROWNBRANCH...
HIGHWAY 13 AT RAILEY CREEK NEAR REEDS SPRING...
HIGHWAY 13 AT PINE RUN NORTHWEST OF GALENA...
ROUTE H...3 MILES EAST OF WINONA...
HIGHWAY 142 AT THE SPRING RIVER WEST OF LANTON.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

IN HILLY TERRAIN THERE ARE HUNDREDS OF LOW WATER CROSSINGS WHICH ARE
POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS IN HEAVY RAIN. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO TRAVEL ACROSS
FLOODED ROADS. FIND ALTERNATE ROUTES. IT ONLY TAKES A FEW INCHES OF
SWIFTLY FLOWING WATER TO CARRY VEHICLES AWAY.

&&

LAT...LON 3699 9361 3699 9334 3682 9334 3679 9210
      3723 9207 3720 9166 3728 9115 3714 9101
      3709 9103 3708 9121 3684 9122 3682 9111
      3649 9114 3649 9358

$$

BOXELL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
249 AM CDT Thu Jul 2 2015

.SHORT TERM...(Today and Tonight)
Issued at 247 AM CDT THU JUL 2 2015

A mesoscale convective system (MCS) continues to shift south
across southern Missouri during the predawn hours. This system
has brought torrential rainfall to the region overnight with
numerous reports of flooding (some fairly significant). We have
also had reports of wind damage from both supercells (earlier on
in the event) and then line segments/mesovortices as the MCS
evolved.

This MCS should continue to slowly progress southward at about
15-25 mph given the latest upwind propagating Corfidi vectors
across southern Missouri. Nevertheless, rainfall rates of 2-3" per
hour will continue to produce an elevated to locally significant
flash flooding risk. The severe threat will continue to dwindle
through sunrise with perhaps a localized damaging wind gust still
possible.

The potential for convection throughout the day is then a tough
call. The cold pool/gust front from the overnight convection
will clear the entire area. However, there will be a surface cold
front coming in from the northwest. We may see enough atmospheric
recovery for at least moderate amounts of instability ahead of
that front. With the approach of more upper level short wave
energy, there will be the potential for scattered thunderstorm
development from this afternoon into perhaps early this evening.
There will be an attendant quarter size hail and damaging wind
threat with these storms if this instability indeed materializes.
Another scenario we will have to watch for is convection growing
upscale into a line across southern Kansas and northern
Oklahoma...with the eastern extent of this line possibly getting
into southwestern Missouri. If this happens, there would be an
attendant damaging wind threat.

We will then have to watch for additional MCS development across
the central Plains later tonight. The good news here is that this
activity would tend to track southeast towards northern Oklahoma
and not the Missouri Ozarks. With that being said, we are thinking
that the threat for widespread heavy rainfall will end once this
activity clears early this morning. We will therefore be letting
the Flash Flood Watch expire. That is not to say that locally
heavy rainfall (and an attendant flash flooding risk) will still
not be possible with any scattered convection that develops later
today. Additionally, there will be ongoing Flash Flood Warnings
past the Flash Flood Watch expiration time...which makes the watch
moot anyways.

.LONG TERM...(Friday through Wednesday)
Issued at 247 AM CDT THU JUL 2 2015

That front will then stall just to the south of the Missouri
Ozarks and may actually try and shift north again during the
Fourth of July weekend. There will therefore be a continued threat
for showers and thunderstorms...especially from southeastern
Kansas into southern Missouri. It will not rain the entire time,
but those with outdoor plans should remain alert for approaching
thunderstorms.

The upper level flow will then transition from northwesterly to
west-northwesterly during the early and middle portions of next
week. This should result in continued chances for thunderstorms
with that front shifting back north of the Ozarks. Temperatures
will remain at or slightly below normal.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Thursday Night)
Issued at 1257 AM CDT THU JUL 2 2015

Thunderstorms will move south toward and eventually through the
terminals early this morning. Strong wind gusts are expected with
these, with 25-35 KT likely...and 40-50 KT possible. In
addition...heavy rain will result in IFR or LIFR vis in and around
thunderstorms. Additional thunderstorms may develop later this
afternoon and affect the terminals...though this potential is
still rather unclear at this time.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...FLASH FLOOD WATCH until 7 AM CDT this morning FOR MOZ055>058-
     067>071-079>083-091-092-096>098-106.

KS...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...Schaumann
LONG TERM...Schaumann
AVIATION...Boxell

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1152 PM CDT WED JUL 1 2015

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-030500-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
1152 PM CDT WED JUL 1 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

  LIMITED TORNADO RISK.
  ELEVATED HAIL RISK.
  ELEVATED THUNDERSTORM WIND DAMAGE RISK.
  SIGNIFICANT FLOODING RISK.
  SIGNIFICANT LIGHTNING RISK.

DISCUSSION...

  A BROKEN LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SOUTH
  ACROSS THE MISSOURI OZARKS OVERNIGHT. FREQUENT LIGHTNING
  AND TORRENTIAL RAINFALL CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS.
  SOME STORMS MAY ALSO PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND GUSTS OVER 60 MPH
  AND HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF HALF DOLLARS. THERE IS ALSO A
  LIMITED THREAT FOR AN ISOLATED TORNADO.

  FLASH FLOODING WILL BECOME AN INCREASING CONCERN
  OVERNIGHT...ESPECIALLY WHERE MULTIPLE THUNDERSTORMS MOVE
  OVER THE SAME AREAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

  AFTERNOON HEAT INDEX VALUES IN THE MIDDLE TO UPPER 90S CAN BE
  EXPECTED ACROSS EXTREME WESTERN MISSOURI AND EXTREME
  SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS AGAIN ON THURSDAY.

  MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE INTO EARLY
  NEXT WEEK...INCLUDING THE FOURTH OF JULY WEEKEND. STRONG TO
  SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE AGAIN FROM THURSDAY AFTERNOON
  INTO THURSDAY EVENING...MAINLY ACROSS SOUTHERN MISSOURI AND
  EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS. THERE WILL ALSO BE AT LEAST A
  LIMITED RISK FOR FLOODING TO END THE WORK WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

  SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED OVERNIGHT ALONG AND SOUTH
  OF A TRUMAN LAKE TO FORT LEONARD WOOD LINE.

&&

MORE DETAILED INFORMATION CAN BE ACCESSED AT:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SGF/SITREP(ALL LOWERCASE)

THIS PRODUCT IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...
HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

SCHAUMANN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
229 AM CDT THU JUL 02 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0210 AM     FLASH FLOOD      8 E FORT LEONARD WOOD   37.71N 92.01W
07/02/2015                   PHELPS             MO   DEPT OF HIGHWAYS

            ROUTE J CLOSED ONE MILE NORTH OF ROUTE M AT BIG PINEY
            RIVER

&&

BURCHFIELD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
239 AM CDT THU JUL 02 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0238 AM     FLASH FLOOD      3 N FORDLAND            37.20N 92.94W
07/02/2015                   WEBSTER            MO   AMATEUR RADIO

            2 FEET WATER OVER THE ROAD AT PANTHER CREEK AND FF NORTH
            OF FORDLAND

&&

BURCHFIELD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
249 AM CDT THU JUL 02 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1000 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 W WARSAW              38.24N 93.40W
07/01/2015                   BENTON             MO   911 CALL CENTER

            REPORT OF A PATH OF MULTIPLE TREES UPROOTED AND BLOWN
            DOWN. ALSO DAMAGE TO MOBILE HOMES.

&&

BURCHFIELD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
254 AM CDT THU JUL 02 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1045 PM     TSTM WND DMG     5 NE DIXON              38.04N 92.03W
07/01/2015                   MARIES             MO   911 CALL CENTER

            PATH OF TREE DAMAGE, MULTIPLE TREES STRIPPED ALONG E
            HIGHWAY AND COUNTY ROAD 506

&&

BURCHFIELD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
257 AM CDT THU JUL 02 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0240 AM     FLASH FLOOD      2 E BUFFALO             37.64N 93.06W
07/02/2015                   DALLAS             MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            WATER RESCUE IN PROGRESS ON STEELMAN ROAD AT BIG JOHN
            ACCESS ALONG THE NIANGUA RIVER.

&&

AFOSTER

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
306 AM CDT THU JUL 02 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0245 AM     FLASH FLOOD      SPRINGFIELD             37.20N 93.29W
07/02/2015                   GREENE             MO   EMERGENCY MNGR

            NUMEROUS STREETS FLOODED.SOUTH CREEK ABOUT TO OVERFLOW
            ITS BANKS ALONG SCENIC AND GRANT AVENUES.

&&

AFOSTER