Alert archive / Missouri / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2015

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 169, NWS Springfield, MO

June 26, 2015Ozark County, Missouri

NWS Springfield, MO issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 26, 2015, 11:51 AM CDT for Ozark County, Missouri. It was in force for 54 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jun 26, 2015, 11:51 AM CDT (16:51 UTC)
Expired: Jun 26, 2015, 12:45 PM CDT
In force: 54 min
Issued by: NWS Springfield, MO
Area: Storm-based polygon
Hail: 0.75 in
Wind: 60.0 mph

County Ozark County, MO

The radar

The Springfield radar (KSGF), 101 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:52 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Springfield, MO (KSGF), launched 12:00Z, 4.9 hours before the alert went out and 118 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 43 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -214 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 974 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 39 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: -73 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 54 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 1.8

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

426 
WUUS53 KSGF 261651
SVRSGF
MOC153-261745-
/O.NEW.KSGF.SV.W.0169.150626T1651Z-150626T1745Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1151 AM CDT FRI JUN 26 2015

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN SPRINGFIELD HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  OZARK COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST MISSOURI...

* UNTIL 1245 PM CDT

* AT 1149 AM CDT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE    
  EXTENDING FROM THORNFIELD TO THEODOSIA...AND MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

  HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS.

  SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

  IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
  BAKERSFIELD AND GAINESVILLE.

THIS WARNING ALSO INCLUDES BULL SHOALS LAKE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3664 9277 3671 9275 3677 9271 3678 9263
      3680 9237 3679 9211 3654 9212 3649 9213
      3649 9277
TIME...MOT...LOC 1651Z 268DEG 32KT 3674 9263 3661 9265
          3651 9274

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH

$$

CRAMER

2 follow-up statements

507 
WWUS53 KSGF 261710
SVSSGF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1210 PM CDT FRI JUN 26 2015

MOC153-261745-
/O.CON.KSGF.SV.W.0169.000000T0000Z-150626T1745Z/
OZARK MO-
1210 PM CDT FRI JUN 26 2015

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR OZARK COUNTY
UNTIL 1245 PM CDT...

AT 1208 PM CDT...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE 
EXTENDING FROM BRIXEY TO PONTIAC...AND MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH.

HAZARD...60 MPH WIND GUSTS.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED.

IMPACT...EXPECT DAMAGE TO ROOFS...SIDING AND TREES.

LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
BAKERSFIELD...BRIXEY...DORA...GAINESVILLE...HARDENVILLE...ISABELLA...
PONTIAC...ROCKBRIDGE...SUNDOWN...SYCAMORE...TECUMSEH...UDALL...
WILLHOIT AND ZANONI.

THIS WARNING ALSO INCLUDES BULL SHOALS LAKE. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A
BUILDING.

&&

LAT...LON 3654 9212 3649 9213 3649 9277 3654 9266
      3661 9258 3673 9251 3678 9248 3680 9237
      3679 9211
TIME...MOT...LOC 1710Z 268DEG 32KT 3675 9242 3662 9244
          3652 9253

HAIL...<.75IN
WIND...60MPH

$$

CRAMER

042 
WWUS53 KSGF 261737
SVSSGF

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1237 PM CDT FRI JUN 26 2015

MOC153-261747-
/O.EXP.KSGF.SV.W.0169.000000T0000Z-150626T1745Z/
OZARK MO-
1237 PM CDT FRI JUN 26 2015

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR OZARK COUNTY WILL EXPIRE AT
1245 PM CDT...

THE LINE OF STORMS WHICH PROMPTED THE WARNING HAS WEAKENED BELOW
SEVERE LIMITS...AND NO LONGER POSES AN IMMEDIATE THREAT TO LIFE OR
PROPERTY.  HOWEVER...HEAVY RAIN IS STILL POSSIBLE WITH THESE
THUNDERSTORMS.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 PM CDT FRIDAY
EVENING FOR SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI.

LAT...LON 3654 9212 3649 9213 3649 9277 3654 9266
      3661 9258 3673 9251 3678 9248 3680 9237
      3679 9211
TIME...MOT...LOC 1737Z 268DEG 32KT 3676 9212 3663 9214
          3653 9223

$$

CRAMER

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Springfield, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 26, 6:30 AM CDT, 5 hours 21 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 26, 6:30 AM CDT, 5 hours 21 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
630 AM CDT Fri Jun 26 2015

.SHORT TERM...(Today and Tonight)
Issued at 303 AM CDT FRI JUN 26 2015

A stationary front remains draped near the I-70 corridor early
this morning and continues to provide a focus storm development as
a shortwave trough moves across eastern Kansas. Further to the
west...another storm complex has developed over western Kansas
ahead of another shortwave trough. These disturbances will help
nudge the I-70 front south across the forecast area through the
day. Will keep higher end precipitation chances going through the
day. Temperatures may get a little warmer than previously expected
along the AR/southeast KS borders. Otherwise will keep the lower to
mid 80s going for max temperatures.

Precipitation chances will decrease from northwest to southeast
through the evening as the front and upper level disturbances
shift southeast of the region.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday through Thursday)
Issued at 303 AM CDT FRI JUN 26 2015

Much drier conditions are expected for Saturday as high pressure
spreads southward from the upper Midwest. Temperatures and
dewpoint temps should average around 10 degrees lower than todays
values.

From Sunday through the middle of the workweek...upper level
northwest flow becomes well established...bringing continued
cooler conditions. The latest models show a clipper system moving
across the area on Sunday night and Monday. This will bring us a
fairly quick shot of storms with the highest chances mainly
northeast of Springfield.

Another clipper system may impact the area around
Wednesday/Thursday. Exact timing this far out on these type of
systems is pretty tricky, so went with mainly slight chance to
chance pops through midweek.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Saturday Morning)
Issued at 630 AM CDT FRI JUN 26 2015

For the KSGF/KJLN/KBBG TAFS: Surface frontal boundary will continue
to shift southward across the taf sites today. Convective complex
will accompany the front through the morning hours, with perhaps
some strengthening this afternoon in areas south of interstate 44.
KJLN and KSGF will be affected through the morning hours, while KBBG
will likely see convection from late morning through the afternoon.
Timing all hinged on the movement and position of the front. Expect
mainly VFR to MVFR ceilings this morning, with IFR conditions
possible in any of the convective elements.

For tonight, latest guidance hinting at the possibility of post
frontal status developing as column cools. Did go ahead and mention
some MVFR ceilings at both KSGF and KBBG after 06Z. Otherwise,
convection looks to be south KBBG by early evening.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...FLASH FLOOD WATCH until Noon CDT today FOR MOZ055>058.

KS...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...Terry
LONG TERM...Terry
AVIATION...Raberding

Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 26, 9:31 AM CDT, 2 hours 20 minutes before

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
931 AM CDT FRI JUN 26 2015

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-271445-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
931 AM CDT FRI JUN 26 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

  LIMITED THUNDERSTORM WIND DAMAGE RISK.
  ELEVATED FLOODING RISK.
  SIGNIFICANT LIGHTNING RISK.

DISCUSSION...

A LARGE CLUSTER OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE MOVING
SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE OZARKS REGION THROUGH MID DAY. FREQUENT
CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS LIKELY WITH SOME OF THE STRONGER
STORMS. THERE IS A LIMITED RISK FOR DAMAGING WIND GUSTS IN FAR
SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI THIS AFTERNOON...AS THIS AREA BECOMES
UNSTABLE. NO SEVERE WEATHER IS EXPECTED ELSEWHERE.

FLASH FLOODING IS ONGOING OVER LOCATIONS ACROSS
BOURBON...VERNON...AND ST. CLAIR COUNTY. LOW WATER CROSSINGS AND
LOW LYING AREAS WILL BE THE PRIMARY FLOOD RISKS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.

PERIODIC CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL BEGIN SUNDAY NIGHT AND
CONTINUE THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED IN THE NEXT SIX HOURS FOR AREAS
ALONG AND SOUTHEAST OF A LINE FROM BULL SHOALS LAKE TO EMINENCE.

&&

MORE DETAILED INFORMATION CAN BE ACCESSED AT:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SGF/SITREP(ALL LOWERCASE)

THIS PRODUCT IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...
HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

CRAMER

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jun 26, 9:00 AM CDT, 2 hours 51 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
900 AM CDT FRI JUN 26 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0845 AM     FLASH FLOOD      1 N LOWRY CITY          38.15N 93.73W
06/26/2015                   ST. CLAIR          MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            SHERIFF DEPARTMENT RECEIVED A REPORT OF WATER OVER THE
            ROAD NEAR HIGHWAY A IN SAINT CLAIR COUNTY.

&&

AFOSCATO

Local storm report, Jun 26, 9:19 AM CDT, 2 hours 32 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
919 AM CDT FRI JUN 26 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0340 AM     TSTM WND DMG     1 NNE WARSAW            38.25N 93.38W
06/26/2015                   BENTON             MO   PUBLIC

            SEVERAL REPORTS OF TREES DOWN IN CITY LIMITS. AROUND 0340
            AM A REPORT OF A TREE DOWN NEAR POLK STREET AND HILLCREST
            LANE.

&&

AFOSCATO

Local storm report, Jun 26, 10:05 AM CDT, 1 hour 46 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1005 AM CDT FRI JUN 26 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1013 PM     TSTM WND DMG     LAURIE                  38.20N 92.83W
06/25/2015                   MORGAN             MO   PUBLIC

            A COUPLE TREES WERE DOWNED NEAR LAURIE.

&&

WISE

Local storm report, Jun 26, 10:58 AM CDT, 53 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1058 AM CDT FRI JUN 26 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0417 AM     TSTM WND DMG     LAURIE                  38.20N 92.83W
06/26/2015                   MORGAN             MO   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            A LARGE TREE WAS BLOWN OVER BLOCKING A ROAD AND TWO FIRE
            WORK TENTS COLLAPSE IN THE CITY OF LAURIE.

&&

WISE

The office that day

Everything else NWS Springfield, MO issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jun 26, 12:47 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	SGF	Benton	6 hr
Jun 26, 2:58 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Benton, St. Clair, Vernon	62 min
Jun 26, 3:26 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Camden, Cedar, Dallas, Hickory, Morgan, Polk and 2 more	64 min
Jun 26, 4:10 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Camden, Dade, Dallas, Greene, Laclede, Miller and 2 more	65 min
Jun 26, 4:29 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	SGF	St. Clair	4 hr
Jun 26, 4:36 AM CDT	Special Weather Statement	SGF	Christian, Greene, Lawrence, Webster	39 min
Jun 26, 6:50 AM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	SGF	Benton, Miller, Morgan	6 hr
Jun 26, 7:43 AM CDT	Flash Flood Warning	SGF	Cedar, St. Clair, Vernon	4 hr
Jun 26, 10:08 AM CDT	River Flood Warning	SGF	Cedar	32 hr
Jun 26, 10:16 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Barry, Stone	59 min
Jun 26, 10:42 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	SGF	Christian, Taney	47 min
Jun 26, 2:04 PM CDT	River Flood Warning	SGF	Vernon	60 hr
Jun 26, 2:10 PM CDT	River Flood Warning	SGF	Bates, Vernon	70 hr
Jun 26, 4:38 PM CDT	River Flood Warning	SGF	Vernon	4 days

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Missouri, 2015 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2015

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.