Flash Flood Warning 30, NWS Springfield, MO

009 
WGUS73 KSGF 261252
FFSSGF

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
752 AM CDT FRI JUN 26 2015

MOC185-261302-
/O.EXP.KSGF.FF.W.0030.000000T0000Z-150626T1300Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
ST. CLAIR MO-
752 AM CDT FRI JUN 26 2015

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 800 AM CDT FOR WESTERN ST.
CLAIR COUNTY...

A NEW FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR MUCH OF THE PREVIOUSLY 
WARNED AREA.

LAT...LON 3821 9367 3791 9368 3789 9386 3790 9400
      3790 9405 3822 9405 3822 9400

$$

TERRY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
335 AM CDT Fri Jun 26 2015

.MESOSCALE DISCUSSION...
Issued at 303 AM CDT FRI JUN 26 2015

A storm complex with severe wind gusts developed near Kansas City
early this morning and continues to move southeast toward the Truman
/ Lake of the Ozarks region. A moist and unstable airmass should
allow ample fuel for continued storm development over the next
several hours. There will likely be a gradual decrease in strength
of this system after sunrise as the cold pool is expected to
eventually outrun and undercut the storms.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(Today and Tonight)
Issued at 303 AM CDT FRI JUN 26 2015

A stationary front remains draped near the I-70 corridor early
this morning and continues to provide a focus storm development as
a shortwave trough moves across eastern Kansas. Further to the
west...another storm complex has developed over western Kansas
ahead of another shortwave trough. These disturbances will help
nudge the I-70 front south across the forecast area through the
day. Will keep higher end precipitation chances going through the
day. Temperatures may get a little warmer than previously expected
along the AR/southeast KS borders. Otherwise will keep the lower to
mid 80s going for max temperatures.

Precipitation chances will decrease from northwest to southeast
through the evening as the front and upper level disturbances
shift southeast of the region.

.LONG TERM...(Saturday through Thursday)
Issued at 303 AM CDT FRI JUN 26 2015

Much drier conditions are expected for Saturday as high pressure
spreads southward from the upper Midwest. Temperatures and
dewpoint temps should average around 10 degrees lower than todays
values.

From Sunday through the middle of the workweek...upper level
northwest flow becomes well established...bringing continued
cooler conditions. The latest models show a clipper system moving
across the area on Sunday night and Monday. This will bring us a
fairly quick shot of storms with the highest chances mainly
northeast of Springfield.

Another clipper system may impact the area around
Wednesday/Thursday. Exact timing this far out on these type of
systems is pretty tricky, so went with mainly slight chance to
chance pops through midweek.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Friday Night)
Issued at 303 AM CDT FRI JUN 26 2015

Will likely include predominant thunder at Springfield with
approaching convective complex early in the forecast period, and expect
some gusts over 35 mph with these storms. For now, expect to keep
vicinity going at Joplin and Branson through around 15-16Z.

Next concern will be with wind shift as the stalled front gets
pushed southward as a cold front during the mid morning to mid
afternoon hours. Overall timing we have going still looks good,
so will only deviate slightly from going forecast.

From this evening through the overnight hours, VFR conditions are
expected.

&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...FLASH FLOOD WATCH until Noon CDT today FOR MOZ055>058.
KS...NONE.

&&

MESOSCALE...Schaumann/Terry
SHORT TERM...Terry
LONG TERM...Terry
AVIATION...Terry

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
347 AM CDT FRI JUN 26 2015

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-270900-
BOURBON-CRAWFORD-CHEROKEE-BENTON-MORGAN-MILLER-MARIES-VERNON-
ST. CLAIR-HICKORY-CAMDEN-PULASKI-PHELPS-BARTON-CEDAR-POLK-DALLAS-
LACLEDE-TEXAS-DENT-JASPER-DADE-GREENE-WEBSTER-WRIGHT-NEWTON-
LAWRENCE-CHRISTIAN-DOUGLAS-HOWELL-SHANNON-MCDONALD-BARRY-STONE-
TANEY-OZARK-OREGON-
347 AM CDT FRI JUN 26 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE MISSOURI
OZARKS AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

WEATHER HAZARDS EXPECTED...

  LIMITED HAIL RISK.
  ELEVATED THUNDERSTORM WIND DAMAGE RISK.
  ELEVATED FLOODING RISK.
  SIGNIFICANT LIGHTNING RISK.

DISCUSSION...

A COMPLEX OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SOUTHEAST ACROSS
SOUTHEASTERN KANSAS AND THE MISSOURI OZARKS DURING THE PREDAWN
HOURS. SOME STORMS MAY PRODUCE DAMAGING STRAIGHT LINE WIND GUSTS
UP TO 70 MPH ALONG WITH HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF NICKELS. FREQUENT
LIGHTNING AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL CAN ALSO BE EXPECTED. THERE
WILL BE A LIMITED TO ELEVATED RISK FOR FLASH FLOODING...ESPECIALLY
ACROSS CENTRAL MISSOURI.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE ONGOING FRIDAY MORNING. SOME STORM
REDEVELOPMENT AND INTENSIFICATION IS EXPECTED FRIDAY AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. SEVERE STORMS CONTAINING DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WILL BE
POSSIBLE FOR AREAS ALONG AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 44 FRIDAY
AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING.

EXCESSIVE RAINFALL AND FLOODING WILL AGAIN BE POSSIBLE FRIDAY
MORNING OVER PARTS OF CENTRAL MISSOURI WITH MORE LIMITED CHANCES
ELSEWHERE.

PERIODIC CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL BEGIN SUNDAY NIGHT...AND
CAN NOT BE RULED OUT THROUGH THE REST OF NEXT WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED EARLY THIS MORNING ACROSS MUCH OF
THE MISSOURI OZARKS.

&&

MORE DETAILED INFORMATION CAN BE ACCESSED AT:
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SGF/SITREP(ALL LOWERCASE)

THIS PRODUCT IN GRAPHICAL FORMAT...ALONG WITH OTHER WEATHER...
HYDROLOGICAL AND CLIMATE INFORMATION...AT
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SGF(ALL LOWERCASE)

SCHAUMANN

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
339 AM CDT FRI JUN 26 2015

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0338 AM     TSTM WND GST     OSCEOLA                 38.05N 93.70W
06/26/2015  E70 MPH          ST. CLAIR          MO   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

MTERRY